August 2012: Earth's 4th warmest August on record

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 3:07 PM GMT on September 18, 2012

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August 2012 was the globe's 4th warmest August on record, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's National Climatic Data Center (NCDC). NASA rated August 2012 the 6th warmest on record. August 2012 global land temperatures were the 2nd warmest on record, and global ocean temperatures were the 5th warmest on record. August 2012 was the 330th consecutive month with global temperatures warmer than the 20th century average; the last time global temperatures were below average was February 1985. Global satellite-measured temperatures in August for the lowest 8 km of the atmosphere were 3rd warmest in the 34-year record, according to the University of Alabama Huntsville (UAH). Wunderground's weather historian, Christopher C. Burt, has a comprehensive post on the notable weather events of August in his August 2012 Global Weather Extremes Summary.



Figure 1. Departure of temperature from average for August 2012. Most areas of the world experienced much higher-than-average monthly temperatures, including much of Canada, Southeast Europe, and Western Asia. Central Russia was much cooler than average. Image credit: National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) .

El Niño watch continues
Sea surface temperatures were at 0.5°C above average as of September 17 in the equatorial Pacific off the coast of South America, and have been near or above the 0.5°C above average--the threshold needed for a weak El Niño event--since the beginning of July. However, winds, pressures, and cloud cover over the region have not responded in the fashion typically associated with an El Niño, and NOAA's Climate Prediction Center (CPC) classified conditions as being neutral in their September 6 El Niño discussion. They continued their El Niño watch, and gave a 69% chance that an El Niño event will be in place by the end of September. El Niño conditions tend to decrease Atlantic hurricane activity, by increasing wind shear over the tropical Atlantic. Wind shear has been close to average over the tropical Atlantic since the beginning of hurricane season in June. However, the past few runs of the GFS model have predicted a significant rise in wind shear over the Caribbean and tropical Atlantic by early October, which may represent El Niño finally beginning to kick in and affect the atmospheric circulation over the Atlantic.


Figure 2. Arctic sea ice extent as of September 18, 2012 (black line) compared to the previous record low years, in millions of square kilometers. This year's extent is far below any previous year, and is close to its minimum for the year. Satellite measurements of ice extent began in 1979. Image credit: Danish Meteorological Institute.

Arctic sea ice falls to all-time record low during August
August 2012 Arctic sea ice extent reached its lowest August extent in the 35-year satellite record, according to the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC). The new sea ice record was set on August 26, a full three weeks before the usual end of the melting season. Every major scientific institution that tracks Arctic sea ice agrees that new records for low ice area, extent, and volume have been set (see the comprehensive collection of sea ice graphs here.) Satellite records of sea ice extent date back to 1979, though a 2011 study by Kinnard et al. shows that the Arctic hasn't seen a melt like this for at least 1,450 years (see a more detailed article on this over at skepticalscience.com.) The latest September 18, 2012 extent of 3.5 million square kilometers is approximately a 50% reduction in the area of Arctic covered by sea ice, compared to the average from 1979 - 2000. The amount of open ocean exposed this September compared to September 1980 is about 43% of the size of the contiguous United States. The ice extent is close to its minimum for the year, and should start in increase within the next week or two, but that open water over the Arctic will provide a significant amount of heat and moisture to the atmosphere over the next few months that will significantly alter weather patterns. One possible impact may be an increase in the intensity and duration of extreme weather events during fall and winter.


Video 1. This animation shows the 2012 time-series of ice extent using sea ice concentration data from the DMSP SSMI/S satellite sensor. The black area represents the daily average (median) sea ice extent over the 1979-2000 time period. Layered over top of that are the daily satellite measurements from January 1 – September 14, 2012. A rapid melt begins in July, whereby the 2012 ice extents fall far below the historical average. Source: NOAA's Environmental Visualization Laboratory.

Nadine approaching the Azores
Long-lived Tropical Storm Nadine is headed northeastwards on a track that will bring the storm close to the Azores Islands on Wednesday and Thursday. A tropical storm watch has been posted for the islands of Flores and Corvo in the northwestern Azores. Steering currents for Nadine are expected to weaken on Wednesday, and the storm will move slowly and erratically for many days in the Central Atlantic late this week and early next week. On Friday, Nadine will become tangled up with an upper-level low pressure system, and the storm may partially or fully convert to an extratropical storm. By this weekend, the GFS and ECMWF models predict Nadine will move southwestward over warmer waters, and it could become fully tropical again.

Elsewhere in the Atlantic, thunderstorm activity associated with a tropical wave that moved through the Lesser Antilles Islands yesterday (92L) has diminished, and this wave is no longer a threat to develop. None of the reliable computers models is showing development of a new tropical cyclone in the Atlantic through September 24.

Jeff Masters

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Quoting KoritheMan:


Easy. El Nino has been altering the MSLP pattern since the beginning of the season.

What does MSLP stand for?
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Quoting Bobbyweather:
I'm wondering why storms formed more this year in the mid-latitudes than the tropics. Anyone have a reason?


Easy. El Nino has been altering the MSLP pattern since the beginning of the season.
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I'm wondering why storms formed more this year in the mid-latitudes than the tropics. Anyone have a reason?
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Blog update for anyone still awake.
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Sorry Caicos. Didn't realize you had beaten me to it.
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NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT WED SEP 19 2012

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM NADINE...LOCATED ABOUT 225 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE ISLANDOF FLORES IN THE AZORES.

DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC ABOUT 900 MILES EAST OF BERMUDA ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A DEVELOPING NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. THE LOW COULD BEGIN TO ACQUIRE TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
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23:00 GMT
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492. 7544
Quoting SenatorQ:
In the meantime however at the southern end of the current system of rough weather, heavy storms are moving NNE approaching the Florida keys at 1:15 AM Eastern time likely be in the Miami and Ft Lauderdale areas in a couple hours around 3AM before moving off shore further north and follow the rest of the the storms heading up the eastern coast.
http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.php?product= NCR&rid=byx&loop=yes
Looks to me like we may not be out of the woods yet for this system, once the sun is up, these storms will likely strengthen.


yeap that blob by western cuba just formed a few hours ago and looks to be getting stronger as it moves nne toward fla
Member Since: May 6, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 6696
Quoting CaribBoy:
LOOKS LIKE THIS SEPTEMBER MAY BE ONE OF THE DRIEST MONTHS ON RECORD IN THE N LEEWARDS


You may yet get your storm. Who knows.
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LOOKS LIKE THIS SEPTEMBER MAY BE ONE OF THE DRIEST MONTHS ON RECORD IN THE N LEEWARDS
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LinkIn the meantime however at the southern end of the current system of rough weather, heavy storms are moving NNE approaching the Florida keys at 1:15 AM Eastern time likely be in the Miami and Ft Lauderdale areas in a couple hours around 3AM before moving off shore further north and follow the rest of the the storms heading up the eastern coast.
http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.php?product= NCR&rid=byx&loop=yes
Looks to me like we may not be out of the woods yet for this system, once the sun is up, these storms will likely strengthen.
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edit last comment..now boat ramps flooding over sometimes and the rebuliding wasent needed..

Why wont it allow me to edit my comment? i push submit and nothing happens
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yes where i live..barrier island in south jersey..waters risen here alot..bout 6-8 years back we had very long beaches and at low tide it was tough to use the boat ramp..now we have litterly no beach in many spots on island and none at all on the northren end and the city had to rebuild the boat ramp and dredge it out some to make it deeper...the lose of the beach is still happeneing even with beach replenishments happening ever 2-3 years with the last one happening last year
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Arctic sea ice is already floating in the ocean so it does not significantly affect sea level when it melts.
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485. vis0
The most efficient, least polluting source of energy is wind power (takes 40-50 yrs to develop, faster if my invention is test). As weird as it may read its real solar power.  Unlike any other power source, wind can be used at any time be it dark or light.  The obvious problem is finding a way were one can funnel upper level winds down towards ground level, preferably towards wind turbines (not windmills as those are too flimsy for REAL wind energy). As i've stated since 1980s and here on Wxu  since ~2008 (other user name) and since 2010 as "vis0" i think one can use what i use/am testing in influencing weather to create wind streams. What i call wind streams are streams of upper level jets of air brought down via what i call an ml-d. ml-d stands for microLow device. i state the ml-d creates a vortex (see simplistic drawing: http://www.ipernity.com/doc/140862/13297418 ) via a form of static energy. This static energy i call intrÆ-micro lighting (not discovered by modern science...yet) which exists as the opposing energy to the planets core(s) heat releasing mantels. When one taps into this static one can move it faster or slower than the untapped static. This difference when manipulated correctly creates an artificial vortex (http://www.ipernity.com/doc/140862/10618511) with 5 layers (upward/outward vortex not shown, that can used to move man-made flying orbs). These layers can be used to control the 5 main properties than influence weather lighting (charge),wind (horizontal motion/Coriolis),precip (air moisture content),cooling/warming (temperature differences),up flow (vertical motion) [2 of these i might describe differently on other blogs].
Now once one figures out how to create wind streams instead of having 100 giant wind mills all one needs are 2 or 3 medium sized wind turbines. Imagine cities having their tall buildings retro fitted with an ml-d & wind turbine. 3 square miles of an average NYC block could have 60% of its power by 1 ml-d turbine. The reason its 60% and not 100% is 'cause i hope a turbine is never used for more than 8 continuous hours or 12 hrs. total in a 24 hour period. Why? The ml-d though i hope can be tweaked to bring local winds down, for now still influences large areas thus an ml-d constantly has to have its AREA OF INFLUENCE "FOCUS" shifted as not to undermine natural weather trends. As i test the ml-d i have it in one direction for what i call a "Galacsic" season (6 months)  at a time and whether you want to believe it or not i think its added to the natural heatwave in the Midwest and over the north Atlantic.
Of course since no one will believe that such a device exists i just go on testing it till either someone helps me test it in Africa (explain on my blog, why Africa) or i pass on. Being i'm 50 the odds are i'm testing this device (tweaking it) for another 20-30 yrs (knock on my skull/wood) either in NYc or P.R.  So lets hope some Entrepreneur who understands that no money is going to be made, but that history will be made IF ITS PROVEN this ml-d really works and that Entrepreneur helps me test it Africa.
Keep playing with solar but necessity will one day have Humanity create some form of wind funnel-er (if i may create a word) as its the most efficient & cleanest power source. Nature already does this for billions of years (what powers the waves, the storms, man's imagination when Marilyn Monroe's skirt was blown upwards (okay skip the last), its wind, why haven't Humans figured that out , and money and jobs will not be lost when wind is used & at the same time imagine cars, trains & planes that will have wind intake slits were as they drive/move the breeze will recharge Tesla batteries therefore a battery might cost more initially yet never changed unless  (goodness forbid) an accident. Therefore prices of things will actually go down as we slowly use less oil for energy thus lower prices passed on to consumers (oil still will be used as in makeup and plastics) ,peace
Quoting sar2401:

We should have switched to natural gas for vehicles and power plants a long time ago. The issue with solar is battery banks. The large, deep cycle batteries needed for solar systems to store power are mostly manufactured in China or Korea under some of the most polluting conditions in the world. They have to be changed out and disposed of every 2-3 years. Even with recycling, a mass switch to solar power will create a huge hazardous waste problem. Until we improve battery types and prices, solar is dead in the water.

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As a result of record levels for Artic Ice Melt, has there been any significant sea level rise along any coastal area?
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Am I the only one who would like to see Nadine hit Morocco, Spain, or Portugal? Another Vince would be awesome, if only for its sheer enigmatic nature.
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clocked a 47mph gust in AC as the squall line went threw NJ little bit ago
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Ugh! power was just off for 2 1/2 hrs and it is oppressive hot with no fan. Hope it stays on now.
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453 Caner Worlds heaviest concentration of antarctic sea ice on record for this early not worth mentioning I guess... Doesn't fit the narrative, after all...

Certainly doesn't fit your narrative.
The Arctic Melting Season is ending, and the Antarctic Freezing Season is ending.
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The text states that the arctic sea ice extent on Sept. 18 was 3.5 million square km but Fig. 2 shows it at around 2.5 million. What's going on here?
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Hooray for that wonderful feeling of being so sick you can't even taste your food. I could just as easily eat a cockroach and get more or less the same result.

Oh well, at least I'm off for the next two days, and can call in on Friday if I really need to.
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animated link


Link
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Quoting belizeit:
I guess it matters alot where one lives to when you feel cold i shiver when temps are belowe 68 f but we live in a very hummid enviroment and temperature hardly go belowe 65 f


That's definitely true. I've lived in southeast Louisiana for all my life, so I generally consider anything 65F or below to be cold. My best friend in Ohio laughs at me a lot.
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I guess it matters alot where one lives to when you feel cold i shiver when temps are belowe 68 f but we live in a very hummid enviroment and temperature hardly go belowe 65 f
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Outside of storms originating in the western Gulf of Mexico or Bay of Campeche, I think this season is pretty much over for the Gulf Coast save peninsular Florida. Troughs are becoming climatologically frequent and intense as the jet stream retreats southward. In addition, we should expect the current El Nino episode (albeit unofficial) to finally increase the mean westerly flow across the Main Development Region (MDR) over the next month or so, which is supported by the GFS. So far El Nino hasn't appreciably altered the wind shear profiles across the basin, but I think that will change soon, as it is simply a matter of time before the atmosphere responds to the ocean.

A stray western Caribbean storm is still possible in Oct/Nov, as El Nino is not always enough to bar that sort of climatological development. In fact, I can think of two El Nino years where western Caribbean development occurred subsequent to October 1 -- 1952, when Hurricane Fox formed on October 20, and 2009, when Hurricane Ida developed on November 4.

Most of our development should come from baroclinic sources at this point, though.
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Member Since: August 2, 2010 Posts: 21 Comments: 9737
471. 7544
Quoting ProgressivePulse:


Evening Gro, going to get rocky overnight and morning.


000
FXUS62 KMFL 190200
AFDMFL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1000 PM EDT TUE SEP 18 2012

.UPDATE...THE HRRR HAD A GOOD HANDLE ON BRINGING GULF ACTIVITY
ACROSS THE EAST COAST METRO, JUST A COUPLE HR EARLY. THERE APPEARS
TO BE A BROAD LOW ALOFT JUST OFF THE FT. MYERS/NAPLES COAST WITH
MOVE CONVECTION, THOUGHT NOT AS ROBUST, TRAILING THIS FEATURE. THE
LATEST HRRR ACTUALLY SHOWS THIS ACTIVITY MOVING EAST AND
DEVELOPING FURTHER OVERNIGHT AND MOVING INTO THE EAST COAST METRO
WITH MORE TSTORMS WELL AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE MIAMI SOUNDING THIS EVENING
SHOWS HIGH MOISTURE WITH A PWAT OF 2.12 INCHES IN AN UNSTABLE
ATMOSPHERE WITH CAPE OF AROUND 3000 J/KG, LI -6.4C...AND WITH
SHORTWAVE ENERGY MOVING IN FROM THE GULF THE AFOREMENTIONED HRRR
SOLUTION LOOKS PLAUSIBLE. SO WITH THIS POTENTIAL, WILL KEEP THE
GOING FORECAST OF CHANCE OF TSTORMS EAST COAST AND LIKELY GULF
COAST GOING. /GREGORIA



looks like a new blob develope off of west cuba moving also east toward fl ? ex 93l turned out to be some system lol
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I lived on the Island when young...kept the Long Beach home until my mid-20's. Very nice big public beach and a nice area overall. I believe this area took on the belly of the beast as the fiercest part of the squall line passed by. I await the reports of winds strong enough to blow open a few beach club cabana windows, and some few rogue tree on car reports. Enough to trigger a few warranted and eh! insurance claims. No big deal, except for the recent tornados, weak and relatlively low-damage as they were.
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Quoting sunlinepr:
Leftovers of Nadine into Portugal/Spain...



And there is Miriam in EPAC.
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Forecast: Leftovers of Nadine into Portugal/Spain...

Member Since: August 2, 2010 Posts: 21 Comments: 9737
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Anything over 105F is hot and anything under 20F is cold. In my opinion anyways.


With high humidity...Anything over 75 and anything under 50 LOL

If it's dry, can take 100 or below 50. I seem to have more a problem with the moisture than the temp itself myself!
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Quoting Grothar:
Any chance this moves into the Atlantic and develops into something?



Evening Gro, going to get rocky overnight and morning.


000
FXUS62 KMFL 190200
AFDMFL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1000 PM EDT TUE SEP 18 2012

.UPDATE...THE HRRR HAD A GOOD HANDLE ON BRINGING GULF ACTIVITY
ACROSS THE EAST COAST METRO, JUST A COUPLE HR EARLY. THERE APPEARS
TO BE A BROAD LOW ALOFT JUST OFF THE FT. MYERS/NAPLES COAST WITH
MOVE CONVECTION, THOUGHT NOT AS ROBUST, TRAILING THIS FEATURE. THE
LATEST HRRR ACTUALLY SHOWS THIS ACTIVITY MOVING EAST AND
DEVELOPING FURTHER OVERNIGHT AND MOVING INTO THE EAST COAST METRO
WITH MORE TSTORMS WELL AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE MIAMI SOUNDING THIS EVENING
SHOWS HIGH MOISTURE WITH A PWAT OF 2.12 INCHES IN AN UNSTABLE
ATMOSPHERE WITH CAPE OF AROUND 3000 J/KG, LI -6.4C...AND WITH
SHORTWAVE ENERGY MOVING IN FROM THE GULF THE AFOREMENTIONED HRRR
SOLUTION LOOKS PLAUSIBLE. SO WITH THIS POTENTIAL, WILL KEEP THE
GOING FORECAST OF CHANCE OF TSTORMS EAST COAST AND LIKELY GULF
COAST GOING. /GREGORIA

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Quoting reedzone:
After an hour of unexpected strengthening, the squall line is finally collapsing.

That's been pretty much the history of this "event" since last night. It's hard to get any severe weather going in the Northeast in September without some tropical influence, and most of that moved into the Atlantic off NC earlier today instead of continuing north.
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After an hour of unexpected strengthening, the squall line is finally collapsing.
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Nadine:

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TROPICAL STORM NADINE DISCUSSION NUMBER 31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142012
1100 PM AST TUE SEP 18 2012

THE CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER OF NADINE HAS DISSIPATED THIS EVENING
AND THE CYCLONE NOW HAS ONE RAGGED BAND OF CONVECTION OVER THE
NORTHERN PORTION OF THE CIRCULATION. DVORAK DATA T-NUMBERS HAVE
DECREASED AND A BLEND OF THE FINAL T- AND CI-NUMBERS YIELDS AN
INITIAL INTENSITY OF 45 KT. NADINE IS CURRENTLY OVER SSTS OF AROUND
25 DEGREES CELSIUS AND IT SHOULD MOVE OVER SLIGHTLY COOLER WATERS
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE PREDICTED SLOW MOTION OF NADINE
COULD ALSO CAUSE SOME UPWELLING...WHICH IS LIKELY TO REDUCE THE
SSTS A LITTLE MORE. ONE WOULD EXPECT THE COOL WATER AND MODERATE
SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR TO CAUSE NADINE TO WEAKEN. HOWEVER...MUCH OF
THE INTENSITY GUIDANCE SHOWS LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE GLOBAL MODELS ACTUALLY PREDICT SOME
INCREASE IN WINDS OVER THE NORTHWESTERN PORTION OF THE CYCLONE AS A
LARGE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM BUILDS SOUTHEASTWARD DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. AS A RESULT...THE NHC FORECAST CALLS FOR LITTLE
CHANGE IN INTENSITY FOR MOST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. NADINE COULD
BECOME POST-TROPICAL IF IT LOSES MOST OF ITS DEEP CONVECTION DURING
THE FORECAST PERIOD...AND THERE IS GREAT UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE
TIMING OF WHEN THIS COULD OCCUR.

NADINE IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT ABOUT 6 KT. THE FORECAST
TRACK REMAINS A SIGNIFICANT CHALLENGE AS DIFFERENCES EXIST IN THE
MODELS AS TO HOW THE STORM WILL INTERACT WITH A LARGE MID-LATITUDE
TROUGH THAT AMPLIFIES OVER THE NORTHEASTERN ATLANTIC IN A COUPLE OF
DAYS. NADINE IS FORECAST SLOW DOWN AND MEANDER SOUTHWEST OF THE
AZORES DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. AFTER THAT TIME...THE TRACK
GUIDANCE DIFFERS ON WHETHER THE CYCLONE WILL MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD AND
THEN EASTWARD AROUND THE BASE OF THE TROUGH...OR TURN SOUTHWESTWARD
AROUND A STRONG DEEP-LAYER RIDGE OVER THE NORTH-CENTRAL ATLANTIC.
THE 12Z ECMWF SHOWED THE LATTER SCENARIO...BUT MOST OF THE OTHER
GUIDANCE HAS BEEN TRENDING TOWARD A FASTER EASTWARD SOLUTION. THE
NEW NHC TRACK FORECAST FAVORS THE EASTWARD SOLUTION AND IS A LITTLE
FASTER THAN THE PREVIOUS TRACK...BUT NOT AS FAST AS MUCH OF THE
GUIDANCE AND THE TVCA CONSENSUS. THIS MAINTAINS SOME CONTINUITY
WITH THE PREVIOUS TRACK AND SHOWS SOME RESPECT FOR THE ECMWF
SOLUTION.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 19/0300Z 35.8N 32.2W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 19/1200Z 36.5N 32.0W 45 KT 50 MPH
24H 20/0000Z 36.9N 31.6W 45 KT 50 MPH
36H 20/1200Z 36.4N 30.6W 45 KT 50 MPH
48H 21/0000Z 35.3N 29.0W 45 KT 50 MPH
72H 22/0000Z 34.4N 26.5W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
96H 23/0000Z 34.0N 25.0W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
120H 24/0000Z 34.0N 24.0W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROPICAL

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14071
IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...
EASTERN NEW HAVEN COUNTY IN SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...

* UNTIL 1100 PM EDT...

* AT 956 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM CROMWELL TO DURHAM TO PORT JEFFERSON TO SMITHTOWN TO 8 MILES SOUTH OF BABYLON TO 23 MILES SOUTH OF LINDENHURST...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEWINGTON TO WALLINGFORD TO PORT JEFFERSON TO HAUPPAUGE TO ROBERT MOSES STATE PARK TO 17 MILES SOUTHEAST OF LONG BEACH...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS...PREPARE FOR DAMAGING WINDS.
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

&&

LAT...LON 4152 7243 4153 7232 4144 7230 4142 7243
4126 7233 4128 7292 4120 7301 4099 7297
4097 7280 4070 7293 4069 7300 4069 7301
4074 7293 4061 7339 4086 7337 4092 7320
4127 7298 4135 7281 4159 7276 4165 7251
TIME...MOT...LOC 0158Z 221DEG 44KT 4164 7270 4143 7272
4100 7306 4088 7318 4061 7327 4039 7350

$$

GOODMAN

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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LANE ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122012
800 PM PDT TUE SEP 18 2012

...LANE CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AS IT TURNS WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.8N 130.2W
ABOUT 1310 MI...2105 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
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Quoting reedzone:


I was born and raised in Mastic Beach, NY (Long Island) for 13 years before we moved to Florida. I have alot of family up there.. I'm expecting wind damage reports by the morning.


Most of the relatives I have there, I don't like anyway. But the few I do, I will call in the morning.
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 69 Comments: 25458
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM NADINE ADVISORY NUMBER 31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142012
1100 PM AST TUE SEP 18 2012

...NADINE WEAKENS A LITTLE AS IT INCHES CLOSER TO THE AZORES...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.8N 32.2W
ABOUT 325 MI...525 KM WSW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.32 INCHES
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Quoting Chicklit:

Well, for me 100 is way too hot and 32 is way too cold. That's why I like living in Central Florida.


The weather in South Florida is much better. Our temperatures are much more even. I think the first time Miami or Fort Lauderdale ever reached 100 may have been last year.
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 69 Comments: 25458
Quoting Grothar:


We would get them occasionally when I was younger. The lightning storms over the water was really something to watch at night. I was born on Long Island and still have a lot of relatives there.


I was born and raised in Mastic Beach, NY (Long Island) for 13 years before we moved to Florida. I have alot of family up there.. I'm expecting wind damage reports by the morning.
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Quoting HurricaneDean07:

Meet in the middle?

100 is Hot for you, not for me.
- Freezing is Cold for me, not for you.

:)

Well, for me 100 is way too hot and 32 is way too cold. That's why I like living in Central Florida.
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453. Caner
"globe's 4th warmest August on record"

Worlds heaviest concentration of antarctic sea ice on record for this early not worth mentioning i guess...

Doesn't fit the narrative, after all..
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Quoting CaicosRetiredSailor:
http://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2012/ 09/the-end-of-global-warming-how-to-save-the-earth -in-2-easy-steps/262418/

The End of Global Warming: How to Save the Earth in 2 Easy Steps


10 SEP 17 2012, 10:42 AM ET 113
The optimist's case for rescuing the planet

You may not believe me, but I have news about global warming: Good news, and better news.

Here is the good news. US carbon emissions are decreasing rapidly. We're down over 10% from our emissions peak in 2007. Furthermore, the drop isn't just a function of the Great Recession. Since 2010 our economy has been growing, but emissions have kept on falling. The reason? Natural gas. With the advent of "fracking" technology, the price of gas has plummeted far below that of coal, and as a result, essentially no new coal plants are being built. Although gas does release carbon, it only releases about half as much as coal for the same amount of electricity. This is why -- despite our failure to join the Kyoto Protocol or impose legal restrictions on CO2 -- the United States is now outpacing the rest of the developed world in reducing our contribution to global warming.

Now for the better news. A technology is in the pipeline that has the potential to eliminate CO2 emissions entirely. Solar power, long believed to be unworkably expensive, has actually been falling in cost at a steady exponential rate of 7 percent per year for the last three decades straight. Because of this "Moore's Law for solar", electricity from solar panels now costs less than twice as much as electricity from coal, and only about three times as much as electricity from gas. Furthermore, technologies now in the pipeline seem to ensure that the cost drop will continue.

We should have switched to natural gas for vehicles and power plants a long time ago. The issue with solar is battery banks. The large, deep cycle batteries needed for solar systems to store power are mostly manufactured in China or Korea under some of the most polluting conditions in the world. They have to be changed out and disposed of every 2-3 years. Even with recycling, a mass switch to solar power will create a huge hazardous waste problem. Until we improve battery types and prices, solar is dead in the water.
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Quoting reedzone:


Very rough night for Long Island.. A bit rare to see a strengthening squall line at night.


We would get them occasionally when I was younger. The lightning storms over the water was really something to watch at night. I was born on Long Island and still have a lot of relatives there.
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 69 Comments: 25458
Quoting sar2401:

I don't know the answer, Gro, but I was wondering the same thing. That's biggest chunk of ex-93L and it didn't spend all that much time over land or really produce enough weather to get rained out. I sort of doubt it, given how the Atlantic has been this year, but it bears watching.


Should be interesting to watch. It seems to have a lot of energy in it.
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 69 Comments: 25458

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.