The June 2012 U.S. heat wave: one of the greatest in recorded history

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 7:34 PM GMT on July 03, 2012

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Intense heat continues to bake a large portion of the U.S. this Tuesday, with portions of 17 states under heat advisories for dangerously high temperatures. The heat is particularly dangerous for the 1.4 million people still without power and air conditioning due to Friday's incredible derecho event, which is now being blamed for 23 deaths. The ongoing heat wave is one of the most intense and widespread in U.S. history, according to wunderground's weather historian, Christopher C. Burt. In his Sunday post, The Amazing June Heat Wave of 2012 Part 2: The Midwest and Southeast June 28-30, Mr. Burt documents that eighteen of the 298 locations (6%) that he follows closely because of their long period of record and representation of U.S. climate broke or tied their all-time heat records during the past week, and that "this is especially extraordinary since they have occurred in June rather than July or August when 95% of the previous all-time heat records have been set for this part of the country." The only year with more all-time heat records than 2012 is 1936, when 61 cities of the 298 locations (20%) set all-time heat records. The summer of 1936 was the hottest summer in U.S. history, and July 1936 was the hottest month in U.S. history.

According to wunderground analysis of the National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) extremes database, during June 2012, 11% of the country's 777 weather stations with a period of record of a century or more broke or tied all-time heat records for the month of June. Only 1936 (13% of June records broken or tied) and 1988 (12.5%) had a greater number of all-time monthly June records. I expect when NCDC releases their analysis of the June 2012 weather next week, they will rank the month as one of the top five hottest Junes in U.S. history.


Figure 1. Across the entire Continental U.S., 72% of the land area was classified as being in dry or drought conditions as of June 26, 2012. Conditions are not expected to improve much over the summer: the NOAA Climate Prediction Center’s latest drought outlook shows much of the U.S. in persistent drought conditions, with very few areas improving. The rains brought by Tropical Storm Debby did help out Florida and Georgia, however. Image credit: NOAA Environmental Visualization Laboratory.

The forecast: hot and dry
July is traditionally the hottest month of the year, and July 2012 is likely to set more all-time heat records. The latest predictions from the GFS and ECMWF models show that a ridge of high pressure and dry conditions will dominate the weather over about 80 - 90% of the country during the next two weeks, except for the Pacific Northwest and New England. This will bring wicked hot conditions to most of the nation, but no all-time heat records are likely to fall. However, around July 11, a sharp ridge of high pressure is expected to build in over the Western U.S., bringing the potential for crazy-hot conditions capable of toppling all-time heat records in many western states.

The intense heat and lack of rain, combined with soils that dried out early in the year due to lack of snowfall, have led to widespread areas of moderate to extreme drought over much of the nation's grain growing regions, from Kansas to Indiana. The USDA is reporting steadily deteriorating crop conditions for corn and soybeans, and it is likely that a multi-billion dollar drought disaster is underway in the Midwest.

The wunderground Extremes page has an interactive map that allows one to look at the records for the 298 U.S. cities that Mr. Burt tracks. Click on the "Wunderground U.S. Records" button to see them.

Quiet in the Atlantic
There are no threat areas to discuss in the Atlantic, and none of the reliable computer models are developing a tropical cyclone over the next seven days.

Have a great 4th of July holiday, everyone, and I'll be back Thursday with a new post.

Jeff Masters

Sheep Mountain Ablaze! (turbguy)
The Squirrel Creek Fire spread rapidly last night, and topped the crest of Sheep Mountain as we watched last night. This is a telephoto shot from our west patio. The line of light below the fire is Harmony Wyoming. Sheep mountain is 22 air miles away from us...
Sheep Mountain Ablaze!
Derecho Damage (apphotos)
A woman makes a photograph of Mike Wolfe's pick-up truck as it lies under a fallen tree in front of his house after a severe storm in Falls Church, Va., Saturday, June 30, 2012. Wolfe's daughter Samanth Wolfe created the for sale sign as a joke. (AP Photo/Cliff Owen)
Derecho Damage
Derecho in Catlett (Lokigrins2)
Ground strike reflected off car
Derecho in Catlett
Mink Creek Fire (troxygirl48)
Fire currently burning on mink creek to johnny creek. the fire has claimed 10 house that i know of. My hearts go out to the families.
Mink Creek Fire

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Forgot about the one in 1995:

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/misc/AbtDerechos/casepage s/jul1995derechopage.htm#2nd1995

Plenty of historical derechos are listed on this page from the SPC: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/misc/AbtDerechos/derechof acts.htm#historic
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Quoting southernstorm:


why dont u go back to watching fox news? and dont say u dont watch it. finally raining in mississippi coast. a little.



Why don't you learn to type properly?
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Quoting Grothar:

This system looks interesting. Anyone know what the SSTs are in the vicinity of that mass of convection off the East coast? Could it eventually develop like Cindy of last year or even Chris?
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Quoting Jedkins01:



lol it seems there is often a lot of hype over thunderstorms in the far north, they NWS members up there are pretty bored that they gotta wait till July to see thunderstorms so everything becomes a bit worse than it is ;)

I remember being up north in the summer and there wad a line of thunderstorms that came through, almost every cell seemed to have warning box and it seemed just like your average thunderstorm we get down here on the sea breeze. Don't get me wrong it was a strong line of thunderstorms and was fun to watch but it didn't seem to deserve like 20 warning boxes consider it seemed no different than the daily sea breeze stuff here, except it got cooler and didn't rain quite as hard, and most lightning was cloud based.

btw I'm obviously joking about the NWS thing, and I'm not saying they don't get some really nasty thunderstorms in the summer, obviously cause there was that recent derecho which was really intense, but you get my point. Maybe they are more cautious and issue more warnings because people aren't as ware of them up there, I mean honestly I really doubt the same line of storms would have killed 10 plus people if it swept through the gulf coast and Florida...


These lines have potential to be severe, and sometimes they do produce straight-line wind damage, but often they don't. I agree with you, J, it seems they over-warn a little bit too much. The last time we had widespread wind damage on a large scale was 1999, which lead to the wildfire in northern Minnesota (Pagami Creek, 92,000 acres) last fall.

The one before that that comes to mind was the July 4th derecho of 1977. Dr. Fujita studied that storm.

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/misc/AbtDerechos/casepage s/jul41977page.htm
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Quoting WxGeekVA:


We BBQ all the time, and nobody in my family is from the South. I do admit that MOST of the good "American" foods are made in the South though.


of course....
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Quoting BobWallace:


So you going to sit on your hands and watch it play out?

Or are you going to do something to keep the worst from happening?


There is nothing that can really be done at this point. The invention of agriculture, the Industrial Revolution, unregulated use of oil, coal and other fossil fuels, massive improvements in public health, better pre-natal care, you name it and it has brought us to an uninhabitable planet and mass extinction. You need to read Overshoot by Will Catton and he will set you straight. In a way, its kinda a relief to realize that there is no hope, that way you don't have to listen to charlatans, etc. who will promise salvation through faith, technology, etc. In the end our planet was going to go anyhow so its just a little sooner!
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Quoting 47n91w:


A wind gust in Orr, MN up to 42 mph as the line went through. So far, no indication of damaging winds. Looks worse than it is. But it is blowing through a wilderness with plenty of people remotely camping in tents and canoeing on the boundary waters... so 42mph would be challenging for them.



lol maybe NWS members up there are pretty bored that they gotta wait till July to see thunderstorms so everything becomes a bit worse than it is ;)

I remember being up north in the summer and there was a line of thunderstorms that came through, almost every cell seemed to have warning box and it seemed just like your average thunderstorm we get down here on the sea breeze. Don't get me wrong it was a strong line of thunderstorms and was fun to watch but it didn't seem to deserve like 20 warning boxes consider it seemed no different than the daily sea breeze stuff here, except it got cooler and didn't rain quite as hard, and most lightning was cloud based.

btw I'm obviously joking about the NWS thing, and I'm not saying they don't get some really nasty thunderstorms in the summer, obviously cause there was that recent derecho which was really intense, but you get my point. Maybe they are more cautious and issue more warnings because people aren't as aware of them up there, I mean honestly I really doubt the same line of storms would have killed 10 plus people if it swept through the gulf coast and Florida even as bad as it was...
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Quoting redwagon:

The difference is the South would have BBQing the freezer meats from day .5 so the article would be reading.. 'amidst the sweet, smoky smell of wood-fired grills, seared ribeyes and roasted chicken and cued-onions filled the night air, pots of bubbling beans and pans of jalapeno cornbread welcomed the exhausted but spirited power restorations crews...'


We BBQ all the time, and nobody in my family is from the South. I do admit that MOST of the good "American" foods are made in the South though.
Member Since: September 3, 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3468
Quoting WxGeekVA:


Yeah, it is that bad. It's because in DC they have underground power lines and in the suburbs the power lines are on poles. The trees took down so many of the lines there are still 100k people without power, and 11k more lost it (again) last night in some non-severe storms. So yes, that article does draw on truth.

The difference is the South would have BBQing the freezer meats from day .5 so the article would be reading.. 'amidst the sweet, smoky smell of wood-fired grills, seared ribeyes and roasted chicken and cued-onions filled the night air, pots of bubbling beans and pans of jalapeno cornbread welcomed the exhausted but spirited power restorations crews...'
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BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042012
200 PM PDT WED JUL 04 2012

...DEPRESSION GRADUALLY GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.5N 107.8W
ABOUT 445 MI...715 KM SSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 665 MI...1070 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
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WTPZ44 KNHC 042037
TCDEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042012
200 PM PDT WED JUL 04 2012

THE DEPRESSION HAS CHANGED LITTLE DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS.
HOWEVER...THERE ARE SIGNS NOW THAT THE NORTHERLY VERTICAL SHEAR IS
BEGINNING TO ABATE AS MODEST CONVECTION HAS RECENTLY BEGUN TO
DEVELOP IN THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE WITH A SMALL BURST OF CONVECTION
ALSO HAVING DEVELOPED NEAR THE CENTER. THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS
STILL DIFFICULT TO DETERMINE...BUT A FORTUITOUS 1628Z ASCAT
OVERPASS INDICATED THE CENTER OF THE ELONGATED CIRCULATION WAS
LOCATED VERY NEAR THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK. ALTHOUGH SATELLITE
INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE A CONSENSUS T2.5/35 KT FROM TAFB AND
SAB...AND T2.4/34 KT FROM UW-CIMSS ADT...THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS
BEING MAINTAINED AT 30 KT BASED ON THE RECENT ASCAT DATA THAT ONLY
SHOWED 25-KT WINDS IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT. EVEN ALLOWING FOR THE
LOW BIAS OF ASCAT...THE SURFACE WINDS SHOULD BE NO MORE THAN 30 KT.

THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 295/11 KT. THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO
GRADUALLY TURN MORE WESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 2 DAYS AS THE SYSTEM
MOVES ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A DEEP-LAYER SUBTROPICAL
RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. NHC MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS IN EXCELLENT
AGREEMENT ON THIS DEVELOPING TRACK SCENARIO. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST
TRACK IS SITUATED IN THE MIDDLE OF THE TIGHTLY PACKED GUIDANCE
ENVELOPE AND LIES CLOSE TO THE CONSENSUS MODELS TVCN AND TV15.

MODERATE NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR THAT HAS
BEEN HINDERING DEVELOPMENT OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS IS FORECAST
BY ALL OF THE GLOBAL AND REGIONAL MODELS TO GRADUALLY SUBSIDE...AND
AFTER 24 HOURS THE SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO BE LESS THAN 10 KT. THIS
SHOULD ALLOW FOR AT LEAST MODEST STRENGTHENING THROUGH 72 HOURS
WHILE THE CYCLONE REMAINS OVER WARM SSTS AND IN MOIST MID-LEVEL
CONDITIONS. HOWEVER...BY 96 HOURS AND BEYOND...THE SYSTEM IS
FORECAST TO MOVE OVER SUB-25C SSTS AND INTO A MORE STABLE
THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT...WHICH SHOULD INDUCE STEADY WEAKENING.
THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY
AND REMAINS ABOVE THE STATISTICAL GUIDANCE AND CLOSE TO A BLEND OF
THE HWRF AND GFS MODELS...WHICH INDICATE A HURRICANE BY 72 HOURS.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 04/2100Z 13.5N 107.8W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 05/0600Z 14.0N 109.3W 35 KT 40 MPH
24H 05/1800Z 14.5N 111.3W 40 KT 45 MPH
36H 06/0600Z 14.8N 113.3W 45 KT 50 MPH
48H 06/1800Z 14.9N 115.4W 55 KT 65 MPH
72H 07/1800Z 15.0N 119.4W 65 KT 75 MPH
96H 08/1800Z 15.3N 123.7W 55 KT 65 MPH
120H 09/1800Z 16.1N 128.4W 45 KT 50 MPH

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

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.
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Quoting TomTaylor:
Thanks Joe.

Hope the weather is nice up in your parts cause down here at the coast its completely cloudy, no signs of it breaking either. Lousy beach day for all the people going to the beach for the 4th lol


Nice and sunny! Monsoon flow getting closer,hoping for a storm or 2 during the next week.
Member Since: September 18, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 5115
I'm going to Bolling's AFB to see the fireworks tonight.Hope thunderstorms don't get to server.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 16415
Quoting bappit:

Because people will otherwise complain that the NHC folks are blind as bats or are willfully ignoring the obvious. The NHC can't win.
thats 0 within the next 48 hr.
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Quoting biowizard:

Love it - though you've really offended me ...

... I was about to post exactly the same image, but you beat me to it!!! LOL!!!

Brian


Well if you were about to post that image, I take it you are a Redditor?
Member Since: September 3, 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3468
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:


except for the chaos.
its still orderly, people just have to find cool elsewhere


The chef of the Eruptions blog, Erik Klemetti, had someway to evacuate with his young family. Don't know whether you've noticed it.
Link
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Quoting WxGeekVA:
On the topic of the Higgs Boson:



Hope I don't offend anyone

Love it - though you've really offended me ...

... I was about to post exactly the same image, but you beat me to it!!! LOL!!!

Brian
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Quoting GeorgiaStormz:


except for the chaos.
its still orderly, people just have to find cool elsewhere


Well there WERE people asleep on the beds in the Macy's at the mall on Saturday, which I've never seen before. It wasn't that chaotic, but it wan't orderly either.
Member Since: September 3, 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3468
There could be falling refrigerators Georgia Stormz, we just don't know! Failing obviously but funny none the less.
Member Since: April 18, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2437
Quoting WxGeekVA:


Yeah, it is that bad. It's because in DC they have underground power lines and in the suburbs the power lines are on poles. The trees took down so many of the lines there are still 100k people without power, and 11k more lost it (again) last night in some non-severe storms. So yes, that article does draw on truth.


except for the chaos.
its still orderly, people just have to find cool elsewhere
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Quoting WxGeekVA:


Yeah, it is that bad. It's because in DC they have underground power lines and in the suburbs the power lines are on poles. The trees took down so many of the lines there are still 100k people without power, and 11k more lost it (again) last night in some non-severe storms. So yes, that article does draw on truth.


Sorry to hear that!
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Quoting barbamz:
Doh, is it really that bad? Following german article (first parts) translated by google. Please excuse my laziness .... :-)

Powercut in Washington - Fourth World on the 4th July
Refrigerators from falling, rotting corpse smell steaks spread, clinics operate in emergency: The U.S. capital is in chaos. Guilt is a power failure in the sweltering summer heat. By Uwe Schmitt

The fall in the Fourth World, which bristles with technology and without power is helpless as Blechh%uFFFDlums overtook the capital in the way of stage lightning illuminated by night 30 June. "Derecho" learned on the morning of Saturday lawyers, lobbyists and legislators to transistor radios, "Derecho" the storm-front was a phenomenon with wind speeds of 140 kilometers, which extended over hundreds of miles.

The capital of the last remaining superpower, has since experienced, what they also suffered regularly from Winterblizzards: Power failure for millions, "Powercut" juice-less infirmity.


Memories of "Katrina"

While on Saturday, temperatures above 40 degrees increase, the people cursed and and the phone died in Washington, told in an ironic justice: the have-nots in the black, poor, almost treeless areas of the South and East had "power", the wooded gloriously millionaire suburbs in Maryland and Virginia were powerless.

Welcome to the Fourth World. More than a million people in the Washington metropolitan area, five days later, on the national "Fourth of July", still without electricity. They sleep in their sweat, when the roaring diesel generators allow better-armed neighbors and, during the day, the saws of the emergency crews sleep.

At the worst it has caught those who rushed to the days of vacation in their homes and were energized by the sweet smell of corpses rotting steaks and rotting vegetables.

Read more in German and translate it by google or something


Yeah, it is that bad. It's because in DC they have underground power lines and in the suburbs the power lines are on poles. The trees took down so many of the lines there are still 100k people without power, and 11k more lost it (again) last night in some non-severe storms. So yes, that article does draw on truth.
Member Since: September 3, 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3468
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:



no falling refrigerators

and the rotting steaks arent everywhere.
but it was bad.
the capital is not really in chaos


Giggle means: refrigerators are on the fritz ;-)
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Quoting barbamz:
Doh, is it really that bad? Following german article (first parts) tranlated by google. Please excuse my laziness .... :-)

Powercut in Washington - Fourth World on the 4th July
Refrigerators from falling, rotting corpse smell steaks spread, clinics operate in emergency: The U.S. capital is in chaos. Guilt is a power failure in the sweltering summer heat. By Uwe Schmitt

The fall in the Fourth World, which bristles with technology and without power is helpless as Blechh



no falling refrigerators

and the rotting steaks arent everywhere.
but it was bad.
the capital is not really in chaos
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Quoting HurricaneHunterJoe:


Get well soon neighbor!!!!
Thanks Joe.

Hope the weather is nice up in your parts cause down here at the coast its completely cloudy, no signs of it breaking either. Lousy beach day for all the people going to the beach for the 4th lol
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The Atlantic saw the east pacific with a storm with another one on the way and decided to get active.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 16415
Derived from the 4July6pmGMT (NHC) ATCF data for TropicalDepressionFourEast:
12.8n106.5w has been re-evaluated&altered*
12.7n106.3w-13.2n107.3w are now the most recent positions

Its vector had changed from 13.2mph(21.2km/h) WNWest to 12.6mph(20.3km/h) WNWest
MaxSusWinds had held steady at 30knots(35mph)56km/h
And minimum pressure had decreased from 1006millibars to 1005millibars

For those who like to visually track TD.4E's path...
CSL is CaboSanLucas :: The NNEasternmost dot on the unconnected dumbbell is IslaSocorro

ESEasternmost dot on the kinked line is where Invest96E was initiated
WNWesternmost dot on the kinked line is where Invest96E became TD.4E
ESEasternmost dot on the longest connected straight line-segment is TD.4E's most recent position

The longest connected straight line-segment is the straightline projection through TD.4E's 2 most recent positions to its closest approach to IslaSocorro
SSWesternmost dot on the unconnected dumbbell is 4July12pmGMT straightline projection's endpoint
At 4July6pmGMT, TD.4E was heading toward passage 230miles(370kilometres) SSWest of IslaSocorro in ~1day4hours from now

Copy&paste csl, 18.694n110.97w-16.229n112.449w, zlo, lzc, zih, aca, 9.2n95.5w- 9.2n96.4w- 9.3n97.3w- 9.5n98.1w- 9.8n99.1w- 10.1n100.0w- 10.3n100.4w- 10.5n101.0w- 10.8n101.8w- 11.1n102.8w- 11.6n104.1w- 12.1n105.3w, 12.1n105.3w-12.7n106.3w, 12.7n106.3w-13.2n107.3w, 12.7n106.3w-15.687n112.482w, 18.694n110.97w-15.687n112.482w into the GreatCircleMapper for more information
The previous mapping for comparison

* The previous vector and endpoint of straightline projection have been corrected on this mapping through recalculation using the most recent positions
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Doh, is it really that bad? Following german article (first parts) translated by google. Please excuse my laziness .... :-)

Powercut in Washington - Fourth World on the 4th July
Refrigerators from falling, rotting corpse smell steaks spread, clinics operate in emergency: The U.S. capital is in chaos. Guilt is a power failure in the sweltering summer heat. By Uwe Schmitt

The fall in the Fourth World, which bristles with technology and without power is helpless as Blechhuettenslums overtook the capital in the way of stage lightning illuminated by night 30 June. "Derecho" learned on the morning of Saturday lawyers, lobbyists and legislators to transistor radios, "Derecho" the storm-front was a phenomenon with wind speeds of 140 kilometers, which extended over hundreds of miles.

The capital of the last remaining superpower, has since experienced, what they also suffered regularly from Winterblizzards: Power failure for millions, "Powercut" juice-less infirmity.


Memories of "Katrina"

While on Saturday, temperatures above 40 degrees increase, the people cursed and and the phone died in Washington, told in an ironic justice: the have-nots in the black, poor, almost treeless areas of the South and East had "power", the wooded gloriously millionaire suburbs in Maryland and Virginia were powerless.

Welcome to the Fourth World. More than a million people in the Washington metropolitan area, five days later, on the national "Fourth of July", still without electricity. They sleep in their sweat, when the roaring diesel generators allow better-armed neighbors and, during the day, the saws of the emergency crews sleep.

At the worst it has caught those who rushed to the days of vacation in their homes and were energized by the sweet smell of corpses rotting steaks and rotting vegetables.

Read more in German and translate it by google or something
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Quoting TomTaylor:

Oil and it's derivatives are not forever. They're a short term solution to a long term problem (our energy demand). Realville 2.0.

And instead of making good American jobs for the oil industry, why not do it for the solar industry?


Get well soon neighbor!!!!
Member Since: September 18, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 5115
Quoting MAweatherboy1:
This storm is like a mini derecho... very impressive.

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
256 PM CDT WED JUL 4 2012

MNC061-071-137-042015-
/O.CON.KDLH.SV.W.0100.000000T0000Z-120704T2015Z/
KOOCHICHING MN-ITASCA MN-ST. LOUIS MN-
256 PM CDT WED JUL 4 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN ST.
LOUIS...NORTHEASTERN ITASCA AND SOUTHEASTERN KOOCHICHING COUNTIES
UNTIL 315 PM CDT...

AT 253 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS
IN EXCESS OF 80 MPH
. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM CRANE LAKE TO 7 MILES NORTH OF SOUDAN TO 7 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF WAHLSTEN TO CHISHOLM...MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
WAHLSTEN...VIRGINIA...SOUDAN AND LEONIDAS AROUND 300 PM.
WYNNE LAKE...BEAR HEAD LAKE...CUMMINGS LAKE AND BIG MOOSE LAKE
AROUND 305 PM.
LAKE AGNES...BEAR ISLAND LAKE...SHAGAWA LAKE AND BURNTSIDE LAKE
AROUND 310 PM.
HIGH LAKE...MESABA AND ELY AROUND 315 PM.


A wind gust in Orr, MN up to 42 mph as the line went through. So far, no indication of damaging winds. Looks worse than it is. But it is blowing through a wilderness with plenty of people remotely camping in tents and canoeing on the boundary waters... so 42mph would be challenging for them.
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Quoting Grothar:

We sure have a lot of atmospheric lift for being in a no-lift period.
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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
312 PM EDT WED JUL 4 2012

DCZ001-MDZ003>007-009>011-013-014-016>018-501-502 -VAZ025>031-036>040-
042-050>057-501>504-WVZ050>053-055-501>506-042200 -
FREDERICK MD-MONTGOMERY MD-WASHINGTON MD-CHARLES MD-KING GEORGE VA-
ORANGE VA-NELSON VA-RAPPAHANNOCK VA-SHENANDOAH VA-WARREN VA-
EASTERN HIGHLAND VA-GREENE VA-CULPEPER VA-CLARKE VA-MADISON VA-
PAGE VA-EASTERN PENDLETON WV-MORGAN WV-JEFFERSON WV-HARDY WV-
HAMPSHIRE WV-BERKELEY WV-HARFORD MD-CARROLL MD-NORTHERN FAUQUIER VA-
SOUTHERN FAUQUIER VA-EXTREME WESTERN ALLEGANY MD-
CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALLEGANY MD-WESTERN MINERAL WV-EASTERN MINERAL
WV-WESTERN GRANT WV-EASTERN GRANT WV-SOUTHERN BALTIMORE MD-NORTHERN
BALTIMORE MD-DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA DC-
PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK VA-STAFFORD VA-
PRINCE GEORGES MD-ANNE ARUNDEL MD-HOWARD MD-ST. MARYS MD-
WESTERN HIGHLAND VA-WESTERN PENDLETON WV-LOUDOUN VA-ROCKINGHAM VA-
ALBEMARLE VA-FAIRFAX VA-ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA VA-
SPOTSYLVANIA VA-AUGUSTA VA-FREDERICK VA-CALVERT MD-
312 PM EDT WED JUL 4 2012

...THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP ACROSS MUCH OF MARYLAND...THE DISTRICT
OF COLUMBIA...EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA...MARYLAND PORTION OF THE
CHESAPEAKE BAY AND NORTHERN AND CENTRAL VIRGINIA THIS FOURTH OF JULY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

AT 310 PM EDT...SKIES ARE BEGINNING TO CLOUD UP AS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS START TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE CHARLOTTESVILLE...
WASHINGTON...CUMBERLAND...AND BALTIMORE REGION. THE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME MORE NUMEROUS BETWEEN 400 PM AND 600 PM
AND CONTINUE THROUGH MID EVENING. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME
SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL...ALONG WITH FREQUENT
CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING.

IT IS ANTICIPATED THAT AS THESE STORMS INCREASE IN COVERAGE LATE
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL
ALSO INCREASE. RESIDENTS AND VISITORS TO THE REGION SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION IF SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCHES AND WARNINGS
ARE ISSUED LATER TODAY. THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING THUNDERSTORMS
IS AN INTERIOR ROOM OR BASEMENT OF A STURDY BUILDING.

HEAT INDICES WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 90S IN THE ALLEGHENY HIGHLANDS
AND SHENANDOAH VALLEY TO NEAR 105 ALONG THE INTERSTATE 95 CORRIDOR
BETWEEN BALTIMORE MARYLAND AND FREDERICKSBURG VIRGINIA. TAKE EXTRA
PRECAUTIONS AGAINST THE HEAT IF YOU SPENDING TIME OUTSIDE TODAY
ENJOYING THE FOURTH OF JULY.
Member Since: September 3, 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3468
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event start
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 169 Comments: 53296
Ya this storm in Northern Minnesota has formed a perfect reverse C. Looks incredibly mean. Satellite image of it is pretty amazing.
Member Since: April 18, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2437
Toronto Pearson Int'l Airport
Date: 4:00 PM EDT Wednesday 4 July 2012
Condition: Partly Cloudy
Pressure: 29.75 inches
Tendency: falling
Visibility: 15 miles
Air Quality Health Index: 5

Temperature: 96.6°F
Dewpoint: 68.2°F
Humidity: 40 %
Wind: NW 16 gust 22 mph
Humidex: 110
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 169 Comments: 53296
This storm is like a mini derecho... very impressive.

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
256 PM CDT WED JUL 4 2012

MNC061-071-137-042015-
/O.CON.KDLH.SV.W.0100.000000T0000Z-120704T2015Z/
KOOCHICHING MN-ITASCA MN-ST. LOUIS MN-
256 PM CDT WED JUL 4 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN ST.
LOUIS...NORTHEASTERN ITASCA AND SOUTHEASTERN KOOCHICHING COUNTIES
UNTIL 315 PM CDT...

AT 253 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS
IN EXCESS OF 80 MPH
. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM CRANE LAKE TO 7 MILES NORTH OF SOUDAN TO 7 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF WAHLSTEN TO CHISHOLM...MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
WAHLSTEN...VIRGINIA...SOUDAN AND LEONIDAS AROUND 300 PM.
WYNNE LAKE...BEAR HEAD LAKE...CUMMINGS LAKE AND BIG MOOSE LAKE
AROUND 305 PM.
LAKE AGNES...BEAR ISLAND LAKE...SHAGAWA LAKE AND BURNTSIDE LAKE
AROUND 310 PM.
HIGH LAKE...MESABA AND ELY AROUND 315 PM.
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AAARRRGGG. Dont rain on my parade....
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Quoting PensacolaDoug:


Just think of all those good American jobs that would be created if the pipeline from Canada was approved. Oil and it's derivatives are here to stay. Realville.

Oil and it's derivatives are not forever. They're a short term solution to a long term problem (our energy demand). Realville 2.0.

And instead of making good American jobs for the oil industry, why not do it for the solar industry?
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I haven't been posting on the blog at all in the last week because I have been sick with a pneumonia. But I wanted to stop by today and wish everyone a happy 4th of July!

And I've also been reading back on the blog. I read that Wunderground has been purchased by The Weather Channel. Obviously I'd like to congratulate Jeff, however, I also hope that this blog, the blog community, as well as all the weather data on the site, from the personal weather stations to the wundermap, stay in tact. I really hope that The Weather Channel doesn't try and commercialize this site and try and dumb down and simplify everything in order to make it more flashy and visually appealing for the general public.

Anyway, on a lighter note I also saw the crazy weatherman's forecast TAWX posted. Funniest weather-related video I've ever seen, here it is again for anyone who missed it.




By the way, I hope your mom is doing well and I wish her the best, TAWX. Also, Kori I hope all goes well with your current situation. It's pretty sad that in our advanced civilization a fair portion of the population will continue to discriminate, hate, or dislike people based on their sexual orientation forcing those people to hide their sexual orientation.

Quoting KoritheMan:
Well I did some thinking, and I have an idea of what I will do. Nothing drastic, so don't worry. I would rather not discuss it though until I see how the situation unfolds. I WILL keep you guys updated, though. I promise. I love each and every one of you. Even you, Cody. ;)

I greatly appreciate everyone's concern and well-wishes. I will try and respond to my numerous WU mails tomorrow.

Until then, I leave you all with a blog I did while thinking. I'm a strong person, I can't let something like this keep me down!

This will be my last post (I won't even lurk) until tomorrow. See ya.
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:



swirlapalooza....
or maybe it should be swirl up a loser, cause thats what that swirl is
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**Latest SIISE**
Exclusive; New SIISE Estimate of AOI Neat The Lesser Antilles 18z 7/4
http://035d83b.netsolhost.com/

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Toronto Pearson Int'l Airport
Date: 3:00 PM EDT Wednesday 4 July 2012
Condition: Mostly Cloudy
Pressure: 29.76 inches
Tendency: falling
Visibility: 15 miles
Air Quality Health Index: 5

Temperature: 95.2°F
Dewpoint: 68.4°F
Humidity: 42 %
Wind: NW 20 mph
Humidex: 109
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 169 Comments: 53296
Quoting Grothar:


Sure!! (How you doing Wash?)
I am doing good Gro.Currently at this small get together me and the fam are having.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 16415
Quoting NCHurricane2009:


You can find the answer on my special update blog post....


I read it before and commented on it. Good blog.
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Quoting ncstorm:


12z Euro..severe weather outbreak shaping up



outbreak?
Maybe i am missing something
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Quoting PensacolaDoug:


Electric cars run on coal and natural gas.
Solar panels? I guess we can buy them by the gazillion from China now that the manufacturers here have folded even tho they recieved about a billion bucks from Obama. Just think of all those good American jobs that would be created if the pipeline from Canada was approved. Oil and it's derivatives are here to stay. Realville.


why dont u go back to watching fox news? and dont say u dont watch it. finally raining in mississippi coast. a little.
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In the 24 hr frontal position product they pinch it off into a low with an occluded front.

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Quoting WxGeekVA:


WHOA THERE WHERE DID THAT COME FROM?!?!?!


You can find the answer on my special update blog post....
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Blob with spin shown by Grothar here off the NC coast will or won't develop? NHC determining what's going to happen with it now perhaps? Maybe another yellow circle tonight? Atlantic side giving us more action than we expected two days ago that's for sure.
Member Since: April 18, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2437

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.