Leslie near hurricane strength; Son of Isaac (90L) emerges in the Gulf

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 3:05 PM GMT on September 05, 2012

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Tropical Storm Leslie is growing more organized and is approaching hurricane strength on its slow voyage northwards at 2 mph towards the island of Bermuda. Moderately high wind shear of 15 - 20 knots due to strong upper-level winds out of the northwest continues to keep most of Leslie's heavy thunderstorms pushed to the east side of the storm, but satellite loops show that Leslie now has an impressive blow-up of heavy thunderstorms with cold cloud tops near its center. Leslie's slow forward speed means that the storm is staying over the cold water stirred up by the storm's winds, inhibiting intensification, but the waters underneath Leslie are warm to great depth, making this less of a factor than usual. According to the latest SHIPS model forecast, the shear is expected to fall steadily today, reaching the low category, 5 - 10 knots, by Thursday afternoon. Leslie is over warm ocean waters of 29 - 30°C, and the reduction in shear and warm waters should aid intensification, and potentially allow Leslie to be at Category 2 strength at its closest pass by Bermuda Saturday night and early Sunday morning, as indicated by the official NHC forecast. The latest 11 am EDT NHC wind probability forecast calls for a 48% chance that Leslie will be a Category 2 or stronger hurricane Sunday morning at 8 am EDT. Leslie is a huge storm, and tropical storm-force winds are expected to extend outward from its center 250 miles by Friday. Bermuda is likely to see a 42-hour period of tropical storm-force winds beginning Saturday morning near 2 am AST, and lasting until 8 pm AST Sunday night. The official NHC forecast shows Leslie nearly making a direct hit on Bermuda, and Leslie will be capable of bringing an extended period of hurricane-force winds lasting six or more hours to Bermuda Saturday night through Sunday morning, should a direct hit materialize. NHC is predicting that hurricane-force winds will extend outwards from the center of Leslie by 35 miles on Thursday night, and I expect this will increase to at least 60 miles by early Sunday morning, when Leslie will be making its closest pass by Bermuda.


Figure 1. Morning satellite image of Tropical Storm Leslie. Heavy thunderstorms have built near the center of the storm, and Leslie is near hurricane strength.

Leslie's impact on Canada
Leslie will stay stuck in a weak steering current environment until a strong trough of low pressure approaches the U.S. East Coast on Saturday. The timing of this trough is such that Leslie will be pulled northwards and then north-northeastwards over the weekend. There are still significant differences among the models in the timing and speed of Leslie's track over the weekend, but we can now dismiss the threat of Leslie making a direct hit on New England. The storm is likely to make landfall in Nova Scotia or Newfoundland, though there are significant differences in the models' predictions of the timing of Leslie's arrival in Canada. The GFS model predicts an early Tuesday landfall in Newfoundland, but the ECMWF model is much faster and farther west, predicting a Monday afternoon landfall in Nova Scotia. Large swells from Leslie are pounding the entire Eastern Seaboard, and these waves will increase in size as Leslie grows in strength this week. The Hurricane Hunters are scheduled to make their first flight into Leslie on Thursday afternoon.


Figure 2. Morning radar image of Invest 90L off the coast of the Florida Panhandle.

Son of Isaac: Invest 90L emerges in the Gulf of Mexico
During Tropical Depression Isaac's trek across the center of the U.S. during the Labor Day weekend, the storm was ripped in half. One portion of the storm moved over the Northeast U.S., bringing heavy rains there, and another portion sank southwards over Alabama. You can see this split by studying an animation of the vorticity at 850 mb (the amount of spin at low levels of the atmosphere, near 5,000 feet above sea level) from the University of Wisconsin. This remnant of Isaac, which still maintained some of Isaac's spin, brought heavy rains of 5 - 10 inches that caused flooding problems over portions of Alabama on Tuesday. The storm has now emerged over the Gulf of Mexico near the Florida Panhandle, and was designated Invest 90L this morning by NHC. In their 8 am Tropical Weather Outlook, NHC gave 90L a 20% chance of developing into a tropical depression by Friday morning. According to NHC naming rules, "if the remnant of a tropical cyclone redevelops into a tropical cyclone, it is assigned its original number or name". Since "the remnant" refers to the primary remnant, and 90L does not fit the definition of a "primary remnant", the storm will be given a new name should it develop into a tropical storm, according to information posted on the NHC Facebook page. Esau or Jacob--the names of the sons of the biblical Isaac--would be fitting names for 90L, but the next storm on the list of Atlantic storms is Nadine.

Long-range radar out of Mobile, Alabama shows a large area of heavy rainfall along the coast due to 90L. The echoes do show some spiral banding behavior, but there is only a slight evidence of rotation to the storm. Infrared satellite loops show that the thunderstorms associated with 90L are not that vigorous and do not have particularly cold cloud tops, and the area covered by the thunderstorms is relatively small. Wind shear is a high 20 - 30 knots over the northern Gulf of Mexico, but is predicted to fall to the moderate range, 10 - 20 knots, by Thursday afternoon. Ocean temperatures in the Gulf have been cooled down considerably by the passage of Hurricane Isaac last week, and are 28 - 28.5°C. This is still plenty warm enough to support formation of a tropical storm, and I expect 90L will increase in organization on Thursday and Friday as it moves slowly south or south-southwest. 90L could become a tropical depression as early as Thursday, though Friday is more likely. A hurricane hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate 90L on Thursday afternoon. A trough of low pressure and an associated surface cold front will move southeastwards over the northern Gulf of Mexico on Sunday, and this trough should be capable of pulling 90L to the northeast to a landfall along the Florida Panhandle or west coast of Florida on Sunday.


Figure 3. Morning satellite image of Tropical Storm Michael.

Tropical Storm Michael in the Central Atlantic
Tropical Storm Michael has strengthened to 50 mph winds, and appears to have a favorable enough environment to become a hurricane later this week. Satellite loops show that this is a small tropical cyclone, far out over the open Atlantic, and none of the models show that Michael will threaten any land areas.

Elsewhere in the Atlantic
The GFS and ECMWF models are predicting that a new tropical wave due to move off the coast of Africa on Friday will develop into a tropical depression by the middle of next week. It's too early to tell if this system might threaten the Lesser Antilles Islands.

Jeff Masters

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GFS at 168 hours, son of isaac vacations in sunny Miami?
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Awesome.
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Quoting calkevin77:


Agreed. Y'all have had enough. Please take the rest of the week off. We'll gladly take it off your hands here in TX and trade ya for our high pressure overhead :)


That's the trouble. Your high pressure is starting nose our way, bring your danged heat along with it. As we climb into the high 90's with dewpoints still in 70's, thanks to the Isaac blob, we'll probably get some severe thunderstorms. You guys in Texas are nothing but trouble. :)
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Member Since: July 4, 2005 Posts: 204 Comments: 8896
12Z CMC

12Z NGP
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Quoting NovaScotia33:


I know. I am in Halifax. Too early to tell I think. Much will depend on the timing of the trough coming from the West although Iam not even sure what we hope for there? Do we hope the trough gets here quicker or later? Anyone?


You want the TROF to be there but you don't want a too deep low associated with the TROF, since then you'll get that "fujiwhara type" effect and you could end up with Leslie trying to swing back to the mainland.
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168. JLPR2
Nice...



I feel safe saying this will probably be a hurricane at 5pm.
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new GFS at 132 hours..it crosses central florida
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sure has grown in size huh............
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Quoting NovaScotia33:


I know. I am in Halifax. Too early to tell I think. Much will depend on the timing of the trough coming from the West although Iam not even sure what we hope for there? Do we hope the trough gets here quicker or later? Anyone?


Later would allow for Leslie to track further west, earlier would kick it out to the east. However the possibility of a upper level low pulling leslie towards Atlantic Canada from a NNE to NNW direction is possible too. Right now it looks like south western/central NL is going to get it the worst. Things can still change.
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Coming for me!!!
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Quoting dogsgomoo:
http://bodyodd.nbcnews.com/_news/2012/08/29/13554 200-can-hurricanes-make-pregnant-women-go-into-lab or or dogs. :P
Yes. Both my children were born during storms - one six weeks early and the other three because my wife's "water broke". The decrease in atmospheric pressure causes the amniotic sac to expand. Any weaknesses in it can lead to a rupture.
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Quoting Grothar:
In the time all of you were arguing over somebody putting a period between his words, I wonder how many of our men and women fighting our wars were put in harms way; how many people died of starvation somewhere in the world(probably about 200 in the last hour); how many people are still homeless in Louisiana, Alabama and Mississippi? How many people were affected by the recent earthquake?

So while we are here drinking our Frescas and pizza rolls in front of our new computers, maybe it is time to put things in perspective.

I have pet peeves, too. The fact the stores always put the arthritis medicine on the lowest shelf, so one has to stoop down to pick it up.....That is not exactly rant material. Be thankful for what we have and hope others can be as fortunate some day.


Yeah, I hate it when they do that with arthritis medicine too. Even worse, it's all the same stuff with different names. :)

Otherwise, quite true...back to Fresca and weather.
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RAW T# for Michael have shot up to 3.4.
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160. VR46L
Quoting dogsgomoo:
Yeah. I think someone posted a link to a study during the height of Issac while puppies were being born.


LOL .... Classic quote !!!!


Anyways 90L in rainbow

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Quoting Sting13:
Not liking this latest GFS run..... landfall/very close pass to where I live in eastern Nova scotia



I know. I am in Halifax. Too early to tell I think. Much will depend on the timing of the trough coming from the West although Iam not even sure what we hope for there? Do we hope the trough gets here quicker or later? Anyone?
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Live streaming video of Isaac damage in Pearlington MSLink
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Quoting Grothar:
In the time all of you were arguing over somebody putting a period between his words, I wonder how many of our men and women fighting our wars were put in harms way; how many people died of starvation somewhere in the world(probably about 200 in the last hour); how many people are still homeless in Louisiana, Alabama and Mississippi? How many people were affected by the recent earthquake?

So while we are here drinking our Frescas and pizza rolls in front of our new computers, maybe it is time to put things in perspective.

I have pet peeves, too. The fact the stores always put the arthritis medicine on the lowest shelf, so one has to stoop down to pick it up.....That is not exactly rant material. Be thankful for what we have and hope others can be as fortunate some day.


+Grothar's Age

btw i don't drink pizza rolls, just fresca
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G'day,

And another two cents worth, lol...
Hmmmm, see no significant change overall in 06Z GFS layer analysis from past several cycles on X-Isaac / 90L... Unless the next 2 cycles show different, I'll stick with my previous statements on what expect to happen - 90L may look it's best over next 24 hrs or so, but should struggle to organize further as mid level vorticity / 500 mb wind field forecast is not promising, in fact appears may well get distorted or shredded to the SW via NELY flow, away from the LLC-850 mb vortex... Quite a difference in the low and mid level wind field / steering influences would indicate vertical alignment issues... Plus the forecast of surrounding abundance of dry air at 700 to 400 mb RH fields is not favorable, esp if the mid level vortex is weakened / misaligned or sheared off... Right now I'm thinking X-Isaac has a chance to become a TD / weak TS briefly over next 30 hrs, with increasing negative factors beyond - initially a nice flare-up / consolidation of a circulation, then perhaps a weakening LLC beyond Thu eve (or 0Z Fri) into Friday... Although somewhat hesitant to deem it a ghost swirl feature, as some baroclinic enhancement is possible via short wave embedded within the approaching frontal trof as all lifts EWD over N FL on Saturday... Worth watching cautiously...

In short term, might well be a wind-maker we don't need with direction / tide levels affecting SE LA next couple days, especially if the LLC sets up farther S / SW than yesterday's estimate, a lil farther below mouth MS River, bringing more ELY onshore flow than NLY - particularly to extreme E LA coastal parishes might see E / SE winds 15-20 kts late Thu... And ANY rain is not welcome in our N Gulf region - my year to date cocorah gauge amount thru August stands at 72.84", in excess of 10.5" of typical yearly total.
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Quoting sar2401:


Let's not get too frisky yet. Those of us that have already been pounded by Isaac, and the ex-Isaac blob would like some time off now.


Agreed. Y'all have had enough. Please take the rest of the week off. We'll gladly take it off your hands here in TX and trade ya for our high pressure overhead :)
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In the time all of you were arguing over somebody putting a period between his words, I wonder how many of our men and women fighting our wars were put in harms way; how many people died of starvation somewhere in the world(probably about 200 in the last hour); how many people are still homeless in Louisiana, Alabama and Mississippi? How many people were affected by the recent earthquake?

So while we are here drinking our Frescas and pizza rolls in front of our new computers, maybe it is time to put things in perspective.

I have pet peeves, too. The fact the stores always put the arthritis medicine on the lowest shelf, so one has to stoop down to pick it up.....That is not exactly rant material. Be thankful for what we have and hope others can be as fortunate some day.
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Quoting TampaFLUSA:

I didn't mean you, but in general. Last week there were several new handles when Isaac was in the gulf. They where mostly from Texas and insisted it was going their way and if you posted a opposing viewpoint with model data they still bashed the person.


Do you mean Ernesto or Debby?
Not really anybody said Isaac to Texas.

but ignore trolls...they are few and far between
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new GFS at 123 hours..its a tampa bay storm again
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150. JLPR2
Quoting TampaFLUSA:

All you new people have ruined this blog.


You barely post and this is the best you can come up with?

Sad.

Quoting TampaFLUSA:

I didn't mean you, but in general. Last week there were several new handles when Isaac was in the gulf. They where mostly from Texas and insisted it was going their way and if you posted a opposing viewpoint with model data they still bashed the person.


Those are just trolls and irrational people, this blog has had that problem for quite awhile, specially during active times, you should know that. :P
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new GFS at 111 hours..tampa bay dont take your eyes off this one.........................
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Quoting CallInBatonRouge:
How certain are we that Isaac spawn will reverse direction mid-gulf and return to Florida? Have the steering currents changed that much since last week?


The jet stream will push the blob south, as it has since its days in south Indiana. In theory, it should then be pushed more east in response to the high over Texas. As to how certain we are, I don't think anyone is certain what this hot mess might do.
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Quoting GeorgiaStormz:


Well you weren't being very nice.
Sorry if you feel that way.


GFS has a lot of storms in fantasy land, but we will see what actually materializes

I didn't mean you, but in general. Last week there were several new handles when Isaac was in the gulf. They where mostly from Texas and insisted it was going their way and if you posted a opposing viewpoint with model data they still bashed the person.
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Quoting ILwthrfan:


Those storms near Quincy are located at the tip of the low level jet from last night. Sat pic really shows it well.

I don't think those storms near Quincy will get to be much unless that mess that is all around you clears out. Those storms draped across the I-70 corridor will rob the inflow to any storm that does form farther north and also the cloud canopy will limit destabilization for this afternoon until it all clears out. I'd say the more likely scenario is for a renegade storm north of I-70 with the greater chances south of the MCS complex that has developed and continues to do so...



Not hitting 100 is always a good thing ;) Although judging by satellite loops St. Louis should see the sun around 1-2 pm, plenty of time to push into the mid to upper 90's.



Of Course soon as I state this the Severe weather Center just updates this to show that I am completely full of (#*&$...:) lol

Member Since: February 2, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1526
Quoting sar2401:


There is an awful lot of freshwater being returned to at least the near shore areas of the Gulf. I wonder how much effect that has on water temps? It would be interesting to know.


Well I can tell you by recent experience with Isaac and the aftermath flood waters they were considerably cooler. I have a bayou and a river near by that dumps into a bay that is directly connected to the gulf. Then entire area was under water. After the storm surge receeded all of the waters including the canal I live on was considerably colder. The river is still at flood stage and all of that water is from rain here locally and up north. Just consider what the MS river is going to dump.
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Quoting CallInBatonRouge:
How certain are we that Isaac spawn will reverse direction mid-gulf and return to Florida? Have the steering currents changed that much since last week?


well the high north of 90L deteriorates, and its certainly not far enough along to go west with it, and a monster trough comes down and takes it east then, so its fairly sure.
Just look at model consensus.

anyway, im gone.
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Quoting dogsgomoo:
Yeah. I think someone posted a link to a study during the height of Issac while puppies were being born.


It's not all weather related at least for humans. It's also about stress induced labor. Happens all the time when a stressful situation happens in her life to a pregant women.
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Quoting TampaFLUSA:

All you new people have ruined this blog.


Well you weren't being very nice.
Sorry if you feel that way.


GFS has a lot of storms in fantasy land, but we will see what actually materializes
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Shear Model............
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Quoting Msdrown:


Don't forget all of the cold rain water coming out of all the rivers cooling the near coastal waters too.


There is an awful lot of freshwater being returned to at least the near shore areas of the Gulf. I wonder how much effect that has on water temps? It would be interesting to know.
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Quoting CallInBatonRouge:
How certain are we that Isaac spawn will reverse direction mid-gulf and return to Florida? Have the steering currents changed that much since last week?
Its not that the steering currents have changed, it is the gigantor dome of high pressure over TX saying hello, and being a bully.
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Quoting LargoFl:
its the low pressure and they have said that for many many years..old news really
Yeah. I think someone posted a link to a study during the height of Issac while puppies were being born.
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How certain are we that Isaac spawn will reverse direction mid-gulf and return to Florida? Have the steering currents changed that much since last week?
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LESLIE IS VERY NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH...AND CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
TO BECOME QUITE FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL INTENSIFICATION TO OCCUR
THROUGH AT LEAST 96 HOURS. THE ONLY OBVIOUS INHIBITING FACTOR IS
COLD UPWELLING BENEATH THE CYCLONE DUE TO ITS VERY SLOW FORWARD
SPEED. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT LESLIE COULD INTENSIFY MORE QUICKLY THAN
FORECAST FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS OR SO...AND THEN LEVEL OFF IN 72-96
HOURS DUE TO UPWELLING. THE SHIPS AND LGEM MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW
SYMPTOMS OF NEGATIVE FEEDBACK CAUSED BY THE GFS MODEL 200 MB
WARMING AFTER 72 HOURS. THE GFS...ECMWF... UKMET...AND HWRF MODELS
GENERATE A VERY ROBUST HURRICANE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST
PERIOD...AND THIS STRENGTHENING TREND HAS BEEN FOLLOWED IN THIS
ADVISORY. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST IS SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN
THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...AND REMAINS ABOVE MOST OF THE INTENSITY
GUIDANCE AFTER 72 HOURS.

LESLIE IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE THAT IS FORECAST TO GROW IN SIZE
OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE WIND FIELD OF THE CYCLONE...
COMBINED WITH ITS EXPECTED SLOW MOTION...WILL HELP TO GENERATE
LARGE LONG-PERIOD SWELLS THAT WILL PROPAGATE AWAY FROM THE TROPICAL
CYCLONE TOWARD BERMUDA AND MUCH OF THE U.S. EAST COAST FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THIS WEEK.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 05/1500Z 25.7N 62.8W 60 KT 70 MPH
12H 06/0000Z 26.0N 62.9W 65 KT 75 MPH
24H 06/1200Z 26.5N 63.0W 70 KT 80 MPH
36H 07/0000Z 26.8N 63.1W 75 KT 85 MPH
48H 07/1200Z 27.2N 63.4W 80 KT 90 MPH
72H 08/1200Z 29.0N 64.3W 85 KT 100 MPH
96H 09/1200Z 32.4N 64.7W 95 KT 110 MPH...NEAR BERMUDA
120H 10/1200Z 39.5N 62.0W 95 KT 110 MPH

$$
FORECASTER STEWART
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Quoting jeffs713:

Actually, it has been pointed out here on the blog that the space was inserted by the blog.

for.example.I.can.type.an.entire.sentence.without .using.the.space.bar.and.it.will.still.appear.to.h ave.a.space.in.it.most.of.the.time.
yeah ive seen that also, good point made there
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Quoting TampaFLUSA:


See, the post you quoted he used the space bar, he/she's lying.
" samarra.c.rica..georgia.sorry..getting.a.kybd.for .t he.birthday "


no wunderground automatically does that.

i.did.not.put.any.space.in.this.sentence.that.i.j ust.typed

and now there probably is one inserted automatically
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Quoting CloudGatherer:
I presume this means he's typing on a mobile device. On some older models, the period is on the main screen, while inserting a space requires clicking through several options, so people text with periods between the words.

Or maybe it's something else. Either way, no reason to be cruel.


I think I already apologized.

Seriously, Islander, if you read this, send me a WU mail and I'll mail you a check for a new keyboard if that's the problem. Let me know what kind of computer and the type of keyboard connecton. That way you can get a rain gauge or something useful for your birthday. :)
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Quoting jeffs713:

Actually, it has been pointed out here on the blog that the space was inserted by the blog.

for.example.I.can.type.an.entire.sentence.without .using.the.space.bar.and.it.will.still.appear.to.h ave.a.space.in.it.most.of.the.time.

especially.when.quoted.
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Quoting TampaFLUSA:


See, the post you quoted he used the space bar, he/she's lying.
" samarra.c.rica..georgia.sorry..getting.a.kybd.for .t he.birthday "

Actually, it has been pointed out here on the blog that the space was inserted by the blog.

for.example.I.can.type.an.entire.sentence.without .using.the.space.bar.and.it.will.still.appear.to.h ave.a.space.in.it.most.of.the.time.
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Quoting dabirds:
Looks like it wants to rotate over me and follow the first one. Really deepening SE of Quincy on the northern edge - maybe that'll make it to you ILwthr.

Hard to believe that 100 for StL, but I guess if the sun comes out behind it?


Those storms near Quincy are located at the tip of the low level jet from last night. Sat pic really shows it well.

I don't think those storms near Quincy will get to be much unless that mess that is all around you clears out. Those storms draped across the I-70 corridor will rob the inflow to any storm that does form farther north and also the cloud canopy will limit destabilization for this afternoon until it all clears out. I'd say the more likely scenario is for a renegade storm north of I-70 with the greater chances south of the MCS complex that has developed and continues to do so...



Not hitting 100 is always a good thing ;) Although judging by satellite loops St. Louis should see the sun around 1-2 pm, plenty of time to push into the mid to upper 90's.
Member Since: February 2, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1526
Quoting TampaFLUSA:


See, the post you quoted he used the space bar, he/she's lying.
" samarra.c.rica..georgia.sorry..getting.a.kybd.for .t he.birthday "


He's not lying, the forum inserts spaces into long unbroken strings of text. This is how stray spaces muck up the works when people copy/past URLs instead of using the link function.
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SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1120 AM EDT WED SEP 5 2012

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054 -058-059-064-141-
144-147-051830-
COASTAL VOLUSIA-FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE OUT TO 20 NM-INDIAN RIVER-INLAND VOLUSIA-MARTIN-
NORTHERN BREVARD-NORTHERN LAKE-OKEECHOBEE-ORANGE-OSCEOLA-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT TO 20 NM-SEMINOLE-
SOUTHERN BREVARD-SOUTHERN LAKE-ST. LUCIE-VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET OUT TO 20 NM-
1120 AM EDT WED SEP 5 2012

.NOW...
THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON...ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
DEVELOP ALONG THE I-95 CORRIDOR AS THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE DEVELOPS
AND PUSHES INLAND. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS ALSO WILL DEVELOP
AROUND THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE REGION...NORTH AND EAST OF THE LAKE
SHADOW. THESE STORMS WILL PRODUCE LOCAL HEAVY RAIN AND DANGEROUS
CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AS THEY MOVE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 15
MPH.

&&

ADDITIONAL DETAILS...INCLUDING GRAPHICS ARE AVAILABLE ONLINE AT:
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MLB/BLOG.PHP
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Quoting TampaFLUSA:

It's easy to fix I will just report islander everytime he posts that way, if enough people mark him he will be banned. I don't care if its mean because he/she is doing it on purpose to be cute.



It's easy to fix I will just report TampaFLUSA everytime you post this way, if enough people mark you, you will be banned. I don't care if its mean because you is doing it on purpose to be mean.


If you really just wish to be cruel and ignorant, do it yourself and go on and report him till you are blue in the face, he hasnt done anything worthy of reporting however.
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Quoting Sting13:
Not liking this latest GFS run..... landfall/very close pass to where I live in eastern Nova scotia


The only positive point I can see is that Leslie would have already transitioned to extratropical by that point, considering it would be entrained in the front, and looks baroclinic.
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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