Tropical Storm Leslie hits Newfoundland; TD 14 forms

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:55 PM GMT on September 11, 2012

Tropical Storm Leslie zoomed ashore over Newfoundland this morning near 8 am EDT, traveling with a forward speed of 40 mph. Leslie brought sustained winds to the capital of St. Johns of 58 mph, gusting to 82 mph, at 10:30 am local time. At least three other stations in Newfoundland recorded gusts over hurricane force: Cape Pine (85 mph), Bonavista (77 mph), and Argentia (74 mph). Damage to buildings has been reported in St. Johns, and the storm has knocked out power to much of Southeast Newfoundland, including the capital. Leslie's tropical moisture collided with the cold front drawing the storm to the north, resulting in heavy rains over Nova Scotia in excess of 4 inches, which caused considerable flooding of homes and streets. Overall, though, the damage to Canada appears to be far less than that of Hurricane Igor, which hit Newfoundland as a Category 1 hurricane in 2010, causing $200 million in damage. Leslie has now transitioned to a powerful extratropical storm, and will bring heavy rains to Iceland on Thursday, and to Scotland on Friday.


Figure 1. Tropical Storm Leslie as it crossed Newfoundland at 9:46 am EDT September 11, 2012. At the time, Leslie had top winds of 70 mph. The cloud pattern of Leslie looks more extratropical than tropical, and Leslie was no longer a tropical storm at this time. Tropical Storm Michael is visible at lower right, as a tight swirl of low clouds.

Hurricane Michael dying
The longest-lived hurricane of the 2012 Atlantic hurricane season was Michael, which attained hurricane status at 11 pm EDT September 5 and finally weakened to a tropical storm at 5 am EDT this morning. Satellite loops show that Michael has lost almost all of its heavy thunderstorms, and is racing to the northeast over colder waters. Michael will likely be declared dead later today.

Tropical Depression 14 forms
Tropical Depression Fourteen has formed midway between Africa and the Lesser Antilles Islands, from a tropical wave that emerged off the coast of Africa on Friday. The models unanimously predict that TD 14 recurve to the north well east of the Lesser Antilles Islands later this week, on a track that would likely keep this storm far out at sea away from any land areas. TD 14 is in a low-shear environment favorable for strengthening, and will likely become Tropical Storm Nadine by Wednesday.

Elsewhere in the Atlantic
The ECMWF model predicts that the cold front that swept off the U.S. East Coast Monday will leave a trough of low pressure over the ocean which could serve as the focus for development of a tropical or subtropical depression several hundred miles off the coast of North Carolina late this week.


Figure 2. Visible NOAA GOES-7 satellite image of Hurricane Iniki just before landfall in Hawaii at 8:01 pm EDT September 11, 1992. Iniki completed a “clean sweep” of National Weather Service offices responsible for issuing hurricane warnings. The National Hurricane Center in Coral Gables, Florida (Hurricane Andrew), the Joint Typhoon Warning Center in Guam (Typhoon Omar), and the Central Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu, Hawaii (Hurricane Iniki) were all struck by strong hurricanes within a 2-month span in 1992. Image credit: NOAA Environmental Visualization Lab.

20th anniversary of Hurricane Iniki
Twenty years ago today, Hurricane Iniki, the most powerful hurricane on record to strike the state of Hawaii, made landfall on the island of Kauai as a Category 4 storm with sustained winds of 145 mph and gusts up to 175 mph. Iniki brought storm tides of 4.5 - 6 feet (1.4 - 1.8 m) to Kauai, with high water marks of up to 18 feet (5.5 m) being measured due to large waves on top of the surge. Waves up to 35 feet (10.5 m) battered the southern coastline for several hours, causing a debris line of more than 800 feet (250 m) inland. The hurricane's high winds did incredible damage to structures on the island--5,152 homes were severely damaged, and some parts of the island were without power for three months. Iniki's $3 billion damage (2012 dollars) made the hurricane the second costliest Eastern Pacific hurricane, trailing Hurricane Paul, which made landfall in Mexico in 1982. Iniki holds the Eastern Pacific record for lowest pressure for a landfalling hurricane--945 mb (27.91").

Jeff Masters

"Leslie" surf@ Newport # 1 (RIWXPhoto)

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Quoting spathy:


I have done this two other times.
This is the first time I have pointed out my exercise.

I've felt ignored at times to Spathy.When I'am I call it the "zombie pit".Because my peeps aren't on so there is no one to talk to.Also I noticed that when I do come on I feel like the party crasher because people scatter when I make a appearence "bloggers who names will not be mentioned".
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May need to keep an eye on BOC/GOM soon.
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Quoting washingtonian115:
It's mainly the younger bloggers that are all about themselves.But us older ones(at least me) wouldn't mind giving advice to other bloggers if they have problems.


I have done this two other times.
This is the first time I have pointed out my exercise.

Member Since: June 8, 2008 Posts: 65 Comments: 10663
Quoting spathy:
It seems as though I am griping about being ignored. I am not.

This was an exercise to see what type of Family WU still is.

I will conduct it just a few more times.


who died and left you in charge?
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Quoting spathy:


Its all good Wash.
I was just trying to point out how WU is no longer a community. Its an overactive click.

And thank you for responding Washington. :O)
It's mainly the younger bloggers that are all about themselves.But us older ones(at least me) wouldn't mind giving advice to other bloggers if they have problems.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
It seems as though I am griping about being ignored. I am not.

This was an exercise to see what type of Family WU still is.

I will conduct it just a few more times.
Member Since: June 8, 2008 Posts: 65 Comments: 10663
Quoting wxchaser97:

ATCF has it as a 40mph TS so that's what the next NHC advisory should show.

Extreme emphasis on "should".
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 34842
Quoting washingtonian115:
No spathy I can see you just fine.I thought you called it a night on the blog.


Its all good Wash.
I was just trying to point out how WU is no longer a community. Its an overactive click.

And thank you for responding Washington. :O)
Member Since: June 8, 2008 Posts: 65 Comments: 10663
Quoting Dakster:
Is it officially Nadine now? NHC doesn't have it as Nadine yet.

ATCF has it as a 40mph TS so that's what the next NHC advisory should show.
Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 127 Comments: 7984
Quoting wxchaser97:

Well just have to wait and see, nice new avatar.

Thanks :)
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You know, when I got pulled out of class on 9/11 up on Long Island, I was wondering if Erin busted the front and was moving to hit NYC.. then my parents turned on the TV and I was in shock. I was standing on the roof of the second tower at a fieldtrip, 3 years before they collapsed.

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Quoting Dakster:
Is it officially Nadine now? NHC doesn't have it as Nadine yet.



this has been said many of times overe the years but no one seems too get it yet the atcf names it 1st be for the nhc dos but if the atcf shows TS or HU that means at the next update the nhc dos they likey upgrade it down grade it but it all ways shows up on the atcf site 1st be for the nhc gets it



or some in like that
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Quoting MAweatherboy1:

Who knows, lol. I guess it depends on what happens between now and then.

TD 14/Nadine is looking real good:


Well just have to wait and see, nice new avatar.
Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 127 Comments: 7984
Thanks for the ATCF answers...

Spathy,

No... the blog is d-e-a-d at the moment.
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Quoting Dakster:
Is it officially Nadine now? NHC doesn't have it as Nadine yet.


ATCF officially says its Nadine. We should have Nadine in the next advisory.
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Quoting Dakster:
Is it officially Nadine now? NHC doesn't have it as Nadine yet.
ATCF files say yes.
Member Since: October 15, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 4601
Quoting Dakster:
Is it officially Nadine now? NHC doesn't have it as Nadine yet.

ATCF has it as a TS, so it is very likely the NHC will officially make it Nadine at their 11PM advisory.
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Quoting Tazmanian:




Next name storm is oscar.
Yeah I know what I mean if a storm develop before this one.
Member Since: October 15, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 4601
Is it officially Nadine now? NHC doesn't have it as Nadine yet.
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Quoting allancalderini:
If it develops will it be Oscar,Patty or Rafael?

Who knows, lol. I guess it depends on what happens between now and then.

TD 14/Nadine is looking real good:

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Any model consistency on the potential SW Caribbean distrubance??
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Quoting spathy:


It means hello.
Or are you too ignoring my posts.
No spathy I can see you just fine.I thought you called it a night on the blog.
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Quoting allancalderini:
If it develops will it be Oscar,Patty or Rafael?




Next name storm is oscar.
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Quoting washingtonian115:
Hi.I'm not sure that means.Lol.


It means hello.
Or are you too ignoring my posts.
Member Since: June 8, 2008 Posts: 65 Comments: 10663
Quoting allancalderini:
the gulf of Mexico should be watch in the next couple of days. imo.


We shall see :).
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Quoting spathy:


Hello :O)
et tu brute?
Hi.I'm not sure that means.Lol.
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Quoting washingtonian115:
Obvious sarcasm is obvious :).


Hello :O)
et tu brute?
Member Since: June 8, 2008 Posts: 65 Comments: 10663
Quoting Civicane49:
the gulf of Mexico should be watch in the next couple of days. imo.
Member Since: October 15, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 4601
Quoting Civicane49:


In the central Atlantic? Or what storm?
Obvious sarcasm is obvious :).
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Quoting MAweatherboy1:
One of the 18z ensemble members:



I'm certainly not suggesting that will happen but that's the area we have to start looking at this time of year.
If it develops will it be Oscar,Patty or Rafael?
Member Since: October 15, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 4601
Such a nice welcoming community the WU blog is.
Thanks for your friendly responses that will make this blog a future place to communicate..
The added posts from those that want to communicate will help the WU revenue. Good job WU bloggers.
Have you ever heard of a mystery shopper?
It doesnt look like it.
Member Since: June 8, 2008 Posts: 65 Comments: 10663
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Quoting Tazmanian:



stormW been ban



oh
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One of the 18z ensemble members:



I'm certainly not suggesting that will happen but that's the area we have to start looking at this time of year.
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Quoting K8eCane:



yayyyy...i havent seen StormW in a long time. Has anyone heard from patrap? i hope hes ok after the storm and puppy births....



stormW been ban
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Quoting Dakster:


We will have StormW?



yayyyy...i havent seen StormW in a long time. Has anyone heard from patrap? i hope hes ok after the storm and puppy births....
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Quoting washingtonian115:
I don't see a storm out there.Where is it?.



In the central Atlantic? Or what storm?
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I'm sure the NHC will name this Nadine and maybe raise the intensity forecast some at 11pm.
Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 127 Comments: 7984
You gotta love WU.
So welcoming.
Even in the slow times. It takes a village to be a welcoming place to blog.

Hi WU bloggers :O)
Member Since: June 8, 2008 Posts: 65 Comments: 10663
Quoting Civicane49:
I don't see a storm out there.Where is it?.

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Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:


that would make this season ABOVE AVERAGE in terms of storms... an el nino year...wow




guys this is not a EL nino year stop calling it that we dont have EL nino
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Good night GA.
Member Since: June 8, 2008 Posts: 65 Comments: 10663
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:


you dont take breaks in swimming..
Im not concerned about the cooldown, only about the stuff ahead of the trough.



lol


good night

But you swim everyday, never mind. I know you are concerned with any severe weather but I still would like a cool down.
Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 127 Comments: 7984
It's been 20 years since Iniki?.Please..your reminding me of my age :).
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Hi WU bloggers :O)
Member Since: June 8, 2008 Posts: 65 Comments: 10663
Quoting wxchaser97:

Good night GA, you need to take a break from all the swimming. I would like a nice cool down so I hope it happens.


you dont take breaks in swimming..
Im not concerned about the cooldown, only about the stuff ahead of the trough.

Quoting Dakster:


We will have StormW?


lol


good night
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Hi WU community :O)

With all the storms we have had this season in interesting places,does it seem odd that almost nothing has cooled the waters off SW Cuba?

I cant remember any storms developing in that area but it seems to me that late season storms can take advantage of such warm/undisturbed waters.

Any thoughts on that area and the patterns for this year?
Member Since: June 8, 2008 Posts: 65 Comments: 10663
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:
Good Night guys, another nice night here in GA, except for me because i swim outdoors before the sun comes up.
Its funny im still hoping for a giant trough to come.

Have a safe evening night crew and everybody else.

Good night GA, you need to take a break from all the swimming. I would like a nice cool down so I hope it happens.
Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 127 Comments: 7984

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Dr. Masters co-founded wunderground in 1995. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990. Co-blogging with him: Bob Henson, @bhensonweather

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