Extreme flood in Russia kills 171

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 1:14 PM GMT on July 09, 2012

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Earth's deadliest flood of 2012 hit the Black Sea area of Russia on Saturday, where 300 mm (11.8") of rain fell in less than 24 hours. The resulting flood waters swept through the town of Krymsk in the Krasnodar region early Saturday, killing at least 171 people. The heavy rains were caused by a low pressure system that tracked just north of the region. The counter-clockwise flow of air around the low brought moisture-laden air from the Black Sea northwards over the mountains bordering the Black Sea. As the air was forced upwards by the mountains, its water vapor cooled and condensed into heavy rains. The rains were increased due to ocean temperatures in the Eastern Black Sea that were more than 2°C (3.6°F) above average. The extra heat in the ocean allowed much more water vapor than usual to evaporate into the air. Rare 1-in-20 year heavy precipitation events like the one that caused the Krasnodar flood are expected to increase in frequency due to climate change, as the waters of the Black Sea warm. According to the 2011 Special Report on Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation (SREX), issued by the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), 1-in-20 year extreme precipitation events are likely to occur with a 1-in-11 to 1-in-15 year frequency by the year 2100 in the Black Sea area of Russia. A warmer atmosphere holds more water vapor, increasing the odds of very heavy precipitation events.


Figure 1. Flood damage in Krymsk, Russia, from Saturday's deadly flood. Image credit: Associated Press.


Figure 1. True-color satellite image of Russia's Krasnodar region along the northeast coast of the Black Sea, taken at 09:30 UTC Friday, July 6, 2012. The counter-clockwise flow of air around a spiraling low pressure system centered just north of the region was bringing a flow or moisture-laden air from the Black Sea over the city of Krymsk. Image credit: NASA.

Quiet in the Atlantic
There are no threat areas to discuss in the Atlantic, and none of the reliable computer models are developing a tropical cyclone over the next seven days.

I'll be back this afternoon with a full wrap-up on the remarkable heat wave of 2012.

Jeff Masters

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680. ncstorm
11:50 PM GMT on July 09, 2012
Saw this on NBC news tonight..talk about being vulnerable..

Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 15260
679. aspectre
10:02 PM GMT on July 09, 2012
.
Member Since: August 21, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 4860
678. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
9:09 PM GMT on July 09, 2012
115 knots is 130 mph
120 knots is 140 mph.

The forecast intensity may fall between 135 mph within the next 12-24 hours
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45273
677. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
9:07 PM GMT on July 09, 2012
Quoting islander101010:
epac.aint.worth.the.price.of.bandwith
best basin for storm trackin very few if any ever get hurt or die unless landfall occurs
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 170 Comments: 53767
676. MAweatherboy1
9:07 PM GMT on July 09, 2012
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 83 Comments: 7777
675. WunderAlertBot (Admin)
9:04 PM GMT on July 09, 2012
JeffMasters has created a new entry.
674. wxchaser97
9:04 PM GMT on July 09, 2012
Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 127 Comments: 7942
673. wxchaser97
8:57 PM GMT on July 09, 2012
I don't want to start a arrgument but I am seeing 2 differnt things on the NHC for Emilia.
It does not want to post the image now.
Quoting Tazmanian:




i do not see 135 on there i see 125 and 130 olny
INIT 09/2100Z 13.1N 111.1W 95 KT 110 MPH
12H 10/0600Z 13.5N 112.6W 115 KT 130 MPH
24H 10/1800Z 14.0N 114.6W 115 KT 130 MPH
36H 11/0600Z 14.5N 116.4W 110 KT 125 MPH
I do see what you are saying though.
Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 127 Comments: 7942
672. sunlinepr
8:55 PM GMT on July 09, 2012
Member Since: August 2, 2010 Posts: 21 Comments: 9814
671. Tazmanian
8:55 PM GMT on July 09, 2012
Quoting hurricaneeye:

Is this nothing?




that what i was trying too point out but my post was kept being ignore


yes that could be come some in down the rd and it looks good
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 115069
670. RTSplayer
8:54 PM GMT on July 09, 2012
Looks like that same old weak wave from a few days ago has made it to the Florida Straights and entering the Gulf of Mexico.


Not much to it though, but at least it should be a rainmaker for somebody over the next few days*.





* We got an 1.5 inches rain yesterday and you could scarcely tell it to look around, because the ground soaked it all up that fast.

Wouldn't hurt to get some more.
Member Since: January 25, 2012 Posts: 33 Comments: 1520
669. Tazmanian
8:54 PM GMT on July 09, 2012
Quoting wxchaser97:
Why do the two differ then, nothing wrong /mad I just notice they are different.:INIT 09/2100Z 13.1N 111.1W 95 KT 110 MPH
12H 10/0600Z 13.5N 112.6W 115 KT 130 MPH
24H 10/1800Z 14.0N 114.6W 115 KT 130 MPH
36H 11/0600Z 14.5N 116.4W 110 KT 125 MPH
48H 11/1800Z 15.0N 118.2W 105 KT 120 MPH
72H 12/1800Z 16.0N 121.8W 90 KT 105 MPH
96H 13/1800Z 17.0N 126.0W 70 KT 80 MPH
120H 14/1800Z 17.5N 131.0W 55 KT 65 MPH

and: see above for intensity of 135mph




i do not see 135 on there i see 125 and 130 olny
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 115069
668. sunlinepr
8:53 PM GMT on July 09, 2012
Quoting VAbeachhurricanes:


That guy has been predicting total economic collapse for years now, just fear mongering for hits.


Hope so... our debt keeps rising and the Chinese keep on buying... Even now Argentina has turned into making deals with them...
Member Since: August 2, 2010 Posts: 21 Comments: 9814
667. wxchaser97
8:52 PM GMT on July 09, 2012
CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
5.8 / 954.2mb/109.8kt


Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
5.8 6.1 6.1

09/1800 UTC 12.8N 110.5W T5.0/5.0 EMILIA -- East Pacific
Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 127 Comments: 7942
666. hurricaneeye
8:52 PM GMT on July 09, 2012

Is this nothing?
Member Since: October 22, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 90
665. STXHurricanes2012
8:52 PM GMT on July 09, 2012
Wow you fl guys...i got 7 inches in 4 hrs over a week ago in south tx...remember we need it more than you guys!
Member Since: June 4, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 767
664. VAbeachhurricanes
8:50 PM GMT on July 09, 2012
Quoting sunlinepr:



Conditions being set for this storm...

Roubini: My 'Perfect Storm' Is Unfolding Now
CNBCBy Ansuya Harjani | CNBC 9 hours ago

"Dr. Doom" Nouriel Roubini, says the "perfect storm" scenario he forecast for the global economy earlier this year is unfolding right now as growth slows in the U.S., Europe as well as China....

Link

The Real Fiscal Cliff

Link


That guy has been predicting total economic collapse for years now, just fear mongering for hits.
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 6481
662. wxchaser97
8:48 PM GMT on July 09, 2012
Quoting Tazmanian:




that would be 130mph not 135
Why do the two differ then, nothing wrong /mad I just notice they are different.:INIT 09/2100Z 13.1N 111.1W 95 KT 110 MPH
12H 10/0600Z 13.5N 112.6W 115 KT 130 MPH
24H 10/1800Z 14.0N 114.6W 115 KT 130 MPH
36H 11/0600Z 14.5N 116.4W 110 KT 125 MPH
48H 11/1800Z 15.0N 118.2W 105 KT 120 MPH
72H 12/1800Z 16.0N 121.8W 90 KT 105 MPH
96H 13/1800Z 17.0N 126.0W 70 KT 80 MPH
120H 14/1800Z 17.5N 131.0W 55 KT 65 MPH

and: see above for intensity of 135mph
Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 127 Comments: 7942
661. nigel20
8:47 PM GMT on July 09, 2012
Enjoy the rest of the day everyone.
BBL
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7997
660. sunlinepr
8:47 PM GMT on July 09, 2012
Member Since: August 2, 2010 Posts: 21 Comments: 9814
659. Tazmanian
8:45 PM GMT on July 09, 2012
Quoting wxchaser97:
...EMILIA APPROACHING MAJOR HURRICANE INTENSITY...
------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------

2:00 PM PDT Mon Jul 9
Location: 13.1°N 111.1°W
Moving: WNW at 15 mph
Min pressure: 969 mb
Max sustained: 110 mph



They are still forecasting a peak of 135mph.




that would be 130mph not 135
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 115069
658. sunlinepr
8:43 PM GMT on July 09, 2012



Conditions being set for this storm...

Roubini: My 'Perfect Storm' Is Unfolding Now
CNBCBy Ansuya Harjani | CNBC 9 hours ago

"Dr. Doom" Nouriel Roubini, says the "perfect storm" scenario he forecast for the global economy earlier this year is unfolding right now as growth slows in the U.S., Europe as well as China....

Link

The Real Fiscal Cliff

Link
Member Since: August 2, 2010 Posts: 21 Comments: 9814
657. wxchaser97
8:42 PM GMT on July 09, 2012
...EMILIA APPROACHING MAJOR HURRICANE INTENSITY...
------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------

2:00 PM PDT Mon Jul 9
Location: 13.1%uFFFDN 111.1%uFFFDW
Moving: WNW at 15 mph
Min pressure: 969 mb
Max sustained: 110 mph


They are still forecasting a peak of 130mph.
Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 127 Comments: 7942
656. RitaEvac
8:42 PM GMT on July 09, 2012
Quoting bohonkweatherman:
I will have to see it for me to believe it, 8 weeks no rain and either 99 or over 100 every stinking day Since the Middle of May, the cracks in the ground around here are several inches wide, I put water on my neighbors yard yesterday and several rabbits came out of the cracks in the ground, that is how bad it is here in South Central Texas, only difference between this year and last year to me is our Lakes are Lower and our heat indexes are much higher this year.


One day, One day soon, you and rain will cross paths, it's a given.
Member Since: July 14, 2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 9628
655. Civicane49
8:37 PM GMT on July 09, 2012
Member Since: July 21, 2011 Posts: 83 Comments: 7167
654. weatherh98
8:37 PM GMT on July 09, 2012
BBL
Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6487
653. WxGeekVA
8:36 PM GMT on July 09, 2012
.
Member Since: September 3, 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3470
652. WxGeekVA
8:35 PM GMT on July 09, 2012
000
WTPZ44 KNHC 092032
TCDEP4

HURRICANE DANIEL DISCUSSION NUMBER 23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042012
200 PM PDT MON JUL 09 2012

DANIEL IS GRADUALLY WEAKENING AS THE DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER
IS BECOMING MORE ASYMMETRIC AND EXHIBITING WARMER CLOUD TOP
TEMPERATURES. AS A RESULT...THE SAB AND TAFB DVORAK FIXES HAVE
DROPPED TO 3.5/4.0. LIKEWISE...THE ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
INTENSITY ESTIMATE HAS DECREASED TO ABOUT 60 KT. THUS THE INTENSITY
IS SET TO 65 KT...MINIMAL HURRICANE STRENGTH.

DANIEL IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 14 KT...PRIMARILY DUE TO THE INFLUENCE
OF A DEEP-LAYERED RIDGE TO ITS NORTHEAST. THIS RIDGE SHOULD REMAIN
IN PLACE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND PREVENT SIGNIFICANT
POLEWARD MOTION OF THE CYCLONE. ALL OF THE GLOBAL AND REGIONAL
TRACK MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT ON THE WESTWARD TREK OF DANIEL
AND LITTLE CHANGE WAS MADE TO THE FORECAST TRACK FROM THE PREVIOUS
ADVISORY.

DANIEL SHOULD GRADUALLY WEAKEN FOR ABOUT THE NEXT TWO DAYS AS IT
PROGRESSES OVER COOL 24-25C WATERS WHILE THE VERTICAL SHEAR REMAINS
VERY LOW. IN ABOUT TWO DAYS...THE SHEAR SHOULD INCREASE
SIGNIFICANTLY OUT OF THE NORTH AS THE CYCLONE APPROACHES THE
EASTERN PERIPHERY OF AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE. IT IS LIKELY THAT
THE COMBINATION OF STABLE THERMODYNAMICS AND MORE HOSTILE VERTICAL
SHEAR SHOULD CAUSE DANIEL TO LOSE ITS DEEP CONVECTION AND BECOME A
REMNANT LOW IN ABOUT THREE DAYS...IF NOT SOONER. THE GLOBAL MODELS
LOSE THE VORTEX COMPLETELY BY DAY FIVE AND DISSIPATION IS INDICATED
AT THAT TIME. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS MOST SIMILAR TO THE SHIPS
STATISTICAL SCHEME AND QUITE SIMILAR TO THAT FROM THE PREVIOUS
ADVISORY.

AN 1806Z ASCAT SATELLITE PASS ASSISTED WITH THE WIND RADII ANALYSIS
FOR DANIEL.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 09/2100Z 15.4N 130.7W 65 KT 75 MPH
12H 10/0600Z 15.5N 133.0W 55 KT 65 MPH
24H 10/1800Z 15.5N 136.0W 45 KT 50 MPH
36H 11/0600Z 15.5N 139.0W 40 KT 45 MPH
48H 11/1800Z 15.5N 142.0W 30 KT 35 MPH
72H 12/1800Z 15.5N 147.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 13/1800Z 15.5N 154.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 14/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA
Member Since: September 3, 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3470
651. Civicane49
8:35 PM GMT on July 09, 2012
HURRICANE EMILIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052012
200 PM PDT MON JUL 09 2012

AFTER A VERY RAPID INTENSIFICATION EPISODE EARLIER TODAY...EMILIA
HAS CONTINUED TO STRENGTHEN OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...BUT AT A
SOMEWHAT SLOWER RATE. USING A BLEND OF SUBJECTIVE AND OBJECTIVE
DVORAK VALUES...THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS SET AT 95 KT...PUTTING
EMILIA ON THE CUSP OF MAJOR HURRICANE STATUS. AN SSMIS IMAGE FROM
SEVERAL HOURS AGO SHOWED A WELL-DEFINED EYEWALL IN MICROWAVE
IMAGERY WITH AN ESTIMATED EYE DIAMETER OF 20 N MI. THE SHIPS-RI
GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SHOW A SIGNIFICANT PROBABILITY OF RAPID
INTENSIFICATION DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY
FORECAST IS ABOVE THE EXPLICIT NUMERICAL GUIDANCE FOR THE NEXT
24-36 HOURS...OWING TO THE RI PROBABILITIES...AND IS CLOSE TO THE
GFDL MODEL THEREAFTER. IT IS EXPECTED THAT THE INTENSITY WILL
LEVEL OFF AND PROBABLY DECREASE SOMEWHAT WITHIN THE NEXT DAY OR SO
DUE TO AN EYEWALL REPLACEMENT CYCLE...WHICH IS TYPICAL FOR INTENSE
HURRICANES.

THE EYE HAS BEEN WOBBLING A BIT TODAY BUT SMOOTHING THROUGH THE
SHORTER-TERM MOTION FLUCTUATIONS LEADS TO A MOTION ESTIMATE OF
295/11. THERE CONTINUES TO BE LITTLE CHANGE TO THE SYNOPTIC
REASONING BEHIND THE NHC TRACK FORECAST. EMILIA SHOULD CONTINUE TO
BE STEERED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD BY THE FLOW ON THE EQUATORWARD SIDE
OF A DEEP-LAYER SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THIS SCENARIO IS LIKELY TO BE
MAINTAINED FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...WITH A MORE WESTWARD TURN
INDICATED BY THE DYNAMICAL GUIDANCE LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD.
THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST LIES SOMEWHAT TO THE SOUTH OF THE
LATEST GFS TRACK AND IS CLOSEST TO THE ECMWF SOLUTION.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 09/2100Z 13.1N 111.1W 95 KT 110 MPH
12H 10/0600Z 13.5N 112.6W 115 KT 130 MPH
24H 10/1800Z 14.0N 114.6W 115 KT 130 MPH
36H 11/0600Z 14.5N 116.4W 110 KT 125 MPH
48H 11/1800Z 15.0N 118.2W 105 KT 120 MPH
72H 12/1800Z 16.0N 121.8W 90 KT 105 MPH
96H 13/1800Z 17.0N 126.0W 70 KT 80 MPH
120H 14/1800Z 17.5N 131.0W 55 KT 65 MPH

$$
FORECASTER PASCH
Member Since: July 21, 2011 Posts: 83 Comments: 7167
650. WxGeekVA
8:34 PM GMT on July 09, 2012
...SMALL HURRICANE DANIEL GRADUALLY WEAKENING...
2:00 PM PDT Mon Jul 9
Location: 15.4°N 130.7°W
Moving: W at 16 mph
Min pressure: 992 mb
Max sustained: 75 mph


...EMILIA APPROACHING MAJOR HURRICANE INTENSITY...
2:00 PM PDT Mon Jul 9
Location: 13.1°N 111.1°W
Moving: WNW at 15 mph
Min pressure: 969 mb
Max sustained: 110 mph
Member Since: September 3, 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3470
649. washingtonian115
8:34 PM GMT on July 09, 2012
Quoting islander101010:
epac.aint.worth.the.price.of.bandwith
?.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 16964
648. islander101010
8:33 PM GMT on July 09, 2012
epac.aint.worth.the.price.of.bandwith
Member Since: September 11, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 4559
647. weatherh98
8:32 PM GMT on July 09, 2012
Quoting Tazmanian:
i think there is other disturbance be hid the one the NHC is now talking about in the E PAC


they prolly will pull out the yellow crayon
Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6487
646. nigel20
8:31 PM GMT on July 09, 2012
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
The upward trend continues.

UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 8.1.3
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 09 JUL 2012 Time : 193000 UTC
Lat : 12:58:00 N Lon : 110:54:20 W


CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
5.7 / 956.4mb/107.2kt


Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
5.7 6.2 6.2

Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR : 19 km

Center Temp : +10.4C Cloud Region Temp : -66.1C

Scene Type : EYE

Positioning Method : RING/SPIRAL COMBINATION

Ocean Basin : EAST PACIFIC
Dvorak CI > MSLP Conversion Used : PACIFIC

Tno/CI Rules : Constraint Limits : NO LIMIT
Weakening Flag : OFF
Rapid Dissipation Flag : OFF

C/K/Z MSLP Estimate Inputs :
- Average 34 knot radii : 62km
- Environmental MSLP : 1010mb

Satellite Viewing Angle : 31.7 degrees

************************************************* ***

What's your intensity estimate...maybe 110-115mph?
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7997
645. weatherh98
8:31 PM GMT on July 09, 2012
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

That's why you shouldn't be on sites you're not supposed to be.


:O this is my dads computer... think he needs to go to church, only sites i go on is this and related site
Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6487
644. Tazmanian
8:30 PM GMT on July 09, 2012
i think there is other disturbance be hid the one the NHC is now talking about in the E PAC
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 115069
643. TropicalAnalystwx13
8:29 PM GMT on July 09, 2012
Quoting weatherh98:



btw, My computers both crashed last night, they also showed green!

That's why you shouldn't be on sites you're not supposed to be.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31981
642. nigel20
8:28 PM GMT on July 09, 2012
Quoting Levi32:


Likely not until early August the way things are looking.

Back to work. Later all.

Enjoy the rest of your day!
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7997
641. weatherh98
8:28 PM GMT on July 09, 2012
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
The upward trend continues.

UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 8.1.3
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 09 JUL 2012 Time : 193000 UTC
Lat : 12:58:00 N Lon : 110:54:20 W


CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
5.7 / 956.4mb/107.2kt


Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
5.7 6.2 6.2

Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR : 19 km

Center Temp : +10.4C Cloud Region Temp : -66.1C

Scene Type : EYE

Positioning Method : RING/SPIRAL COMBINATION

Ocean Basin : EAST PACIFIC
Dvorak CI > MSLP Conversion Used : PACIFIC

Tno/CI Rules : Constraint Limits : NO LIMIT
Weakening Flag : OFF
Rapid Dissipation Flag : OFF

C/K/Z MSLP Estimate Inputs :
- Average 34 knot radii : 62km
- Environmental MSLP : 1010mb

Satellite Viewing Angle : 31.7 degrees

************************************************* ***



btw, My computers both crashed last night, they also showed green!
Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6487
640. TropicalAnalystwx13
8:27 PM GMT on July 09, 2012
The upward trend continues.

UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 8.1.3
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 09 JUL 2012 Time : 193000 UTC
Lat : 12:58:00 N Lon : 110:54:20 W


CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
5.7 / 956.4mb/107.2kt


Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
5.7 6.2 6.2

Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR : 19 km

Center Temp : +10.4C Cloud Region Temp : -66.1C

Scene Type : EYE

Positioning Method : RING/SPIRAL COMBINATION

Ocean Basin : EAST PACIFIC
Dvorak CI > MSLP Conversion Used : PACIFIC

Tno/CI Rules : Constraint Limits : NO LIMIT
Weakening Flag : OFF
Rapid Dissipation Flag : OFF

C/K/Z MSLP Estimate Inputs :
- Average 34 knot radii : 62km
- Environmental MSLP : 1010mb

Satellite Viewing Angle : 31.7 degrees

************************************************* ***
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31981
639. sunlinepr
8:27 PM GMT on July 09, 2012
Pre-CV season update....

Member Since: August 2, 2010 Posts: 21 Comments: 9814
638. weatherh98
8:27 PM GMT on July 09, 2012
Quoting Levi32:


Likely not until early August the way things are looking.

Back to work. Later all.


peace out
Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6487
637. Levi32
8:26 PM GMT on July 09, 2012
Quoting CybrTeddy:


When do you think we'll see some more activity in the Atlantic then?


Likely not until early August the way things are looking.

Back to work. Later all.
Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 635 Comments: 26646
636. sunlinepr
8:24 PM GMT on July 09, 2012
Quoting LargoFl:


Thanks for that link.... it has some other animations to post...

Link
Member Since: August 2, 2010 Posts: 21 Comments: 9814
635. CybrTeddy
8:24 PM GMT on July 09, 2012
Quoting Levi32:
Notice how the eastern Pacific lit up as soon as big-time ridging moved over to the north. The tropical oceans with the anomalously warmest waters south of ridges are the most dangerous, always.


When do you think we'll see some more activity in the Atlantic then?
Member Since: July 8, 2005 Posts: 259 Comments: 24015
634. ncstorm
8:24 PM GMT on July 09, 2012
Lets not swear in front of the children but still act rude to them?..
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 15260
633. nigel20
8:22 PM GMT on July 09, 2012
Quoting RitaEvac:
What lightning can do to a tree when it strikes




Bark blown off



Maybe it'll die soon after.
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7997
632. redwagon
8:20 PM GMT on July 09, 2012
Gro, how many EPAC entities are we up to, four and a half now?
Member Since: August 4, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 3231
631. LargoFl
8:19 PM GMT on July 09, 2012
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 38386
630. RitaEvac
8:19 PM GMT on July 09, 2012
What lightning can do to a tree when it strikes




Bark blown off


Member Since: July 14, 2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 9628

Viewing: 680 - 630

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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