Hurricane Sandy hits Jamaica, dumps heavy rains on Haiti

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 8:54 PM GMT on October 24, 2012

Share this Blog
48
+

Hurricane Sandy hit the southeastern tip of Jamaica near 3:20 pm EDT this afternoon, as a Category 1 hurricane with 80 mph winds and a 973 mb pressure. According to NOAA's Historical Hurricane Tracks website, Sandy is the thirteenth hurricane to make a direct hit on the island, and the first since Hurricane Gilbert of 1988. Kingston, Jamaica recorded sustained winds of 44 mph and a pressure of 972 mb in the west eyewall of Sandy at 4 pm EDT. The eastern tip of Jamaica will see the strongest winds of the right-front quadrant and the heaviest damage, though. A distorted eye is apparent on visible satellite loops, but Sandy is showing only minor disruption to its inner core structure as a result of hitting Jamaica. According to the Jamaica Observer, "Alligator Pond [in St Elizabeth] was inundated with the high waves that came ashore. We are now getting reports of impacts out in St. Catherine, Portland and St. Thomas as the ground becomes saturated. We are now seeing where light poles are toppling and landslides being reported and roadway being flooded to the point where there is impeded access in east St. Thomas." Heavy rains from Sandy are falling in Haiti. A NOAA forecast based on microwave satellite data predicts 12 inches of rain for the tip of Haiti's southwestern Peninsula, which will likely cause life-threatening flash flooding. Fortunately, much lighter rainfall amounts are predicted for the capital of Port-au-Prince, where 350,000 people still live in the open under tarps in the wake of the January 2010 earthquake. In August, flooding from Hurricane Isaac killed at least 29 people in Haiti.


Figure 1. Hurricane Sandy over Jamaica. The large 55-mile diameter eye hit the island at 3:20 pm EDT, and crossed over the eastern tip of the island. The eye has been distorted into an odd triangular shape, due to interaction with the land area of Jamaica.


Figure 2. Predicted 24-hour rain amounts from Hurricane Sandy for the period ending at 8 am EDT Thursday, October 25, 2012. The prediction is based on microwave satellite data of precipitation. Image credit: NOAA/NESDIS.

Near-term forecast for Sandy
Sandy doesn't have much time over water before it makes landfall on the southeastern coast of Cuba near 10 pm EDT this Wednesday night, and the strongest the storm is likely to be then is a 90 mph Category 1. Passage over the rugged terrain of Cuba should weaken Sandy's winds by 20 - 30 mph, and will likely destroy the hurricane's eyewall. It will be difficult for the storm to rebuild its eyewall and regain all of that lost strength, in the face of the high wind shear of 20 - 30 knots it will encounter Thursday and Friday. However, the loss of the eyewall will cause Sandy's radius of tropical storm-force winds to expand, spreading out the winds over a wider area of ocean, and increasing the storm surge threat. This large wind field will likely drive a storm surge of 5 - 8 feet in the Bahamas, which is more characteristic of a storm with winds 20 mph higher. I expect that Sandy will be a 65 - 70 mph tropical storm as it traverses the Bahamas, and the storm will make its closest pass by Nassau around 10 pm EDT Thursday.


Figure 3. This Maximum Water Depth storm surge image for the Bahamas shows the worst-case inundation scenarios for a Category 1 hurricane with 85 mph winds, as predicted using dozens of runs of NOAA's SLOSH model. For example, if you are inland at an elevation of ten feet above mean sea level, and the combined storm surge and tide (the "storm tide") is fifteen feet at your location, the water depth image will show five feet of inundation. No single storm will be able to cause the level of flooding depicted in this image. Sandy's maximum storm surge may reach levels portrayed in this image for some islands in the Bahamas. See wunderground's storm surge pages for more storm surge info.

Sandy: a potential billion-dollar storm for the mid-Atlantic, New England, and Canada
The latest set of 12Z (8 am EDT) model runs are in, and they portray an increased risk to the U.S. and Canadian East Coasts for early next week. The GFS model, which had been showing that Sandy would head to the northeast out to sea, now has changed its tune, and predicts that Sandy will double back and hit Maine on Tuesday evening. The ECMWF model, which has been very consistent in its handling of Sandy, now has the storm hitting Delaware on Monday afternoon. These models are predicting that Sandy will get caught up by the trough approaching the Eastern U.S., which will inject a large amount of energy into the storm, converting it to a powerful subtropical storm with a central pressure below 960 mb and sustained winds of 60 - 70 mph. Winds of this strength would likely cause massive power outages, as trees still in leaf take out power lines. Also of great concern are Sandy's rains. Given that ocean temperatures along the Northeast U.S. coast are about 5°F above average, there will be an unusually large amount of water vapor available to make heavy rain. If the trough of low pressure approaching the East Coast taps into the large reservoir of cold air over Canada and pulls down a significant amount of Arctic air, as predicted, the potential exists for the unusually moist air from Sandy to collide with this cold air from Canada and unleash the heaviest October rains ever recorded in the Northeast U.S. Another huge concern is storm surge flooding. Sandy is expected to have tropical storm-force winds that extend out more than 300 miles from the center, which will drive a much larger storm surge than its winds would ordinarily suggest. The full moon is on Monday, which means astronomical tides will be at their peak for the month, increasing potential storm surge flooding.

There remains a lot of model uncertainty on where Sandy might go, and I still give a 30% chance that the storm will have a minimal impact on the U.S. An extra set of balloon-borne radiosondes is going to be launched at 2 pm EDT on Thursday all across the U.S., which should help tomorrow evening's model runs make better forecasts of where Sandy might go. Extra radiosondes will be launched every 6 hours through Saturday afternoon.

Jeff Masters

Hurr Sandy staring down (Jewelsblues)
Looking onto Caribbean Sea, from Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic
Hurr Sandy staring down

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

Sign In or Register Sign In or Register

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 406 - 356

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 35 | 36 | 37 | 38 | 39 | 40 | 41 | 42 | 43 | 44 | 45Blog Index

I'm very, VERY interested in this first pass through the eye by the RECON.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
...EYE OF SANDY NOW BETWEEN JAMAICA AND CUBA...
8:00 PM EDT Wed Oct 24
Location: 18.7°N 76.4°W
Moving: N at 14 mph
Min pressure: 968 mb
Max sustained: 85 mph
Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 127 Comments: 7981
Quoting FL1980:
Whats the reason for the bend back to the NNW in the track before it heads NE? Could it move more NNW and get closer the the florida coast before heading NE?


Good question - anyone??
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
why did the HH just turn around... please dont tell me there is a malfunction and they have to abort mission
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
What direction is Sandy heading?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Good evening, Grand Cayman long time lurker here. Just went by Seven Mile Beach, seas are starting to get a bit choppy, our NWS say we will get 9 foot seas by tomorrow, praying for our friends in the North East, was in Vermont 2 weeks ago and want to find all those trees still there next year
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Up to 85mph according to the NHC.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Up to 85 mph now.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 34080
Quoting ncstorm:
you guys are providing great analysis on Sandy!!


Member Since: Posts: Comments:
you guys are providing great analysis on Sandy!!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Apparently USAF Reserve can also overfly Cuba:

Three years ago (2003), C-130s made their first flights into Cuban airspace to help track storms. Their use is not uncommon -- they flew during Katrina last year when it was still a tropical storm.

Now, to request permission to fly weather missions into Cuban airspace, Mayfield sends a request to the State Department, which forwards it to the Cuban Interests Section in Washington, D.C
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Time: 23:35:30Z
Coordinates: 19.55N 77.6333W
Acft. Static Air Press: 697.0 mb (~ 20.58 inHg)
Acft. Geopotential Hgt: 3,067 meters (~ 10,062 feet)
Extrap. Sfc. Press: 997.1 mb (~ 29.44 inHg)
D-value: -
Flt. Lvl. Wind (30s): From 37° at 20 knots (From the NE at ~ 23.0 mph)
Air Temp: 8.0°C* (~ 46.4°F*)
Dew Pt: 8.0°C* (~ 46.4°F*)
Peak (10s) Flt. Lvl. Wind: 21 knots (~ 24.1 mph)
SFMR Peak (10s) Sfc. Wind: 31 knots (~ 35.6 mph)
SFMR Rain Rate: 2 mm/hr (~ 0.08 in/hr)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Hurricanes4life:
Any ideas on how a much stronger Sandy will effect the track? Models did not have this being a major before cuba!

In general stronger storms go more east. I don't know if that's the case here though.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
392. 7544
all i can say is WOW SANDY AND IF SHE JOGS FURTHER west ....
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Hurricanes4life:
Any ideas on how a much stronger Sandy will effect the track? Models did not have this being a major before cuba!


Check the Steering Level, im not sure if it will go further west or further east.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Preview of the final product. That is just scary.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Sandy 6 hours ago:



3 hours ago:



Now:

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
From facebook...

@WPTV: #BREAKING : Palm Beach County Schools To Close Three Hours Early Thursday, All Day Friday Due To Hurricane Sandy.
Member Since: September 10, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 11744
Quoting LargoFl:
Important Change....................HURRICANE SANDY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
557 PM EDT WED OCT 24 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST
AND THE ADJACENT WATERS...

.NEW INFORMATION...
SITUATION OVERVIEW, PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS,
PROBABILITIES AND WIND SECTIONS.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTH FLORIDA.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...COASTAL PALM BEACH...COASTAL BROWARD AND COASTAL
MIAMI DADE.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE ATLANTIC WATERS OFF THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST, BISCAYNE BAY,
AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

ALTHOUGH TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE NOT IN EFFECT
FOR THE REST OF SOUTH FLORIDA...POSSIBLE IMPACTS FROM RELATED
HAZARDS ARE STILL A CONCERN.

PLEASE CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC AND MARINE FORECASTS FOR DETAILED
INFORMATION ABOUT ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SANDY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.3N...LONGITUDE 76.6W. THIS WAS ABOUT 620 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF WEST PALM BEACH FL...OR ABOUT 580 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF FORT LAUDERDALE FL...OR ABOUT 560 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MIAMI FL. STORM MOTION WAS N OR 10 DEGREES AT
14 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 80 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
AS HURRICANE SANDY IS FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH THE BAHAMAS ON
THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY, TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO MOVE INTO THE LOCAL ATLANTIC WATERS AND BISCAYNE BAY AS EARLY
AS THURSDAY AFTERNOON. AS THE WIND FIELD ON THE WESTERN EDGE OF
SANDY EXPANDS, SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS COULD REACH
THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST LATE THURSDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE
THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.

EVEN IF SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS DO NOT REACH THE
COAST, OCCASIONAL TO FREQUENT WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE
ARE LIKELY OVER SOUTHEAST FLORIDA, ESPECIALLY DURING THE DAY ON
FRIDAY. IN ADDITION, DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS AND BEACH EROSION IS
EXPECTED ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST. MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS
POSSIBLE ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY,
PARTICULARLY ACROSS FLOOD PRONE AREAS OF MIAMI BEACH AND SOUTHERN
SECTIONS OF BISCAYNE BAY.

RAIN BANDS FROM THE OUTER EDGE OF SANDY COULD ALSO AFFECT
SOUTHEAST FLORIDA MAINLY FROM THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT WITH
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLOODING A POSSIBILITY IF
BANDS PERSIST ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST. HOWEVER, CHANGES IN THE
FORECAST COULD STILL RESULT IN A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN THE
FLOODING POTENTIAL...SO RESIDENTS ARE ADVISED TO STAY TUNED FOR
THE LATEST INFORMATION AS CONDITIONS EVOLVE THROUGH THE REMINDER
OF THE WEEK.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY.

ALL COASTAL AND MARINE INTERESTS IN WARNING AREAS SHOULD
COMPLETE PREPARATIONS AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. IF YOU LIVE ON A
BOAT...MAKE FINAL PREPARATIONS NOW AND SECURE YOUR VESSEL
BEFORE LEAVING. BE SURE TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE
OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT
SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS
OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO
YOUR LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. YOU
CAN ALSO GO TO READY.GOV, READYSOUTHFLORIDA.ORG,
FLORIDADISASTER.ORG, THE AMERICAN RED CROSS AT REDCROSS.ORG
OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WEB SITE.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MIAMI AROUND MIDNIGHT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.


Sounds like they want people to pay attention. When looking at the warnings being only for the coastal area, that is still a lot of people. We are only about two miles from the water, and I feel like I live inland.

Could be interesting the next 2 days. Anyone in Miami-Dade should keep an eye on this. Although the tracks have been great this year, when a storm is less than 200 miles away, a few wobbles can cause a lot of problems for us.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting SSideBrac:


Think that once in history, when Cuba tried to give some Hurricane advice to USA - it was ignored and Galveston suffered major loss of life
Yup, in 1900.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:

NOAA is the only federal agency with hurricane tracking capabilities that is authorized by Cuba to fly in its airspace.

http://www.publicaffairs.noaa.gov/stories/sir19.h tml

and that info dates from Aug 08
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
70% of Jamaica without power according to Gleaner website. I'm in the 70%.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting MelbourneTom:
Is Sandy starting an eyewall replacement cycle?

Nope, the eyewall is only getting stronger.
Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 127 Comments: 7981
Quoting hurricanehunter27:
Good lord.

Hot towers blowing up in the eye wall.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting hurricanehunter27:
No lol it just formed its eye. A very impressive one at that.


Thanks. The eye was much warmer an hour ago which is why I asked.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
NAM at 72 hours.....................
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 48675
Any ideas on how a much stronger Sandy will effect the track? Models did not have this being a major before cuba!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Observation Time: Wednesday, 23:28Z
Radar Capability: Yes
Aircraft Altitude: Below 10,000 meters
Coordinates: 19.8N 78.0W
Location: 110 miles (177 km) to the S (183°) from Camagüey, Cuba.
Turbulence: None
Conditions Along Flight Route: In the clear
Pressure Altitude: 3,050 meters
Flight Level Wind: From 30° at 28 knots (From the NNE at ~ 32.2 mph)
- The above is a spot wind.
- Winds were obtained using doppler radar or inertial systems.
Flight Level Temperature: 9°C
Flight Level Dew Point: 7°C
Weather (within 30 nautical miles): Overcast / Undercast
700 mb Surface Altitude: 3,047 geopotential meters

Remarks Section - Remarks That Were Decoded...

Surface Wind Speed (likely by SFMR): 25 knots (~ 28.8mph)

Remarks Section - Additional Remarks...
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting UKHWatcher:
...Lets get this straight from a neutral position. Sandy is potentially more of an enemy to the CONUS than Cuba could ever, ever be...


Think that once in history, when Cuba tried to give some Hurricane advice to USA - it was ignored and Galveston suffered major loss of life
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Good lord.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting MelbourneTom:
Is Sandy starting an eyewall replacement cycle?

She does not appear to be at the moment.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Brand new MW imagery

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Whats the reason for the bend back to the NNW in the track before it heads NE? Could it move more NNW and get closer the the florida coast before heading NE?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting MelbourneTom:
Is Sandy starting an eyewall replacement cycle?

No.

Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 34080
Quoting MelbourneTom:
Is Sandy starting an eyewall replacement cycle?
No lol it just formed its eye. A very impressive one at that.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Is Sandy starting an eyewall replacement cycle?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
369. JLPR2
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Raw T# is up to T6.9...

2012OCT24 231500 5.6 959.3/ +1.7 /104.6 5.6 6.1 6.9 2.2T/6hr OFF OFF -43.36 -77.16 EYE -99 IR 18.62 76.34 SPRL


That's it, 5.6, ADT thinks we have a major.
Ah c'mon HHs reach Sandy already! XD
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
In other news....

Another rare fire tornado has been seen, this time in Thargomindah, Queensland.


Link
Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 16014
Important Change....................HURRICANE SANDY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
557 PM EDT WED OCT 24 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST
AND THE ADJACENT WATERS...

.NEW INFORMATION...
SITUATION OVERVIEW, PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS,
PROBABILITIES AND WIND SECTIONS.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF SOUTH FLORIDA.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...COASTAL PALM BEACH...COASTAL BROWARD AND COASTAL
MIAMI DADE.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE ATLANTIC WATERS OFF THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST, BISCAYNE BAY,
AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

ALTHOUGH TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE NOT IN EFFECT
FOR THE REST OF SOUTH FLORIDA...POSSIBLE IMPACTS FROM RELATED
HAZARDS ARE STILL A CONCERN.

PLEASE CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC AND MARINE FORECASTS FOR DETAILED
INFORMATION ABOUT ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SANDY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.3N...LONGITUDE 76.6W. THIS WAS ABOUT 620 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF WEST PALM BEACH FL...OR ABOUT 580 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF FORT LAUDERDALE FL...OR ABOUT 560 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MIAMI FL. STORM MOTION WAS N OR 10 DEGREES AT
14 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 80 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
AS HURRICANE SANDY IS FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH THE BAHAMAS ON
THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY, TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO MOVE INTO THE LOCAL ATLANTIC WATERS AND BISCAYNE BAY AS EARLY
AS THURSDAY AFTERNOON. AS THE WIND FIELD ON THE WESTERN EDGE OF
SANDY EXPANDS, SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS COULD REACH
THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST LATE THURSDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE
THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.

EVEN IF SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS DO NOT REACH THE
COAST, OCCASIONAL TO FREQUENT WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE
ARE LIKELY OVER SOUTHEAST FLORIDA, ESPECIALLY DURING THE DAY ON
FRIDAY. IN ADDITION, DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS AND BEACH EROSION IS
EXPECTED ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST. MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS
POSSIBLE ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY,
PARTICULARLY ACROSS FLOOD PRONE AREAS OF MIAMI BEACH AND SOUTHERN
SECTIONS OF BISCAYNE BAY.

RAIN BANDS FROM THE OUTER EDGE OF SANDY COULD ALSO AFFECT
SOUTHEAST FLORIDA MAINLY FROM THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT WITH
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLOODING A POSSIBILITY IF
BANDS PERSIST ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST. HOWEVER, CHANGES IN THE
FORECAST COULD STILL RESULT IN A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN THE
FLOODING POTENTIAL...SO RESIDENTS ARE ADVISED TO STAY TUNED FOR
THE LATEST INFORMATION AS CONDITIONS EVOLVE THROUGH THE REMINDER
OF THE WEEK.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY.

ALL COASTAL AND MARINE INTERESTS IN WARNING AREAS SHOULD
COMPLETE PREPARATIONS AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. IF YOU LIVE ON A
BOAT...MAKE FINAL PREPARATIONS NOW AND SECURE YOUR VESSEL
BEFORE LEAVING. BE SURE TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE
OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT
SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS
OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO
YOUR LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. YOU
CAN ALSO GO TO READY.GOV, READYSOUTHFLORIDA.ORG,
FLORIDADISASTER.ORG, THE AMERICAN RED CROSS AT REDCROSS.ORG
OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WEB SITE.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MIAMI AROUND MIDNIGHT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 48675
...Lets get this straight from a neutral position. Sandy is potentially more of an enemy to the CONUS than Cuba could ever, ever be...
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Raw T# is up to T6.9...

2012OCT24 231500 5.6 959.3/ +1.7 /104.6 5.6 6.1 6.9 2.2T/6hr OFF OFF -43.36 -77.16 EYE -99 IR 18.62 76.34 SPRL
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 34080
Quoting MAweatherboy1:
Flawless core, like what one would see in a powerful major:



Cuba better hope the winds do not catch up in time. One of the best looking Microwave passes I have ever seen.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Can someone post the latest recon message?
Member Since: March 10, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 11511
Quoting zoomiami:


I know of a few times in the past few years that they have given permission - but couldn't tell you the storms.

I'm fairly certain it was for Ike and Gustav
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
I wouldn't be surprised if the NHC was fairly conservative at the intermediate advisory but then issued some sort of update/special advisory if warranted (and I think it would) once recon is able to evaluate Sandy's intensity more thoroughly.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
T.C.F.W.
18L/XH/S/C2
MARK
18.55N/76.60W
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
HEY..its going to BACK to being a hurricane AFTER cuba, this is different than this morning..................
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 48675
Sandy between Jamaica and Cuba.


Meanwhile, Son-Tinh is moving over the Philippines.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Flawless core, like what one would see in a powerful major:



Member Since: Posts: Comments:

Viewing: 406 - 356

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 35 | 36 | 37 | 38 | 39 | 40 | 41 | 42 | 43 | 44 | 45Blog Index

Top of Page

About

Dr. Masters co-founded wunderground in 1995. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990. Co-blogging with him: Bob Henson, @bhensonweather

JeffMasters's Recent Photos

Dunham Lake Sunset
Carrot Nose in Danger
Deep Snow in Brookline, MA
Sunset at Fort DeSoto