Jelawat hits Okinawa; TS Norman feeds heavy rains in Texas
Typhoon Jelawat slammed into Okinawa Saturday morning as a Category 3 storm with 115 mph winds. The small 7-mile diameter eye tracked just west of the island from southwest to northeast, bringing the strongest winds of the right-front quadrant eyewall to much of Okinawa. Kadena Air Base recorded sustained 10-minute average winds of 85 mph at the peak of the storm, with a top wind gust of 115 mph. The Kadena Facebook page has some impressive videos and photos of the damage, which included flipped cars, downed trees, and damage to signs and buildings. Satellite loops and radar loops show that Jelawat has weakened considerably. Wind shear is up to a very high 40 knots, and the storm is over much cooler waters. Jelawat is likely to be a tropical storm at landfall Sunday on the main island of Honshu in Japan.
Figure 1. Radar image of Typhoon Jelawat over Okinawa at 12:30 am local time on September 29, 2012. Image credit: Japan Meteorological Agency.
Video 1. Typhoon Jelawat in Okinawa as filmed by storm chaser James Reynolds.
Nadine still a hurricane
Tenacious Hurricane Nadine has entered its 17th day of life, and continues to mill about a few hundred miles southwest of the Azores Islands. Nadine is not expected to be a threat to any land areas for the next five days. The latest model runs show Nadine becoming tangled up with an upper level low pressure system on Wednesday and Thursday as the storm comes close to the Azores Islands. This should cause Nadine to become an extratropical cyclone again. Nadine is already in fourth place for longest-lived named tropical storm since 1950:
1) Ginger, 1971: 21.25 named storm days
2) Carrie, 1957: 19.5 named storm days
3) Alberto, 2000: 19.25 named storm days
4) Nadine, 2012: 17.0 named storm days
The all-time record is held by the San Ciriaco Hurricane of 1899, which had 28 named storm days.
Figure 2. MODIS satellite image of Hurricane Nadine taken at 9:12 am EDT Saturday, September 29, 2012. At the time, Nadine had top winds of 75 mph. Image credit: Navy Research Lab, Monterey.
Tropical Depression Norman dying; heavy rains continue over Texas
Tropical Depression Norman has been moving slowly up the Gulf of California near the tip of Baja, Mexico since it formed Friday afternoon, but has been torn apart by high wind shear of 20 - 30 knots. The storm will likely be declared dead later today. Moisture from Norman fed an extratropical storm over Texas, and contributed to heavy rains in West Texas that caused flooding and water rescues on Friday. Midland-Odessa, Texas, picked up 4.66†of rain on Friday, making it the wettest September day on record and 3rd wettest day in city history (wettest day in city history: August 24th, 1934, when 5.32†fell.)
Figure 3. Tropical Storm Norman in the Gulf of California at 4:30 pm EDT Friday, September 29, 2012. At the time, Norman had top winds of 40 mph, and was spreading a large stream of moisture northeastward into Mexico and Texas. The remains of Hurricane Miriam are at the left of the image, along with a curious little vortex just north of Miriam's remains. Image credit: NASA/GSFC.
Figure 4. Radar-estimated rainfall in West Texas due to the moisture associated with Tropical Storm Norman. Heavy rains in excess of 4" fell near Midland/Odessa, Big Spring, and San Angelo.
Figure 5. Predicted rainfall totals for the 5-day period ending at 8 am EDT Thursday, October 4, 2012. Moisture from the Eastern Pacific's Tropical Storm Norman will bring heavy rains to much of the South. Image credit: NOAA/Hydrometeorological Prediction Center.
I'll have a new post on Monday.
Jeff Masters
Reader Comments
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See Nadine special feature section for an explanation of how she strengthened in the last day...and what her future could hold. Not looking good for the Azores...a 2nd strike now appears likely thanks to her current looping. She could maintain some of her vigor when she strikes the Azores again as she will be transitioning into a non-tropical cyclone supported by upper divergence...
See paragraph P6 for info on the messy Caribbean weather...and paragraph P8 for the E Atlc tropical wave (which just got upgraded to 96-L while I was writing the update)
Does your balogna have a first name?
I couldn't help that one, Washi! There looks like every night that thing wants to flare-up down there. A lot of rain for somebody.
But man, as everybody knows,
It's just a cloud.
Filled with swirling rain and stuff
Coming down with ice and fluff,
As Grothar shows.
But don't believe it's over yet,
People will become very wet
And winds will blow,
And every blob from everywhere
Creates panic, doubt and fear
As Grothar knows.
But Honey, I'm begin'
Give us just one more storm,
We been waiting for ages
Wer'e tired of the norm.
We need a good tempest
To straighten us out
And if we don't get one
Yuh better watch out.
Children come on this blog.
....I saw it first
Should be interesting to see how that plays out.
Don't jump, life really is not that bad.
Link
Family blog....
80.7 °F
Feels Like 88 °F
Daytona Beach area 9 p.m.
still hot n humid here
Indeed correct conditions across the gulf and most of the caribbean are extremely hostile for development. Convection on satellite across western caribbean is being sparked buy an upper level low in the vicinity. Looks real wet across southern Florida next few days as deep tropical moisture spreads over area.
Preparation H will help that...
That assures an interesting cyclone.
I can't recall one forming that far North....
yet....
where are you seeing that ?
Getting some showers here too, Nigel.
Very welcomed.
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #13
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21
9:00 AM JST October 1 2012
==================================
SUBJECT: Tropical Depression In Sea Near Marianas Island
At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1002 hPa) located at 16.8N 148.3E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving west northwest at 7 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T2.0
Forecast and Intensity
======================
24 HRS: 20.4N 144.6E - 40 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) Ogasawara waters
Additional Information
=====================
From The Tiyan NWS in Guam... A Tropical Storm Warning in now in effect of Alamagan.. Pagan.. Agrihan Island
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #87
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM JELAWAT (T1217)
9:00 AM JST October 1 2012
==================================
SUBJECT: Category Two Typhoon In Sea East Of Japan
At 0:00 AM UTC, Severe Tropical Storm Jelawat (990 hPa) located at 41.9N 144.4E has 10 minute sustained winds of 50 knots with gusts of 70 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving northeast at 40 knots
Dvorak Intensity: T3.0
Gale Force Winds
===============
325 NM from the center in southeastern quadrant
180 NM from the center in northwestern quadrant
Forecast and Intensity
======================
24 HRS: 47.4N 162.8E - Extratropical Cyclone Sea East Of Kurils
challenging... since 90 degrees north is the North Pole
Hey pottery! The rain has been pretty persistent over the last couple of hours...there may very well be more reports of landslides in the overnight period.
That's what I thought.....
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #13
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22
9:00 AM JST October 1 2012
==================================
SUBJECT: Tropical Depression In South China Sea
At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1006 hPa) located at 15.5N 113.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as almost stationary.
Dvorak Intensity: T2.0
Forecast and Intensity
======================
24 HRS: 16.0N 113.5E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) South China Sea
Yep, that looks heavy over Jamaica.
Nadine still hangin in there!
No, let him go.
Yes it is, there is currently a flash flood warnning in place for the entire island...we are having a very impressive lightning show as well.
Any idea what the rain-rate is?
Oscar the Fish ?
Sounds all wrong, somehow....
Original.
That's what they called Nadine...
Here, I have the runs.
We are currently having moderate rainfall, so i would say +1.5 inches per hour.
Usually occurs with people of your age.
That will soon add up.....
Thanks... fishy fishy :(
Yep, the body is failing.
The mind went a long time ago.
Sad, that.
Oh, Im so sorry for you Gro, What'd you eat? Good luck with that...
LOL, thanks !
They must mean 9.9n, but good spotting.
I missed it !
The translation to that is 9.9 N and 29 W
Viewing: 601 - 651
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