Tropical Storm Debby makes landfall in Florida

By: Angela Fritz , 9:07 PM GMT on June 26, 2012

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Debby continues to weaken this afternoon, but remains a tropical storm with maximum sustained winds of 40 mph. The storm's center of circulation made landfall this afternoon near Steinhatchee, Florida. Hurricane hunters continue to find surface wind speeds that just meet tropical storm criteria and surface buoys on Wundermap are all clocking in at or below 30 mph. The storm's upper-level circulation is being stretched out into the Atlantic by the same steering forces that will transport it to the other side of Florida, and this combined with dry air has led to a messy-looking tropical cyclone over the past couple of days. Though there was no lack of rain yesterday in the Florida panhandle, Debby has certainly been weakened by the dry air that has wrapped into its center (figure 1). Water vapor imagery from satellite shows Debby's center is almost completely void of moisture, though rain continues to fall on the northeast side of the storm where moisture is still available. A 6 foot wide, 12-15 foot deep sinkhole swallowed a small portion of I-10 in Madison County west of Jacksonville, Florida, this morning, where heavy rain continues, though this hole will likely be filled and the lane reopened by tomorrow morning. Wind shear around 20 knots is also keeping Debby at bay, but the real disrupter is the lack of moisture.


Figure 1. Where's Debby? On the left: visible satellite imagery. On the right: water vapor satellite imagery, where the dry air ranges from black to rusty orange. Debby's center is almost completely void of moisture. These images were captured around 1pm EDT.

Forecast for Debby
The forecast for Debby continues to be similar to previous forecasts. The storm will likely continue to lose strength as it moves over Florida this evening and Wednesday, but could gain some momentum again when it reaches the yet untapped Atlantic water. There's a high chance Debby will be downgraded to tropical depression status this evening. The HPC continues to forecast up to 8 inches of rain for far northeast Florida over the next 5 days, likely because of the slight strengthening forecast to occur on Thursday and beyond. Debby's center will most likely be over Atlantic water Wednesday night.


Figure 2. Advisory map for the U.S. Tuesday afternoon. Heat advisories (pink) blanket the central U.S. This heat is expected to move eastward over the next few days as the ridge of high pressure advances.

The Heat Continues

Record highs continue to fall Tuesday afternoon in the central U.S., where Denver, Colorado had its fifth consecutive day of triple-digit heat after it reached 100°F at 1pm MDT, and could continue to rise this afternoon. This ties the all-time record for consecutive 100°F+ days. Nebraska and Kansas are particularly toasty this afternoon; McCook, Nebraska has reached 113°F so far, and Hill City, Kansas is up to 112°F. Though, to put that in perspective, the state record for Nebraska is 118°F, and the state record for Kansas is 121°F.

The heat moves east tomorrow, and by Thursday, many of the major Midwest cities are forecast to be in the triple-digits, including Chicago, St. Louis, and Indianapolis. By Friday the heat will be beating down on the East Coast. In the meantime out west, the forecast high in Fresno for this weekend is 82°F, which would tie as the coolest final weekend in June on record, according to the Hanford forecast office.

Angela

Tropical Storm Debby (apphotos)
Boats are sunken and thrown up on a dock at the Rock Landing Marina in Panacea, Fla., Tuesday, June 26, 2012. High winds and heavy rains spawned by the approaching Tropical Storm Debby caused the damage. (AP Photo/Dave Martin)
Tropical Storm Debby
Tropical Storm Debby (apphotos)
Jesse Deese uses his skim board to shield from blowing sand in Panama City Beach, Fla., Monday, June 25, 2012. Tropical Storm Debby raked the Tampa Bay area with high wind and heavy rain Monday in a drenching that could top 2 feet over the next few days and trigger widespread flooding. (AP Photo/Dave Martin)
Tropical Storm Debby

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Good morning.

After Debby it looks as if things will be quiet for the next week in the Atlantic basin. The GFS drops the low that is now out in the central Atlantic and the NHC is presently calling for dissipation near 55 W.

A break will allow everyone to catch up on their sleep.
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1108. tea3781
Quoting AllStar17:
The circulation of Debby appears that it is now moving southeastward.
VISIBLE LOOP


Yeah...I see the same thing...

If it keeps going south wont it miss the trough
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Quoting AllStar17:
The circulation of Debby appears that it is now moving southeastward.
VISIBLE LOOP

If the ridge were to capture her, she could stick around a couple of more days... UGH go away Debby, unless you want to come to Texas, we would love for you to pay a short little visit.
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Anyone got a satellite image of Debby?
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Quoting HurricaneHunterJoe:


It's Don,he wants to try again............lol

Maybe he'll try to NOT poof, before coming ashore...
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The circulation of Debby appears that it is now moving southeastward.
VISIBLE LOOP
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Quoting LargoFl:
notice that whatever it is down by mexico has stuck around for a few days


It's Don,he wants to try again............lol
Member Since: September 18, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 5234
The GFS and Euro are showing Daniel in the EPAC within the next 10 days.
They form it from a Monsoon trough and the tropical wave currently sitting in the Central Atlantic.
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1101. LargoFl
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 39707
Quoting PRweathercenter:
Please Take down the YOUTUBE video! I've said this before! Please take it down, It crashes the blog page!(for me) STOP POSTING YOUTUBE VIDEOS ON THE MAIN BLOG. Post them on YOUR blog so that people can still see them, but so it Doesn't crash the main blog. Thanks.
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Quoting PackManWx:
IF it develops, I can't see it really having an impact with the US...especially with all the ridging set up.. it will go south


Maybe something for Nicaragua
Member Since: September 18, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 5234
We have Colorado wild fire smoke in our air in Houston, smoggy hazy looking air.
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1097. pcola57
Quoting IceCoast:
Well I have to say watching a C-130 bomb a ridge line over and over with fire retardant up close was one of the coolest things i've seen. Super unfortunate what happened down in Colorado Springs last night but you just can't fight a fire that ferocious in 65mph winds. May just be some wetting rains over the fire zones today if we are lucky, would be a good Birthday present for myself!



Happy Birthday..I hope you get your wish
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Quoting SouthTampa:
What state in the nation has the best weather?
And be objective, dont pick you own state.

California. It has quite the variety of weather - Near-perfect: San Diego; Snowy: Tahoe; Cool: SF and north coast; Hot: Central Valley and Smog: LA.


Quoting jeffs713:

Hawaii. Unless you're a snowbird, then Colorado.


New England is awesome if you are a weather buff. Nor'easter's, the occasional Hurricane/Tornado, Ice Storms etc...Got to love it here in Colorado though, well except these past few weeks.
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Well I won't drive anybody crazy but the NHC radar out of Melbourne looks a little more interesting each frame. Looks a little like a circulation moving ESE to SE off of Cape Canaveral.
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1094. ncstorm
138 hours in
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 15745
1093. LargoFl
...............................Pasco county flooding
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 39707
tw.is.separated.from.itz+++
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Quoting Hurricanes305:


Which system is he talking about Debby or the CATL wave.
Central Atlantic wave.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 17159
1090. LargoFl
would this be near the fire area's in colorado?........................FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
507 AM MDT WED JUN 27 2012

...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE ACROSS THE WALDO BURN SCAR REGION LATE
THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING...

.A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS TELLER AND EL PASO COUNTIES BY
EARLY EVENING...ALLOWING MOIST UNSTABLE AIR AND SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS TO MOVE INTO THE AREA. IF THUNDERSTORMS FORM OVER
THE BURN SCAR REGION...LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING WOULD BE POSSIBLE.
IT WILL NOT TAKE MUCH RAINFALL TO CAUSE SIGNIFICANT FLASH
FLOODING. POPULATED AREAS WHICH COULD SEE THE MOST SIGNIFICANT
FLASH FLOODING WOULD BE MANITOU SPRINGS AND OLD COLORADO CITY.

COZ081-085-271915-
/O.CON.KPUB.FA.A.0001.120627T2300Z-120628T0400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000 Z.OO/
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-
INCLUDING...WOODLAND PARK...COLORADO SPRINGS
507 AM MDT WED JUN 27 2012

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS
EVENING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* EL PASO AND TELLER COUNTIES AND THE RAMPART RANGE.

* FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING.

* RAINFALL CAPABLE OF PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE WALDO BURN SCAR REGION LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

* AREAS WITH THE MOST SERIOUS FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL INCLUDE
MANITOU SPRINGS AND OLD COLORADO CITY...ESPECIALLY BELOW THE
WILLIAMS CREEK AND WALDO CREEK DRAINAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 39707
Quoting SouthTampa:
What state in the nation has the best weather?
And be objective, dont pick you own state.

California. It has quite the variety of weather - Near-perfect: San Diego; Snowy: Tahoe; Cool: SF and north coast; Hot: Central Valley and Smog: LA.

Hawaii. Unless you're a snowbird, then Colorado.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
What state in the nation has the best weather?
And be objective, dont pick you own state.

California. It has quite the variety of weather - Near-perfect: San Diego; Snowy: Tahoe; Cool: SF and north coast; Hot: Central Valley and Smog: LA.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Trpoical Weather Discussion With Dave L. Becroft





Link
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1086. LargoFl
...........................Clearwater Beach cam
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 39707
Quoting washingtonian115:
Karl Parker said that the models could show a much more stronger system in the near future...I'm still skeptical.


Which system is he talking about Debby or the CATL wave.
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If the wave don`t develop in the Atlantic maybe in the Eastern Pacific.
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Well I have to say watching a C-130 bomb a ridge line over and over with fire retardant up close was one of the coolest things i've seen. Super unfortunate what happened down in Colorado Springs last night but you just can't fight a fire that ferocious in 65mph winds. May just be some wetting rains over the fire zones today if we are lucky, would be a good Birthday present for myself!

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1082. LargoFl
..................................st.pete beach cam
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 39707
1081. LargoFl
Quoting LargoFl:
notice that whatever it is down by mexico has stuck around for a few days
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 39707
1080. LargoFl
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 39707
Quoting weatherh98:


will you do me a favor

Nope. Only my wife gets those. ;)

(I'm actually just being difficult because I detest polls, especially those with a personal agenda or with a very limited set of responses)
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Karl Parker said that the models could show a much more stronger system in the near future...I'm still skeptical.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 17159
Quoting weatherh98:


pick from georgia or louisiana

I dont wanna.
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BBL gotta take a nappy
Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6539
Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:
This is why we need a decent Tropical Wave to at least aliviate what we are going thru and that is why I am rooting for that wave to bring good moisture to the NE Caribbean.



The Carribean is going to get some moisture in at the end of the week. Here is this am's NCEP Caribbean desk
discussion:

TROPICAL DISCUSSION - INTERNATIONAL DESKS
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
704 AM EDT WED JUN 27 2012

PRELIMINARY DISCUSSION FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE USVI. EXCEPT FOR A DRYER AIR MASS...LITTLE HAS CHANGED OVER THE LAST DAY OR SO...AS THE FORECAST AREA REMAINS ON THE CONVERGENT SIDE OF A RIDGE/TUTT
PAIR. AT LOW LEVELS...A HIGH TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE ISLAND CHAIN FAVORS A BRISK SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...WITH MOIST FLUX CONVERGENCE SHIFTING WESTWARD ACROSS THE ABC ISLANDS TO THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.

BROAD UPPER RIDGE TO THE WEST IS TO INITIALLY BLOCK THE TUTT TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA. THIS PATTERN...HOWEVER...WILL START TO EVOLVE ON THURSDAY...WITH RIDGE WEAKENING/RAPIDLY ERODING AS TUTT LOW ENTERS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN ISLANDS. AS THE RIDGE ERODES...TRADE WIND CAP WILL WEAKEN...ALLOWING A SOMEWHAT MORE UNSTABLE AIR MASS TO ESTABLISH BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON-EARLY ON FRIDAY. THE MODELS...HOWEVER...DIVERGE ON IMPACT THIS IS GOING TO HAVE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...WITH GFS DEPICTING A WETTER SOLUTION THAN THE OTHER MODELS. THIS IS ADDING TO THE UNCERTAINTY WHILE LEADING TO
LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE FORECAST. THROUGH 84-96 HRS THE TUTT WILL ENTER THE LEEWARD/VIRGIN ISLES...THEN STARTS TO LIFT TO THE WEST/NORTHWEST. THE MODELS
CONTINUE TO MAKE CYCLE-TO-CYCLE CORRECTIONS TO THIS FORECAST. OVER THE LAST DAY OR SO THEY HAVE EVOLVED FROM A MORE SOUTHERN TRACK TO A TRAJECTORY ACROSS AND NORTH OF THE ISLANDS...AND THEY ARE MAKING
IT MORE LIKELY FOR THIS FEATURE TO HAVE AN IMPACT ON THE LOCAL WEATHER CONDITIONS. THIS WILL ENHANCE DEEP LAYER CONVECTIVE INSTABILITY WHILE FAVORING AREAS OF DEEP CONVECTION.




There goes the GFS again............
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Quoting jeffs713:

Actually, no I don't have to pick one.


will you do me a favor
Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6539
Quoting LargoFl:
I know its fantasy BUT..imagine she crossed florida again and went into the gulf


no, just no
Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6539
Quoting weatherh98:


you have to pic one

Actually, no I don't have to pick one.
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

TX has the weirdest, NC has the nicest.


pick from georgia or louisiana
Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6539
1070. LargoFl
Quoting LargoFl:
I know its fantasy BUT..imagine she crossed florida again and went into the gulf
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 39707
Quoting jeffs713:

Their weather isn't that different, honestly.

I'm going to stick with my original answer.


you have to pic one
Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6539
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:


too late, you picked TX

TX has the weirdest, NC has the nicest.
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1067. LargoFl
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 39707
Quoting weatherh98:


pick one of the two

Their weather isn't that different, honestly.

I'm going to stick with my original answer.
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1065. LargoFl
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:


can you tell that the two dots on the FL coast are different colors?
Or where Cat1 changes to Cat2?
Cat2 to Cat3?
Cat3 to Cat4?

Im sure you can but it takes a bit of studying
And cat1 to cat 2 is very hard, just look at the FL coast
..dont even THINK about sending that here
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 39707
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

North Carolina.


too late, you picked TX
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9733
IF it develops, I can't see it really having an impact with the US...especially with all the ridging set up.. it will go south
Member Since: June 21, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 68
flood.pictures.from.the.music.park.near.live.oak.fl .http://www.facebook.com/musicliveshere
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This is going to get interesting...It would be kinda hilarious if it did develop.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 17159
Caribbean Storm Update June 27 2012

Blog Update

img src="">

Link
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1059. Grothar
The first run of the new GFS is showing a Low in the vicinity of the wave.




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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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