Hottest rain on record? Rain falls at 115°F in Needles, California

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 3:19 PM GMT on August 15, 2012

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A searing heat wave rare even for the Desert Southwest sent temperatures soaring to record levels on Monday, with Needles, California tying its record high for the date of 118°F (47.8°C). The temperature might have gone higher in Needles, but a thunderstorm rolled in at 3:20 pm, and by 3:56 pm PDT, rain began falling at a temperature of 115°F (46.1°C). Most of the rain evaporated, since the humidity was only 11%, and only a trace of precipitation was recorded in the rain gauge. Nevertheless, Monday's rain at 115° in Needles sets a new world record for the hottest rain in world history. I don't think many people were outside to experience to experience the feeling of rain falling at 115°, but if they were, it must have been an uncomfortable, sauna-like experience! Thanks go to Dr. Warren Blier of the NWS Monterey office for pointing out this remarkable event to me.

It is exceedingly rare to get rain when the temperature rises above 100°F, since those kind of temperatures usually require a high pressure system with sinking air that discourages rainfall. Monday's rain in Needles was due to a flow of moisture coming from the south caused by the Southwest U.S. monsoon, a seasonal influx of moisture caused by the difference in temperature between the hot desert and the cooler ocean areas surrounding Mexico to the south. According to weather records researcher Maximiliano Herrera, the previous record for hottest rain, which I blogged about in June, was a rain shower at 109°F (43°C) observed in Mecca, Saudi Arabia on June 5, 2012 and in Marrakech, Morocco on July 10, 2010. The 11% humidity that accompanied Monday's rain shower at 115° in Needles was the lowest humidity rain has ever occurred at anywhere on Earth in recorded history, according to Mr. Herrera.


Figure 1. True-color MODIS satellite image of California and Arizona taken at 1:25 pm PDT August 13, 2012. Developing thunderstorms surround Needles, CA, and the line of clouds to the southwest of the city would develop into a thunderstorm that brought rain to the city at 4 pm PDT, at a temperature of 115°F. Image credit: NASA.

A "very rare" heat wave for Phoenix
The heat wave that brought Needles' record hot rain has broken an exceptional number of heat records in Phoenix, Arizona the past two weeks. According to the Phoenix NWS office, the "almost unbearable heat" of the first two weeks of August is a "very rare" event, and August 1 - 14, 2012 was the warmest such 2-week period in city history. The average temperature on August 6 - 13 was 100°F or higher each of the eight days, tying the record for most consecutive days with an average temperature of 100°. The temperature peaked at 116° on August 8, just 6° below Phoenix's all-time record of 122° set on June 26, 1990. The forecast for Phoenix call for a bit of relief--highs are expected to be a relatively modest 105° today, and down near 100° by Friday.


Figure 2. Morning satellite image of 93L over the Central Atlantic.

93L close to tropical depression status
A large tropical wave (Invest 93L) is located in the Central Atlantic about 700 miles east of Bermuda. Satellite loops this morning show a surface circulation has formed, and heavy thunderstorm activity has increased to the point where 93L should be considered a tropical depression, if the heavy thunderstorms can persist through this afternoon. Wind shear is light, and ocean temperatures are warm, near 28°C. The latest Saharan Air Layer Analysis from the University of Wisconsin shows that 93L has moistened its environment considerably, and dry air should no longer be a significant impediment to development. The 8 am EDT run of the SHIPS model predicts that wind shear will remain in the low range through the weekend, and I expect this system will become Tropical Storm Gordon by Friday. The storm will not affect Bermuda, but residents of the Azores Islands should keep an eye on 93L, which could pass through the islands as early as Sunday night. In their 8 am Tropical Weather Outlook, NHC gave 93L an 80% chance of becoming a tropical depression by Friday morning.

Elsewhere in the tropics
In the Gulf of Mexico, a fall-like cold front is expected to stall out early next week, and the GFS model is predicting something could start to spin up near the Texas/Mexico border on Monday. Wind shear is predicted to be low to moderate, and cold fronts stalled out over the Gulf of Mexico often serve as the seed for tropical storms.

Most of the models predict development of a new tropical wave off the coast of Africa 6 - 7 days from now.

Jeff Masters

Haboob #7 (nukegm)
Another dust storm rolling into town.
Haboob #7
Strike over the Lake. (weathercts99)
A stunning bolt of lightning over a lake in Chandler.
Strike over the Lake.

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Quoting wxmod:
Arctic algae bloom. MODIS


Whatever next?
Coral reefs.
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Quoting Levi32:


FYI, The FIM7 runs on a 60km resolution grid, the lowest resolution of the FIM suite, and is the worst-performing version of the model. The better-performing versions are the operational FIM (30km grid) and the FIM9 (15km grid).


Yeah, it's terrible and I had to laugh at the person who said that model would be replacing the GFS soon. Lot's of wishcasting for storms lately and it's only going to get worse as overall the pattern looks pretty meek other than a possible weak low in the Gulf this weekend. TX to FL can expect a very rain weather pattern from Saturday thru all of next week as a strong front stalls out across the northeern Gulf. Big cool down for folks up north with lows in the 40's!
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Quoting louisianaboy444:


The 12Z GFS buries it into Mexico...I dont bet against the GFS anymore this is probably where it will go...yet another Mexico affair....if you want storms this is the place to go


The GFS has not been consistent with track of this storm..it has had Mexico and Texas in its bullseye..
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Quoting louisianaboy444:


The 12Z GFS buries it into Mexico...I dont bet against the GFS anymore this is probably where it will go...yet another Mexico affair....if you want storms this is the place to go

the GFS has been rather accurate from what I have seen and what others have said...I guess time will tell
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Quoting MississippiWx:
One interesting thing to note: The US is now beginning a stretch of cooler weather with temps falling below normal for the next two weeks or so over the majority of the country. At the most, temps should be close to average. This could be a big instigator for the hurricane season to really crank up as most of the heat will be focused in the Atlantic rather than over land. Combine this with the upcoming MJO pulse and climatological upswing, it sounds like a nice recipe for an active time in the Tropical Atlantic.

Agreed.If you notice back in July the heat was focused over land and caused unfavorable conditions in the tropics.
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Awaiting the renumber...
Anytime now... *waits*
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Quoting LargoFl:
..yeah i know what you mean and..there are Other things in there now just as bad...people really need to stop putting these bad animals and snakes in the swamp...but you know and I know..they wont
You should know since you live in Florida that the Everglades is not a swamp. It is a very wide shallow river.
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One interesting thing to note: The US is now beginning a stretch of cooler weather with temps falling below normal for the next two weeks or so over the majority of the country. At the most, temps should be close to average. This could be a big instigator for the hurricane season to really crank up as most of the heat will be focused in the Atlantic rather than over land. Combine this with the upcoming MJO pulse and climatological upswing, it sounds like a nice recipe for an active time in the Tropical Atlantic.

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Quoting hurricanehanna:

hmmm. maybe a little deja vu? I know Texas needs rain in a bad way...but I really hate the thought of a TS or worse


The 12Z GFS buries it into Mexico...I dont bet against the GFS anymore this is probably where it will go...yet another Mexico affair....if you want storms this is the place to go
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266. VR46L
93L at 90%

Visable



and in rainbow

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33 Skyepony: More wild records

I'm not one to have actual visceral reactions much, but I felt "my heart drop to my gut" upon first viewing that chart. It's one thing to have intellectually known that it could happen...
...and another altogether to know that the worst-case scenario is happening.

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Before . . . . . . . . . . . & . . . . . . . . . . . After
33 Skyepony:
They are calling that Arctic storm...that busted so much up ice The Great Arctic Storm of 2012.

In some small measure, the fact that a fluke busted up and melted so much so quickly is a relief...
...tempered by the realization that such a "fluke" might just be the forerunner of the NewNormal.
A somewhat similar event (though not storm/speed-wise) happened in 2007 if I remember correctly.
Member Since: August 21, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 4860
Quoting hurricanehanna:

hmmm. maybe a little deja vu? I know Texas needs rain in a bad way...but I really hate the thought of a TS or worse


Exact setup with Canadian ridge coming down, front stalling out over Gulf coast pooling moisture, and a tropical entity in BOC. You get the E/NE strong winds due to the tight pressure gradient between the high and (if) a low develops in the gulf.
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Quoting ncstorm:


I have to..the nogaps gets no love in this place from the bloggers..
It is still a fairly decent model, if I'm not mistaken it handles trough splits pretty well.
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HE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR MINOR FLOODING OF POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS IN...
EASTERN WAKULLA COUNTY IN FLORIDA...
INCLUDING THE CITY OF SAINT MARKS

* UNTIL 245 PM EDT

* AT 111 PM EDT...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS DETECTED AN AREA
OF STRONG AND SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EASTERN WAKULLA
COUNTY PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE AREA. THESE STORMS
ARE PRODUCING RAINFALL RATES OF 3 TO 4 INCHES PER HOUR...WITH TOTAL
ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 4 TO 5 INCHES POSSIBLE THROUGH 3 PM EDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DON`T DROWN.

REPORT FLOODING OR FLOOD DAMAGE TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
TALLAHASSEE AT (8 5 0) 9 4 2 8 8 3 3. OR...YOU MAY CONTACT THE
NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.
THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
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Quoting RitaEvac:
Wow, this looks similar to front coming down this weekend.

Report on Frances

"After drifting southwest for a day, the cyclone organized into a tropical storm, still poorly
defined, on the afternoon of the 10th. By this time, Canadian High pressure had settled into
the Ohio Valley, draping a frontal boundary along the Gulf Coast. This acted to focus rains,
and increase wind speeds along the western Gulf Coast. Gale force winds lashed the coast
from the 10th through the 12th in the tight pressure gradient between Frances and the high
pressure center, leading to a large area of coastal flooding and erosion."

hmmm. maybe a little deja vu? I know Texas needs rain in a bad way...but I really hate the thought of a TS or worse
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Member Since: August 2, 2010 Posts: 21 Comments: 9694
Good Afternoon Blog, how is everyone today? Whats the tropics up too?
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Quoting washingtonian115:
Still see you haven't fallen into the camp of "the NOGAPS suck".Lol.Just continuing to defend it eh?


I have to..the nogaps gets no love in this place from the bloggers..
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Quoting Levi32:


FYI, The FIM7 runs on a 60km resolution grid, the lowest resolution of the FIM suite, and is the worst-performing version of the model. The better-performing versions are the operational FIM (30km grid) and the FIM9 (15km grid).
Did not know that, thanks for the heads up, so what does it mean by 10m wind under the fields?
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A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR...THE CYPRESS CREEK AT
WORTHINGTON GARDENS...AND THE MANATEE RIVER AT MYAKKA HEAD.

SUMMER RAINS FROM DAILY THUNDERSTORMS BROUGHT THE WATER LEVELS UP INTO
MINOR FLOOD STATUS ON THE CYPRESS CREEK AND THE MANATEE RIVER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

FLC081-160343-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-120816T1640Z/
/MKHF1.1.ER.120815T1125Z.120815T1800Z.120816T1040 Z.NO/
1043 AM EDT WED AUG 15 2012

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
FOR THE MANATEE RIVER NEAR MYAKKA HEAD
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 10 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.9 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 12.9 FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON. THE RIVER
WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...A PRIVATE ROAD AND BRIDGE 1 MILE DOWNSTREAM FLOOD.
AGRICULTURAL, RURAL KIBLER AREA BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&&


FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT SUN MON

MANATEE
MYAKKA HEAD 11 11.9 WED 10 AM 10.8 8.4 6.9 6.2 5.8

$$
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Wow, this looks similar to front coming down this weekend.

Report on Frances

"After drifting southwest for a day, the cyclone organized into a tropical storm, still poorly
defined, on the afternoon of the 10th. By this time, Canadian High pressure had settled into
the Ohio Valley, draping a frontal boundary along the Gulf Coast. This acted to focus rains,
and increase wind speeds along the western Gulf Coast. Gale force winds lashed the coast
from the 10th through the 12th in the tight pressure gradient between Frances and the high
pressure center, leading to a large area of coastal flooding and erosion."
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Quoting RitaEvac:


That's pretty much what it's gonna take
..yes, i think a guy was on here about a week or two ago from Oklahoma..saying as much...he wanted a storm to come
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I notice in the fim 8/22 frame a weak circulation right in the middle of the Atlantic at 9n, this is the scenario that may cause the most problems if it occurs. Of course it appears the northern Gulf will have larger immediate concerns.
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gee we really need to watch the weather up and down the coast today......................................BULLETI N - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
209 PM EDT WED AUG 15 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
SOUTHWESTERN MOORE COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
NORTHERN RICHMOND COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA

* UNTIL 300 PM EDT

* AT 206 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OVER MOUNT GILEAD...OR 13 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
TROY...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. QUARTER SIZED HAIL AND WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 58 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PEKIN...COVINGTON...
NORMAN...CANDOR...
DERBY...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STRAIGHT LINE WINDS CAN BLOW DOWN TREES...POWER LINES...AND DAMAGE
MOBILE HOMES AND OTHER BUILDINGS. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE
UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AS FLYING DEBRIS
GENERATED BY DAMAGING WINDS CAN BE DEADLY.

PLEASE REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.
THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST
OFFICE IN RALEIGH.



LAT...LON 3526 8009 3536 7952 3502 7952 3501 7955
3506 7991 3512 7993 3511 7996 3509 7999
3512 8007 3514 8008 3518 8005 3522 8007
3524 8010
TIME...MOT...LOC 1808Z 260DEG 19KT 3519 7998



WSS
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Quoting LargoFl:
would be great if she happened This year huh..her rains would go to all the drought stricken states


That's pretty much what it's gonna take
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Quoting Levi32:


FYI, The FIM7 runs on a 60km resolution grid, the lowest resolution of the FIM suite, and is the worst-performing version of the model. The better-performing versions are the operational FIM (30km grid) and the FIM9 (15km grid).


Thanks for that
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I am still trying to learn what the NAO is and the difference between positive and negative. as we head into the el nino part of hurricane season, which nao favors us landfalls, especially this season?
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Quoting RitaEvac:
Frances caused WIDESPREAD RAINS all over the place.

would be great if she happened This year huh..her rains would go to all the drought stricken states
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Quoting RitaEvac:


Who stole the crayons from the NHC?
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Quoting RitaEvac:
NAHHHHH



FYI, The FIM7 runs on a 60km resolution grid, the lowest resolution of the FIM suite, and is the worst-performing version of the model. The better-performing versions are the operational FIM (30km grid) and the FIM9 (15km grid).
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Frances caused WIDESPREAD RAINS all over the place.

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I fixed the link @ 232
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Whatever it is, I saw it first.
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 69 Comments: 25345
Quoting ncstorm:


Im on the coast so I wont see any bad weather until 4 lasting through 9pm..
..............ok keep watching your local weather..the storms are moving eastward
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Quoting RitaEvac:


Galveston got rocked, because of east and NE winds for days before the storm came to, had the Ekman flow and rain days ahead.

I recall a few friends lost camps at Grand Isle, or sustained a lot of damage.
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Quoting ncstorm:


Not according to Dr. Masters..he said it was the best model on Ernesto with Genesis in one of his blogs last week..
Still see you haven't fallen into the camp of "the NOGAPS suck".Lol.Just continuing to defend it eh?
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Ncstorm, if you could be so kind to post the euro frames coming up?
Member Since: June 2, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1339
gee must be a Bad storm in Mississippi huh..second warning..............BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
107 PM CDT WED AUG 15 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
WESTERN JONES COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF ELLISVILLE...

* UNTIL 145 PM CDT

* AT 107 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 15
MILES NORTHWEST OF ELLISVILLE MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
ELLISVILLE AND MOSELLE BY 145 PM CDT...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WINDS OF 60 MPH CAN BRING DOWN TREES...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN INJURY
AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. ROOFS OF MOBILE HOMES AND OUTBUILDINGS COULD BE
DAMAGED...AND MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO WELL BUILT HOMES AND STRUCTURES
COULD OCCUR.



LAT...LON 3161 8940 3180 8940 3181 8926 3180 8919
3144 8916 3143 8940
TIME...MOT...LOC 1807Z 309DEG 12KT 3169 8943



EEC
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And...... And the winner for comments from posts 200 to 225 is.....

is.....


220. AtHomeInTX 6:03 PM GMT on August 15, 2012 3
Quoting washingtonian115: It's only a model run :).
Oh yeah, I know. Thought Rita would get onto me so I figured I better add the wink. I agree with his NAHHHH! tho. lol



3 points....

We may now procede to the premiation ceremony....

Anyone has a special N E W link as a gift?

With high resolution animations please....
Member Since: August 2, 2010 Posts: 21 Comments: 9694
Quoting LargoFl:
hey NCstormz..how is it by you today?....................SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
146 PM EDT WED AUG 15 2012

NCZ073-074-083-084-151845-
ANSON NC-MONTGOMERY NC-RICHMOND NC-STANLY NC-
146 PM EDT WED AUG 15 2012

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT ANSON...MONTGOMERY...RICHMOND
AND STANLY COUNTIES...

AT 143 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 11 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF ALBEMARLE...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR MOUNT GILEAD AROUND 200 PM...PEKIN AROUND 225
PM...TROY AROUND 230 PM AND CANDOR AROUND 245 PM.

LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE MEDIA OUTLET FOR LATER
UPDATES OR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

LAT...LON 3546 7978 3515 7967 3516 8018 3529 8020

$$


SK


Im on the coast so I wont see any bad weather until 4 lasting through 9pm..
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I didn't see this posted, so here you go:

Fresh Water Breathes Fresh Life Into Hurricanes

"An analysis of a decade's worth of tropical cyclones shows that when hurricanes blow over ocean regions swamped by fresh water, the conditions can unexpectedly intensify the storm. "

http://eponline.com/articles/2012/08/14/fresh-wat er-breathes-fresh-life-into-hurricanes
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so, does the upper air pattern the next few weeks favor recurving and then high building in? anyone have gfs or euro runs?
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Quoting hurricanehanna:

wasn't there a good bit of flooding with this one?


Galveston got rocked, because of east and NE winds for days before the storm came to, had the Ekman flow and rain days ahead.

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Quoting HurricaneDean07:

The NOGAPS has been the worst performer (As usual) this year...
It has split apart almost every TROPICAL storm that has developed (AKA Debby, Ernesto)

Do we have a renumber (AL08), on 93L yet?


Not according to Dr. Masters..he said it was the best model on Ernesto with Genesis in one of his blogs last week..
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....................shawn..see around Tampa bay..just the normal weather..afternoon showers
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Quoting RitaEvac:
Remember this?


wasn't there a good bit of flooding with this one?
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Quoting LargoFl:
..LOL 2 points


Lol. That was a good one. :)
Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 676

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.