Jelawat brushing Taiwan; Nadine enters its 15th day of life

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:50 PM GMT on September 27, 2012

Share this Blog
38
+

Impressive Super Typhoon Jelawat remains just below Category 5 strength, as it heads north-northwest a few hundred miles east-southeast of Taiwan. The outer rain bands of the mighty typhoon are bringing heavy rains to the northern portion of the Philippines' Luzon Island, and will spread over eastern Taiwan later today, as seen on Taiwan radar. Wind shear remains a light 5 - 10 knots over Jelawat, and the typhoon is over very warm ocean waters of 29°C. These warm waters do not extend to as great depth as they did when Jelawat was east of the Philippines, though. Satellite loops show an impressive, well-organized typhoon with a 43 mile-wide eye, and a large, symmetric area of heavy thunderstorms with cold cloud tops.

The models are fairly unified on the track of Jelawat. The typhoon is expected to move north-northwest and then north, with the center passing about 150 miles to the east of Taiwan on Friday. Jelawat will likely pass very close to Okinawa, Japan as a Category 2 or 3 typhoon on Saturday, between 03 - 06 UTC. Jelawat could hit the main island of Honshu in Japan as a tropical storm on Sunday. Wind shear will begin increasing over Jelawat beginning on Friday morning, which should cause a steady weakening of the storm.


Figure 1. MODIS satellite image of Super Typhoon Jelawat taken at 1:03 am EDT Thursday, September 27, 2012. At the time, Jelawat had top winds of 155 mph, and an unusually large 43-mile diameter eye. Image credit: Navy Research Lab, Monterey.


Figure 2. Super Typhoon Jelawat's rain bands approaching Taiwan at 22:20 local time on September 27, 2012. Image credit: Central Weather Bureau, Taiwan.

Nadine enters its 15th day of life
The Energizer-bunny storm of 2012, Tropical Storm Nadine, has entered its 15th day of life as a tropical cyclone. Nadine may circle back to bother the Azores Islands on Tuesday, according to the latest run of the GFS model. That model shows Nadine getting caught up in a trough of low pressure by Wednesday and lifted to the northeast over colder waters, where it would likely die late next week. However, the 00Z run of the ECMWF model predicts that Nadine will miss the trough, and meander in the Central Atlantic for at least the next ten days. Nadine is already in ninth place for longest-lived named storm since 1950, according to a list compiled by Dr. Phil Klotzbach of Colorado State University:

1) Ginger, 1971: 21.25 named storm days
2) Carrie, 1957: 19.5 named storm days
3) Alberto, 2000: 19.25 named storm days
4) Bertha, 2008: 17 named storm days
5) Inga, 1969: 17 named storm days
6) Kyle, 202: 16.75 named storm days
7) Inez, 1966: 16.25 named storm days
8) Faith, 1966: 15.5 named storm days
9) Nadine, 2012: 15.0 named storm days

The all-time record is held by the San Ciriaco Hurricane of 1899, which had 28 named storm days.


Figure 2. MODIS satellite image of Tropical Storm Nadine taken at 10:15 am EDT Wednesday, September 26, 2012. At the time, Nadine had top winds of 50 mph. Image credit: NASA.

The rest of the Atlantic is quiet
None of the reliable computer models is predicting tropical cyclone development in the Atlantic through October 3. Most of the models predict that an extratropical storm will form in the Gulf of Mexico on Sunday, off the coast of Texas. Phase Space Diagrams from Florida State University show that this low is expected to remain non-tropical as it moves east-northeast across the Gulf, potentially coming ashore over the Florida Panhandle on Tuesday.

Jeff Masters

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 326 - 276

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9Blog Index

70 mph Nadine...

000
WTNT44 KNHC 280852
TCDAT4

TROPICAL STORM NADINE DISCUSSION NUMBER 63
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142012
500 AM AST FRI SEP 28 2012

NADINE IS APPROACHING HURRICANE STRENGTH WITH SATELLITE IMAGES
HAVING HINTS OF AN EYE ON THE INFRARED CHANNEL DURING THE PAST
SEVERAL HOURS. MICROWAVE DATA SHOW THAT THE STORM HAS AN INNER
CORE AND A MOSTLY CLOSED EYEWALL. THE INITIAL WIND SPEED IS SET TO
60 KT...NEAR THE LATEST CIMSS MICROWAVE ESTIMATES. WHILE THE SHEAR
IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WEAK TO MODERATE...SSTS SHOULD GRADUALLY
COOL...WHICH WILL PROBABLY PREVENT SIGNIFICANT INTENSIFICATION OVER
THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THE NHC FORECAST LEVELS OFF THE INTENSITY AT
60 KT...ABOVE MOST OF THE GUIDANCE...BUT IT WOULD NOT BE SURPRISING
IF NADINE BECAME A HURRICANE AGAIN LATER TODAY OR SATURDAY. IN A
COUPLE OF DAYS...THE STORM SHOULD ENCOUNTER INCREASING SOUTHWESTERLY
SHEAR DUE TO AN APPROACHING TROUGH. NADINE WILL ALSO BE MOVING
OVER COLDER WATERS....AND THESE FACTORS SHOULD START A WEAKENING
TREND. THE NHC FORECAST IS REDUCED SOMEWHAT FROM THE PREVIOUS ONE
IN THE LONGER RANGE...CLOSE TO THE FSU SUPERENSEMBLE.

NADINE HAS TURNED TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 6 KT. A RIDGE
OVER THE NORTHEASTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN SHOULD STEER THE CYCLONE
NORTHWESTWARD LATER TODAY AND NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ON SATURDAY.
GLOBAL GUIDANCE IS IN RELATIVELY GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE FIRST
48H OF THE FORECAST AND LITTLE CHANGE WAS MADE TO THE PREVIOUS NHC
PREDICTION. AFTER THAT TIME...MOST OF THE GUIDANCE INDICATE THAT
NADINE WILL STALL FOR A DAY OR SO AS IT WAITS FOR A MID-LATITUDE
TROUGH. THE FORECAST AIDS HAVE GENERALLY SHIFTED EASTWARD IN THE
LONGER RANGE...WITH THE UKMET NOW JOINING A PACK OF MODELS THAT
INCLUDES THE GFS AND GFS ENSEMBLE MEAN ON THIS SOLUTION. THE
NOTABLE OUTLIER IS THE ECMWF...WHICH CONTINUES TO SHOW AN UNUSUAL
SOUTHWARD CYCLONIC LOOP DUE TO NADINE MOVING WITHIN A MID- TO
UPPER-LEVEL LOW. GIVEN THE CONSISTENCY OF THE GFS-BASED GUIDANCE
AND THE FACT THAT MORE MODELS ARE TRENDING EASTWARD...THE NHC
FORECAST WILL BE SLIGHTLY ADJUSTED IN THAT DIRECTIONS FOR DAYS 4
AND 5...BUT IS STILL CONSIDERABLY SLOWER THAN THE LATEST DYNAMICAL
MODEL CONSENSUS.



FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 28/0900Z 29.0N 34.1W 60 KT 70 MPH
12H 28/1800Z 29.6N 34.8W 60 KT 70 MPH
24H 29/0600Z 31.1N 35.6W 60 KT 70 MPH
36H 29/1800Z 32.9N 36.3W 60 KT 70 MPH
48H 30/0600Z 35.0N 36.9W 55 KT 65 MPH
72H 01/0600Z 36.4N 37.1W 50 KT 60 MPH
96H 02/0600Z 36.5N 36.5W 45 KT 50 MPH
120H 03/0600Z 37.0N 35.5W 40 KT 45 MPH

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting KoritheMan:
I blog to the dead again. Also did a section on the Gulf of Mexico storm.

there is a storm in the GOM. cool, something to track in the Atl other than Nadine
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
323. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #41
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM EWINIAR (T1218)
15:00 PM JST September 28 2012
==================================

SUBJECT: Category Two Typhoon In Sea East Of Japan

At 6:00 AM UTC, Severe Tropical Storm Ewiniar (985 hPa) located at 31.9N 143.1E has 10 minute sustained winds of 50 knots with gusts of 70 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving east northeast at 6 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T3.0

Gale Force Winds
==================
240 NM from the center in eastern quadrant
210 NM from the center in western quadrant

Forecast and Intensity
======================

24 HRS: 35.5N 147.0E - 40 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) Sea East Of Japan
48 HRS: 41.3N 156.9E - Extratropical Cyclone Sea Far East Of Japan
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
322. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #65
TYPHOON JELAWAT (T1217)
15:00 PM JST September 28 2012
==================================

SUBJECT: Category Four Typhoon South Of Ishigaki Jima

At 6:00 AM UTC, Typhoon Jelawat (925 hPa) located at 23.4N 124.4E has 10 minute sustained winds of 95 knots with gusts of 135 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north northeast at 10 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T6.0

Storm Force Winds
=================
100 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
===============
300 NM from the center in northeastern quadrant
240 NM from the center in southwestern quadrant

Forecast and Intensity
======================

24 HRS: 26.2N 128.1E - 85 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) Naha, Okinawa
48 HRS: 30.9N 133.6E - 75 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) Overland Shikoku Island (Japan)
72 HRS: 41.1N 143.5E - 55 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) Overland Sanriku Region (Japan)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
321. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
India Meteorological Department
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
11:30 AM IST September 28 2012
================================

The well marked low pressure area over west central Bay of Bengal and neighborhood persists..

Broken Low/Medium clouds with embedded moderate to intense convection over Bay of Bengal between 8.5N to 17.0N west of 91.0E in association with a vortex over the area centered around 13.5N 87.0E

Dvorak Intensity: T1.0
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
I wonder if the Gulf storm can generate stronger winds than my sneeze this time? I dared 93L to do so, but it just couldn't.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 27210
Gfs supposedly show us Oscar and Patty I think before anything is done for good we would have reach Sandy or Tony.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
317. JLPR2
GFS Fantasy Wonderland is pretty interesting.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Grothar:


Kori, get to bed. You have to get up in 9 hours.


No need for that. I can sleep all I need when I'm dead.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Jelawat (02:35 UTC):

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting KoritheMan:


They were implicitly in the non-tropical department. But, my personal opinion from looking at the GFS, is that the shear may relax enough to potentially allow subtropical development. Notice that I said "potentially".


Kori, get to bed. You have to get up in 9 hours.
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 27210
Nadine to surpass Michael in ACE very soon.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting GTcooliebai:
Will be interesting to see what happens, did they mention whether it would be non-tropical or tropical?


They were implicitly in the non-tropical department. But, my personal opinion from looking at the GFS, is that the shear may relax enough to potentially allow subtropical development. Notice that I said "potentially".
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
I made a blog tonight, the first time in over two months.

Nadine spinning in the Atlantic, still; Miriam dies, Invest 94E unlikely to develop


Nice job TA13..

I liked the deja-vu part.. :)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting KoritheMan:


New Orleans NWS says it's supposed to originate from the shortwave over Texas. They didn't specify whether 94E's residual energy would help to invigorate the low, but I suppose anything's possible.
Will be interesting to see what happens, did they mention whether it would be non-tropical or tropical?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting GTcooliebai:
I forgot to ask this earlier in the day, but is it possible that the remnants of 94E is the system the GFS develops in the GOM?


New Orleans NWS says it's supposed to originate from the shortwave over Texas. They didn't specify whether 94E's residual energy would help to invigorate the low, but I suppose anything's possible.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
I made a blog tonight, the first time in over two months.

Nadine spinning in the Atlantic, still; Miriam dies, Invest 94E unlikely to develop


Consistency is what counts. Try again. :P
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
I made a blog tonight, the first time in over two months.

Nadine spinning in the Atlantic, still; Miriam dies, Invest 94E unlikely to develop
I forgot to ask this earlier in the day, but is it possible that the remnants of 94E is the system the GFS develops in the GOM?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting GTcooliebai:
I've noticed on a past few runs of the GFS that there is a pretty strong ridge setting up in the Atlantic centered around Bermuda, while there is a pretty strong trough over the Azores. What that will likely do is turn any storm that comes off the coast of Africa north into the weakness, however, if the storm fails to materialize it could get trapped under the ridge over Bermuda and likely head west for a while. The ridge actually noses its way over FL.

Here is the latest GFS:



The GFS is unrealistically amplifying that ridge!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
I made a blog tonight, the first time in over two months.

Nadine spinning in the Atlantic, still; Miriam dies, Invest 94E unlikely to develop
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32862
Quoting BtnTx:
so they can see each other?


Now that's funny LoL !!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
I've noticed on a past few runs of the GFS that there is a pretty strong ridge setting up in the Atlantic centered around Bermuda, while there is a pretty strong trough over the Azores. What that will likely do is turn any storm that comes off the coast of Africa north into the weakness, however, if the storm fails to materialize it could get trapped under the ridge over Bermuda and likely head west for a while. The ridge actually noses its way over FL.

Here is the latest GFS:

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
302. BtnTx
Quoting Grothar:


What I always wondered about, if it is called the "Red" planet, how come the inhabitants are supposed to be green?
so they can see each other?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
So evidently, that must be your point because nothing else makes any sense.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting LesBonsTemps:


People intent on making involved scientific arguments to argue their case in certain subjects (e.g., global warming) might want to refrain from inventing extraordinary probabilities (a quintillion, or 10^18) to discuss other subjects, in order to protect their credibility.


This contains a couple of problems.
First, why are you attributing "protecting credibility" to a remark that is in no way trying to establish anything other than continuation of a talking point?

And your pointed innuendo to the subject's stand on global warming to introduce a fallacious statement makes no real sense, other than as a general message of derision.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Five hour old Nadine:

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
That's a large eyewall.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Jelawat:

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting JLPR2:
00z GFS, interesting in the Gulf and the E-Atl.



Again, another fish... and the E Carib will remain dry. I pray for not though :)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting CosmicEvents:
They never mastered the art of blending in like a chamelion.
Why do you think they died off?
aDuh!


It was easier in my day. All we had was Superman and Wonder Woman. Flying saucers were just coming into vogue.
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 27210
Nadine should be remembered for been there to "all mighty September"... in this one of the most non-eventually, storm wise Septembers, in decades...So, praise Nadine...so faithful, showing face and respect to the peak of the season....
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
293. JLPR2
00z GFS, interesting in the Gulf and the E-Atl.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Grothar:


What I always wondered about, if it is called the "Red" planet, how come the inhabitants are supposed to be green?
They never mastered the art of blending in like a chamelion.
Why do you think they died off?
aDuh!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
I'm thinking Nadine could become a hurricane again as she is even trying to form an eye feature again.
Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 127 Comments: 7972
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Grothar:


What I always wondered about, if it is called the "Red" planet, how come the inhabitants are supposed to be green?


Most Communist are green with envy?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 27210
Quoting gordydunnot:
Neo, are you saying the lizard people evolved here on earth all along. And on a serious note, whens the first blizzard of the year or where.


What I always wondered about, if it is called the "Red" planet, how come the inhabitants are supposed to be green?
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 27210
Possible blob formation off the coast of east Florida.

Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 27210
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 27210
Quoting Thrawst:


Blob.


Doofus.
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 27210
...TWO-WEEK-OLD NADINE STILL ROAMING THE ATLANTIC...
11:00 PM AST Thu Sep 27
Location: 28.8°N 33.6°W
Moving: W at 7 mph
Min pressure: 993 mb
Max sustained: 65 mph

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 28/0300Z 28.8N 33.6W 55 KT 65 MPH
12H 28/1200Z 29.0N 34.3W 60 KT 70 MPH
24H 29/0000Z 30.4N 35.2W 60 KT 70 MPH
36H 29/1200Z 32.0N 36.0W 60 KT 70 MPH
48H 30/0000Z 34.0N 36.5W 60 KT 70 MPH
72H 01/0000Z 36.5N 37.0W 55 KT 65 MPH
96H 02/0000Z 36.5N 37.0W 50 KT 60 MPH
120H 03/0000Z 37.0N 36.5W 45 KT 50 MPH
Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 127 Comments: 7972

TROPICAL STORM NADINE DISCUSSION NUMBER 62
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142012
1100 PM AST THU SEP 27 2012

THE ORGANIZATION OF THE CLOUD PATTERN TONIGHT ON IR IMAGES IS THE
BEST IT HAS BEEN IN A WEEK. NADINE LOOKS MORE LIKE A TYPICAL
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITH DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER AND FAIR
OUTFLOW. BOTH SUBJECTIVE AND OBJECTIVE NUMBERS ARE 3.5 ON THE
DVORAK SCALE...INDICATING AN INITIAL INTENSITY OF 55 KNOTS. NADINE
HAS MANAGED TO AVOID OR REPEL THE SHEAR AND SURVIVED THE COOL
WATERS FOR THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS. SINCE THE SHEAR IS FORECAST BY
GLOBAL MODELS TO DECREASE A LITTLE BIT...THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF
SLIGHT STRENGTHENING DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. A GRADUAL
WEAKENING...BUT NOT MUCH...SHOULD THEN BEGIN IN 48 HOURS AS ANOTHER
SHORTWAVE APPROACHES NADINE AND INCREASES THE ENVIRONMENTAL SHEAR.
THIS FORECAST IS CONSISTENT WITH THE LGEM AND THE INTENSITY
CONSENSUS MODELS.

NADINE HAS SPENT A LARGE PORTION OF ITS LIFE TRAPPED WITHIN A
BLOCKING PATTERN. IT IS NOW SOUTH OF A RIDGE...AND IS MOVING TOWARD
THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 6 KNOTS. SOON IT WILL BE ON THE WESTERN
EDGE OF THE RIDGE...AND THE CYCLONE WILL BE FORCED TO TURN SLOWLY
NORTHWARD. HOWEVER...THE STORY DOES NOT END THERE...AND IT IS DEJA
VU ALL OVER AGAIN. GLOBAL MODELS SHOW THAT ANOTHER SHORTWAVE WILL
APPROACH NADINE...BUT IT WILL BYPASS THE CYCLONE...LEAVING
NADINE EMBEDDED WITHIN LIGHT STEERING FLOW AGAIN. CONSEQUENTLY...BY
THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD NADINE MOST LIKELY WILL BE DRIFTING
AIMLESSLY SOUTHWEST AND FAR FROM AZORES. THE NHC FORECAST IS VERY
CLOSE TO THE CONSENSUS...AND IS IN THE MIDDLE OF THE GUIDANCE
ENVELOPE FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS. AFTER THAT...BOTH TRACK AND
INTENSITY FORECASTS ARE HIGHLY UNCERTAIN.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 28/0300Z 28.8N 33.6W 55 KT 65 MPH
12H 28/1200Z 29.0N 34.3W 60 KT 70 MPH
24H 29/0000Z 30.4N 35.2W 60 KT 70 MPH
36H 29/1200Z 32.0N 36.0W 60 KT 70 MPH
48H 30/0000Z 34.0N 36.5W 60 KT 70 MPH
72H 01/0000Z 36.5N 37.0W 55 KT 65 MPH
96H 02/0000Z 36.5N 37.0W 50 KT 60 MPH
120H 03/0000Z 37.0N 36.5W 45 KT 50 MPH

$$
FORECASTER AVILA
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Last advisory for Miriam.

BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE MIRIAM ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132012
800 PM PDT THU SEP 27 2012

...MIRIAM BECOMES A REMNANT LOW...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.0N 116.7W
ABOUT 440 MI...705 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...S OR 180 DEGREES AT 1 MPH...2 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
MIRIAM WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 116.7 WEST.
MIRIAM HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. THE
REMNANT LOW IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT GENERALLY SOUTHWARD DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

A SHIP REPORT NEAR THE CENTER OF MIRIAM INDICATES THAT THE MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY MIRIAM SHOULD BEGIN TO SUBSIDE ON
FRIDAY...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE WESTERN COAST OF THE SOUTHERN AND
CENTRAL BAJA PENINSULA. SWELLS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA DUE TO ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
NEAR THE WEST COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO. THESE SWELLS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT
LOW PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER BERG

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Neo, are you saying the lizard people evolved here on earth all along. And on a serious note, whens the first blizzard of the year or where.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Not sure if this site has been mentioned yet, but NOAA is going to be using public opinion to help classify tropical cyclones from the past now.

Link


You know there's going to be someone who goes on here during DMAX on a cyclone and give it a Category 3+ rating and then give it a weak TS rating by 5pm ;)
Member Since: July 8, 2005 Posts: 259 Comments: 24579

Viewing: 326 - 276

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9Blog Index

Top of Page

About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

Local Weather

Overcast
39 °F
Overcast

JeffMasters's Recent Photos

Lake Effort Snow Shower Over Windsor, Ontario
Sunset on Dunham Lake
Pictured Rocks Sunset
Sunset on Lake Huron