Tropical Storm Debby makes landfall in Florida

By: Angela Fritz , 9:07 PM GMT on June 26, 2012

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Debby continues to weaken this afternoon, but remains a tropical storm with maximum sustained winds of 40 mph. The storm's center of circulation made landfall this afternoon near Steinhatchee, Florida. Hurricane hunters continue to find surface wind speeds that just meet tropical storm criteria and surface buoys on Wundermap are all clocking in at or below 30 mph. The storm's upper-level circulation is being stretched out into the Atlantic by the same steering forces that will transport it to the other side of Florida, and this combined with dry air has led to a messy-looking tropical cyclone over the past couple of days. Though there was no lack of rain yesterday in the Florida panhandle, Debby has certainly been weakened by the dry air that has wrapped into its center (figure 1). Water vapor imagery from satellite shows Debby's center is almost completely void of moisture, though rain continues to fall on the northeast side of the storm where moisture is still available. A 6 foot wide, 12-15 foot deep sinkhole swallowed a small portion of I-10 in Madison County west of Jacksonville, Florida, this morning, where heavy rain continues, though this hole will likely be filled and the lane reopened by tomorrow morning. Wind shear around 20 knots is also keeping Debby at bay, but the real disrupter is the lack of moisture.


Figure 1. Where's Debby? On the left: visible satellite imagery. On the right: water vapor satellite imagery, where the dry air ranges from black to rusty orange. Debby's center is almost completely void of moisture. These images were captured around 1pm EDT.

Forecast for Debby
The forecast for Debby continues to be similar to previous forecasts. The storm will likely continue to lose strength as it moves over Florida this evening and Wednesday, but could gain some momentum again when it reaches the yet untapped Atlantic water. There's a high chance Debby will be downgraded to tropical depression status this evening. The HPC continues to forecast up to 8 inches of rain for far northeast Florida over the next 5 days, likely because of the slight strengthening forecast to occur on Thursday and beyond. Debby's center will most likely be over Atlantic water Wednesday night.


Figure 2. Advisory map for the U.S. Tuesday afternoon. Heat advisories (pink) blanket the central U.S. This heat is expected to move eastward over the next few days as the ridge of high pressure advances.

The Heat Continues

Record highs continue to fall Tuesday afternoon in the central U.S., where Denver, Colorado had its fifth consecutive day of triple-digit heat after it reached 100°F at 1pm MDT, and could continue to rise this afternoon. This ties the all-time record for consecutive 100°F+ days. Nebraska and Kansas are particularly toasty this afternoon; McCook, Nebraska has reached 113°F so far, and Hill City, Kansas is up to 112°F. Though, to put that in perspective, the state record for Nebraska is 118°F, and the state record for Kansas is 121°F.

The heat moves east tomorrow, and by Thursday, many of the major Midwest cities are forecast to be in the triple-digits, including Chicago, St. Louis, and Indianapolis. By Friday the heat will be beating down on the East Coast. In the meantime out west, the forecast high in Fresno for this weekend is 82°F, which would tie as the coolest final weekend in June on record, according to the Hanford forecast office.

Angela

Tropical Storm Debby (apphotos)
Boats are sunken and thrown up on a dock at the Rock Landing Marina in Panacea, Fla., Tuesday, June 26, 2012. High winds and heavy rains spawned by the approaching Tropical Storm Debby caused the damage. (AP Photo/Dave Martin)
Tropical Storm Debby
Tropical Storm Debby (apphotos)
Jesse Deese uses his skim board to shield from blowing sand in Panama City Beach, Fla., Monday, June 25, 2012. Tropical Storm Debby raked the Tampa Bay area with high wind and heavy rain Monday in a drenching that could top 2 feet over the next few days and trigger widespread flooding. (AP Photo/Dave Martin)
Tropical Storm Debby

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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:


we may see 20% soon
Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6539
Quoting PRweathercenter:
Caribbean Storm Update June 27 2012


img src="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yufbNYGPiHQ&feature=youtube_gdata_player"&g t;

Link

Dude. Really?
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32806
TPW loop shows that the Central Atlantic wave is currently in the process of departing from the ITCZ.

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1206. VINNY04
Quoting allancalderini:
Thank God I don+t want a hurricane affecting my country.
Why not? They are quite fun.
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Caribbean Storm Update June 27 2012


img src="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yufbNYGPiHQ&feature=youtube_gdata_player">

Link
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Quoting Tribucanes:
I'm able to access the WU no problem, but the site is having issues with some of their features. Anyone else having any issues?


had
Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6539
1203. LargoFl
what were those shore acres homeowners thinking when they refused this help to stop their flooding?..a very Bad choice back then, they are suffering now from flooding and maybe would not be..................Over the past 12 years, the city has poured more money into Shore Acres for flood control projects than any other neighborhood, more than $6.1-million, said Mike Conners, the city’s administrator of internal services.The efforts have all but eliminated routine flooding from high tides. But nothing can prevent the flooding from storms, Conners said.


Except maybe a levee, an idea proposed by the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers in 1989 but soundly rejected by waterfront homeowners.
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42045
Quoting uncwhurricane85:


neither. North Carolina is the best state for all around weather experiences. Noresters every year (snow), hurricanes/tropical storms every year, tornadoes every year, drought every year, floods every year, extreme heat every year, highest mountains east of miss. river beach only 4 hours from mountains. For instance 79 fayetteville nc yesterday, 105+ without heat index fri-sun. Same city had beryl a few weeks ago with flodding, now its moving back into drought, and next week it looks very stormy. basically best place on earth,. HAHHA!


we get snow in north louisiana
weve had more hurricanes
Link

we get about twice as many tornadoes 25-13
yall? flood? LOL we get a flood every week... had one last week actually.

whoneeds mountains when you have hills? beach? yea we got beaches
according to the cencus, we have 7721 miles of coastline, NC has 3375. also twice as much....

so as i said we were flooding a few weeks ago? our grass is brown now id take a pic but i dont have a camera now.

its currently forecasted to be 99 today oooohhh yea
well actually that aint bad, but the humidity from the samp is... Do yall have swamps up there?

basically NC is the second best place, to LOUISIANA

Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6539
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32806
Debby will likely not be retired,
Allison caused devastation in texas and other states, I mean yeah I know Debby might be devastating but probably not as devastating as Allison.
The death toll for Allison was also the reason for retirement,
Allison killed 41 direct, 14 indirect.
That's the reason it was retired.
IMO, not to be a downer to Debby,
She will probably not be retired.
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1199. ncstorm
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 16222
I'm able to access the WU no problem, but the site is having issues with some of their features. Anyone else having any issues?
Member Since: April 18, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2437
Live Oak Florida is inundated with flooding much like it was in 1964 by hurricane Dora.
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No way Debby gets retired. If she had lingered over Florida till Saturday or turned back west, then she would have dumped epic amounts and been retired. Debby is headed due east or so NHC says, she's going to turn back NE soon and follow her blob action out to sea. If the circulation, which is all that's really left of Debby, did decide to go SE then what would happen? Wouldn't she die off or would she then be in conditions that would allow her to fire convection again? I think it's a mute question, no way she continues SE, but it's not an impossibility. Any models show a SE movement in their predictions for Debby's path?
Member Since: April 18, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2437
Thanks pcola57; I submitted a ticket. I'm too awed by Dr. Masters and his site to think someone is messing with it. We have enough to clean up here in Hudson after Debby - even the NoName Storm of '93 didn't do this - without getting fearful temp forecasts like that! 102 with fog??
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Go to this loop and look at the coordinates I listed above to see the center.
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Quoting weatherh98:


you may have to eat crow on here for saying that.HIDE!!!
Why??? i didn`t say it in a bad way I don`t want my country affected nor I want other countries affected.
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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT WED JUN 27 2012

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
DEPRESSION DEBBY...LOCATED OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC ABOUT 90 MILES
EAST OF ST. AUGUSTINE FLORIDA.

A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED LOCATED ABOUT 1600 MILES EAST OF THE
SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS CONTINUES TO PRODUCE DISORGANIZED SHOWERS
AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS. DEVELOPMENT OF THIS WAVE..IF ANY...SHOULD
BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM
HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN

Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14887
1191. pottery

Those Firestorms in Colorado are Horrible.
Here is a Musical Firestorm, Much better than the real thing.

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A fairly vigorous low level spin exists with the wave in the Central Atlantic. The spin is located around 10.5N 37.0W. It is embedded in an area of less SAL. The moisture content is also high, but I have to wonder how much is associated with any attachment to the ITCZ. Regardless, it is a fairly healthy wave, especially for June. I would not count it out just yet. Sometimes, models weigh in on climatology and kill these early season developments too quickly. The chances of development are low, but with such a vigorous low level spin all the way to 500mb I would keep a wary eye out east.

SAL:

Water Vapor:
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Ok I'm ready for some sun now...
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12z CMC stays with wave but without developing it.

Link
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14887
Quoting HurricaneSwirl:


Well, if you're definition of awesome weather is NOT sunshine, then Louisiana probably does win.

GA can get some intense thundertsorms, but it takes a lot to get them so far east. Our community was hit hard by a 130mph tornado in 2008, but I firmly believe I won't see anything like that again (and I hope I'm right).

GA is also really too far south and east for snowstorms. Several times when it actually does snow in the SE, areas in GA will get 1-2 inches while TX through AL could get like 8.

And in terms of canes, LA is much more frequently hit by cyclones than GA is. In order for a tropical storm or hurricane to directly affect Georgia, it would have to be moving north through the big bend area of the FL panhandle or west into that tiny coast of GA. Those two areas are the two least visited by tropical cyclones. I don't know if you would consider that a win or not lol. Obviously we don't want a Cat 5 hitting us here in GA but we don't really have to worry about it much.

So I guess my vote is B.


neither. North Carolina is the best state for all around weather experiences. Noresters every year (snow), hurricanes/tropical storms every year, tornadoes every year, drought every year, floods every year, extreme heat every year, highest mountains east of miss. river beach only 4 hours from mountains. For instance 79 fayetteville nc yesterday, 105+ without heat index fri-sun. Same city had beryl a few weeks ago with flodding, now its moving back into drought, and next week it looks very stormy. basically best place on earth,. HAHHA!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6539
Quoting allancalderini:
Thank God I don+t want a hurricane affecting my country.


you may have to eat crow on here for saying that.HIDE!!!
Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6539
Quoting HurricaneDean07:

Its a Caribbean runner type season, but steering patterns would put every runner into the Yucatan or Gulf coast.
Gulf coast you better look out...
Thank God I don+t want a hurricane affecting my country.
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Does anyone have a link to accurate storm surge maps from Debby? I'm looking for Tampa Bay - St Petersburg side, specifically Shore Acres area. After spending the last 3 days pretty much underwater - with no power - I'd like to know what the real surge level was so I can better plan next time around :) Thanks.
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1182. ncstorm
East Coast Visible Hurricane
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 16222
1181. ncstorm
12z CMC

24 hours


48 Hours


78 Hours



Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 16222
Quoting HurricaneSwirl:


Well, if you're definition of awesome weather is NOT sunshine, then Louisiana probably does win.

GA can get some intense thundertsorms, but it takes a lot to get them so far east. Our community was hit hard by a 130mph tornado in 2008, but I firmly believe I won't see anything like that again (and I hope I'm right).

GA is also really too far south and east for snowstorms. Several times when it actually does snow in the SE, areas in GA will get 1-2 inches while TX through AL could get like 8.

And in terms of canes, LA is much more frequently hit by cyclones than GA is. In order for a tropical storm or hurricane to directly affect Georgia, it would have to be moving north through the big bend area of the FL panhandle or west into that tiny coast of GA. Those two areas are the two least visited by tropical cyclones. I don't know if you would consider that a win or not lol. Obviously we don't want a Cat 5 hitting us here in GA but we don't really have to worry about it much.

So I guess my vote is B.


Thank you!
Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6539
1179. 7544
still some banding to the south of debby go on looks like shes going se not ne at this hour could the bamms be right time will tell could she have one more trick to play out and woulnt we all flip if she makes that turn back west lol
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•Total Acres: 273,246
•Estimated Suppression Cost: $29,880,826
•Firefighters assigned at Peak: 4,275
•Residences Destroyed: 2,232
•Commercial Structures Destroyed: 22
•Other Structures Destroyed: 566
•Lives Lost: 14
•Communities Evacuated: Ramona, Pine Hills, Barona Mesa,
San Diego Country Estates, Poway, Descano, Flynn Springs,
Jamul, Pine Valley, El Cajon, Santee, Lakeside, San Diego,
Julian, Mt. Laguna, Escondido, Crest, Cuyamaca, Alpine,
Guatay, Santa Isabel, Ranchito, Wynola, Santa Ysabel
•Cause: Human
•Fuel Type: Grass, medium to heavy brush, and timber
Member Since: September 18, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 5248
Quoting weatherh98:
Poll time

Which state has awesomer (NOT SUNSHINE, WEATHER INCLUDES: RAIN, WIND, THUNDERSTORMS, SLEET, SNOW, CANES) weather?

A georgia
B Louisiana


ill say B


Well, if you're definition of awesome weather is NOT sunshine, then Louisiana probably does win.

GA can get some intense thundertsorms, but it takes a lot to get them so far east. Our community was hit hard by a 130mph tornado in 2008, but I firmly believe I won't see anything like that again (and I hope I'm right).

GA is also really too far south and east for snowstorms. Several times when it actually does snow in the SE, areas in GA will get 1-2 inches while TX through AL could get like 8.

And in terms of canes, LA is much more frequently hit by cyclones than GA is. In order for a tropical storm or hurricane to directly affect Georgia, it would have to be moving north through the big bend area of the FL panhandle or west into that tiny coast of GA. Those two areas are the two least visited by tropical cyclones. I don't know if you would consider that a win or not lol. Obviously we don't want a Cat 5 hitting us here in GA but we don't really have to worry about it much.

So I guess my vote is B.
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After 2 days of malingering in the northeastGulf, Debby crossed Florida in less than 12hours

Derived from (NHC) ATCF data for TropicalDepressionDebby for 27June12pmGMT:
28.9n84.4w-29.3n83.6w-29.4n83.1w has been re-evaluated&altered*
29.0n84.2w-29.3n83.6w-29.4n82.6w-29.5n81.5w are now the most recent positions

For those who like to visually track TD.Debby's path...
AAF-Apalachicola : 5FD0-OldTown (north of Chiefland) : KXFL-FlaglerBeach (south of PalmCoast)

The SWesternmost kinked line is TropicalStormDebby's path on the 1st day
The middle kinked line is TS.Debby's path on the 2nd day
The NEasternmost kinked line is TS.Debby's path on the 3rd day
The lone unlabeled dot is the 26June9pmGMT NHC.Advisory's landfall at 29.5n83.4w

The Easternmost dot on the 3rd kinked line is Debby's final ATCF position as a TropicalStorm
The next dot 6hours-East on the connected line-segment is Debby as a TropicalDepression
The straightline between the two intersects the coastline at 29.344n83.171w

Copy&paste aaf, 29.5n83.4w, 5fd0, liy, kxfl, mhh, 26.0n87.6w- 26.5n87.4w- 27.0n87.3w- 27.8n86.5w- 28.3n85.9w, 28.3n85.9w- 28.5n85.8w- 28.6n85.8w- 28.6n85.5w- 29.0n85.2w, 29.0n85.2w- 29.0n85.0w- 28.9n84.7w- 29.0n84.2w- 29.3n83.6w, 29.3n83.6w-29.4n82.6w, 29.4n82.6w-29.5n81.5w, 29.5n81.5w-29.6n80.4w into the GreatCircleMapper for more information
See the previous mapping to compare the differences.

* Positions and vectors have been corrected for this mapping
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Quoting E46Pilot:
Just imagine that with a nice breeze off of a swamp.


dats what i get. i gotta bayou and a sawmp two blocks from me
Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6539
Just imagine that with a nice breeze off of a swamp.
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Quoting HurricaneDean07:

People will forget about her, yes, because they'll be more potent and interesting storms to watch moving on through the season... :D


people wont forget the head ache she gave them
Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6539
Quoting HurricaneDean07:

You think that's HOT HOT HOT?
It was 109 here yesterday.


Ouch, thats a dry heat though right?
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BBL...
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Quoting uncwhurricane85:


yeah everyone will have forgotten about debby except for the 30 people in those 3 counties in planhandle near tallahassee...ive already forgotten her! NEXT!

People will forget about her, yes, because they'll be more potent and interesting storms to watch moving on through the season... :D
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2003 bad year for fires
Member Since: September 18, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 5248
Quoting HurricaneDean07:
I agree with no retirement for Debby...
Retirement= A catastrophic storm that is warranted retirement because it could be a sensitive discussion if it were to be kept as a name for the next cycle, especially(Ex. If Ivan was kept as a storm name, and went into the caribbean in 2010 and came toward the Caymans and Jamaica, You don't want people that already dealt ,and suffered loss, with Ivan of 04' to have to deal with a Ivan of 10') Basically. Debby won't be retired, but definately remembered to some as the worst rainmaker since Allison/Fay.

I believe we will get a retirement this season though.


yeah everyone will have forgotten about debby except for the 30 people in those 3 counties in planhandle near tallahassee...ive already forgotten her! NEXT!
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Quoting HurricaneDean07:

Unless he were to reform and then poof a day after.


lol
Member Since: September 18, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 5248
Quoting E46Pilot:
Yeah bro, only thing is, is that it brings a land breeze, you know what that means.....HOT HOT HOT.

I'm thinking 95-96 degrees.

You think that's HOT HOT HOT?
It was 109 here yesterday.
Supposed to be 106 today.
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Quoting CybrTeddy:
1153. It's too early to tell, but Allison produced massive flooding in Texas and was retired.

True. That's why I mentioned Retirement of Debby is possible... 1123.
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hello folks
Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6539
Yeah bro, only thing is, is that it brings a land breeze, you know what that means.....HOT HOT HOT.

I'm thinking 95-96 degrees. At least for us on the SE coast
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Quoting FLWeatherFreak91:
After such an exciting couple of days dealing with dumb Debby, I am in the airport awaiting a flight to Maine to cool off for a couple of weeks. I trust you bloggers will keep Debby from staying away from my area while I'm enjoying m vacation :p

Im sure Debby would love to pay a visit to Maine after she spends some time down in the Bahamas.
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1153. It's too early to tell, but Allison produced massive flooding in Texas and was retired.
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Well it looks like Debby might give us a parting gift after all!!!

Debby's tight circulation is forecasted to bring drier air down the spine of the peninsula by tonight. Which means those lower dewpoints over north Florida and Georgia will be payin' us a visit by tomorrow!

Plus it appears Orlando and Tampa will get a much deserved break on the rain department until at least the second week of July!

Even though it's the rainy season down here, this is actually some great news! I wouldn't want afternoon convection rubbing salt to the wound now.
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Quoting HurricaneHunterJoe:


he can't do any worse a job....lol

Unless he were to reform and then poof a day after.
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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