End in sight for Nadine; 96L no threat to land

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 3:05 PM GMT on October 01, 2012

Share this Blog
44
+

Never-ending Tropical Storm Nadine hit its peak intensity of 90 mph on Sunday afternoon, but is now steadily weakening as it encounters cool 22 - 23°C waters. Nadine is responsible for these cool waters, as the storm passed over the same location earlier in its life and mixed the cool waters to the surface. Nadine will have accumulated 19 days as a tropical cyclone later today, but the end is in sight. Nadine will be over waters no warmer than 24°C this week, and wind shear will increase to 30 knots by Wednesday. The HWRF model shows Nadine dissipating on Thursday as it moves through the Azores Islands; the ECMWF model predicts that Nadine will pass through the Azores on Thursday as a minimum-strength tropical storm with 40 mph winds, then dissipate on Friday. If Nadine lasts until Wednesday evening, it will become one of the five longest-lived Atlantic tropical cyclones of all-time. Tropical cyclones include tropical depressions, tropical storms, and hurricanes, but not extratropical storms; I am counting Nadine's 24-hour stint as a subtropical storm as it being a tropical cyclone.) According to the official HURDAT Atlantic database, which goes back to 1851, only five Atlantic tropical cyclones have lasted 21 days or longer (thanks go to Brian McNoldy for these stats):

1) San Ciriaco Hurricane of 1899: 28 days
2) Ginger, 1971: 27.25 days
3) Inga, 1969: 24.75 days
4) Kyle, 2002: 22 days
5) Hurricane Four, 1926: 21 days

According to the Hurricane FAQ, the all-time world record is held by Hurricane John in the Eastern Pacific, which lasted 31 days as it traveled both the Northeast and Northwest Pacific basins during August and September 1994. (It formed in the Northeast Pacific, reached hurricane force there, moved across the dateline and was renamed Typhoon John, and then finally recurved back across the dateline and renamed Hurricane John again.) Of course, there may have been some longer-lived storms prior to 1961 that we didn't observe, due to the lack of satellite data.


Figure 1. MODIS satellite image of Hurricane Nadine taken at 11:53 am EDT Sunday, September 30, 2012. At the time, Nadine was at peak strength, with top winds of 90 mph. Image credit: Navy Research Lab, Monterey.

96L off the coast of Africa no threat to land
A tropical wave that emerged off the coast of Africa over the weekend (Invest 96L) has a moderate amount of spin and a small area of disorganized heavy thunderstorms. The storm is located about 500 miles southwest of the Cape Verde Islands, and is headed west-northwest at 10 - 15 mph. Wind shear is a moderate 10 knots, and is predicted to remain light to moderate, 5 - 15 knots, through Friday. The atmosphere surrounding 96L is fairly moist, and the disturbance does have a good degree of model support for becoming a tropical depression by late in the week. In their 8 am EDT Tropical Weather Outlook, NHC gave 96L a 30% chance of becoming a tropical depression by Wednesday morning. 96L is likely to get pulled northwards by a large trough of low pressure over the Central Atlantic late this week, and should not be a threat to the Lesser Antilles Islands.

Jeff Masters

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 268 - 218

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12Blog Index

Quoting Articuno:

You sure that's not a low? I am very close to you and my forecast calls for 63 as a high.
If you go to washingtonpost.com it shows a high of only 49 degrees next monday.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Slamguitar:


Now I'm getting really excited for snow!! I wanna ski! And build ski jumps! And drink hot chocolate! :D

The summer we had just made me sick of warm dry wx.


The northern states from Idaho to Michigan will be cold enough for some snow Friday-Sunday. It seems like we skipped right over Fall to Winter. Undoubtedly the snow falling on the leaves will cause issues.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM NADINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 77A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142012
800 PM AST MON OCT 01 2012

...NADINE NOW MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR THE AZORES...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.8N 39.1W
ABOUT 705 MI...1140 KM WSW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...SSE OR 165 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...14 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.38 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF PORTUGAL HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
ALL OF THE AZORES ISLANDS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE AZORES

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NADINE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 39.1 WEST. NADINE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH...14 KM/H. A TURN TO
THE SOUTHEAST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT OR TUESDAY MORNING. A TURN TOWARD
THE EAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS FORECAST TO OCCUR BY
TUESDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE AZORES BY
WEDNESDAY NIGHT.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART/KIMBERLAIN
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14892
Quoting Hurricane1956:
I has never seen this blog so slow!!!!!??,specially with a "potential" tropical feature so close to the US.


Oh, it gets A LOT slower than this. No one is on the blog to say that it's slow at that point!
Member Since: July 2, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1183
I has never seen this blog so slow!!!!!??,specially with a "potential" tropical feature so close to the US.
Member Since: August 28, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 638
Quoting wxchaser97:
Latest 6-10 day CPC outlook shows the big cool down over the eastern half to two thirds of the country. GFS continues to show troughs coming down and this may be a sign of things to come.


Now I'm getting really excited for snow!! I wanna ski! And build ski jumps! And drink hot chocolate! :D

The summer we had just made me sick of warm dry wx.

Member Since: July 2, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1183
Quoting washingtonian115:
Wow a high of only 49 next Monday?.Looking forward to that!.They've already started to rumor about snow here in D.C.I doubt it happens but would like to see some flurries.

You sure that's not a low? I am very close to you and my forecast calls for 63 as a high.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 178 Comments: 56059
260. JLPR2
Happy to see this random area of convection heading my way.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting wxchaser97:
Latest 6-10 day CPC outlook shows the big cool down over the eastern half to two thirds of the country. GFS continues to show troughs coming down and this may be a sign of things to come.
I'm praying over here we stay in this pattern.Looks like you may have a harsh winter wxchaser.

Reminds me of the 09-10 fall/winter.All the cold air in the U.S while all the warm air stays in the arctic.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Grothar:


We are getting very heavy rains right now.
how heavy is it
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 178 Comments: 56059
Latest 6-10 day CPC outlook shows the big cool down over the eastern half to two thirds of the country. GFS continues to show troughs coming down and this may be a sign of things to come.
Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 127 Comments: 7972
Quoting wxchaser97:

96L has been steadily getting organized even though it is at a slower pace. If Nadine can hold on long enough then it is possible. 96L wants to become the next named storm. Also a big cool down is coming for areas of the US later this week.
Yes!.I'm surly pumped on the cool air coming.When I saw 49 as a high I had to squint really hard at the screen.I haven't seen 40 degrees since April last year.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting SunnyDaysFla:
Barbamz--your video was super funny!


Thanks a lot. Sometimes it's difficult for Europeans to entertain people in the US; situation and humours might be different at time. I just came back from a late evening date and have to go to bed.
Have a good evening everyone and good luck with bad weather in the East US. In Germany we are enjoying right now so called "Altweibersommer" = Summer of old women = sort of Indian summer. Name derived from the gossamers which appear especially in autumn and which resemble to the fine white hair of elderly women = the norns, as people in former times thought. So nothing dramatic can be reported from the mid of Europe, just very fine weather. Greetings to all of you!
Member Since: October 25, 2008 Posts: 62 Comments: 6704
Quoting washingtonian115:
It's ironic isn't it?.A few days ago I said Nadine won't dissipate until the next named storm in the Atlantic comes around.Looks like 96L might have a chance so now Nadine is going to say her last good-bys and be gone out of the picture.Will 96L become Oscar?.That is yet to be seen but I'm a little skeptical.

96L has been steadily getting organized even though it is at a slower pace. If Nadine can hold on long enough then it is possible. 96L wants to become the next named storm. Also a big cool down is coming for areas of the US later this week.
Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 127 Comments: 7972
Quoting CosmicEvents:
It's raining fairly hard in SEFL, Broward moving into Palm Beach county. Looks like we're on our way to breaking the all-time annual rainfall record for all the areas(Monroe, Dade, Broward, Palm Beach counties) in the SE tip of the peninsula. Only need another 8-10 inches in the last 3 months. There's been a "change" in the latitudinal patterns this year that's unmistakable and as far as I'm concerned directly related to the arctic ice situation progressing more rapidly than anyone forecast.


We are getting very heavy rains right now.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
It's ironic isn't it?.A few days ago I said Nadine won't dissipate until the next named storm in the Atlantic comes around.Looks like 96L might have a chance so now Nadine is going to say her last good-bys and be gone out of the picture.Will 96L become Oscar?.That is yet to be seen but I'm a little skeptical.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting CosmicEvents:
It's raining fairly hard in SEFL, Broward moving into Palm Beach county. Looks like we're on our way to breaking the all-time annual rainfall record for all the areas(Monroe, Dade, Broward, Palm Beach counties) in the SE tip of the peninsula. Only need another 8-10 inches in the last 3 months.


Member Since: September 10, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 11540
Evening all. Little Re-loc of 96L.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
It's raining fairly hard in SEFL, Broward moving into Palm Beach county. Looks like we're on our way to breaking the all-time annual rainfall record for all the areas(Monroe, Dade, Broward, Palm Beach counties) in the SE tip of the peninsula. Only need another 8-10 inches in the last 3 months. There's been a "change" in the latitudinal patterns this year that's unmistakable and as far as I'm concerned directly related to the arctic ice situation progressing more rapidly than anyone forecast.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Wow a high of only 49 next Monday?.Looking forward to that!.They've already started to rumor about snow here in D.C.I doubt it happens but would like to see some flurries.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
SHIP has gone bonkers in the update.

WHXX01 KWBC 012159
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2159 UTC MON OCT 1 2012

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.

ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL962012) 20121001 1800 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
121001 1800 121002 0600 121002 1800 121003 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 9.8N 35.0W 10.6N 36.8W 11.6N 38.5W 12.6N 40.1W
BAMD 9.8N 35.0W 10.6N 36.7W 11.5N 38.3W 12.3N 39.7W
BAMM 9.8N 35.0W 10.6N 36.8W 11.6N 38.5W 12.7N 39.9W
LBAR 9.8N 35.0W 10.6N 37.5W 11.6N 40.2W 12.5N 42.8W
SHIP 25KTS 30KTS 39KTS 50KTS
DSHP 25KTS 30KTS 39KTS 50KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
121003 1800 121004 1800 121005 1800 121006 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 13.7N 41.4W 16.5N 42.9W 21.0N 37.8W 27.8N 25.7W
BAMD 13.0N 40.8W 14.2N 42.3W 16.2N 41.6W 17.6N 40.8W
BAMM 13.6N 41.1W 15.9N 42.1W 19.8N 37.1W 24.7N 26.1W
LBAR 13.6N 45.4W 15.5N 48.7W 18.5N 49.1W 21.9N 46.0W
SHIP 61KTS 78KTS 90KTS 99KTS
DSHP 61KTS 78KTS 90KTS 99KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 9.8N LONCUR = 35.0W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR = 15KT
LATM12 = 9.6N LONM12 = 32.0W DIRM12 = 274DEG SPDM12 = 15KT
LATM24 = 9.5N LONM24 = 28.8W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 120NM WNDM12 = 25KT
CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 250NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14892
Quoting KeyWestbeachcomber:
I don't think you like amateurs here,,let's just say it's amateur hour.I am considering NOT water (I am lucky to have a well) Do you think my plan of NOT watering is in order according to that BLOB? With great respect,thank you.


I'm up the road from you a couple hundred miles and I definitely have my sprinklers off. I am leaving in two days and will set them for every third day whereas I normally set them for every other day. Of course I may not be going anywhere as I have a flight out of MIA at 1830 EDT Wednesday. Also I took down my hurricane shutters two days ago, which significantly increases the probability of a tropical storm.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Member Since: July 21, 2011 Posts: 83 Comments: 7167
Quoting Hurricane1956:
We can see some curvature in the heavy thunderstorms coming into South Florida from the South West,don't know if this means anything?,or it really means something?,here in Miami we have some heavy squalls in the last hour or so on and off and wind not sustained but heavy at times.
Thanks Miami..no drops here today...so far..but it just got very dark round here.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
ATCF made an update to the Best Track changing the position more SW than where it was earlier.

AL, 96, 2012100118, , BEST, 0, 98N, 350W, 25, 1008, LO
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14892
SPC just put an MD out saying they're not planning to put a new watch north or east of the previous one. Ironically there appears to be very little tornado potential in their current watch right now, but plenty of action east of it outside the slight risk area.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 84 Comments: 8035
Member Since: September 10, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 11540
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
We can see some curvature in the heavy thunderstorms coming into South Florida from the South West,don't know if this means anything?,or it really means something?,here in Miami we have some heavy squalls in the last hour or so on and off and wind not sustained but heavy at times.
Member Since: August 28, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 638
Just did a quick update on the global tropics.

Twin tornado warned storms in NC:

Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 84 Comments: 8035

834
WFUS54 KOHX 012241
TOROHX
TNC159-169-012300-
/O.NEW.KOHX.TO.W.0065.121001T2241Z-121001T2300Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
541 PM CDT MON OCT 1 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NASHVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SMITH COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
SOUTHEASTERN TROUSDALE COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...

* UNTIL 600 PM CDT

* AT 538 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES WEST OF CARTHAGE...AND MOVING NORTH AT 30
MPH.

* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF SMITH AND
SOUTHEASTERN TROUSDALE COUNTIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.



LAT...LON 3637 8586 3615 8596 3621 8611 3623 8611
3623 8612 3628 8613 3642 8610
TIME...MOT...LOC 2241Z 196DEG 28KT 3625 8606
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting ncstorm:
Haha..they sneaked it up there and included SE NC/SC


I am waiting for a mesoscale discussion for that area, at least they show some risk.
Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 127 Comments: 7972
AND may I add OOPS..I did not see my first post appear
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Could be an interesting week for South Florida too... If that blob continues to go North.

All those in a Tornado warning area, stay safe.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Hurricane1956:
Sorry to said the NWS is very conservative!!! in their assessment of all this moisture!,they are the expert but we see what we see in the satellite,and we might even have some development out of this mess down there by Cuba,in my humble opinion we will have much more rain here in South Florida that the NWS is predicting,JMO.
Let's just say it's amateur hour,I do get a bit intimidated by YA'LL as I compose a post as the rules of the road are strict here.I have decided NOT to water the garden.I am lucky to have a well and not use city water but it looks like I may be able to use BLOB water tomorrow or the next..ANY input appreciated with Respect,Beachcomber
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Tornadoes in the area was the last thing on my mind earlier.

Now it looks like we've got to watch tonight and tomorrow for them.

This morning I didn't even think about tornadoes in that area but now there are multiple warnings out there. Stay safe people in harms way. The weather in MI was wonderful again but rain is on the way.
Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 127 Comments: 7972
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Awesome weather here.

New Orleans Weather at a Glance

Weather Station - report

Uptown, New Orleans
Elevation
20 ft
Station Select



Overcast
Temperature

67.8 F

Feels Like 67.8 F
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting avthunder:
That's quite a blob south of Cuba and Caymans. Are conditions favorable there?
I don't think you like amateurs here,,let's just say it's amateur hour.I am considering NOT water (I am lucky to have a well) Do you think my plan of NOT watering is in order according to that BLOB? With great respect,thank you.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting ncstorm:
WECT News
Warning extended into Western Pender County. Standby.

Tornadoes in the area was the last thing on my mind earlier.

Now it looks like we've got to watch tonight and tomorrow for them.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32822
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
Miami NWS Disco

IN ADDITION, VISIBLE AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE SHOWS
ANOTHER AREA OF ACTIVE WEATHER OVER THE CARIBBEAN SOUTH OF CUBA
MOVING NORTH. THIS ALONG WITH HIGH POP GUIDANCE FROM THE MET AND
MAV LEAD ME TO INCREASE TO CATEGORICAL POPS OVER THE SOUTHERN AND
EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA MAINLY FOR LATER TONIGHT BUT EVEN
LIKELY INTO THE EVENING. HOWEVER, WILL CONTINUE TO HOLD OFF ON
ISSUING A FLOOD WATCH FOR TWO MAIN REASONS. FIRST, THE ATMOSPHERE
CONTINUES ONLY TO BE MARGINALLY UNSTABLE WHICH WILL TEND TO
INHIBIT HEAVIER CONVECTION, I.E. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY, AND THUS
LIMIT THE RAINFALL AMOUNTS TO BELOW FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE. SECOND AND
RELATED TO THE FIRST, FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE IS RUNNING AROUND THREE
TO FOUR INCHES OVER A ONE HOUR PERIOD AND FOUR TO FIVE INCHES PER
A SIX HOUR PERIOD. SO, DUE TO THE LACK OF INSTABILITY AND MODEL
GUIDANCE QPF AMOUNTS, CURRENT THINKING IS THAT RAINFALL TOTALS ARE
LIKELY TO REMAIN BELOW THESE VALUES AND BE IN THE RANGE OF ONE TO
THREE INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OVER THE TWO DAY PERIOD.
Sorry to said the NWS is very conservative!!! in their assessment of all this moisture!,they are the expert but we see what we see in the satellite,and we might even have some development out of this mess down there by Cuba,in my humble opinion we will have much more rain here in South Florida that the NWS is predicting,JMO.
Member Since: August 28, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 638
Quoting MAweatherboy1:
Multiple rotating storms in NC right now... I'm surprised the SPC doesn't have a watch or MD out for that area... Right now none of the radar signatures scream major tornado potential but definitely a situation to watch.


I'm surprised too that there isn't even a MD for North and South Carolina. Multiple rotating storms in the area would have one thinking the SPC would put a little more recognition for that area. 2 storms are tornado warned and others are rotating with tornado warnings possible in the future.
Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 127 Comments: 7972
220. JLPR2
Quoting avthunder:
That's quite a blob south of Cuba and Caymans. Are conditions favorable there?


What Kori said and considering its such an intense area of convection with favorable wind shear, high SSTs and with low pressures in the area, it might try to form a circulation if it manages to persist.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting KoritheMan:


It is an area of showerse being generated primarily by upper-level diffluence between an upper trough over the Gulf and an upper low near Honduras. There is no tropical wave in this area according to the NHC surface analysis, nor do I see any evidence of a surface trough of any sort. Development is unlikely, although upper-level winds are not unfavorable for development.
Thank you AND GEOFFERYWPB..I appreciate your time and patience w/this beachcomber. T Y
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Severe/tornado threat will shift north with the low tomorrow. The threat may be a little lower tomorrow but people should still take it serious.
Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 127 Comments: 7972

Viewing: 268 - 218

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12Blog Index

Top of Page

About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

Local Weather

Overcast
29 °F
Overcast

JeffMasters's Recent Photos

Lake Effort Snow Shower Over Windsor, Ontario
Sunset on Dunham Lake
Pictured Rocks Sunset
Sunset on Lake Huron