The June 2012 U.S. heat wave: one of the greatest in recorded history

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 7:34 PM GMT on July 03, 2012

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Intense heat continues to bake a large portion of the U.S. this Tuesday, with portions of 17 states under heat advisories for dangerously high temperatures. The heat is particularly dangerous for the 1.4 million people still without power and air conditioning due to Friday's incredible derecho event, which is now being blamed for 23 deaths. The ongoing heat wave is one of the most intense and widespread in U.S. history, according to wunderground's weather historian, Christopher C. Burt. In his Sunday post, The Amazing June Heat Wave of 2012 Part 2: The Midwest and Southeast June 28-30, Mr. Burt documents that eighteen of the 298 locations (6%) that he follows closely because of their long period of record and representation of U.S. climate broke or tied their all-time heat records during the past week, and that "this is especially extraordinary since they have occurred in June rather than July or August when 95% of the previous all-time heat records have been set for this part of the country." The only year with more all-time heat records than 2012 is 1936, when 61 cities of the 298 locations (20%) set all-time heat records. The summer of 1936 was the hottest summer in U.S. history, and July 1936 was the hottest month in U.S. history.

According to wunderground analysis of the National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) extremes database, during June 2012, 11% of the country's 777 weather stations with a period of record of a century or more broke or tied all-time heat records for the month of June. Only 1936 (13% of June records broken or tied) and 1988 (12.5%) had a greater number of all-time monthly June records. I expect when NCDC releases their analysis of the June 2012 weather next week, they will rank the month as one of the top five hottest Junes in U.S. history.


Figure 1. Across the entire Continental U.S., 72% of the land area was classified as being in dry or drought conditions as of June 26, 2012. Conditions are not expected to improve much over the summer: the NOAA Climate Prediction Center’s latest drought outlook shows much of the U.S. in persistent drought conditions, with very few areas improving. The rains brought by Tropical Storm Debby did help out Florida and Georgia, however. Image credit: NOAA Environmental Visualization Laboratory.

The forecast: hot and dry
July is traditionally the hottest month of the year, and July 2012 is likely to set more all-time heat records. The latest predictions from the GFS and ECMWF models show that a ridge of high pressure and dry conditions will dominate the weather over about 80 - 90% of the country during the next two weeks, except for the Pacific Northwest and New England. This will bring wicked hot conditions to most of the nation, but no all-time heat records are likely to fall. However, around July 11, a sharp ridge of high pressure is expected to build in over the Western U.S., bringing the potential for crazy-hot conditions capable of toppling all-time heat records in many western states.

The intense heat and lack of rain, combined with soils that dried out early in the year due to lack of snowfall, have led to widespread areas of moderate to extreme drought over much of the nation's grain growing regions, from Kansas to Indiana. The USDA is reporting steadily deteriorating crop conditions for corn and soybeans, and it is likely that a multi-billion dollar drought disaster is underway in the Midwest.

The wunderground Extremes page has an interactive map that allows one to look at the records for the 298 U.S. cities that Mr. Burt tracks. Click on the "Wunderground U.S. Records" button to see them.

Quiet in the Atlantic
There are no threat areas to discuss in the Atlantic, and none of the reliable computer models are developing a tropical cyclone over the next seven days.

Have a great 4th of July holiday, everyone, and I'll be back Thursday with a new post.

Jeff Masters

Sheep Mountain Ablaze! (turbguy)
The Squirrel Creek Fire spread rapidly last night, and topped the crest of Sheep Mountain as we watched last night. This is a telephoto shot from our west patio. The line of light below the fire is Harmony Wyoming. Sheep mountain is 22 air miles away from us...
Sheep Mountain Ablaze!
Derecho Damage (apphotos)
A woman makes a photograph of Mike Wolfe's pick-up truck as it lies under a fallen tree in front of his house after a severe storm in Falls Church, Va., Saturday, June 30, 2012. Wolfe's daughter Samanth Wolfe created the for sale sign as a joke. (AP Photo/Cliff Owen)
Derecho Damage
Derecho in Catlett (Lokigrins2)
Ground strike reflected off car
Derecho in Catlett
Mink Creek Fire (troxygirl48)
Fire currently burning on mink creek to johnny creek. the fire has claimed 10 house that i know of. My hearts go out to the families.
Mink Creek Fire

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Quoting JerseyCapewxguy:


my premise has never disputed that the climate is warming/ or that weather patterns are changing. I just dispute on the reasons why this is occuring/ and also disagree that we can do anything to alter the natural/ cyclical change that is occuring. When the earth went through warming cycles over the entire history of the planet, I am sure weather patterns changed pretty similarly too.


Did you try the fish?
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Decision input required

For the Baby Back ribs, grilled,

Honey Barbecue Sauce, or Ol Hickory Mesquite?

Thanx

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Quoting Patrap:
Some folks have NOT read the science and expound from less than informed Data and sources.

TWC and Fox are not them

Try the Fish here.

Global Climate Change Indicators
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
National Climatic Data Center


Many lines of scientific evidence show the Earth's climate is changing. This page presents the latest information from several independent measures of observed climate change that illustrate an overwhelmingly compelling story of a planet that is undergoing global warming.

It is worth noting that increasing global temperature is only one element of observed global climate change. Precipitation patterns are also changing; storms and other extremes are changing as well.


my premise has never disputed that the climate is warming/ or that weather patterns are changing. I just dispute on the reasons why this is occuring/ and also disagree that we can do anything to alter the natural/ cyclical change that is occuring. When the earth went through warming cycles over the entire history of the planet, I am sure weather patterns changed pretty similarly too.
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Hit the nail on the head Keeper with comment 490.
Member Since: April 18, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2437
We are the main reason, Jeff has great information available to all you GW denial crowd. Jeff backs up his argument with science and is very detailed in his science based arguments. Please click on it and at least read his sound assessment. Almost a consensus across the board in the science community that GW is a man made driven event. Those who argue otherwise often have an agenda or are so far RIGHT that they are unable to fact check and truth seek because they are only concerned with eating the RIGHT WING chum thrown off the back of the boat. (propaganda and misinformation, aka bad science)
Member Since: April 18, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2437
Happy 4th for some, good luck with NBC.


Did The Weather Channel Fire Nicole Mitchell Because Of Military Duty?

Wednesday, June 13, 2012

By Beth Ford Roth

Capt. Nicole Mitchell





Above: Capt. Nicole Mitchell

Former "The Weather Channel" meteorologist Nicole Mitchell is suing her one-time employer. Capt. Mitchell alleges the network did not renew her contract because of her service in the Air Force Reserve.

Capt. Mitchell has been with the Air Force Reserve for almost 20 years, and now serves with the 403rd Wing Hurricane Hunters at Keesler Air Force Base.

Michell wrote on her Facebook page that although Georgia (where TWC is located) is an at-will employment state, in her case there is an exception:

"[Y]ou cannot make the decision to terminate or non-renew based on an illegal motivation. For example, if you were renewing other contracts, but decided not to renew one person because you did not like their race, religion, gender, etc....those are protected "classes", thus you cannot terminate or non-renew if that is why you are making the decision.

"Military service is protected in the same way. You can let someone go, but not if the inconvenience of their military schedule is the reason you are doing it."

Mitchell filed the lawsuit against The Weather Channel and its owners: NBC/Universal, Bain Capital, and the Blackstone Group, according to the Sun Herald.

The Weather Channel released a statement in response to Mitchell's lawsuit:

The Weather Channel is committed to creating a work atmosphere free of discrimination and in compliance with The Uniformed Services Employment and Reemployment Rights Act of 1994 ("USERRA"), and its owners support that commitment. This is a commitment that we have always taken very seriously. We cannot comment on pending litigation, but as with many situations, there is more than one version of what occurred. We disagree with many of the assertions in the plaintiff's press statements and intend to vigorously defend the matter in the arbitration process.

In a final twist of irony, The Weather Channel premiered a new documentary TV series called "Hurricane Hunters" this week.

Link
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Quoting JerseyCapewxguy:


Before mankind walked the earth, the earth still had vast cycles of heating & cooling....some of the warming cycles MUCH warmer than what we have seen today. Much warmer!

I am not in favor of cutting down any rain forests or trees in general, without replacing them.

I just don't get why some of the global warming people are unable to understand that if the earth cooled/ warmed in the past, on its own, then why that concept is so hard to understand today. There was a time in the past where the earth had no ice at the north pole - no, none of us were around to witness it, but it happened. & guess what, we're still here today!....and, ice returned to the poles! Cyclical.

As stated, my opinion is just that, my opinion. I am just using millions of years of history/ trends to back my opinion up, thats it.


you are 100 percent correct
the problem with it is
in the past it would take tens of thousands of years for changes to occur
now in our time changes occur in 10's of years
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 175 Comments: 54858
Quoting BobWallace:


How about his interest in weather?

Are you aware that our weather is getting more and more "weird"?

Do you understand that increased heat in the system drives the weather to become more weird?

Do you understand that if the heat in the system continues to increase the weather will get extremely weird?

Can you understand that those who have studied the climate and weather are trying to tell others that we are getting ourselves into a very dangerous position?



And I am sure similar weather patterns/ systems were altered over the millions of years of cyclical climate change that preceded our existence on this earth. Is that so hard to consider? Just as I don't believe that humans are the main cause to the warming thats going on now - I think people are crazy to think that WE as humans can do much to alter any natural processes of global warming. Any attempt would be futile at best.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Some folks have NOT read the science and expound from less than informed Data and sources.

TWC and Fox are not them

Try the Fish here.

Global Climate Change Indicators
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
National Climatic Data Center


Many lines of scientific evidence show the Earth's climate is changing. This page presents the latest information from several independent measures of observed climate change that illustrate an overwhelmingly compelling story of a planet that is undergoing global warming.

It is worth noting that increasing global temperature is only one element of observed global climate change. Precipitation patterns are also changing; storms and other extremes are changing as well.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Member Since: September 18, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 5237
Quoting BobWallace:


Before mankind walked on the surface of the Earth trees grew and fell. Some died and rotted, some were blown over by storms. All of those trees fell for a reason.

Then one day man cut down a tree.

Man was not responsible for all the trees that fell and continue to fall for non-man reasons, but he sure is responsible for massive clear-cutting of the forests.

If you think the present global heating is due to some force other than man, then please state what is causing the warming.

Scientists have not been able to find a reason aside from human activity.


Before mankind walked the earth, the earth still had vast cycles of heating & cooling....some of the warming cycles MUCH warmer than what we have seen today. Much warmer!

I am not in favor of cutting down any rain forests or trees in general, without replacing them.

I just don't get why some of the global warming people are unable to understand that if the earth cooled/ warmed in the past, on its own, then why that concept is so hard to understand today. There was a time in the past where the earth had no ice at the north pole - no, none of us were around to witness it, but it happened. & guess what, we're still here today!....and, ice returned to the poles! Cyclical.

As stated, my opinion is just that, my opinion. I am just using millions of years of history/ trends to back my opinion up, thats it.
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Appears to be a circulation on off the N coast of Costa Rica.
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Quoting AdamNC:


Ever hear of patterns? What caused the ice ages? then the melting? Man? This whole man is the sole reason is crap. We maybe adding to things... but no way are we the sole reason.


Fresca?

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Quoting BobWallace:


Before mankind walked on the surface of the Earth trees grew and fell. Some died and rotted, some were blown over by storms. All of those trees fell for a reason.

Then one day man cut down a tree.

Man was not responsible for all the trees that fell and continue to fall for non-man reasons, but he sure is responsible for massive clear-cutting of the forests.

If you think the present global heating is due to some force other than man, then please state what is causing the warming.

Scientists have not been able to find a reason aside from human activity.


Ever hear of patterns? What caused the ice ages? then the melting? Man? This whole man is the sole reason is crap. We maybe adding to things... but no way are we the sole reason.
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Just want say Happy 4th July to all the US Citizens, especially to those who have served and is serving in harms way to keep the freedom that most us enjoy throughout the world today!
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Happy Fourth of July and a big THANKS to the many who blog and have served this great country our ours. I've been blessed by the stories passed down by my Grandfather's who both served in WWII. Grandfather on my Dad's side named one of his kids Phillip Thomas Washburn for his love of the P.T boat; which he rode with so many thousands of other brave men into Normandy beaches on that fateful day which turned the war forever in our favor. He later served in the Pacific on a cruiser as chief mechanic of guns. During a gun jam, mid battle, he left his gunning position to fix the jam. The gunner who took his place was immediately decapitated. If that gun didn't jam when it did, I wouldn't be sitting here typing this today. I hope all you have a fun, safe, and blessed day!
Member Since: April 18, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2437
Quoting JerseyCapewxguy:
Dr. Masters assuredly would disagree with me, but personally I don't get all of his agenda to advance his "global warming" takes.


How about his interest in weather?

Are you aware that our weather is getting more and more "weird"?

Do you understand that increased heat in the system drives the weather to become more weird?

Do you understand that if the heat in the system continues to increase the weather will get extremely weird?

Can you understand that those who have studied the climate and weather are trying to tell others that we are getting ourselves into a very dangerous position?

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Kinda looks like some shear or dry air eating into it?
Member Since: September 18, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 5237
First all the worlds problems are blamed on global warming according to Dr Masters, and now he sells out to TWC. Whatever.
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Quoting BobWallace:


Before mankind walked on the surface of the Earth trees grew and fell. Some died and rotted, some were blown over by storms. All of those trees fell for a reason.

Then one day man cut down a tree.

Man was not responsible for all the trees that fell and continue to fall for non-man reasons, but he sure is responsible for massive clear-cutting of the forests.

If you think the present global heating is due to some force other than man, then please state what is causing the warming.

Scientists have not been able to find a reason aside from human activity.
Well, Just about all of History before the Ice age was warmer than it is Today.
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Quoting washingtonian115:
And it was bigger as well.
Indeed it twas!
Member Since: September 18, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 5237
Yeah, I was a fan of the 'Wilburys too.
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Member Since: September 18, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 5237
Quoting JerseyCapewxguy:
Dr. Masters assuredly would disagree with me, but personally I don't get all of his agenda to advance his "global warming" takes. Its not that I don't believe that the earth is warming, because it obviously is. What I disagree with is that it is totally responsible by man made factors. The earth has been going through warming & cooling cycles for eternity....and some of the warming cycles have been WAYYYYY more (warmer) than what we have seen so far. - Obviously thousands of years ago, you couldn't blame man then!!


Before mankind walked on the surface of the Earth trees grew and fell. Some died and rotted, some were blown over by storms. All of those trees fell for a reason.

Then one day man cut down a tree.

Man was not responsible for all the trees that fell and continue to fall for non-man reasons, but he sure is responsible for massive clear-cutting of the forests.

If you think the present global heating is due to some force other than man, then please state what is causing the warming.

Scientists have not been able to find a reason aside from human activity.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting HurricaneHunterJoe:


looked mo better yesterday fo shore
And it was bigger as well.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 17487
Quoting washingtonian115:
T.D 4? not doing to good it appears.


looked mo better yesterday fo shore
Member Since: September 18, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 5237
Quoting Patrap:
To TWCC executives in those High Towers..


,,please Handle us with care.

We family.

Been beat up and battered 'round
Been sent up, and I've been shot down
You're the best thing that we've ever found
Handle Us with care

Reputations changeable
Situations tolerable
Baby, you're adorable
Handle Us with care

I'm so tired of being lonely
I still have some love to give
Won't you show Us that you really care

Everybody's got somebody to lean on
Put your body next to our's, and dream on

I've been fobbed off, and we've been fooled
I've been robbed and ridiculed
In day care centers and night schools
Handle Us with care

Been stuck in airports, terrorized
Sent to meetings, hypnotized
Overexposed, commercialized
Handle Us with care

I'm so tired of being lonely
I still have some love to give
Won't you show Us that you really care

Everybody's got somebody to lean on
Put your body next to our's, and dream on

I've been uptight and made a mess
But I'll clean it up myself, I guess
Oh, the sweet smell of success
Handle Us with care





Dem boys shore could play some
Member Since: September 18, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 5237
Quoting JerseyCapewxguy:
Dr. Masters assuredly would disagree with me, but personally I don't get all of his agenda to advance his "global warming" takes. Its not that I don't believe that the earth is warming, because it obviously is. What I disagree with is that it is totally responsible by man made factors. The earth has been going through warming & cooling cycles for eternity....and some of the warming cycles have been WAYYYYY more (warmer) than what we have seen so far. - Obviously thousands of years ago, you couldn't blame man then!!

...and lets just say (just for the sake of argument only) that Dr Masters is correct that its man made reasons - what exactly does he expect people/ countries to do about it?---Have the United States cease all of their industry?....as if you can force any of the other countries in the world to cease theirs??? Hate to break it to ya, but if the U.S. stopped ALL of their industry and yet the rest of the world (or most) kept theirs going (which is what would happen) , thats not making a dent into stopping any man made global warming. Ain't happening. So, we'll just fall behind further yet again??? Some people even theorize that even if the whole world ceased industry it wouldn't make a difference. Who knows what to believe...?? (with so many agendas around)

Look, I am all for finding more environmentally friendly ways of industry and trying to leave less of a "carbon footprint" and all that, but I just disagree with many of the global warming agendas going around. Is the earth warming? Yes. I however, believe its mostly a natural cycle than anything.

Hopefully, Dr Masters doesn't ban me for sharing a dissenting opinion.

O f course he will not ban you!!
Member Since: September 18, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 5237
Quoting Patrap:
To TWCC executives in those High Towers..


,,please Handle us with care.

We family.

Been beat up and battered 'round
Been sent up, and I've been shot down
You're the best thing that we've ever found
Handle Us with care

Reputations changeable
Situations tolerable
Baby, you're adorable
Handle Us with care

I'm so tired of being lonely
I still have some love to give
Won't you show Us that you really care

Everybody's got somebody to lean on
Put your body next to our's, and dream on

I've been fobbed off, and we've been fooled
I've been robbed and ridiculed
In day care centers and night schools
Handle Us with care

Been stuck in airports, terrorized
Sent to meetings, hypnotized
Overexposed, commercialized
Handle Us with care

I'm so tired of being lonely
I still have some love to give
Won't you show Us that you really care

Everybody's got somebody to lean on
Put your body next to our's, and dream on

I've been uptight and made a mess
But I'll clean it up myself, I guess
Oh, the sweet smell of success
Handle Us with care






YEA PAT! Thats right
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting HurricaneHunterJoe:
T.D 4? not doing to good it appears.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 17487
Member Since: September 18, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 5237
Happy 4th of July, Independence Day America! Time to fire up the grills, sit back have a drink and watch the fireworks tonight :) On this day a special thanks to all the men and women in the military for their services to help keep America safe.

It's gonna be a hot one, so make sure you keep yourself hydrated and check on the elderly and the kids.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
To TWCC executives in those High Towers..


,,please Handle us with care.

We family.

Been beat up and battered 'round
Been sent up, and I've been shot down
You're the best thing that we've ever found
Handle Us with care

Reputations changeable
Situations tolerable
Baby, you're adorable
Handle Us with care

I'm so tired of being lonely
I still have some love to give
Won't you show Us that you really care

Everybody's got somebody to lean on
Put your body next to our's, and dream on

I've been fobbed off, and we've been fooled
I've been robbed and ridiculed
In day care centers and night schools
Handle Us with care

Been stuck in airports, terrorized
Sent to meetings, hypnotized
Overexposed, commercialized
Handle Us with care

I'm so tired of being lonely
I still have some love to give
Won't you show Us that you really care

Everybody's got somebody to lean on
Put your body next to our's, and dream on

I've been uptight and made a mess
But I'll clean it up myself, I guess
Oh, the sweet smell of success
Handle Us with care



Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting K8eCane:
In The Words Of Mr Lee Greenwood

And Im Proud To Be An American
Where At Least I Know Im Free


And I won't forget the men who died
Who gave that right to me
Member Since: September 3, 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3476
yeah sorry for double posting
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hey guys just poping in to see whats up and Happy 4th of July anyway I maybe will be back on Friday (MAYBE) anyway have a good day all WKC out
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And a Happy Independence Day to all!!
Member Since: September 18, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 5237
hey guys just poping in to see whats up and Happy 4th of July anyway I maybe will be back on Friday (MAYBE) anyway have a good day all WKC out
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Good morning all from America's left coast
Member Since: September 18, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 5237
In The Words Of Mr Lee Greenwood

And Im Proud To Be An American
Where At Least I Know Im Free
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting ncstorm:
Happy Fourth Everyone!!! Stay cool and party out..unfortunately some of us have to go back to work tomorrow!! Just wanted to post the Euro..been pretty consistent of unsettled weather over TN/VA/SC/NC





That high over the Atlantic is nasty..sending more unneeded heat my way...
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 17487
Happy 4th of July everybody!! I have a feeling its gonna be a warm one most places ;)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Dr. Masters assuredly would disagree with me, but personally I don't get all of his agenda to advance his "global warming" takes. Its not that I don't believe that the earth is warming, because it obviously is. What I disagree with is that it is totally responsible by man made factors. The earth has been going through warming & cooling cycles for eternity....and some of the warming cycles have been WAYYYYY more (warmer) than what we have seen so far. - Obviously thousands of years ago, you couldn't blame man then!!

...and lets just say (just for the sake of argument only) that Dr Masters is correct that its man made reasons - what exactly does he expect people/ countries to do about it?---Have the United States cease all of their industry?....as if you can force any of the other countries in the world to cease theirs??? Hate to break it to ya, but if the U.S. stopped ALL of their industry and yet the rest of the world (or most) kept theirs going (which is what would happen) , thats not making a dent into stopping any man made global warming. Ain't happening. So, we'll just fall behind further yet again??? Some people even theorize that even if the whole world ceased industry it wouldn't make a difference. Who knows what to believe...?? (with so many agendas around)

Look, I am all for finding more environmentally friendly ways of industry and trying to leave less of a "carbon footprint" and all that, but I just disagree with many of the global warming agendas going around. Is the earth warming? Yes. I however, believe its mostly a natural cycle than anything.

Hopefully, Dr Masters doesn't ban me for sharing a dissenting opinion.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Happy Fourth Everyone!!! Stay cool and party out..unfortunately some of us have to go back to work tomorrow!! Just wanted to post the Euro..been pretty consistent of unsettled weather over TN/VA/SC/NC





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HAPPY 4TH EVERYONE AND AS A VETERAN I WOULD LIKE TO SAY THANK YOU TO WHO HAVE SERVED AND TO THE BRAVE ONES WHO STILL ARE SERVING. GOD BLESS AMERICA WE NEED IT NOW MORE THAN EVER!!
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Happy 4th of July everyone. Today, I'm even more proud to be an American than I always am!
Member Since: September 3, 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3476
Quoting Patrap:
Freedom is Everybody's Job,

Red Skelton

Thank you That is GREAT!!!!!!
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our only alternative is weatherbug.com?  it's not very impressive...
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About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.