Major U.S. Winter Storms to get names

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 1:50 PM GMT on October 02, 2012

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October is here, and its time to start thinking about how the coming winter's storm might compare to mighty blizzards of years past. Do you remember the North American blizzard of February 4, 2010? No? Well, do you remember Snowmageddon, the massive February 2010 Nor'easter that dumped up to 38" of snow in the mid-Atlantic, and killed 41 people? The two storms are the same, but having a simple name for the snowstorm like "Snowmageddon" helps us identify and remember the impacts of the storm. Naming a major winter storm makes even more sense if it is done before the storm hits, to aid in raising awareness of the storm, and to reduce the risks the public faces. That's exactly what The Weather Channel is going to do for the U.S. this winter, they announced in a press release today. A group of senior meteorologists at The Weather Channel chose 26 names for the upcoming winter of 2012 - 2013. The only criteria was to select names that are not and have never been on any of the hurricane lists produced by the National Hurricane Center or National Weather Service. Naming of a winter storm will occur no earlier than three days prior to it hitting, to ensure there is strong confidence that the system could have significant impact on large populations. There is no national center for monitoring winter storms like we have for hurricanes with the National Hurricane Center, so I think it makes sense for The Weather Channel to take this step.


Figure 1. Snowmageddon in Maryland: February 4, 2010. Image credit: wunderphotographer chills.

U.S. winter storm names for winter of 2012 - 2013
Athena -- The Greek goddess of wisdom, courage, inspirations, justice, mathematics and all things wonderful

Brutus -- Roman Senator and best known assassin of Julius
Caesar -- Title used by Roman and Byzantine Emperors 

Draco -- The first legislator of Athens in Ancient
Euclid -- A mathematician in Ancient Greece, the Father of Geometry
Freyr -- A Norse god associated with fair weather, among other things

Gandolf -- A character in a 1896 fantasy novel in a pseudo-medieval countryside

Helen – In Greek mythology, Helen of Troy was the daughter of Zeus

Iago -- Enemy of Othello in Shakespeare’s play, Othello

Jove -- The English name for Jupiter, the Roman god of light and sky.

Kahn -- Mongolian conqueror and emperor of the Mongol Empire

Luna -- The divine embodiment of the moon in Roman mythology

Magnus -- The Father of Europe, Charlemagne the Great, in Latin: Carolus Magnus 

Nemo -- A Greek boy’s name meaning “from the valley”, means “nobody” in Latin 

Orko -- The thunder god in Basque mythology

Plato -- Greek philosopher and mathematician, who was named by his wrestling coach

Q -- The Broadway Express subway line in New York City

Rocky -- A single mountain in the Rockies

Saturn -- Roman god of time, among other things who had a planet named after him

Triton -- In Greek mythology, the messenger of the deep sea, son of Poseidon

Ukko -- In Finnish mythology, the god of the sky and weather

Virgil -- One of ancient Rome’s greatest poets

Walda -- Name from Old German meaning “ruler”

Xerxes -- The fourth king of the Persian Achaemenid Empire, Xerxes the Great

Yogi -- People who do yoga

Zeus -- In Greek mythology, the supreme ruler of Mount Olympus and the gods who lived there

I expect that this year The Weather Channel will be pretty conservative about assigning names, and only the very strongest winter storms will get named. For the eastern 2/3 of the country, storms that receive a ranking of "notable" or higher on NOAA's Regional Snowfall Index (RSI) or Northeast Snowfall Impact Scale (NESIS) are the only ones fairly certain to get named this winter. We only had one such storm during the winter of 2011 - 2012 (Snowtober, on October 29 - 31, 2011.) Thus, if we have another wimpy winter like last winter, we probably won't get to see the Wrath of Khan.

Naming of Winter Storms in Europe
Various organizations in Europe have been naming their winter storms since 1954, and the public has reacted positively to this practice. The names given by the Free University of Berlin are the most widely used, and have been in existence since 1954. Their meteorologists traditionally name all lows and highs that influence the Central European weather. In November 2002, the Free University began an Adopt-a-Vortex scheme, which allows anyone to buy a storm name. The money raised is used by the meteorology department to maintain weather observations at the university. Over 1,800 participants from 15 European countries plus Brazil, Japan and the United States have participated. So far in 2012, 90 European low pressure systems have been given names.


Figure 2. A huge wave from Winter Storm Klaus rolls into Santander, Spain, in this wunderphoto taken by wunderphotographer lunada on January 24, 2009. Klaus had a central pressure of 967 mb at its peak on the morning of January 24, and brought sustained winds of 59 mph, gusting to 81 mph, to Santander. Wind gusts as high as 124 mph (199 km/hr) occurred along the northern coast of Spain, and the storm killed at least 26 people in Spain, France, and Italy.

Naming of Lake Effect Winter Storms by NWS Buffalo
Tom Niziol, The Weather Channel's winter storm expert, was meteorologist-in-charge of the Buffalo, New York NWS office until January 2012. He tells me that for over ten years, the Buffalo NWS has been naming lake-effect storms. This was done only after the event occurred, to avoid any confusion, but was very popular with users. The names were chosen on a yearly basis by having the office staff vote for one of several themes--such as insects, heavenly bodies, famous scientists, minerals, Native American tribes, etc. Last winter, eight storms were named after breeds of cows (?!), as seen at the NWS Buffalo Lake Effect web page. I was not asked to contribute to this year's list of U.S. winter storms, but will lobby for next year's list of names to be taken from famous monsters--Rodan, Ghidorah, Nessie, Kong, Bunnicula, etc.


Figure 3. The most significant lake-effect snow storm of the winter of 2011 - 2012 was named Lake Effect Storm Evolene by the NWS office in Buffalo, New York. Image credit: NWS Buffalo Lake Effect web page.

Nadine
The Methuselah of Atlantic tropical storms, Tropical Storm Nadine, is slowly weakening over cool 22 - 24°C waters. Nadine will have accumulated 20 days as a tropical cyclone later today, but the end is in sight. Wind shear will rise to 30 knots and ocean temperatures will drop to 20°C by Thursday, which should cause Nadine to transition to an extratropical storm as it passes by the northern Azores Islands on Thursday and Friday.

96L off the coast of Africa no threat to land
A tropical wave that emerged off the coast of Africa over the weekend (Invest 96L) has a moderate amount of spin and a large area of heavy thunderstorms that is growing more organized. The storm is located about 925 miles west of the Cape Verde Islands, and is headed northwest at 10 - 15 mph. Wind shear is a moderate 10 knots, and is predicted to remain light to moderate, 5 - 15 knots, through Friday. The atmosphere surrounding 96L is fairly moist, and the disturbance does have a good degree of model support for becoming a tropical depression by late in the week. In their 8 am EDT Tropical Weather Outlook, NHC gave 96L a 70% chance of becoming a tropical depression by Thursday morning. 96L is likely to get pulled northwards by a large trough of low pressure over the Central Atlantic late this week, and should not be a threat to the Lesser Antilles Islands.

Jeff Masters

Hubby Tries to Clear the Snow. (Proserpina)
Hubby tried to use the snow-blower to clear the snow, unfortunately for him the snow is too deep for the snow-blower. The shovel and his arms will have to do the job.
Hubby Tries to Clear the Snow.
Blizzard 2010 (TonyInDC)
Blizzard  2010

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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Columbus Day: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 69.

Whoa. O_o

For me it might not even get out of the 40s.
Columbus Day: A slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 51.

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Columbus Day: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 69.

It's getting cooler, faster this year compared to others.
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A TROPICAL DEPRESSION APPEARS TO BE FORMING ABOUT
1000 MILES WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...AND IF THIS TREND CONTINUES ADVISORIES WILL BE INITIATED LATER TODAY. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...

90 PERCENT...

OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD AND NORTHWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.
Member Since: July 12, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 5997
Quoting Bobbyweather:
Nadine weakened to 45 mph... expected to become post-tropical tomorrow night or Friday, tying or beating Hurricane Kyle in terms of days active as a (sub)tropical cyclone.

It is a major race against time for Nadine if she wants to beat Kyle. Most things are against Nadine and she could become extra-tropical earlier than expected.
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597. SuzK
Quoting AussieStorm:

It will only be TWC to use these names. Nothing official from NWS. Just a PR Campaign.


Those of us in the northeast aren't laughing. Nor'easters are exceedingly dangerous. We had hundreds of motorists stranded 1/4 mile from our home, on I-81, for more than a day. Snowmobilers were the only hope they had of not freezing to death. Even a 12 hour notice could shut down that interstate early enough to prevent a repeat.

Also, TWC has no competitors on tv, so a 'PR' motivation seems silly. No offense Aussie, I generally enjoy reading your statements.
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96L does look better than a little while ago and advisories look to be started today. This year may finally be the year.

1. A TROPICAL DEPRESSION APPEARS TO BE FORMING ABOUT 1000 MILES WEST OF
THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...AND IF THIS TREND CONTINUES ADVISORIES
WILL BE INITIATED LATER TODAY
. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...90
PERCENT
...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD AND NORTHWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.
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Nadine weakened to 45 mph... expected to become post-tropical tomorrow night or Friday, tying or beating Hurricane Kyle in terms of days active as a (sub)tropical cyclone.
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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT WED OCT 3 2012

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM NADINE...LOCATED ABOUT 445 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE AZORES.

A TROPICAL DEPRESSION APPEARS TO BE FORMING ABOUT 1000 MILES WEST OF
THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...AND IF THIS TREND CONTINUES ADVISORIES
WILL BE INITIATED LATER TODAY. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...90
PERCENT
...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD AND NORTHWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA
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For once I agree with AccuWeather. They have just released their 2012-2013 snow forecast, calling for below average snowfall across much of the Northwest and Northern Plains, and above average snowfall across much of the East.

I believe the coverage of above average snowfall will be greater than depicted still.

Snow days compared to average:



Snow forecast:

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naming winter storms=govt getting bigger
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Rodeo and Fair in town today, kids have fun day to get to learn about rodeos. Love fun days! Everyone have a wonderful Wednesday!
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Not a fan of the insane 70% humidity here. It feels like its in the lower 90's.
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Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:
96L was a TD yesterday but NHC held back on classifying it. It may still be a TD/weak TS but time is running out as the monstrus shear approaches.

What?

SHEAR (KT) 5 11 10 12 14 17 21 19 24 10 12 19 34

Wind shear isn't affecting 96L. Its convection has weakened slightly since last night, but appears to be re-firing already in the eastern side of circulation.
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Quoting allancalderini:
I agree do you still think 96L will be renumber today?

It is still possible but not as likely as yesterday, 96L was super close to a TD if not one yesterday.
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96L was a TD yesterday but NHC held back on classifying it. It may still be a TD/weak TS but time is running out as the monstrus shear approaches.
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14048
Quoting wxchaser97:

I want to see Oscar just so this curse thing is gone, I don't care how strong Oscar would get.
I agree do you still think 96L will be renumber today?
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Quoting MAweatherboy1:

Hey, getting to the N storm in an El Nino year isn't bad... Although I would like to see an Oscar.

I want to see Oscar just so this curse thing is gone, I don't care how strong Oscar would get.
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Quoting KoritheMan:
Ugh. This is just ridiculous. 96L was organizing earlier, but recent satellite images suggest shear. Notice how the center is exposed along the western side of the convection, which in itself does not have that much organization.

This list really does seem cursed at times...

Hey, getting to the N storm in an El Nino year isn't bad... Although I would like to see an Oscar.
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Good morning everyone, I see Nadine is still alive at 50mph and that 96L isn't as organized as earlier.
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Good morning or evening, everyone. Cool nights are so great for sleeping, loving the beginning of Fall.
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Quoting KoritheMan:
Ugh. This is just ridiculous. 96L was organizing earlier, but recent satellite images suggest shear. Notice how the center is exposed along the western side of the convection, which in itself does not have that much organization.

This list really does seem cursed at times...
Tell me about it at this rate we will not have Oscar never.
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Ugh. This is just ridiculous. 96L was organizing earlier, but recent satellite images suggest shear. Notice how the center is exposed along the western side of the convection, which in itself does not have that much organization.

This list really does seem cursed at times...
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Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 36957
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST AND COASTAL
PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND PANHANDLE...AND THE ADJACENT
GULF COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TODAY.
WHILE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SEVERE LIMITS...ONE OR
TWO STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AROUND DIXIE COUNTY.
ALSO...WHILE THE OVERALL THREAT HAS DIMINISHED...THERE IS STILL A
MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS TODAY ALONG THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST
FACING BEACHES OF BAY AND GULF COUNTIES.
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 36957
raining lightly here by me looks like the same pattern as yesterday........
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 36957
Quoting jerseycityjoan:
About the naming of winter storms by the Weather Channel --

Are there any other examples of companies doing this?

Did anybody ask the National Weather Service what they thought?

It just seems strange that the Weather Channel decided to do all of this on their own, without consulting anybody or asking them to join them.
yes it seems strange indeed but..we do not know if the WC was in contact with nws and is doing it as a test,so we will see what happens and if it is a success we just might see nws doing it also in the future
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 36957
About the naming of winter storms by the Weather Channel --

Are there any other examples of companies doing this?

Did anybody ask the National Weather Service what they thought?

It just seems strange that the Weather Channel decided to do all of this on their own, without consulting anybody or asking them to join them.
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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
441 AM EDT TUE OCT 2 2012

FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-031000 -
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSB OROUGH-POLK-
MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DESOTO-CHARLOTT E-LEE-
441 AM EDT TUE OCT 2 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP TODAY...MAINLY
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. THE PRIMARY HAZARDS
WILL BE FREQUENT DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...GUSTY
WINDS...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 36957
In response to the original post...

I predict that this coming winter will have a record number of named winter storms.

I furthur predict that the winter after will have at least a 50% chance of breaking that record, either high or low.

We're all gonna die!...with all those new records one way or the other!

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Good Morning Folks!.......
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 36957
I agree somewhat with the idea that some people feel a sense of entitlement on social media. But I also think that the absense of face to face contact with others you're in a conversation with causes us to fill in blanks tinged by our own moods & personalities.

So a person who tends to be insecure, sees some comments as attacks that weren't meant to be. A person who's tired or grumpy may fly off the handle more easily at a comment meant as a joke by someone else who can't see their reaction. Not being able to see when someone is smiling leaves us to decide if they were being sarcastic or just ribbing us in a friendly way.

I try to edit my comments so that people won't misunderstand me, but inevitably, some will. One of the best things I've found to use, in the absense of facial cues, is to add a smiley to the end of my sentence when I'm being friendly or smiling, or a winky when I'm making a joke. Long years of chatting on irc have made that a habit. :)

By the way, I'm being snarky if I do this: :P
:D

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An interesting story about rudeness on the internetz. Just some food for thought the next time we find ourselves accused of arrogance and/or rudeness. We might ask ourselves, "Do I feel entitled to be jerk?" and/or "Do you think people realize that I'm blogging while intoxicated?"

"There's something about typing your thoughts on the internet that makes some perfectly nice people act like jerks. It's not just the anonymity, because even on social networking sites where our identities are displayed to our contacts, arguments often devolve into name calling and bullying.

"According to soon-to-be-published research from professors at Columbia University and the University of Pittsburgh, browsing Facebook lowers our self control. The effect is most pronounced with people whose Facebook networks were made up of close friends, the researchers say.

"Most of us present an enhanced image of ourselves on Facebook. This positive image—and the encouragement we get, in the form of "likes"—boosts our self-esteem. And when we have an inflated sense of self, we tend to exhibit poor self-control.

"Think of it as a licensing effect: You feel good about yourself so you feel a sense of entitlement," says Keith Wilcox, assistant professor of marketing at Columbia Business School and co-author of the study. "And you want to protect that enhanced view, which might be why people are lashing out so strongly at others who don't share their opinions." These types of behavior—poor self control, inflated sense of self—"are often displayed by people impaired by alcohol," he adds
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Quoting lobdelse81:
Now lets say that an unusual cold air mass was in place all the way down to the Florida peninsula in January and this were to coincide with an area of low pressure that were to produce some snow in that state (even if only a coating to a few inches)similar to the freak snow event January 1977 in Miami. Do you think this would get named? I really think events like this in atypical places should get a winter storm name designated to them.

Then when the system heads northeast and turns into a non-event do we keep the name or just pretend it all never happened?
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565. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #31
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM GAEMI (T1220)
15:00 PM JST October 3 2012
==================================

SUBJECT: Category Two Typhoon In South China Sea

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Gaemi (990 hPa) located at 15.3N 117.4E has 10 minute sustained winds of 50 knots with gusts of 70 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving east slowly.

Dvorak Intensity: T3.0

Gale Force Winds
================
150 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
======================

24 HRS: 14.9N 116.8E - 50 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) South China Sea
48 HRS: 14.8N 114.7E - 55 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) South China Sea
72 HRS: 14.9N 110.6E - 55 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) South China Sea
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564. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #31
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM MALIKSI (T1219)
15:00 PM JST October 3 2012
==================================

SUBJECT: Category Two Typhoon Near Chichi-jima

At 6:00 AM UTC, Severe Tropical Storm Maliksi (985 hPa) located at 26.0N 141.6E has 10 minute sustained winds of 50 knots with gusts of 70 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north at 18 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T3.0

Gale Force Winds
=================
375 NM from the center in eastern quadrant
150 NM from the center in western quadrant

Forecast and Intensity
======================

24 HRS: 36.4N 145.3E - 55 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) Sea East Of Japan
48 HRS: 45.1N 155.6E - Extratropical Cyclone In Sea East Of Kurils
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Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 169 Comments: 53296
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 169 Comments: 53296
557 Jedkins01: Not to be too political, but sense this isn't about debate, and it is election time, everyone should take this test below and see where you end up, it's a very comprehensive and more accurate test of where you really stand politically.

It's not a test weighing the taker's opinions. It's a push poll, and a glaringly O B V I O U S one at that.
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SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A LARGE LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS CONTINUES SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND
THIS DISTURBANCE COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY.
THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...80 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO
15 MPH.
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Ah, how great to come by and find Winter Storms as the main topic! Thanks, Doc Masters!
We in Vermont salute you! :-)
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558. Skyepony (Mod)
Quoting whitewabit:
Skye No cloudsat video on those links .. just a gif of the satellites orbit ..


That's what cloudsat looks like..a single detailed slice through the clouds. Blue/brown on the bottom is water/land. Gives height & a look at clouds/precipitation as if you were looking at a slice of it from the side. The link to the sat orbit gives orientation & a look at where the pass is. You can also click on the color bar that correlates what part of the pass you want to view & see it bigger than posted here.

Jed~ That is pretty political..
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556. whitewabit (Mod)
Skye No cloudsat video on those links .. just a gif of the satellites orbit ..
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555. Skyepony (Mod)
Cloudsat through the heavy side of Maliksi.
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554. Skyepony (Mod)
Cloudsat of the EPAC blob


Quoting whitewabit:


Much nicer blog now without all the trolls might start posting my weather thoughts again !!


Yay:) You're one of the originals...
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553. whitewabit (Mod)
Quoting Skyepony:
Fresh Nadine TRMM & through the middle..click pic.





We used to have a whole bunch here..some with malware even but they are all banned now.


Much nicer blog now without all the trolls might start posting my weather thoughts again !!
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552. Skyepony (Mod)
Fresh Nadine TRMM & through the middle..click pic.



Quoting beell:
Can anyone recommend an advertiser's blog where I can post weather and climate related comments?


We used to have a whole bunch here..some with malware even but they are all banned now.
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Another blog.
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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