Isaac makes its final approach towards Louisiana

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 3:29 PM GMT on August 28, 2012

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The winds and water are rising all along the coast from Louisiana to the Florida Panhandle as Tropical Storm Isaac makes its final approach. Two hurricane hunter aircraft in the storm are measuring a steadily lowering pressure and increasing winds aloft, but hurricane-force winds have not yet been observed at the surface. The 8:30 am center fix found a pressure of 976 mb, which is very low for a tropical storm. Top surface winds measured with the SFMR instrument were 70 mph, but the plane measured 102 mph at an altitude of 5,000 feet. It's more typical to see surface winds of 85 mph with a storm with these characteristics. Infrared and visible satellite loops and hurricane hunter reports from this morning have shown that Isaac has developed a 25-mile diameter eye, though the eyewall has not yet formed a full circle around the eye. Heavy thunderstorm activity is lacking on the north side, where light wind shear of 5 -10 knots is still pumping some dry air into the circulation.


Figure 1. Morning satellite image of Isaac. Note how dry air has wrapped into the west side of the storm, causing a lack of heavy thunderstorm activity.

Isaac's rains
One of the most remarkable features of Isaac has been the huge spiral band that parked itself along most of the east coast of Florida and remained there for an entire day, despite the fact the center of the storm moved 400 miles away. This rain band was amplified by a weak trough of low pressure along the East Coast, which pulled away from the coast Monday night, taking the band of heavy rain out to sea (except for a few lingering showers near West Palm Beach.) Isaac's heaviest rains fell along a swath from the east coast of Florida near West Palm Beach to the center of the state, just south of Orlando. The 2-day rainfall total of 9.03" at West Palm Beach brought their monthly rainfall total to 22.28", a new August record (old record: 20.12" in 1995.) Vero Beach's 6.48" of rain was a record for any August day. A possible tornado touched down there, damaging 20 mobile homes. In the Keys, rainfall totals as high as 7.94" (at Upper Matecumbe Key) were measured. Heavy rains from Isaac are lingering over Cuba but have ended in Haiti and the Dominican Republic; flash floods in Haiti from Isaac's torrential rains killed at least 24, and two died in the Dominican Republic. The big concern in Haiti is the heavy damage that was done to crops, and the likelihood that the storm's rains will worsen the cholera epidemic that has killed over 7,000 Haitians.


Figure 2. Radar-estimated rainfall from Miami, Florida radar shows that Isaac has dumped a wide swath of 8+ inches of rain (orange colors) across the state. Rainfall amounts in excess of 20" may have fallen just west of West Palm Beach, though the highest amount reported by a rain gauge was 13.10" at Greenacres in Palm Beach County.

Latest model runs for Isaac
The latest set of 0Z and 06Z (8 pm and 2 am EDT) model runs are fairly unified taking Isaac ashore near Southeast Louisiana late Tuesday night or early Wednesday morning, but continue to show some differences in what happens after that. Isaac may scoot nearly west-northwest just inland along the coast into Texas, as predicted by the ECMWF model, or head straight inland to the northwest and into Arkansas, as predicted by the GFS model. The latest 8-day precipitation forecast from the GFS model calls for 10 - 20 inches of rain over much of Louisiana. It appears likely that Arkansas will see some heavy rains of up to five inches, which would help put a dent in the exceptional drought conditions there.

Intensity forecast for Isaac
Low wind shear of 10 knots or less is likely until landfall, along with very warm ocean temperatures. An analysis of upper level winds from the University of Wisconsin CIMSS shows that Isaac's upper-level outflow is the strongest we've seen, with a solid outflow channel to the south. These conditions favor continued strengthening of Isaac until landfall. However, we've observed in the past many instances of hurricanes suddenly weakening in the final 12 hours before making landfall along the Central Gulf Coast. Katrina, Gustav, Dennis, Ivan, and Rita all did so. A July 2012 paper in the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society by Rosenfeld et al. titled, AEROSOL EFFECTS ON MICROSTRUCTURE AND INTENSITY OF TROPICAL CYCLONES, theorizes that this may happen because of the impact of small particles that get pulled into the outer circulation of hurricanes, seeding the clouds. These small particles, primarily from air pollution, serve as the seed around which water condenses, increasing the rain in the outer spiral bands. The increase in rain and heat energy at the periphery of the storm comes at the expense of the eyewall and inner core, where the winds tend to weaken. A detailed modeling study by Khain et al. (2010) of Hurricane Katrina in the final day before landfall was able to reproduce the storm's weakening only when this air pollution effect was included. This impact of small particles on hurricanes is not included in any operational hurricane model.


Figure 3. Tide gauge data from Shell Beach, located in Lake Borgne just east of New Orleans. The green line shows the storm surge. The red line is the storm tide, the height of the water above Mean Sea Level (MSL.)

Storm surge observations from Isaac
Isaac's storm surge has peaked along the west coast of Florida. As I explain in our Storm Surge Tutorial, we are most interested in the storm tide--the height above Mean Sea Level (MSL) of the tide plus the storm surge. The storm tide is the number given in NHC advisories for how much above ground level the ocean will be at the coast. The storm surge is the extra elevation of the water due to wind blowing on the water, and does not include the action of waves on top of the water, nor the tide. Tide gauges are specially constructed so that transient waves do not impact water level measurements. At Cedar Key on the West Florida coast north of Tampa, a storm surge of 3' and storm tide of 3.8' were observed early this morning. These were the highest water levels measured at any tide gauge along the Florida west coast. Higher storm surges are occurring in the Florida Panhandle. As of 9 am EDT, here were the storm surge/storm tide measurements along the Florida Panhandle:

Apalachicola, FL: 3.5' storm surge, 4' storm tide
Panama City, FL: 2.3' storm surge, 3.3' storm tide
Pensacola, FL: 1.5' storm surge, 2.5' storm tide

A storm surge of 3.5 feet was recorded at 10 am EDT at Shell Beach on the east side of New Orleans in Lake Borgne. This site will have one of the highest surge values during Isaac; a storm surge of 9.5' was measured at Shell Beach during Hurricane Gustav in 2008.


Figure 4. Category 2 Hurricane Gustav of 2008 followed a very similar path to Isaac, and brought a storm tide (the combined effect of the storm surge and tidal levels) of up to 14.5' above ground level to the east side of New Orleans. Isaac's surge may be similar, though probably a little less, than Gustav's.


Figure 5. Track of Hurricane Gustav of 2008, which followed a path very similar to that of Isaac's predicted path.

Isaac: similar to Category 2 Hurricane Gustav of 2008 in destructive power?
Isaac is a huge and slow-moving storm, with tropical storm-force winds that extend out 205 miles from the center. Isaac has cut its forward speed down from 14 mph yesterday to 10 mph today, and a large swath of the coast will be subject to high winds and a large storm surge for an usually long period of time for a hurricane--up to 24 hours. Long duration winds are much more damaging than short duration winds, and a long duration storm surge event allows damage to occur during multiple high tide cycles. The long duration storm event will also allow very high rainfall totals, resulting in greater fresh-water flooding problems than usual. As a result, I expect Isaac's to cause more damage than the typical Category 1 hurricane. The 9:30 am EDT Integrated Kinetic Energy analysis from NOAA's Hurricane Research Division put the destructive potential of Isaac's winds near 2.3 on a scale of 0 to 6, but the destructive potential of Isaacs's storm surge was 4.1 on a scale of 0 to 6. For comparison, the storm surge destructive potential of Category 2 Hurricane Gustav of 2008 was rated at 4.2 on a scale of 0 to 6, and the wind destructive potential was 1.1--which is lower than Isaac's, even though Isaac was just a tropical storm at 9:30 am EDT. Gustav brought a storm tide (the combined height of the storm surge and high tide) of 14.5' to the east side of New Orleans, and 11' to Waveland, Mississippi. However, the destructive potential of Isaac's surge may be overrated by this analysis. Wave heights this morning from buoy and ships in Isaac have mostly been below 15', which is quite unimpressive. One ship report to the SE of the storm had a 19' wave height (thanks to meteorologist Steve Gregory for pointing this out.) With only another 12 - 18 hours over water, Isaac likely won't have time for its slowing increasing winds to build up a storm surge that will reach as high as 14', like Gustav did. The official NHC forecast of maximum storm surge height of 12' looks like a good one. The highest rainfall total observed in Gustav was 21" at Larto Lake, Louisiana, and I expect we'll exceed that for Isaac, since the storm is moving more slowly. Gustav spawned 41 tornadoes--21 in Mississippi, 11 in Louisiana, 6 in Florida, 2 in Arkansas, and 1 in Alabama. The strongest tornado was an EF2 in Evangeline Parish, Louisiana. Isaac will likely produce 10+ tornadoes. The total damage from Gustav in the U.S. was $4.5 billion (2012 dollars.) I expect Isaac's damage total will be in the $500 million - $4 billion range.

Invest 97L in the Middle Atlantic
A tropical wave (Invest 97L) is located in the Middle Atlantic, about 1250 miles west-northwest of the Cape Verde Islands. The storm has a modest amount of spin and heavy thunderstorms, and is under moderate wind shear. In their 8 am EDT Tropical Weather Outlook, NHC gave 97L a 40% chance of developing by Thursday morning. None of the reliable models foresee that 97L will be a threat to any land areas.

Another tropical wave that moved off the coast of Africa on Sunday is located just southwest of the Cape Verde Islands, and is moving west at 15 mph. Several models develop the disturbance into a tropical depression late this week, and NHC is giving the disturbance a 10% chance of becoming a tropical depression by Thursday morning. The disturbance could begin to affect the Northern Lesser Antilles as early as Saturday night, though our two best models, the GFS and ECMWF, predict the center of the disturbance will pass a few hundred miles north of the islands. The disturbance could be a long-range threat to Bermuda.

Jeff Masters

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It can't be too bad yet, there are a lot of people walking the streets on their live cam
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Don't wait for the reports of hurricane winds, they are there and getting closer to you. Not a large area with them but, they are there.

Member Since: August 19, 2005 Posts: 5 Comments: 5452
I ntensifying

S oaking

A nnoying

A ________? (fill in the blank)

C aptivating
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Quoting uncwhurricane85:
i see they are now calling this tropical storm a hurricane...this weather we are experiencing in coastal north carolina (which is indirectly related to isaac) is wrose than the storm itself
I think you are sadly mistaken, and have not been through anything more than a breeze based on your comment.
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Wish for the best for all affected by this and future storms. As a little tyke whose family moved to MS Gulf Coast in "48 right after the Hurricane of 1948. That was not a direct hit there after hitting south Florida, but was bad. Went to LA or Tx after skimming MS. I've been thru or experienced the aftermath of all since. Lived in MS or Fl coast since, experienced first hand Camille, Fredrick, Geogeses, and Katrina (water to my nose @ 5 foot 6 inches nose height on land 22 feet above sea level, water swirling funiture around me, not like standing in a swimming pool that deep, floating my mother on her foam mattress with oxygen bottle. She perished nine months later from grief of losing her home since '48.

You see me as Eyetoothtom 1, I was on without the 1, back when IndianrRivergGuy posted often, he had recollection of the storm of '28 up the west coast of Fl. We chatted prior to Katrina. There was actually a link for members to contact each other. The chatting was not a post. Over the years with new computer and email address changes and lost password, couldn't sign on without new registry, thus the 1.

The blog has changed. Much bickering, I'm right, You're wrong. I predicted this two days ago. It used to be only information to help inform. And people are coming here for that.

Y'all have at it I guess. Me and ole timers like ole IndianRiverGuy will have to pass. I could never propose I'm right and you're wrong, or what's coming.

One P.S....yesteday Korinthman and some others were bemoning and saying they would get flack, but were so disappointed how weak was this storm. Bring on the next and make it better. You must not have seen the suffering? Sick!

Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 31
Quoting VAstorms:


Wasn't the Northshore area wiped out by Katrin? The last time I was over there the houses still hadn't been rebuilt.


yes, Slidell was. no one noticed, because it was not NOLA.
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I think the real story with Isaac will be his surge. Will be very impressive for a weak Cat 1.

Something for researchers to study in the future.

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Quoting VAstorms:


Wasn't the Northshore area wiped out by Katrin? The last time I was over there the houses still hadn't been rebuilt.


I think they had an 18 to 19 foot storm surge in Katrina in that area.

It's protected SOME from the open ocean so it takes a while for the water to come up, but the forecast was 6 to 12 feet, I think. This is pretty bad, but nothing like Katrina, because Katrina had mean level 18ft plus the wave action on top of it.


This will probably have lower mean level rise, but higher mean wave heights since the winds will be blowing almost directly onshore for them throughout the event, so I am not sure what the consequences of this difference is going to be.
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Quoting LurkyMcLurkerson:

Totally agreed. I don't think the forecasting or categorization has been wrong according to our definitions, I think the language we use fails to capture the potential damage. The definitions wind up muddying public understanding rather than clarifying, IMO.

I would love to see that change somehow, but I'm not sure what would be best there. At any rate, currently, people really need to be consistently reminded that each storm is itself and brings its own threats, regardless of how we categorize it -- the saffir-simpson should be one indicator, not the only thing people use as a guide.
Great comment. A key point is that the top two killers are inland flooding and storm surge...wind is farther down the list. Also, speed and size (and even pressure) of the storm are not included at all in the Saffir-Simpson scale nor in our language hierarchy of tropical depression-tropical storm-hurricane.
Member Since: September 16, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 3174
I think Isaac finally had enough of that pesky dry air...looks like he's starting to flex his muscles now...satellite presentation DRAMATICALLY improved today...
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Quoting GetReal:


Just back from a drive around, cops are arresting bottom feeders, streets are kinda empty, feelin that pressure drop......looks like Issac is tightening a lot, good thing it can't close that eyewall off too much.
Member Since: June 16, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 1565
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
FLC099-281845-
/O.NEW.KMFL.SV.W.0140.120828T1815Z-120828T1845Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
215 PM EDT TUE AUG 28 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTHEASTERN PALM BEACH COUNTY IN SOUTH FLORIDA.

* UNTIL 245 PM EDT

* AT 213 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS
OF 60 MPH
. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES SOUTH OF NORTH COUNTY
AIRPORT...AND MOVING NORTH AT 15 MPH.

* THE STORM WILL AFFECT...
NORTH COUNTY AIRPORT...
AND SURROUNDING COMMUNITIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 58 MPH AND
OR LARGE HAIL. FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAINFALL IS
ALSO POSSIBLE. IF THE STORM APPROACHES YOUR LOCATION, SEEK SHELTER IN
AN ENCLOSED BUILDING ON THE LOWEST FLOOR AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

Member Since: August 21, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 143
Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC)
Transmitted: 28th day of the month at 18:16Z
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last 3 digits of the tail number are 306)
Storm Number & Year: 09L in 2012
Storm Name: Isaac (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 31
Observation Number: 24
A. Time of Center Fix: 28th day of the month at 17:42:20Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 28°28'N 88°50'W (28.4667N 88.8333W)
B. Center Fix Location: 128 miles (206 km) to the SE (145°) from New Orleans, LA, USA.
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 1,216m (3,990ft) at 850mb
D. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind: 59kts (~ 67.9mph)
E. Location of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind: 43 nautical miles (49 statute miles) to the NW (320°) of center fix
F. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 54° at 74kts (From the NE at ~ 85.2mph)
G. Location of Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 43 nautical miles (49 statute miles) to the NW (321°) of center fix
H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 975mb (28.79 inHg) - Extrapolated
I. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 17°C (63°F) at a pressure alt. of 1,405m (4,610ft)
J. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 22°C (72°F) at a pressure alt. of 1,524m (5,000ft)
K. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 20°C (68°F)
K. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
L. Eye Character (Undecoded): SPIRAL BAND
M. Eye Shape: Elliptical (oval shaped)
M. Orientation of Major Axis in Elliptical Eye: 100° to 280° (E to W)
M. Length of Major Axis in Elliptical Eye: 80 nautical miles (92 statute miles)
M. Length of Minor Axis in Elliptical Eye: 70 nautical miles (81 statute miles)
N. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and Temperature
N. Fix Level: 850mb
O. Navigation Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical miles
O. Meteorological Accuracy: 1 nautical mile
Remarks Section:
Maximum Flight Level Wind: 94kts (~ 108.2mph) in the east quadrant at 15:50:30Z
Sea Level Pressure Extrapolation From: 850mb
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Oil Rig south of the Mississippi River delta has been reporting sustained winds 60-65mph with gusts to hurricane force.
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Quoting SFLWeatherman:
This is so bad


Ugg, that's not good at all. Reports are the waters are higher today than when I was out in Wellington yesterday from the runoff.
Member Since: August 19, 2005 Posts: 5 Comments: 5452
Quoting WetBankGuy:
Every freq of satellite I look at it appears the COC as best it can be made out is closing in on the 0000Z forecast point at Pilottown awfully quick.


I dont' think the landfall forecast timing is correct.

The storm seems to be moving faster than the official data says.

Figure even if you don't count plaquemines (sorry I know there's people there, it's just that's not going to weaken or slow down the storm,) well, "landfall" and closest approach in or near NOLA should be early tonight, not tomorrow morning.
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Checking In: 70119: MidCity New Orleans
Pressure: 1001mb
Winds: Light (6kts) from the N.

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Isaac is HUGE and GOM is not the only area being affected - Almost knee deep water in downtown Charleston, SC. People - water is what kills not the winds!!!!!

Link
Member Since: August 21, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 143
Quoting tennisgirl08:


Latest steering map, which I was referring to in my post below...


I do not like the look of that steering; a possible slowing or stall right after landfall.... IMO
Member Since: July 4, 2005 Posts: 204 Comments: 8898
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
It's funny how you guys are bashing the people that have degrees and have been doing this for decades. If you have a problem with them, don't watch it. We don't care if you think they're hyping.
You were bashing Pasch (an NHC Senior Hurricane Specialists with a PhD) the other day because his intensity forecast didn't match up with yours...
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Pasch doesn't have Isaac becoming a hurricane until 28/06Z (Tuesday morning). He has officially lost his mind.

Interestingly enough, his forecast ended up being pretty spot on.

Sorry for calling you out, but we should all lighten up a bit on our authorities. They are right more often than we are. That is why they are in the position they are now and we are in our chairs at home.
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Eye in 1 hour or so should be just east of here:

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station =pstl1

Located at the text labeled "Pass A Loutre State Wildlife Management Area"

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Quoting BeanTech:


It's called sarcasm....look it up.


I know what sarcasm means Im just saying we are going through a potential natural disaster and someone is making light of the situation.I dont care what you call it.It is not necessary.I mean no disrespect.
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Quoting AtHomeInTX:


Vidor/Orange County.
Not far from me.
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Quoting SFLWeatherman:
This is so bad


Yeesh...looks like it is training over the Acreage again!! Wow do they ever not need more rain.
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Quoting RTSplayer:


It looks like the most powerful band(at present) is probably going to move through the northshore area.


The storm is forming an inner eye wall that you can see on radar inside the big band that currently has the hurricane force winds. If this inner eye wall gets established we could see further intensification, as well as more wide-spread and consistent hurricane force winds.


Wasn't the Northshore area wiped out by Katrin? The last time I was over there the houses still hadn't been rebuilt.
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It is raining like a son of a gun here in the Charleston area today!

My thoughts and best wishes go out to all of you in the path of Isaac. Stay safe you guys!
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Quoting Charliesgirl:


We called a couple of elderly folks who are alone, my husband has offered to go get them. I think I need more beer.


Good man. Y'all stay safe out there.
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Quoting WetBankGuy:
Every freq of satellite I look at it appears the COC as best it can be made out is closing in on the 0000Z forecast point at Pilottown awfully quick.


Correction: Pilot Station at the mouth of the river.
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Quoting uncwhurricane85:
i see they are now calling this tropical storm a hurricane...this weather we are experiencing in coastal north carolina (which is indirectly related to isaac) is wrose than the storm itself

Are you being sarcastic?
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1-3 in rain expected tonight in central NC south of US-1. NWS says it's due to front stalling and piece of Isaac being drawn into NC.

... didn't see that coming...
Member Since: June 5, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 223
here in Houma, La a light breeze blowing, nothing else much going on. It really feels good outside.
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Quoting Patrap:
well pat here we go. me and u getting ready to ride this thing out. lets go Isaac! bring it!!
Member Since: July 25, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 2750
693. yoboi
Quoting AtHomeInTX:


I'm not sure when they update them. I'm just going to keep checking the NHC to see if they change any of our warnings or not. And our NWS. We should know something by the 4 o'clock discussion anyway. :)


look at golden triangle page nws from lc has a video on there....
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Quoting swlacanemom:
AtHome

where are you?


Vidor/Orange County.
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Latest steering map, which I was referring to in my post below...
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This is Charleston SC!
Link
Member Since: August 21, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 143
Quoting guygee:
That is an important point, Reed, you are right. The lower pressure contributes significantly to the storm surge regardless of the wind speed.

The Saffir-Simpson scale and even our language are both inadequate to accurately describe the different types of tropical cyclones.


Totally agreed. I don't think the forecasting or categorization has been wrong according to our definitions, I think the language we use fails to capture the potential damage. The definitions wind up muddying public understanding rather than clarifying, IMO.

I would love to see that change somehow, but I'm not sure what would be best there. At any rate, currently, people really need to be consistently reminded that each storm is itself and brings its own threats, regardless of how we categorize it -- the saffir-simpson should be one indicator, not the only thing people use as a guide.
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Quoting NOLALawyer:
Getting some good gusts here in Mandeville. Very strange....heavy gusts, low clouds, then sunshine. All mixed together. No rain yet.


It looks like the most powerful band(at present) is probably going to move through the northshore area.


The storm is forming an inner eye wall that you can see on radar inside the big band that currently has the hurricane force winds. If this inner eye wall gets established we could see further intensification, as well as more wide-spread and consistent hurricane force winds.
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Sorry you had to end your vacation with a Hurricane Patrap and thanks for all your contributions here. I don't post often but I lurk during the season quite a bit.
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Every freq of satellite I look at it appears the COC as best it can be made out is closing in on the 0000Z forecast point at Pilottown awfully quick.
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Member Since: July 4, 2005 Posts: 204 Comments: 8898
According to latest steering maps, the weakness should be forcing Isaac more poleward. N, then NE. But because he is so weak, he is not feeling the weakness. I am not sure about the 10 NW mph movement, because the Plains ridge is fairly strong to his West and should block his movement. If he gains ANY strength he should start moving more NNW than WNW, but what do I know.

I think he may meander a little longer offshore than originally thought. This until he either:
a) gains more strength (moves north)
b) the ridge to the north starts to bridge with the A/B high pushing him west.

He will do what he wants, but any thoughts?
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This has been requested before from several posters, but now that Isaac is again really affecting populated areas it would be helpful for anyone posting about current conditions they are experiencing to post each time exactly where they are.

People come on and off the blog and sometimes even regulars forget where everyone lives. (northeast of Toronto, Ontario Canada, and of no interest to anyone at the moment :>))
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AtHome

where are you?
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Quoting Patrap:
USE ALL AVAILABLE SOCIAL MEDIA, CELL PHONES,ETC to contact anyone who may be about..or may not be fully aware of the situ.

Esp the Shut ins, Elderly, Disabled abled..and those who may not have a place to be.

Humanity is the rule of the day now. As it should be everyday.
Quoting Patrap:
USE ALL AVAILABLE SOCIAL MEDIA, CELL PHONES,ETC to contact anyone who may be about..or may not be fully aware of the situ.

Esp the Shut ins, Elderly, Disabled abled..and those who may not have a place to be.

Humanity is the rule of the day now. As it should be everyday.


We called a couple of elderly folks who are alone, my husband has offered to go get them. I think I need more beer.
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Quoting AtHomeInTX:


Well that's definitely more than forecasted.


Yep kinda goes with what i have been seeing latly
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Quoting blsealevel:
Curfew Issued in Terrebonne Parish

Terrebonne Parish will impose a parish wide curfew beginning tonight (Tuesday, August 28) at 8:00 p.m. until 6:00 a.m. on Wednesday, August 29, 2012.

Anyone in violation of this curfew will be questioned by law enforcement officers. This curfew is being issued to ensure the safety of residents and could be extended as weather conditions warrant.

Link


Isn't it pathetic that grown adults have to be treated like children? I have always been sickened by people that don't adhere to warnings and then put emergency pers. in danger because they have to be rescued! I personally think those individuals should be issued tickets vs being simply "questioned".
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Storm surge on Bayou Chico in Pensacola is now at 3'. My dock is going under water.
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About 3.5 to 4 foot storm surge thus far in Pt. Clear, Alabama, on E. Shore.

Mostly light drizzle, had sun out for a few hours until recently. A bit breezy but not unlike a good norther blowing down in December.

About half / half businesses in Fairhope and along 98 from Daphne S. towards Foley and Gulf Shores are open.

Looks like radar showing a decent band coming in later this afternoon.

But surge of 4 feet on this side of the bay a bit surprising...for this storm as well.
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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