Three Atlantic threat areas may develop; a record fire season for the U.S.

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:43 PM GMT on August 20, 2012

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A large tropical wave (Invest 94L) located about 1100 miles east of the Lesser Antilles Islands is headed west at 20 - 25 mph, and is showing increasing organization today. The storm is under light wind shear of 5 - 10 knots, and is over waters of 27°C. A large area of dry air lies just to the north of 94L, as seen on the latest Saharan Air Layer (SAL) analysis and water vapor satellite loops. This dry air is interfering with development, and this morning's visible satellite loop shows that 94L's heavy thunderstorm activity is sparse. However, the satellite loops do show that 94L has now separated from the clumps of heavy thunderstorms to its south, and a pretty well-defined surface circulation has developed. Heavy thunderstorms are now attempting to fire up around this circulation center, but are being hampered by dry air. The center of 94L was about 80 miles to the north of buoy 41041 at 10 am Monday morning, and the buoy recorded SW winds of 10 mph, confirming that 94L probably does have a closed surface circulation. The disturbance will have to build and maintain more heavy thunderstorms than it has now to be considered a tropical depression, though. The first hurricane hunter mission into 94L is scheduled for Tuesday afternoon.


Figure 1. Morning satellite image of Invest 94L.

Forecast for 94L
The latest 8 am EDT run of the SHIPS model predicts that wind shear will be low, 5 - 10 knots, for the next five days. Ocean temperatures will warm from 27°C this morning to 28.5°C by Wednesday morning, and the total heat content of the ocean will increase sharply during that period, as well. The main impediment to development will be dry air to the north, and the SHIPS model predicts the amount of dry air will change little over the next five days. I expect that 94L will continue to struggle with dry air through Wednesday, when it will probably have had enough time to moisten the surrounding atmosphere and protect itself against the dry air. The models have shown increasing unity in taking 94L through the Lesser Antilles on Wednesday, and I expect the storm will be a tropical depression or weak tropical storm with 40 - 50 mph winds at that time. In their 8 am EDT Tropical Weather Outlook, NHC gave 94L a 80% chance of developing into a tropical depression by Wednesday morning. None of the reliable models predict that 94L will reach hurricane strength over the next five days, and it is unlikely that 94L will be able to organize quickly enough to become anything stronger than a 60 mph tropical storm before reaching the Lesser Antilles, given the storm's current struggles with dry air, and the lack of model support for intensification. However, once 94L enters the Eastern Caribbean, wind shear will be low, oceanic heat content high, and the storm should have had enough time to moisten the atmosphere to allow steady strengthening to occur. The main factor that might prevent intensification into a hurricane late this week would be a close pass by the island of Hispaniola. Our top models for long-range 4 - 5 days forecasts all show a path for 94L very close to the island.

Will 94L hit the U.S. mainland?
This storm is a long-range threat to the U.S., as historically, 16% of storms in 94L's location have gone on to hit the U.S., with North Carolina the preferred target (10% chance.) A trough of low pressure capable of pulling 94L to the north enters Western Canada Thursday night, and the exact timing and amplitude of this trough will determine the ultimate landfall location of 94L. The long range 7 - 14 day runs of the GFS model over the past three day have all predicted an eventual landfall for 94L in the U.S., though these long-range runs are notoriously unreliable. The predicted landfall locations have ranged from New England to Texas--which isn't much help. The past three runs beginning on Sunday afternoon have all taken 94L over Florida during the August 27 - 29 time frame, which I'm sure is making organizers of the Republican National Convention uncomfortable, since the convention is in Tampa August 27 - 30. However, 94L could miss Florida completely, as the average error in model forecasts going out 7 days is in excess of 500 miles. We can't rule out a North Carolina landfall, but the pattern we've seen so far this year is for landfalls in Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula, so a more southwards path for 94L into the Yucatan is definitely a possibility. Also, we have that huge drought region in the Midwest, which tends to create its own high pressure bubble, which reduces the odds of storms making the turn and hitting the Central or Western Gulf Coast. If 94L makes it to the Western Caribbean, I see the two most likely options as a landfall in Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula (and then westwards into Mexico south of the Texas border), or recurvature into the Florida Gulf Coast.


Figure 2. MODIS satellite image of Hurricane Gordon taken on Sunday August 19, 2012, at 11:55 am EDT. At the time, Gordon was a Category 2 hurricane with 100 mph winds. Image credit: NASA.

Gordon hits the Azores
The eye of Hurricane Gordon passed over Santa Maria Island in the eastern Azores Islands near 1:30 am EDT this morning. Gordon was a Category 1 hurricane with 75 - 80 mph winds at landfall. Winds at the Santa Maria airport reached a sustained 49 mph at 3 am EDT, but the airport did not report winds during passage of the eyewall at 1:30 am. Reuters reported that Gordon caused only minor flooding and power outages. The hurricane is being sheared apart by strong upper-level winds, and the extratropical remnants of Gordon will not bring any strong winds or significant rain to Europe.

Disturbance 95L in the Gulf near the Texas/Mexico border
A region of disturbed weather (Invest 95L) has developed in the Gulf of Mexico off the coast, just northeast of Tampico, Mexico. The disturbance is due to a trough of low pressure and its associated cold front which moved off the coast over the weekend, but has been fortified via moisture from Tropical Storm Helene, which made landfall Saturday near Tampico. If 95L were to develop into a tropical storm, it would receive a new name. In their 8 am EDT Tropical Weather Outlook, NHC gave 95L a 30% chance of developing into a tropical cyclone by Wednesday morning. An Air Force hurricane hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate 95L this afternoon. Winds at Tampico this morning were light out of the northeast, which implies that no surface circulation is forming at this time. Radar out of Altamira, Mexico does show some banding to the precipitation echoes, though, which may be indicative of something trying to spin up. The computer models show that 95L should move little over the next few days.


Figure 3. Radar out of Altamira, Mexico at 9:45 am EDT August 20, 2012, shows some banding to the precipitation echoes in association with 95L.

Disturbance 96L off the coast of Africa
The tropical Atlantic is very busy this third week of August, and this is the week of the year that we typically see a major ramp-up of tropical storm activity in the Atlantic. A new tropical wave that emerged from the coast of Africa Sunday (Invest 96L) is headed west at 15 - 20 mph. This disturbance has a modest amount of spin and heavy thunderstorm activity, and is under a moderate 10 - 20 knots of wind shear. In their 8 am EDT Tropical Weather Outlook, NHC gave 96L a 20% chance of developing into a tropical cyclone by Wednesday morning. This disturbance does not have much model support for development.


Figure 4. The new Suomi National Polar-orbiting Partnership satellite (S-NPP) carries an instrument so sensitive to low light levels that it can detect wildfires in the middle of the night. On August 17, 2012, the Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) on Suomi-NPP acquired this image of the wildfires blazing in Idaho. The images were created with data from the instrument’s "day-night band," which sensed the fire in the visible portion of the spectrum. The Halstead Fire, centered about 18 miles northwest of Stanley, was sparked by lightning on July 27, and is burning in an area with large numbers of trees killed by the mountain pine beetle. As of Sunday afternoon, the fire had burned 92,000 acres was only 5% contained, according to InciWeb. The fire prompted the evacuation of the town of Featherville on Saturday night. Red flag warnings for adverse fire weather were posted in the region yesterday, and temperatures reached the low 90s with 16% humidity and winds of 10 mph. Image credit: NASA.

A record fire season in the U.S.
Massive fires continue to burn in Nevada, Idaho and California, and fires that are currently active in the Western U.S. have consumed over 1.3 million acres of land--an area approximately the size of Delaware. Thanks to widespread drought and unusually high temperatures over the past month, 3 million acres have gone up in flames since mid-July, and the fire season of 2012 now ranks in first place for the most acreage burned at this point in the year. According to the Interagency Fire Center, 6.8 million acres have burned as of August 19 this year, beating the previous record set just last year (6.5 million acres for the year-to-date period.) The Interagency Fire Center shows year-to-date records just for the past ten years. The 2012 fire season is well ahead of the pace of 2006, which was the worst fire year in the U.S. for total acreage burned in a year (records began in 1960). In 2006, 9.9 million acres burned, and 6.4 million acres had burned by August 19. With drought conditions far more widespread this year compared to 2006, and the latest forecasts calling for little drought relief over the coming two months, 2012 is likely to surpass 2006 as the worst fire year in U.S. history before the end of the year.


Figure 5. Comparison of drought conditions between the previous record fire year in the contiguous U.S. (2006) with 2012. Drought is much more widespread in 2012 compared to 2006, and 2012 will likely finish ahead of 2006 for the most acreage burned since record keeping began in 1960. Image credit: U.S. Drought Monitor.

Global warming expected to increase fire activity in the Western U.S.
As I blogged about in June, the severe fire seasons of 2012 and 2011 fit the pattern of what we expect to see more of with global warming. Hotter heat waves dry out vegetation more readily, resulting in increased probability of more acreage burned. A study published in the Journal Ecosphere in June 2012 used fire models driven by the output from sixteen climate models used in the 2007 IPCC report and found that while 8% of the planet should see decreases in fire activity over the next 30 years, 38% should see increases. By the end of the century, 20% of the globe should see decreased fire activity, and 62% increased fire activity. In the U.S., the regions most at risk of increased fires are the tundra regions of northern Alaska, and the West, with Arizona and Colorado at particularly high risk.

Jeff Masters

hugh blanket of smoke (got2dogs)
blew in about an hr after my last upload here - I thought I was done for the nite, but this smoke was incredible! made for some awesome light - sooooo eerie!
hugh blanket of smoke
Smoke! What smoke ?? (saltydawgg)
12th Ave road South looking north. Nampa Idaho full of smoke from 7 fires at last count with more dry lightning on the way.
Smoke! What smoke ??
Temecula Fire (photoandy)
This is just two hours after ignition! It quickly became a PYROCUMULUS...
Temecula Fire

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2081. TropicalAnalystwx13
1:43 AM GMT on August 21, 2012
Drew, where's your forecast track map?
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32499
2080. Grothar
1:42 AM GMT on August 21, 2012
Took a little dip south

15.6N - 46.7W 18Z 120820

15.3N - 48.8W 00z 120821
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 26802
2079. MiamiHurricanes09
1:42 AM GMT on August 21, 2012
Quoting NYCyclone86:


What is in a half hour? Just curious
If a renumber were to occur, it'll happen around 10p.m EDT.

Nice avatar by the way. ;)
Member Since: September 2, 2009 Posts: 130 Comments: 21194
2078. GeoffreyWPB
1:42 AM GMT on August 21, 2012
Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
We'll find out within half an hour.


It would of been renumbered by now.
Member Since: September 10, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 11379
2077. muddertracker
1:41 AM GMT on August 21, 2012
Quoting ackee:
Any I one think 94L will be upgraded tonight ?


Depends on whose shift it is tonight. Good chance, imo..Do they have a flight scheduled for tomorrow? If so, they might wait for flight data?
Member Since: August 16, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 2351
2076. windshear1993
1:41 AM GMT on August 21, 2012
okay i dont know about yall but i think this future isaac will be a weak storm becuase one its gonna go over land and those mountains are gonna tear it up 96 on the other hand would probally be the one to watch
Member Since: June 1, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 80
2075. weatherh98
1:41 AM GMT on August 21, 2012
Quoting NYCyclone86:


What is in a half hour? Just curious


atcf
Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6539
2074. opal92nwf
1:41 AM GMT on August 21, 2012
Quoting JLPR2:


It's something, but still not much. At least it seems to be a sign that maybe it will fire up some stronger convection later on as we head into D-max.

It's just a matter of time.
Member Since: May 12, 2012 Posts: 11 Comments: 2783
2073. CosmicEvents
1:41 AM GMT on August 21, 2012
It's not moving anything other than west of due west for now. The center is broad and being estimated by radar. Those of you who think it's doing anything other than riding route 15 due west of west west......well, what you're seeing is a tropical occlusion.
Member Since: August 3, 2005 Posts: 10 Comments: 5638
2072. weatherh98
1:41 AM GMT on August 21, 2012
Quoting redwagon:

Could some of you kids keep a grip on the microwave and post the new images? Updates from this?



dont have the links although if ma weatherboy is on, he does
Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6539
2071. NYCyclone86
1:40 AM GMT on August 21, 2012
Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
We'll find out within half an hour.


What is in a half hour? Just curious
Member Since: August 8, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 49
2070. opal92nwf
1:40 AM GMT on August 21, 2012
Quoting clwstmchasr:


Taking shape. The stronger it gets the more poleward it will want to go. Joe B. is in Levi's camp with a turn poleward. He's thinking Jamaica then turning north of Hispaniola.

still a long way to go, but anything is a possibilty this early still.
Member Since: May 12, 2012 Posts: 11 Comments: 2783
2069. JLPR2
1:40 AM GMT on August 21, 2012
Quoting opal92nwf:
Now we're talking


It's something, but still not much. At least it seems to be a sign that maybe it will fire up some stronger convection later on as we head into D-max.
Member Since: September 4, 2007 Posts: 7 Comments: 8747
2068. MississippiWx
1:39 AM GMT on August 21, 2012
Quoting washingtonian115:
95L wouldn't dare develop Lol."I'm leaving that to you 94".


Yeah, it's not really a fair fight anymore. 96L has more of a chance than 95L, IMO. However, 94L should win.

So many invests...geez.
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 17 Comments: 10284
2067. Hurricanes305
1:39 AM GMT on August 21, 2012
Quoting Thing342:
But will it be directly on the plane?

Anyway, 94L is veery close to becoming a TD


This is a depression based on satellite. It has a WELL
DEFINED circulation. A possible renumber could happen overnight.
Member Since: May 25, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2043
2066. hurricaneben
1:39 AM GMT on August 21, 2012
What are the chances of a renumber before 11 PM for 94L?
Member Since: May 15, 2009 Posts: 421 Comments: 679
2065. weatherh98
1:39 AM GMT on August 21, 2012
Quoting Thing342:
But will it be directly on the plane?

Anyway, 94L is veery close to becoming a TD


it has a few storms now...looks better than jose
Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6539
2064. RTSplayer
1:38 AM GMT on August 21, 2012
Quoting weatherh98:


please vote

i wish i could vote.

anyway


...ANY SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY COULD RESULT IN THE FORMATION OF A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION TONIGHT OR TOMORROW.


party


Yes, always choose the lesser of two weevils.
Member Since: January 25, 2012 Posts: 33 Comments: 1520
2063. washingtonian115
1:38 AM GMT on August 21, 2012
Quoting MississippiWx:


Seems like a brawl for that name. 94L and 95L know the legacy behind the "I" names. :-)
95L wouldn't dare develop Lol."I'm leaving that to you 94".
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 17471
2062. RadarRich
1:38 AM GMT on August 21, 2012

2021. wunderkidcayman
I'm should you remember those well cause I do'


WHAT IS THAT SENTENCE?, WHAT DOES THAT MEAN??



I am not here to dispute how some people type, but this one just takes the cake.
Also, I lurk and read, seldom post. Wunderkidcaymen has enthusiasm and passion for weather, obviously. Just a word of advise, mellow out on the "THAT'S WHAT I SAID", "TRUST ME", "MY FORCAST YADEE YADEE YADA".
You were so far off with Ernesto.. Never formed until after he passed your area. But you kept insisting and insisting, watch this and watch taht... OK, fine...You just need to approach each storm without the attitude of a "KNOW IT ALL"
Keep the passion, torque down the way you type your opinions.
Member Since: June 28, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 406
2061. MiamiHurricanes09
1:38 AM GMT on August 21, 2012
Quoting ackee:
Any I one think 94L will be upgraded tonight ?
We'll find out within half an hour.
Member Since: September 2, 2009 Posts: 130 Comments: 21194
2060. redwagon
1:38 AM GMT on August 21, 2012
Quoting weatherh98:


please vote

i wish i could vote.

anyway


...ANY SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY COULD RESULT IN THE FORMATION OF A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION TONIGHT OR TOMORROW.


party

Could some of you kids keep a grip on the microwave and post the new images? Updates from this?

Member Since: August 4, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 3277
2059. opal92nwf
1:37 AM GMT on August 21, 2012
Quoting RTSplayer:


Actually, we're typing.

nuance
Member Since: May 12, 2012 Posts: 11 Comments: 2783
2058. Tazmanian
1:37 AM GMT on August 21, 2012
Quoting Hurricanes101:




For reference, the latest GFS does not move away from Florida




Poor JFV. I hop he's not looking at that right now
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 115336
2057. GeoffreyWPB
1:37 AM GMT on August 21, 2012
Member Since: September 10, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 11379
2056. ackee
1:36 AM GMT on August 21, 2012
Any I one think 94L will be upgraded tonight ?
Member Since: July 15, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1374
2055. stormwatcherCI
1:36 AM GMT on August 21, 2012
Quoting wunderkidcayman:


hmm yeah I would kinda agree with that I say if you add Gustav Fay and Charley to the mix



yep S and W too as I expected



I can take this my track take it further S passing S of Jamaica and because of that less land interaction and stronger storm I also have secondary track which is the same as yours
Not south of Jamaica imo.
Member Since: October 9, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 8418
2053. Thing342
1:35 AM GMT on August 21, 2012
Quoting weatherh98:


head on

i hear gordon my atually bring the rain to spain!
But will it be directly on the plane?

Anyway, 94L is veery close to becoming a TD
Member Since: August 1, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 441
2052. Hurricanes305
1:35 AM GMT on August 21, 2012
Quoting opal92nwf:
Now we're talking


94L has one of the best structure for a system that has not develop and its quite large once it fills in convection on the north we should gradual development.
Member Since: May 25, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2043
2051. MississippiWx
1:35 AM GMT on August 21, 2012
Quoting washingtonian115:
Two storms have tried to come and still the name Isaac(ex T.D 7 and 95L) but have both failed.Somethings up?.


Seems like a brawl for that name. 94L and 95L know the legacy behind the "I" names. :-)
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 17 Comments: 10284
Quoting MississippiWx:


Oh great. Now you've done it.

Before this escalates, I would just like to point out that both parties suck. Both of them suck so much that I don't even want to vote in November. However, the constant foaming at the mouth for a hurricane to ruin the RNC is sickening to say the least.


please vote

i wish i could vote.

anyway


...ANY SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY COULD RESULT IN THE FORMATION OF A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION TONIGHT OR TOMORROW.


party
Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6539
Quoting MississippiWx:


Oh great. Now you've done it.

Before this escalates, I would just like to point out that both parties suck. Both of them suck so much that I don't even want to vote in November. However, the constant foaming at the mouth for a hurricane to ruin the RNC is sickening to say the least.
I'm glad that we have at least 1 intelligent individual on WU.

I'm going to go back into my cave before things go sour; feel free to discuss on my blog though.
Member Since: September 2, 2009 Posts: 130 Comments: 21194
Quoting opal92nwf:
Now we're talking


Actually, we're typing.
Member Since: January 25, 2012 Posts: 33 Comments: 1520
Quoting SouthDadeFish:
Very nice consensus from the models.


Not to sound selfish but for the U.S we should be rooting for 94L to make more of an impact with land down there. I would classify this as a "Negative" trend for those living in the states. On a side note, it looks to finally be gaining a bit of convection. I am going to say a 5 am update to TD status is imminent
Member Since: August 8, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 49
Two storms have tried to come and steal the name Isaac(ex T.D 7 and 95L) but have both failed.Somethings up?.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 17471
Quoting wunderkidcayman:

yes its out Bam models are out XTRP CLP5 TVCN are all out and shows S and W


hmm ok



hmm ok bro lets split it 3 way



so very true



for Track I see 94L/TD9 to take are Charley (04) Gustav (08) and TS Fay(08)

I'm should you remember those well cause I do
Remember them all.
Member Since: October 9, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 8418

Typhoon Tembin
After four other Typhoons—Saola, Damrey, Haikui, and Kai-tak—made landfall in eastern China in just three weeks, Typhoon Tembin appeared ready to do the same. Tembin formed as a tropical depression over the western Pacific Ocean on August 19, 2012, and strengthened to a typhoon the next day. Link
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting congaline:
Wasn't it the Republicans little darling Pat Robertson who claimed that New Orleans was hit by Hurricane Katrina because of their sinfulness? What will he say if the Republican National Convention is washed out by Hurricane Isaac...kind of biblical. The name Isaac means "he laughs". Just sayin'...


If Cat 4 hits the convention, it will be the fault of the liberal weather media.

That being said....."Get with the Pros...96L...When you need a REAL STORM to track!!"
Member Since: August 31, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 156
Quoting weatherh98:


head on

i hear gordon my atually bring the rain to spain!


"Apply directly to the forehead." "Apply directly to the forehead."
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 17 Comments: 10284
Quoting muddertracker:


LOL! If the Astros win three in a row I'll know the Mayan's were right!


Haha right on with that statement
Member Since: August 8, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 49
Quoting stormpetrol:
I would say a track between Charley and Ivan of 2004 is most likely, though there is possibility it could turn right just after crossing the Lesser Antilles and threaten the East Coast, just my take though!


hmm yeah I would kinda agree with that I say if you add Gustav Fay and Charley to the mix

Quoting TXHuRRicanE:
oh wow, did the gfs ensemble members shift to the west a little or is it just me?


yep S and W too as I expected

Quoting cyclonekid:
My forecast, not official of course. It's been shifted south of the islands now. Though it does show weakening due to land interaction near the end of the forecast period.

(click to enlarge)


I can take this my track take it further S passing S of Jamaica and because of that less land interaction and stronger storm I also have secondary track which is the same as yours
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Grothar:


good one


head on

i hear gordon my atually bring the rain to spain!
Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6539
Now we're talking
Member Since: May 12, 2012 Posts: 11 Comments: 2783
Quoting congaline:
Wasn't it the Republicans little darling Pat Robertson who claimed that New Orleans was hit by Hurricane Katrina because of their sinfulness? What will he say if the Republican National Convention is washed out by Hurricane Isaac...kind of biblical. The name Isaac means "he laughs". Just sayin'...


Oh great. Now you've done it.

Before this escalates, I would just like to point out that both parties suck. Both of them suck so much that I don't even want to vote in November. However, the constant foaming at the mouth for a hurricane to ruin the RNC is sickening to say the least.
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 17 Comments: 10284
Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
00z model suite has in fact shifted slightly equatorward, with 94L just scraping Hispañola and clipping eastern Cuba.

Very nice consensus from the models.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
No politics please..
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 17471
2034. icmoore
Quoting Grothar:


I never evacuate.


Hmmm okay Master Gro I shall sleep on that one and pass the baton on to you and the night crew 'cause I don't know how to twirl it any way :) One small request...get rid of this mess by morning :)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
2033. Grothar
Quoting muddertracker:


Apply directly to the forehead!


good one
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 26802
2032. trey33
Quoting congaline:
Wasn't it the Republicans little darling Pat Robertson who claimed that New Orleans was hit by Hurricane Katrina because of their sinfulness? What will he say if the Republican National Convention is washed out by Hurricane Isaac...kind of biblical. The name Isaac means "he laughs". Just sayin'...


Tampa is very well known for its strip clubs.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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