Hottest rain on record? Rain falls at 115°F in Needles, California

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 3:19 PM GMT on August 15, 2012

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A searing heat wave rare even for the Desert Southwest sent temperatures soaring to record levels on Monday, with Needles, California tying its record high for the date of 118°F (47.8°C). The temperature might have gone higher in Needles, but a thunderstorm rolled in at 3:20 pm, and by 3:56 pm PDT, rain began falling at a temperature of 115°F (46.1°C). Most of the rain evaporated, since the humidity was only 11%, and only a trace of precipitation was recorded in the rain gauge. Nevertheless, Monday's rain at 115° in Needles sets a new world record for the hottest rain in world history. I don't think many people were outside to experience to experience the feeling of rain falling at 115°, but if they were, it must have been an uncomfortable, sauna-like experience! Thanks go to Dr. Warren Blier of the NWS Monterey office for pointing out this remarkable event to me.

It is exceedingly rare to get rain when the temperature rises above 100°F, since those kind of temperatures usually require a high pressure system with sinking air that discourages rainfall. Monday's rain in Needles was due to a flow of moisture coming from the south caused by the Southwest U.S. monsoon, a seasonal influx of moisture caused by the difference in temperature between the hot desert and the cooler ocean areas surrounding Mexico to the south. According to weather records researcher Maximiliano Herrera, the previous record for hottest rain, which I blogged about in June, was a rain shower at 109°F (43°C) observed in Mecca, Saudi Arabia on June 5, 2012 and in Marrakech, Morocco on July 10, 2010. The 11% humidity that accompanied Monday's rain shower at 115° in Needles was the lowest humidity rain has ever occurred at anywhere on Earth in recorded history, according to Mr. Herrera.


Figure 1. True-color MODIS satellite image of California and Arizona taken at 1:25 pm PDT August 13, 2012. Developing thunderstorms surround Needles, CA, and the line of clouds to the southwest of the city would develop into a thunderstorm that brought rain to the city at 4 pm PDT, at a temperature of 115°F. Image credit: NASA.

A "very rare" heat wave for Phoenix
The heat wave that brought Needles' record hot rain has broken an exceptional number of heat records in Phoenix, Arizona the past two weeks. According to the Phoenix NWS office, the "almost unbearable heat" of the first two weeks of August is a "very rare" event, and August 1 - 14, 2012 was the warmest such 2-week period in city history. The average temperature on August 6 - 13 was 100°F or higher each of the eight days, tying the record for most consecutive days with an average temperature of 100°. The temperature peaked at 116° on August 8, just 6° below Phoenix's all-time record of 122° set on June 26, 1990. The forecast for Phoenix call for a bit of relief--highs are expected to be a relatively modest 105° today, and down near 100° by Friday.


Figure 2. Morning satellite image of 93L over the Central Atlantic.

93L close to tropical depression status
A large tropical wave (Invest 93L) is located in the Central Atlantic about 700 miles east of Bermuda. Satellite loops this morning show a surface circulation has formed, and heavy thunderstorm activity has increased to the point where 93L should be considered a tropical depression, if the heavy thunderstorms can persist through this afternoon. Wind shear is light, and ocean temperatures are warm, near 28°C. The latest Saharan Air Layer Analysis from the University of Wisconsin shows that 93L has moistened its environment considerably, and dry air should no longer be a significant impediment to development. The 8 am EDT run of the SHIPS model predicts that wind shear will remain in the low range through the weekend, and I expect this system will become Tropical Storm Gordon by Friday. The storm will not affect Bermuda, but residents of the Azores Islands should keep an eye on 93L, which could pass through the islands as early as Sunday night. In their 8 am Tropical Weather Outlook, NHC gave 93L an 80% chance of becoming a tropical depression by Friday morning.

Elsewhere in the tropics
In the Gulf of Mexico, a fall-like cold front is expected to stall out early next week, and the GFS model is predicting something could start to spin up near the Texas/Mexico border on Monday. Wind shear is predicted to be low to moderate, and cold fronts stalled out over the Gulf of Mexico often serve as the seed for tropical storms.

Most of the models predict development of a new tropical wave off the coast of Africa 6 - 7 days from now.

Jeff Masters

Haboob #7 (nukegm)
Another dust storm rolling into town.
Haboob #7
Strike over the Lake. (weathercts99)
A stunning bolt of lightning over a lake in Chandler.
Strike over the Lake.

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Quoting AtHomeInTX:
Brownsville

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...WEATHER SCENARIO FOR
THE LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST BECOMING A LITTLE MORE CLEAR
NOW. GFS...EUROPEAN...AND CANADIAN MODEL GUIDANCE ALL SUGGEST THAT
A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE EAST COAST OF MEXICO
EARLY TO MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...AND POSSIBLY AFFECT THE LOWER TEXAS
COAST.
WITH DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE INCREASING WITHIN DEEP SOUTH
TEXAS AND THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY IN ADVANCE AND IN ASSOCIATION WITH
THE POTENTIAL DISTURBANCE...AND MID-LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE REMAINING
CENTERED OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ANTICIPATED FOR MUCH OF THE PERIOD WITHIN
THE BRO CWFA. TEMPERATURES WILL BE KNOCKED DOWN TO MORE NEAR
NORMAL LEVELS DUE TO THE INCREASED CLOUD COVER AND OPPORTUNITIES
FOR PRECIPITATION.

FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...A GRADUAL INCREASE IN WINDS AND
SEAS IS EXPECTED ALONG THE LOWER TEXAS COAST THROUGH THE PERIOD AS
A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE POSSIBLY DEVELOPS ALONG THE EAST COAST
OF MEXICO. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.



Moisture doesn't seem to be a problem for the Gulf this year unlike years past due to La-Nina. Have a feeling something big is going to tear across the Gulf over the next couple of months as SST's are now in the low 90's across the C Gulf.

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My New video Blog For Thursday Link
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Quoting AussieStorm:
I'm surprised to see the pressure of TS Gordon....

TROPICAL STORM GORDON ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082012
500 AM AST THU AUG 16 2012

...ANOTHER TROPICAL STORM FORMS IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.2N 54.8W
ABOUT 585 MI...940 KM E OF BERMUDA
ABOUT 1615 MI...2600 KM W OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.85 INCHES

Seems location is everything. I think this is possible because Gordon is basically running up between the two high pressure areas. Not too far to its east and west high pressure is in control, so it makes the pressure differential that much greater...
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Quoting bohonkweatherman:
Due to Lack of Moisture Not much rain expected around here, Temps should be Near 100 instead of over 100. Unless something tropical develops and increases our moisture level. Have a great day!

THERE IS LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE FORECAST FOR THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK IN REGARDS TO RAINFALL ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. ATTM
THERE IS POOR CONSENSUS AMONG THE MODEL SOLUTIONS IN THE SOUTHWARD
EXTENT OF A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY ALONG WITH THE AMOUNT OF TROPICAL
MOISTURE EXPECTED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE MOVING ACROSS THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. THUS WILL GO WITH A BLEND OF
MODELS AND CURRENT FCST.
HOpe you guys do get some rain next week.... models seem to be suggesting at least some part of W TX may get something...
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Brownsville

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...WEATHER SCENARIO FOR
THE LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST BECOMING A LITTLE MORE CLEAR
NOW. GFS...EUROPEAN...AND CANADIAN MODEL GUIDANCE ALL SUGGEST THAT
A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE EAST COAST OF MEXICO
EARLY TO MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...AND POSSIBLY AFFECT THE LOWER TEXAS
COAST.
WITH DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE INCREASING WITHIN DEEP SOUTH
TEXAS AND THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY IN ADVANCE AND IN ASSOCIATION WITH
THE POTENTIAL DISTURBANCE...AND MID-LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE REMAINING
CENTERED OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ANTICIPATED FOR MUCH OF THE PERIOD WITHIN
THE BRO CWFA. TEMPERATURES WILL BE KNOCKED DOWN TO MORE NEAR
NORMAL LEVELS DUE TO THE INCREASED CLOUD COVER AND OPPORTUNITIES
FOR PRECIPITATION.

FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...A GRADUAL INCREASE IN WINDS AND
SEAS IS EXPECTED ALONG THE LOWER TEXAS COAST THROUGH THE PERIOD AS
A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE POSSIBLY DEVELOPS ALONG THE EAST COAST
OF MEXICO. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
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1221. LargoFl
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 41002
Quoting VR46L:


I cant remember that one ,get so many extropical storms but I dont like that track. It took sitting outside my doorstep for a week and a double hit .oh well thats Island living for ya!!!
You live in the Azores, VR4?

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1219. LargoFl
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 41002
Quoting VR46L:
The Remnants of X TD7 are making their way into the Gulf wonder will it develop.






A TROPICAL WAVE...THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN...IS
PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WESTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA...THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...AND PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
AMERICA. ALTHOUGH THERE IS ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF REGENERATION WHEN
THE WAVE EMERGES OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE
...LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS
POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND SOUTHERN MEXICO
THROUGH LATE TODAY. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH.
Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15962
Quoting AussieStorm:
I'm surprised to see the pressure of TS Gordon....

TROPICAL STORM GORDON ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082012
500 AM AST THU AUG 16 2012

...ANOTHER TROPICAL STORM FORMS IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.2N 54.8W
ABOUT 585 MI...940 KM E OF BERMUDA
ABOUT 1615 MI...2600 KM W OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.85 INCHES


Gordon should have a pressure of around 995 millibars If it becomes a hurricane. That's what happens when a storm is in a high pressure environment.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32531
Quoting AussieStorm:
I'm surprised to see the pressure of TS Gordon....

TROPICAL STORM GORDON ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082012
500 AM AST THU AUG 16 2012

...ANOTHER TROPICAL STORM FORMS IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.2N 54.8W
ABOUT 585 MI...940 KM E OF BERMUDA
ABOUT 1615 MI...2600 KM W OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.85 INCHES



A 1022 high is right next to it...
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
Quoting weatherh98:

It's in a Very high pressure environment so it can get away with a high pressure. The surrounding air is around 1024 mb

Yeah i no, Just used to seeing TS's with pressure around 1000mb - 1005mb.
Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15962
1214. VR46L
The Remnants of X TD7 are making their way into the Gulf wonder will it develop.


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1213. LargoFl
00
WTNT23 KNHC 160834
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM GORDON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082012
0900 UTC THU AUG 16 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE AZORES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF GORDON.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.2N 54.8W AT 16/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.2N 54.8W AT 16/0900Z
AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.6N 55.3W

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 33.5N 53.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 34.6N 50.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 40NE 60SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 34.5N 46.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 30SE 20SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 90SE 90SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 34.4N 42.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 50SE 50SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE 100SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 35.0N 34.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 60SE 60SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE 120SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 36.8N 27.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 39.5N 20.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.2N 54.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 41002
Quoting AussieStorm:
I'm surprised to see the pressure of TS Gordon....

TROPICAL STORM GORDON ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082012
500 AM AST THU AUG 16 2012

...ANOTHER TROPICAL STORM FORMS IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.2N 54.8W
ABOUT 585 MI...940 KM E OF BERMUDA
ABOUT 1615 MI...2600 KM W OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.85 INCHES


It's in a Very high pressure environment so it can get away with a high pressure. The surrounding air is around 1024 mb
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Latest on Gordon
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
1210. LargoFl
looks quiet around Orlando so far................
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 41002
I'm surprised to see the pressure of TS Gordon....

TROPICAL STORM GORDON ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082012
500 AM AST THU AUG 16 2012

...ANOTHER TROPICAL STORM FORMS IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.2N 54.8W
ABOUT 585 MI...940 KM E OF BERMUDA
ABOUT 1615 MI...2600 KM W OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.85 INCHES

Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15962
Is Gordon heading to the Para Olympics?
The timing looks close.
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Morning!
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Quoting Chicklit:

Thanks for the info.
Is this from TD7 remnant currently over the Yucatan peninsula?


Yes.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1205. LargoFl
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
653 AM CDT THU AUG 16 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN THE QUAD CITIES HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
EASTERN BUREAU COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS...
NORTHEASTERN PUTNAM COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS...

* UNTIL 800 AM CDT.

* AT 652 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS AROUND 60
MPH...AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
NEAR PRINCETON...AND MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
DEPUE...LADD...GRANVILLE...SPRING VALLEY AND DALZELL.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 80 IN ILLINOIS BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 50 AND
72.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. MOVE IMMEDIATELY INDOORS AND STAY AWAY
FROM WINDOWS.



LAT...LON 4123 8916 4136 8961 4153 8954 4146 8916
TIME...MOT...LOC 1153Z 287DEG 35KT 4142 8946
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 1.00IN



NICHOLS
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 41002
Its kind of hard to believe that Gordon formed from a tropical wave. Kind of a high latitude.
Plus 93L had 0 convection a day or so ago.
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1203. LargoFl
Quoting AussieStorm:
Record Heat to Record Lows?

..amazing for mid august huh
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 41002
1202. Walshy
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Due to Lack of Moisture Not much rain expected around here, Temps should be Near 100 instead of over 100. Unless something tropical develops and increases our moisture level. Have a great day!

THERE IS LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE FORECAST FOR THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK IN REGARDS TO RAINFALL ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. ATTM
THERE IS POOR CONSENSUS AMONG THE MODEL SOLUTIONS IN THE SOUTHWARD
EXTENT OF A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY ALONG WITH THE AMOUNT OF TROPICAL
MOISTURE EXPECTED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE MOVING ACROSS THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. THUS WILL GO WITH A BLEND OF
MODELS AND CURRENT FCST.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1200. LargoFl
......................looks like Texas is getting much needed rains this morning
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 41002
Quoting TXCWC:
HPC updated official discussion (in part) LOOKS LIKE THEY ARE STICKING WITH A SOUTH TEXAS LOW/STORM for now - note the bold as well: "...IN ADDITION TO THE CONFLICT WITH CONSENSUS... GFS BIASES ARE TOWARD EXCESSIVELY FAST PROGRESSION OF TROFS INTO RIDGES... FURTHER SUGGESTING THAT THE 00Z GFS IS THE LEAST PROBABLE SOLN THIS CYCLE...MODELS SHOW AN ILL-DEFINED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE NEAR THE WRN GULF COAST S OF TX... WITH A NUMBER OF ENSEMBLES ALSO INDICATING POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST A WEAK SFC CIRCULATION. THE GFS HAS TRENDED AWAY FROM THE STRONGER DEVELOPMENT SEEN IN THE 00Z GFS RUN FROM 24 HRS AGO. THE EARLY PRELIM FCST REFLECTS YESTERDAYS NHC/HPC COORDINATED TRACK FOR A WEAK SFC LOW DRIFTING NWD TOWARD EXTREME SRN TX BY THE END OF THE PERIOD."

Thanks for the info.
Is this from TD7 remnant currently over the Yucatan peninsula?
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Morning everybody....

I see we have Gordon.

I also note that the Twave we were looking at yesterday is finally off the coast.

This one looks a bit lower, which unfortunately IMO puts it in better strike position...



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Lots of rain on tap from TX to FL. Can anybody say El-Nino? Pattern lools to be setting up already and if that's the case then people from TX to FL will be in for a very wet 6 to 8 months.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1196. LargoFl
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 41002
Record Heat to Record Lows?

Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15962
1194. WxLogic
Good Morning... Gordon doing good so far.
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1193. LargoFl
wow get ready Chicago, bad line of storms coming towards you.....
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 41002
1192. LargoFl
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 41002
1191. LargoFl
.......................gee some Bad storms up there alright
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 41002

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
AMPLE MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY COUPLED WITH WEAK LOW LEVEL WIND
FIELDS WILL ALLOW A FEW LIGHTNING STORMS TO FORM ALONG BOTH THE
EAST AND WEST COAST SEA BREEZES BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. STORMS
ALONG THE WEST COAST BOUNDARY WILL MOVE TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 10
MPH...REACHING WELL INLAND DURING THE EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON
HOURS. STORM COVERAGE WILL INCREASE OVER THE EAST COAST COUNTIES
INTO THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING AS THE EAST COAST SEA
BREEZE INTERACTS WITH STORMS AND OUTFLOWS FROM THE WEST COAST
BOUNDARY. THE MAIN HAZARDS WITH STRONGER STORMS WILL BE FREQUENT
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1189. LargoFl
gee must still be storming up in the northeast huh.........................BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
556 AM EDT THU AUG 16 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAY MAINE HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
ANDROSCOGGIN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MAINE...
WESTERN KENNEBEC COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MAINE...
SOUTHERN SOMERSET COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MAINE...
SOUTHEASTERN OXFORD COUNTY IN WESTERN MAINE...
WESTERN CUMBERLAND COUNTY IN MAINE...
SOUTHEASTERN FRANKLIN COUNTY IN WESTERN MAINE...

* UNTIL 900 AM EDT

* AT 552 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOODING FROM NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WARNED AREA.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO WINTHROP...
WILTON...WELD...TURNER...SOUTH PARIS...RUMFORD...PHILLIPS...
NORRIDGEWOCK...MEXICO...LIVERMORE FALLS...JAY...FARMINGTON...
DIXFIELD...CANTON AND BRYANT POND

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 EDIT AMOUNT 3 ARE POSSIBLE IN
THE WARNED AREA.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

PLEASE REPORT HIGH WATER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING
TOLL FREE...1-877-633-6772...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.



LAT...LON 4362 7042 4363 7046 4371 7055 4369 7058
4370 7066 4379 7066 4380 7070 4379 7074
4381 7078 4381 7089 4378 7096 4379 7099
4391 7100 4495 7033 4471 6965



HANES
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 41002
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
345 AM EDT THU AUG 16 2012


TUES-THURS...THE GFS AND ECMWF BOTH SHOW A COMPLEX UPPER LEVEL SPLIT
FLOW PATTERN EVOLVING ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE US FOR MID NEXT
WEEK
...THOUGH BOTH SHOW SLIGHTLY DIFFERENT EVOLUTIONS. GIVEN THE
SHIFT WITH THIS MODEL RUN FROM PREVIOUS SOLUTIONS WILL CONTINUE THE
PREVIOUS FORECAST WITH NEAR CLIMO POPS AROUND 40 PERCENT AND HIGH
TEMPERATURES AROUND 90F AT THE COAST AND 91-93F INLAND.

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1187. LargoFl
Quoting StormTracker2K:
The weather around here has been amazing lately. I said in my post yesterday before i went storm chasing is that the atmosphere across E C FL was about to explode come 6pm to 8pm and well it did as storms formed rapidly due to an unstable airmass which these same perameters will remain in place thru all of NEXT week with a possible trough split situation forming over FL. Could be a tropical system near FL?

Lightning strike over a lake in Clermont


Storm rolling into Port Orange


Severe thunderstorm in Volusia County


Lightning strike in Edgewater


Ormond Beach
..you guys need to stop stealing our rain lol..stay safe over there ST
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 41002
The weather around here has been amazing lately. I said in my post yesterday before i went storm chasing is that the atmosphere across E C FL was about to explode come 6pm to 8pm and well it did as storms formed rapidly due to an unstable airmass which these same perameters will remain in place thru all of NEXT week with a possible trough split situation forming over FL. Could be a tropical system near FL?

Lightning strike over a lake in Clermont


Storm rolling into Port Orange


Severe thunderstorm in Volusia County


Lightning strike in Edgewater


Ormond Beach
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Woke up in a fog this morning, figuratively and literally! With coffee and breakfast, brain fog is lifting, however the fog outside seems to have set in for a spell.
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Quoting TXCWC:


I think so - according to the latest from HPC they are saying 0Z GFS is LEAST reliable run at the moment - see prior post below :) If they are deeming it worthy to keep an eye on next week - we should to. :)


Absolutely agree. I'm just catching up on some of the posts.
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A TROPICAL WAVE...THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN...IS
PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WESTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA...THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...AND PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
AMERICA. ALTHOUGH THERE IS ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF REGENERATION WHEN
THE WAVE EMERGES OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE
...LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS
POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND SOUTHERN MEXICO
THROUGH LATE TODAY. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH.
Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15962
1182. LargoFl
.....................for the folks coming to Tampa for the convention, so far the weather is about normal for this time of year, the chance for showers each day, no real storms to worry about so far
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 41002
Quoting LargoFl:
..well if it stays weak like they think it will..that could be a good thing for texas..giving them some good rain
Dear Friends,all we need is some clouds.It is broiling with no clouds around.100 degrees+ everyday.South Texas that is..
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Quoting LargoFl:
..oh those poor people, 6 years later getting hit with the same named storm, maybe they will retire the gordon name?


poor Azores people...the story may repeat

GORDON 2006
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
http://www.cdc.gov/ncidod/dvbid/westnile/Mapsactivi ty/surv&control12MapsAnybyState.htm......west.nile .clustered.cen.texas
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TropicalDepressionEight has become TS.Gordon
Derived from (NHC) ATCF data for TropicalStormGordon for 16August06amGMT
MinimumPressure decreased from 1012millibars to 1011millibars
MaxSusWinds increased from 30knots(35mph)56km/h to 35knots(40mph)65km/h
Vector changed from 347.0*North@17.7mph(28.5km/h) to 4.9*North@11.5mph(18.5km/h)
(ie TS.Gordon has recurved)
BDA-Bermuda :: CVU-Corvo :: HOR-Faial

The northwesternmost dot on the kinked line is where 93L became TD.8
The northernmost dot on the connected lines is where TD.8 became TropicalStormGordon, and its most recent position

Copy&paste bda, cvu, hor, 22.0n41.2w- 22.5n43.3w- 23.0n45.2w- 23.5n47.0w- 24.0n48.8w- 24.5n50.5w- 25.0n51.9w- 25.4n53.0w- 26.1n54.0w- 27.6n54.5w- 29.1n55.0w, 29.1n55.0w-30.6n55.4w, 30.6n55.4w-31.6n55.3w into the GreatCircleMapper for a larger-scale map and other information
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1177. LargoFl
.........................quiet around my area..we could use a shower or two,been missing us this whole week. forms over me then moves east lol..
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 41002



Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15962

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.