Morocco hits 121°F (49.6°C): a national all-time heat record

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:01 AM GMT on July 18, 2012

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The first new all-time national temperature record of 2012 belongs to Morocco, thanks to the 121.3°F (49.6°C) temperature measured at Marrakech on July 17, 2012. According to the Wunderground International Records data base maintained by our weather historian, Christopher C. Burt, the previous record was 120.4°F (49.1°C) at Agadir on July 30, 2009. A hotter temperature of 51.7°C (125.1°F) was reported from Aghadir (Agadir) Souss Massa Dra region on 17 August 1940 during a chergui wind event. However, this reading is considered unreliable by weather records researcher Maximiliano Herrera, since the temperature was 6°C higher than that measured at nearby stations.

Seven nations set all time heat records in 2011. Nineteen nations (plus the the U.K.'s Ascension Island) set all-time extreme heat records in 2010. One nation (Zambia, in 2011) set an all-time cold record during the period 2010 - 2012. With a very hot airmass in place over much of North Africa, the Middle East, and Western Asia the remainder of this week, more all-time national heat records may fall.


Figure 1. A sample image of what the new Fire Risk layer on our wundermap looks like. This is the Keetch-Byram Drought Index, one of several indices that can be used to measure fire risk. Blue and green colors represent lower risks, while yellow and orange colors show higher risk. The highest risk is shown in dark red. The legend for the Fire Risk layer explains that these highest risk areas are often associated with more severe drought with increased wildfire occurrence. Intense, deep burning fires with significant downwind spotting can be expected. Live fuels can also be expected to burn actively at these levels.

Wunderground releases new fire risk layer on its wundermap
Our interactive wundermap, which allows one to overlay multiple meteorological data sets, has a new layer: a Fire Risk layer. Using data from the U.S. Forest Service's Wildland Fire Assessment System, we give you option to plot up U.S. fire danger using a variety of options: Fire Danger Rating, Lower Atmosphere Stability (Haines Index), Keetch-Byram Drought Index, 10-hr Dead Fuel Moisture, 100-hr Dead Fuel Moisture, and 1000-hr Dead Fuel Moisture. According to the National Interagency Fire Center, California currently has the most number of of large fires burning of any state (5), which makes sense, given what the fire risk map above is showing.

Jeff Masters

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355. yoboi
4:20 PM GMT on July 18, 2012
Quoting FireWeather161:


Sadly, its far more than debate about the science that determines actions taken (or not taken)on this issue. Politics and Money, which should likely be joined into a single word, will determine when, what, and if significant efforts are made to address climate change. As long as there is money to be made by the use of fossil fuels and the money that is made by those fossil fuels and related activities is directed to politicians and their parties-- then this issue will remain "Questionable science" and no major efforts will be undertaken at the scale required to effectively deal with it in whatever way we can at this point.

Change of the sort required to deal with this issue (as with any massive organizational change) will unfortunately require some type of major (probably life altering) event that tips the economic scales from money to be made on the side of the old way to-- money to be made and many lives to be saved on the side of dealing with the problem.

Sadly, climate science works (in human terms) slowly- and by the time these major events have occurred, the results will be nearly impossible to overcome. In short-- the idea of it being a theory (and the efforts to debunk it) will not be proven wrong until the offices of the Oil/Gas/Coal lobbyists are long underwater in DC. And then, they will probably still claim with their last gurgling breaths: "its just a theory" (Think the knight in Monty Ponty... Its just a scratch!!")




there is also money to be made in green energy....i understand both sides of the fence and both have good and bad talking points...
Member Since: August 25, 2010 Posts: 7 Comments: 2434
354. MahFL
4:20 PM GMT on July 18, 2012
Quoting nrtiwlnvragn:
Invest 91L is a test, initiated by HPC. Look at the labels on the:
SHIPS Text
Invest File
Computer Hurricane Guidance


I thought tests were supposed to be in the 80's not 90's.
Member Since: June 9, 2004 Posts: 0 Comments: 3729
353. ncstorm
4:20 PM GMT on July 18, 2012
12z GFS running--

Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 16076
352. nrtiwlnvragn
4:17 PM GMT on July 18, 2012
Invest 91L is a test, initiated by HPC. Look at the labels on the:
SHIPS Text
Invest File
Computer Hurricane Guidance
Member Since: September 23, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 11276
351. GTcooliebai
4:17 PM GMT on July 18, 2012


Member Since: August 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 5628
Quoting GTcooliebai:
We wished for it and now we are getting it. It has rained everyday here for the past week and a half thanks in large part to Debby shifting our climate back to normal to our everyday afternoon showers and thunderstorms :)

More forming offshore.... my neighborhood is going under. The water is now higher than it was during Debby
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Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32553
347. MahFL
Quoting StormTracker2K:
Interesting! This could get a a yellow circle soon. Look at this animation and you might be surprised at how organized this is.

Link


Those are collapsing thunderstorms, no organisation at all.
Member Since: June 9, 2004 Posts: 0 Comments: 3729
TropicalAnalystWx13, then can you give me an ATCF or something like that which is related to this "91L" from the HPC or Navy?
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Good afternoon all, interesting little AOI we have in the EATL.

The Bakerton Group - Peruvian Airspace
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TEST, AL, L, , , , , 91, 2012, DB, O, 2012071700, 9999999999, , , , , , METWATCH, , AL912012

AL, 91, 2012071812, , BEST, 0, 406N, 552W, 25, 1006, DB, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1008, 150, 0, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, TEST, D,

Why aren't you guys believing me?
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Member Since: Posts: Comments:
We wished for it and now we are getting it. It has rained everyday here for the past week and a half thanks in large part to Debby shifting our climate back to normal to our everyday afternoon showers and thunderstorms :)

Member Since: August 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 5628
Quoting WxGeekVA:


If it were to completely regenerate it would be given a new name, but it would probably be noted that it generated from the remnants of Daniel in the TCR or on Wikipedia.
thanks would have been cool if he kept his name but oh well.
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Invest 91L wasn't a test, it was just initiated by the Hydrometeorological Prediction Center and Navy, and they got the numbering wrong. The NHC isn't interested in it, which is why there has been no mention in the TWO.

000
WHXX01 KWBC 181422
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1422 UTC WED JUL 18 2012

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.

ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

DISTURBANCE TEST (AL912012) 20120718 1200 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
120718 1200 120719 0000 120719 1200 120720 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 40.6N 55.2W 42.3N 49.0W 43.4N 42.4W 43.7N 37.0W
BAMD 40.6N 55.2W 41.5N 49.6W 42.6N 44.0W 43.4N 39.1W
BAMM 40.6N 55.2W 41.8N 49.1W 42.6N 43.0W 42.8N 38.4W
LBAR 40.6N 55.2W 41.8N 51.7W 42.6N 47.5W 42.9N 43.0W
SHIP 25KTS 24KTS 23KTS 22KTS
DSHP 25KTS 24KTS 23KTS 22KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
120720 1200 120721 1200 120722 1200 120723 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 43.8N 33.4W 47.4N 26.8W 54.2N 15.3W 60.0N .9E
BAMD 44.4N 34.6W 48.8N 25.4W 55.6N 9.7W 58.9N 11.7E
BAMM 43.2N 35.0W 47.9N 27.3W 55.8N 12.5W 61.3N 6.6E
LBAR 42.4N 39.3W 43.6N 33.0W .0N .0W .0N .0W
SHIP 22KTS 20KTS 0KTS 0KTS
DSHP 22KTS 20KTS 0KTS 0KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 40.6N LONCUR = 55.2W DIRCUR = 0DEG SPDCUR = 3KT
LATM12 = 40.2N LONM12 = 55.1W DIRM12 = 7DEG SPDM12 = 3KT
LATM24 = 39.2N LONM24 = 55.4W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 0NM WNDM12 = 25KT
CENPRS = 1006MB OUTPRS = 1008MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

$$
NNNN

It's a test according to this.
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Quoting Skyepony:
I don't think 91L is a test. The NAVY was following a decent swirl, really far north... NOAA finally put a floater on it just in time to see it fall apart.
thanks Skye for the clarification.
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

This is normal. In fact, wind shear is running below average in the tropical Atlantic. El Nino conditions probably won't be felt until September or later.



I think the SAL and other factors in the atmosphere are limited the formation of cyclones but if i'm not wrong the SAL historically is strong in june an july.

In other way, i think the problem is not on the atlantic, for me is in the carribean and in the GOM. July is not a month of C.V storms is more a month of storm in GOM and west carribean, the cv storms start in mid august.



Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Invest 91L wasn't a test, it was just initiated by the Hydrometeorological Prediction Center and Navy, and they got the numbering wrong. The NHC isn't interested in it, which is why there has been no mention in the TWO.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32553
336. Skyepony (Mod)
I don't think 91L is a test. The NAVY was following a decent swirl, really far north... NOAA finally put a floater on it just in time to see it fall apart.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 196 Comments: 38761
Quoting allancalderini:
cool do you think they will pull him a new name? btw this is my 500 comment.


If it were to completely regenerate it would be given a new name, but it would probably be noted that it generated from the remnants of Daniel in the TCR or on Wikipedia.
Member Since: September 3, 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3476
Quoting MississippiWx:


That says nothing about AGW, which as I said, is still a theory.


The word "theory" means something different in science than what it does in "common" use. "Foot" means something different when talking about shoes and when talking about sewing machines.

Non-scientists talk about unproven ideas and call them theories.

Scientists take the known facts and put them together in a way that best explains what is observed. That explanation is called a "scientific theory".

I get the feeling that scientists are moving away from using the word theory because it is so widely misunderstood. More commonly scientists are talking about models.
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Quoting WxGeekVA:
I don't usually talk about the West Pacific.. But the remnants of Daniel are regenerating at about 155E 10N



Loopable
cool do you think they will pull him a new name? btw this is my 500 comment.
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Quoting Articuno:
My Mom just got a call saying we are under a water restriction for 10 days.



Poor Poor Grass
yeah sad that it haven`t rain in there.
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Quoting Bobbyweather:

It's a test.


Thanks!
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Quoting greentortuloni:


From wikipedia on JKK:

".. Krishnamurti's outward appearance, which, according to eyewitnesses was common, unimpressive, and unkempt. He was also considered "particularly dim-witted"; he often had "a vacant expression" that gave him an almost moronic look."

Hey, maybe I could fit in there!


One way to experience JK.

But hang on..

The well is deep.

He predicted FB in the 80's as well.

"Our consciousness has been programmed for thousands and thousands of years and we have been conditioned, programmed, wired...to be, to think as individuals. To think as separate entities struggling, struggling conflict -- from the moment you're born until you die. We are programmed to it. We have accepted that. We have never challenged it, we have never asked, if it possible to live a life totally, absolutely without conflict."
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Quoting RCThunder:
What is Invest 91?
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/TC.html

It's a test.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
A deadly attack on top Syrian officials Wednesday delivered the harshest blow yet to President Bashar al-Assad's regime, bringing the bloodshed into his inner circle, and even his family.

The attack represents "a massive psychological blow to the regime" and will accelerate al-Assad's "demise," said Anthony Skinner, an analyst with the think tank Maplecroft, which provides risk assessments on global business.

Member Since: July 14, 2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 9648
Quoting MississippiWx:


The constant high westerly shear in the Caribbean is very El-Nino-ish.
the carribean is full of wind shear until august so it has nothing to do with el nino because we dont have one. just ULL and strong high trade winds which is typical for July
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What is Invest 91?
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/TC.html
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
(scalabilaty)

Feel free to wu mail me or my outside addy as well.
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Quoting Minnemike:

got that right Terence!!


He's smiling..and well, you know.

“Chaos is what we've lost touch with. This is why it is given a bad name. It is feared by the dominant archetype of our world, which is Ego, which clenches because its existance is defined in terms of control.”
― Terence McKenna



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Quoting hydrus:
Green Tortuloni for prez....Hope you are well..:)


Well, thanks.

Honestly though I overstated my case. While trying to start this cooperative (but a serious cooperative, not a bunch of left wing peacenics) going I applied to a phd program. I've decided to leave this project and go back to school, which is really wierd for me but it's what I want to do long term (assuming we don't die first). Probably won't make any difference either way in the world - but I should stop claiming I changed my life for the good of the world.

I have some months left and I will try to get this project started enough that it has critical mass lcoally with open expansion (scalabilaty) built in. (Slight chance though, having worked in a project environment, i thought I knew projects. But there is nothing like trying to do a project without any supporting framework.)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
My Mom just got a call saying we are under a water restriction for 10 days.



Poor Poor Grass
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
I don't usually talk about the West Pacific.. But the remnants of Daniel are regenerating at about 155E 10N



Loopable
Member Since: September 3, 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3476
Quoting Patrap:

We live in very Novel times.

I mean TWC bought WU.

got that right Terence!!
Member Since: July 31, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1320
Quoting Patrap:


I communicate with a lot of folks in a variety of disciplines from Portlight to here to the Daily Show.

Always have.


And I've seen solid professional people just bally hoo climate change.
I've seen some come into the reality firsthand post disaster.

Like Masters and other men and women who deal with these real issues of Climate Change, I put my faith in them.

Violence is a despicable and sinful practice and a product of conflict.

I'm of the J.K. Krishnamurti mindset on conflict.

It rules our lives in every aspect.

I'm a work in progress in that regard, but make progress every day.

I walk.

I observe nature. It centers my focus and brings clarity.

We live in very Novel times.

I mean TWC bought WU.



From wikipedia on JKK:

".. Krishnamurti's outward appearance, which, according to eyewitnesses was common, unimpressive, and unkempt. He was also considered "particularly dim-witted"; he often had "a vacant expression" that gave him an almost moronic look."

Hey, maybe I could fit in there!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Fabio... er... what's left of Fabio incoming to SoCal!

Member Since: September 3, 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3476
Thanx Hydrus,

.but ya know.


.."meh"
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Patrap:
One has to "think".

Unplug for a day, a week.

Clarity comes from taking a step back and looking at yours/the community, the State, the Country, world.

One can see plainly the Powers that be are not dealing with any issues on a scale that will bring about change.

2 Wars, Trillons wasted, Tax cuts, Bank and Financial Terrorist walking free.

Energy companies and their cash rue the World.

They a force unto themselves with means to Whole Nations Armies, tactical and technical toys as well.

Look at their Profits alone the last 5 years.

Look at their Tax numbers and charitable funding.

Monsanto, a whole nuther Force of Power.

I said it 20 years ago.

"Until the driving force of the Earth changes from the gathering of wealth by Men and Nations, nothing shall change and out fate's are sealed"..

The power of one is tenfold of Zero.



Do something..

One can move mountains,

..organise, educate.

Think of the Cerebral fortitude and problem solving potential here right now.

Focus and organise it and I bet in 2 weeks we could have 100 solid ideas on what we can do now to change the trend.

The trend is UP.
The Trend is bad.
The trend cares lil for rhetoric.







Great post Pat.
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 21850
Quoting OrchidGrower:
Re: #296, are we seeing this Trop. Atlantic wind shear as just normal climatology for this time of year, or is this an early harbinger of El Nino?

This is normal. In fact, wind shear is running below average in the tropical Atlantic. El Nino conditions probably won't be felt until September or later.

Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32553
Quoting Tribucanes:
In America and the rest of the West we have become Idols unto ourselves. Most have their blogs where they focus only on themselves, and then there's pop culture of coarse that steals our attention. We are the best entertained in the world, in the West, but intellectualism is crashing through the floor. We have become a self-absorbed country here in America. It's what you look like, not what you know that is the commodity people seek. As more need to focus on the real issues, fewer and fewer do. We are in an age of decline in America and it's largely because of greed, lack of truth, and a great love of self. Hard to tackle an issue as big as GW when the public's intellectual understanding of it continues to decline or be ignored completely.


You'll never get thru to the people, too far gone, brainwashed to even comprehend anything anymore. The cards will fall as they may. Total fallout is underway.
Member Since: July 14, 2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 9648
Quoting greentortuloni:


Pat, I've changed my life to fight this problem. But I think I am not effective. My actions (working my butt off to get electric biking going in Europe) might have been appropriate 30 years ago as a solution but they probably won't make a difference now.

So what would you suggest? Short of violence, which I won't do and doubt would be effective, I can't think of anything that I can do by myself. If you have some way of doing something larger and meaningful, I'm interested.


I communicate with a lot of folks in a variety of disciplines from Portlight to here to the Daily Show.

Always have.


And I've seen solid professional people just bally hoo climate change.
I've seen some come into the reality firsthand post disaster.

Like Masters and other men and women who deal with these real issues of Climate Change, I put my faith in them.

Violence is a despicable and sinful practice and a product of conflict.

I'm of the J.K. Krishnamurti mindset on conflict.

It rules our lives in every aspect.

I'm a work in progress in that regard, but make progress every day.

I walk.

I observe nature. It centers my focus and brings clarity.

We live in very Novel times.

I mean TWC bought WU.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Good morning everyone, TC Formation up in the Central Atlantic:



Shear down:



SAL:

Member Since: August 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 5628
Re: #296, are we seeing this Trop. Atlantic wind shear as just normal climatology for this time of year, or is this an early harbinger of El Nino?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting greentortuloni:


Pat, I've changed my life to fight this problem. But I think I am not effective. My actions (working my butt off to get electric biking going in Europe) might have been appropriate 30 years ago as a solution but they probably won't make a difference now.

So what would you suggest? Short of violence, which I won't do and doubt would be effective, I can't think of anything that I can do by myself. If you have some way of doing something larger and meaningful, I'm interested.
Green Tortuloni for prez....Hope you are well..:)
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 21850
At the 12z Surface Analysis by TAFB,Tropical Wave that was at 24W on the 06Z analysis has been moved well ahead to now at 29W,closer to the complex of convection.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Patrap:
One has to "think".

Unplug for a day, a week.

Clarity comes from taking a step back and looking at yours/the community, the State, the Country, world.

One can see plainly the Powers that be are not dealing with any issues on a scale that will bring about change.

2 Wars, Trillons wasted, Tax cuts, Bank and Financial Terrorist walking free.

Energy companies and their cash rue the World.

They a force unto themselves with means to Whole Nations Armies, tactical and technical toys as well.

Look at their Profits alone the last 5 years.

Look at their Tax numbers and charitable funding.

Monsanto, a whole nuther Force of Power.

I said it 20 years ago.

"Until the driving force of the Earth changes from the gathering of wealth by Men and Nations, nothing shall change and out fate's are sealed"..

The power of one is tenfold of Zero.



Do something..

One can move mountains,

..organise, educate.

Think of the Cerebral fortitude and problem solving potential here right now.

Focus and organise it and I bet in 2 weeks we could have 100 solid ideas on what we can do now to change the trend.

The trend is UP.
The Trend is bad.
The trend cares lil for rhetoric.









Pat, I've changed my life to fight this problem. But I think I am not effective. My actions (working my butt off to get electric biking going in Europe) might have been appropriate 30 years ago as a solution but they probably won't make a difference now.

So what would you suggest? Short of violence, which I won't do and doubt would be effective, I can't think of anything that I can do by myself. If you have some way of doing something larger and meaningful, I'm interested.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting MississippiWx:


The constant high westerly shear in the Caribbean is very El-Nino-ish.

The only place with above average wind shear right now is the Caribbean. That'll probably change as we head into next month.

Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32553
RAMSDIS put a floater on our new AOI.

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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:



Imagine if that continued into the peak months...
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.