Extreme events of 2011: climate change a major factor in some, but not all

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 1:54 PM GMT on July 11, 2012

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The science of quantifying how climate change changes the odds of extreme weather events like droughts and floods took a major step forward Tuesday with the publication of NOAA's annual summary of the past year's weather. The 2011 State of the Climate report contains a separate peer-reviewed article published in the July issue of the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society titled, Explaining Extreme Events of 2011 From a Climate Perspective. In the paper, a group of scientists led by Peter Stott of the Met Office Centre in the United Kingdom looked at how climate change may have changed the odds of occurrence of some of 2011's notable weather extremes. These kinds of attribution studies require huge amounts of computer time and take many months to do, but the scientists plan to start making this a regular part of the annual NOAA State of the Climate report. Some of their findings for 2011:

- Determining the causes of extreme events remains difficult. While scientists cannot trace specific events to climate change with absolute certainty, new and continued research help scientists understand how the probability of extreme events change in response to global warming.

- La Niña-related heat waves, like that experienced in Texas in 2011, are now 20 times more likely to occur during La Niña years today than La Niña years fifty years ago.

- The UK experienced a very warm November 2011 and a very cold December 2010. In analyzing these two very different events, UK scientists uncovered interesting changes in the odds. Cold Decembers are now half as likely to occur now versus fifty years ago, whereas warm Novembers are now 62 times more likely.

- The devastating 2011 floods in Thailand caused an estimated $45 billion in damage, making it the world's most expensive river flooding disaster in history. The study found, however, that the amount of rain that fell in the catchment area was not very unusual, and that other factors such as human-caused changes to the flood plain and the movement of more people into flood-prone areas were more important in causing the disaster. "Climate change cannot be shown to have played any role in this event," the study concluded, but warned that climate models predict an increase in the probability of extreme precipitation events in the future in the region.

- The deadly drought in East Africa, which killed tens of thousands of people in 2011, was made more likely by warming waters in the Indian Ocean and Western Pacific. While the scientists did not specifically tie the warming of these waters to human-caused global warming, they noted that climate models predict continued warming of these waters in the coming decades, and this will likely "contribute to more frequent East African droughts during the spring and summer."


Figure 1. An SH-60F Sea Hawk helicopter assigned to Helicopter Anti-Submarine Squadron (HS) 14, flies around the Bangkok area with members of the humanitarian assessment survey team and the Royal Thai Armed Forces to assess the damage caused by the 2011 floods. Image credit: Petty Officer 1st Class Jennifer Villalovos.

Weather on steroids
One interesting aspect of the paper was the scientists' use of the baseball player-steroids analogy to help explain how climate change can increase the odds of extreme weather: "One analogy of the effects of climate change on extreme weather is with a baseball player (or to choose another sport, a cricketer) who starts taking steroids and afterwards hits on average 20% more home runs (or sixes) in a season than he did before (Meehl 2012). For any one of his home runs (sixes) during the years the player was taking steroids, you would not know for sure whether it was caused by steroids or not. But you might be able to attribute his increased number to the steroids. And given that steroids have resulted in a 20% increased chance that any particular swing of the player’s bat results in a home run (or a six), you would be able to make an attribution statement that, all other things being equal, steroid use had increased the probability of that particular occurrence by 20%. The job of the attribution assessment is to distinguish the effects of anthropogenic climate change or some other external factor (steroids in the sporting analogy) from natural variability (e.g., in the baseball analogy, the player’s natural ability to hit home runs or the configuration of a particular stadium)."



Video 1. National Center for Atmospheric Research scientist Dr. Jerry Meehl explains how climate change's impact on extreme weather is like how steroids affect a baseball player.

Jeff Masters

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Love Daniel he even surprise us when he reach major hurricane status an amazing system.
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1080. Patrap
Daniel my brother you are older than me
Do you still feel the pain of the scars that won't heal
Your eyes have died, but you see more than I
Daniel you're a star in the face of the sky



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1079. Grothar
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:


there seems to be some problems
having a hard time
getting itself together
and form a strong spin

maybe the last two
took out the spin


I don't speak haiku.

But if I did my response would be:

Her winds are strong and her eye is hallow
but your analysis seems a little shallow.
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I might add that is when the last time we veered off course.
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Quoting allancalderini:
Daniel is dead

Just as I expected in this advisory.
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TROPICAL DEPRESSION DANIEL DISCUSSION NUMBER 32
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP042012
500 PM HST WED JUL 11 2012

VISIBLE IMAGES HAVE SHOWN A FULLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION ALL
DAY WITH NO DEEP CONVECTION...AND WATER VAPOR IMAGES SHOW DRY
SUBSIDENT AIR IN THE MIDDLE AND UPPER LEVELS ABOVE DANIEL. SINCE
DANIEL IS A SHALLOW SYSTEM...ITS MOTION IS PRIMARILY GUIDED BY THE
LARGE-SCALE LOW LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW.

DANIEL IS OVER AND WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER ANOMALOUSLY COOL SEA
SURFACE TEMPERATURES BETWEEN 24C AND 25.5C. FURTHERMORE...VERTICAL
SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE ALONG ITS FORECAST TRACK. GIVEN
THESE CONDITIONS...REINTENSIFICATION IS NOT EXPECTED AND DANIEL
SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE WITHIN THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

A WEST TO WEST-SOUTHWEST MOVEMENT OF DANIEL AND ITS REMNANT IS
EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THIS IS CONSISTENT WITH THE
TIGHTLY PACKED GROUPING OF DYNAMICAL OBJECTIVE AIDS.

THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ON DANIEL FROM THE CENTRAL PACIFIC
HURRICANE CENTER.
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Quoting WxGeekVA:


That's all, folks.
Notice how the Roman Empire collasped? We are heading off the cliff once again. It's not a matter of "if", it's a matter of when.
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Daniel is dead
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Quoting sunlinepr:


Counting the days for lower temps....

Counting the days for the surf season....




I've had many fun sessions at Surfer's Beach, Wilderness, and Jobo's! Hope to get back down there this year in January or February. Tough living on the Gulf Coast of Florida and loving to surf.
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EMILIA MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD WITH NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH...
------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------

8:00 PM PDT Wed Jul 11
Location: 15.0°N 119.1°W
Moving: WNW at 9 mph
Min pressure: 962 mb
Max sustained: 115 mph

000
WTPZ45 KNHC 120239
TCDEP5

HURRICANE EMILIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052012
800 PM PDT WED JUL 11 2012

EMILIA HAS CHANGED LITTLE SINCE THE LAST ADVISORY. THE 25-30 N MI
EYE REMAINS QUITE DISTINCT IN SATELLITE IMAGES. THE CONVECTIVE
CLOUD PATTERN HAS BEEN SYMMETRIC UNTIL THE LAST HOUR OR TWO WHERE
CLOUD TOPS HAVE WARMED OVER THE EASTERN EYEWALL. SATELLITE
INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM TAFB AND SAB WERE ESSENTIALLY UNCHANGED
FROM THE PREVIOUS FIXES...THEREFORE...THE INITIAL WIND SPEED IS
HELD AT 100 KT. THE OUTFLOW OF THE MAJOR HURRICANE IS WELL
ESTABLISHED OVER THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE BUT IS RESTRICTED TO THE
EAST OF THE CENTER DUE TO ABOUT 15 KT OF EAST-SOUTHEASTERLY
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO RELAX OVER THE NEXT
DAY OR SO...BUT EMILIA IS FORECAST TO MOVE OVER SUB 26C WATERS AND
INTO A MORE STABLE ATMOSPHERE BY THAT TIME. THE INTENSITY GUIDANCE
IS UNANIMOUS IN SHOWING A SLOW BUT STEADY WEAKENING TREND...AND THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST FOLLOWS THAT THEME.

THE HURRICANE IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD NEAR 8 KT ON THE SOUTH
SIDE OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED
STATES. THE GLOBAL MODELS SHOW THE RIDGE STRENGTHENING TO THE NORTH
OF EMILIA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THIS STEERING PATTERN SHOULD
CAUSE THE CYCLONE TO TURN WESTWARD AND GAIN SOME FORWARD SPEED. THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST IS NEAR THE MIDDLE OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE AND
VERY CLOSE TO THE PREVIOUS NHC FORECAST.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 12/0300Z 15.0N 119.1W 100 KT 115 MPH
12H 12/1200Z 15.3N 120.6W 95 KT 110 MPH
24H 13/0000Z 15.7N 122.8W 85 KT 100 MPH
36H 13/1200Z 16.1N 125.1W 70 KT 80 MPH
48H 14/0000Z 16.5N 127.7W 55 KT 65 MPH
72H 15/0000Z 17.0N 132.9W 40 KT 45 MPH
96H 16/0000Z 17.5N 138.0W 30 KT 35 MPH
120H 17/0000Z 17.5N 143.0W 25 KT 30 MPH

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 127 Comments: 7972
1071. Patrap
I guess the 8pm is covered I dare say.

: )
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Seems you were right, Gro. She's still chugging along at 100 kt.
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HURRICANE EMILIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052012
800 PM PDT WED JUL 11 2012

EMILIA HAS CHANGED LITTLE SINCE THE LAST ADVISORY. THE 25-30 N MI
EYE REMAINS QUITE DISTINCT IN SATELLITE IMAGES. THE CONVECTIVE
CLOUD PATTERN HAS BEEN SYMMETRIC UNTIL THE LAST HOUR OR TWO WHERE
CLOUD TOPS HAVE WARMED OVER THE EASTERN EYEWALL. SATELLITE
INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM TAFB AND SAB WERE ESSENTIALLY UNCHANGED
FROM THE PREVIOUS FIXES...THEREFORE...THE INITIAL WIND SPEED IS
HELD AT 100 KT. THE OUTFLOW OF THE MAJOR HURRICANE IS WELL
ESTABLISHED OVER THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE BUT IS RESTRICTED TO THE
EAST OF THE CENTER DUE TO ABOUT 15 KT OF EAST-SOUTHEASTERLY
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO RELAX OVER THE NEXT
DAY OR SO...BUT EMILIA IS FORECAST TO MOVE OVER SUB 26C WATERS AND
INTO A MORE STABLE ATMOSPHERE BY THAT TIME. THE INTENSITY GUIDANCE
IS UNANIMOUS IN SHOWING A SLOW BUT STEADY WEAKENING TREND...AND THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST FOLLOWS THAT THEME.

THE HURRICANE IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD NEAR 8 KT ON THE SOUTH
SIDE OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED
STATES. THE GLOBAL MODELS SHOW THE RIDGE STRENGTHENING TO THE NORTH
OF EMILIA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THIS STEERING PATTERN SHOULD
CAUSE THE CYCLONE TO TURN WESTWARD AND GAIN SOME FORWARD SPEED. THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST IS NEAR THE MIDDLE OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE AND
VERY CLOSE TO THE PREVIOUS NHC FORECAST.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 12/0300Z 15.0N 119.1W 100 KT 115 MPH
12H 12/1200Z 15.3N 120.6W 95 KT 110 MPH
24H 13/0000Z 15.7N 122.8W 85 KT 100 MPH
36H 13/1200Z 16.1N 125.1W 70 KT 80 MPH
48H 14/0000Z 16.5N 127.7W 55 KT 65 MPH
72H 15/0000Z 17.0N 132.9W 40 KT 45 MPH
96H 16/0000Z 17.5N 138.0W 30 KT 35 MPH
120H 17/0000Z 17.5N 143.0W 25 KT 30 MPH

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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BULLETIN
HURRICANE EMILIA ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052012
800 PM PDT WED JUL 11 2012

...EMILIA MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD WITH NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.0N 119.1W
ABOUT 810 MI...1305 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...962 MB...28.41 INCHES
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HURRICANE EMILIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052012
0300 UTC THU JUL 12 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 119.1W AT 12/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 962 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 90SE 70SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 120SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 119.1W AT 12/0300Z
AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 118.6W

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 15.3N 120.6W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT... 80NE 90SE 70SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 15.7N 122.8W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT... 80NE 90SE 70SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 16.1N 125.1W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT... 80NE 90SE 70SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 16.5N 127.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 17.0N 132.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 17.5N 138.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 17.5N 143.0W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 119.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 127 Comments: 7972


That's all, folks.
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Quoting beell:


And that remaining 20% is what sets us apart.


LOL
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Quoting beell:


And that remaining 20% is what sets us apart.
you mean 10% right?
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Here some interesting articles from a nonbeliever who doesn't necessarily believe in Darwism either.

http://www.lewrockwell.com/reed/reed155.html

http://lewrockwell.com/reed/reed208.html

http://www.lewrockwell.com/reed/reed80.html

http://www.lewrockwell.com/reed/reed59.html

http://www.lewrockwell.com/reed/reed27.html

http://www.theamericanconservative.com/articles/b enefit-of-the-doubt/
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1061. Patrap
The Six Epochs from The Singularity is Near

Enjoy with a Ice Cold FRESCA.

Singularity is real. By virtue of second law of thermodynamics it is inevitable. In the absence of Truth it creates fear. In thermodynamics it emerged as heat death of the universe. In General Relativity it emerged as the point to which all the matter collapses in time to take new birth [Big bang]. In modern world it is the black hole into which all the information collapses. From the point of biology and evolutionist it becomes the point where machines grow to beat the potentiality of Human mind and makes him slave. All this potentially fearful evolution emerges, from our basic vision and assumption that universe is material. These fears vanish and hope emerges the moment you switch your fundamental assumption that universe is material and think it as living conscious and intelligent being. Then all the conceptual thinking of singularity becomes valid as Living Science, centered on one Super Soul and Mind that Creates and controls everything. Our present Evolution of the universe becomes a journey of the Creator in time to awaken human consciousness and intelligence to meet the Mind of God or the Creator, such that we humans beat death and gain life. We are approaching the gate of singularity and Truth is the Key to open the door to Golden Age or Kingdom of God. We are in the edge of death and destruction, the more we delay comprehending the Truth greater will be the destruction. Universe needs to be understood as Consciousness and intelligence [Information] unfolding and enfolding eternally sustaining the universe in time.
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Quoting Patrap:
There are now 162 days 4 hours and 47minutes until the 2012 Winter Solstice

EP052012 - Major Hurricane EMILIA


Enhanced Infrared (IR) Imagery (4 km Mercator)




Can't wait to wake up on December 22, 2012 rather than supposedly dying the day before.
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Quoting Some1Has2BtheRookie:


I hope that is not the case, ncstorm. Unless a post contains profanity or a direct attack on a person, then I think they should be allowed to stand. But, that is just me. I do not "minus" any post unless it is a spammer, or my mouse misbehaves and I miss the "plus". I even let the trolls have their fun.


Agreed, unless I think someone is intentionally trying to hurt someone else, I don't hit the dislike. Ncstorm I respect your opinion, truly I do.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:


NAEFS Temperature anomalies July 19-26th. You can see the effects of monsoonal moisture on temperatures over Texas and the desert SW, but over the Gulf, East coast and Ohio Valley...the heat goes on. (ok, you can make a musical joke now, Patrap :))
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Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 127 Comments: 7972
Deleted
Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 4772
The sun is setting over major hurricane Emilia, making for a fairly spectacular presentation. Read more at http://weather.schematical.com/

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1053. beell
Quoting Progster:


Heck, 90 percent of our DNA is the same as a tomato.


And that remaining 20% is what sets us apart.
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1052. Grothar
Quoting scooster67:
No worries Gro, now where's that picture of the First Wife?....:)....


Trust me, you'll sleep better not seeing it. :)
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Quoting KoritheMan:

It IS Christmas in July. RIGHT?!


My family (cousins, aunts, uncles, grandparents) have a Christmas in July every year. We do a coin grab and a Secret Santa. Say hi, share stories and meet up with each other basically. It's often the only time I get to see my cousins.
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1050. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
Quoting Grothar:


I disagree. :) I don't think she will get over a Cat 3 as she is now.



there seems to be some problems
having a hard time
getting itself together
and form a strong spin

maybe the last two
took out the spin
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pr,look what the NWS says in the latest update tonight.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1019 PM AST WED JUL 11 2012

.UPDATE...PREVAILING EAST NORTHEAST WIND FLOW HAS BEGUN TO ADVECT
SHALLOW PATCHES OF MOISTURE INLAND ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHEAST
PUERTO RICO AS WELL AS OVER PARTS OF CULEBRA...VIEQUES AND AS FAR
SOUTH AS THE ISLAND OF SAINT CROIX. SO FAR THE SHOWERS HAVE BEEN
QUICK PASSING AND EXPECT THE BRIEF INTERVALS OF PASSING SHOWERS TO
CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. OVERALL INHERITED FORECAST
PACKAGE LOOKS GOOD FOR NOW AND IN AGREEMENT WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST
REASONING. ONLY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS MADE TO THE SHORT AND LONG TERM
GRIDS AS WINDS WERE UPDATED BASED ON MODEL INITIALIZATION AND LATEST
GFS GUIDANCE WHICH SO FAR HAD GOOD HANDLE ON LOCAL WEATHER PATTERN.
DECIDED TO KEEP THE HAZE OUT OF THE OVERALL PACKAGE FOR NOW AS EXPECT
LESSER AMOUNTS OF SAHARAN DUST OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...AT LEAST UNTIL
ANOTHER SIGNIFICANTLY HIGHER CONCENTRATION...NOW JUST OFF THE AFRICAN
COAST... IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE AND SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION BY LATE
SUNDAY AND INTO THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK.
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Quoting sunlinepr:


Powerfull one... At least will move some rains over PR...


Yes, that is true.But the waves wont be very high with the TUTT around.
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Deleted
Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 4772
Quoting ncstorm:
(dont comment..dont take the bait)

I gotta go before I get banned..have a good night everyone..


You too. And despite all of our banter, I really mean that. No need for animosity or bad blood.
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1044. ncstorm
(dont comment..dont take the bait)

I gotta go before I get banned..have a good night everyone..
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 16225
There was no Renumber. No tropical depression at 8 pm PDT.

Guess it needs to organize/persist some more.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32855
I'm still waiting for proof that god actually exists. We're supposed to believe he does because someone wrote a book about it? Where's the scientific evidence behind that?
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32855
CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
6.3 / 942.7mb/122.2kt


Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
6.0 5.9 5.9

Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR : 24 km

Center Temp : +6.4C Cloud Region Temp : -64.8C

Scene Type : EYE

Positioning Method : RING/SPIRAL COMBINATION

Ocean Basin : EAST PACIFIC
Dvorak CI > MSLP Conversion Used : PACIFIC

Tno/CI Rules : Constraint Limits : NO LIMIT
Weakening Flag : ON
Rapid Dissipation Flag : OFF

C/K/Z MSLP Estimate Inputs :
- Average 34 knot radii : 80km
- Environmental MSLP : 1010mb

Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 127 Comments: 7972
Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:


That TUTT is not weakening for now.


Powerfull one... At least will move some rains over PR...
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Quoting sunlinepr:


That TUTT is not weakening for now.
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Quoting Patrap:
There are now 162 days 4 hours and 47minutes until the 2012 Winter Solstice


Counting the days for lower temps....

Counting the days for the surf season....

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Quoting AllBoardedUp:
Y'all mean to tell me 95 percent of our DNA is the same as chimpanzee's?



Actually, 98.5%. We share 97.5% with mice, and 70% with slugs. Kind of humbling.
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Quoting KoritheMan:

Nothing wrong with adamant disagreement, as long as it well-founded and not ignorant (not saying anything about you btw -- I'm genuinely interested in reading your blog before I make any assumptions or judgments).

However, you might want to realize that the word "theory" carries a different connotation in a scientific context. In that realm it literally means "fact".


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Quoting AllBoardedUp:
Y'all mean to tell me 95 percent of our DNA is the same as chimpanzee's?


Heck, 90 percent of our DNA is the same as a tomato.
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1034. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
Quoting Patrap:
There are now 162 days 4 hours and 47minutes until the 2012 Winter Solstice
i hope i get some snow this winter but iam not counting on it
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1033. ncstorm
So my comments were removed and the other comments stand? I appreciate the minuses guys..
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 16225

Quoting photonchaser:


Better get my Christmas shopping done soon!
It IS Christmas in July. RIGHT?!
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Quoting Grothar:


Come on scooster, We go too far back. I hope your not mad.
No worries Gro, now where's that picture of the First Wife?....:)....
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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