June 2012: Earth's 4th warmest June; heavy rains in Beijing kill 37

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 12:19 PM GMT on July 23, 2012

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June 2012 was the globe's 4th warmest June on record, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's National Climatic Data Center (NCDC). NASA rated May 2012 the 3rd warmest on record. June 2012 global land temperatures were the warmest on record; this makes three months in a row--April, May, and June--in which record-high monthly land temperature records were set. Global ocean temperatures were the 10th warmest on record. June 2012 was the 328th consecutive month with global temperatures warmer than the 20th century average; the last time global temperatures were below average was February 1985. We've now had three consecutive top-five warmest months on record; April 2012 was the 5th warmest April on record, and May 2012 was the 2nd warmest May on record. The increase in global temperatures relative to average, compared to March 2012 (16th warmest March on record) is due, in part, to warming waters in the Eastern Pacific, where a La Niña event ended in April, and borderline El Niño conditions now exist. Global satellite-measured temperatures in June for the lowest 8 km of the atmosphere were 4th or 3rd warmest in the 34-year record, according to Remote Sensing Systems and the University of Alabama Huntsville (UAH). Northern Hemisphere snow cover extent during June 2012 was the smallest in the 46-year period of record. Wunderground's weather historian, Christopher C. Burt, has a comprehensive post on the notable weather events of June in his June 2012 Global Weather Extremes Summary. Notably:

- The U.K. suffered through its wettest June since at least 1910, and coolest such since 1991.

- The monsoon season has been especially devastating so far along the banks of the Brahmaputra River in northeast India and Bangladesh. Over 2000 villages have been flooded and at least 190 deaths reported so far. Almost 20 million people in all have been displaced.

- The Korean Peninsula continued to endure its worst drought in at least 105 years.


Figure 1. Departure of temperature from average for June 2012. In the Northern Hemisphere, most areas experienced much higher-than-average monthly temperatures, including most of North America and Eurasia, and northern Africa. Only northern and western Europe, and the northwestern United States were notably cooler than average. Image credit: National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) .

Arctic sea ice has greatest June loss on record
Arctic sea ice saw its greatest-ever decrease during the month of June, and ice extent averaged over the entire month was the 2nd lowest for June in the 35-year satellite record, according to the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC). The last three Junes (2010 - 2012) have had the three smallest ice extents for the month, with June 2012 being the 21st consecutive June and the 133rd consecutive month with below-average Arctic sea ice extent. During much of June 2012 and extending into the first half of July, the Arctic Dipole pattern set up. This atmospheric circulation pattern features a surface high pressure system in the Arctic north of Alaska, and a low pressure system on the Eurasian side of the Arctic. This results in winds blowing from south to north over Siberia, pushing warm air into the central Arctic Ocean. The Arctic Dipole pattern occurred in all summer months of 2007 and helped support the record 2007 summer reduction in sea ice extent. The Arctic Dipole pattern has broken down over the past few days, and is expected to be absent through early August. This should slow Arctic sea ice loss, and ice extent may no longer be at record low levels by the first week of August.


Figure 2. Arctic sea ice area in 2012 as of July 22 (yellow line) compared to all the other years since satellite observations began in 1979. Ice area in 2012 during most of June and July has been the lowest on record. The previous record low years were 2007 and 2011. Note that sea ice area (as shown here) and sea ice extent (as measured by the National Snow and Ice Data Center) are not the same thing, but one can use either to quantify sea ice, and both show very similar behavior. Image credit: University of Illinois Cryosphere Today.

Three new billion-dollar weather disasters in June
The globe experienced three new billion-dollar weather disasters in June, bringing the total for the year to nine, said insurance broker Aon Benfield in their June Catastrophe Report. The most expensive disaster in June occurred in China, where heavy rains between the between June 20 - 29 affected northern, central, eastern and southern sections of the country. The rains left at least 50 people dead in 17 separate provinces, and caused damage estimated at CNY17.4 billion (USD2.73 billion). The U.S. suffered two billion-dollar severe weather events in June, bringing the total number of such events to six for the year. The record for most billion-dollar disasters in a year in the U.S. is fourteen (according to NOAA/NCDC) or seventeen (according to Aon Benfield.) The most costly event in June 2012 came across portions of Texas and New Mexico, where severe thunderstorms pelted areas (including the Dallas-Fort Worth metropolitan region) with golf ball and baseball-sized hail. The Insurance Council of Texas said that more than 100,000 claims were filed and total insured losses in the state would exceed $1 billion, with total losses near $1.75 billion. A separate hail event in Colorado and Wyoming caused more than $700 million in insured losses, and $1.25 billion in total losses.


Figure 3. Weather disasters costing at least half a billion dollars so far in 2012, according to insurance broker Aon Benfield in their June Catastrophe Report.

Heaviest rains in 60 years deluge Beijing, killing 37
China's latest billion-dollar weather disaster is a torrential rainstorm that hit Beijing Saturday night, dumping the the heaviest rains the city has seen in 60 years, according to Associated Press. The resulting flooding killed 37 people and did $1.6 billion in damage.


Figure 4. A Chinese man uses a signboard to signal motorists driving through flooded street following a heavy rain in Beijing Saturday, July 21, 2012. China's government says the heaviest rains to hit Beijing in six decades. The torrential downpour Saturday night left low-lying streets flooded and knocked down trees. (AP Photo)

Quiet in the Atlantic
There are no threat areas to discuss in the Atlantic, and none of the reliable computer models are developing a tropical cyclone over the next seven days.


Jeff Masters

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Vicente in visible light

Why is the Hong Kong radar really slow/I cant get into the site?
Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 127 Comments: 7927
1017. Patrap
Published on Jul 23, 2012 by Kate Chan

Typhoon Vicente - 2012.07.23

No.8

Life threatening one! First time not dare to go out to feel the nature by the way!

Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 420 Comments: 127536
Quoting Patrap:



RainbowTop Image



The Typhoon has kept significant structure inland so far, and its impact will take another 12 to 24 to see the full impact in and around Hong Kong.But the surge Levels were forecasted to be a significant and deadly rising tide.

Esp North of the Eyes landfall.

All our hopes for those in its path.

Darkness will come to Million's.



its more than 50 miles inland.. and still a cat 3??? did Vicente forget about landfall?
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Quoting hurricanehunter27:
I have had a home in Seaside Florida for 6 years. All we got where tar balls for a few days. Oil did come ashore in places like LA. But that was quite a while ago and I have seen no new reports of any more washing up on shore. What I have heard is there is a large amount on the gulf sea floor.


Our local university found no oil on the sea floor off our shores. Last two years beautiful beaches!
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Quoting weathermanwannabe:
Good Night Folks. Gonna check the news outlets in the am to see about the impacts of Vicente. I suspect Dr. M. is going to pull data that he can find and post it in tomorrows blog entry........WW.


I wonder what he is thinking right now about Vicente...?
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Good Night Folks. Gonna check the news outlets in the am to see about the impacts of Vicente. I suspect Dr. M. is going to pull data that he can find and post it in tomorrows blog entry........WW.
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1012. Patrap
Quoting Hugo5:


about midway through imagry shows large thunderstorms develeping right in the middle of the hurricane, I don't know of any major hurricans that develope storms right in the middle of the eye.



RainbowTop Image



The Typhoon has kept significant structure inland so far, and its impact will take another 12 to 24 to see the full impact in and around Hong Kong.But the surge Levels were forecasted to be a significant and deadly rising tide.

Esp North and East of the Eyes landfall.

All our hopes for those in its path.

Darkness will come to Million's.

Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 420 Comments: 127536
What we were tracking in 2008.

Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31430
We all have strong beliefs. What will be will be. Truth is, the hour for change may very well have passed. The circle we all exist in has people in it we can influence and help. Being a loving, selfless, understanding individual may be all any of us can give now. Whether your Left or Right, or like me, somewhere in the middle; were all going to take what Nature gives us no matter our political leaning. Like it or not, we're all in it together.
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Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:

IN ALL MY 7 YEARS OF TRACKING HURRICANES EVERYWHERE, THIS IS THE FIRST TIME I EVER SEE A CYCLONE BECOME A CAT 4 FROM A CAT 1 IN JUST HOURS RIGHT BEFORE LANDFALL. NOT EVEN HUMBERTO DID THIS...

THIS IS HISTORIC!
That is my worst nightmare go to bed seeing a cat1 and waking up to a cat 4 or 5 in your backyard!!
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1008. Thrawst
Quoting wxchaser97:

Sorry for the off-topic post


LOL Taz is going to be all on your case. :)
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1005. Patrap


ZOOM is active, click on image to zoom.

2km Storm Relative IR Imagery with BD Enhancement Curve Loop
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 420 Comments: 127536
Quoting gulfbreeze:
AND where do you live? If we get a bad Hurricane we could see the oil back on our beach!!
I have had a home in Seaside Florida for 6 years. All we got where tar balls for a few days. Oil did come ashore in places like LA. But that was quite a while ago and I have seen no new reports of any more washing up on shore. What I have heard is there is a large amount on the gulf sea floor.
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1003. Hugo5
Quoting Patrap:
WP092012 - Typhoon (>=96 kt) VICENTE

Storm Relative 1km Geostationary Visible Imagery Loop


click image for Loop





about midway through imagry shows large thunderstorms develeping right in the middle of the hurricane, I don't know of any major hurricans that develope storms right in the middle of the eye.
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1002. Patrap
WP092012 - Typhoon (>=96 kt) VICENTE

2km Storm Relative IR Imagery with BD Enhancement Curve

Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 420 Comments: 127536
1001. Patrap
WP092012 - Typhoon (>=96 kt) VICENTE

Enhanced Infrared (IR) Imagery (4 km Mercator)

Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 420 Comments: 127536
Quoting hurricanehunter27:
Question. When was the last time you saw oil wash up on a beach on the gulf coast? I know the oil is still there somewhere (I am guessing the ocean floor) but it is definitely not washing up on any shores.
AND where do you live? If we get a bad Hurricane we could see the oil back on our beach!!
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Quoting Bluestorm5:
I think the closest I've seen to this storm is Hurricane Andrew in 1992, but Andrew took 24 hours going from Category 1 to 5. This typhoon did it in 6 HOURS


THIS TYPHOON INCREASED BY 50 MPH IN JUST HOURS... last time i saw it was a 75 mph typhoon...
this is for the records... no other storm has ever done this...

this storm is deadly...
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I hear ya Steve. My La Crosse radar station in Wisconsin is down more than any station in the country; or so it seems. It has been down five or six times in the last two months. Never because of severe weather. Only one that shows me what's about to hit my area.
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Quoting drg0dOwnCountry:


They are a threat because they manipulate the science and debate about it. And because of this we do not act as we should on climate action. We need to get off of oil asap. More Co2 = more extreme weather. For the source go to priceofoil.org
Obama is trying to eliminate the subsidies but the bought GOP and Congress is protecting the oil interests and tax payers giveaways.
Well of course they are going to lie about it! I know that and hate that they do it. Personally I agree with Liberals on social and tech issues. I also agree with them on climate change. But taking money from them? What is the point? That is not going to help them make a switch to clean energy. What you want to do is set a limit for CO2 regulation if they want to operate in the US market. That is a threat they will listen to. Just make sure they cut down on CO2's. Taking money from them does not make it better. Taking away a market for a company is a better way to go. (That being said nobody would vote for it)
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995. Hugo5
Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:

IN ALL MY 7 YEARS OF TRACKING HURRICANES EVERYWHERE, THIS IS THE FIRST TIME I EVER SEE A CYCLONE BECOME A CAT 4 FROM A CAT 1 IN JUST HOURS RIGHT BEFORE LANDFALL. NOT EVEN HUMBERTO DID THIS...

THIS IS HISTORIC!


I keep watching the satelite loops over and over. It went to a pin hole eye in a matter of hours before land fall, quite unusual.
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any news on the effects of storm in hong kong and area
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WP092012 - Typhoon (>=96 kt) VICENTE

Storm Relative 1km Geostationary Visible Imagery Loop


click image for Loop



Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 420 Comments: 127536
Politics raises it's head all the time on here during slow periods and you will note that we have tons of very smart bloggers on here who can multi-task nicely between weather and other topics. The other issue that raises very strong emotions is GW. Dr. M blogs primarily on both topics (GW and tropical weather) on a regular basis but the two don't often mix very well during hurricane season. I would actually like to see him create two blogs; one for tropical issues and one on GW issues. On issues where he is discussing possible correlations between TS formation and GW, he could mention a short blurb on the tropical site and direct folks to the GW entry for the day. Wishful thinking perhaps but he should consider that at least during the Atlantic H-season; particularly if we get lots of folks off the TWC site in the future tuning in for hurricane discusions.
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Quoting Tazmanian:
WxGeekVA i would not be talking your the most off-topic photo poster o dr m blog this about evere post you make you have too add a off topice photo


No.. there's none in this post!!! -___-
Member Since: September 3, 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3468
Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:

IN ALL MY 7 YEARS OF TRACKING HURRICANES EVERYWHERE, THIS IS THE FIRST TIME I EVER SEE A CYCLONE BECOME A CAT 4 FROM A CAT 1 IN JUST HOURS RIGHT BEFORE LANDFALL. NOT EVEN HUMBERTO DID THIS...
I think the closest I've seen to this storm is Hurricane Andrew in 1992, but Andrew took 24 hours going from Category 1 to 5. This typhoon did it in 6 HOURS
Member Since: August 1, 2011 Posts: 28 Comments: 7897
Quoting Tazmanian:




your going too get a 24hr bannd for that so i would re move it
WHY?????
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Also even though I don't agree with many of you guys on many subjects relating to politics I just want to say that in no way lessens my respect for any person. You all have different beliefs and you all want to share them. I understand that and respect that.
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Was happily going to show you fellow bloggers the decent line of thunderstorms moving through my area....


....Radar down for maintenance.

Figures!
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986. flsky
Expected some interesting storms in Ponce Inlet, FL today, but only got a couple of hours of gentle rain - which I'm happy for, mind you, but I always love it when we get some righteous thunder and lightning. Oh well, tomorrow's another day here abouts....
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Quoting hurricanehunter27:
Ok so they are a profitable businesses in what way do they own the US? If the US wanted to we could seize all the assets of these company's if they ever became a threat. Plus just cause its on a good looking poster does not mean its a fact. Please source that poster.


They are a threat because they manipulate the science and debate about it. And because of this we do not act as we should on climate action. We need to get off of oil asap. More Co2 = more extreme weather. For the source go to priceofoil.org
Obama is trying to eliminate the subsidies but the bought GOP and Congress is protecting the oil interests and tax payers giveaways.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:

IN ALL MY 7 YEARS OF TRACKING HURRICANES EVERYWHERE, THIS IS THE FIRST TIME I EVER SEE A CYCLONE BECOME A CAT 4 FROM A CAT 1 IN JUST HOURS RIGHT BEFORE LANDFALL. NOT EVEN HUMBERTO DID THIS...

THIS IS HISTORIC!
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$15,000,000,000,000 THAT'S A LOT OF 0!!! JUST SAYING!
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Quoting hurricanehunter27:
Sense you are so knowledgeable on the subject explain it yourself.


Stormhype already did a pretty good job of it. I was just saying that since you dont believe what he said, or what I said, then some research on your part would show you what was behind the statements.
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Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:


I just found out...HOW THE HELL DID VICENTE MADE IT TO CAT 4???
Dunno. JWA did a 50 knots jump in one of their updates on Vicente from 70 knots to 120 knots. I've never seen hurricane/typhoon getting so strong that fast in my life.
Member Since: August 1, 2011 Posts: 28 Comments: 7897
WxGeekVA i would not be talking your the most off-topic photo poster o dr m blog this about evere post you make you have too add a off topice photo
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I wish I could go back in time to earlier today and...
Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 127 Comments: 7927
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Quoting hurricanehunter27:
Not a single person would be left on this blog if they where banned for being off topic. Not to mention nothing is going on.
Guess that's true...
Member Since: August 1, 2011 Posts: 28 Comments: 7897
Free wheeling it for awhile here. They are very short handed and only removing the worst. Pensacola Doug didn't get a ban for a couple days ago; which I'm completely cool with. Just letting a lot go and forgiving the rest. Up to us to keep it civil, very few of us here can't do that.
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Quoting RTSplayer:


Wow.

Guy with the hand anemometer got a peak gust of 152mph in that video just now at about 1.5 meters height.

That's way stronger than the official data even at observation height....


I just found out...HOW THE HELL DID VICENTE MADE IT TO CAT 4???
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Quoting gulfbreeze:
I am sorry about the BP comment!! They just get on my last nerve after what they did to my back yard I love the Gulf and it hurt to see oil washing on my White beaches. I will shut up about IT!!! I will get back to my love and that is HURRICANES !!!!!!
Question. When was the last time you saw oil wash up on a beach on the gulf coast? I know the oil is still there somewhere (I am guessing the ocean floor) but it is definitely not washing up on any shores.
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Quoting Bluestorm5:


Being off-topic... that's enough for 24 hr ban
Not a single person would be left on this blog if they where banned for being off topic. Not to mention nothing is going on.
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I am sorry about the BP comment!! They just get on my last nerve after what they did to my back yard I love the Gulf and it hurt to see oil washing on my White beaches. I will shut up about IT!!! I will get back to my love and that is HURRICANES !!!!!!
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Quoting bradbarry27:


You have a lack of understanding on this subject, aparently. China has been doing this to keep their goods cheaper for years now. On purpose. I doubt anything anyone here says will change your mind. Perhaps you should look up QE1, QE2, and QE3 and see for yourself what he was talking about.
Sense you are so knowledgeable on the subject explain it yourself. Also why are you bringing up China? We are talking about BP. Plus goods are cheap in China because labor cost are so low. In certain ways China's economy is less regulated then the US.
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Quoting WxGeekVA:


Relax Taz! I don't see why that would be banned...


Being off-topic... that's enough for 24 hr ban
Member Since: August 1, 2011 Posts: 28 Comments: 7897

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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