The June 2012 U.S. heat wave: one of the greatest in recorded history

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 7:34 PM GMT on July 03, 2012

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Intense heat continues to bake a large portion of the U.S. this Tuesday, with portions of 17 states under heat advisories for dangerously high temperatures. The heat is particularly dangerous for the 1.4 million people still without power and air conditioning due to Friday's incredible derecho event, which is now being blamed for 23 deaths. The ongoing heat wave is one of the most intense and widespread in U.S. history, according to wunderground's weather historian, Christopher C. Burt. In his Sunday post, The Amazing June Heat Wave of 2012 Part 2: The Midwest and Southeast June 28-30, Mr. Burt documents that eighteen of the 298 locations (6%) that he follows closely because of their long period of record and representation of U.S. climate broke or tied their all-time heat records during the past week, and that "this is especially extraordinary since they have occurred in June rather than July or August when 95% of the previous all-time heat records have been set for this part of the country." The only year with more all-time heat records than 2012 is 1936, when 61 cities of the 298 locations (20%) set all-time heat records. The summer of 1936 was the hottest summer in U.S. history, and July 1936 was the hottest month in U.S. history.

According to wunderground analysis of the National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) extremes database, during June 2012, 11% of the country's 777 weather stations with a period of record of a century or more broke or tied all-time heat records for the month of June. Only 1936 (13% of June records broken or tied) and 1988 (12.5%) had a greater number of all-time monthly June records. I expect when NCDC releases their analysis of the June 2012 weather next week, they will rank the month as one of the top five hottest Junes in U.S. history.


Figure 1. Across the entire Continental U.S., 72% of the land area was classified as being in dry or drought conditions as of June 26, 2012. Conditions are not expected to improve much over the summer: the NOAA Climate Prediction Center’s latest drought outlook shows much of the U.S. in persistent drought conditions, with very few areas improving. The rains brought by Tropical Storm Debby did help out Florida and Georgia, however. Image credit: NOAA Environmental Visualization Laboratory.

The forecast: hot and dry
July is traditionally the hottest month of the year, and July 2012 is likely to set more all-time heat records. The latest predictions from the GFS and ECMWF models show that a ridge of high pressure and dry conditions will dominate the weather over about 80 - 90% of the country during the next two weeks, except for the Pacific Northwest and New England. This will bring wicked hot conditions to most of the nation, but no all-time heat records are likely to fall. However, around July 11, a sharp ridge of high pressure is expected to build in over the Western U.S., bringing the potential for crazy-hot conditions capable of toppling all-time heat records in many western states.

The intense heat and lack of rain, combined with soils that dried out early in the year due to lack of snowfall, have led to widespread areas of moderate to extreme drought over much of the nation's grain growing regions, from Kansas to Indiana. The USDA is reporting steadily deteriorating crop conditions for corn and soybeans, and it is likely that a multi-billion dollar drought disaster is underway in the Midwest.

The wunderground Extremes page has an interactive map that allows one to look at the records for the 298 U.S. cities that Mr. Burt tracks. Click on the "Wunderground U.S. Records" button to see them.

Quiet in the Atlantic
There are no threat areas to discuss in the Atlantic, and none of the reliable computer models are developing a tropical cyclone over the next seven days.

Have a great 4th of July holiday, everyone, and I'll be back Thursday with a new post.

Jeff Masters

Sheep Mountain Ablaze! (turbguy)
The Squirrel Creek Fire spread rapidly last night, and topped the crest of Sheep Mountain as we watched last night. This is a telephoto shot from our west patio. The line of light below the fire is Harmony Wyoming. Sheep mountain is 22 air miles away from us...
Sheep Mountain Ablaze!
Derecho Damage (apphotos)
A woman makes a photograph of Mike Wolfe's pick-up truck as it lies under a fallen tree in front of his house after a severe storm in Falls Church, Va., Saturday, June 30, 2012. Wolfe's daughter Samanth Wolfe created the for sale sign as a joke. (AP Photo/Cliff Owen)
Derecho Damage
Derecho in Catlett (Lokigrins2)
Ground strike reflected off car
Derecho in Catlett
Mink Creek Fire (troxygirl48)
Fire currently burning on mink creek to johnny creek. the fire has claimed 10 house that i know of. My hearts go out to the families.
Mink Creek Fire

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Quoting ncstorm:
192 hours out
I'm thinking "trough split" when I see that for some odd reason.
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Quoting Jedkins01:


Yeah as I was just saying, it seems that this classic pattern always arrives for the 4th even during the weirder rainy season like this year. Instability is getting impressive over the area, so there will be a lot of lightning with these storms, more like we are used to seeing this time of year. Strong damaging wind gusts are also possible especially on the west side of thunderstorm cells because there are some stronger winds aloft.


Despite June being very wet, we only had one day of sea breeze driven afternoon thunderstorms. All our rain came from fronts and tropical weather.
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Quoting Jedkins01:


Yeah as I was just saying, it seems that this classic pattern always arrives for the 4th even during the weirder rainy season like this year. Instability is getting impressive over the area, so there will be a lot of lightning with these storms, more like we are used to seeing this time of year. Strong damaging wind gusts are also possible especially on the west side of thunderstorm cells because there are some stronger winds aloft.


Large hail and damaging winds are defiantly a possibility today.
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Quoting aspectre:
622 barbamz: Anyone saw Nea the last days?

He said he was going on a business trip.

Thanks. I really was worrying.
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I'm not to sure why the NHC even mentioned this area when it has unfavorable conditions working against it.Let's see high shear dry air..
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192 hours out
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Quoting barbamz:
Anyone saw Nea the last days? Is he freaking out and joyfully drinking because of the discovery of the so called God particle (see post 601). Or already taking refuge from a possible troll invasion? Now that he'll get such a larger audience ...


Never mind, I've just found him sitting in a tent in Delaware; look to the bottom of this blog:
Link
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622 barbamz: Anyone saw Nea the last days?

He said he was going on a business trip.
Member Since: August 21, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 4860
Quoting washingtonian115:
How many hours out is that.And yes I am using a MODEL to take a look at future weather patterns :).


168 hours out..next wednesday
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Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:
EP, 04, 2012070412, , BEST, 0, 128N, 1065W, 30, 1006, TD, 34,

still TD by 5 PM




not the right update


EP, 04, 2012070418, , BEST, 0, 132N, 1073W, 30, 1005, TD,


winds are still the same but its down too 1005mb
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 115084
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting CybrTeddy:
Looks like a very stormy day across Florida today, back a few years ago during the 4th of July fireworks a thunderstorm was parked right over my area for 4 hours.

Initiation has already begun in Orlando, will probably see the activity begin to shift towards Hillsborough later today.


Yeah as I was just saying, it seems that this classic pattern always arrives for the 4th even during the weirder rainy season like this year. Instability is getting impressive over the area, so there will be a lot of lightning with these storms, more like we are used to seeing this time of year. Strong damaging wind gusts are also possible especially on the west side of thunderstorm cells because there are some stronger winds aloft.
Member Since: August 21, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 7440
Quoting Guysgal:


Dude-you are so correct in your assessment. It's gonna go down worse than any science fiction flick has ever postulated. Food wars, water wars, oil wars, habitable climate wars, they are all ahead. All of the optimistic geeks who hold up technology as our savior are just praying to to a different Deity! If they think we can undo all the ecological harm done to our world since we surpassed the population that the planet could support (6 million, the population of NYC for instance), they are just whistling Dixie her lost(another lost cause by the way). The oligarchs will just buy the Arctic Circle and their minions will kill on sight, the Religious Right will try to find God's will in it, and the rest of us are just gonna shrivel in the heat and die.


Is that why we have so many wars? So when the #$%$ hits the fan we will be the most experienced warriors??
Member Since: September 18, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 5222
Quoting ncstorm:


12z Euro..severe weather outbreak shaping up

How many hours out is that.And yes I am using a MODEL to take a look at future weather patterns :).
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EP, 04, 2012070412, , BEST, 0, 128N, 1065W, 30, 1006, TD, 34,

still TD by 5 PM
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Strange that in Western Europe we suffered the wettest coolest dullest June since records began some of the rainfall records go back to 1860. July is likely to continue in the same vein - (no hope for Wimbledon or the London Olympics I'm afraid).
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Quoting WxGeekVA:
On the topic of the Higgs Boson:



Hope I don't offend anyone


LOL.... Im sure u will.........lol
Member Since: September 18, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 5222
Good thunderstorm coverage building up over the area in Central Florida already, expect increasing coverage into the afternoon evening. Be warned, the grip of the dreaded upper level high is being released from the area, with that being said, instability is shooting way up, expect strong to at times a few severe thunderstorms this evening, producing thousands of lightning strikes, what we expect heading into July :)

It's funny because, it was just a couple days ago that storm coverage was only supposed to be isolated showers for the 4th, now it has become scattered thunderstorms, and some being severe.

It seems that every year for the 4th we see a large amount of natural fireworks, even during the weird rainy seasons the classic pattern of huge storms producing crazy lightning strikes always seems to arrive just in time for all the fireworks, lol.
Member Since: August 21, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 7440
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
228 PM AST WED JUL 4 2012

PRC001-039-055-059-073-111-113-121-141-153-042130 -
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0260.120704T1828Z-120704T2130Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000 Z.OO/
CIALES PR-GUANICA PR-GUAYANILLA PR-JAYUYA PR-PENUELAS PR-PONCE PR-
SABANA GRANDE PR-UTUADO PR-YAUCO PR-ADJUNTAS PR-
228 PM AST WED JUL 4 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR RAPID RIVER RISES IN
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
CIALES...GUANICA...GUAYANILLA...JAYUYA...PENUELAS. ..PONCE...
SABANA GRANDE...UTUADO...YAUCO AND ADJUNTAS

* UNTIL 530 PM AST

* AT 226 PM AST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN IN THE ADVISORY AREA. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES HAVE FALLEN IN PARTS OF THESE
MUNICIPALITIES AND ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
NEXT FEW HOURS.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE ELEVATED LEVELS ON
SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...AND PONDING OF WATER IN URBAN AREAS...
HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS. THE HEAVY RAINS COULD ALSO TRIGGER ROCK
AND MUDSLIDES IN STEEP TERRAIN.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN. MOVE TO
HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 1831 6651 1815 6654 1814 6656 1797 6656
1797 6665 1794 6668 1797 6670 1796 6676
1799 6677 1796 6679 1793 6687 1793 6698
1813 6696 1815 6692 1814 6686 1817 6683
1820 6684 1831 6680

$$

ER
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14253
603 19N81W: The NHC has given that area in the eastern caribbean a yellow circle of 0%. I am wondering if it has a 0% chance of developing why put a circle around?

Rounding error. They think the true figure is closer to 0% than to 1%
They should just use a default of 1% under such conditions:
"1 chance out of a hundred" are long enough odds to convey "It ain't likely to happen, folks."
Member Since: August 21, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 4860
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
206 PM AST WED JUL 4 2012

PRC001-039-059-073-075-081-101-107-111-113-121-14 1-149-153-041900-
CIALES PR-GUAYANILLA PR-JAYUYA PR-JUANA DIAZ PR-LARES PR-MOROVIS PR-
OROCOVIS PR-PENUELAS PR-PONCE PR-SABANA GRANDE PR-UTUADO PR-
VILLALBA PR-YAUCO PR-ADJUNTAS PR-
206 PM AST WED JUL 4 2012

AT 200 PM AST...A LINE OF SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
OVER CIALES AND MOROVIS IS PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAINFALL...STRONG
GUSTY WINDS BETWEEN 25 TO 40 MPH AND DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING AS MOVES TO THE WEST AT 20 MPH. THIS LINE WILL CONTINUE TO
AFFECT THE CENTRAL INTERIOR AND THE SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO
THROUGH AT LEAST 3:00 PM AST.

HEAVY RAINS MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED ROADS AS
THEY MAY BE WASHED OUT. WATER LEVELS OF SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS MAY
ALSO RISE QUICKLY...THEREFORE SEEK HIGHER GROUND IF THREATENED BY
FLOOD WATERS.

INTENSE LIGHTNING IS REPORTED WITH THIS STORM. IF OUTDOORS...STAY
AWAY FROM ISOLATED HIGH OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES. MOVE INDOORS IF
POSSIBLE. WHEN INDOORS...STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS AND AVOID
USING TELEPHONES UNLESS IT IS AN EMERGENCY. TRY TO UNPLUG UNNECESSARY
ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES BEFORE THE THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES.

$$

ER
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14253


12z Euro..severe weather outbreak shaping up

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Looks like a very stormy day across Florida today, back a few years ago during the 4th of July fireworks a thunderstorm was parked right over my area for 4 hours.

Initiation has already begun in Orlando, will probably see the activity begin to shift towards Hillsborough later today.
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I'm sticking around, trusting in what Jeff has said about maintaining the integrity of what they do here. And I'm sticking around to see if that happens of if they rip the rug out from under Jeff and company's feet. I'm curious about how this integration will look.
Member Since: April 18, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2437
Anyone saw Nea the last days? Is he freaking out and joyfully drinking because of the discovery of the so called God particle (see post 601). Or already taking refuge from a possible troll invasion? Now that he'll get such a larger audience ...
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Puerto Rican radar image

Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 8026
620. Boca
Now that TWC owns the site, who's staying?
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WxGeekVA very funny, had to read it twice to get it. Not offended at all, as a Christian I'm not threatened by this discovery.
Member Since: April 18, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2437
Quoting Tribucanes:
Will the wave be moving into better strengthening conditions in the next few days?
really doubt it to much shear.maybe if shear relax the one near the cape verde islands could develop.
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Quoting Tribucanes:
And if I many quote Keeper, and now we will go faster, faster, faster into the consequences of our actions to our Earth. If rapid climate changes have occurred in the past, and science shows that it has, then we can now only conclude that this will intensify and intensify quickly. The next twenty to fifty years may bring us to the realization that nothing can be done to stop man driven Global Warming. I've already come to that conclusion. If this continues to speed up, and it will, then unforeseen consequences will only be more and more often. Consequences on a level we can only now fathom. Polar Shifts have occurred throughout our earth's history too. Will we trigger the next one, and how many will survive to face what's left of what we created. Science looking into the future figures GW to be gradual in it's increase in the next 100 years with gradual rises in ocean depth and overall temps. If it goes as slow as scientists are predicting we many have a chance to combat it. What if it doesn't, what if we have no clue how bad and fast it's going to get. This would seem, to me, what is far more likely to happen; water shortages world wide will continue to rapidly decline, crop failures worldwide will lead to starvation and inflation, heat waves and cold snaps will increase greatly leading to devastation. Storms will continue to intensify leading to disasters ever larger. I think we are underestimating what's to come by a wide mark.


Dude-you are so correct in your assessment. It's gonna go down worse than any science fiction flick has ever postulated. Food wars, water wars, oil wars, habitable climate wars, they are all ahead. All of the optimistic geeks who hold up technology as our savior are just praying to to a different Deity! If they think we can undo all the ecological harm done to our world since we surpassed the population that the planet could support (6 million, the population of NYC for instance), they are just whistling Dixie her lost(another lost cause by the way). The oligarchs will just buy the Arctic Circle and their minions will kill on sight, the Religious Right will try to find God's will in it, and the rest of us are just gonna shrivel in the heat and die.
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Quoting Tribucanes:
Will the wave be moving into better strengthening conditions in the next few days?

Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 8026
Will the wave be moving into better strengthening conditions in the next few days?
Member Since: April 18, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2437
Quoting Tazmanian:
wind shear seem to be well above norml for this time of year



likey EL nino starting too kick in?

Shear is above average in the Caribbean, but below average in the tropical Atlantic

Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 8026
Quoting 19N81W:
The NHC has given that area in the eastern caribbean a yellow circle of 0%. I am wondering if it has a 0% chance of developing why put a circle around?


it says Near 0 percent, that is different wording than 0 percent
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On the topic of the Higgs Boson:



Hope I don't offend anyone
Member Since: September 3, 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3471
Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:


I think they added this because of the strong gusty winds this wave is causing in some of the islands.
its probable.
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Quoting Tazmanian:
wind shear seem to be well above norml for this time of year



likey EL nino starting too kick in?

Wind shear is running below average across the entire Atlantic, so no.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32029
Quoting allancalderini:
I agree the area near the cape verde island has more probability to develop than this one.


I think they added this because of the strong gusty winds this wave is causing in some of the islands.
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14253
Quoting WxGeekVA:
Where Is Your God (Particle) Now?

Never Mind, they found it!

New particle fits description of elusive Higgs boson, scientists say

The title "God Particle" is very misleading to what the Higgs boson actually is. Even CERN discourages the use of the term "God Particle". That is not to say this is probably the biggest discovery in particle physics sense the quark. Currently the big significance with this discovery is it show that the standard model is correct and we are on the right track. Happy 4th of July everybody!
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wind shear seem to be well above norml for this time of year



likey EL nino starting too kick in?
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 115084
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
153 PM AST WED JUL 4 2012

PRC007-019-021-045-047-061-101-105-107-042100-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0259.120704T1753Z-120704T2100Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000 Z.OO/
BARRANQUITAS PR-BAYAMON PR-COMERIO PR-COROZAL PR-GUAYNABO PR-
MOROVIS PR-NARANJITO PR-OROCOVIS PR-AGUAS BUENAS PR-
153 PM AST WED JUL 4 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR RAPID RIVER RISES IN
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
BARRANQUITAS...BAYAMON...COMERIO...COROZAL...GUAYN ABO...
MOROVIS...NARANJITO...OROCOVIS AND AGUAS BUENAS

* UNTIL 500 PM AST

* AT 153 PM AST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN IN THE ADVISORY AREA. THE HEAVY
RAIN IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE ACROSS THESE MUNICIPALITIES AT LEAST FOR
THE COUPLE OF HOURS. AS A RESULT...ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1
TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN PARTS OF THE ADVISORY AREA.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN. MOVE TO
HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 1823 6610 1822 6611 1822 6614 1823 6615
1822 6615 1823 6617 1821 6617 1819 6643
1833 6643 1833 6610

$$

ER
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14253
Quoting 19N81W:
The NHC has given that area in the eastern caribbean a yellow circle of 0%. I am wondering if it has a 0% chance of developing why put a circle around?
I agree the area near the cape verde island has more probability to develop than this one.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
wind shear is way too high up too 50kt so likey nothing will come out of it


Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 115084
The NHC has given that area in the eastern caribbean a yellow circle of 0%. I am wondering if it has a 0% chance of developing why put a circle around?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Bob Wallace, I love optimism! I just see no energy worldwide to spur this change in the short term though. All the money is being spent to stop said changes in most quarters. As a realist I can only state what I see coming down the pipeline, but as long as there are smart, sincere, thinkers like you Bob and so many more here then, even I, hold out some hope that all hope is not lost in this cause. We need to elect more who think like you then Bob; you got a couple tens of millions to run?
Member Since: April 18, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2437
601. WxGeekVA
6:11 PM GMT on July 04, 2012
Where Is Your God (Particle) Now?

Never Mind, they found it!

New particle fits description of elusive Higgs boson, scientists say

Member Since: September 3, 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3471
600. GeoffreyWPB
6:11 PM GMT on July 04, 2012
From the Miami NWS Discussion...

A CONCERN WILL BE...WHAT ABOUT FIREWORKS TONIGHT? THE EAST COAST
METRO AREAS WILL SEE SOME STRAY MORNING SHOWERS TODAY WITH SHOWER
AND THUNDERSTORM INCREASE IN THE INTERIOR AND WEST THIS AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING. POSSIBLY SOME SHOWERS WILL MOVE ONSHORE THE EAST
COAST LATER THIS EVENING. AS A WHOLE...THE SHOW IN THE EAST SHOULD
GO ON. ON THE WEST COAST AND NEARBY ENVIRONS...AFTERNOON AND EVENING
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH GIVE NATURAL FIREWORKS. BUT SINCE
ACTIVITY WILL BE SCATTERED AND IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE W
COAST SEA BREEZE IN THE INTERIOR INITIALLY...AND WITH VERY WEAK
EASTERLY STEERING WINDS... THE SHOWS IN THE WEST SHOULD OCCUR AS
WELL. BUT A THREAT TO SHOWTIME INTERRUPTION WILL BE POSSIBLE.
Member Since: September 10, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 11151
599. severstorm
6:11 PM GMT on July 04, 2012
Quoting Jedkins01:
While in general I think Debby was quite beneficial for Florida Because it killed the drought, I can't say the same necessarily for areas further inland like in Pasco and Hernando counties, where some spots are still dealing with standing water around homes, because the excess water can't just drain off into the ocean like it did many days ago here near the coast.

Even though most of Florida is designed for handling heavy rain events very well, when you get 12 to more than 20 inches of rain in some spots in just a couple days plus another 5 to 7 for the month before the event, you are going to have flooding that won't go away for a while when you live inland. I can only imagine what 1 to 2 feet of standing water for 2 weeks can do to mosquito populations in these neighborhoods, ughhhh.

Apparently one NWS rain gauge in Hernando County that is INLAND, in a fairly low area had 22 inches of rain from Debby and had nearly 7 for the month of June going into the event. Some neighborhoods in that area still have 2 feet of stagnant water in them even now...


Hey jedkins01 i'm in z-hills and the flying critters arent to to bad. they have sprayed twice so far.
Member Since: November 25, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 956
598. etxwx
6:09 PM GMT on July 04, 2012
From spaceweather.com:
4TH OF JULY FIREWORKS: Chances of an X-flare today are increasing as sunspot AR1515 develops a 'beta-gamma-delta' magnetic field that harbors energy for the most powerful explosions. The sunspot's magnetic canopy is crackling with almost-X class flares, the strongest so far being an M5-flare at 09:54 UT. Each "crackle" releases more energy than a billion atomic bombs, so these are 4th of July fireworks indeed.
The sunspot itself is huge, stretching more than 100,000 km (8 Earth-diameters) from end to end. This movie from NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory shows the behemoth growing and turning toward Earth over the past five days: link to movie at spaceweather.com
If any major eruptions do occur today, they will certainly be Earth-directed. The sunspot is directly facing our planet, so it is in position to cause radio blackouts, sudden ionospheric disturbances, and geomagnetic storms.
Member Since: September 4, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1482
597. severstorm
6:06 PM GMT on July 04, 2012
Quoting pottery:

BRILLIANT!
Good to know that there are Employers out there that are helping to set the pace in the realm of Stupid.
Hey pottery dont you know you cant fix stupid. Looks like big storms in CFL today
Member Since: November 25, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 956
596. nigel20
6:01 PM GMT on July 04, 2012
Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:
nigel. So far here in Puerto Rico,we have been thru scattered showers with a few cracks of thunder and yes,a few gusty winds in higher elevations. Let's see as the wave moves west,how much more rain will fall that is needed because of an extremely dry June.

Hey Tropics...hopefully the NW Caribbean will get some relief from the drought conditions. It's pretty dry here in the Jamaica though.

Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 8026

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.