Morocco hits 121°F (49.6°C): a national all-time heat record

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:01 AM GMT on July 18, 2012

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The first new all-time national temperature record of 2012 belongs to Morocco, thanks to the 121.3°F (49.6°C) temperature measured at Marrakech on July 17, 2012. According to the Wunderground International Records data base maintained by our weather historian, Christopher C. Burt, the previous record was 120.4°F (49.1°C) at Agadir on July 30, 2009. A hotter temperature of 51.7°C (125.1°F) was reported from Aghadir (Agadir) Souss Massa Dra region on 17 August 1940 during a chergui wind event. However, this reading is considered unreliable by weather records researcher Maximiliano Herrera, since the temperature was 6°C higher than that measured at nearby stations.

Seven nations set all time heat records in 2011. Nineteen nations (plus the the U.K.'s Ascension Island) set all-time extreme heat records in 2010. One nation (Zambia, in 2011) set an all-time cold record during the period 2010 - 2012. With a very hot airmass in place over much of North Africa, the Middle East, and Western Asia the remainder of this week, more all-time national heat records may fall.


Figure 1. A sample image of what the new Fire Risk layer on our wundermap looks like. This is the Keetch-Byram Drought Index, one of several indices that can be used to measure fire risk. Blue and green colors represent lower risks, while yellow and orange colors show higher risk. The highest risk is shown in dark red. The legend for the Fire Risk layer explains that these highest risk areas are often associated with more severe drought with increased wildfire occurrence. Intense, deep burning fires with significant downwind spotting can be expected. Live fuels can also be expected to burn actively at these levels.

Wunderground releases new fire risk layer on its wundermap
Our interactive wundermap, which allows one to overlay multiple meteorological data sets, has a new layer: a Fire Risk layer. Using data from the U.S. Forest Service's Wildland Fire Assessment System, we give you option to plot up U.S. fire danger using a variety of options: Fire Danger Rating, Lower Atmosphere Stability (Haines Index), Keetch-Byram Drought Index, 10-hr Dead Fuel Moisture, 100-hr Dead Fuel Moisture, and 1000-hr Dead Fuel Moisture. According to the National Interagency Fire Center, California currently has the most number of of large fires burning of any state (5), which makes sense, given what the fire risk map above is showing.

Jeff Masters

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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:



Imagine if that continued into the peak months...
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304. wxmod
Greenland in full meltdown. Black soot on the snow. MODIS satellite photo.

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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

I don't expect it to develop, but it's in a low wind shear environment until 55W.



The constant high westerly shear in the Caribbean is very El-Nino-ish.
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Quoting washingtonian115:
Wow! look at how low shear is in the Gulf and off the east coast.



Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 112 Comments: 31315


Looks like a weak elongated circulation with the wave we are watching between Africa and South America.
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300. flsky
Quoting Tribucanes:
In America and the rest of the West we have become Idols unto ourselves. Most have their blogs where they focus only on themselves, and then there's pop culture of coarse that steals our attention. We are the best entertained in the world, in the West, but intellectualism is crashing through the floor. We have become a self-absorbed country here in America. It's what you look like, not what you know that is the commodity people seek. As more need to focus on the real issues, fewer and fewer do. We are in an age of decline in America and it's largely because of greed, lack of truth, and a great love of self. Hard to tackle an issue as big as GW when the public's intellectual understanding of it continues to decline or be ignored completely.


Well said.
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Wow! look at how low shear is in the Gulf and off the east coast.
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Quoting jeffs713:

So is E=M*c2


You're only the 10th or 20th person to say that...I get it.
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
If anybody cares, I've had it circled since last night. Lol.



Note: These tropical weather outlooks are in no way associated with the NOAA NWS National Hurricane Center's. For official information regarding disturbances with the potential to become a tropical cyclone, please refer to hurricanes.gov.


Nah, no one does. :-)
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Quoting allancalderini:
the wave has a chance I think but when it reach the carribean it will probably die from wind shear.

I don't expect it to develop, but it's in a low wind shear environment until 55W.

Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 112 Comments: 31315
Quoting MississippiWx:
Let's not get ahead of ourselves. I'm no denier of AGW, but it is not "fact". At this point, it is still a theory.

So is E=M*c2
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the wave has a chance I think but when it reach the carribean it will probably die from wind shear.
Member Since: October 15, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 3950
One has to "think".

Unplug for a day, a week.

Clarity comes from taking a step back and looking at yours/the community, the State, the Country, world.

One can see plainly the Powers that be are not dealing with any issues on a scale that will bring about change.

2 Wars, Trillons wasted, Tax cuts, Bank and Financial Terrorist walking free.

Energy companies and their cash rue the World.

They a force unto themselves with means to Whole Nations Armies, tactical and technical toys as well.

Look at their Profits alone the last 5 years.

Look at their Tax numbers and charitable funding.

Monsanto, a whole nuther Force of Power.

I said it 20 years ago.

"Until the driving force of the Earth changes from the gathering of wealth by Men and Nations, nothing shall change and our fate's are sealed"..

The power of one is tenfold of Zero.



Do something..

One can move mountains,

..organise, educate.

Think of the Cerebral fortitude and problem solving potential here right now.

Focus and organise it and I bet in 2 weeks we could have 100 solid ideas on what we can do now to change the trend.

The trend is UP.
The Trend is bad.
The trend cares lil for rhetoric.







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Quoting ncstorm:


I always grew up with the hotter the summer, the colder the winter is..last summer wasnt as hot as previous years

What happened in TX, then? We had a blistering hot summer (all-time record level hot), and then a very warm winter.
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Quoting gcohen:
"technically it's still a theory"
People get this wrong a lot, so I'll explain. In science the word 'theory' has a very specific meaning. In fact, in science a 'theory' has more scientific proof or evidence behind it than a so called 'law'.
For example Newton's "law" F=ma has no theory behind it, its not derived from any equation, the only thing that makes it a law is that it has never been observed or shown to be incorrect.
So when the word "theory" is used in science we're talking about definition 5 "a plausible or scientifically acceptable general principle or body of principles offered to explain phenomena " NOT definition 6 "a hypothesis assumed for the sake of argument or investigation".

"The formal scientific definition of theory is quite different from the everyday meaning of the word. It refers to a comprehensive explanation of some aspect of nature that is supported by a vast body of evidence. Many scientific theories are so well established that no new evidence is likely to alter them substantially. For example, no new evidence will demonstrate that the Earth does not orbit around the sun (heliocentric theory), or that living things are not made of cells (cell theory), that matter is not composed of atoms, or that the surface of the Earth is not divided into solid plates that have moved over geological timescales (the theory of plate tectonics)...One of the most useful properties of scientific theories is that they can be used to make predictions about natural events or phenomena that have not yet been observed"

Thanks, can we now please stop with the "but its only a theory!" stuff??


Yeah, but that's just your theory.




... sorry....
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In America and the rest of the West we have become Idols unto ourselves. Most have their blogs where they focus only on themselves, and then there's pop culture of coarse that steals our attention. We are the best entertained in the world, in the West, but intellectualism is crashing through the floor. We have become a self-absorbed country here in America. It's what you look like, not what you know that is the commodity people seek. As more need to focus on the real issues, fewer and fewer do. We are in an age of decline in America and it's largely because of greed, lack of truth, and a great love of self. Hard to tackle an issue as big as GW when the public's intellectual understanding of it continues to decline or be ignored completely.
Member Since: April 18, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2437
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
If anybody cares.



Note: These tropical weather outlooks are in no way associated with the NOAA NWS National Hurricane Center's. For official information regarding disturbances with the potential to become a tropical cyclone, please refer to hurricanes.gov.


this looks better than the nhc
Member Since: June 20, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2150
leelee75k that's an interesting user name XD.
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
If anybody cares.



Note: These tropical weather outlooks are in no way associated with the NOAA NWS National Hurricane Center's. For official information regarding disturbances with the potential to become a tropical cyclone, please refer to hurricanes.gov.
Maybe the NHC will be inspired.It's nice to start somewhere.
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:D


I love severe storms, but they seem much more exciting when we need the rain.
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
If anybody cares.



Note: These tropical weather outlooks are in no way associated with the NOAA NWS National Hurricane Center's. For official information regarding disturbances with the potential to become a tropical cyclone, please refer to hurricanes.gov.


awesome, even if i dont agree
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"technically it's still a theory"
People get this wrong a lot, so I'll explain. In science the word 'theory' has a very specific meaning. In fact, in science a 'theory' has more scientific proof or evidence behind it than a so called 'law'.
For example Newton's "law" F=ma has no theory behind it, its not derived from any equation, the only thing that makes it a law is that it has never been observed or shown to be incorrect.
So when the word "theory" is used in science we're talking about definition 5 "a plausible or scientifically acceptable general principle or body of principles offered to explain phenomena " NOT definition 6 "a hypothesis assumed for the sake of argument or investigation".

"The formal scientific definition of theory is quite different from the everyday meaning of the word. It refers to a comprehensive explanation of some aspect of nature that is supported by a vast body of evidence. Many scientific theories are so well established that no new evidence is likely to alter them substantially. For example, no new evidence will demonstrate that the Earth does not orbit around the sun (heliocentric theory), or that living things are not made of cells (cell theory), that matter is not composed of atoms, or that the surface of the Earth is not divided into solid plates that have moved over geological timescales (the theory of plate tectonics)...One of the most useful properties of scientific theories is that they can be used to make predictions about natural events or phenomena that have not yet been observed"

Thanks, can we now please stop with the "but its only a theory!" stuff??
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If anybody cares, I've had it circled since last night. Lol.



Note: These tropical weather outlooks are in no way associated with the NOAA NWS National Hurricane Center's. For official information regarding disturbances with the potential to become a tropical cyclone, please refer to hurricanes.gov.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 112 Comments: 31315
There's more than meets the eye in this world
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Quoting washingtonian115:
I wonder why they dropped it...


I don't know as they were showing this feature for several runs then all of the sudden dropped it last weekend.
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Quoting wxmod:


Big time politicians know more about getting elected than we do. That's their expertise, their genius. They are fund raising and giving speeches right now, not watching satellite photos or gathering scientific evidence. Climate change is still just a dream to them. They all have air conditioning, and the color of the pavement around them never changes.


I agree with what you are saying about politicians. i've watched them here in Italy and it is unbelievable how tribal it is; words might as well be senseless noises or gang colors for all they are related to anything logical.

But that still doesn't explain what is going on. It just can't be that simple. I don't know, maybe a collective head in the sand stance on all of our parts, we want to ignore the issue hoping it will go away, because the truth is too awful to face?

I really don't know, I just can't blame politicians totally, despite all the evidence about funding their votes.
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Quoting StormTracker2K:


It's moving west straight towards Barbados not S America. This could be something to watch as both the GFS and Euro were developing this feature last week during this timeframe.
I wonder why they dropped it...
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Quoting greentortuloni:


Fair enough, it did feel like a troll question and I thought about changing it. But it really wasn't meant to be political on one side or the other, and it is related to the topic of extreme weather, crop failures, etc..

I don't see geoengineering as an issue in this election. To me it seems like the 800 lb gorilla in the corner, but maybe that is just my view. I was wondering what other people thought, why this issue hasn't become an issue (yet) given how vital it is.
My personal feeling is they are too busy mud slinging and hitting on the jobs numbers. They do not think the people want to hear about global warming and besides they can't legislate the weather. Que Sera, Sera......
Member Since: March 28, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1532
90-95% of all climate experts aren't wrong, the science isn't wrong, the climate in the last fifteen is but the foreshadowing of what is to come. Huge climate impacts are being felt worldwide now. Man driven GW isn't theory, it's the only scientific answer to what our Earth is doing. Once again 90-95% of all climate experts agree that the science points to only one main driving cause; us. When this season's crop loss and drought hit record or near record levels later this year; the impact will cost us tens of billions and billions. Freakish extremes are the new norm. Wonder if we get the cold and snow this year and Europe gets the non-winter. Either way, things will never be normal climate wise again and we humans are the main drivers of this out of control car. We gonna be able to get the vehicle under control before it flies over the ravine and takes the human race with it?
Member Since: April 18, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2437
Quoting stormchaser19:
This low is the most close to a Depression, that has get out of africa, and NHC doesn't put on him a yellow circle.



Maybe at 2 PM they do it.
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276. wxmod
Quoting SteveDa1:
It's hard to have a reasonable debate when one side of the team denies facts. It's like fighting a losing war.

I now either see them, the deniers, as trolls or people with extremely hard heads and I will just ignore them because debating never goes anywhere most of the time...


Don't look at them as trolls, look at them as carbon power employees who are here for money. They are hired guns; but alas, they will die slow and suffering from the global meltdown, just like the rest of us. I find that fact rather comforting.
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Quoting washingtonian115:
Yes..But it'll be running into S.A soon and the environment is stable.


It's moving west straight towards Barbados not S America. This could be something to watch as both the GFS and Euro were developing this feature last week during this timeframe.
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Hopefully it's sub-tropical/fully tropical.But that won't be to hard to accomplish.Sst will support that type of transition.

Bardeyes I know.
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Quoting washingtonian115:
The blog really needs a storm to track..
Or even a blob at this point.
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Quoting aspectre:
216 MississippiWx: Let's not get ahead of ourselves. I'm no denier of AGW, but it is not "fact". At this point, it is still a theory.

So is Gravitation, Chemistry, Electromagnetism, Evolution, Thermodynamics, SpecialRelativity, QuantumMechanics, GeneralRelativity, the StandardModel...

Your point being?


You quoted my point. That's all it was...lol.
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06z GFS continues to spin up a tropical cyclone off the US East Coast by 114 hours.
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And so it begins.. seems pretty early for an MD, but they seem to go early when things involve the NYC Metro Area. Might be an interesting day after all.

Member Since: June 25, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 31
Quoting stormchaser19:
This low is the most close to a Depression, that has get out of africa, and NHC doesn't put on him a yellow circle.



It's attached to the ITCZ, however, I agree that it warrants a circle. They might give it one at the TWO update. It's no where close to a TD when it comes to having a well defined circulation, though.

850mb Vort

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Hopefully, we would have learned a huge lesson. If we drastically change the way we live after major life altering events arise then I guess there is something to smile at.

Let's still not hope it comes to that ... ;)
Member Since: October 17, 2006 Posts: 60 Comments: 1297
The blog really needs a storm to track..
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216 MississippiWx: Let's not get ahead of ourselves. I'm no denier of AGW, but it is not "fact". At this point, it is still a theory.

So is Gravitation, Chemistry, Electromagnetism, Evolution, Thermodynamics, SpecialRelativity, QuantumMechanics, GeneralRelativity, the StandardModel...

Your point being?
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264. wxmod
Quoting greentortuloni:


It's just mystifying to me that this isn't a larger issue. Having met a few politicians I believe they are mostly 'furbo' (a particular flavor of clever than doesn't preclude stupid) and some are really intelligent. I can't see how, between politicians who care and all the other 'leaders' in this country, no one is standing up and screaming. It's not just liberals anymore, it is the CIA, most large companies (including oil companies), teh Defense Dept, most other government departments, etc. >> everyone is planning for survival in a globally warming world and no one is forcing the issue out into the open politically.





Big time politicians know more about getting elected than we do. That's their expertise, their genius. They are fund raising and giving speeches right now, not watching satellite photos or gathering scientific evidence. Climate change is still just a dream to them. They all have air conditioning, and the color of the pavement around them never changes.
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This low is the most close to a Depression, that has get out of africa, and NHC doesn't put on a yellow circle.

Member Since: June 20, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2150
We have the ability to make Earth a paradise, yet well, Politicians and conflict will keep that day from us sans forever.

Awaken..
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I BELIEVE!!! Its all so clear..clarity has been reached!!

Now where is the line for the koolaid toast?
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Quoting MississippiWx:
Thanks for the discussion, Pat and Neapolitan. I think a good discussion like this one is educational. Ones filled with venom that occur here often are less educational since most turn away.

Let me be clear and state that I believe in AGW. I was just stating that technically it's still a theory. However, there are facts within the theory that cannot be denied, such as the ones Pat and Nea showed.


Sadly, its far more than debate about the science that determines actions taken (or not taken)on this issue. Politics and Money, which should likely be joined into a single word, will determine when, what, and if significant efforts are made to address climate change. As long as there is money to be made by the use of fossil fuels and the money that is made by those fossil fuels and related activities is directed to politicians and their parties-- then this issue will remain "Questionable science" and no major efforts will be undertaken at the scale required to effectively deal with it in whatever way we can at this point.

Change of the sort required to deal with this issue (as with any massive organizational change) will unfortunately require some type of major (probably life altering) event that tips the economic scales from money to be made on the side of the old way to-- money to be made and many lives to be saved on the side of dealing with the problem.

Sadly, climate science works (in human terms) slowly- and by the time these major events have occurred, the results will be nearly impossible to overcome. In short-- the idea of it being a theory (and the efforts to debunk it) will not be proven wrong until the offices of the Oil/Gas/Coal lobbyists are long underwater in DC. And then, they will probably still claim with their last gurgling breaths: "its just a theory" (Think the knight in Monty Ponty... Its just a scratch!!")

Member Since: June 25, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 31
Quoting greentortuloni:
Well, anyway, I didn't mean to debate the issue, I was asking why given the range of opinions out there and the force of emotion, this isn't a larger issue politically.


It should be a larger issue, but big oil companies do what they need to do to keep politicians quiet. $$$$$$$$
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Quoting StormTracker2K:
Interesting! This could get a a yellow circle soon. Look at this animation and you might be surprised at how organized this is.

Link
Yes..But it'll be running into S.A soon and the environment is stable.
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Well, anyway, I didn't mean to debate the issue, I was asking why given the range of opinions out there and the force of emotion, this isn't a larger issue politically.
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Quoting MississippiWx:


That says nothing about AGW, which as I said, is still a theory.


Yeah but political action isn't based on theories, it is based on possibilities,probabilities and outcomes... or at least non-political logic is. That's why you by car insurance; that you will get into an accident is just a theory, a lot of people never get into accidents.

Say there is only a 20% change of a 3 meter sea level rise by 2050 and that this 3 meters will cause 2 tirllion worth of damage. Would you pay 60 billion to try to stop it?

[those numbers are obviously made up, don't bother debating the numbers because I don't stand by them.]
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There's a Tropical Weather?

I trend to the topics usually.

: )
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.