Isaac slamming Gulf Coast with damaging floods, tornadoes

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 4:44 PM GMT on August 30, 2012

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Slow-moving Tropical Storm Isaac continues to hammer coastal Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and Florida's Panhandle with tornadoes, torrential rains, high winds, and a damaging storm surge. Over the past 24 hours, destructive tornadoes have touched down in Biloxi and Pascagoula, Mississippi, and one person was killed by a tree falling on a car in Pearl River County, Mississippi. A major flood event is occurring in Slidell, Louisiana, where Isaac's storm surge filled Bayou Bonfouca and the W-14 Canal, inundating portions of the city with 1 - 5 feet of water. While Isaac is now a weakening minimal-strength tropical storm, it is still a potent rainmaker, and will cause damaging floods all along its path for the next three days. Major river flooding is occurring or is about to occur on a number of rivers in the landfall area. In north central Tangipahoa Parish in southeast Louisiana and southwestern Pike County in southern Mississippi, a mandatory evacuation has been ordered for all low-lying areas and along the Tangipahoa River, due to the potential failure of the Lake Tangipahoa dam. Audubon Park in New Orleans, recorded 11.19" of rain as of 7 pm Wednesday night. An earlier amount of 19" was found to be erroneous, and this is not a 24-hour precipitation record for the city. According to wunderground's weather historian, Christopher C. Burt, New Orleans' greatest 24-hour rainfall on record is 14.01" on July 24 - 25, 1933. The Louisiana official state 24-hour record is 22.00" on Aug. 29, 1962 at Hakberry, although U.S. Army Corps of Engineers `Storm Studies' mentions a 23.80" falling in a 24-hour period at Millers Island during a TS on Aug 7-8, 1940. Storm total was 37.50" over a 60-hour period there during that event.

A few other rainfall totals from Isaac, through 11 am EDT on Thursday:

15.02" Marion, MS
10.09" Hattiesburg, MS
10.15" Gulfport, MS
9.80" Slidell, LA
9.74" Biloxi, MS
8.52" Mobile, AL
5.57" Baton Rouge, LA


Figure 1. Isaac's winds and storm surge overcomes the seawall and floods South Beach Boulevard in Waveland, Miss., Wednesday, Aug. 29, 2012, the seventh anniversary of Hurricane Katrina hitting the Gulf Coast. (AP Photo/Rogelio V. Solis). Waveland experienced a storm surge in excess of 5' for 36 hours.

Isaac's storm surge winds down
Storm surge levels along the coast of Mississippi and surrounding areas are gradually receding, and the surge has finally fallen below 5' at Waveland, which experienced a storm surge in excess of 5' for 36 hours. Isaac's storm surge levels were characteristic of a Category 2 hurricane, and lasted for an exceptionally long period of time. Waveland, Mississippi experienced a peak surge of 8' and peak storm tide of 9' (surge plus the natural high tide), which beat the levels that occurred during Category 2 Hurricane Gustav of 2008 (7' of storm tide.) The peak 11.06' storm surge at Shell Beach, which is in Lake Borgne, 30 miles southeast of New Orleans, exceeded the 9.5' surge recorded there during Gustav. According to an article in nola.com, Isaac pushed a storm surge of 13.6' into Lake Borgne, on the east side of New Orleans. This is not far from the 15.5' storm surge Hurricane Katrina brought to the location. It is quite possible that Isaac's storm surge might have breached levees of the east side of New Orleans, flooding areas inhabited by tens of thousands of people, had the Army Corps of Engineers not completed their $14.5 billion upgrade to the New Orleans flood defenses this year. I estimate that storm surge damage from Isaac will exceed $2 billion. Isaac has likely caused $2.5 billion in insured damage not related to flooding, insurance firm Eqecat estimated yesterday. Here were some of the peak storm surge values that were recorded at NOAA tide gauges during Isaac:

11.1' Shell Beach, LA
8.0' Waveland, MS
3.5' Pensacola, FL
4.6' Pascagoula, MS
3.8' Mobile, AL


Figure 2. A TRMM satellite 3-D view of rainfall on Aug. 28 showed a few very powerful thunderstorms near Isaac's eye were reaching heights of almost 17 km (10.6 miles.) Intense bands of rain around Isaac were occasionally dropping rain at a rate of over 2.75 inches per hour. Image credit: SSAI/NASA, Hal Pierce.

Isaac's storm surge on the Mississippi River
A storm surge estimated at 12' moved up the Mississippi in Plaquemines Parish near Port Sulphur, LA, near 8:30 pm EDT Tuesday, causing overtopping of the levees and flooding of homes in the mandatory evacuation areas behind the levees. These levees were not part of the $14.5 billion levee upgrade New Orleans got after Hurricane Katrina, and were not rated to Category 3 hurricane strength, like the levees protecting New Orleans are. Since salt water is more dense than fresh water, the surge travelled along the bottom of the river, with the fresh water flow of the river lying on top. The surge continued upriver, and before reaching New Orleans, encountered an underwater barrier in Plaquemines Parish. This barrier was constructed by the Army Corps of Engineers beginning on August 15, in order to keep salt water from moving upstream and contaminating drinking water for Plaquemines Parish and New Orleans. Salt water had made it 90 miles upriver to the outskirts of New Orleans, due to the low flow rate of the river (which had dropped 7' below average in height due to the drought of 2012.) According to a spokesperson for the National Weather Service River Forecast Office, this barrier was probably able to completely block the flow of salt water upriver due to Isaac's storm surge, and no salt water made it as far as New Orleans. However, the massive intrusion of ocean water into the river channel caused the mighty Mississippi's fresh water flow to back up for hundreds of miles. Water levels were elevated by 10' in New Orleans (103 miles upstream from the mouth of the Mississippi), 8' in Baton Rouge (228 miles upstream), and 1.4' at Knox Landing, an amazing 314 miles upstream.

Hurricane Kirk in the Central Atlantic
Hurricane Kirk intensified into a 75 mph Category 1 hurricane this morning, becoming the busy 2012 Atlantic hurricane season's fifth hurricane. With the season's mid-point of September 10 still almost 2 weeks away, we've already had 12 named storms and 5 hurricanes, which is close to what an entire season experiences in an average year (11 named storms and 6 hurricanes.) Kirk should stay well out to sea and not trouble any land areas.


Figure 3. Morning satellite image of Hurricane Kirk.

Tropical Storm Leslie forms in the Central Atlantic
Tropical Storm Leslie has formed in the Central Atlantic. Leslie's formation on August 30 puts 2012 in 2nd place for earliest formation date of the season's 12th storm. Only 1995 had an earlier formation date of the season's 12th storm. With records dating back to 1851, this year is only the second time 8 total storms have formed in August. The other year was 2004, when the first storm of the season formed on August 1 (Alex), and the 8th storm (Hermine)
formed on August 29th. Leslie is organizing quickly, and appears destined to become a hurricane before the week is out. Fortunately, Hurricane Kirk is weakening the ridge of high pressure to the north of Leslie, and Leslie is expected to turn to the northwest and miss the Lesser Antilles Islands. In the long term, it remains unclear if Leslie will follow Kirk and fully recurve out to sea. The latest 2 runs of the GFS model have predicted that Leslie will recurve out to sea and not threaten any land areas, but the latest 2 runs of the ECMWF model have predicted that the trough of low pressure pulling Kirk to the northeast will not be strong enough to recurve Leslie out to sea. Instead, the ECMWF predicts that a ridge of high pressure will build in early next week, forcing Leslie more to the northwest, making the storm a potential threat to Bermuda, then to the Northeast U.S. and Canada in 8 - 11 days.

Jeff Masters

Hurricane Isaac Louisiana (apphotos)
Two men walk in the storm surge from Isaac, on Lakeshore Drive along Lake Pontchartrain, as the storm approaches landfall, in New Orleans, Tuesday, Aug. 28, 2012. (AP Photo/Gerald Herbert)
Hurricane Isaac Louisiana
west palm beach flood isaac (alishu)
West Palm Beach flood from Isaac
west palm beach flood isaac
Hurricane Isaac Impacts Navarre Beach & Pier10 (jennjeff1)
Hurricane Isaac versus Navarre Beach Pier, the longest concrete pier on the Gulf of Mexico
Hurricane Isaac Impacts Navarre Beach & Pier10

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1388. LargoFl
folks..be careful..this is NOT issac..came from the african way......GFS at 228 hours
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Quoting 7544:
if u look at the euro run it looks like a the remains of isaac does a split and heads se over ga then heads down the fla pinisular to form michel by the ninth then heads back in the atlanitc if im seeing it right reminds me of another strom that did that flooded fla with rain dont remember the name


Very much reminds me of 2004 when Ivan did the same as Jeanne approached from the East.
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None of this takes it out too sea any more


Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5089 Comments: 114024
1385. LargoFl
Quoting Dakster:


Where is that Largo?
southeast florida
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1384. ncstorm
7.9 Earthquake in the Phillipines
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 13415
Quoting SFLWeatherman:
From Joe Bastardi
Link


Yesterday he was saying a recurve at 70west. Today he's saying as far as 80west.
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ECMWF has been showing for the last few runs that we could have a trough split over Florida while swinging Leslie out to sea as a powerful major hurricane. Interesting situation developing with Leslie that it could stall out before getting moved out to sea, drifting west if anything.
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From Joe Bastardi
Link
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1380. Dakster
Quoting LargoFl:


Where is that Largo?
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1379. LargoFl
Quoting 7544:
if u look at the euro run it looks like a the remains of isaac does a split and heads se over ga then heads down the fla pinisular to form michel by the ninth then heads back in the atlanitc if im seeing it right reminds me of another strom that did that flooded fla with rain dont remember the name
wesurely dont need that..especially south florida right now, palm beach county is still flooding today, long after isaac
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1378. Dsntslp
Quoting 7544:
if u look at the euro run it looks like a the remains of isaac does a split and heads se over ga then heads down the fla pinisular to form michel by the ninth then heads back in the atlanitc if im seeing it right reminds me of another strom that did that flooded fla with rain dont remember the name
Jeanne?

Link
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Quoting WxLogic:
Appears GFS/ECMWF is starting to trend towards a stall of Leslie NE of the Leeward Islands.

If this trends continues then the advertise TROF which is currently evolving across E CONUS/W ATL might not be as long lasting as models originally though.

Given all the ridging we've having all this year in the W ATL... I won't be surprised of a couple cycles in which a W shift could be experienced... specially if Leslie doesn't strengthen as quick as forecasted.


Thx. That is what happened in 2004 with Francis and Jeanne.
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even.kansas.isacc
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Navy says 15.9 N and 48.4 W. 48.4 looks right but 15.9 looks way too far north.



Link
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Quoting AussieStorm:

Why has the whole system warmed, even if an EWRC was going to happen, it wouldn't effect to whole system.

the dry air squeeze!
;)
thought it would happen sooner but Kirk spun up fiercely and shielded well from entrainment. now i wonder what could become of meeting the front... if it can use some of that moisture, another round of intensification perhaps?
Member Since: July 31, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1320
1373. Grothar
The trough coming down looks pretty strong




Here is a link to the animation



Link
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 63 Comments: 23672
1372. WxLogic
Quoting wayfaringstranger:


I hope we know more on the evening model run but it also appears that we may not know more till 9/1 or even 9/2. Confidence on the track 3 days out is usually pretty high. We are still slightly outside that time frame.

But yes it does look like a stall....


We'll definitely see in the next couple days.
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Quoting WxLogic:
Appears GFS/ECMWF is starting to trend towards a stall of Leslie NE of the Leeward Islands.

If this trends continues then the advertise TROF which is currently evolving across E CONUS/W ATL might not be as long lasting as models originally though.

Given all the ridging we've having all this year in the W ATL... I won't be surprised of a couple cycles in which a W shift could be experienced... specially if Leslie doesn't strengthen as quick as forecasted.


I hope we know more on the evening model run but it also appears that we may not know more till 9/1 or even 9/2. Confidence on the track 3 days out is usually pretty high. We are still slightly outside that time frame.

But yes it does look like a stall....
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1370. 7544
if u look at the euro run it looks like a the remains of isaac does a split and heads se over ga then heads down the fla pinisular to form michel by the ninth then heads back in the atlanitc if im seeing it right reminds me of another strom that did that flooded fla with rain dont remember the name
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1369. VR46L
Kirk Really is quite the dapper Captain



No not that one ... This one

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I'm taking a tropical forecasting class at Penn State and my professor for this class is none other than Stacy Stewart from the NHC. He has given us great insite into how they predict expected rainfall total from tropical cyclones.
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1367. FOREX
Quoting Tazmanian:



Levi is likey. Sleeping


Looks like Leslie went well South of her forecast point. Time to feed the models the correct information so we don't have another Isaac situation. Am I way off base??
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TSUNAMI BULLETIN NUMBER 001
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED AT 1255Z 31 AUG 2012

THIS BULLETIN APPLIES TO AREAS WITHIN AND BORDERING THE PACIFIC
OCEAN AND ADJACENT SEAS...EXCEPT ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...
WASHINGTON...OREGON AND CALIFORNIA.

... A TSUNAMI WARNING AND WATCH ARE IN EFFECT ...

A TSUNAMI WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR

INDONESIA / PHILIPPINES / BELAU / YAP / TAIWAN / JAPAN / GUAM /
N. MARIANAS / PAPUA NEW GUINEA

A TSUNAMI WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR

CHUUK / MARCUS IS. / KOSRAE / POHNPEI / MARSHALL IS. /
WAKE IS. / SOLOMON IS. / RUSSIA / NAURU

FOR ALL OTHER AREAS COVERED BY THIS BULLETIN... IT IS FOR
INFORMATION ONLY AT THIS TIME.

THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.

AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS

ORIGIN TIME - 1248Z 31 AUG 2012
COORDINATES - 10.9 NORTH 127.1 EAST
DEPTH - 33 KM
LOCATION - PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION
MAGNITUDE - 7.9

EVALUATION

IT IS NOT KNOWN THAT A TSUNAMI WAS GENERATED. THIS WARNING IS
BASED ONLY ON THE EARTHQUAKE EVALUATION. AN EARTHQUAKE OF THIS
SIZE HAS THE POTENTIAL TO GENERATE A DESTRUCTIVE TSUNAMI THAT CAN
STRIKE COASTLINES NEAR THE EPICENTER WITHIN MINUTES AND MORE
DISTANT COASTLINES WITHIN HOURS. AUTHORITIES SHOULD TAKE
APPROPRIATE ACTION IN RESPONSE TO THIS POSSIBILITY. THIS CENTER
WILL MONITOR SEA LEVEL DATA FROM GAUGES NEAR THE EARTHQUAKE TO
DETERMINE IF A TSUNAMI WAS GENERATED AND ESTIMATE THE SEVERITY OF
THE THREAT.

ESTIMATED INITIAL TSUNAMI WAVE ARRIVAL TIMES AT FORECAST POINTS
WITHIN THE WARNING AND WATCH AREAS ARE GIVEN BELOW. ACTUAL
ARRIVAL TIMES MAY DIFFER AND THE INITIAL WAVE MAY NOT BE THE
LARGEST. A TSUNAMI IS A SERIES OF WAVES AND THE TIME BETWEEN
SUCCESSIVE WAVES CAN BE FIVE MINUTES TO ONE HOUR.

LOCATION FORECAST POINT COORDINATES ARRIVAL TIME
-------------------------------- ------------ ------------
INDONESIA GEME 4.6N 126.8E 1335Z 31 AUG
BEREBERE 2.5N 128.7E 1353Z 31 AUG
PATANI 0.4N 128.8E 1419Z 31 AUG
SORONG 0.8S 131.1E 1438Z 31 AUG
MANOKWARI 0.8S 134.2E 1447Z 31 AUG
WARSA 0.6S 135.8E 1450Z 31 AUG
JAYAPURA 2.4S 140.8E 1538Z 31 AUG
PHILIPPINES LEGASPI 13.2N 123.8E 1338Z 31 AUG
DAVAO 6.8N 125.7E 1340Z 31 AUG
PALANAN 17.1N 122.6E 1353Z 31 AUG
BELAU MALAKAL 7.3N 134.5E 1407Z 31 AUG
YAP YAP_IS. 9.5N 138.1E 1417Z 31 AUG
TAIWAN TAITUNG 22.7N 121.2E 1441Z 31 AUG
HUALIEN 24.0N 121.7E 1446Z 31 AUG
HUALIEN 24.0N 121.6E 1446Z 31 AUG
CHILUNG 25.2N 121.8E 1524Z 31 AUG
JAPAN OKINAWA 26.2N 127.8E 1502Z 31 AUG
SHIMIZU 32.8N 133.0E 1605Z 31 AUG
KATSUURA 35.1N 140.3E 1646Z 31 AUG
KUSHIRO 42.9N 144.3E 1746Z 31 AUG
HACHINOHE 40.5N 141.5E 1753Z 31 AUG
GUAM GUAM 13.4N 144.7E 1517Z 31 AUG
N. MARIANAS SAIPAN 15.3N 145.8E 1533Z 31 AUG
PAPUA NEW GUINE VANIMO 2.6S 141.3E 1539Z 31 AUG
WEWAK 3.5S 143.6E 1611Z 31 AUG
MANUS_IS. 2.0S 147.5E 1637Z 31 AUG
MADANG 5.2S 145.8E 1656Z 31 AUG
KAVIENG 2.5S 150.7E 1700Z 31 AUG
RABAUL 4.2S 152.3E 1734Z 31 AUG
KIETA 6.1S 155.6E 1753Z 31 AUG
AMUN 6.0S 154.7E 1806Z 31 AUG
LAE 6.8S 147.0E 1810Z 31 AUG
CHUUK CHUUK_IS. 7.4N 151.8E 1646Z 31 AUG
MARCUS IS. MARCUS_IS. 24.3N 154.0E 1649Z 31 AUG
KOSRAE KOSRAE_IS. 5.5N 163.0E 1740Z 31 AUG
POHNPEI POHNPEI_IS. 7.0N 158.2E 1744Z 31 AUG
MARSHALL IS. ENIWETOK 11.4N 162.3E 1756Z 31 AUG
KWAJALEIN 8.7N 167.7E 1811Z 31 AUG
MAJURO 7.1N 171.4E 1843Z 31 AUG
WAKE IS. WAKE_IS. 19.3N 166.6E 1757Z 31 AUG
SOLOMON IS. FALAMAE 7.4S 155.6E 1804Z 31 AUG
PANGGOE 6.9S 157.2E 1809Z 31 AUG
GHATERE 7.8S 159.2E 1837Z 31 AUG
MUNDA 8.4S 157.2E 1854Z 31 AUG
RUSSIA URUP_IS 46.1N 150.5E 1824Z 31 AUG
NAURU NAURU 0.5S 166.9E 1843Z 31 AUG

BULLETINS WILL BE ISSUED HOURLY OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.
THE TSUNAMI WARNING AND WATCH WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT UNTIL
FURTHER NOTICE.

THE JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY MAY ALSO ISSUE TSUNAMI MESSAGES
FOR THIS EVENT TO COUNTRIES IN THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC AND SOUTH
CHINA SEA REGION. IN CASE OF CONFLICTING INFORMATION... THE
MORE CONSERVATIVE INFORMATION SHOULD BE USED FOR SAFETY.

THE WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL ISSUE PRODUCTS
FOR ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...WASHINGTON...OREGON...CALIFORNIA.
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Quoting stormdane:

You can download the app called "Hurricane Tracker for iOS" (free) in App Store, it contains a bunch of radar loops, local satellite loops, projected paths etc etc


Thanks a whole lot Stormdane...
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1364. WxLogic
Appears GFS/ECMWF is starting to trend towards a stall of Leslie NE of the Leeward Islands.

If this trends continues then the advertise TROF which is currently evolving across E CONUS/W ATL might not be as long lasting as models originally though.

Given all the ridging we've having all this year in the W ATL... I won't be surprised of a couple cycles in which a W shift could be experienced... specially if Leslie doesn't strengthen as quick as forecasted.
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TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER PALMER AK
557 AM PDT FRI AUG 31 2012

...THIS TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT IS FOR ALASKA/ BRITISH
COLUMBIA/ WASHINGTON/ OREGON AND CALIFORNIA ONLY...

NO WARNING... NO WATCH AND NO ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE STATES AND PROVINCES PREVIOUSLY LISTED.

EVALUATION
EARTHQUAKES OF THIS SIZE ARE KNOWN TO GENERATE TSUNAMIS
POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS TO COASTS OUTSIDE THE SOURCE REGION.
THE WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER IS INVESTIGATING
THE EVENT TO DETERMINE THE LEVEL OF DANGER. MORE INFORMATION
WILL BE ISSUED AS IT BECOMES AVAILABLE.

PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
MAGNITUDE - 7.9
TIME - 0448 AKDT AUG 31 2012
0548 PDT AUG 31 2012
1248 UTC AUG 31 2012
LOCATION - 10.9 NORTH 127.1 EAST
- PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION
DEPTH - 21 MILES/33 KM
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Quoting tropicofcancer:


Great minds think alike! Good to see you again Watcher!!!
LOL. I have been around but mostly in lurker mode.
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1361. icmoore
Birds Eye View of some of the flooding caused by Isaac.

Link
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Quoting stormwatcherCI:
Not really sincee that was put out yesterday at 10 am. Wait on the updated one today and see what it says.


Thx. I didn't realized he posted yesterday's flight plan.
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Quoting Tazmanian:



Levi is likey. Sleeping
Give him a red bull....I thought all forecasters ran on adrenaline and red bull? Jim Cantore?
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Quoting wayfaringstranger:
The 06 GFS model run has Leslie tracking more west and south of 20 through 9/2? I think the model has shifted the storm west on each of the previous model runs since yesterday mornings 06 run?

I know Dr Masters mentioned that the ECMWF had 2 model runs tracking Leslie as a threat to Bermuda and possible threat to the E US coast.

I dont have access to the latest ECMWF runs and would like to see what the ECMWF is showing for Leslie.

Will the ridge really build back in time? Levi are you tracking this?



Levi is likey. Sleeping
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5089 Comments: 114024
Quoting tropicofcancer:


Great minds think alike! Good to see you again Watcher!!!

That track has one of the best slow burn jazz solo guitar, with the horns, good stuff.
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The 06 GFS model run has Leslie tracking more west and south of 20 through 9/2? I think the model has shifted the storm west on each of the previous model runs since yesterday mornings 06 run?

I know Dr Masters mentioned that the ECMWF had 2 model runs tracking Leslie as a threat to Bermuda and possible threat to the E US coast.

I dont have access to the latest ECMWF runs and would like to see what the ECMWF is showing for Leslie.

Will the ridge really build back in time? Levi are you tracking this?
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1355. Dsntslp
Quoting bassis:


Has anyone seen a report as to how many acres flooded from Isaac. Between Fla.,Miss.,Ala., & La. its seems like a lot of land was under feets of water
I can't answer your question but I can tell you that they are still changing out transformers to get the power back on for people in Saint Lucie County, Fl. They were working on it at all hours of the night last night.
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Quoting stormwatcherCI:
I can see it in your smile


Great minds think alike! Good to see you again Watcher!!!
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Quoting luvtogolf:


That would tell me that the NHC is not at all concerned with Leslie threating the Islands. With Isaac, they were out there at the very first opportunity.



The nhc has not updated the fight plane for today wait they be sending the recon out likey on sat
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5089 Comments: 114024
Quoting ncstorm:


Hey Wash..you remember the Cartoon series Jem? use to come on in the afternoons..your avatar reminded me of it..
Sorry don't remember/know what that is.
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Quoting washingtonian115:
I don't know.My daughter downloaded this on my computer and I took it.
Thanks my bus haven`t come yet.
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Quoting luvtogolf:


That would tell me that the NHC is not at all concerned with Leslie threating the Islands. With Isaac, they were out there at the very first opportunity.
Not really sincee that was put out yesterday at 10 am. Wait on the updated one today and see what it says.
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1349. WxLogic
Good Morning
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1348. ncstorm
Quoting washingtonian115:
So it's a separate storm...


It looks like it to me..a trough split perhaps..I saw GT posted yesterday that it was Isaac so I could be wrong..
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 13415
Quoting FtMyersgal:
Plan of the Day
------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------


000
NOUS42 KNHC 301400
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1000 AM EDT THU AUGUST 3O 2012
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 31/1100Z AUGUST TO 01/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2012
TCPOD NUMBER.....12-103

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.


II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK.....NEGATIVE.
TMB





That would tell me that the NHC is not at all concerned with Leslie threating the Islands. With Isaac, they were out there at the very first opportunity.
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1346. ncstorm
Quoting washingtonian115:
I don't know.My daughter downloaded this on my computer and I took it.


Hey Wash..you remember the Cartoon series Jem? use to come on in the afternoons..your avatar reminded me of it..
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 13415
1345. Grothar
15.7N 48.6W 12z
14.9N 47.1W 06z
14.5N 45.9W 00z
14.2N 44.5W 18z

Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 63 Comments: 23672
1344. bassis
Quoting Skyepony:
I had heard there was flash flooding in Orlando, FL today but dang..



Has anyone seen a report as to how many acres flooded from Isaac. Between Fla.,Miss.,Ala., & La. its seems like a lot of land was under feets of water
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Quoting ncstorm:


I dont think so..
So it's a separate storm...
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Quoting redwagon:

I can see it in your eyes,
I can see it in your smile
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Quoting mitthbevnuruodo:


.....is it me you're looking for?



LOL


I can see it in your smile
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Quoting AussieStorm:

Why has the whole system warmed, even if an EWRC was going to happen, it wouldn't effect to whole system.


That's like saying if I take out your heart and give you a new one, it wouldn't affect you briefly.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 108 Comments: 30237
Plan of the Day
------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------


000
NOUS42 KNHC 301400
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1000 AM EDT THU AUGUST 3O 2012
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 31/1100Z AUGUST TO 01/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2012
TCPOD NUMBER.....12-103

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.


II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK.....NEGATIVE.
TMB



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About JeffMasters

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.