Rafael intensifying, but is pulling away from the Lesser Antilles

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 3:55 PM GMT on October 14, 2012

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Tropical Storm Rafael is intensifying, but is headed northwards away from the Lesser Antilles Islands, after bringing gusty winds and heavy rains to the islands over the past two days. Three-day rainfall amounts of 2 - 3" were common over the Leeward Islands, but the winds mostly stayed below tropical storm-force. Here are some of the peak wind gusts from Rafael and rainfall totals from Oct 11 through 10 am EDT October 14:

Barbados, 47 mph, 0.81"
Antigua: 37 mph, 3.66"
Martinique: 30 mph, 3.10"
St. Lucia: 39 mph, 2.07"
St. Martin: 45 mph, 2.56"
Guadaloupe: 36 mph, 2.51"
Dominica: 25 mph, 2.68"
St. Kiits: 34 mph, 3.47"

Satellite loops show that Rafael has gotten much more organized late this morning, with an impressive spiral band with very heavy thunderstorms to the east of the center. Heavy thunderstorms with cold cloud tops are forming over the center, the hallmark of an intensifying tropical storm. The Hurricane Hunters found a central pressure of 997 mb, and winds at their 5,000-foot flight level of 68 mph this morning. Rafael is experiencing a moderate 10 - 20 knots of wind shear.


Figure 1. Morning satellite image of Tropical Storm Rafael.

Forecast for Rafael
Wind shear is expected to remain in the moderate range through Tuesday, which should allow Rafael to intensify into a Category 1 hurricane. Heavy rains will continue over the Leeward Islands today and diminish on Monday. A tropical storm watch has been posted for Bermuda, which is at risk of seeing tropical storm-force winds from Rafael on Tuesday. The 11 am EDT wind probability forecast from NHC gave Bermuda a 40% chance of experiencing tropical storm-force winds between Monday night and Wednesday morning, and a 6% chance of experiencing hurricane-force winds. The models are pretty tightly clustered showing a track for Rafael to the east of Bermuda, which would put the island on the weaker (left front) side of the storm.

Tropical Storm Paul forms in the Eastern Pacific
Tropical Storm Paul formed yesterday in the East Pacific, and is headed northwards towards Mexico's Baja Peninsula. Paul's formation brings this year's tally of named storms in the East Pacific to sixteen, making 2012 just the third year since records began in 1949 that both the Eastern Pacific and Atlantic have had at least sixteen named storms. The other years were 2003 and 2008.


Figure 2. MODIS satellite image of Tropical Cyclone Anais in the Southwest Pacific taken at 2:05 am EDT Sunday October 14, 2012. At the time, Anais was a Category 3 storm with 120 mph winds, the strongest tropical cyclone ever observed in the Southwest Pacific so early in their hurricane season. Image credit: NASA.

A rare early-season major tropical cyclone in the Southwest Indian Ocean
It's springtime in the Southern Hemisphere, where an unusual tropical cyclone has formed--Tropical Cyclone Anais, which hit Category 3 strength with 120 mph winds. According to Meteo France in La Reunion Island, Anais is the earliest major hurricane to form during the Southwest Indian Ocean's tropical cyclone season, which typically runs from November to May. Anais' formation in mid-October is akin to getting a major hurricane in the Atlantic during April, something which has never occurred (the earliest major hurricane on record in the Atlantic occurred on May 21, 1951.) Anais is the second earliest hurricane of any kind to form so early in the Southwest Indian Ocean tropical cyclone season, after Tropical Cyclone Blanche of October 10, 1969. Anais may reach Category 4 strength before cooler waters and increased wind shear weaken the storm as it approaches Madagascar.

Jeff Masters

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Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting aspectre:
188 sunlinepr: [convection map]

Tell me that ain't exPatty near the Cuban coastline between directly south of Miami and directly south of PalmBeach


What's left over of Ex-Patty
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188 sunlinepr: [convection map]

Tell me that ain't exPatty near the Cuban coastline between directly south of Miami and directly south of PalmBeach
Member Since: August 21, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 4860


TXXS27 KNES 141841
TCSSIO

A. 01S (ANAIS)

B. 14/1800Z

C. 11.9S

D. 65.3E

E. ONE/MET-7

F. T6.0/6.0/D1.0/24HRS

G. IR/EIR

H. REMARKS...ANAIS SHOWED SOME EROSION OF COLD CLOUD TOPS IN SOUTHWEST
QUADRANT OF EYEWALL PAST COUPLE OF HOURS BUT A NEW BURST OF COLD TOPS
(W) IS QUICKLY FILLING IN. EYE IS NOW 21 NMI WIDE AND CONTINUES TO HAVE
WMG SURROUNDED BY LG WITH B RING TEMP FOR DT=6.0. MET=5.5 AND PT=6.0. FT
IS BASED ON DT.

I. ADDL POSITIONS

NIL


...RUMINSKI
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Quoting MAweatherboy1:
If it stays tropical the NHC's intensity forecast on Rafael could be too conservative. A peak of 90-100mph seems very possible to me.


I have to say, I think all agencies stay conservative these days. Even with WPac storms, you look at the initial forecast, TS...maybe Cat2 in a few days...then you look...and it's RI'd to Cat4 in a day. They never seem to want to stick their neck out and forecast a bigger storm. MHO maybe, but what it's looked to me anyway
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Snow and unseasonably cool weather hits New South Wales Posted on October 14, 2012

October 14, 2012 – AUSTRALIA - Snow has fallen across New South Wales and the ACT as a cold snap hits the region. The unseasonal weather saw residents in areas including the Blue Mountains and southern tablelands waking up to snow on Friday. There is also snow around Canberra, following the coldest October day there in more than 40 years. There was a maximum temperature of 8C in the Canberra area on Thursday, 11 degrees below the October average and the coldest since 1967. Overnight snow fell in the hills between Canberra and Bungendore and in areas around Goulburn and Crookwell to the north. The Bureau of Meteorology said many areas could see snow, frost and hail as the result of a low pressure system moving across NSW. “We’ve had quite a few reports of snow.

Link
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Quoting Joanie38:


Thank you for your answer..:) I know they are the same thing, I was just wondering if their spins are different. :):)

Joanie
only difference is those that form n of 0° spin counterclockwise while those south of 0° spin clockwise
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You might want to check this out, Joanie.

Link
Quoting Joanie38:


Thank you for your answer..:) I know they are the same thing, I was just wondering if their spins are different. :):)

Joanie
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Quoting washingtonian115:
Typhoons hurricanes and cyclones are all the same thing.Unless they for in different hemispheres(northern,southern)


Thank you for your answer..:) I know they are the same thing, I was just wondering if their spins are different. :):)

Joanie
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Quoting Joanie38:
Hi everyone..I have a strange question to ask but I have always wanted to know this....Does the spin of a tropical cyclone, Typhoon, or hurricane different from each other?!?!?

TIA!!!

Joanie


Hope yall understand the question..:/
Typhoons hurricanes and cyclones are all the same thing.Unless they form in different hemispheres(northern,southern) then they spin opposite of each other.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Hi everyone..I have a strange question to ask but I have always wanted to know this....Does the spin of a tropical cyclone, Typhoon, or hurricane different from each other?!?!?

TIA!!!

Joanie


Hope yall understand the question..:/
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Grothar:
Hey, if they "seed" Anais, will it be an Anais seed? I think I will take a nap now.
Nincompoop!
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Quoting Grothar:
That looks like a "fish" storm in the Atlantic.





and I'm listening to Psychotic Reaction Count Five...right after JA at Woodstock with Gracie belting out White Rabbit and then I start seeing little purple fishies mid atlantic... kinna like looking thru a window pane there for a second..
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Quoting Grothar:
Hey, if they "seed" Anais, will it be an Anais seed? I think I will take a nap now.


Oi, that was awful hahaha.
Member Since: August 26, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 617
Hey, if they "seed" Anais, will it be an Anais seed? I think I will take a nap now.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Grothar, or a sailboat with a broken rudder.
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SPC told me I had a slight risk for severe weather...barely a drop of rain fell.
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Quoting LargoFl:


They have the forecasted low in Pierre, SD WRONG. It is supposed to be 42 degrees not 70.
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Quoting Grothar:


Good afternoon, Nigel. Very rainy and windy all day.

It has been a pretty rainy afternoon here in Kingston as well.
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175. adb42
Have to point out a factual inaccuracy in Dr Master's report. TC Anais is in the Southern Indian Ocean, not the Southwestern Pacific Ocean.
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Quoting nigel20:

It's amazing that we've already had 17 storms, but only 1 major hurricane. Hey Grothar! What's up?


Good afternoon, Nigel. Very rainy and windy all day.
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

I agree, and so does the model consensus. The NHC keeps stating that they follow the guidance very closely, but, I don't see it...



Note: Their intensity forecast has been adjusted downward since the above image.

They must either be counting on an early extratropical transition or they're heavily favoring the Euro over the GFS.
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Quoting MAweatherboy1:
If it stays tropical the NHC's intensity forecast on Rafael could be too conservative. A peak of 90-100mph seems very possible to me.

I got a peak of 90mph, so I think the NHC is being conservative with Rafael.
Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 127 Comments: 7972
Quoting MAweatherboy1:
If it stays tropical the NHC's intensity forecast on Rafael could be too conservative. A peak of 90-100mph seems very possible to me.

I agree, and so does the model consensus. The NHC keeps stating that they follow the guidance very closely, but, I don't see it...



Note: Their intensity forecast has been adjusted downward since the above image.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32877
Very funny Grothar. :)
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If it stays tropical the NHC's intensity forecast on Rafael could be too conservative. A peak of 90-100mph seems very possible to me.
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Quoting Grothar:



It's amazing that we've already had 17 storms, but only 1 major hurricane. Hey Grothar! What's up?
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The NWS in Detroit has issued a severe thunderstorm warning for part of Oakland county(my county). The warned storm should miss me, but the warned storm to my SW could hit me and become warned in my county.
Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 127 Comments: 7972
That looks like a "fish" storm in the Atlantic.


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Quoting flcanes:

we have not had rain for days here
yeah we had a real dry week also..
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42277


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Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42277
Quoting LargoFl:

we have not had rain for days here
Member Since: August 20, 2012 Posts: 13 Comments: 1254
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42277
TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL DISCUSSION NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172012
500 PM AST SUN OCT 14 2012

AFTER IMPROVING DURING THE MORNING...THE OVERALL ORGANIZATION
OF RAFAEL HAS CHANGED VERY LITTLE THIS AFTERNOON. SHORTLY AFTER
THE RELEASE OF THE 1500 UTC ADVISORY...THE AIR FORCE RESERVE
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT MEASURED PEAK 925 MB FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS
OF 64 KT AND SFMR SURFACE WINDS OF 45 TO 50 KT. BASED ON THESE
DATA AND 1800 UTC DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KT FROM
TAFB AND SAB RESPECTIVELY...THE INITIAL WIND SPEED IS KEPT AT 50
KT. RAFAEL IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF MODERATE
SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. AFTER THAT TIME...
THE SHEAR IS FORECAST TO INCREASE AS A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH
APPROACHES THE CYCLONE FROM THE WEST. MOST OF THE INTENSITY
GUIDANCE STILL CALLS FROM RAFAEL TO BECOME A HURRICANE DURING THE
NEXT DAY OR SO. GIVEN THE LACK OF A TIGHT INNER CORE AND THE
MARGINAL UPPER-AIR PATTERN...HOWEVER...THERE IS LESS CONFIDENCE THAT
RAFAEL WILL STRENGTHEN SIGNIFICANTLY. THE NHC INTENSITY FORECAST
HAS BEEN LOWERED SLIGHTLY FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...AND IS
CLOSEST TO THE INTENSITY CONSENSUS AND TO THE FLORIDA STATE
SUPERENSEMBLE.

RAFAEL IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD OR 330/9 KT. THERE HAS BEEN NO
CHANGE TO THE PREVIOUS TRACK FORECAST REASONING. RAFAEL SHOULD
MOVE AROUND THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A DEEP-LAYER RIDGE OVER THE
CENTRAL ATLANTIC DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. BY TUESDAY...A
STRONG MID-LATITUDE TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT ARE FORECAST
TO MOVE OFF THE U.S. EAST COAST. THIS SHOULD CAUSE RAFAEL TO
ACCELERATE NORTHEASTWARD IN THE DEEP-LAYER SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AHEAD
OF THE FRONT/TROUGH. THE TRACK GUIDANCE REMAINS IN AGREEMENT ON
THIS OVERALL SCENARIO...ALTHOUGH THERE ARE STILL SOME SIGNIFICANT
DIFFERENCES IN HOW FAST RAFAEL WILL GAIN LATITUDE DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. THE 1200 UTC GFS HAS TRENDED TOWARD THE SLOWER
ECMWF SOLUTION AND THE NHC FORECAST HAS BEEN ADJUSTED IN THAT
DIRECTION. THE MODELS HAVE COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT ON THE TRACK
AFTER EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION...AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST HAS BEEN
SHIFTED EASTWARD LATE IN THE PERIOD.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 14/2100Z 20.7N 64.7W 50 KT 60 MPH
12H 15/0600Z 21.8N 65.6W 55 KT 65 MPH
24H 15/1800Z 23.5N 66.2W 60 KT 70 MPH
36H 16/0600Z 26.0N 65.8W 65 KT 75 MPH
48H 16/1800Z 29.3N 64.3W 65 KT 75 MPH
72H 17/1800Z 39.5N 56.5W 65 KT 75 MPH
96H 18/1800Z 48.5N 42.0W 60 KT 70 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
120H 19/1800Z 49.0N 30.0W 55 KT 65 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

$$
FORECASTER BROWN
Member Since: July 21, 2011 Posts: 83 Comments: 7167
Quoting flcanes:

i know
so what r u thinking about gfs sending hurricane up our alley
let the spongebob quotes begin
wll the GFS has it near you..whatever it becomes..but its way too early
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42277
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172012
500 PM AST SUN OCT 14 2012

...RAIN BANDS FROM RAFAEL EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE NORTHERN LEEWARD
THROUGH TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.7N 64.7W
ABOUT 185 MI...295 KM NNE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
ABOUT 800 MI...1290 KM S OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.41 INCHES
Member Since: July 21, 2011 Posts: 83 Comments: 7167
We have been getting moderate showers over last 45 minutes or so here in Kingston...there is little bit of lightning as well.
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Quoting LargoFl:
yeah i see the wind is kinda strong down there even today..one report had the gusts almost 30 mph

i know
so what r u thinking about gfs sending hurricane up our alley
let the spongebob quotes begin
Member Since: August 20, 2012 Posts: 13 Comments: 1254
Quoting Civicane49:
TROPICAL STORM PAUL DISCUSSION NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162012
200 PM PDT SUN OCT 14 2012

PAUL HAS STRENGTHENED A LITTLE THIS AFTERNOON. VISIBLE
IMAGES INDICATE THAT CONVECTIVE CLOUD BANDS HAVE GAINED
CURVATURE...AND A CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST FEATURE HAS BEEN
PERSISTING. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES WERE 3.5/55 KT FROM
SAB...3.0/45 KT FROM TAFB...AND 3.5/55 KT FROM THE UW-CIMSS ADT.
BASED ON THESE DATA...THE INITIAL WIND SPEED IS NUDGED UPWARD TO 50
KT. THIS INITIAL INTENSITY IS ALSO IN AGREEMENT WITH THE LATEST
SATCON DATA FROM UW-CIMSS.

ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING SEEMS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS
PAUL REMAINS OVER WATERS THAT ARE RELATIVELY WARM AND IN A
CONDUCIVE ATMOSPHERIC ENVIRONMENT. BY MONDAY NIGHT...HOWEVER...THE
GLOBAL MODELS SHOW PAUL MOVING INTO INCREASING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY
SHEAR AND DRIER AIR. THESE LESS CONDUCIVE ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS
COMBINED WITH COOLER WATER ALONG THE EXPECTED TRACK SHOULD CAUSE
PAUL TO LOSE STRENGTH. THE NHC FORECAST IS AN UPDATE OF THE
PREVIOUS ONE...AND LIES NEAR THE THE MIDDLE OF THE GUIDANCE. PAUL IS
EXPECTED TO BE A REMNANT LOW BY DAY 4 AND DISSIPATE BY DAY 5.

PAUL REMAINS ON TRACK...AND IS CONTINUING TO SLOW DOWN AND TURN TO
THE RIGHT. THE LATEST INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 325/6. A NORTHWARD
TO NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS FORECAST FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS AS THE CYCLONE MOVES IN THE FLOW BETWEEN A MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL
LOW WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND A RIDGE OVER MEXICO. THE WEAKENING
TROPICAL CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR THE BAJA PENNISULA ON
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY BEFORE IT TURNS BACK TO THE NORTHWEST OR
WEST-NORTHWEST ON THE NORTH SIDE OF THE MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL LOW.
THE NHC TRACK FORECAST LIES VERY NEAR THE CONSENSUS AIDS...AND IS
SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 14/2100Z 15.4N 115.2W 50 KT 60 MPH
12H 15/0600Z 16.4N 115.4W 60 KT 70 MPH
24H 15/1800Z 18.4N 115.1W 65 KT 75 MPH
36H 16/0600Z 20.8N 114.6W 65 KT 75 MPH
48H 16/1800Z 23.2N 114.1W 55 KT 65 MPH
72H 17/1800Z 26.5N 115.3W 35 KT 40 MPH
96H 18/1800Z 29.5N 119.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 19/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
i don't think paul will become a cat 1
Member Since: August 20, 2012 Posts: 13 Comments: 1254
Quoting flcanes:

i am in palm beach county and yesterday my recycling bin flew across the street :)
yeah i see the wind is kinda strong down there even today..one report had the gusts almost 30 mph
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42277
TROPICAL STORM PAUL DISCUSSION NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162012
200 PM PDT SUN OCT 14 2012

PAUL HAS STRENGTHENED A LITTLE THIS AFTERNOON. VISIBLE
IMAGES INDICATE THAT CONVECTIVE CLOUD BANDS HAVE GAINED
CURVATURE...AND A CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST FEATURE HAS BEEN
PERSISTING. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES WERE 3.5/55 KT FROM
SAB...3.0/45 KT FROM TAFB...AND 3.5/55 KT FROM THE UW-CIMSS ADT.
BASED ON THESE DATA...THE INITIAL WIND SPEED IS NUDGED UPWARD TO 50
KT. THIS INITIAL INTENSITY IS ALSO IN AGREEMENT WITH THE LATEST
SATCON DATA FROM UW-CIMSS.

ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING SEEMS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS
PAUL REMAINS OVER WATERS THAT ARE RELATIVELY WARM AND IN A
CONDUCIVE ATMOSPHERIC ENVIRONMENT. BY MONDAY NIGHT...HOWEVER...THE
GLOBAL MODELS SHOW PAUL MOVING INTO INCREASING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY
SHEAR AND DRIER AIR. THESE LESS CONDUCIVE ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS
COMBINED WITH COOLER WATER ALONG THE EXPECTED TRACK SHOULD CAUSE
PAUL TO LOSE STRENGTH. THE NHC FORECAST IS AN UPDATE OF THE
PREVIOUS ONE...AND LIES NEAR THE THE MIDDLE OF THE GUIDANCE. PAUL IS
EXPECTED TO BE A REMNANT LOW BY DAY 4 AND DISSIPATE BY DAY 5.

PAUL REMAINS ON TRACK...AND IS CONTINUING TO SLOW DOWN AND TURN TO
THE RIGHT. THE LATEST INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 325/6. A NORTHWARD
TO NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS FORECAST FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS AS THE CYCLONE MOVES IN THE FLOW BETWEEN A MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL
LOW WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND A RIDGE OVER MEXICO. THE WEAKENING
TROPICAL CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR THE BAJA PENNISULA ON
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY BEFORE IT TURNS BACK TO THE NORTHWEST OR
WEST-NORTHWEST ON THE NORTH SIDE OF THE MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL LOW.
THE NHC TRACK FORECAST LIES VERY NEAR THE CONSENSUS AIDS...AND IS
SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 14/2100Z 15.4N 115.2W 50 KT 60 MPH
12H 15/0600Z 16.4N 115.4W 60 KT 70 MPH
24H 15/1800Z 18.4N 115.1W 65 KT 75 MPH
36H 16/0600Z 20.8N 114.6W 65 KT 75 MPH
48H 16/1800Z 23.2N 114.1W 55 KT 65 MPH
72H 17/1800Z 26.5N 115.3W 35 KT 40 MPH
96H 18/1800Z 29.5N 119.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 19/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
Member Since: July 21, 2011 Posts: 83 Comments: 7167
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM PAUL ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162012
200 PM PDT SUN OCT 14 2012

...PAUL TURNS NORTHWESTWARD AND STRENGTHENS A LITTLE...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.4N 115.2W
ABOUT 625 MI...1000 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES
Member Since: July 21, 2011 Posts: 83 Comments: 7167
Quoting LargoFl:
maybe the outflow from the tropical storm but..some of the breezes the last few days yes from what is left of patty..but here by me the breezes feel great

i am in palm beach county and yesterday my recycling bin flew across the street :)
Quoting LargoFl:

so tragic
Member Since: August 20, 2012 Posts: 13 Comments: 1254
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42277
Quoting LargoFl:
maybe the outflow from the tropical storm but..some of the breezes the last few days yes from what is left of patty..but here by me the breezes feel great

i am in palm beach county and yesterday my recycling bin flew across the street :)
Member Since: August 20, 2012 Posts: 13 Comments: 1254
Quoting flcanes:

why so windy?is it due to patty?
maybe the outflow from the tropical storm but..some of the breezes the last few days yes from what is left of patty..but here by me the breezes feel great
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42277
Quoting wxchaser97:

Thanks, these are the days that I like up here. I may take a few pictures if I see anything interesting.
2 people died in florida today, riding those ultralight planes..bad news in the stiff breezes we have been getting lately..use common sense out there folks.
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42277
Quoting LargoFl:

why so windy?is it due to patty?
Member Since: August 20, 2012 Posts: 13 Comments: 1254

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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