Heat wave shifts to the Midwest; Waldo Canyon Fire still 5% contained

By: Angela Fritz , 8:17 PM GMT on June 28, 2012

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The ridge of high pressure causing this week's record-setting heat wave continues to drift east today, and will inflict extreme June heat across most of the central U.S. and Midwest on Thursday. Triple-digit heat (and heat indices) will be widespread from the Midwest (Chicago, Detroit, Cleveland) to the Mississippi and Ohio River Valleys (St. Louis, Louisville, Memphis). Ann Arbor, Michigan has reached 100° as of 4pm EDT. Heat advisories spread from Kansas north to Michigan, and as far southeast as North and South Carolina.

On Wednesday, 16 all-time record highs were broken or tied from Wyoming to Kansas, and 47 month-of-June records were either broken or tied. 66 warm overnight low records were also tied, 8 of which were all-time records for the month of June. The temperature did not get below 81° in Lamar, Colorado Tuesday night. The overnight low temperature is an important barometer for public health and safety in extreme heat waves; if the mercury does not drop significantly, our bodies (the sick and elderly, in particular) cannot recuperate.


Figure 1. Heat advisories (pink) from Kansas north to Michigan, and as far southeast as North and South Carolina on Thursday, where heat indices are expected to reach 105, as much as 110 in some places.

Our Weather Historian, Christopher C. Burt, wraps up yesterday's significant temperature records:

• Lamar, Colorado hit 112°, which is the city's hottest ever reading, beating 111° measured a few days ago and also on July 13, 1934.

• Dodge City, Kansas finally broke free of its multiple 110° previous all-time records with 111° on Wednesday. Dodge City has one of longest periods of record in the United States, with temperature records beginning on September 15, 1874.

• Hill City, Kansas hit 115° as it did on Tuesday as well, again just 1° short of all-time Kansas STATE June record of 116° set at Hugoton on June 25, 1911.

• Tucumcari, New Mexico hit 108°, just 1° short of all-time record as was the case in Goodland, Kansas and many others.

Waldo Canyon Fire gains 5,000 acres, still 5% contained

18,500 acres (up from 13,5000 on Wednesday) have been consumed, and $3.2 million spent fighting, in the Waldo Canyon Fire which is burning northwest of Colorado Springs and encroaching on the city. The fire remains 5% contained. Around 32,000 people have been evacuated as of Thursday morning as fire fighters continue to battle the blaze, with some help from the weather. Colorado Springs is forecast to reach 97° on Thursday, though it will be slightly cooler in the hills where the majority of the fire is burning. The red flag warnings have been dropped as wind speeds calm to 5-10 mph out of the northwest. However, humidity will still be relatively low, around 15% at the peak heat of the day. Thunderstorms are in the forecast, which creates the threat of lightning-induced fires


A giant plume from the Waldo Canyon Fire hovers high above Garden of the Gods near Colorado Springs, Colo. on Saturday, June 23, 2012. The fire is zero percent contained and has consumed 2500 acres. Voluntary and mandatory evacuations were taking place across the west side of Colorado Springs. Tankers were dropping fire retardant in front of the advancing flames. (AP Photo/Bryan Oller)

In the Tropics…

An African easterly wave in the central main development region of the North Atlantic is still producing some disorganized thunderstorm activity. The circulation in the wave is moderate but somewhat displaced from the strongest thunderstorm activity, though given the moderate wind shear the wave is experiencing that's not surprising. Sea surface temperature is around average, 28° C (82° F), which is warm enough to support tropical development. The National Hurricane Center continues to give this wave a 10% chance of developing over the next 48 hours.

There are a couple more tropical waves expected to leave the coast of Africa in the next week or so, neither of which are showing any signs of development in the models.

Angela

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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Lol, no?


Oh thought it was! When is it?
Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6468
Interesting...all I had to do was book hotel in Key West for next weekend and here it comes...Hopefully whatever this becomes (if anything)  stays south.



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Quoting ChaseyChasinStorms:
Hey RTS! How's it today? I just stepped outside with a popscicle and nearly drown! Hahaha


Pretty good today. It's not as hot as the past few days. I think we failed to break the record today, so that's good news.

ha.
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Quoting weatherh98:


Waaaaahhhhh

Is today ur bday?

Lol, no?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Nobody cares about Invest 97L? Y'all are going to make it cry...

BEGIN
NHC_ATCF
invest_al972012.invest
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201206291811
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END
INVEST, AL, L, , , , , 97, 2012, DB, O, 2012062918, 9999999999, , , , , , METWATCH, , AL972012
AL, 97, 2012062818, , BEST, 0, 115N, 419W, 20, 1014, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 97, 2012062900, , BEST, 0, 115N, 432W, 20, 1014, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 97, 2012062906, , BEST, 0, 116N, 445W, 20, 1013, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 97, 2012062912, , BEST, 0, 116N, 458W, 20, 1013, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1015, 150, 45, 0, 0,
AL, 97, 2012062918, , BEST, 0, 117N, 471W, 20, 1013, DB, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1015, 150, 45, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S,


Waaaaahhhhh

Is today ur bday?
Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6468
Quoting chasinhurricanes:
Good afternoon all........How is everyone doing today?


Newbie!
Fantastic! And you?
Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6468
Nobody cares about Invest 97L? Y'all are going to make it cry...

BEGIN
NHC_ATCF
invest_al972012.invest
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201206291811
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END
INVEST, AL, L, , , , , 97, 2012, DB, O, 2012062918, 9999999999, , , , , , METWATCH, , AL972012
AL, 97, 2012062818, , BEST, 0, 115N, 419W, 20, 1014, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 97, 2012062900, , BEST, 0, 115N, 432W, 20, 1014, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 97, 2012062906, , BEST, 0, 116N, 445W, 20, 1013, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 97, 2012062912, , BEST, 0, 116N, 458W, 20, 1013, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1015, 150, 45, 0, 0,
AL, 97, 2012062918, , BEST, 0, 117N, 471W, 20, 1013, DB, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1015, 150, 45, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S,
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
636. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Brisbane Tropical Cyclone Warning Center
Gale Warnings

A low [996 hPa] was located near 12.4S 155.2E and is moving to the south southeast at 4 knots.

Expect northeast to southeast winds 34-40 knots

forecast position
===================
12 HRS: 12.8S 155.4E
24 HRS: 13.5S 155.8E

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Hey RTS! How's it today? I just stepped outside with a popscicle and nearly drown! Hahaha
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Quoting hurricanehunter27:
Lol I am in north Athens right now and its 103. We could get all the way to 108. Atlanta is going to get even hotter tomorrow.
That has to be totally miserable with the Georgia humidity.
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Quoting GeorgiaStormz:
Atlanta = 100F !!!!
Code Red air quality
Lol I am in north Athens right now and its 103. We could get all the way to 108. Atlanta is going to get even hotter tomorrow.
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Quoting chasinhurricanes:
Good afternoon all........How is everyone doing today?
chasin...Welcome aboard
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Good afternoon all........How is everyone doing today?
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GFS still kills everything...for the entire run...

Canadian shows a 1008mb low in the SW Caribbean near the end of the model run, plus another tropical wave on top of Hispaniola and Puerto Rico (can't see the pressure isobar rating).

Looks like the 1008mb low(possible depression) crosses Central America, at least on the model run, near Nicaragua and Honduras.
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Quoting SomeRandomTexan:
If there were a low associated with the blob in the WGOM, it could blow up quickly due to all the right ingredients. At this time there is no associated low. Hopefully this will bring cooler temps and showers to Texas.


And Louisiana
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Atlanta = 100F !!!!
Code Red air quality
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9725
Quoting Ftmyersstorm1:
I think Texas is gonna get slammed this year!
FtMyers......Why do you say that? Do you have some secret evidence that I do not know? Please tell us
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Does anyone see that flareup in the atlantis. Could this be an early African way Storm comming to Florida?
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Quoting Ftmyersstorm1:
Thats when it all starts
When what starts FtMyers?
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I think Texas is gonna get slammed this year!
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Nice
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Quoting LargoFl:
its funny about texas, when the rain showers do come..they always go to the same area seems like


Yup, right on either side of us. Just close enough that we can hear the thunder. ;-)
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Thats when it all starts
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Quoting LargoFl:
its funny about texas, when the rain showers do come..they always go to the same area seems like
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Washingtonian and WxGeek, and anyone else in the Mid-Atlantic/Ohio Valley- get ready to storm chase tonight and tomorrow. Looks like we have a chance of wind and hail at least, limited chance of tornadoes. Be careful out there! Maybe the storms will cool the air a little- it's 105 here in eastern WV.
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Quoting Kratje:


And why is the sky blue?

You can do a interesting experiment if you smoke a cigaret. Inhale, exhale immediately and your smoke is blue. Inhale, keep your breath for a while and exhale and your smoke turned white. (more or less)

It's got something to do with the size of the tiny parts floating in the air. When they are very ,very small, they reflect blue, or absorb the other colours, when they are bigger, like watervapor, they reflect all colours and look white.
Clouds are white because they reflect the light of the sun...When you add all of the colors of the rainbow together it is white.
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Quoting LargoFl:
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
855 AM CDT FRI JUN 29 2012

TXZ230>234-240>247-292200-
MCMULLEN-LIVE OAK-BEE-GOLIAD-VICTORIA-DUVAL-JIM WELLS-KLEBERG-
NUECES-SAN PATRICIO-ARANSAS-REFUGIO-CALHOUN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CALLIHAM...CROSS...LOMA ALTA...TILDEN...
GEORGE WEST...THREE RIVERS...BEEVILLE...GOLIAD...VICTORIA...
FREER...BENAVIDES...SAN DIEGO...ALICE...ORANGE GROVE...
KINGSVILLE...CORPUS CHRISTI...PORTLAND...INGLESIDE...
ARANSAS PASS...SINTON...MATHIS...ROCKPORT...REFUGIO...WOOD SBORO...
PORT LAVACA
855 AM CDT FRI JUN 29 2012

...TROPICAL FUNNEL CLOUDS POSSIBLE TODAY OVER SOUTH TEXAS...

A TROPICAL AIRMASS WILL COMBINE WITH GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS NEAR
THE SURFACE...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN THE FORMATION OF FUNNEL
CLOUDS. THESE FUNNEL CLOUDS ARE GENERALLY SHORT-LIVED...AND
USUALLY DO NOT TOUCH THE GROUND.

RESIDENTS SHOULD BE AWARE OF THE POTENTIAL FOR THE FORMATION OF
FUNNEL CLOUDS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. IF YOU SEE A FUNNEL
CLOUD...MOVE AWAY FROM THE FUNNEL...GO INDOORS AND STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS IN CASE THE FUNNEL BRIEFLY TOUCHES THE GROUND.

$$

GW


Remember folks; move away from the funnel :)
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Quoting lostinohio:
To tell you how strange it is(how strange is it?) We could reach 105 degrees today without a heat watch of any kind. The humidity is so low......wow
..you DO have a heat warning in OHIO................URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1137 AM EDT FRI JUN 29 2012

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026- 034-035-042>046-
051>056-060-062>065-070>074-078>082-088-300000-
/O.UPG.KILN.HT.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-120630T0000Z/
/O.EXA.KILN.EH.W.0001.000000T0000Z-120630T0000Z/
WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-
SWITZERLAND-CARROLL-GALLATIN-BOONE-KENTON-CAMPBEL L-OWEN-GRANT-
PENDLETON-BRACKEN-ROBERTSON-MASON-LEWIS-HARDIN-ME RCER-AUGLAIZE-
DARKE-SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-DELAWARE-MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-
MADISON-FRANKLIN OH-LICKING-PREBLE-GREENE-FAYETTE OH-PICKAWAY-
FAIRFIELD-BUTLER-WARREN-CLINTON-ROSS-HOCKING-CLER MONT-BROWN-
HIGHLAND-ADAMS-PIKE-SCIOTO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RICHMOND...CONNERSVILLE...LIBERTY...
BROOKVILLE...VERSAILLES...LAWRENCEBURG...RISING SUN...VEVAY...
CARROLLTON...WARSAW...BURLINGTON...INDEPENDENCE.. .ALEXANDRIA...
OWENTON...WILLIAMSTOWN...FALMOUTH...BROOKSVILLE.. .MOUNT OLIVET...
MAYSVILLE...VANCEBURG...KENTON...CELINA...WAPAKON ETA...
GREENVILLE...SIDNEY...BELLEFONTAINE...MARYSVILLE. ..DELAWARE...
PIQUA...URBANA...SPRINGFIELD...LONDON...COLUMBUS. ..NEWARK...
EATON...XENIA...WASHINGTON COURT HOUSE...CIRCLEVILLE...
LANCASTER...HAMILTON...LEBANON...WILMINGTON...CHI LLICOTHE...
LOGAN...MILFORD...GEORGETOWN...HILLSBORO...WEST UNION...PIKETON...
PORTSMOUTH
1137 AM EDT FRI JUN 29 2012

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON HAS ISSUED AN
EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. THE HEAT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* LOCATIONS...EASTERN INDIANA...NORTHERN KENTUCKY...AND MUCH OF
OHIO.

* HEAT INDEX VALUES...UP TO 109.

* TIMING...THE HIGHEST HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL BE DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS.

* IMPACTS...HEAT STROKE...HEAT EXHAUSTION AND OTHER HEAT RELATED
ILLNESSES WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IF YOU SPEND A
SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF TIME OUTDOORS...OR ARE INVOLVED IN ANY
STRENUOUS OUTDOOR ACTIVITY.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE EXTRA PRECAUTIONS IF YOU WORK OR SPEND TIME OUTSIDE. WHEN
POSSIBLE...RESCHEDULE STRENUOUS ACTIVITIES TO EARLY MORNING OR
EVENING. KNOW THE SIGNS AND SYMPTOMS OF HEAT EXHAUSTION AND HEAT
STROKE. WEAR LIGHT WEIGHT AND LOOSE FITTING CLOTHING WHEN
POSSIBLE AND DRINK PLENTY OF WATER.

TO REDUCE RISK DURING OUTDOOR WORK THE OCCUPATIONAL SAFETY AND
HEALTH ADMINISTRATION RECOMMENDS SCHEDULING FREQUENT REST BREAKS
IN SHADED OR AIR CONDITIONED ENVIRONMENTS. ANYONE OVERCOME BY
HEAT SHOULD BE MOVED TO A COOL AND SHADED LOCATION. HEAT STROKE
IS AN EMERGENCY...CALL 911.

&&

$$
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Quoting Bobbyweather:
I have a question.
Why are clouds white?
It might be a simple question, but a specific, detailed answer would be nice. Then I'll be able to understand it right.
(Well, I don't know if this is related, but I know how a cloud is made.)


And why is the sky blue?

You can do a interesting experiment if you smoke a cigaret. Inhale, exhale immediately and your smoke is blue. Inhale, keep your breath for a while and exhale and your smoke turned white. (more or less)

It's got something to do with the size of the tiny parts floating in the air. When they are very ,very small, they reflect blue, or absorb the other colours, when they are bigger, like watervapor, they reflect all colours and look white.
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
As stated, the wave is up to 20% chance of formation.


Not surprised!
But what is the shear like, in front of it?
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Quoting weatherh98:


No it's refraction

Refraction is the change in direction of a wave due to a change in its speed


Regardless of how you define refraction, the reflective/subtractive color process is what is responsible for certain things having color. Also, the only way for light to slow down or speed up is if it enters another medium with a different index of refraction (speed of light/speed of light in medium).
Member Since: June 26, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 188
BoC disturbance has become too heavily elongated along the ridge, and the anticyclone has gotten too far away from it now.

Still, I think it should bring at least some good rains to Texas, as the convection is holding together pretty well right now...
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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
855 AM CDT FRI JUN 29 2012

TXZ230>234-240>247-292200-
MCMULLEN-LIVE OAK-BEE-GOLIAD-VICTORIA-DUVAL-JIM WELLS-KLEBERG-
NUECES-SAN PATRICIO-ARANSAS-REFUGIO-CALHOUN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CALLIHAM...CROSS...LOMA ALTA...TILDEN...
GEORGE WEST...THREE RIVERS...BEEVILLE...GOLIAD...VICTORIA...
FREER...BENAVIDES...SAN DIEGO...ALICE...ORANGE GROVE...
KINGSVILLE...CORPUS CHRISTI...PORTLAND...INGLESIDE...
ARANSAS PASS...SINTON...MATHIS...ROCKPORT...REFUGIO...WOOD SBORO...
PORT LAVACA
855 AM CDT FRI JUN 29 2012

...TROPICAL FUNNEL CLOUDS POSSIBLE TODAY OVER SOUTH TEXAS...

A TROPICAL AIRMASS WILL COMBINE WITH GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS NEAR
THE SURFACE...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN THE FORMATION OF FUNNEL
CLOUDS. THESE FUNNEL CLOUDS ARE GENERALLY SHORT-LIVED...AND
USUALLY DO NOT TOUCH THE GROUND.

RESIDENTS SHOULD BE AWARE OF THE POTENTIAL FOR THE FORMATION OF
FUNNEL CLOUDS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. IF YOU SEE A FUNNEL
CLOUD...MOVE AWAY FROM THE FUNNEL...GO INDOORS AND STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS IN CASE THE FUNNEL BRIEFLY TOUCHES THE GROUND.

$$

GW
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
As stated, the wave is up to 20% chance of formation.



Wait is today Ur birthday?
Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6468
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Doksuri is making landfall now to the north of Hainan island with winds of 40-50 mph. Missed Hong Kong well to the south due to a center relocation from the persistent shear. More at http://weather.schematical.com/

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wow up to 20% now!!!!!
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As stated, the wave is up to 20% chance of formation.

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I suspect the tradition of Bluefield, WV/VA to hand out free lemonade each day the temperature exceeds 90 will soon be a casualty of global warming. The tradition began in 1939 to highlight the region's mild climate. Most years, the temperature never reached 90, and when it did, it was usually only a day or two. Recent years, it's reached 90+ ten or more days, including the record of 18 in 2007. The forecast for Bluefield calls for temperatures at or above 90 through Independence Day, with temperatures today and tomorrow approaching the all-time record high of 96.

Here is an article about the tradition in today's Charleston Daily Mail:

http://www.dailymail.com/News/statenews/201206290 074
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Quoting FutureWx6221:


reflection*** as opposed to refraction, the bending of light through a medium


No it's refraction

Refraction is the change in direction of a wave due to a change in its speed
Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6468
If there were a low associated with the blob in the WGOM, it could blow up quickly due to all the right ingredients. At this time there is no associated low. Hopefully this will bring cooler temps and showers to Texas.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Like I say it was up to 20%
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT FRI JUN 29 2012

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A LOW PRESSURE AREA...THE POST-TROPICAL REMNANTS OF DEBBY...IS
LOCATED ABOUT 110 MILES NORTH OF BERMUDA AND MOVING EAST-
NORTHEASTWARD AT ABOUT 20 MPH. ALTHOUGH THIS DISTURBANCE IS
PRODUCING GALE-FORCE WINDS SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER...SHOWER ACTIVITY
IS MINIMAL AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
UNFAVORABLE FOR RE-DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW
CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AGAIN DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS LOW CAN BE FOUND
IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 825 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS IS MOVING WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH. ALTHOUGH THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY HAS BECOME MORE CONCENTRATED ALONG THE WAVE AXIS TODAY...
ANY FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE SHOULD BE SLOW TO
OCCUR. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
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its turning the wrong way
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Ex-Debby barely clinging to the front at the 200 mb level, but completely separate down to the surface. With the well-defined circulation it has maintained and the convection built since yesterday, I think regeneration is a near-certainty, whether the NHC calls it or not.
Member Since: June 26, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 188
Toronto Pearson Int'l Airport
Date: 1:00 PM EDT Friday 29 June 2012
Condition: Sunny
Pressure: 29.72 inches
Tendency: rising
Visibility: 15 miles
Air Quality Health Index: 3

Temperature: 88.2°F
Dewpoint: 56.5°F
Humidity: 34 %
Wind: W 22 mph
Humidex: 96
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Fraidycat:
I'll go out on a limb and predict that the Gulf blob will become a TD just as it comes ashore or even just after it does AKA TS Allison (2001). Very little stays out in the western GOM this time of year more than three days and doesn't develop, and I think I see a cyclonic rotation in the rain bands.

There is no rotation associated with the blob in the Gulf. What you are seeing is anticyclonic rotation associated with the upper level anticyclone across the west Gulf and Bay of Campeche.
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.