Heat wave shifts to the Midwest; Waldo Canyon Fire still 5% contained

By: Angela Fritz , 8:17 PM GMT on June 28, 2012

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The ridge of high pressure causing this week's record-setting heat wave continues to drift east today, and will inflict extreme June heat across most of the central U.S. and Midwest on Thursday. Triple-digit heat (and heat indices) will be widespread from the Midwest (Chicago, Detroit, Cleveland) to the Mississippi and Ohio River Valleys (St. Louis, Louisville, Memphis). Ann Arbor, Michigan has reached 100° as of 4pm EDT. Heat advisories spread from Kansas north to Michigan, and as far southeast as North and South Carolina.

On Wednesday, 16 all-time record highs were broken or tied from Wyoming to Kansas, and 47 month-of-June records were either broken or tied. 66 warm overnight low records were also tied, 8 of which were all-time records for the month of June. The temperature did not get below 81° in Lamar, Colorado Tuesday night. The overnight low temperature is an important barometer for public health and safety in extreme heat waves; if the mercury does not drop significantly, our bodies (the sick and elderly, in particular) cannot recuperate.


Figure 1. Heat advisories (pink) from Kansas north to Michigan, and as far southeast as North and South Carolina on Thursday, where heat indices are expected to reach 105, as much as 110 in some places.

Our Weather Historian, Christopher C. Burt, wraps up yesterday's significant temperature records:

• Lamar, Colorado hit 112°, which is the city's hottest ever reading, beating 111° measured a few days ago and also on July 13, 1934.

• Dodge City, Kansas finally broke free of its multiple 110° previous all-time records with 111° on Wednesday. Dodge City has one of longest periods of record in the United States, with temperature records beginning on September 15, 1874.

• Hill City, Kansas hit 115° as it did on Tuesday as well, again just 1° short of all-time Kansas STATE June record of 116° set at Hugoton on June 25, 1911.

• Tucumcari, New Mexico hit 108°, just 1° short of all-time record as was the case in Goodland, Kansas and many others.

Waldo Canyon Fire gains 5,000 acres, still 5% contained

18,500 acres (up from 13,5000 on Wednesday) have been consumed, and $3.2 million spent fighting, in the Waldo Canyon Fire which is burning northwest of Colorado Springs and encroaching on the city. The fire remains 5% contained. Around 32,000 people have been evacuated as of Thursday morning as fire fighters continue to battle the blaze, with some help from the weather. Colorado Springs is forecast to reach 97° on Thursday, though it will be slightly cooler in the hills where the majority of the fire is burning. The red flag warnings have been dropped as wind speeds calm to 5-10 mph out of the northwest. However, humidity will still be relatively low, around 15% at the peak heat of the day. Thunderstorms are in the forecast, which creates the threat of lightning-induced fires


A giant plume from the Waldo Canyon Fire hovers high above Garden of the Gods near Colorado Springs, Colo. on Saturday, June 23, 2012. The fire is zero percent contained and has consumed 2500 acres. Voluntary and mandatory evacuations were taking place across the west side of Colorado Springs. Tankers were dropping fire retardant in front of the advancing flames. (AP Photo/Bryan Oller)

In the Tropics…

An African easterly wave in the central main development region of the North Atlantic is still producing some disorganized thunderstorm activity. The circulation in the wave is moderate but somewhat displaced from the strongest thunderstorm activity, though given the moderate wind shear the wave is experiencing that's not surprising. Sea surface temperature is around average, 28° C (82° F), which is warm enough to support tropical development. The National Hurricane Center continues to give this wave a 10% chance of developing over the next 48 hours.

There are a couple more tropical waves expected to leave the coast of Africa in the next week or so, neither of which are showing any signs of development in the models.

Angela

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Quoting Bobbyweather:
Plused by:
allancalderini
MTWX
aspectre
hydrus
Tropicsweatherpr
BmtJedi
osuwxguynew
MAweatherboy1
ChillinInTheKeys
PlazaRed
BahaHurican
bappit
HurricaneKing
TropicalAnalystwx13
Picatso
barbamz
wxchaser97
etxwx
aislinnpaps
Tribucanes
kanshadow
GeorgiaStormz
LowerCal
StormTracker2K
Some1Has2BtheRookie
EricBlair
JSparrow
WeatherNerdPR
Birthmark
Brunski
racer925
kwgirl

I plused it, yet my name's not here.


It's there. It is just that it is at the top and normally about the first 10 names aren't visible because the box gets too long. It is a little glich in the program.
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Projecting a straightline through 33.1n66.7w-33.5n65.2w, exDebby's 2 most recent center positions
on the 29June12pmGMT ATCF

exDebby passed ~132kilometres(82miles) NNWest of AchillesBay,Bermuda

Copy&paste eyw, 5fd0, komn, hnc, bda, 29.3n83.6w- 29.4n82.6w- 29.5n81.5w- 29.6n80.4w, 29.6n80.4w- 29.5n78.9w- 30.1n76.5w- 30.8n74.4w- 31.5n72.1w- 32.1n70.0w- 32.6n68.3w- 33.1n66.7w- 33.5n65.2w, 33.1n66.7w-33.529n65.0886w, 32.391n64.675w-33.529n65.0886w into the GreatCircleMapper for more information.
The previous mapping in case continuity becomes desirable in the future.
Member Since: August 21, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 4860
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

It's up there.

Oh, I found my name right on the bottom.
Maybe it wasn't there because I copy/pasted it right after I plused it.
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Quoting Bobbyweather:
Plused by:
allancalderini
MTWX
aspectre
hydrus
Tropicsweatherpr
BmtJedi
osuwxguynew
MAweatherboy1
ChillinInTheKeys
PlazaRed
BahaHurican
bappit
HurricaneKing
TropicalAnalystwx13
Picatso
barbamz
wxchaser97
etxwx
aislinnpaps
Tribucanes
kanshadow
GeorgiaStormz
LowerCal
StormTracker2K
Some1Has2BtheRookie
EricBlair
JSparrow
WeatherNerdPR
Birthmark
Brunski
racer925
kwgirl

I plused it, yet my name's not here.

It's up there.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32511
...
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Quoting Zappy:



Thanks for the detailed response! I now understand.
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Computer model (RAP) projection of temperatures at 3pm CDT today. Purple = triple digit heat.



Everyone stay cool and hydrated. Don't forget about your pets.
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The Boulder Daily Camera has an informative map and some gut-wrenching before/after pictures of the damage from the Waldo Canyon Fire in northwest Colorado Springs.

LINK HERE

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435. Zappy
Quoting Bobbyweather:
I have a question.
Why are clouds white?
It might be a simple question, but a specific, detailed answer would be nice. Then I'll be able to understand it right.
(Well, I don't know if this is related, but I know how a cloud is made.)


White light from the sun consists of all the colors of the rainbow. Since light travels as waves of different lengths, each color has its very own unique wavelength.

In much the same way as why skies are blue, clouds are white because their water droplets or ice crystals are large enough to scatter the light of the seven wavelengths (red, orange, yellow, green, blue, indigo, and violet), which combine to produce white light. Clouds will appear dark or gray when either they are in another clouds shadow or the top of a cloud casts a shadow upon its own base.

The darkness of a cloud also depends on the background sky. A cloud will look darker when it is surrounded by a bright sky and lighter when it is in front of darker ones. Not always will a dark cloud mean rain.

More often, the reason we experience dark rainy days is because clouds are blocking the sunlight. Some of the whitest, most pure light can be observed when dark clouds "break apart" and sunlight filters through.
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They've not classified yet?

29/1132 UTC 12.0S 154.6E T3.0/3.0 91P -- Southwest Pacific

Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32511

DEBBY
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I have a question.
Why are clouds white?
It might be a simple question, but a specific, detailed answer would be nice. Then I'll be able to understand it right.
(Well, I don't know if this is related, but I know how a cloud is made.)
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4 days in a row of 100+ temperatures forecasted. Yow that's hot. Good thong the humidity is kinda low or it would be miserable.

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Quoting weatherh98:


Yea! So does a thunderstorm or a frontal low!

I don't quite understand you. Am I right or wrong?
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Quoting Bobbyweather:

It would be named a 2011/12 season name.(Assuming it forms before July 1)
The tropical cyclone year in the Southern Hemisphere runs from July 1 to June 30 of the next year.

Hmm... maybe this is a Tropical Storm Zeta SHem version!
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I see a hurricane sign from Debby.
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rocket.launch.ksc.veryloud.unusual.trajectory
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Quoting AussieStorm:

I would say more like December or January.

If it was named would it get a 2011/12 season name or 2012/13 season name?

It would be named a 2011/12 season name.(Assuming it forms before July 1)
The tropical cyclone year in the Southern Hemisphere runs from July 1 to June 30 of the next year.
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It may have a only 10% chance of development during the next 24 hrs,yet it is impressive, and vigorous for a CATL wave for this early part of the season
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message from BDAwx:

Can I ask someone to go here and save radar images of post-tropical storm Debby as it passes to our north late on friday night and send them to

me. I will be on an island with no electricity camping during this time (hopefully I will be safe :S) and I want to have some record of the storm.

Thanks.


Center of Debby is passing by now.

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Hi Grothar! There are still some of us oldies here :-)
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vis.sat of the tw. never seen three triangles overlayed on one another. strange looking system
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Severe Storms woke me up this morning haha Did anybody else go through those storms this morning???
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So what's going down in the tropics?>I was busy yesterday.Seems nothing really.
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I so love the weather after the storm. It is so blue in SWFL!
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*looks in from Lurkdom* Morning, Grothar. Yer not alone. ;)
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Quoting islander101010:
just.a.few.rainshowers.now

Which island are you on?
Member Since: August 4, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 3278
Quoting Grothar:
Is this the NEW BLOG or the Old NEW BLOG? I dropped in to say Hi, and I can't find anybody.

Hey Grothar, this is still the old new blog. Oh and Good morning :-)
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Is this the NEW BLOG or the Old NEW BLOG? I dropped in to say Hi, and I can't find anybody.
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Good Morning. Feast and famine out there weather wise for the US and Caribbean. Tropical Atlantic, and E-Pac is quiet and no development of the wave forecast. But the heat wave over Conus is brutal. Don't know enough about the patterns-analog histories for that other "out-of-season" storm folks are commenting on but makes you think if this decade will be looked back to as the decade of weather anomalies. Can't wait to see what the next 8 years will bring.

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Quoting redwagon:

Soon we'll have the RGB products to help us see what's happening at the TX surface.
just.a.few.rainshowers.now
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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT FRI JUN 29 2012

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A LOW PRESSURE AREA...THE POST-TROPICAL REMNANTS OF DEBBY...IS
LOCATED ABOUT 90 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA AND MOVING EAST-
NORTHEASTWARD AT 20 TO 25 MPH. ALTHOUGH THIS DISTURBANCE IS
PRODUCING GALE-FORCE WINDS NEAR THE CENTER...SHOWER ACTIVITY
REMAINS MINIMAL AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
UNFAVORABLE FOR RE-DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW
CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AGAIN DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS LOW CAN BE FOUND
IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS IS PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS.
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR
AS IT MOVES GENERALLY WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A
LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
&&

HIGH SEAS FORECASTS CAN BE FOUND UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND
WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART
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Quoting RTSplayer:



Soon we'll have the RGB products to help us see what's happening at the TX surface.
Member Since: August 4, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 3278
Quoting RTSplayer:
Noooo...

My precious BoC blob is dying...but at least there's still some low level convection...



*Sniffle*




It does have this going for it, the pressure at the buoy to the north has fallen by about a millibar since last night...not very impressive, but it's a start...

Our blob didn't die, it's giving itself over to the spinning low over Texas? Look how the low is cutting into the hotter dry air. This TX ridge is moving away as we speak. And Austin suddenly has three days chance of rain which hasn't happened in... a while.
Member Since: August 4, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 3278
Quoting MAweatherboy1:


It's the equivalent of an Atlantic storm in February or March.

I would say more like December or January.

If it was named would it get a 2011/12 season name or 2012/13 season name?
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Quoting RTSplayer:
Noooo...

My precious BoC blob is dying...but at least there's still some low level convection...



*Sniffle*




It does have this going for it, the pressure at the buoy to the north has fallen by about a millibar since last night...not very impressive, but it's a start...


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Quoting MAweatherboy1:


It's the equivalent of an Atlantic storm in February or March.


Water there is anywhere from slightly above average, to over 1C above average...
Member Since: January 25, 2012 Posts: 33 Comments: 1520
Quoting AussieStorm:

I doubt it will be named though.

JTWC has issued a TCFA on it... If it maintains intensity I'd expect advisories in a few hours.
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It's the equivalent of an Atlantic storm in February or March.
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Noooo...

My precious BoC blob is dying...but at least there's still some low level convection...



*Sniffle*




It does have this going for it, the pressure at the buoy to the north has fallen by about a millibar since last night...not very impressive, but it's a start...
Member Since: January 25, 2012 Posts: 33 Comments: 1520
Quoting weatherh98:


I think it's happening Aussie!

I doubt it will be named though.
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Quoting Bobbyweather:
Debby has winds of 55 mph, per this image:


Yea! So does a thunderstorm or a frontal low!
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Quoting AussieStorm:
Surely this can't happen. It's winter, way outa season.



TXPS23 KNES 290640
TCSWSP

A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (91P)

B. 29/0601Z

C. 11.7S

D. 154.6E

E. THREE/MTSAT

F. T3.0/3.0/D1.0/24HRS

G. IR/EIR/VIS/SSMI

H. REMARKS...SMALL TIGHT SYSTEM CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE AND DT NOW 3.0
BASED ON 6/10 BANDING. MET=3.0 AND PAT=3.0. FT IS BASED ON DT.

I. ADDL POSITIONS

29/0527Z 11.8S 154.5E SSMI


...SWANSON











I think it's happening Aussie!
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............Good Morning folks, things are starting to return to normal around tampa bay weather wise,flooding clean up in those flooded area's is progressing etc..so things are sort of ok around here, you folks in that heatwave, please heed the warnings and take care of yourself,this is only JUNE and your bodies havent adjusted to that heat yet, drink plenty of water etc ok....have a great day everyone
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Quoting sunlinepr:



Now a little cyclonic low has popped up in Texas. But is it too far from the anti-cyclone to influence or be influenced by it?
Member Since: August 4, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 3278
Quoting Bobbyweather:
Debby, show yourself that you are still alive!


What is RBTOP anyway?

Also, do I see ex-Debby detaching from the front, or are my eyes deceiving me?


It's trying but failing epically
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Quoting JNCali:
Tips from the official Heat Advisory:

"...Take extra precautions if you work or spend time outside. When
possible, reschedule strenuous activities to early morning or
evening. Know the signs and symptoms of heat exhaustion and heat
stroke. Wear light weight and loose-fitted clothing when possible,
and drink plenty of water along with other non-alcoholic
beverages. It is important also to avoid too much direct sun, and
to limit your salt Intake. Please remember to not leave children
or pets locked inside a vehicle, even with the windows down, as
temperatures inside a car can become suffocating when exposed to
direct sunlight even for a short time. Also remember to check on
your elderly and disabled family members or neighbors.

To reduce the risk during outdoor work, the occupational safety
and health administration recommends scheduling frequent rest
breaks in shaded or air-conditioned environments. Anyone overcome
by heat should be moved to a cool and shaded location. Heat stroke
is a emergency - call 911.

..this is simply amazing for JUNE,a very dangerous heat wave,4 tropical named storms, the west on fire,what can JULY hold for us
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Surely this can't happen. It's winter, way outa season.



TXPS23 KNES 290640
TCSWSP

A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (91P)

B. 29/0601Z

C. 11.7S

D. 154.6E

E. THREE/MTSAT

F. T3.0/3.0/D1.0/24HRS

G. IR/EIR/VIS/SSMI

H. REMARKS...SMALL TIGHT SYSTEM CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE AND DT NOW 3.0
BASED ON 6/10 BANDING. MET=3.0 AND PAT=3.0. FT IS BASED ON DT.

I. ADDL POSITIONS

29/0527Z 11.8S 154.5E SSMI


...SWANSON









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Quoting sunlinepr:


It wouldn't surprise me at all to watch Debby pull a Chris.
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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