Earth's second Cat 5 of 2012: Super Typhoon Jelawat

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 12:05 PM GMT on September 25, 2012

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Earth's newest addition to the Category 5 tropical cyclone club is Super Typhoon Jelawat, which has intensified to a Category 5 typhoon with 160 mph winds. Jelawat is Earth's second Category 5 storm of 2012; the other was Super Typhoon Sanba (175 mph winds), which hit Okinawa earlier this month as a Category 3 storm. The two Category 5 storms for 2012 match the total from all of last year. Fortunately, Jelawat is located well east of the Philippine Islands, and the storm is not expected to hit land over the next two days. However, the storm's outer spiral bands have brought flooding to Zamboanga del Norte province in the eastern Philippines, where 8400 people were evacuated and one person is missing. Wind shear is a light 5 - 10 knots over Jelawat, and the typhoon is over very warm ocean waters of 29°C. These warm waters extend to great depth, which should allow Jelawat to maintain major typhoon status for at least two more days. Satellite loops show an impressive, well-organized typhoon with a large symmetric area of heavy thunderstorms with cold cloud tops.

The models have come into much better agreement on the track of Jelawat over the next three days. The typhoon is expected to move slowly to the north-northwest to northwest, roughly parallel to the Philippines, then turn to the north a few hundred miles east of Taiwan. After that, there remains major uncertainty on where Jelawat might go. A northerly path towards Okinawa or a more northeasterly path out to sea are the two main possibilities. Wind shear will begin increasing over Jelawat beginning on Wednesday, which should cause a steady weakening of the storm.



Figure 1. MODIS satellite image of Jelawat taken at 10:10 pm EDT Monday, September 24, 2012. At the time, Jelawat was a Category 5 storm with 160 mph winds. Image credit: NASA.

Hurricane Miriam off the Baja coast now a Cat 2
Hurricane Miriam completed an eyewall replacement cycle this morning, which knocked down the storm to Category 2 strength with 105 mph winds. Satellite imagery shows that Miriam now has a large 35-mile diameter eye, and the storm has a more ragged appearance than when it peaked as a Category 3 storm with 120 mph winds on Monday. High wind shear in excess of 30 knots will attack Miriam late this week, and our two top models, the GFS and ECMWF, show Miriam dissipating before reaching central Baja on Friday.


Figure 2. Hurricane Miriam as seen by the MODIS instrument on NASA's Aqua satellite at 5pm EDT September 24, 2012. At the time, Miriam was a Category 3 hurricane with 120 mph winds. Image credit: NASA.

Persistent Nadine still out there
The Atlantic's perpetual tropical storm, Nadine, continues to wander in the Middle Atlantic, far from any land areas. Nadine will still probably be around a week from now, and is not likely to threaten any land areas for at least the next seven days. None of the reliable computer models are predicting formation of a new tropical cyclone in the Atlantic for the remainder of the week.

Jeff Masters

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495. Thing342
2:26 PM GMT on September 26, 2012
Quoting AussieStorm:

Honestly,,, my feeling is season IS OVER.
The problem with this assumption was that the same thing happened in July. I expect activity to pick back up in October. I predict 4 more storms.
Member Since: August 1, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 436
494. WunderAlertBot (Admin)
2:23 PM GMT on September 26, 2012
JeffMasters has created a new entry.
493. RitaEvac
2:16 PM GMT on September 26, 2012
For Texas Residents:

Widespread rainfall event increasingly likely this weekend


Ingredients continue to come together for a period of wet weather from Friday-Sunday. Moisture is returning to SE TX this morning as noted by the isolated inland moving showers on radar over the coastal waters into the coastal and inland first tier counties. These showers appear to be in response to a sliver of higher moisture being transported northward on increased southerly flow of the past 48 hours. With a little heating this morning expected a continuation of these showers today.


Of more importance is the late week period into the weekend as parameters are coming together to produce a potential widespread rainfall event. Low pressure formation ahead of a deepening SW US trough will help transports low level tropical moisture over the southern Gulf of Mexico northward into the region starting Thursday. May see slightly better rain chances on Thursday than currently being indicated, but the better chances should hold off until Friday when the tropical moisture reaches the area. Expect numerous showers and thunderstorms on Friday pulling northward off the western Gulf of Mexico. At the same time, mid and high level moisture is already spreading NE across MX into TX from EPAC tropical system Miriam. This moisture along with the increasing Gulf moisture will become entrained in the slow moving trough producing widespread rainfall from SW TX into E TX over the weekend.



Surface frontal boundary currently over NW TX will only slowly drag SE over the next 2 days and gradually enter the area early Saturday…more importantly this boundary adds a focus for deep convection that was largely absent yesterday in the model guidance. This change does raise some concern for more significant rainfall over the weekend as the slow moving trough, a slow moving surface boundary, saturated air column, and extremely high moisture levels (PWS 2.2-2.4 inches) all combine to produce some very heavy rainfall. Still not overly confident on where the heavy rains will set up although the southern half of TX appears to be in the best location south of the 250mb jet streak and near/south of the surface boundary. The “tropical like” air column will support some very heavy rainfall rates in a short period of time and this will need to be watched especially if any cell training or slow storm motions are noted. Would not at all be surprised to see some 2-3 inch per hour rainfall rates with this set up. Models are really keying in on Saturday afternoon-Sunday morning as the best time for organized heavy rainfall spreading from SW to NE across the region.
Member Since: July 14, 2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 9628
492. washingtonian115
2:15 PM GMT on September 26, 2012
Quoting jeffs713:

What I was pointing out is that saying the only systems of note for a year are the major hurricanes is rather silly. Weaker storms can easily make just as much, if not more, of an impact. Take for example Isaac... never got to even cat 2, yet left several billion in damage.
I don't know what your problem is with me this morning but when I said storms that stuck out as in they were beautiful storms to track that didn't do or hardly did anything to nobody.I said 15 year average because from 1995-2010 we've had some hyperactive season's and if you take the average out of that time span you have 15 named storms.BTW kirk wasn't a major :) and so wasn't Gordon as well as Chris.The only one was Micheal.So your "stuck out only because they were major hurrcanes" was wrong.I know weaker storms can stick out like Fay and Allison.You think I actually forgot about those storms?.Debbie even caused server damage to some places and it was just a 60mph tropical storm.Now next season who is honestly going to be discussing about Ernesto?.Sorry if it sounds mean but it's true.Some people are going to be like "what was that "E" storm from last year?.Maybe Isaac but that's about all.Now before I get banned I'm going to get off now.They even mentioned the "15 year average" thing on TWC site and other weather sites.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 16756
491. opal92nwf
2:13 PM GMT on September 26, 2012
Even though the first half of September is active usually, I feel like the month for the most part is a decaying of favorable conditions for tropical cyclones as it always seems that near the end of the month, there are monster troughs and cold air coming in from the NorthWest and the storms that form have a hard time. August is better because it is active and has nowhere to go but more active till the end of the month.
Member Since: May 12, 2012 Posts: 11 Comments: 2535
490. wxchaser97
2:12 PM GMT on September 26, 2012
Quoting opal92nwf:

Now that's a donut!

To be more specific, a jelly doughnut. Starting to change it's form and I don't think we will see it regain cat5 winds.
Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 127 Comments: 7940
489. RitaEvac
2:11 PM GMT on September 26, 2012
Season totals so far:

Houston: 3-0
NOLA: 0-3
Member Since: July 14, 2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 9628
488. opal92nwf
2:08 PM GMT on September 26, 2012
Quoting Patrap:
Super Typhoon Jelawat,

RainBow Loop




Now that's a donut!
Member Since: May 12, 2012 Posts: 11 Comments: 2535
487. wxchaser97
1:58 PM GMT on September 26, 2012
Quoting jeffs713:

What I was pointing out is that saying the only systems of note for a year are the major hurricanes is rather silly. Weaker storms can easily make just as much, if not more, of an impact. Take for example Isaac... never got to even cat 2, yet left several billion in damage.

Well Isaac's winds never got to cat2 speed but other factors would have had him higher.
Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 127 Comments: 7940
486. jeffs713
1:56 PM GMT on September 26, 2012
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:


yeah, stood out not stuck out.
They stuck in......to land.

What I was pointing out is that saying the only systems of note for a year are the major hurricanes is rather silly. Weaker storms can easily make just as much, if not more, of an impact. Take for example Isaac... never got to even cat 2, yet left several billion in damage.
Member Since: August 3, 2008 Posts: 16 Comments: 5880
485. TampaSpin
1:52 PM GMT on September 26, 2012
Member Since: September 2, 2007 Posts: 178 Comments: 20439
484. TampaSpin
1:45 PM GMT on September 26, 2012
Quoting jeffs713:

Kinda changing the goalposts, since the NOAA uses a 30-year average. Statistically, the longer average period is more useful, too.

Heck, if you're going to use a 15-year average, why not a 5-year average (15.4 storms)?

Apples to apples...


9.6 Named storms was the average used just a few years back.....Not sure what the Average is claimed now.....but NO WAY its 15 i would not believe.
Member Since: September 2, 2007 Posts: 178 Comments: 20439
483. GeorgiaStormz
1:45 PM GMT on September 26, 2012
Quoting jeffs713:


I'm pretty sure Isaac and Ernesto stood out to quite a few people...


yeah, stood out not stuck out.
They stuck in......to land.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9725
482. wxchaser97
1:45 PM GMT on September 26, 2012
Quoting jeffs713:


I'm pretty sure Isaac and Ernesto stood out to quite a few people...

Especially Isaac with his/my destruction and power.
Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 127 Comments: 7940
481. jeffs713
1:44 PM GMT on September 26, 2012
Quoting clwstmchasr:


I'm thinking 2 more. One in the NW Caribbean and another loner out in the mid-Atlantic.

I agree with two more, but I'm going to guess one forms off a stalled front, and the other is a loner out in the Atlantic from a cut-off low.
Member Since: August 3, 2008 Posts: 16 Comments: 5880
480. jeffs713
1:42 PM GMT on September 26, 2012
Quoting washingtonian115:
The only storms that stuck out this season are Kirk,Micheal,and Gordon.Chris was a interesting one to.


I'm pretty sure Isaac and Ernesto stood out to quite a few people...
Member Since: August 3, 2008 Posts: 16 Comments: 5880
479. TampaSpin
1:42 PM GMT on September 26, 2012
Member Since: September 2, 2007 Posts: 178 Comments: 20439
478. LargoFl
1:41 PM GMT on September 26, 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG BAY AND
GULF BREEZES THIS AFTERNOON. THE PRIMARY THREAT FROM THE STORMS
WILL BE DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 37950
477. jeffs713
1:41 PM GMT on September 26, 2012
Quoting washingtonian115:
CSU predicted 13 named storms which is two storms below the 15 year average of 15 named storms.When forecast were first issued the major forcasters were predicting average to below average activity.They only slightly increased their numbers because Beryl and Alberto formed in May.

Kinda changing the goalposts, since the NOAA uses a 30-year average. Statistically, the longer average period is more useful, too.

Heck, if you're going to use a 15-year average, why not a 5-year average (15.4 storms)?

Apples to apples...
Member Since: August 3, 2008 Posts: 16 Comments: 5880
475. LargoFl
1:40 PM GMT on September 26, 2012
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA
TODAY AS DEEPENING SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW ALOFT PUSHES MOISTURE UP
FROM THE FLORIDA STRAITS. CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING WILL BE THE
GREATEST THREAT. HOWEVER...CLOUDS HAVE THINNED ALONG AND NORTH OF
THE I-4 CORRIDOR...WHICH WILL ALLOW SURFACE TEMPERATURES TO WARM
FASTER THAN AREAS TO THE SOUTH. COOL TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL ADD
TO THE INSTABILITY...INCREASING THE CHANCES FOR STORMS THAT
DEVELOP NORTH OF KISSIMMEE AND COCOA BEACH COULD PRODUCE STRONG
WIND GUSTS OVER 50 MPH AND SMALL HAIL.
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 37950
474. LargoFl
1:38 PM GMT on September 26, 2012
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 37950
473. washingtonian115
1:37 PM GMT on September 26, 2012
The only storms that stuck out this season are Kirk,Micheal,and Gordon.Chris was a interesting one to.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 16756
472. LargoFl
1:37 PM GMT on September 26, 2012
we still have October to watch but..we also have to watch for severe local weather huh, the changing seasons always bring Bad weather..plenty to talk about with those kinds of storms, the local ones.
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 37950
471. LargoFl
1:35 PM GMT on September 26, 2012
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 37950
470. jeffs713
1:34 PM GMT on September 26, 2012
Quoting wxchaser97:

I say we could still 1-2 more storms before the season ends, I am sticking to it.


I thought they predict a slightly below average season.

From Dr. Masters' blog on May 24...

"NOAA forecasts a near-normal Atlantic hurricane season in 2012, in their May 24 outlook. They give a 50% chance of a near-normal season, a 25% chance of an above-normal season, and a 25% chance of a below-normal season. They predict a 70% chance that there will be 9 - 15 named storms, 4 - 8 hurricanes, and 1 - 3 major hurricanes, with an Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) 65% - 140% of the median. If we take the midpoint of these numbers, NOAA is calling for 12 named storms, 6 hurricanes, 2 major hurricanes, and an ACE index 102% of normal. This is very close to the 1981 - 2010 average of 12 named storms, 6 hurricanes, and 3 major hurricanes."
Link

From the NOAA forecast:
"NOAA’s updated 2012 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook indicates a high likelihood (85% chance) of a near- or above-normal season. The outlook calls for a 50% chance of a near-normal season, a 35% chance of an above normal season, and only a 15% chance of a below-normal season. "
Link
Member Since: August 3, 2008 Posts: 16 Comments: 5880
469. washingtonian115
1:29 PM GMT on September 26, 2012
Quoting jeffs713:

This year was supposed to be below average? The NOAA, CSU, and basically anyone with any official statement said it would be an active season, IIRC.
CSU predicted 13 named storms which is two storms below the 15 year average of 15 named storms.When forecast were first issued the major forcasters were predicting average to below average activity.They only slightly increased their numbers because Beryl and Alberto formed in May.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 16756
468. AussieStorm
1:29 PM GMT on September 26, 2012
Quoting islander101010:
4 more is stretching it but i stand by it might have to duck beer cans and tomatoes soon unless conditions become more favorable.

Honestly,,, my feeling is season IS OVER.
Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15935
467. wxchaser97
1:29 PM GMT on September 26, 2012
Quoting washingtonian115:
Maybe a storm or two in October which will bring this season a toal of 16 named storms.Not bad considering it was suppose to be average to below average.

I say we could still 1-2 more storms before the season ends, I am sticking to it.

Quoting jeffs713:

This year was supposed to be below average? The NOAA, CSU, and basically anyone with any official statement said it would be an active season, IIRC.

I thought they predict a slightly below average season.
Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 127 Comments: 7940
466. islander101010
1:27 PM GMT on September 26, 2012
4 more is stretching it but i stand by it might have to duck beer cans and tomatoes soon unless conditions become more favorable.
Member Since: September 11, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 4493
465. jeffs713
1:24 PM GMT on September 26, 2012
Quoting washingtonian115:
Maybe a storm or two in October which will bring this season a toal of 16 named storms.Not bad considering it was suppose to be average to below average.

This year was supposed to be below average? The NOAA, CSU, and basically anyone with any official statement said it would be an active season, IIRC.
Member Since: August 3, 2008 Posts: 16 Comments: 5880
464. washingtonian115
1:18 PM GMT on September 26, 2012
Quoting RitaEvac:
Quoting washingtonian115:
Nadine is boring.I'm ready for the hurricane season to be over now.




Pretty much is and has
Maybe a storm or two in October which will bring this season a toal of 16 named storms.Not bad considering it was suppose to be average to below average.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 16756
463. VR46L
1:17 PM GMT on September 26, 2012
Yellow Crayola time 10%

Member Since: March 1, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 6877
462. CaicosRetiredSailor
1:08 PM GMT on September 26, 2012
Member Since: July 12, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 6004
461. RitaEvac
1:06 PM GMT on September 26, 2012
Quoting washingtonian115:
Nadine is boring.I'm ready for the hurricane season to be over now.




Pretty much is and has
Member Since: July 14, 2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 9628
460. PSurvivor
1:01 PM GMT on September 26, 2012
For the Atlantic..."Turn out the lights, the party's over..."
Member Since: October 22, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 2
459. Chicklit
1:01 PM GMT on September 26, 2012
Jelawat ain't no jelly roll!
Member Since: July 11, 2006 Posts: 14 Comments: 11272
458. wxchaser97
1:01 PM GMT on September 26, 2012
Quoting AussieStorm:

I hope everyone that's complaining about being to hot don't start complaining in January of being to cold.

Hey, I love it cold and snowy but I'm not too fond of 100F+ heat.

Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
I don't know what's worse...the fact that Nadine is the only storm around in the Atlantic or the fact that we will be dealing with the storm for another week to week and a half.

I choose that we will be dealing with Nadine for at least another week is worse.

Quoting GeorgiaStormz:
Late Fall, Early Winter Outlook


El Nino never fails to dissapoint....or wait, it does. :'(

I don't like that outlook, much warmer for the next 3 months = boring.
Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 127 Comments: 7940
457. icmoore
1:01 PM GMT on September 26, 2012
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:
Late Fall, Early Winter Outlook


El Nino never fails to dissapoint....or wait, it does. :'(


Colder winter for Florida, yuck.
Member Since: July 18, 2005 Posts: 9 Comments: 4146
456. stoormfury
12:58 PM GMT on September 26, 2012
Big lull in tropical storm activity in the MDR.apart from a weakening Nadine and an insignificant 95L ENE of the leewards,computer models show very little activity the next 10 days.
Member Since: August 22, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 2674
455. Patrap
12:57 PM GMT on September 26, 2012
Super Typhoon Jelawat,

RainBow Loop



Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 423 Comments: 127804
454. GeorgiaStormz
12:55 PM GMT on September 26, 2012
Late Fall, Early Winter Outlook


El Nino never fails to dissapoint....or wait, it does. :'(
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9725
453. CaicosRetiredSailor
12:55 PM GMT on September 26, 2012
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM NADINE...LOCATED ABOUT 530 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE
AZORES.

AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER HAS FORMED ABOUT 700 MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE
CURRENTLY NOT FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT...AND THIS
SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.



Member Since: July 12, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 6004
452. icmoore
12:48 PM GMT on September 26, 2012
Quoting AussieStorm:

I hope everyone that's complaining about being to hot don't start complaining in January of being to cold.


You won't hear me complaining about the heat but I think it is quite probable you will hear me complain about the cold, especially since anything under 70 is cold to me :)
Good morning everyone. It looks like a wet start to next week is possible for parts of FL.

.LONG TERM (SATURDAY THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)...
MODELS HAVE COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT WITH REGARDS TO THE UPPER-AIR
PATTERN IN THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE FORECAST BUT ARE STILL
STRUGGLING WITH SURFACE FEATURES. THE UPPER-LEVEL PATTERN WILL BE
QUITE COMPLEX AS A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE TAKES SHAPE OVER THE
EASTERN HALF OF THE NATION ON SATURDAY AND REMAINS LOCKED IN THROUGH
TUESDAY. AT THE SURFACE...THE GFS IS STILL THE OUTLIER IN SHOWING A
FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVING THROUGH CENTRAL FLORIDA ON SUNDAY. THE 12Z
ECMWF AND THE 00Z CANADIAN HOLD THE SURFACE RIDGE OVER CENTRAL
FLORIDA ON SUNDAY WITH THE FRONT REMAINING WELL TO THE NORTHWEST. ON
MONDAY...THE ECMWF HAS A LOW PRESSURE AREA MOVING NORTHEAST ACROSS
THE NORTHERN GULF COAST...BUT IS OTHERWISE STILL SIMILAR TO THE CMC
WITH THE FRONT STILL NORTH OF THE REGION. THE FRONT DOES SLIP INTO
THE NORTHEAST GULF BY TUESDAY BUT THE UPPER-LEVEL SUPPORT BEGINS TO
LIFT OUT TO THE NORTHEAST. WE COULD BE LOOKING AT A RATHER WET
PERIOD OF WEATHER NEXT WEEK IF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY REMAINS NEARBY
AND THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGHING PERSISTS.
Member Since: July 18, 2005 Posts: 9 Comments: 4146
451. biff4ugo
12:47 PM GMT on September 26, 2012
Is the big blob far east of Puerto Rico spinning backwards, or is that a visual product of a very strong inflow vs. outflow?
Member Since: December 28, 2006 Posts: 114 Comments: 1566
450. FtMyersgal
12:43 PM GMT on September 26, 2012
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
540 AM EDT WED SEP 26 2012

FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-262200 -
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSB OROUGH-POLK-
MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DESOTO-CHARLOTT E-LEE-
540 AM EDT WED SEP 26 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG BAY AND
GULF BREEZES THIS AFTERNOON. THE PRIMARY THREAT FROM THE STORMS
WILL BE DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
SCATTERED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH DAY FROM
THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. NO SEVERE STORMS EXPECTED.

A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL APPROACH THE NORTHEAST GULF EARLY NEXT
WEEK AND MAY STALL JUST TO THE WEST OF OUR REGION THROUGH TUESDAY.
THIS WILL BRING AN INCREASE IN RAIN CHANCES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. NO SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

$$

JILLSON



Member Since: September 16, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1216
449. MoeWest
12:42 PM GMT on September 26, 2012
Finally! Relative humidity:
Member Since: September 3, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 56
448. TropicalAnalystwx13
12:41 PM GMT on September 26, 2012
I don't know what's worse...the fact that Nadine is the only storm around in the Atlantic or the fact that we will be dealing with the storm for another week to week and a half.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31882
447. GeoffreyWPB
12:40 PM GMT on September 26, 2012
Member Since: September 10, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 11102
446. Patrap
12:37 PM GMT on September 26, 2012
Geaux Sneaux ?
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 423 Comments: 127804
445. AussieStorm
12:34 PM GMT on September 26, 2012
Quoting JasonRE:


Yup. Ready for some 50-60 mornings and 70-75 days. I think Saturday it should cool down a little with the rain chances. Maybe 82 for a high compared to 88-90?

I hope everyone that's complaining about being to hot don't start complaining in January of being to cold.
Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15935

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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