Extreme storms and extreme heat hit the U.S.

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 5:50 PM GMT on June 30, 2012

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A violent line of organized severe thunderstorms called a derecho swept across the U.S. from Illinois to Virginia on Friday, damaging houses, toppling trees, bringing down power lines. The storms killed six people in Virginia, two in New Jersey, and one in Maryland, and left at least 3.4 million people without power. The thunderstorms in a derecho (from the Spanish phrase for "straight ahead") create violent winds that blow in a straight line. The traditional definition of a derecho is a thunderstorm complex that produces a damaging wind swath of at least 240 miles (about 400 km), featuring a concentrated area of thunderstorm wind gusts exceeding 58 mph (93 km/hr.) A warm weather phenomenon, derechos occur mostly in summer, especially June and July in the Northern Hemisphere. They can occur at any time of the year and occur as frequently at night as in the daylight hours. As seen on our wundermap with the "go back in time" feature turned on, Friday's derecho began near Chicago in the early afternoon, then marched east-southeast, peaking in intensity over Virginia and Washington D.C. on Friday evening. The derecho was unusually intense due to the extreme heat, which helped create an unstable atmosphere with plenty of energy to fuel severe thunderstorms.


Figure 1. Radar image from our wundermap with the "go back in time" feature turned on for 11 pm EDT Friday June 29, 2012, showing the derecho over Washington D.C. and Baltimore. Click on the "hour" button above the wundermap to advance the time by one hour to watch the progress of the derecho across the country.


Figure 2. NOAA's Storm Prediction Center (SPC) logged 871 reports of damaging winds on Friday. Twenty one of these reports were for winds over 80 mph. The highest wind gust was in Oswego, Illinois: 92 mph.



Figure 3. A dramatic change in the weather in Buckeye land: the temperature at Ohio State University in Columbus, Ohio dropped from 97°F to 68° after passage of Friday's derecho. The storm brought a wind gust of 82 mph to campus, and 0.86" of rain.

Historic heat wave topples Dust Bowl-era extreme heat records
A historic heat wave on a scale and intensity not seen in the U.S. since the great heat waves of the 1930s Dust Bowl era set new all-time heat records for at least ten major cities Friday. According to wunderground's weather historian Christopher C. Burt, fifteen of the 303 major cities he maintains records for on the wunderground extremes page have set all-time heat records in the past four days. The only year with more all-time heat records is 1936, when 61 cities set all-time heat records. In 2011, which had the 2nd warmest summer in U.S. history, only ten of the 303 cities set all-time heat records during the entire summer. With the the hottest month of the year (July) still to come, 2012 threatens to rival the great Dust Bowl summer of 1936 for extreme heat.

All-time records for any date tied or broken on Friday:

109° Nashville, TN (old record 107° 7/28/1952
109° Columbia, SC (old record 107° on two previous occasions)
109° Cairo, IL (old record 106° on 8/9/1930)
108° Paducah, KY (ties same on 7/17/1942
106° Chattanooga, TN (ties same on 7/28/1952)
105° Raleigh, NC (ties same on 8/21/2007 and 8/18/1988)
105° Greenville, SC (old record 104° 8/10/2007 although 106° was recorded by the Signal Service in July 1887)
104° Charlotte, NC (ties same on 8/9 and 10/2007 and 9/6/1954)
102° Bristol, TN (ties same on 7/28/1952-this site now known as `Tri-State Airport')
109° Athens, GA. This is just 1° shy of the Georgia state record for June of 110° set at Warrenton in 1959.

All-time state June heat records set Friday:

113° Smyrna, TN (old record 110° in Etowah in June 1936)
109° Cairo, IL (old record 108° in Palestine in June 1954)

Also of note: Atlanta, GA hit 104° (its all-time June record), and just 1° shy of its all-time record of 105° set on 7/17/1980. The forecast for Atlanta on Saturday calls for a high of 105°F, which would tie for the hottest day in the city's history.

Wunderground's weather historian Christopher C. Burt has a new post called The Amazing June Heat Wave of 2012 Part 1: The West and Plains June 23 - 27 summarizing the early portion of this week's historic heat wave. He plans to make a follow-up post on Sunday summarizing the records set on Friday and Saturday.

Relatively quiet in the Atlantic
An area of heavy thunderstorms, associated with an upper level low pressure system, has developed in the Gulf of Mexico along the Texas coast. This disturbance will probably move ashore over Texas before development into a tropical depression can occur, and NHC is giving it a 0% chance of development. The tropical wave approaching the Lesser Antilles (Invest 97L) has dissipated due to dry air, and is no longer a threat. None of the reliable computer models are developing anything during the next seven days.

Jeff Masters

Chicago Shelf (LarrySmit)
Chicago Shelf
Summer Heat (gardner48197)
Summer Heat
Smokey Clouds (LarrySmit)
Asperatus Clouds
Smokey Clouds
And the Sky Opened Up! (webgal)
Much needed thunderstorms came through west-central Illinois late this evening. The lightning was absolutely incredible!
And the Sky Opened Up!

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Quoting TemplesOfSyrinxC4:


It's not all bad, businesses are just not even allowed to criticize the law or tell consumers that price increases that are passed on to them are a direct result of the carbon tax lest they risk an over $1 million Australian fine for doing so by the Gillard greenazi thought police, don't you wish you had a Bill of Rights and 1st amendment like we do here in the states where we can still say anything we want short of threats or yelling fire in a crowded theater without fear of repercussions and fines simply for speaking one's mind?
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2012-06-26/labor-warns- against-displaying-anti-carbon-tax-posters/4094048

I bet you are evenly concerned with manipulated gas prices or climate change (see current events). Or maybe not, because you work in the fossil energy sector or maybe you are just uninformed.

A carbon tax is the best way to get off of greenhouse gases.
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Nice blog entry NCHurricane2009
Member Since: April 18, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2437
good morning guys well I guess they really deactivated 97L however they may reactivate it when it reaches the central caribbean where conditions are much much better so for EX-97L I will still keep my eye on it but now it will be only one eye not two

but on other nots my other eye caught something else and that is the troical wave with a 1011 mb low near 33W has a strong spin and that I think has a very good shot of becoming 98L
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Morning MAweaterboy1, this heat just won't break. Interesting setup in the Atlantic and the wave that died, may not have. I'm looking forward to seeing what today brings, just not the heat.
Member Since: April 18, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2437
I have updated my tropical Atlantic blog...finally finding time to do so on my vacation....
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According to Long Range Expert Paul Pastelok, "Given the persistence of the large high pressure area producing the heat and dry conditions thus far, this will not be the last of widespread triple-digit readings this summer."

"While the heat will tend to be intermittent from the northern Plains to the Northeast, indications are that more of this sort of thing can continue from the southern and central Plains to the interior South in the coming weeks," Pastelok said.


I suspect a big GA drought is coming, especially if we dont see a hurricane.
Debby and Berly missed GA and we are 15in into a long term drought.
My lawn is already taking a hit from this last week and my flowers and vegetables are wilting.
We are supposed to be below average next week, only 95, but more humid.
Heat advisories might continue till the next high builds in.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9737
Quoting Tazmanian:



ok good i would give google chrome or firefox a try and see wish one would be better but i think google chrome will be the better one too go with has some time firefox can have a lot of bugs stills too be worked out


Google has a tendency to want to take over your computer by changing file associations, just make sure you pay attention as you install it and choose wisely.
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548. etxwx
Quoting Tribucanes:
Mosquitoes in most parts of the country are at very minimal levels due to heat and lack of rain. But parts of Florida are dealing with the buggers no doubt. Maine has em too bad. There's are way to big to be mosquitoes. Live fifty yards from a river here in Wisconsin and they have been non-existent. I'd take the rain and cooler temps. any day.

If you have a mosquito problem, consider putting up some bat houses. You can buy them ready made or there are free plans to build your own. We've put up four different houses over the last few years and last week I counted over 200 bats. After the welcome rains we had this this spring, the local mosquito population exploded. Then the bats returned (they are migratory) and the mosquito population dropped substantially. It can take a while to establish a bat colony, but it's worth it.
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Good morning... There isn't a single tropical cyclone anywhere on Earth today.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 84 Comments: 7924
Quoting AussieStorm:
Today marks the start of carbon pricing, it's C-Day

Today marks the start of carbon pricing - and, if the Opposition is to believed, the python squeeze that will strangle our economy.



Sheree Gibson and her cousin Lauren Doel have much in common. Both are in their 30s, and they each have three boisterous children.

But what sets these carbon-copy families apart is the carbon tax. There are tax cuts and assistance on offer from today, and in an analysis conducted for Agenda by the Office of Families, Community Services and Indigenous Affairs, Sheree will be better off; Lauren will be worse. And neither is happy about it.

Lauren's husband, Chris Doel, is an electrician earning about $100,000 while she works in financial services, pulling in about $58,000. The Heathcote couple earns just over $160,000 so they don't qualify for Family Tax Benefit A or B.

It also means they don't qualify for the family assistance package to offset the impact of the carbon tax.
Like everyone, the Doels and Gibsons face an estimated increase in the cost of living of $515 a year. Weekly, electricity will go up $3.50, gas $1.50 and food an extra $1.

The good news is from today, Doel will get a $300 tax cut because she earns less than $80,000, but that's it for assistance. The rub: the family will be $200 worse off. The government reckons they can afford to change their habits, like put in solar panels, or suck it up.

"Dealing with it, you know, week in week out is a real struggle already. And why bother working," the 30-year-old says.

Her cousin fled Sydney a few years ago for a sea change in Port Stephens.

Gibson, 35, is a full-time mum who earns about $10,000 a year doing odd jobs. Her husband, a police officer, earns $80,000-$90,000 depending on overtime. The family qualifies for Family Tax Benefits A and B.

They received the $100 initial payment in May, but they are set to receive the full $333 family assistance package and, come July 13, they will get an extra $600 in family payments. All up, they will be $400 in front.

"Thanks for the $400, but to be honest, it's not encouraging people to go to work if a two-income family is going to be worse off," she says.

At Soldiers Point, 39-year-old truck driver Ed Gilder earns a wage of $65,000 and his wife, Mel, earns $45,000. They have three children. The government says the family will get about $711 in household assistance - made up of tax cuts for each parent of about $300 and $111 in increased family payments. They will receive $200 in extra family payments when the Family Tax Benefit A boost starts.

They will also benefit from the new Schoolkids Bonus of $820 to help with school costs with the two older kids in primary school. School costs are expected to rise as a result of the tax.

"That's not too bad; I thought it would be much worse than that," Mel Gilder says.

The NSW Department of Education says it hasn't yet factored in the effect of the carbon tax, but many of the low-cost independent schools have done modelling to meet their future budgets.

Glen King, the education director for 11 independent schools run by the Seventh Day Adventists north of Sydney says the only sure thing is that everything will cost more. "The trouble is we don't know how much manufacturers will put their prices up on things like furniture, paper, photocopiers; they will all add a cost on that. All classrooms now have airconditioning as well, and power is set to rise. We can see a price increase of 10 per cent at the high end," he said.

The bottom line: for their 3000-plus students, they estimate a price rise of $40 to $60 per student per year.

Will the extra squeeze force people to cut back on discretionary spending, like that morning coffee? Suffolk Park cafe and bakery owner Sean Crilley knows his customers are already price-sensitive and he's determined not to pass on any extra costs.

So far, the only indicated price rise from a supplier came from Coca-Cola which said the cost price of its products would rise from July 1, but he expects all the ingredients that go into baking will go up.

"I believe everything will go up - the flour, the sugar - and electricity is going up 17 per cent, so we're investigating going fully solar," he said.

"We've also been told our refrigeration costs will quadruple from $80 a kilo for the gas to $320 per kilo, but how can anything quadruple like that?" he says.

Rather than pass on the costs, he is looking for ways to cut costs within the business.

"I'm going to replace the halogen lights with LED, my wife and I are doing more hours and we may have to turn off the alfresco heaters."

The carbon tax was meant to change behaviour, which is exactly what Crilley is doing.

It's not just power generators, mining firms and heavy industry that will make up the estimated 400-500 companies liable for the $23-a-tonne tax. Much of the revenue from the tax will be channelled back into clean energy investment. The Clean Technology Investment Program has $1 billion to help manufacturers become cleaner, more efficient and more sustainable.

Crafty Chef is a producer of high-quality frozen prepared meals and finger-foods. With its $500,000 grant from the Clean Technology Investment Program, the Penrith company has invested in cleaner refrigeration technology that uses ammonia as a refrigerant rather than high-carbon freon gas. The new technology will use less power and emits less carbon. When it switches to the new system in six weeks, it will halve its emissions.

"We're expecting to reduce our carbon footprint by 55 per cent for every kilo of food we produce," general manager Jitesh Gohil said. "It's not all bad."


It's not all bad, businesses are just not even allowed to criticize the law or tell consumers that price increases that are passed on to them are a direct result of the carbon tax lest they risk an over $1 million Australian fine for doing so by the Gillard greenazi thought police, don't you wish you had a Bill of Rights and 1st amendment like we do here in the states where we can still say anything we want short of threats or yelling fire in a crowded theater without fear of repercussions and fines simply for speaking one's mind?
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2012-06-26/labor-warns- against-displaying-anti-carbon-tax-posters/4094048
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Quoting MAweatherboy1:

I doubt it... The start of the month was actually quite cool for many... I believe we're finishing at or slightly below average here in the Northeast... Still a hot month compared to average for a lot of the country, but probably nothing historic.


Portland, ME: 63.2, -0.2
Concord, NH: 64.6, -0.3
Montpelier, VT: 62.2, -0.6
Pittsfield, MA: 63.8, 0.3
Albany, NY: 67.5, 0.3
Allantown, PA: 69.5, 0.4
Pittsburgh, PA: 1.4, 1.4
Trenton, NJ: 70.6, 0.1
Wilmington, DE: 72.3, 0.1
Baltimore, MD: 73.6, 1.2
St. Louis, MO: 77.8, 1.9
Atlanta, GA: 77.4, 0.1
Frankfort, KY: 72.0, -0.6

Yeah... the northeast was pretty much right on target for June since we didn't really have to deal with this latest heatwave. Once you start getting out passed Baltimore and Pittsburgh you start to notice more of a difference. But even places like Atlanta and Frankfort were pretty much at average for the month.
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Pfffff finally rain! Yesterday the whole morning it rained intermittently. No huge amounts but at least it breaks this drought. The sky is not really brown with SAL anymore. And there is more rain coming. Yay
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FSU that's a good question. How accurate is LeMoyne's comment, and is that an extreme event to have happen? Above my pay grade FSU.
Member Since: April 18, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2437
@ post 523, is this relatively common or something to be concerned with?

I feel like I just started watching "the Day After Tomorrow" on Wunderground...
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Barbados radar loop
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Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:


If that occurs,they can activate it again as it has occured with past invests.


lol i know thats not what am really emphasizing did u notice the barbados radar image loop anytime recently?
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Quoting caribbeantracker01:


hmm what if it comes back


If that occurs,they can activate it again as it has occured with past invests.

Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14545
Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:
Finnally,ATCF deactivates 97L.

BEGIN
NHC_ATCF
invest_DEACTIVATE_al972012.ren
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201207011156
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP


Oops,I clicked the wrong thing as I quoted myself.
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14545
Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:
Finnally,ATCF deactivated 97L.

BEGIN
NHC_ATCF
invest_DEACTIVATE_al972012.ren
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201207011156
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP


hmm what if it comes back
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Finnally,ATCF deactivated 97L.

BEGIN
NHC_ATCF
invest_DEACTIVATE_al972012.ren
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201207011156
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14545
Maybe NHC going to give us some circles to look at by the end of the day? Blog should be picking up steam headed into the next couple of days. I think we're in for some more big surprises.
Member Since: April 18, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2437
o
Member Since: April 18, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2437
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...........Looks like coastal texas is getting good drought relief finally
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Quoting islander101010:
OH YES..they are bad here now, the bats are loving this
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looks like the wave has a tiny spin on it and one near the islands but the eastern atl wave looks much more interesting almost looks like dean 07 at that location
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Good morning. After a few days with three mentions of different areas,the 8 AM EDT TWO has anything.But I like to see how that wave SW of CV islands do in the next 6-12 hours to see if it deserves to be mentioned in future outlooks.

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14545
Quoting islander101010:

it.would.ruin.your.month.maybe.life
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Quoting Tribucanes:
Mosquitoes in most parts of the country are at very minimal levels due to heat and lack of rain. But parts of Florida are dealing with the buggers no doubt. Maine has em too bad. There's are way to big to be mosquitoes. Live fifty yards from a river here in Wisconsin and they have been non-existent. I'd take the rain and cooler temps. any day................about.20yrs.ago.my.wife.got.enceph alitis.careful. folks.you.dont.want.that
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Last night the definitely NOT a tropical storm Debby did some thing freaky. After sipping at the jet stream yesterday and last night it turned into a freaky storm that out flowed back to near Bermuda almost all night... The storm ate the jet stream!

The result is that the jet stream broke in two places: near Gibraltar and N of England(?). The Meteostat movie at weather.com still shows the three loose ends lashing, pounding and scouring at least the skies of Europe, North Africa and even Russia.

You can see the freak that ate the jet stream on IR North Atlantic GEOS East views. It is the white mass that spans the North Atlantic (from tip of Canada to coast of England, France, Spain and Portugal) in the N Atl vis as of this post:


Where you might expect a jet stream... you see Debbie. Looks frozen but I am afraid it is full of tornados.

I thought the jet stream would squish post-TS Debby or just drag her off to the arctic. Never in a million years did I expect the result to be the other way around. By eating it, Debby severely broke the jet while watering a swath of the Western Atlantic with her outflow and shaping much of the airflow in the North Atlantic above 30N to feed herself.

More freak storms in Europe today through the night
Looks like Russia may have already had a long S-to-N derecho (satellite movie above).

Wherever any of those jet stream bits or Debby's internals even get close to touching down, it will be bad.
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North Cotabato getting hit by five twisters already this year, wow, perhaps they should relocate between OK and NEB. I think it'd be time to move for me if I lived there. I know the Philippines get their share, but that seems bordering on hard to fathom.
Member Since: April 18, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2437
Eastern Pacific is quite the sight to see, it's going to explode.
Member Since: April 18, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2437
Active day today coming up. What's up with this area of disturbance that went north to Texas, then south to Mexico, and is now trying to decide where to go. Any chances it goes back east? Severe weather last two days is a harbinger of things picking back up quickly. But at least it's providing rain for needed areas.
Member Since: April 18, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2437
Caribbean Storm Update June 26th English & Espa�ol

Video Update


Blog Update


Video Update

Link


Link
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URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
335 AM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

FLZ020>025-030>032-GAZ162>166-020000-
/O.NEW.KJAX.HT.Y.0003.120701T1600Z-120702T0000Z/
HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-NASSAU-DUVAL-UNI ON-BRADFORD-CLAY-
ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-INLAND CAMDEN-COASTAL CAMDEN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JASPER...LIVE OAK...LAKE CITY...
MACCLENNY...FERNANDINA BEACH...JACKSONVILLE...LAKE BUTLER...
STARKE...GREEN COVE SPRINGS...STATENVILLE...HOMERVILLE...
FOLKSTON...WOODBINE...ST MARYS
335 AM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS ISSUED A HEAT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING.

* TEMPERATURE...HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. MAXIMUM HEAT INDEX VALUES
106 TO 112.

* IMPACTS...CHILDREN AND PETS SHOULD NEVER BE LEFT UNATTENDED IN
VEHICLES UNDER ANY CIRCUMSTANCES. THIS IS ESPECIALLY TRUE
DURING WARM OR HOT WEATHER WHEN CAR INTERIORS CAN REACH LETHAL
TEMPERATURES IN A MATTER OF MINUTES. BEAT THE HEAT...CHECK THE
BACKSEAT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HEAT ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN THE COMBINATION OF HOT
TEMPERATURES AND HIGH HUMIDITIES CREATES HEAT INDICES OF
108 DEGREES OR HIGHER. THE HEAT INDEX IS A MEASURE OF HOW HOT IT
FEELS WHEN THE EFFECT OF HUMIDITY COMBINE WITH THE TEMPERATURE.
HIGH HEAT INDEX VALUES CAN CREATE DANGEROUSLY HOT CONDITIONS
WHERE INDIVIDUALS MAY BECOME CRITICALLY EXHAUSTED IF OUTDOORS.
DRINK PLENTY OF FLUIDS...STAY IN AN AIR-CONDITIONING IF
POSSIBLE...REMAIN OUT OF THE SUN...AND CHECK ON RELATIVES AND
NEIGHBORS WHO MAY BE SENSITIVE TO HEAT RELATED ILLNESSES. TAKE
EXTRA PRECAUTIONS IF YOU WORK OR SPEND TIME OUTSIDE. WHEN
POSSIBLE...RESCHEDULE STRENUOUS ACTIVITIES TO EARLY MORNING OR
EVENING. KNOW THE SIGNS AND SYMPTOMS OF HEAT EXHAUSTION AND HEAT
STROKE. WEAR LIGHT WEIGHT AND LOOSE FITTING CLOTHING WHEN
POSSIBLE AND DRINK PLENTY OF WATER. TO REDUCE RISK DURING OUTDOOR
WORK THE OCCUPATIONAL SAFETY AND HEALTH ADMINISTRATION RECOMMENDS
SCHEDULING FREQUENT REST BREAKS IN SHADED OR AIR CONDITIONED
ENVIRONMENTS. ANYONE OVERCOME BY HEAT SHOULD BE MOVED TO A COOL
AND SHADED LOCATION. HEAT STROKE IS AN EMERGENCY...CALL 911.

&&

$$

MKT
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.............................Good morning folks, looks like another hot sunny day here in florida,hope you all have a great day
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Today marks the start of carbon pricing, it's C-Day

Today marks the start of carbon pricing - and, if the Opposition is to believed, the python squeeze that will strangle our economy.



Sheree Gibson and her cousin Lauren Doel have much in common. Both are in their 30s, and they each have three boisterous children.

But what sets these carbon-copy families apart is the carbon tax. There are tax cuts and assistance on offer from today, and in an analysis conducted for Agenda by the Office of Families, Community Services and Indigenous Affairs, Sheree will be better off; Lauren will be worse. And neither is happy about it.

Lauren's husband, Chris Doel, is an electrician earning about $100,000 while she works in financial services, pulling in about $58,000. The Heathcote couple earns just over $160,000 so they don't qualify for Family Tax Benefit A or B.

It also means they don't qualify for the family assistance package to offset the impact of the carbon tax.
Like everyone, the Doels and Gibsons face an estimated increase in the cost of living of $515 a year. Weekly, electricity will go up $3.50, gas $1.50 and food an extra $1.

The good news is from today, Doel will get a $300 tax cut because she earns less than $80,000, but that's it for assistance. The rub: the family will be $200 worse off. The government reckons they can afford to change their habits, like put in solar panels, or suck it up.

"Dealing with it, you know, week in week out is a real struggle already. And why bother working," the 30-year-old says.

Her cousin fled Sydney a few years ago for a sea change in Port Stephens.

Gibson, 35, is a full-time mum who earns about $10,000 a year doing odd jobs. Her husband, a police officer, earns $80,000-$90,000 depending on overtime. The family qualifies for Family Tax Benefits A and B.

They received the $100 initial payment in May, but they are set to receive the full $333 family assistance package and, come July 13, they will get an extra $600 in family payments. All up, they will be $400 in front.

"Thanks for the $400, but to be honest, it's not encouraging people to go to work if a two-income family is going to be worse off," she says.

At Soldiers Point, 39-year-old truck driver Ed Gilder earns a wage of $65,000 and his wife, Mel, earns $45,000. They have three children. The government says the family will get about $711 in household assistance - made up of tax cuts for each parent of about $300 and $111 in increased family payments. They will receive $200 in extra family payments when the Family Tax Benefit A boost starts.

They will also benefit from the new Schoolkids Bonus of $820 to help with school costs with the two older kids in primary school. School costs are expected to rise as a result of the tax.

"That's not too bad; I thought it would be much worse than that," Mel Gilder says.

The NSW Department of Education says it hasn't yet factored in the effect of the carbon tax, but many of the low-cost independent schools have done modelling to meet their future budgets.

Glen King, the education director for 11 independent schools run by the Seventh Day Adventists north of Sydney says the only sure thing is that everything will cost more. "The trouble is we don't know how much manufacturers will put their prices up on things like furniture, paper, photocopiers; they will all add a cost on that. All classrooms now have airconditioning as well, and power is set to rise. We can see a price increase of 10 per cent at the high end," he said.

The bottom line: for their 3000-plus students, they estimate a price rise of $40 to $60 per student per year.

Will the extra squeeze force people to cut back on discretionary spending, like that morning coffee? Suffolk Park cafe and bakery owner Sean Crilley knows his customers are already price-sensitive and he's determined not to pass on any extra costs.

So far, the only indicated price rise from a supplier came from Coca-Cola which said the cost price of its products would rise from July 1, but he expects all the ingredients that go into baking will go up.

"I believe everything will go up - the flour, the sugar - and electricity is going up 17 per cent, so we're investigating going fully solar," he said.

"We've also been told our refrigeration costs will quadruple from $80 a kilo for the gas to $320 per kilo, but how can anything quadruple like that?" he says.

Rather than pass on the costs, he is looking for ways to cut costs within the business.

"I'm going to replace the halogen lights with LED, my wife and I are doing more hours and we may have to turn off the alfresco heaters."

The carbon tax was meant to change behaviour, which is exactly what Crilley is doing.

It's not just power generators, mining firms and heavy industry that will make up the estimated 400-500 companies liable for the $23-a-tonne tax. Much of the revenue from the tax will be channelled back into clean energy investment. The Clean Technology Investment Program has $1 billion to help manufacturers become cleaner, more efficient and more sustainable.

Crafty Chef is a producer of high-quality frozen prepared meals and finger-foods. With its $500,000 grant from the Clean Technology Investment Program, the Penrith company has invested in cleaner refrigeration technology that uses ammonia as a refrigerant rather than high-carbon freon gas. The new technology will use less power and emits less carbon. When it switches to the new system in six weeks, it will halve its emissions.

"We're expecting to reduce our carbon footprint by 55 per cent for every kilo of food we produce," general manager Jitesh Gohil said. "It's not all bad."
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Tornado destroys plantations in N. Cotabato villages, Philippines.

COTABATO CITY – A tornado swept through remote villages in North Cotabato and destroyed more than P2-million worth of corn crops, banana and rubber trees, police said Sunday.
Inspector Felix Fornan, chief of police of Antipas, North Cotabato, said the tornado hit at 8 a.m. Saturday at the height of heavy downpour and strong winds in at least two villages.
No one was hurt, but huge hectares of banana and rubber tree plantations were damaged, Fornan said in a radio interview in Kidapawan City.
Affected villages were Barangays (villages) Canaan and Camutan located in the mountain areas of Antipas town.
The affected banana and rubber plantations were owned by Barangay Canaan chief Daniel Golosino while corn fields owned by Dante Ambol were also damaged.
Residents and farmers whose crops were destroyed have been wondering why tornadoes have hit their place more often. This year alone, at least five tornadoes, some minor ones, have ravaged this upland town of North Cotabato.
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Quoting sunlinepr @ 464 (also reply to Chicklit):




Looks like at least three potential sites for potential development tomorrow:

1) The tropical wave itself. As comes in high lat, huge and fast, it eats the SAL and rolls down the ICTZ (? 10-15N) there will be convergence. Likely to develop something low lat as it rides up on the previous wave as it is starting to now.

2) The little low embedded in the western lobe of the mid-Atl ridge. It has survived passes through the SAL has a alot of the right kind of spin and a enough moisture to play. The tropical wave is about to burst the bubble and provide reinforcements - do I see a tail forming? My but it is loooong. Development tomorrow - westward trend now ...

3) The former tropical storm Debby is something else now. It has formed an eddy in the jet and has been jetting outflow all over the area SE of Bermuda. Believe it or not, Debby wants that soup for a tail and is working it pretty hard (formed an eddy in the jet, sprayed that stuff all back SE of Bermuda and is madly sucking it back in at lower levels), but, after moving slowly today that kraken storm is accelerating off to the NE. I think Debby will catch that tail but not keep it - that will be clear tomorrow. Either way that area is soggy now - Relative humidity in Bermuda is up to 90% - as high as it was when Debby went by, even as the jet is actually close.

Again, nice spin. Development likely here - tropical moisture (outflow) is arriving from 97L wave - we will see if SE Bermuda resolves to a front/tail or just within the rotation there.

GOM is a mess but will the W Gulf storm continue to mess with Texas? ummm... yup it's still out there.

With the mid-Atlantic ridge all soggy, the SAL taking a beating and shear low I would put the chances of development up a few notches. With all those pretty spinners I think its pretty clear where to put the yellow circles.
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Still raining
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512. Ookla
Quoting Tazmanian:



ok good i would give google chrome or firefox a try and see wish one would be better but i think google chrome will be the better one too go with has some time firefox can have a lot of bugs stills too be worked out


Chrome works fine, but the sheer volume of information it collects about you and reports back to Google is disturbing to some people. Be aware you are giving up a lot of privacy.
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Quoting AussieStorm:

Is a Chocolate cookie with choco chips ok?



yes that will do
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 115341
Quoting Tazmanian:

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO HAVE
DIMINISHED. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN



in the 8am two there sould be nothing on it



and if i right i would like a cookie


no cookie for you, you made a post containing "." alone earlier today. That is -1 cookie!
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Quoting Tazmanian:
in the 8am two there sould be nothing on it



and if i right i would like a cookie

Is a Chocolate cookie with choco chips ok?
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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO HAVE
DIMINISHED. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN



in the 8am two there sould be nothing on it



and if i right i would like a cookie
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 115341
Link monthly discussion this time is Rick Knabb as I was thinking.
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Tropical wave has not gone quietly into the night. Elongated with good moisture content, popping some good storms for this time of night too. Wonder if this is the track for coming energy and waves. This wave may have been invested sheered to death, but aren't conditions going to improve for the remaining energy.
Member Since: April 18, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2437
Not much time to do TCRs tonight, but I did update (but not complete -- technically I haven't completed any of them, because I have yet to add six hour position and intensity estimates, which I will do later :P) Chris's. Here is section b:

b. Meteorological Statistics

Observations in Hurricane Chris include satellite-derived intensity estimates based on the Dvorak technique, surface wind estimates of NOAA's Advanced Scatterometer (ASCAT), vertical temperature profiles courtesy of the Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit (AMSU), and SSMIS microwave data (not shown).

Chris's peak intensity of 65 kt is based solely on satellite images, which showed a well-defined eye embedded within a circular mass of relatively deep convection. It should be noted that although the eye appeared for about six hours prior to the time Chris is assumed to have become a hurricane, corresponding Dvorak numbers, both subjective and objective, did not reflect hurricane intensity until about around 1300 UTC, an approximate hour after Chris became a hurricane. Around 0600 UTC, when the eye first became evident, the reported status of the cloud pattern was that of curved banding. It is a little unclear as to why this was the case. Perhaps Dvorak rules do not work as well with high latitude systems over cool waters, particularly with systems that are strengthening.

There have been no ship reports of tropical storm force winds or greater with Chris. However, as Chris was moving to the north of Bermuda on 17 June, Saint David's on the northern end of the island reported wind gusts as high as 45 kt. These winds caused little damage, and were quite brief.
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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