Summer 2012: 3rd hottest in U.S. history

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 4:48 PM GMT on September 10, 2012

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The summer of 2012 was the 3rd hottest summer in U.S. history, said NOAA's National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) in today's State of the Climate report. June 2012 ranked as the 14th warmest June on record, August was the 16th warmest August on record, and July was the warmest month of any month in U.S. history, bringing the average summer temperature of the contiguous U.S. just 0.2°F shy of the hottest summer on record--the great Dust Bowl summer of 1936. Second place is held by 2011, which was just 0.1°F cooler than the summer of 1936. So far in 2012, we've had the warmest March on record, 3rd warmest April, 2nd warmest May, and warmest July. These remarkably warm months have helped push temperatures in the contiguous U.S. to the warmest on record for the year-to-date period of January - August. Temperatures this year in the U.S. have been so far above the previous record--a remarkable 1°F for the year-to-date period--that even if the remainder of 2012 ranks historically in the coldest one-third of September - Decembers on record, 2012 will beat out 1998 for the warmest year in history. Reliable weather records for the U.S. go back to 1895. The most recent 12-month period of September 2011 - August 2012 was the 4th warmest 12-month period in U.S. history, exceeded only by the 12-month periods ending in July, June, and May of this year.


Figure 1. The summer of 2012 was the warmest on record for Wyoming and Colorado, and ranked in the top-ten warmest on record for 22 other states. For the Contiguous U.S., it was the 3rd warmest summer since record keeping began in 1895. Image credit: NOAA's National Climatic Data Center (NCDC).


Figure 2. Year-to-date temperatures for the contiguous U.S. through August, compared to the previous record warmest years in U.S. history. Outcome scenarios based on persistence of temperature from September through December, the remaining five months of 2012, are shown. Even if the remainder of 2012 ranks historically in the coldest one-third of September - Decembers on record, 2012 will beat out 1998 for the warmest year in history. The January-August 2012 contiguous U.S. average temperature was 58.7°F, 4.0°F above average. The data for 2012 are preliminary. Image credit: NOAA/NCDC.

Most extreme January - August period on record
The year-to-date period was the most extreme in U.S. history, according to NOAA's U.S. Climate Extremes Index (CEI), which tracks the percentage area of the contiguous U.S. experiencing top-10% and bottom-10% extremes in temperature, precipitation, and drought. The CEI was 47% during the year-to-date January - August period. This is the highest value since CEI record-keeping began in 1910, and more than double the average value of 20%. Remarkably, 85% of the contiguous U.S. had maximum temperatures that were in the warmest 10% historically during the first eight months of 2012, and 75% of the U.S. of the U.S. had warm minimum temperatures in the top 10%. The percentage area of the U.S. experiencing top-10% drought conditions was 22%, which was the 11th greatest since 1910.


Figure 3. NOAA's U.S. Climate Extremes Index (CEI) for January - August shows that 2012 had the most extreme first eight months of the year on record, with 47% of the contiguous U.S. experiencing top-10% extreme weather.

Jeff Masters

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Lots of colour
Member Since: July 12, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 6064
well i guss this makes LESLIE not a fish storm
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Today 11 years ago I was waking up for work and headed to downtown D.C.I got in the office and 2 hours later rumors started to surface that a plane had crashed into a building.Then only 25 minutes later I see smoke coming from the distance...The Pentagon had been hit.
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Much like 9/11/2001, it is calm over the Eastern US. Never forget!

11 years ago, on this day, 19 faceless cowards hijacked 4 planes and crashed them into 3 major buildings. The 4th plane never reached its destination because of the heroism of the passengers on board. Never forget what happened that day. America came together, with no regards to a person's color, religious beliefs, or political affiliation. Let us do the same today. Also, remember all the soldiers who have died or were injured defending our freedom.





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90E up to 60%.

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT TUE SEP 11 2012

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE INCREASED NEAR A BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO
MEXICO. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT...
AND THIS DISTURBANCE COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...60 PERCENT...
OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BERG
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91L still remains at 90% and will likely be a depression at 11am per the TWO.


000
ABNT20 KNHC 111150
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE SEP 11 2012

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM LESLIE MOVING OVER NEWFOUNDLAND...AND ON TROPICAL STORM
MICHAEL...LOCATED ABOUT 1135 MILES WEST OF THE AZORES.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
LOCATED ABOUT MIDWAY BETWEEN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS AND THE LESSER
ANTILLES HAVE BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED THIS MORNING.
ADVISORIES ON A NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL LIKELY BE INITIATED
LATER THIS MORNING.
THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...90
PERCENT...
OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BERG
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00
ABNT20 KNHC 111150
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE SEP 11 2012

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM LESLIE MOVING OVER NEWFOUNDLAND...AND ON TROPICAL STORM
MICHAEL...LOCATED ABOUT 1135 MILES WEST OF THE AZORES.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
LOCATED ABOUT MIDWAY BETWEEN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS AND THE LESSER
ANTILLES HAVE BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED THIS MORNING.
ADVISORIES ON A NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL LIKELY BE INITIATED
LATER THIS MORNING.
THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...90
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
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Leslie's center is making landfall.
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Blog update on Leslie, Michael, and 91L.
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91L show time has arrived. According to the models it should now turn about 45 degrees to the current track and head NorthWest. Otherwise some egg on the model designers faces and some nasty weather headed for the Northern islands. Is this just model fiction ? I hope not. I really really want to believe but somehow 20N by 50W seems implausible.
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MARINE...
RIDGING IN THE LOW LEVELS WILL BE SHIFTING EAST KEEPING WINDS
EASTERLY TODAY AND SOUTHEASTERLY TONIGHT AS A WARM FRONT DRIFTS BACK
NORTH OVER THE WATERS. EXPECTING WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE WARM FRONT WEDNESDAY MORNING AND
AS THE MOISTURE INCREASE THE COVERAGE SHOULD INCREASE AS WELL. FLOW
STRENGTHENS WEDNESDAY EVENING THEN RELAXES AFTER MIDNIGHT AND MAY
GET CLOSE TO NEEDING A SCEC FOR WINDS BUT FOR NOW WILL BE CARRYING
NEAR 15KTS OR LESS. COLD FRONTAL TIMING IS PROBLEMATIC GIVEN THE
SPREAD OF THE MODELS...BUT SHOULD BE SOMEWHERE AROUND 00Z SAT
THROUGH 18Z SUN COMPLICATED BY THE DEVELOPMENT OF A BROAD AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE IN THE WESTERN GULF THAT LIFTS NORTHEAST. THE LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM AND THE FRONT ALIGN TO ROTATE WINDS TO THE NORTHEAST
AND MAY END PERSISTING FOR A DAY OR TWO.

Houston NWS Discussion This Morning..
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Snow on the 6Z
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National Hurricane Center’s views on the use of scales to communicate the storm surge hazard

"The new approaches to surge are being designed to reinforce instructions from local
emergency managers. We cannot overstate the importance of following evacuation
orders and other instructions from local officials, regardless of the category or strength
of a tropical storm or hurricane. Ignoring evacuation orders risks not only the lives of
those who stay behind, but also the lives of first responders who may be called upon to
rescue them."
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I am off to teach. May today be a wonderful day for everyone. Please remember those lost this day, gone but not forgotten.
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Quoting HurricaneDan:
Lotta naked swirls today...

Leslie= naked swirl with convection displaced to the north.
Michael= naked swirl with very little convection.
91L= kinda of a naked swirl but convection has been firing.
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616. atris
First time poster just wanted to say that the quote below I am in total agreement with


Quoting trunkmonkey:
Lets all take a few minutes to reflect at

8:46AM America changed forever!

NEVER NEVER FORGET!
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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
324 AM MST TUE SEP 11 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAS VEGAS HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL MOHAVE COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ARIZONA...
EXTREME EAST CENTRAL CLARK COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEVADA...

* UNTIL 515 AM MST/515 AM PDT/.

* AT 315 AM MST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
VERY HEAVY RAIN FROM A THUNDERSTORM SOUTH OF MEADVIEW TO THE PIERCE
FERRY AND ANTARES ROAD JUNCTION...JUST WEST OF GRAND CANYON RANCH.
THE STORM PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN...WITH ONE LOCAL OBSERVATION
SITE INDICATING 1.06 INCHES OF RAIN HAD FALLEN IN 30 MINUTES.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GRAND CANYON RANCH...PIERCE FERRY ROAD...AND MEADVIEW.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED IN WASHES...LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND ON
AREA ROADWAYS. FLASH FLOODING IS NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLER. TO ESCAPE
RISING WATER...MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. NEVER TRY TO CROSS A FLOODED
ROADWAY OR WALK THROUGH FLOODWATERS. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN!
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The BOC and the Old frontal Boundary are active this morning as seen on sat loops.

Link
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........forecast for the Tampa Bay area
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Quoting MAweatherboy1:
Good morning.

Leslie's not going to be classified as tropical much longer:



Michael's dying:



91L just needs convection:


Good morning MA and everyone else. Once just some more convection develops we will have a TD, I don't think Leslie is tropical anymore, and Michael isn't much more than a swirl.
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Good morning, everyone.

Today is 9.11, a tragic day in our history. I, also, hope all can take a moment of silence to commemorate the fallen from this day. For the majority it was something watched in horror on TV. For others, like those on a military post or base, it was six weeks of living going through checkpoint after checkpoint to get to work or home, soldiers guarding/walking through hospitals and schools. And for those in NYC living through a horror unimaginable before that day, surpassing other bombings that had happened.

Today is our last cool morning probably until Fall truly arrives.
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FXUS64 KLIX 110904
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
404 AM CDT TUE SEP 11 2012

.SHORT TERM...
ONE MORE DAY OF RELATIVELY MILD WEATHER BEFORE HUMIDITY BEGINS TO
INCREASE ACROSS THE GULF STATES WITH ONSET OF EASTERLY GRADIENT
FLOW REGIME. NO RAIN EXPECTED TODAY OVER LAND AREAS THOUGH SOME
LIGHT RETURNS MAY APPEAR ON THE OUTER FRINGES OF RADAR TO THE
SOUTH AND EAST LATER TODAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE A FEW DEGREES
BELOW NORMAL TODAY BUT TREND TOWARDS NORMAL WEDNESDAY. OF A MINOR
CONCERN IS APPEARANCE OF MODEST PRESSURE FALLS OVER THE LOWER BAY
OF CAMPECHE IN THE 1014MB RANGE AND ACCOMPANIED BY AN MCS TO THE
SOUTHEAST OF VERACRUZ. SOME MODELS AND TELECONNECTIONS SUGGEST THIS
MAY BE AN AREA OF TROPICAL CYCLOGENSIS IN COMING DAYS. AT THIS
TIME...NOTHING APPEAR IMMINENT DUE TO PROXIMITY TO LAND BUT THIS
WILL HAVE TO BE MONITORED FOR PERSISTENCE AND NORTHWARD DRIFT.
MEANWHILE...2+ INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES LURK OFFSHORE AND
WILL BE SLOWLY CREEPING NORTHWARD THROUGH WEDNESDAY

Hmmmmm Future 92-L ?
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Good morning.

Leslie's not going to be classified as tropical much longer:



Michael's dying:



91L just needs convection:

Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 84 Comments: 7947
Quoting Skyepony:
SANTA ANA, Calif. (AP) - A strong rotten egg smell had Southern Californians plugging their noses and crying foul Monday as air quality investigators scrambled to determine if the sulfurous scent was coming from the Salton Sea.

Investigators from the South Coast Air Quality Management District spread investigators all over the region in an attempt to track the stench after being flooded with 200 complaints since midnight from across much of the district's 10,000 square miles, said Barry Wallerstein, executive for the agency.

Wallerstein said "several factors" indicate the odor could be coming from the Salton Sea, a 376-square-mile saltwater lake about 150 miles southeast of Los Angeles, but there is no definitive evidence yet of this or any other cause.

"The odor was extremely intense," said Janis Dawson of the Salton Sea Authority. "We actually thought that somebody had an accident, a broken sewage main, that's how strong it was."

The dying sea, a major resting stop for migrating birds on the Pacific Flyway, has been plagued by increasing salinity. Created in 1905 when floodwaters broke through a Colorado River irrigation canal, it's expected to shrink significantly by 2018 and become even saltier.

The sea had a fish die-off within the past week and that, combined with strong storms in the area late Sunday, could have churned up the water and unleashed bacteria from the sea floor that caused the stench, said Dawson.

The massive thunderstorm complex moved from Mexico over the area Sunday night, with wind gusts up to 60 mph and widespread dust storms.


What a disaster that place became. I use it as an example when I talk to people about water quality on the Indian River lagoon. They just don't understand the importance of clean water and healthy ecosystems
Member Since: September 23, 2006 Posts: 1 Comments: 2585
91L:

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Quoting islander101010:
americas response to 9/11 was wrong. if we treated this gang of hoodlums like gangsters like they were we might not be wrapped up in these unwinable wars.

yep
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americas response to 9/11 was wrong. if we treated this gang of hoodlums like gangsters like they were we might not be wrapped up in these unwinnable wars.
Member Since: September 11, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 4891
Lets all take a few minutes to reflect at

8:46AM America changed forever!

NEVER NEVER FORGET!
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Quoting Bobbyweather:
There's no TD 14 yet. The ATCF doesn't say it's a tropical depression, and it's already past 09 UTC.
(Although 91L was designated TD 14 yesterday at 12UTC, the renumber was reversed.)


Yeah, I was afraid of that. I noticed the lack of renumber on the ATCF website, but figured they would follow suit with NRL.

My bad guys.

Out for real this time.
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There's no TD 14 yet. The ATCF doesn't say it's a tropical depression, and it's already past 09 UTC.
(Although 91L was designated TD 14 yesterday at 12UTC, the renumber was reversed.)
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Blog update before bed.

Have fun guys.
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Quoting STXHurricanes2012:
No td 14 yet!


I was going to be pissed if they called it.
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No td 14 yet!
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000
WTNT33 KNHC 110851
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL ADVISORY NUMBER 33
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012
500 AM AST TUE SEP 11 2012

...MICHAEL WEAKENING FAST...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...37.1N 47.7W
ABOUT 1135 MI...1825 KM W OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 37.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.7 WEST. MICHAEL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST OR NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND
MICHAEL IS EXPECTED TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS IN ABOUT 24
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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000
WTNT32 KNHC 110853
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LESLIE ADVISORY NUMBER 48
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012
500 AM AST TUE SEP 11 2012

...STRONG WINDS SPREADING OVER EASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND...
...CENTER TO MAKE LANDFALL VERY SOON...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...45.7N 56.4W
ABOUT 170 MI...275 KM WSW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 40 MPH...65 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...968 MB...28.59 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NEWFOUNDLAND FROM STONES COVE TO CHARLOTTETOWN

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NEWFOUNDLAND FROM INDIAN HARBOUR... TO TRITON

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LESLIE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 45.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.4 WEST. LESLIE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H. THIS
GENERAL MOTION WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
TODAY...A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS FORECAST ON WEDNESDAY.
ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF LESLIE WILL MOVE OVER EASTERN
NEWFOUNDLAND THIS MORNING...AND MOVE AWAY FROM ATLANTIC CANADA
THIS AFTERNOON.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY
OR SO...AND THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BECOME AN EXTRATROPICAL OR
FRONTAL CYCLONE LATER THIS MORNING.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 310 MILES...
500 KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 45
MPH...72 KM/H WITH A GUST TO 59 MPH...94 KM/H WAS RECENTLY REPORTED
AT ST. LAWRENCE NEWFOUNDLAND. A CANADIAN BUOY SOUTH OF
NEWFOUNDLAND REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 54 MPH...87 KM/H...WITH A
GUST TO 69 MPH...111 KM/H WITHIN THE PAST FEW HOURS.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON DATA FROM THE
CANADIAN BUOY IS 968 MB...28.59 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVER EASTERN
NEWFOUNDLAND THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. HURRICANE-FORCE WIND
GUSTS ARE LIKELY ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND
THIS MORNING.

SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY LESLIE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT ATLANTIC
CANADA TODAY. THESE SWELLS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND
RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL
WEATHER OFFICE FOR MORE INFORMATION.

RAINFALL...LESLIE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ACROSS NEWFOUNDLAND AND EASTERN NOVA
SCOTIA. ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH LESLIE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.
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Maybe no TD14 after all. Though it's weird that it said that on the NRL website.
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I can't believe Leslie followed Isaac in terms of pressure (although in a different nature)!
70 mph 968 mb
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Quoting PRweathercenter:
Im just going to drop the subject with concrete homes, i didn't know it was so controversial.

I apologize if i offended anyone with my comment early, i was simply clarfing the effects of wind( only wind) against a concrete home.


You guys have great night!!!

Stay safe

;-)

I don't think these kinds of construction discussions are controversial at all, at least not to me. I always try to learn what I can from people on the blog. My questions was prompted by the fact that PR faces twin threats, hurricanes and earthquakes. I was wondering if the very type of construction that's so wind resistant would also pose a hazard in an earthquake. I lived in California for 35 years and have gone through a couple of fairly large quakes, as well as being part of the rescue work after the quakes. I saw first hand the results of bad design and bad construction. I was wondering how engineers and architects in PR have designed the concrete structures to deal with both threats.

Hope you have a good night also, and maybe you'll finally get some rain in the next couple of weeks. :)
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We had some Flooding in Truro, Nova Scotia the town had to be evacuated.The Burin Penn of Newfoundland is where leslie should make landfall.Central portion of that province should get another 4 plus inches of rain on top of the other 4-6 inches or so they recieved yesterday.But hey it could have been alot worse for Eastern Newfoundland if Leslie had of been able to form a core 3 or 4 days ago.
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Quoting HuracanTaino:
Yes , like anywhere else in the world ,slums are slums. By the way we are not trying to hurt your feeling or compete in any way just giving you people a suggestion , is up to you to listen or don't. Have a great night !!

No offense taken and none intended. I was just pointing out that building codes tend to be honored more in the breach than in reality. If you have money, you can build a very strong home. If you don't, you put up what you can afford and hope for the best. I wish everyone in PR could live in safe housing, which is no different than the mainland. Here, we have millions of people living in mobile homes that are dangerous in any kind of wind storm, but they also do what they must to get by.
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A TROPICAL WAVE IS ANALYZED MIDWAY BETWEEN THE CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS AND THE LESSER ANTILLES EXTENDING FROM 23N40W TO A 1008
MB LOW EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH NEAR 16N41W MOVING W
NEAR 15 KT. WAVE/LOW ARE EMBEDDED WITHIN AN AREA OF VERY DEEP
MOISTURE AS DEPICTED ON TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY.
CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS
FROM 15N-21N BETWEEN 36W-45W. ONLY A SLIGHT INCREASE IN
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY COULD RESULT IN THE FORMATION OF A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION AT ANY TIME. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE
OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT
MOVES WNW AT 13 TO 17 KT.
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TD14.
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Quoting sar2401:

Skye, have you ever been to the Salton Sea? It's disgusting even when it doesn't stink too badly. :) If it was't for the Southern Pacific Railroad working around the clock for months in 1905 to plug that leak, the entire Imperial Valeey would be an inland sea. It looks like there's an offshoe flow developing in southen California, which I'm sure is what's bring the smell to Santa Ana. Imagine living by that stinking mud puddle. Yuck!
Nah it's more the result of a gust front/outflow boundary that came through the area as a result of a dying MCS. The NWS office at San Diego even mentioned it in the Weather Story last night and I tracked it on radar and satellite. Unfortunately, archive imagery is hard to come by for local satellite and radar products and I apparently our NWS office doesn't keep an archive for its weather stories.

Here's a quote from Skye's article, though

Quoting Linked Article:
The massive thunderstorm complex moved from Mexico over the area Sunday night, with wind gusts up to 60 mph and widespread dust storms.

"We were watching it from the office on our satellite radar and it was huge, one of the largest that any of us have ever seen in probably 10 years," said Mark Moede, a National Weather Service meteorologist in San Diego.
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the gfs has a boc storm also before the carib. heads to the northern gulf coast. even tho thats lala ummmm what ever time frame.

if the trough really gets to that strength anything coming out of africa will head towards the conus
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584. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #5
TROPICAL STORM SANBA (T1216)
15:00 PM JST September 11 2012
======================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In Sea East Of The Philippines

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Sanba (1002 hPa) located at 10.6N 134.2E has 10 minute sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 50 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north slowly.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
===============
150 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 13.5N 134.1E - 40 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) Sea East Of The Philippines
48 HRS: 16.7N 132.6E - 50 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) Sea East Of The Philippines
72 HRS: 19.4N 130.6E - 60 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) Sea East Of The Philippines
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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