Hottest rain on record? Rain falls at 115°F in Needles, California

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 3:19 PM GMT on August 15, 2012

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A searing heat wave rare even for the Desert Southwest sent temperatures soaring to record levels on Monday, with Needles, California tying its record high for the date of 118°F (47.8°C). The temperature might have gone higher in Needles, but a thunderstorm rolled in at 3:20 pm, and by 3:56 pm PDT, rain began falling at a temperature of 115°F (46.1°C). Most of the rain evaporated, since the humidity was only 11%, and only a trace of precipitation was recorded in the rain gauge. Nevertheless, Monday's rain at 115° in Needles sets a new world record for the hottest rain in world history. I don't think many people were outside to experience to experience the feeling of rain falling at 115°, but if they were, it must have been an uncomfortable, sauna-like experience! Thanks go to Dr. Warren Blier of the NWS Monterey office for pointing out this remarkable event to me.

It is exceedingly rare to get rain when the temperature rises above 100°F, since those kind of temperatures usually require a high pressure system with sinking air that discourages rainfall. Monday's rain in Needles was due to a flow of moisture coming from the south caused by the Southwest U.S. monsoon, a seasonal influx of moisture caused by the difference in temperature between the hot desert and the cooler ocean areas surrounding Mexico to the south. According to weather records researcher Maximiliano Herrera, the previous record for hottest rain, which I blogged about in June, was a rain shower at 109°F (43°C) observed in Mecca, Saudi Arabia on June 5, 2012 and in Marrakech, Morocco on July 10, 2010. The 11% humidity that accompanied Monday's rain shower at 115° in Needles was the lowest humidity rain has ever occurred at anywhere on Earth in recorded history, according to Mr. Herrera.


Figure 1. True-color MODIS satellite image of California and Arizona taken at 1:25 pm PDT August 13, 2012. Developing thunderstorms surround Needles, CA, and the line of clouds to the southwest of the city would develop into a thunderstorm that brought rain to the city at 4 pm PDT, at a temperature of 115°F. Image credit: NASA.

A "very rare" heat wave for Phoenix
The heat wave that brought Needles' record hot rain has broken an exceptional number of heat records in Phoenix, Arizona the past two weeks. According to the Phoenix NWS office, the "almost unbearable heat" of the first two weeks of August is a "very rare" event, and August 1 - 14, 2012 was the warmest such 2-week period in city history. The average temperature on August 6 - 13 was 100°F or higher each of the eight days, tying the record for most consecutive days with an average temperature of 100°. The temperature peaked at 116° on August 8, just 6° below Phoenix's all-time record of 122° set on June 26, 1990. The forecast for Phoenix call for a bit of relief--highs are expected to be a relatively modest 105° today, and down near 100° by Friday.


Figure 2. Morning satellite image of 93L over the Central Atlantic.

93L close to tropical depression status
A large tropical wave (Invest 93L) is located in the Central Atlantic about 700 miles east of Bermuda. Satellite loops this morning show a surface circulation has formed, and heavy thunderstorm activity has increased to the point where 93L should be considered a tropical depression, if the heavy thunderstorms can persist through this afternoon. Wind shear is light, and ocean temperatures are warm, near 28°C. The latest Saharan Air Layer Analysis from the University of Wisconsin shows that 93L has moistened its environment considerably, and dry air should no longer be a significant impediment to development. The 8 am EDT run of the SHIPS model predicts that wind shear will remain in the low range through the weekend, and I expect this system will become Tropical Storm Gordon by Friday. The storm will not affect Bermuda, but residents of the Azores Islands should keep an eye on 93L, which could pass through the islands as early as Sunday night. In their 8 am Tropical Weather Outlook, NHC gave 93L an 80% chance of becoming a tropical depression by Friday morning.

Elsewhere in the tropics
In the Gulf of Mexico, a fall-like cold front is expected to stall out early next week, and the GFS model is predicting something could start to spin up near the Texas/Mexico border on Monday. Wind shear is predicted to be low to moderate, and cold fronts stalled out over the Gulf of Mexico often serve as the seed for tropical storms.

Most of the models predict development of a new tropical wave off the coast of Africa 6 - 7 days from now.

Jeff Masters

Haboob #7 (nukegm)
Another dust storm rolling into town.
Haboob #7
Strike over the Lake. (weathercts99)
A stunning bolt of lightning over a lake in Chandler.
Strike over the Lake.

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Quoting washingtonian115:
The question is..which one develops first?.


93L will..then the GOM
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Out of Africa

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According to hypuweather(accuweather) it seems D.C will have a cold a snowy winter...Nothing like this past winter.I'm crossing my fingers hoping this is true.Or I'll go nutty!.
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144 hours
1002 mb in the BOC
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Quoting bappit:

With it evaporating it would not have felt hot.
The raindrops would definitely evaporate, leading to cooling after they landed on one's skin. But water droplets falling through a layer of 115 degree air would certainly have enough time to heat to an uncomfortable point. Anecdotally, I know I've experienced rain when the temperature was below freezing, and I've experienced it when the temperature was close to 100, and can tell you that there most definitely is a discernible difference between the extremes. From Dr. Masters June blog entry about the Mecca hot rain:

"Thunderstorms often produce big drops of cold rain, since these raindrops form several thousand meters high in the atmosphere, where temperatures are much cooler than near the surface. Some drops even get their start as snow or ice particles, which melt on the way to the surface. Additional cooling of the drops occurs due to evaporation on the way down. However, in the case of the June 4, 2012 Mekkah storm, I think the rain was probably more like a hot shower. Large raindrops, like the kind thunderstorms produce, fall at a speed of about 10 meters per second. A balloon sounding of the upper atmosphere taken at 3 pm local time at a nearby station (Al-Midinah) found that the bottom 1000 meters of the atmosphere was 97F (36C) or warmer. Thus, the thunderstorms' raindrops would have been subjected to 100 seconds of some very hot air on the way to the surface, likely warming them above 100F by the time they hit the ground. A classic 1948 study of raindrops found that, in many cases, raindrop temperatures start off cold in the first few minutes of a rain shower, then warm up to within 1C (1.8F) of the air temperature within a few minutes. With the air temperature a sizzling 109F (43C) at the time of the June 4 thunderstorm in Mekkah, the raindrops could easily have been heated to a temperature of over 105F (41C) by the time they reached the surface!"
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absoultly

a-b-s-o-l-u-t-e-l-y

FireFox and Chrome BOTH have auto spell check.

: )
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Quoting WDEmobmet:


Yep thats the one... I dont know why I thought it was 118.
And I see it was the Red Sea not the Mediterranean... Wrong on two accounts so far
oddly enough, i had the same memory of 118.. peculiar huh?
we stand corrected :)
(though i had recalled Mecca..)
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Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 40901
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Quoting ncstorm:
126 hours
The question is..which one develops first?.
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Except Beryl.

...and Ernesto.

...and TD Seven.

Lol.

Well all of those did affect us in some way. plus I did not say directly come here, so indirect also counts. just to let you know.

Quoting washingtonian115:
Pat now we all know that was just wrong.Lol.

absolutely


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Despite some widespread "light" rains over the midwest lately it is doing little to nothing in putting any type of dent into this disaster.

Exceptional Drought Begins in the Lower Missouri River Valley

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Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 40901
I just hate the colors on this map but its faster

138 hours
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..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER THE UPPER MS VALLEY AND
MIDDLE MO VALLEY...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM SRN NEW ENGLAND INTO THE
ERN CAROLINAS...

...SYNOPSIS...
A SERIES OF PROGRESSIVE SHORT WAVE TROUGHS ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND
ERN CONUS IS EXPECTED TO PROVIDE DYNAMIC SUPPORT FOR MORE INTENSE
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT TODAY AND TONIGHT. A STRONG SHORT WAVE
TROUGH DROPPING SEWD ACROSS SRN PARTS OF SASKATCHEWAN/ALBERTA AND
NRN MT IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS BY EVENING REACHING
THE UPPER MS VALLEY LATE TONIGHT. DOWNSTREAM FROM THIS
SYSTEM...SEVERAL WAVE TROUGHS /ONE OVER THE GREAT LAKES...A SECOND
OVER THE UPPER OH VALLEY/CENTRAL APPALACHIANS...AND A THIRD ACROSS
NEW ENGLAND/ WILL CONTINUE EWD THROUGH TONIGHT.

AT THE SURFACE...A STRONG COLD FRONT CURRENTLY FROM CENTRAL ND INTO
NRN WY WILL MOVE EWD/SEWD TO A NRN MN/SERN SD/SWRN NEB/NRN CO LINE
THIS EVENING...REACHING WRN LAKE SUPERIOR/UPPER MI/CENTRAL
IA/CENTRAL KS AND NRN NM BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. IN THE ERN
STATES...A WEAKER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SLOWLY EWD ACROSS PARTS OF
NEW ENGLAND...THE MID ATLANTIC COAST AND THE ERN CAROLINAS
TODAY...WHILE THE WWD TRAILING PORTION OF THE FRONT EXTENDS ACROSS
THE LOWER MS VALLEY INTO NRN TX.

...UPPER MS VALLEY INTO THE MIDDLE MO VALLEY...
STRENGTHENING SLY LOW LEVEL WINDS AHEAD OF THE ADVANCING COLD FRONT
TODAY WILL RESULT IN MOISTURE INCREASING NWD FROM THE MIDDLE MO
VALLEY INTO NRN MN...WITH SURFACE DEW POINTS IN THE LOW-MID 60S
EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON. THE MOISTURE AXIS WILL COINCIDE WITH THE
ERN EDGE OF STEEPER MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES...AND WHEN COUPLED WITH
DIABATIC HEATING THE ENVIRONMENT WILL DESTABILIZE SUBSTANTIALLY WITH
MLCAPE REACHING 1000-2000 J/KG DURING THE AFTERNOON.

CURRENT BANDS OF ELEVATED CONVECTION OVER SRN MN ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE EWD AND GRADUALLY DISSIPATE LATER THIS MORNING. PRIMARY
CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE COLD FRONT DURING THE
MID/LATE AFTERNOON...FIRST OVER PARTS OF NWRN MN INTO EXTREME SERN
ND/WEST CENTRAL MN...THEN SWWD ALONG THE FRONT ACROSS SERN SD INTO
CENTRAL NEB. ALTHOUGH THE STRONGEST WESTERLY MID LEVEL WINDS WILL
REMAIN WEST OF THE COLD FRONT...FLOW ALOFT WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE
OVER THE WARM SECTOR WITH SUFFICIENT VERTICAL SHEAR /30-40 KT IN THE
LOWEST 6 KM/ TO SUPPORT LINE SEGMENTS AND A FEW SUPERCELL STORMS.
THE INITIAL STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS
AND VERY LARGE HAIL. THERE ARE INDICATIONS FROM MODEL GUIDANCE
INCLUDING CONVECTION-ALLOWING MODELS THAT SEVERAL BOWING LINE
SEGMENTS MAY DEVELOP BY THIS EVENING AND SPREAD EWD ACROSS PARTS OF
THE UPPER MS VALLEY REGION WITH STRONG/SEVERE WIND GUSTS BECOMING
THE PRIMARY THREAT INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

...NEW ENGLAND INTO THE ERN CAROLINAS...
ONGOING STORMS FROM ERN MA INTO ERN LONG ISLAND ARE ASSOCIATED WITH
A LEAD SHORT WAVE TROUGH. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO PROGRESS
EWD/NEWD THIS MORNING. REFLECTIVITY CORES HAVE BEEN SLOWLY
WEAKENING AND THIS TREND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL HOURS.

VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS FEWER CLOUDS FROM SERN NY/SWRN NEW ENGLAND
INTO THE ERN CAROLINAS AND THIS IS WHERE STRONGER DIABATIC HEATING
AND DESTABILIZATION IS LIKELY TO OCCUR. GIVEN SURFACE DEW POINTS IN
THE UPPER 60S-LOWER 70S...THE AIR MASS WILL BECOME MODERATELY
UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPE REACHING 1500-2000 J/KG. ADDITIONAL STORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY LATE MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON FROM THE MIDDLE
ATLANTIC COASTAL SECTIONS SWD INTO ERN PARTS OF THE CAROLINAS AS
LARGE SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH THE APPROACHING SHORT
WAVE TROUGHS OVERSPREADS THE REGION...WITH POTENTIAL FOR STRONGER
CELLS TO PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL.

A SOMEWHAT GREATER SEVERE THREAT MAY EXIST FROM THE DELMARVA
PENINSULA SWD INTO ERN NC. STRONGER WINDS ALOFT ARE EVIDENT IN
REGIONAL RAOBS AND VAD WIND PROFILES OVER THE TN VALLEY/CENTRAL
APPALACHIANS IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE SHORT WAVE TROUGH/VORTICITY MAX
MOVING ACROSS THIS AREA. DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE
FROM THE DELMARVA SWD INTO THE CAROLINAS AND PROMOTE DEVELOPMENT OF
ORGANIZED MULTICELL STORMS AND ISOLATED SUPERCELLS. THE ACTIVITY IS
EXPECTED TO SPREAD EWD THROUGH THE AFTERNOON BEFORE MOVING OFFSHORE
BY THIS EVENING...ALSO ACCOMPANIED BY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LARGE
HAIL.

..WEISS/GARNER.. 08/15/2012
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 40901
Quoting AussieStorm:


Your thinking of this one?


Yep thats the one... I dont know why I thought it was 118.
And I see it was the Red Sea not the Mediterranean... Wrong on two accounts so far
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126 hours
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...calm here..some high clouds in the gulf but no rain here so far, wonder if we will get any like yesterday
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 40901
Quoting washingtonian115:
@wunderkidcayman That's because 93L is in a LOW SHEAR environment with warm waters and has MOISTEN it's surroundings enough to sustain convection.Not to mention it has a good structure with spiral banding and the LLC covered with convection...

geuss I can't really complain there. well the EX-TD7 had those things, more so when it reached the Western Caribbean.
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Goodnight all.
Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15962
Quoting Neapolitan:
He actually referenced the June rainfall in Mecca in the blog entry above; it was 109 degrees.


Lol apparently I need to continue reading the blog in its entirety... Thanks Nea
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: )

I have created a new entry,click my handle to go there.
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Quoting WDEmobmet:
Dr. Master I seemed to remember early this year you wrote a blog similair to this one , regarding rain in extreme heat, but it was in the middle east just east of the Med Sea. If I remember correctly that temperature was 118, or am I mistaking?
He actually referenced the June rainfall in Mecca in the blog entry above; it was 109 degrees.
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Quoting Neapolitan:
For the record, the average shower water temperature for most people is between 105-110, and in fact most codes require nothing over 120; that's considered close to scalding.

Rainfall at 115. Yowza...

With it evaporating it would not have felt hot.
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Quoting Patrap:
Will 93L affect the Caymans?

: )
Pat now we all know that was just wrong.Lol.
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Quoting wunderkidcayman:

LOL
Not even close and even the Caribbean

As I said before I do NOT predict ever storm to hit cayman

Except Beryl.

...and Ernesto.

...and TD Seven.

Lol.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32516
108 hours
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@wunderkidcayman That's because 93L is in a LOW SHEAR environment with warm waters and has MOISTEN it's surroundings enough to sustain convection.Not to mention it has a good structure with spiral banding and the LLC covered with convection...
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Quoting Patrap:
Will 93L affect the Caymans?

: )

LOL
Not even close and not even the Caribbean will be close

As I said before I do NOT predict ever storm to hit cayman
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1284 catastropheadjuster: I read where they went up with the amount of storms we might get this year. But what I'm confused about is El nino is here or fixing to be, and with the cooling of the waters and all, if I'm reading that right,how can we have more storms?...
...It seems like the dust is gonna kill everything. Also some folks talking about the MJO isn't going to be much of one know, so how can we get more storms?
What is their thinking? Do they possibly see something going on further down the road than we do? I'm just down right a little confused.


Meh, the Season is confused, and the experts are confuzzled.

A very weak ElNino arrived last week, but there's a month-or-two time-lag before the Atlantic feels it.
Another confounding factor is that the EastPacific offa Mexico is relatively cooler than expected for a standard ElNino. And it's the warmer EastPacific that sends the shear over the Gulf, the Caribbean, and the lowerNorthAtlantic.
The Gulf, the Caribbean, and the NorthAtlantic haven't cooled.

SAL dust? Should lessen with the seasonally-expectable rain blobs traversing NorthAfrica.

MJO? Ernesto and TD.7 popped up when the MJO sucked the max-most. So any improvement in uplift should help cyclogenesis.

Their thinking? "We screwed up in not predicting the May and June TropicalCyclones. Since we said that the Season wouldn't begin until August, then adding those 4*early TCs to our original prediction would mean that our SeasonTotal numbers hafta go up."
And NOTHING more.

* Actually just the 2 June storms, since their Season prediction was released latestMay or earliestJune.
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Dr. Master I seemed to remember early this year you wrote a blog similair to this one , regarding rain in extreme heat, but it was in the middle east just east of the Med Sea. If I remember correctly that temperature was 118, or am I mistaking?
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Will 93L affect the Caymans?

: )
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Quoting SFLWeatherman:
5-Day Weather Forecast from wunderground



Link
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Quoting Thing342:
Some nice bands on 93L.


Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15962
morning guys, well since EX-TD7 is out the way now. 93L/TD8 is stealing the show looking very impresive.

Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

112 knots?! That's a borderline Category 4.

Good thing that's probably overdone...for the Azores at least

Quoting AussieStorm:
From Previous blog....


We'll have to wait and see, won't we. I think a Cat 1 or 2 don't know about a Cat 4.


Oh yeah, and when he say it it alright. but if it was Me saying it, all of you guys would of cuss the hell out of me. I mean come on guys what the hell is wrong with you.
LOL!!
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84 hours..12z GFs
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HELENE will come from the weak disturbance in the eatl 9n 33w associated with a westward moving tropical wave. vortcity in the area at the 700mb, 850nmb and the 500mb are on the increase
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I just did a special update on Invest 93-L. It has a link to my full update I did earlier today as well....

Looks like we will have Gordon or TD 8 later today...
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from the NWS, Wilmington, NC..severe weather threat
A POTENT UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL PUSH ACROSS THE EASTERN
CAROLINAS DURING THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON HOURS TODAY. ALTHOUGH WE
REMAIN "OUT OF PHASE" WITH RESPECT TO JET STREAKS ALOFT...MODELS
STILL FORECAST A REGION OF FORCED ASCENT TO DEVELOP JUST AHEAD OF
THE INCOMING 500 MB VORTICITY MAXIMUM. UPPER LEVEL WIND SPEEDS WILL
INCREASE SUBSTANTIALLY (25 KT @ 700 MB, 40 KT @ 500 MB, 55 KT @ 300
MB) AND WHEN COMBINED WITH 1500-2500 J/KG CAPE WE ANTICIPATE
ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORM CLUSTERS TO DEVELOP. 0-6 KM BULK SHEAR WILL
INCREASE TO NEAR 30 KT WHICH IS SUFFICIENT FOR ORGANIZED MULTI-CELLS
AND PERHAPS EVEN SOME TRANSIENT SUPER-CELLULAR CHARACTERISTICS IN THE
STRONGEST STORMS.

WITH THIS IN MIND WE EXPECT SEVERE WEATHER TO DEVELOP LATER
TODAY...PREFERENTIALLY ACROSS OUR NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES WHERE
WIND SHEAR AND UPPER LEVEL WIND SPEEDS WILL BE STRONGEST. THE PERIOD
OF GREATEST CONCERN WILL BE FROM ABOUT 4 PM UNTIL 9 PM AT WHICH
POINT THE UPPER DISTURBANCE SHOULD BE PUSHING OFFSHORE. CONVECTIVE
ACTIVITY WILL BE MORE SPOTTY IN NATURE ACROSS OUR SOUTH CAROLINA
COUNTIES WITH THE BULK OF THE SYNOPTIC FORCING REMAINING TOO FAR TO
THE NORTH.


I also had to note this little piece of gem they wrote as well--
IF 1 DID NOT LOOK AT THE DATE AND/OR HEIGHT
VALUES THRU THE ATM...ONE WOULD THINK THAT WE WERE IN A MID TO
LATE FALL REGIME.
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Some nice bands on 93L.
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Quoting Skyepony:
More wild records...




They are calling that Arctic storm beginning of Aug that busted so much up ice The Great Arctic Storm of 2012. Before & after.


There were huge waves visible from satellite earlier in the month rolling across the slush.
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thank you Dr. Masters, Good morning everybody,August 15th and the hard of the Season is near us.
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Arctic algae bloom. MODIS

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33. Skyepony (Mod)
More wild records...




They are calling that Arctic storm beginning of Aug that busted so much up ice The Great Arctic Storm of 2012. Before & after.
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

It has happened before. Hurricane Gordon of 2006 was the last, I believe.

Wow...deja vu.

Gordon hates the Azores?.Lol.
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For the record, the average shower water temperature for most people is between 105-110, and in fact most codes require nothing over 120; that's considered close to scalding.

Rainfall at 115. Yowza...
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5-Day Weather Forecast from wunderground

Quoting PalmBeachWeather:
Where did you hear that SFL? That's me
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today's outlook from the SPC


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Quoting washingtonian115:
Azores hurricane..this weather just gets whacker and whacker each passing year...

It has happened before. Hurricane Gordon of 2006 was the last, I believe.

Wow...deja vu.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32516
Azores hurricane..this weather just gets whacker and whacker each passing year...
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Quoting SFLWeatherman:
100' for Sunday in WPB what??????
Where did you hear that SFL? That's me
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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