The June 2012 U.S. heat wave: one of the greatest in recorded history

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 7:34 PM GMT on July 03, 2012

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Intense heat continues to bake a large portion of the U.S. this Tuesday, with portions of 17 states under heat advisories for dangerously high temperatures. The heat is particularly dangerous for the 1.4 million people still without power and air conditioning due to Friday's incredible derecho event, which is now being blamed for 23 deaths. The ongoing heat wave is one of the most intense and widespread in U.S. history, according to wunderground's weather historian, Christopher C. Burt. In his Sunday post, The Amazing June Heat Wave of 2012 Part 2: The Midwest and Southeast June 28-30, Mr. Burt documents that eighteen of the 298 locations (6%) that he follows closely because of their long period of record and representation of U.S. climate broke or tied their all-time heat records during the past week, and that "this is especially extraordinary since they have occurred in June rather than July or August when 95% of the previous all-time heat records have been set for this part of the country." The only year with more all-time heat records than 2012 is 1936, when 61 cities of the 298 locations (20%) set all-time heat records. The summer of 1936 was the hottest summer in U.S. history, and July 1936 was the hottest month in U.S. history.

According to wunderground analysis of the National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) extremes database, during June 2012, 11% of the country's 777 weather stations with a period of record of a century or more broke or tied all-time heat records for the month of June. Only 1936 (13% of June records broken or tied) and 1988 (12.5%) had a greater number of all-time monthly June records. I expect when NCDC releases their analysis of the June 2012 weather next week, they will rank the month as one of the top five hottest Junes in U.S. history.


Figure 1. Across the entire Continental U.S., 72% of the land area was classified as being in dry or drought conditions as of June 26, 2012. Conditions are not expected to improve much over the summer: the NOAA Climate Prediction Center’s latest drought outlook shows much of the U.S. in persistent drought conditions, with very few areas improving. The rains brought by Tropical Storm Debby did help out Florida and Georgia, however. Image credit: NOAA Environmental Visualization Laboratory.

The forecast: hot and dry
July is traditionally the hottest month of the year, and July 2012 is likely to set more all-time heat records. The latest predictions from the GFS and ECMWF models show that a ridge of high pressure and dry conditions will dominate the weather over about 80 - 90% of the country during the next two weeks, except for the Pacific Northwest and New England. This will bring wicked hot conditions to most of the nation, but no all-time heat records are likely to fall. However, around July 11, a sharp ridge of high pressure is expected to build in over the Western U.S., bringing the potential for crazy-hot conditions capable of toppling all-time heat records in many western states.

The intense heat and lack of rain, combined with soils that dried out early in the year due to lack of snowfall, have led to widespread areas of moderate to extreme drought over much of the nation's grain growing regions, from Kansas to Indiana. The USDA is reporting steadily deteriorating crop conditions for corn and soybeans, and it is likely that a multi-billion dollar drought disaster is underway in the Midwest.

The wunderground Extremes page has an interactive map that allows one to look at the records for the 298 U.S. cities that Mr. Burt tracks. Click on the "Wunderground U.S. Records" button to see them.

Quiet in the Atlantic
There are no threat areas to discuss in the Atlantic, and none of the reliable computer models are developing a tropical cyclone over the next seven days.

Have a great 4th of July holiday, everyone, and I'll be back Thursday with a new post.

Jeff Masters

Sheep Mountain Ablaze! (turbguy)
The Squirrel Creek Fire spread rapidly last night, and topped the crest of Sheep Mountain as we watched last night. This is a telephoto shot from our west patio. The line of light below the fire is Harmony Wyoming. Sheep mountain is 22 air miles away from us...
Sheep Mountain Ablaze!
Derecho Damage (apphotos)
A woman makes a photograph of Mike Wolfe's pick-up truck as it lies under a fallen tree in front of his house after a severe storm in Falls Church, Va., Saturday, June 30, 2012. Wolfe's daughter Samanth Wolfe created the for sale sign as a joke. (AP Photo/Cliff Owen)
Derecho Damage
Derecho in Catlett (Lokigrins2)
Ground strike reflected off car
Derecho in Catlett
Mink Creek Fire (troxygirl48)
Fire currently burning on mink creek to johnny creek. the fire has claimed 10 house that i know of. My hearts go out to the families.
Mink Creek Fire

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The sell-out, oops I meant buy-out made the New York Times!Link
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Quoting geepy86:

we are talking about 1936.....right


I just saw the post and I don't know what year that occured but....


I remember Humberto and how behind the curve the NHC was with that storm.
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It looks like Emilia is comming soon.

A TROPICAL WAVE ACCOMPANIED BY A BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS
PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER OVER COSTA RICA THAT
EXTENDS WESTWARD OVER THE PACIFIC OCEAN FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THIS
SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 10
MPH.
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 13927
Quoting allancalderini:
always be honest with yourself and to your most important friends when I told my family I was gay some of them accept me others didn`t at the instant but later on they start accepting me some of my friends know and other don`t because they had never ask me, but the best advice I can give you is to always tell the true and no matter what be yourself not what other want you to be and if your father loves you he will accept you no matter what.


Kori, I didn't know your sexual preference, It's none of my damn bidness!
or anyone else!
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Member Since: September 10, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 10928
000
WTPZ24 KNHC 040836
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042012
0900 UTC WED JUL 04 2012

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 105.5W AT 04/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 105.5W AT 04/0900Z
AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 105.1W

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 13.0N 106.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 13.8N 108.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 14.4N 110.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 14.7N 112.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 15.0N 116.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 15.2N 121.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 15.8N 125.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.3N 105.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
000
WTPZ44 KNHC 040837
TCDEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042012
200 AM PDT WED JUL 04 2012

GEOSTATIONARY SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A RECENT ASCAT PASS INDICATE
THAT THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH
OF MANZANILLO MEXICO HAS ACQUIRED A SUFFICIENTLY WELL-DEFINED
CENTER AND ENOUGH ORGANIZATION OF THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY FOR
THE SYSTEM TO BE CLASSIFIED AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. THE ASCAT
DATA SHOWED AN AREA OF 25-30 KT WINDS TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE
CENTER...THEREFORE THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 30 KT.

SINCE THE DEPRESSION IS STILL IN ITS FORMATIVE STAGE...THE INITIAL
MOTION ESTIMATE IS A SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN 295/10 KT. THE CYCLONE IS
FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING ON THIS GENERAL HEADING AND SPEED
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT REMAINS ON THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE OVER NORTHERN MEXICO AND THE
CENTRAL UNITED STATES. THE RIDGE IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN AND
BUILD WESTWARD DURING THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEK. THIS IS
EXPECTED TO CAUSE THE CYCLONE TO TURN WESTWARD IN A COUPLE OF
DAYS AND A GENERAL WESTWARD MOTION SHOULD THEN CONTINUE THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE TRACK GUIDANCE IS IN
GOOD AGREEMENT ON THIS SCENARIO AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS
NEAR THE MIDDLE OF THE MODEL ENVELOPE.

THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO REMAIN OVER WARM WATER DURING THE NEXT
2-3 DAYS...HOWEVER MODERATE NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR IS EXPECTED
TO PERSIST DURING MOST OF THAT TIME. AS A RESULT...ONLY GRADUAL
STRENGTHENING IS SHOWN BY MOST OF THE INTENSITY MODELS. THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST LIES BETWEEN THE SHIPS AND LGEM GUIDANCE. SOME
WEAKENING IS SHOWN BY DAY 5 AS THE CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO MOVE OVER
COOLER WATERS BY THAT TIME.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 04/0900Z 12.3N 105.5W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 04/1800Z 13.0N 106.8W 35 KT 40 MPH
24H 05/0600Z 13.8N 108.5W 40 KT 45 MPH
36H 05/1800Z 14.4N 110.4W 45 KT 50 MPH
48H 06/0600Z 14.7N 112.4W 50 KT 60 MPH
72H 07/0600Z 15.0N 116.6W 60 KT 70 MPH
96H 08/0600Z 15.2N 121.0W 60 KT 70 MPH
120H 09/0600Z 15.8N 125.5W 50 KT 60 MPH

$$
FORECASTER BROWN
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Ladies and gentlemen, meet TD Four-E:

000
WTPZ34 KNHC 040836
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042012
200 AM PDT WED JUL 04 2012

...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS...NO THREAT TO LAND...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.3N 105.5W
ABOUT 470 MI...755 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.5 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19
KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT
DAY OR SO...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE WEST THURSDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS AND THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL
STORM LATER TODAY.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN
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Just watched a show "Hurricanes from Hell" - catchy title - which annoyed me greatly because of its remarkably inaccurate information about hurricanes of the last 25 years. The two most egregious:

1. Andrew didn't hit the Bahamas; it only "skirted" us. Forget about that cat 5 track right across the northwestern islands and direct hits on two Bahamian islands.

2. Mitch did hit the Bahamas. Never mind that it never crossed into Bahamian waters, much less over any land; we got hit by Mitch. [In reality Wilma passed closer to Grand Bahama than did Mitch.]

These guys give 2008 Hanna's landfall as the Gulf rather than the East Coast. Also, without directly stating it, the narrator implied that both Hugo and Katrina hit the coast as cat 5 hurricanes... instead of the cat 2 and 3 respectively that they actually were.

Considering that this documentary couldn't have been made much later than 2008 - it mentions Gustave but not Ike - and Wunderground AND the NHC had much of the correct information up on the internet - geez... even Wikipedia prolly had a lot of this stuff up - it is absolutely amazing how egregiously incorrect much of this stuff is....
Member Since: October 25, 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 21184
Happy Independence Day,friends in US! Back in 1776,who thought 140 years later you'll dominate in the world and this would continue for another 140 years?
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Positions have been re-evaluated&altered:
10.5n100.9w- 10.9n101.9w- 11.2n103.0w- 11.4n103.9w- 11.5n104.7w at 4July12amGMT
10.3n100.4w- 10.5n101.0w- 10.8n101.8w- 11.1n102.8w- 11.5n104.0w- 12.0n105.1w at 4July6amGMT
Invest96E:
493miles(793kilometres) south of Manzanillo(ZLO)
Copy&paste mzt, zlo-12.0n105.1w, lzc, zih, aca, 9.2n95.5w-9.2n96.4w, 9.2n96.4w-9.3n97.3w, 9.3n97.3w-9.5n98.1w, 9.5n98.1w-9.8n99.1w, 9.8n99.1w-10.1n100.0w, 10.1n100.0w-10.3n100.4w, 10.3n100.4w-10.5n101.0w, 10.5n101.0w-10.8n101.8w, 10.8n101.8w-11.1n102.8w, 11.1n102.8w-11.5n104.0w, 11.5n104.0w-12.0n105.1w into the GreatCircleMapper for more information
The previous mapping for comparison
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Member Since: September 18, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 4953
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Soon....We'll see a series of independent studies about the real fallout situation in the W Conus

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Quoting AtHomeInTX:


Hmmmm...Interesting season. Here's one that hit TX that year. I'm starting to notice a pattern of little to no warning. Has anyone noticed this for other states or are we just special that way? Lol.

Hurricane Three
Category 1 hurricane (SSHS)
Duration June 26 – June 28
Intensity 80 mph (130 km/h) (1-min), 990 mbar (hPa)

A small tropical storm developed on June 26 while located 125 miles (201 km) east of Brownsville, Texas. It moved northwestward and rapidly strengthened, attaining hurricane status with peak winds of 80 miles per hour (130 km/h) by early on June 27. Later on June 27, the hurricane made landfall near Port Aransas with a pressure of 990 mbar. The storm rapidly weakened over land, and dissipated on June 28 near San Antonio. A small craft warning was issued for the Corpus Christi area on the morning of the storm making landfall, and the National Weather Bureau issued a Hurricane Warning just 45 minutes prior to the hurricane striking land.

we are talking about 1936.....right
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Quoting OracleDeAtlantis:
Interesting ... considering the similarities being drawn.

"The 1936 season was fairly active, with 17 tropical cyclones including a tropical depression. Seven storms became hurricanes, of which one became a major hurricane. Despite the activity, conditions were generally unfavorable throughout the season. In addition, the season was unusual in the fact that no storms moved across large portions of the Caribbean Sea.[2] Seven storms, including three hurricanes, struck the United States.

The season also set many records for the earliest date for a numbered storm, though all were surpassed by the extreme activity of the 2005 season."



Hmmmm...Interesting season. Here's one that hit TX that year. I'm starting to notice a pattern of little to no warning. Has anyone noticed this for other states or are we just special that way? Lol.

Hurricane Three
Category 1 hurricane (SSHS)
Duration June 26 – June 28
Intensity 80 mph (130 km/h) (1-min), 990 mbar (hPa)

A small tropical storm developed on June 26 while located 125 miles (201 km) east of Brownsville, Texas. It moved northwestward and rapidly strengthened, attaining hurricane status with peak winds of 80 miles per hour (130 km/h) by early on June 27. Later on June 27, the hurricane made landfall near Port Aransas with a pressure of 990 mbar. The storm rapidly weakened over land, and dissipated on June 28 near San Antonio. A small craft warning was issued for the Corpus Christi area on the morning of the storm making landfall, and the National Weather Bureau issued a Hurricane Warning just 45 minutes prior to the hurricane striking land.
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Interesting ... considering the similarities being drawn.

"The 1936 season was fairly active, with 17 tropical cyclones including a tropical depression. Seven storms became hurricanes, of which one became a major hurricane. Despite the activity, conditions were generally unfavorable throughout the season. In addition, the season was unusual in the fact that no storms moved across large portions of the Caribbean Sea.[2] Seven storms, including three hurricanes, struck the United States.

The season also set many records for the earliest date for a numbered storm, though all were surpassed by the extreme activity of the 2005 season."

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They saying Tropical Depression Invest here:Link

NHC says 96E Invest
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Quoting HurricaneHunterJoe:


Man you just broke my heart!! Do you mean that pretty blond mermaid in the movie Splash was a figment of my imagination?? That's her
esy!



Just read it on yahoo dude. It got me to.
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Quoting HurricaneHunterJoe:
I am pretty sure this a td if not a ts looks better than Debby ever look.
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Try this http://wxug.us/q38m
Quoting swflurker:
Pretty sure it's archived in Dr. M's blogs.
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Pretty sure it's archived in Dr. M's blogs.
Quoting NJcat3cane:
night crew..anyone have a radar loop or picture of the derecho that hit Atlantic city the other night? or know a link that has that loop that i can zoom in on AC. phone was dead that night left house knew it was charging closer but was looking a litte south if i remeber correctly..by the time i got closer to harrahs resort(DO A.C.)haha it was the craziest storm i ever seen..benches flying,picnic tables flying down the street, trees snapping like twigs, it was awesome pure power of nature..saw the flipped over boat with cops n coastgaurd flying during the storm look for the people..one died two survived..it was really intense..32000 people still withour power in atlantic county...bad situation alot of people have wells who live inland and dont have running water still smh..atlantic city n brigantine is fine right now cause thats not many trees compared to inland but it was crazy..way worse then irene for sure i stayed and had eye pass over me..more thunderstorms in the forcast for tomorrow..they wont be all that bad but thats what they said the other day...
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Quoting HimacaneBrees:
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) issued an official statement denying the existence of mermaids.


Dammit. I guess now they are going to tell me that Santa Clause and the Easter Bunny don't exist either. The nerve.


Man you just broke my heart!! Do you mean that pretty blond mermaid in the movie Splash was a figment of my imagination?? That's her
esy!
Member Since: September 18, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 4953
Quoting HimacaneBrees:
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) issued an official statement denying the existence of mermaids.


Dammit. I guess now they are going to tell me that Santa Clause and the Easter Bunny don't exist either. The nerve.

Did they mention the tooth fairy?
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DC Derecho: Vivid Video of Radar Reflectivity
Here's a time-lapse video of composite radar images throughout the history of the Washington, DC Derecho on June 29, 2012, from NOAA/NSSL:

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Quoting NJcat3cane:
night crew..anyone have a radar loop or picture of the derecho that hit Atlantic city the other night? or know a link that has that loop that i can zoom in on AC. phone was dead that night left house knew it was charging closer but was looking a litte south if i remeber correctly..by the time i got closer to harrahs resort(DO A.C.)haha it was the craziest storm i ever seen..benches flying,picnic tables flying down the street, trees snapping like twigs, it was awesome pure power of nature..saw the flipped over boat with cops n coastgaurd flying during the storm look for the people..one died two survived..it was really intense..32000 people still withour power in atlantic county...bad situation alot of people have wells who live inland and dont have running water still smh..atlantic city n brigantine is fine right now cause thats not many trees compared to inland but it was crazy..way worse then irene for sure i stayed and had eye pass over me..more thunderstorms in the forcast for tomorrow..they wont be all that bad but thats what they said the other day...


Thankfully, we didnt get it as bad down here as it was up in Atlantic county. We've had some doozy's so far though, since about Mid-May.
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The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) issued an official statement denying the existence of mermaids.


Dammit. I guess now they are going to tell me that Santa Clause and the Easter Bunny don't exist either. The nerve.
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Member Since: September 18, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 4953
Quoting aspectre:
347 JerseyCapewxguy: Obviously no attention was paid by that driver to the bright orange warning flags on each side of the roadway where the buckle occured. I wonder if the driver was distracted by something else at the time?

More likely pure Beavis&Butthead behavior. "I saw this on TV lots of times and..." like what happens during stunt driving is the same as what occurs in real life.
Then again, could be some jerk who saw an opportunity to wreck his car for the insurance, and for the lawsuit against the highway department. This is America after all.



You could be onto something there. I hadn't even considered that possibility.
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Quoting Patrap:


Dunno,I think I burped a lil actually.

; )


Was it the Fresca?
Member Since: September 18, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 4953
night crew..anyone have a radar loop or picture of the derecho that hit Atlantic city the other night? or know a link that has that loop that i can zoom in on AC. phone was dead that night left house knew it was charging closer but was looking a litte south if i remeber correctly..by the time i got closer to harrahs resort(DO A.C.)haha it was the craziest storm i ever seen..benches flying,picnic tables flying down the street, trees snapping like twigs, it was awesome pure power of nature..saw the flipped over boat with cops n coastgaurd flying during the storm look for the people..one died two survived..it was really intense..32000 people still withour power in atlantic county...bad situation alot of people have wells who live inland and dont have running water still smh..atlantic city n brigantine is fine right now cause thats not many trees compared to inland but it was crazy..way worse then irene for sure i stayed and had eye pass over me..more thunderstorms in the forcast for tomorrow..they wont be all that bad but thats what they said the other day...
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Kori has been on every day for as long as I can remember with great insight and information sharing. He is nice, funny, and sarcastic. 99% of all his postings have been about the weather. If this was a regular thing I would totally agree that it was out of place and TMI. This was a one time thing involving one of his biggest crisis he has ever faced. It could be, literally, a life changing decision for him. He lives in Mississippi or Louisiana so I don't think he has the greatest support system to talk this through. We are his friends and family in a lot of ways. Someone from the outside looking in (someone not here often) could easily take this way out of context and think of Kori as an inappropriate blogger. Usually there's only the regs here, Kori was emotional, I'm sure he wasn't thinking about the fact there were a lot of people here who usually aren't. If this helps him a great deal on many levels then I think it's a good thing. Private messaging individuals in the future would probably be the far wiser choice though for anyone with issues that deep and personal. PM me any time Kori!
Member Since: April 18, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2437
Quoting 47n91w:


I don't know if other areas do it differently, but around here it's easier to flag bumps & dips on the roads instead of fixing them. After seeing all the flags (and often permanent signs) continuously, they really don't mean much. If I saw those flags on Hwy 29, which I do sometimes drive, there is no way I would have thought they were any different than the usual ones. Perhaps there was a scrolling sign farther back providing detailed warning that the video didn't capture. Perhaps there was no other warning besides a few more flags than usual.


I respect your POV on the above, but as for me...as a driver, if I was traversing a highway with a similar situation, I don't see how you don't slow down at least a little bit/ or identify the hump in the road at that point, once you see the flags, that is, if you are paying attention to the road. In that video - it looks as if there was no slowing down at all which suggests the driver not paying attention/ distracted by something else. Unless of course...they were just trying to give their best "Bo/ Luke Duke in the General Lee" impersonation...:)
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What is it? A Tropical Depression or INVEST? Check the previous link
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347 JerseyCapewxguy: Obviously no attention was paid by that driver to the bright orange warning flags on each side of the roadway where the buckle occured. I wonder if the driver was distracted by something else at the time?

More likely pure Beavis&Butthead behavior. "I saw this on TV lots of times, and YEEE HAAA..." like what happens during stunt driving is the same as what occurs in real life.
Then again, could be some jerk who saw an opportunity to wreck his car for the insurance, and for the BigBucks lawsuit against the highway department. This is America after all.
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Link
Member Since: September 18, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 4953
EP042012 - Tropical Depression INVEST
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Quoting geepy86:
Pat what you trying to say?


Dunno,I think I burped a lil actually.

; )
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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT TUE JUL 3 2012

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..
Daniel is near.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW PRESSURE AREA
LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO CONTINUE TO
SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT AND THIS SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE
ON WEDNESDAY. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...90 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH.
Here comes Emilia

AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER HAS DEVELOPED JUST SOUTHWEST OF THE
COAST OF COSTA RICA. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR
GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THIS
DISTURBANCE HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN
Member Since: October 15, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 3958
Pat what you trying to say?
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Member Since: September 18, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 4953
96E Rainbow Top Image

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Quoting JerseyCapewxguy:



Obviously no attention was paid by that driver to the bright orange warning flags on each side of the roadway where the buckle occured. I wonder if the driver was distracted by something else at the time?


I don't know if other areas do it differently, but around here it's easier to flag bumps & dips on the roads instead of fixing them. After seeing all the flags (and often permanent signs) continuously, they really don't mean much. If I saw those flags on Hwy 29, which I do sometimes drive, there is no way I would have thought they were any different than the usual ones. Perhaps there was a scrolling sign farther back providing detailed warning that the video didn't capture. Perhaps there was no other warning besides a few more flags than usual.
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Quoting JerseyCapewxguy:



Obviously no attention was paid by that driver to the bright orange warning flags on each side of the roadway where the buckle occured. I wonder if the driver was distracted by something else at the time?


Most likely Logging in here @ da time.

: )
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333 hurricanehunter27 "...a leaked video of researches have seemed to have confirmed the discovery of the Higgs boson...This is huge for physics as it shows that the standard model is in fact correct...

Not exactly. It's a big plus for the practical physicists who designed and built CERN, its detectors, and its data processing algorithms.
And for a few theoretical physicists who chose the specific models that the Higgs appears to have appeared in. ie Discovery in a specific energy band rules out competing hypotheses on (for want of a better way to put it) the particular shape of spacetime that the StandardModel is taking place in.

Otherwise it's the same ol' same ol', "The StandardModel is correct. So what?"
The problem with the StandardModel is ya have a set of critical numbers --eg the masses of the various fundamental particles -- that pop up out of nowhere. ie There is no fundamental Theory explaining WHY they appear at the masses/energies that they do, or WHY those numbers have the relationships to each other that they do.

So the ideal experiment would be one that breaks the StandardModel -- comes up with a result that doesn't fit within the StandardModel -- so that physicists can "see what's under the hood".
A HUGE advancement for physics would be if the Higgs is found not to have been discovered. Cuz this is the last unexplored energy band that fits "simply" within the StandardModel for discovery of the Higgs.
ie Not finding the Higgs would mean that more-exotic theories would come into play, one of which might lead to the WHY behind the other StandardModel results.
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Quoting allancalderini:
maybe he is trying to say that they switch servers.



Yep may be they did
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 114649
I don't know if they did anything or not....just that the blog was going faster for me with more throughput than usual..thought it might be they switched some things around
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Quoting Patrap:
Published on Jul 3, 2012 by strangenewstv2012

Chippewa County, WI -- An SUV goes airborne on a highway in Wisconsin... and the whole incident is caught on camera. On Sunday, Theresa Reich and her brother-in-law stopped on an overpass to take a picture of Highway 29, where, because of the heat, the road had buckled.

"From the overpass we could see the big divets, but we'd stopped to take a picture of it because we'd seen a bunch of cars going over slowly, and scraping the underside of their cars. And they were kind of lining up and, you know, checking the damage," says Theresa.




Obviously no attention was paid by that driver to the bright orange warning flags on each side of the roadway where the buckle occured. I wonder if the driver was distracted by something else at the time?
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Quoting Tazmanian:





that dos not help me sorry
maybe he is trying to say that they switch servers.
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.