Disorganized Leslie headed towards Bermuda

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 4:18 PM GMT on September 03, 2012

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Tropical Storm Leslie continues to struggle with moderately high wind shear of 15 - 20 knots, due to strong upper-level winds out of the northwest. The shear is keeping heavy thunderstorms confined to the southeast quadrant of the storm. These thunderstorms are as far removed from the center as we've so far with Leslie, as seen on satellite loops. According to the latest SHIPS model forecast, the shear is expected to stay moderately high through Tuesday night, then drop to the low category, 5 - 10 knots, by Wednesday night. At that time, Leslie will be over warm ocean waters of 29°C, and the reduction in shear and warm waters should allow Leslie to intensify into at least a Category 1 hurricane by Friday, as predicted by most of the intensity forecast models. Intensification to a stronger storm may be hampered by its slow motion, which will cause Leslie to churn up cool water from the depths that will slow intensification. Once Leslie begins moving more quickly on Saturday, this effect will diminish, and Leslie could be at Category 2 strength on Saturday, as predicted by the HWRF and LGEM models. Steering currents for Leslie are expected to be weak on Tuesday - Friday, as Leslie gets stuck between two upper level lows. The latest guidance from our top computer continues to show Leslie making a very close pass by Bermuda on Saturday, and that island can expect a 3-day period of rough weather Friday through Sunday. Leslie will stay stuck in a weak steering current environment until a strong trough of low pressure approaches the U.S. East Coast on Saturday. This trough should be strong enough to pull Leslie quickly to the north on Saturday and Sunday, and Leslie may be close enough to the coast that the storm will make landfall in Canada on Monday, September 10. None of the reliable models have shown that a direct hit on New England will occur, but we can't rule that possibility out yet. The most likely long-term fate of Leslie will be for it to miss land entirely and brush by the coasts of Nova Scotia and Newfoundland, but any forecast of what a tropical cyclone might do a full seven days in advance is pretty speculative. Regardless, Leslie will bring an extended period of high waves to Bermuda, the U.S. East Coast, and Nova Scotia and Newfoundland this week. These waves will be capable of causing significant beach erosion and dangerous rip currents.


Figure 1. Morning satellite image of Tropical Storm Leslie. The low-level circulation center is fully exposed to view, thanks to strong northwest winds creating 15 - 20 knots of wind shear.

Invest 99L in the Central Atlantic
A small extratropical low pressure system that got cut off from the jet stream and is now spinning away in the Central Atlantic, near 26°N 42°W, (Invest 99L), is headed west at 10 mph, and has developed a small amount of heavy thunderstorm activity. This storm is not a threat to any land areas, and in their 8 am EDT Tropical Weather Outlook on Monday, NHC gave 99L a 30% chance of developing into a tropical cyclone by Wednesday morning.

Jeff Masters

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1222. Patrap
Braithwaite father and son rescue about 120 from Hurricane Isaac's floodwaters
Published: Sunday, September 02, 2012, 9:30 PM


On Tuesday night, Isaac's winds whipping and floodwaters high, a Braithwaite father and son kept watch over the minimal levee between eastern Plaquemines Parish and the Gulf of Mexico. As midnight hit, Jesse Shaffer Sr. and Jr. decided one would rest for an hour while the other sat on the levee, locally known as the "wall." Then they would switch, hour by hour, charting the water's rise. But at 12:10 a.m. Wednesday, relatives called to say the water already was rushing over the wall several miles south of their location.

On the northern end of Braithwaite, "it was coming up 6 inches every 10 minutes," Shaffer Jr. said.
Water quickly flowed into lawns and down streets in eastern Plaquemines Parish. Then, it seeped into first floors. Residents who had remained in their homes soon climbed stairs with possessions in tow. As the water rose further, many climbed again, to attics and roofs.
Eventually, they had climbed as high as they could. They flailed their arms and screamed.

With official emergency crews waiting for the winds to subside and the sun to rise, no one responded to their cry, except the Shaffers, who are credited with helping to save about 120 lives.
They rescued a 6-month-old baby and a 70-year-old man. They chopped through roof ventilation systems to gain entry. Some residents swam to them. The Schaffers discovered others fragilely bobbing in the currents, clutching debris that floated 10 to 15 feet above asphalt streets.

And whereas Wednesday morning everyone scrambled with all their might to exit, residents now desperately want to return. They want to survey the lake that once was home, and determine what remains of their material lives.
So as Hurricane Isaac moved on, the Shaffers have taken on a new community role: They are guiding residents back.
Many returning residents said this weekend that they will no longer rebuild within Plaquemines' walls. They said, instead, they will move a few miles north to St. Bernard Parish's protected enclave.

Cut off from the world

Eastern Plaquemines residents call their insubstantial 8- to 9-foot levee the "wall." It's supposed to protect eastern Plaquemines from Braithwaite to White Ditch, but it does not meet federal standards and leaves residents vulnerable when storms approach.
The wall is also what they call the mammoth new 26- to 32-foot federal levee system that cuts across the St. Bernard and eastern Plaquemines Parish line, protecting St. Bernard from waters to the south.
Eastern Plaquemines has just one parish border: To the south, east and west is Mother Nature, either the Mississippi River or the unbridled Gulf of Mexico.

When a massive storm is set to hit, the 20-foot-tall levee gate on Braithwaite's northern border shutters, removing easy entry for eastern Plaquemines residents to the walled-off world of safety. By the time the 8-foot parish wall alongside the Gulf began overtopping Wednesday morning, most residents who lived behind it and could flee had done so. Shaffer and son observed the caravan of cars racing into St. Bernard. Eastern Plaquemines had only about 2,000 inhabitants in 700 homes, and while most already had evacuated before the gate closed, the remaining hundreds crossed the border by riding along the levee itself as the actual road was blocked by that solid 20-foot gate.

"We had watched the cars coming through, and the surge coming over the levee kept getting stronger and stronger. And those cars had to drive through the surge coming over like a waterfall. It was crazy," the younger Shaffer said. "There was a lot of people that didn't make it. They didn't have cars there, so ..."
Helping people reach the wall
The spontaneous rescue effort began about 4 a.m. Wednesday with Jesse Shaffer Sr., 53, searching the east bank with his brother-in-law, Lanny Lafrance, 52. That was about seven hours before any other rescue team arrived.

"I had some friends calling me that were stuck. We had to get to them, and the Sheriff's Office was on the other side of the river ... and the water came up so quick," Shaffer Sr. said.
Before dawn, the men already had scooped up eight people, including two floating on a spare tire and a couple with a baby.

"This man here, Jesse, I called him and said my son and grandson were trapped, and he said 'I'm on my way,'" said Mary Williams, 66, who couldn't enter her home on Saturday because the water still was too high. "Him, he needs to go to the President. He needs to be a national hero."
At the break of dawn Wednesday, Shaffer Sr. rescued her son, Richard Clark, along with several others trapped on the second floor of his Braithwaite home. Clark said Shaffer's boat "was the first one we seen that morning." He said he had called the Coast Guard two hours earlier but officials had told him the winds were too strong to stage a rescue.
"We didn't know at the time if we would drown or not," Clark said.

With winds still gusting at near-hurricane force, Shaffer Sr. pulled up to Clark's second-floor window in his Carolina skiff.
Until the sun rose, Shaffer Sr. wouldn't let his 25-year-old son join him on the rescue mission. He was protective of his son.
At least in the light, you can find a tree to grab on to if the boat goes under, the father said.
Shaffer Sr., a former cabinet maker, current shrimp trawler and commissioned deputy sheriff, knew his community well enough to navigate it in pitch dark, in a boat, with 80 mph winds and fierce currents.
While he waited to join his father on the boat, Shaffer Jr. used his youthful instincts.
"I put it on Facebook. I said, 'Message me, text message me.' By the end of the day, I had 80 texts... addresses, locations of more individuals who had to be rescued," he said.

Shaffer Jr., a volunteer firefighter, emergency medical technician and nurse, vividly recalls his first rescue.
"We was heading south on Highway 39, past this house that was a trailer home and there was five people on there and they were screaming, they were just screaming like crazy," he said.
"They were so relieved to see us. They were spinning around. They were screaming the whole time. By the time we pulled to their roof, they had about that much, that much leeway before the entire house was engulfed with water," he said, holding his hands a few inches apart.

Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129903
Looks like a trough attatched to issac along with some energy in the mid levels heading south into the gom will create a large sized cut off mlc that may work down to the surface as it gets ull support from the ULL over sefl via divergence aloft.
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1220. LargoFl
Nam at 84 hours,interesting weekend for sure tampa bay
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1219. Patrap
Birmingham
NEXRAD Radar

Base Reflectivity 0.50° Elevation
Range 248 NMI

Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129903
1218. LargoFl
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
722 AM CDT TUE SEP 4 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
NORTHEASTERN DALLAS COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...
NORTHERN LOWNDES COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...
SOUTHERN PERRY COUNTY IN ALABAMA...
WESTERN AUTAUGA COUNTY IN ALABAMA...

* UNTIL 1030 AM CDT

* AT 720 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED THAT TWO
TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN OVER THE AREA DURING THE PAST TWO
HOURS. ANOTHER ONE TO TWO INCHES IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT ONE TO
TWO HOURS.

* RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
MARION...SELMA...SELMONT-WEST SELMONT...VALLEY GRANDE...
AUTAUGAVILLE...BENTON......LOWNDESBORO...AND WHITE HALL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...
COUNTRY ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND
OTHER LOW LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO FLOODING.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY.
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1217. Patrap
Doc Masters should have a updated entry for us soon I feel.

Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129903
Making your words last night come true this morning Grothar.
Quoting Grothar:
I've done another early blog which I know nobody will read anyway. I see two more systems developing this week. If you want the details go read it.

Models have shifted quite a bit west this morning.



Also, look at what is coming into the Gulf.


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1215. LargoFl
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
730 AM CDT TUE SEP 4 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN BUTLER COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...
NORTHERN CRENSHAW COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...

* UNTIL 130 PM CDT

* AT 725 AM CDT...VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WAS INDICATED OVER THE WARNED
AREA AND RADAR ESTIMATES SHOW RAINFALL RATES OF 2 TO 3 INCHES PER
HOUR. THIS WILL LIKELY CAUSE FLASH FLOODING IN THE WARNED AREA.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
RUTLEDGE... PETREY... LUVERNE...
I65 AND AL 185... I65 AND AL 10... GREENVILLE...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. SEEK
HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY. DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK INTO AREAS WHERE
WATER CROSSES A ROAD. TURN AROUND - DON'T DROWN!

NEVER TRY TO CROSS OR PLAY IN AN URBAN SPILLWAY OR FLOWING CREEK...
EVEN A SMALL ONE. URBAN FLASH FLOODING IS A MAJOR KILLER.
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Quoting WxLogic:


lol yeah... I stepped away and come back to Michael. :)



You are. So way way behind this AM
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Quoting Grothar:


We may need more than that if these models of other systems come to fruition. Leslie looks like she wants to be a large storm. If that big anti-cyclone moves over her, it should be something to watch.

Even the FIM8 shows a very large system.



Okay, I'll put the kettle on, you fix up the scones, I'll have 2.
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1212. Grothar
Quoting AussieStorm:

A nice hot cuppa tea and maybe a scone with strawberry jam and cream will do nicely at this time of night.


We may need more than that if these models of other systems come to fruition. Leslie looks like she wants to be a large storm. If that big anti-cyclone moves over her, it should be something to watch.

Even the FIM8 shows a very large system.

Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 27210
Crikey, have a look at this......

first one of the new fire season.

Total Fire Ban Advice for New South Wales
Issued at 4:13 pm EST on Tuesday 4 September 2012.

The NSW Rural Fire Service has totally banned the lighting of fires for Wednesday 05 September for the Central Ranges, North Western, Upper Central West Plains, Lower Central West Plains, Southern Ranges, Monaro Alpine, Far South Coast, Illawarra/Shoalhaven, Greater Sydney Region, Greater Hunter and Far Western Total Fire Ban Districts.

For further information regarding Fire Bans and other Fire Restrictions contact The NSW Rural Fire Service on 1800 679 737 or visit http://www.bushfire.nsw.gov.au/


_________________________________________________ _____________________________________________

Crikey, look at the peak winds expected with this front.

Severe Weather Warning
for damaging winds
for people in the Metropolitan, Hunter, Illawarra, South Coast, Central Tablelands, Southern Tablelands, Central West Slopes & Plains, South West Slopes, Riverina, Upper Western, Lower Western, Snowy Mountains and Australian Capital Territory forecast districts
Issued at 10:38 pm EST on Tuesday 4 September 2012.
Strengthening north to northwesterly winds during Wednesday ahead of a cold front.

Weather Situation
A high pressure system over the Tasman Sea is slowly moving east maintaining a ridge over northeastern New South Wales. As the ridge weakens a cold front preceded by warm, strong and gusty northwesterly winds will move through the state during Wednesday and Thursday, followed by another front on Friday. Behind the second front another high is expected to move near the Bight gradually extending a ridge across the state.

Damaging winds around 60 km/h with peak gusts of 100 km/h are forecast to develop in Lower Western, Upper Western and Alpine districts Wednesday morning and extend to the Illawarra, Central Tablelands, Southern Tablelands, South West Slopes, Riverina, Snowy Mountains and Australian Capital Territory forecast districts and parts of the Metropolitan, Hunter, South Coast and Central West Slopes & Plains forecast districts Wednesday afternoon and evening. Alpine Peaks may experience winds around 90 km/h with peak gusts around 150 km/h.



This low is stronger that TD13 and TS Leslie. WOW!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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1210. WxLogic
Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:


As Nea posted the 12z Best Track earlier,it also upgrades to TS Michael,so the numbers keep adding up for the season.


lol yeah... I stepped away and come back to Michael. :)
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Quoting Patrap:


Marble is a fine medium fo sho'.

I have some Jambalaya MRE's from the La. National Guard for yas as well.

That's about the only ones worth eating....
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1208. Grothar
Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:


As Nea posted the 12z Best Track earlier,it also upgrades to TS Michael,so the numbers keep adding up for the season.


If it is any consolation, there are some long range models not posted yet, that show two more systems coming up. I have them in my blog.
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 27210
1207. Patrap
Quoting Grothar:


I use marble for the important updates. (Cute puppies by the way.)


Marble is a fine medium fo sho'.

I have some Jambalaya MRE's from the La. National Guard for yas as well.
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129903
Quoting Grothar:


I just woke up, what do you want at this hour, Hemingway? :) It looks like 12z to me.

A nice hot cuppa tea and maybe a scone with strawberry jam and cream will do nicely at this time of night.
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1205. Grothar
Quoting Patrap:


Indeed, but it takes him a while to Chisel it out of the Bedrock,so be patient on updates.

: )


I use marble for the important updates. (Cute puppies by the way.)
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 27210
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:


Grothar has a blog?

Crikey mate!!!
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1203. Patrap
Quoting Grothar:


I just woke up, what do you want at this hour, Hemingway? :) It looks like 12z to me.


Dunno..my eyes are kinda weepish this am as well.

Nola Roux's Pups have tripled in size since last Tuesday night when Isaac spurred her delivery.

All are fine though.
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129903
1202. Grothar
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:


Grothar has a blog?


Thanks, you twit.
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 27210
1201. Grothar
Quoting Patrap:
That is the 00Z from Last evening 7pm CDT Gro..


jus saying'

See post 1185 for the current 12Z runs for Leslie


I just woke up, what do you want at this hour, Hemingway? :) It looks like 12z to me.
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 27210
1200. Patrap
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:


Grothar has a blog?


Indeed, but it takes him a while to Chisel it out of the Bedrock,so be patient on updates.

: )
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129903
1199. Patrap
Plan of the Day


000
NOUS42 KNHC 031545
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1145 AM EDT MON SEPTEMBER 03 2012
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 04/1100Z TO 05/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2012
TCPOD NUMBER.....12-107

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: POSSIBLE 05/1800Z FIX
MISSION INTO TROPICAL STORM LESLIE NEAR 27.0N 63.3W.

II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK.....NEGATIVE.
SEF
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129903
Quoting K8eCane:


i will definitely read your blog. you give good, accurate info. and its easy to get you to appear.


Grothar has a blog?
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1197. Michfan
Morning everyone. Looks like things are ramping up.
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1196. K8eCane
Quoting Grothar:
I've done another early blog which I know nobody will read anyway. I see two more systems developing this week. If you want the details go read it.

Models have shifted quite a bit west this morning.



Also, look at what is coming into the Gulf.



i will definitely read your blog. you give good, accurate info. and its easy to get you to appear.
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1195. Patrap
Remember, it is the Atlantic Mayan 2012 Swirl-a-palooza after all.

There are now 107 day's until the 2012 Winter Solstice


Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129903
1194. Patrap
LESLIE ShortWave IR Loop dee Loop

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1193. Grothar
The early EMCWF has Leslie much closer west than before.
and quite strong. I think the NHC has a pretty good handle on her now.




Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 27210
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Im starting to think that we're going to exhaust the original naming list.
Me too if get N,O,P,R in September and S,T,V in Octuber and maybe W in November we will have finish this list.
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Quoting WxLogic:


If so, then we might see a re-number in the next 1 to 2 hours.


As Nea posted the 12z Best Track earlier,it also upgrades to TS Michael,so the numbers keep adding up for the season.
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14915
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Im starting to think that we're going to exhaust the original naming list.



Is this still a busted hurricane season lol
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1189. Patrap
That is the 06Z from earlier Gro..


jus saying'

See post 1185 for the current 12Z runs for Leslie
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129903
1188. Grothar
I've done another early blog which I know nobody will read anyway. I see two more systems developing this week. If you want the details go read it.

Models have shifted quite a bit west this morning.



Also, look at what is coming into the Gulf.



Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 27210
Im starting to think that we're going to exhaust the original naming list.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32862
Quoting WxLogic:


If so, then we might see a re-number in the next 1 to 2 hours.




you are vary late its all ready been re number its been TD 13 for 18hrs now its now going too be upgraded
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1185. Patrap

12z Early Cycle NHC model tracks
Leslie

Statistical/Simple Models (CLIPER,BAMs,LBAR,other Statistical Models)




Dynamic Models (More sophisticated models)




Early Model Wind Forecasts

Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129903
and olny SEP 4th
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1183. WxLogic
Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:
Michael at 11 AM?


04/1145 UTC 26.9N 43.5W T2.5/2.5 13L -- Atlantic


If so, then we might see a re-number in the next 1 to 2 hours.
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Quoting wanzewurld:
I was looking at the water vapor loop for September 4, 2012 located off the central eastern coast of Florida
target="_blank">http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/e ast /gmex/loop-wv.html and saw a fair-sized low pressure with what seems to be rapid rotation and wonder if someone would care to comment on this - I'm guessing it's simply a localized storm but have just never seen anything like it with the size and rotation; I'm still trying to learn the connections with water vapor loops and surface or tropical systems. I'm still guessing here that this has no chance of developing into a tropical depression or even holding up to cross Florida into the GOM. Any replies or comments please use my user name, "wanzewurld" so I can locate replies easily
That is an upper Level Low pressure- no worries for tropical development in the near future. The low would have to develop at the surface. Can happen over time but unlikely. More concern would be the return of ex Isaac into the gulf from the mainland.
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13 ts of the season has form.
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1180. Patrap
TS Michael/TD-13 Night IR to Day RGB Loop

Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129903
Tampa Bay Ruskin NWS Disco

LONG TERM (FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)...
A TROUGH AXIS WITH ORIGINS BACK TO THE REMNANTS OF ISAAC PHASED W/
NRN STREAM STREAM ENERGY WILL DIG INTO THE NE GULF THROUGH THE END
OF THE WEEK. MODELS ARE NOT IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON WHAT HAPPENS BEYOND
THAT. THE ECMWF HAS CONSISTENTLY SPUN UP A SFC LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
JUST NE OF THE REGION WHILE THE GFS SHEARS THE ENERGY APART AND
KEEPS MORE OF A DISORGANIZED TROUGH. THE NAM 12 SEEMS ON BOARD WITH
THE ECMWF AS IT ALSO SHOWS A CLOSED LOW BY FRI. EITHER
WAY...MOISTURE POOLED ALONG AND SOUTH OF THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE IN
OFF THE NE GULF LEADING TO INCREASE IN TROPICAL SHRA AND TSTMS FOR
THE WEEKEND...BUT WHICH SOLN PANS OUT WILL OBVIOUSLY HAVE MAJOR
IMPLICATIONS ON EXACTLY HOW MUCH IMPACT THIS SYSTEM WILL HAVE. GIVEN
THE UNCERTAINTY...WILL HOLD CLOSER TO A GFS SOLN WITH POPS
INCREASING INTO THE SCT RANGE FOR THE WEEKEND. A MUCH STRONGER AND
MORE AMPLIFIED MID LEVEL TROUGH WILL DEVELOP OVER THE WEEKEND ACROSS
THE ERN HALF OF THE COUNTRY. THE 00Z GFS HAS TRENDED MORE TOWARDS A
LARGE CLOSED LOW SIMILAR TO THE ECMWF AND THIS WOULD ACTUALLY BRING
THE FIRST COLD FRONT OF THE SEASON THROUGH THE AREA BEFORE STALLING.
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1178. Patrap
Waking up to Mike and Leslie in da Morning?

Al has competition me tinks?
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129903
13 name storms now
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Would someone please tell or show me how to post weather system inages - Still and animated? As always, please include my user name, wanzewurld in your reply so I may locate your reply more easily. Thank Y'ALL-L-L-L (That's my Southern drawl peeking out.)
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we have MICHAEL


AL, 13, 2012090412, , BEST, 0, 268N, 435W, 35, 1006, TS,
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1174. Patrap


.."What we have in mind, is breakfast in Bed for 400,000"..
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129903
13-5-0:

AL, 13, 2012090412, , BEST, 0, 268N, 435W, 35, 1006, TS, 34, NEQ, 30, 30, 0, 0, 1016, 120, 15, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, MICHAEL, M

Michael
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Skewl gotta rowl:)
Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6539

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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