June 2012: Earth's 4th warmest June; heavy rains in Beijing kill 37

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 12:19 PM GMT on July 23, 2012

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June 2012 was the globe's 4th warmest June on record, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's National Climatic Data Center (NCDC). NASA rated May 2012 the 3rd warmest on record. June 2012 global land temperatures were the warmest on record; this makes three months in a row--April, May, and June--in which record-high monthly land temperature records were set. Global ocean temperatures were the 10th warmest on record. June 2012 was the 328th consecutive month with global temperatures warmer than the 20th century average; the last time global temperatures were below average was February 1985. We've now had three consecutive top-five warmest months on record; April 2012 was the 5th warmest April on record, and May 2012 was the 2nd warmest May on record. The increase in global temperatures relative to average, compared to March 2012 (16th warmest March on record) is due, in part, to warming waters in the Eastern Pacific, where a La Niña event ended in April, and borderline El Niño conditions now exist. Global satellite-measured temperatures in June for the lowest 8 km of the atmosphere were 4th or 3rd warmest in the 34-year record, according to Remote Sensing Systems and the University of Alabama Huntsville (UAH). Northern Hemisphere snow cover extent during June 2012 was the smallest in the 46-year period of record. Wunderground's weather historian, Christopher C. Burt, has a comprehensive post on the notable weather events of June in his June 2012 Global Weather Extremes Summary. Notably:

- The U.K. suffered through its wettest June since at least 1910, and coolest such since 1991.

- The monsoon season has been especially devastating so far along the banks of the Brahmaputra River in northeast India and Bangladesh. Over 2000 villages have been flooded and at least 190 deaths reported so far. Almost 20 million people in all have been displaced.

- The Korean Peninsula continued to endure its worst drought in at least 105 years.


Figure 1. Departure of temperature from average for June 2012. In the Northern Hemisphere, most areas experienced much higher-than-average monthly temperatures, including most of North America and Eurasia, and northern Africa. Only northern and western Europe, and the northwestern United States were notably cooler than average. Image credit: National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) .

Arctic sea ice has greatest June loss on record
Arctic sea ice saw its greatest-ever decrease during the month of June, and ice extent averaged over the entire month was the 2nd lowest for June in the 35-year satellite record, according to the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC). The last three Junes (2010 - 2012) have had the three smallest ice extents for the month, with June 2012 being the 21st consecutive June and the 133rd consecutive month with below-average Arctic sea ice extent. During much of June 2012 and extending into the first half of July, the Arctic Dipole pattern set up. This atmospheric circulation pattern features a surface high pressure system in the Arctic north of Alaska, and a low pressure system on the Eurasian side of the Arctic. This results in winds blowing from south to north over Siberia, pushing warm air into the central Arctic Ocean. The Arctic Dipole pattern occurred in all summer months of 2007 and helped support the record 2007 summer reduction in sea ice extent. The Arctic Dipole pattern has broken down over the past few days, and is expected to be absent through early August. This should slow Arctic sea ice loss, and ice extent may no longer be at record low levels by the first week of August.


Figure 2. Arctic sea ice area in 2012 as of July 22 (yellow line) compared to all the other years since satellite observations began in 1979. Ice area in 2012 during most of June and July has been the lowest on record. The previous record low years were 2007 and 2011. Note that sea ice area (as shown here) and sea ice extent (as measured by the National Snow and Ice Data Center) are not the same thing, but one can use either to quantify sea ice, and both show very similar behavior. Image credit: University of Illinois Cryosphere Today.

Three new billion-dollar weather disasters in June
The globe experienced three new billion-dollar weather disasters in June, bringing the total for the year to nine, said insurance broker Aon Benfield in their June Catastrophe Report. The most expensive disaster in June occurred in China, where heavy rains between the between June 20 - 29 affected northern, central, eastern and southern sections of the country. The rains left at least 50 people dead in 17 separate provinces, and caused damage estimated at CNY17.4 billion (USD2.73 billion). The U.S. suffered two billion-dollar severe weather events in June, bringing the total number of such events to six for the year. The record for most billion-dollar disasters in a year in the U.S. is fourteen (according to NOAA/NCDC) or seventeen (according to Aon Benfield.) The most costly event in June 2012 came across portions of Texas and New Mexico, where severe thunderstorms pelted areas (including the Dallas-Fort Worth metropolitan region) with golf ball and baseball-sized hail. The Insurance Council of Texas said that more than 100,000 claims were filed and total insured losses in the state would exceed $1 billion, with total losses near $1.75 billion. A separate hail event in Colorado and Wyoming caused more than $700 million in insured losses, and $1.25 billion in total losses.


Figure 3. Weather disasters costing at least half a billion dollars so far in 2012, according to insurance broker Aon Benfield in their June Catastrophe Report.

Heaviest rains in 60 years deluge Beijing, killing 37
China's latest billion-dollar weather disaster is a torrential rainstorm that hit Beijing Saturday night, dumping the the heaviest rains the city has seen in 60 years, according to Associated Press. The resulting flooding killed 37 people and did $1.6 billion in damage.


Figure 4. A Chinese man uses a signboard to signal motorists driving through flooded street following a heavy rain in Beijing Saturday, July 21, 2012. China's government says the heaviest rains to hit Beijing in six decades. The torrential downpour Saturday night left low-lying streets flooded and knocked down trees. (AP Photo)

Quiet in the Atlantic
There are no threat areas to discuss in the Atlantic, and none of the reliable computer models are developing a tropical cyclone over the next seven days.


Jeff Masters

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1168. ncstorm
Im going to bed but keep in mind if this is to develop, trying to speculate where this is going will make you crazy..just be prepare if anything comes your way..

Good night!
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 16223
Quoting KoritheMan:


I missed you too, buddy! I feel quite at home here right now.
glad to hear that.
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1061 rocketboy108: Does anyone know the lowest pressure attained by the Typhoon Vicente? I followed it only casually, then was stunned to see it had blown up suddenly to a Cat 4 at landfall.
Since I was not following it closely -- and the weather-underground map shows it jumping from Cat 1 directly to cat 4 -- I was naturally curious to know what the rate of intensification was.
Did it set a record or anything? How fast did it explode from 1 to 4?


14:01(UTC)(2:01pmGMT) - 976.9(millibars) - 65.0(knots)
14:32(UTC)(2:32pmGMT) - 962.1(millibars) - 82.2(knots)
15:01(UTC)(3:01pmGMT) - 957.2(millibars) - 87.4(knots)
15:32(UTC)(3:32pmGMT) - 954.8(millibars) - 90.0(knots)
16:01(UTC)(4:01pmGMT) - 947.0(millibars) - 97.2(knots)
16:32(UTC)(4:32pmGMT) - 941.8(millibars) - 102.0(knots)
17:01(UTC)(5:01pmGMT) - 933.4(millibars) - 109.8(knots)
17:14(UTC)(5:14pmGMT) - 933.4(millibars) - 109.8(knots)
17:32(UTC)(5:32pmGMT) - 933.4(millibars) - 109.8(knots)
18:32(UTC)(6:32pmGMT) - 933.3(millibars) - 109.8(knots)
19:01(UTC)(7:01pmGMT) - 933.3(millibars) - 109.8(knots)
2012JUL23 19:32(UTC) (7:32pmGMT , ~8minutes before landfall)
(MinimumPressure of) 933.3(millibars)
(MaximumSustainedWinds of) 109.8(knots)126.4mph(203.3k/h)
Member Since: August 21, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 4860
Quoting allancalderini:
I had miss you You are one of my favorite bloggers in here hope everything from now on is happiness for you.


I missed you too, buddy! I feel quite at home here right now.
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anyways do the GFS show a pre-florence or something like that in the run?
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Quoting KoritheMan:


Thanks bro!


No problem! :)
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Quoting Civicane49:


I'm glad that you're okay now.


Thanks bro!
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Quoting KoritheMan:
On a speculative note, I've always had a bad feeling about Ernesto ever since it was churning the Caribbean in 2006. Just sayin.
I had miss you You are one of my favorite bloggers in here hope everything from now on is happiness for you.
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Quoting wxchaser97:
Well this is one model run I thought I wouldnt see for awhile. FL might be in for a hurricane if this pans out so that would make 3 landfalls before peak season.


Wait, you mean things might actually return to normal? Who would have thought...
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Quoting KoritheMan:
I'm baaaack. Story to follow.


I'm glad that you're okay now.
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On a speculative note, I've always had a bad feeling about Ernesto ever since it was churning the Caribbean in 2006. Just sayin.
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Quoting allancalderini:
If that is Ernesto and don`t recurve things are going to be bad.


Agreed.
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Quoting JLPR2:


Glad to see everything is normal. :)
Though the Zinc poisoning worried me, glad to know that it went away.


Trust me bro, you don't want it. lol
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Well, that would be bad.

If that is Ernesto and don`t recurve things are going to be bad.
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Generally 1016 millibar.


Thanks TA. I usually lurk but want to get more involved
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Quoting BahaHurican:
Wow... u missed all the excitement of a) the blob of the season on Sunday and b) Vicente.

Hope everything else is ok w/ u...


I'm fine! Vincente is just full of surprises, I see. How delightful.
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1151. ncstorm
tropic..(PR/DOM)those islands would still see effects..



another way of looking at it..
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 16223
Well this is one model run I thought I wouldnt see for awhile. FL might be in for a hurricane if this pans out so that would make 3 landfalls before peak season.
Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 127 Comments: 7972
Quoting KoritheMan:
I'm baaaack. Story to follow.
Wow... u missed all the excitement of a) the blob of the season on Sunday and b) Vicente.

Hope everything else is ok w/ u...
Member Since: October 25, 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 22727
Quoting Eyewall07:
Quick question

What isobar do hurricanes usually follow ? Tia

Generally 1016 millibar.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32811
OH great Kori!!! Now you've got me crying. (inside) I've got drug addled teenagers and young twenty somethings to counsel tonight. You give me hope, as a Christian, I love you for being you. You have no duplicity, you are only who you are. I've got to go for a couple hours, but Kori you are one of the reasons I like this site so much. You have a very sharp mind, and a solid heart. Peace and much love. And as I said earlier, everything I've ever said to you stands. Thank you so much for the update. You Father loves you very much. Not all of us here know how that feels. A Father's affirmation means so much.
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1146. JLPR2
Quoting KoritheMan:


Glad to see everything is normal. :)
Though the Zinc poisoning worried me, glad to know that it went away.
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Well, that would be bad.



Yep.
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Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:


Is there a trough that may turn it away from the US?

I doubt it's amplified enough to.

Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32811
I'm looking hard but see no trough
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Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:


Is there a trough that may turn it away from the US?
Sadly it does not look like a trough will save FL.
Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 127 Comments: 7972
So it begins. MWAHAHAHA
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Quoting ncstorm:
on that run it looks to be more of a bahamas storm and it looks like it will miss the PR/Dominicans islands..


But PR/VI by not too much.
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well, the path is somewhat similar to Earl's
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1137. ncstorm
welcome to the GFS first run of a cape verde hurricane..otherwise known as the wave train..
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 16223
Quick question

What isobar do hurricanes usually follow ? Tia
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Well, that would be bad.



Is there a trough that may turn it away from the US?
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No, its head for FL. 991mb at 384hrs, this is not good.
Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 127 Comments: 7972
Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:


In what island you are located?


I'm on the path of this hypothetic storm (st maarten)
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1131. ncstorm
on that run it looks to be more of a bahamas storm and it looks like it will miss the PR/Dominicans islands..
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 16223
Well, that would be bad.

Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32811
384 hours:

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360 hrs
Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 127 Comments: 7972
Quoting wxchaser97:
Wow 992mb at 348hrs, reliable or not this is something.


I don't really know if that trough over the northeast US has enough amplitude to recurve it.
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Firstly, let me say that, for lack of a better term, my life has been a roller coaster. Ever since I told my father [my sexual orientation], from the night we came home from Gulfport up to exactly a week ago, he became distant and disturbed. I had never seen him that way in my life. Not at me, at least. We had a birthday party for Daniel, the youngest of my siblings who just made a year, the Friday before last. After everyone had left, my dad was already upset at what he deemed to be fuel to the fire on top of an already heated family drama. I tried to calm him down and explain that if I know those people as well as I think I do, then I know they didn't mean anything by it. That didn't fly with him, however, and he got angry and started saying "Don't get all philosophical on me tonight, Kori. You're not going to get me upset, nor your grandmother", as if I have an agenda of some sort toward my family.

Fast forward a bit and my step mother randomly brings up religion. I normally don't mind discussing/debating religion, but eventually dad starts blaming my atheism on my best friend Andrew, who lives in Ohio, but whom I have never actually met (that was part of the reason, at first, that I wanted a job). I said "But dad, I don't even listen to him. My viewpoints are my own. They weren't formed because of him." He got up, cut me off, and yelled at me to shut up while heading for one of the bedrooms. Now, dad never tells me to shut up, so at that point I knew he was upset with me. And I knew it was because of what I had told him, he was just using that night's events to justify his frustration. Now I'm a guy who is not easily offended. I am one of the most thick-skinned people I know. However, the things he said to me -- his attitude toward me that night -- were completely unwarranted. I'm his son, and I felt like an utter stranger. Like my father was steadily deserting me.

So at that point my grandmother asks us to all get off the topic because she hates to hear me talk about her god in a negative manner. I was already pissed at dad, so at that point I became angry at her as well. I said that I didn't consider this family my household any longer. You know, one of those moments where you say something you shouldn't, and end up regretting it later. With that, I storm out the front door, and walk down the street alone. It was 10:30 PM, there were few streetlights, so theoretically it wasn't the safest thing to do. But I didn't care. I was angry. I felt alone. I wanted to talk with my father, but knew he wouldn't have it. Not in that state of mind. I go back inside and spend the rest of the night in the confines of my bedroom.

The turning point came this past Monday. I had bought some zinc supplements at Walmart, and was taking them for upwards of two months on an almost daily basis. The end result was zinc toxicity (let's not get into how stupid that was :P). Symptomatic with such a thing was fatigue, random and persistent nausea, shock, extreme sweating, anemia (grandmother went to take my blood sugar and there was no blood), and high blood pressure (at one point it was 140 over 180). I called my dad over to get me to the hospital, because my aunt was at work with the only vehicle we have right now, and I really thought I was going to die. I've never felt that horrible in my life. Literally. He gets over there, and I start crying. Uncontrollably and compulsively. I hadn't cried like that in awhile, and my dad later told my step mother he had never seen me that upset before. Dad gestures for me to get up, and gives me a hug. I couldn't stop crying. A few moments later, crying with me, he says "I love you." That was the first time I had heard those words since I told him I was bisexual. Longer than that actually (we were having issues with me wanting a relationship with my biological mother since he holds very strong resentment toward her).

Well, that was all I needed to hear. At that point I knew I still had a dad, and it was the single happiest moment of my life. And yes, I survived the poisoning.

Hope that clears up my absence for those of you who missed it. Been one hell of a journey. Things are normal between us now.
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Quoting CaribBoy:
00Z GFS IS HAPPY


In what island you are located?
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Wow 992mb at 348hrs, reliable or not this is something.
Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 127 Comments: 7972
00Z GFS IS HAPPY
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1122. JLPR2
Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:


What a timing to start August with a boom. At least we will be tracking something after the very quiet period after Debby.


I would be happy with just one storm.
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Quoting wxchaser97:
324 has a 994mb storm impacting the Lesser Antilies


Oh look, another 1013mb low just behind it...
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Quoting JLPR2:


That looks a little too close for comfort. Thank goodness it is so far out, 312hrs isn't exactly reliable.


Yep.
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I thought there will be a trough to turn it out as hurrican23 added earlier
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could impact the N Islands as a hurricane
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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