Tropical Storm Debby makes landfall in Florida

By: Angela Fritz , 9:07 PM GMT on June 26, 2012

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Debby continues to weaken this afternoon, but remains a tropical storm with maximum sustained winds of 40 mph. The storm's center of circulation made landfall this afternoon near Steinhatchee, Florida. Hurricane hunters continue to find surface wind speeds that just meet tropical storm criteria and surface buoys on Wundermap are all clocking in at or below 30 mph. The storm's upper-level circulation is being stretched out into the Atlantic by the same steering forces that will transport it to the other side of Florida, and this combined with dry air has led to a messy-looking tropical cyclone over the past couple of days. Though there was no lack of rain yesterday in the Florida panhandle, Debby has certainly been weakened by the dry air that has wrapped into its center (figure 1). Water vapor imagery from satellite shows Debby's center is almost completely void of moisture, though rain continues to fall on the northeast side of the storm where moisture is still available. A 6 foot wide, 12-15 foot deep sinkhole swallowed a small portion of I-10 in Madison County west of Jacksonville, Florida, this morning, where heavy rain continues, though this hole will likely be filled and the lane reopened by tomorrow morning. Wind shear around 20 knots is also keeping Debby at bay, but the real disrupter is the lack of moisture.


Figure 1. Where's Debby? On the left: visible satellite imagery. On the right: water vapor satellite imagery, where the dry air ranges from black to rusty orange. Debby's center is almost completely void of moisture. These images were captured around 1pm EDT.

Forecast for Debby
The forecast for Debby continues to be similar to previous forecasts. The storm will likely continue to lose strength as it moves over Florida this evening and Wednesday, but could gain some momentum again when it reaches the yet untapped Atlantic water. There's a high chance Debby will be downgraded to tropical depression status this evening. The HPC continues to forecast up to 8 inches of rain for far northeast Florida over the next 5 days, likely because of the slight strengthening forecast to occur on Thursday and beyond. Debby's center will most likely be over Atlantic water Wednesday night.


Figure 2. Advisory map for the U.S. Tuesday afternoon. Heat advisories (pink) blanket the central U.S. This heat is expected to move eastward over the next few days as the ridge of high pressure advances.

The Heat Continues

Record highs continue to fall Tuesday afternoon in the central U.S., where Denver, Colorado had its fifth consecutive day of triple-digit heat after it reached 100°F at 1pm MDT, and could continue to rise this afternoon. This ties the all-time record for consecutive 100°F+ days. Nebraska and Kansas are particularly toasty this afternoon; McCook, Nebraska has reached 113°F so far, and Hill City, Kansas is up to 112°F. Though, to put that in perspective, the state record for Nebraska is 118°F, and the state record for Kansas is 121°F.

The heat moves east tomorrow, and by Thursday, many of the major Midwest cities are forecast to be in the triple-digits, including Chicago, St. Louis, and Indianapolis. By Friday the heat will be beating down on the East Coast. In the meantime out west, the forecast high in Fresno for this weekend is 82°F, which would tie as the coolest final weekend in June on record, according to the Hanford forecast office.

Angela

Tropical Storm Debby (apphotos)
Boats are sunken and thrown up on a dock at the Rock Landing Marina in Panacea, Fla., Tuesday, June 26, 2012. High winds and heavy rains spawned by the approaching Tropical Storm Debby caused the damage. (AP Photo/Dave Martin)
Tropical Storm Debby
Tropical Storm Debby (apphotos)
Jesse Deese uses his skim board to shield from blowing sand in Panama City Beach, Fla., Monday, June 25, 2012. Tropical Storm Debby raked the Tampa Bay area with high wind and heavy rain Monday in a drenching that could top 2 feet over the next few days and trigger widespread flooding. (AP Photo/Dave Martin)
Tropical Storm Debby

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Quoting Ameister12:
Gosh! It's going to be hot this week. (especially tomorrow)


Wouldn't be a bad idea to head to the pool. =)





YES IT WOULD!!!!!!

you just dont understand
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9737
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
The heat is on, to say the least. GREarth says temperatures across Kansas are near 115 °F!

It's all spreading east...



Should be near 100 °F from the weekend on. You know what that means? I'm staying my butt indoors or in the pool.

Oh come on, it's not that bad. I work in this heat almost every day and had a pretty epic Ultimate Frisbee Tournament yesterday. Just make sure you drink plenty of water and you'll be fine (we went through several cases yesterday).
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Quoting Ameister12:
Gosh! It's going to be hot this week. (especially tomorrow)


Wouldn't be a bad idea to head to the pool. =)




YES IT WOULD
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Whoa.
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1305. 7544
thanks again but you have to ask the question hmmmm debby what are u up too now she is full of suprises and not done yet as most are saying imo
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Quoting westpalmer:
The green monster "Debby the Dragon" is forcefully pulled away while she breathes out her flaming heat which smolders in the record rainfall over the northern part of the State:
   img src="data:image/jpeg;base64,/9j/4AAQSkZJRgABAQEASA BIAAD/2wBDAAIBAQIBAQICAgICAgICAwUDAwMDAwYEBAMFBwYH BwcGBwcICQsJCAgKCAcHCg0KCgsMDAwMBwkODw0MDgsMDAz/2w BDAQICAgMDAwYDAwYMCAcIDAwMDAwMDAwMDAwMDAwMDAwMDAwM DAwMDAwMDAwMDAwMDAwMDAwMDAwMDAwMDAwMDAz/wAARCAPABQ ADASIAAhEBAxEB/8QAHwAAAQUBAQEBAQEAAAAAAAAAAAECAwQF BgcICQoL/8QAtRAAAgEDAwIEAwUFBAQAAAF9AQIDAAQRBRIhMU EGE1FhByJxFDKBkaEII0KxwRVS0fAkM2JyggkKFhcYGRolJico KSo0NTY3ODk6Q0RFRkdISUpTVFVWV1hZWmNkZWZnaGlqc3R1dn d.......


You fail.
Rotate your computer 90 degrees and try again.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9737
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

No, they're 10 meter winds and they're overlay-ed correctly. I think there has been a center reformation.


maybe but there should still be some semblance of the old circulation:
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9737
Well that didnt work out so well. I'll try again.
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Quoting GeorgiaStormz:


you have no idea how wrong you could be.
If you come back warmer, sweatier, and thirstier than you left, ill be LMFAO

we already tried that lol
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Hurricane Audrey June 27, 1957

Just about everyone who lives in or grew up across Southern Louisiana and Southeast Texas knows the story of Hurricane Audrey, whether it was stories their parents or grandparents passed on, or literature they read within the history books. To commemorate the 50th anniversary of the deadliest natural disaster in the history of Southwest Louisiana, the City of Cameron and Cameron Parish government hosted a memorial service on June 27th, 2007, dedicated to the victims of Hurricane Audrey. The National Weather Service participated in this event with an informative booth highlighting various meteorological data from Hurricane Audrey.

During the early morning hours of June 27, 1957, an early season hurricane named Audrey roared ashore into Southwest Louisiana and Southeastern Texas. Audrey spread a massive storm surge across most of Cameron parish, and across the southern halves of Vermilion, Iberia, and St. Mary parishes, causing total devastation in property and many lives lost. Figure 1 displays the areas inundated with selected high water mark levels. Figure 2 illustrates a post storm SLOSH (Sea, Lake and Overland Surges from Hurricanes) model of Audrey's passage, with an animation available in 15 minute increments.


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Quoting GeorgiaStormz:


is this map not overlayed correctly?
the COC is not in the convection!!
or are you at a different level? 500mb?

No, they're 10 meter winds and they're overlaid correctly. I think there has been a center reformation.
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Gosh! It's going to be hot this week. (especially tomorrow)


Wouldn't be a bad idea to head to the pool. =)


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Quoting MississippiWx:
It's a perfect pool day, so I'm out for now. :-) Take care, everyone.


pools are too hot
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Quoting MississippiWx:
It's a perfect pool day, so I'm out for now. :-) Take care, everyone.


you have no idea how wrong you could be.
If you come back warmer, sweatier, and thirstier than you left, ill be LMFAO
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9737
It's a perfect pool day, so I'm out for now. :-) Take care, everyone.
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
I can see why they upgraded Debby again. Look at the wind barbs.



is this map not overlayed correctly?
the COC is not in the convection!!
or are you at a different level? 500mb?
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9737
Quoting uncwhurricane85:


jersey? haha...those hobokens...im sorry but that state is a dump for new york city! gross!


one guy said it not me
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just curious. what month will noaa officially declare el nino? i say september
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Quoting Neapolitan:
ATCF says Debby is a tropical storm again with the increase in winds, though pressure has risen as well:

AL, 04, 2012062718, , BEST, 0, 295N, 794W, 35, 1003, TS, 34, NEQ, 0, 90, 0, 0,


It looks better on ESL and on Melbourne radar, though radar can't really see inside.

At least there is a CoC and spiral banding again, which it really lost late last night.
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Quoting GeorgiaStormz:


but GA is staying cool!!
it sucks living in a calm state.
for a hot state, making it to 100 degrees is a big deal here.
Record high ever in atlanta is 105 and it was in july.


reminds me of a song.... by jimmy buffet
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Quoting 7544:


thanks trop is it moving se too you

Looks northeast.
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Quoting weatherh98:

me too

im not getting georgia as a top state,

Im hearing florida cali nc and new jersey(because of snooki) and LOUISIANA


jersey? haha...those hobokens...im sorry but that state is a dump for new york city! gross!
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1286. 7544
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Yes, that is Debby.


thanks trop is it moving se too you
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1285. nigel20
Quoting uncwhurricane85:


what the freaki is a modoki el nino?

Modoki is the japanese word for same, but different. el nino "Modiki" also known as central pacific el nino occurs when the SST's in the central pacific are warmer than those in the eastern pacific.
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
The heat is on, to say the least. GREarth says temperatures across Kansas are near 115 °F!

It's all spreading east...



Should be near 100 °F from the weekend on. You know what that means? I'm staying my butt indoors or in the pool.


but GA is staying cool!!
it sucks living in a calm state.
for a hot state, making it to 100 degrees is a big deal here.
Record high ever in atlanta is 105 and it was in july.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9737
I can see why they upgraded Debby again. Look at the wind barbs.

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Quoting jeffs713:

Why do you hate el nino?
typically el ninos ruin activity in the atlantic basin and im a big fan of tracking storms in the atlantic. boy 2010 and 2011 were fun and thankfully we only had one bad storm in those 2 years and that was irene. east pacific storms are boring for me because they form and become strong fast and then as soon as they form they die out although celia in 2010 was a beauty. modoki el ninos are different. its like neutral conditions in the atlantic meaning high wind shear is unlikely (2004)
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Quoting weatherh98:


we get snow in north louisiana
weve had more hurricanes
Link

we get about twice as many tornadoes 25-13
yall? flood? LOL we get a flood every week... had one last week actually.

whoneeds mountains when you have hills? beach? yea we got beaches
according to the cencus, we have 7721 miles of coastline, NC has 3375. also twice as much....

so as i said we were flooding a few weeks ago? our grass is brown now id take a pic but i dont have a camera now.

its currently forecasted to be 99 today oooohhh yea
well actually that aint bad, but the humidity from the samp is... Do yall have swamps up there?

basically NC is the second best place, to LOUISIANA



Best place to live... hands down is in Central VA. The weather never gets too extreme here... granted we do get our fair share of wild weather every now and then but we rarely if at all have a natural disaster that causes major damage. We do have hurricanes but almost all of them were minor brushes. We do recieve tornadoes but most are weak (EFO or EF1). As far as winter is concerned... we do usually have one decent snowfall per year (4" or more). It's pretty seasonal and calm around here.
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Quoting 7544:
can anyone tell if this big spin thats gettin some convection and bands to the south is debby thanks

Link

Yes, that is Debby.
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Quoting weatherh98:

me too

im not getting georgia as a top state,

Im hearing florida cali nc and new jersey(because of snooki) and LOUISIANA


dont forget TX
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9737
Quoting uncwhurricane85:


what the freaki is a modoki el nino?


Well, you just quoted what Modoki's normally do. However, if you're wondering what causes the difference then a Modoki El Nino has the highest anomalies in the Central Pacific. A normal El Nino has the highest anomalies in the Eastern Pacific. The graphic below shows a Modoki El Nino:

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Hi everyone. Any models hinting at any storms in near future?
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1276. 7544
can anyone tell if this big spin thats gettin some convection and bands to the south is debby and if it is is it moving se thanks

Link
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Quoting GeorgiaStormz:


no what if el nino takes too long to set in fully?

I love el nino, it brings snow to GA and actually has severe weather that doesnt die to the AL -> GA state line curse.
In fact, for the last 5 years, with el nino, last year the la nina, was the only one without snow.
It is rare for it to snow so many years in a row though.
One day i will get my dad to go to the NE for a blizzard

me too

im not getting georgia as a top state,

Im hearing florida cali nc and new jersey(because of snooki) and LOUISIANA
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Quoting uncwhurricane85:


what the freaki is a modoki el nino?

A Modoki El Nino is when the majority of the warm Sea Surface Temperatures/Ocean Heat Content consolidates in the Central Pacific as opposed to the East Pacific. This limits the amount of ordinary convection in the East Pacific that we would otherwise see in a typical El Nino. The Atlantic basin is typically quiet during regular El Nino's because the outflow from the convection in the EPAC causes high wind shear across the basin.
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Quoting wunderweatherman123:
im really hoping we dont get one i hate el nino

Why do you hate el nino?
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
The heat is on, to say the least. GREarth says temperatures across Kansas are near 115 °F!

It's all spreading east...



Should be near 100 °F from the weekend on. You know what that means? I'm staying my butt indoors or in the pool.


yah, keep your butt indoors,but take the rest of your body elsewhere.
Your pool is also probably way too hot, or maybe it is just me and wh98 because we work out in pools instead of playing.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9737
So far the ENSO obs have the warmest anomalies over on the east side. In contrast to this time 3 years ago. So I'm not sold on a Modoki yet.:)
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1270. nigel20
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
The heat is on, to say the least. GREarth says temperatures across Kansas are near 115 °F!

It's all spreading east...



Should be near 100 °F from the weekend on. You know what that means? I'm staying my butt indoors or in the pool.

I'm happy that i live on a island, as i couldn't deal with that level of heat.
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
The heat is on, to say the least. GREarth says temperatures across Kansas are near 115 °F!

It's all spreading east...



Should be near 100 °F from the weekend on. You know what that means? I'm staying my butt indoors or in the pool.


indoors, no pool. thosee are close to 90 now which is no relief
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

LOL. Shouldn't that be more like 99%?


no what if el nino takes too long to set in fully?

I love el nino, it brings snow to GA and actually has severe weather that doesnt die to the AL -> GA state line curse.
In fact, for the last 5 years, with el nino, last year the la nina, was the only one without snow.
It is rare for it to snow so many years in a row though.
One day i will get my dad to go to the NE for a blizzard
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9737
Quoting MississippiWx:


First things first. I spelled it wrong. It's Modoki El Nino, so I wanted to correct that first. :-)

To answer your question, Modoki El Nino events normally signal a much cooler winter for the United States. Also, Modoki events can take El Nino's most harmful effects on hurricanes away from the tropical breeding grounds of the Atlantic. In other words, shear would not be as high as you would think during an El Nino year. If it were to verify, we might not have as much of an effect from El Nino as we previously believed.


what the freaki is a modoki el nino?
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Quoting MississippiWx:


That's true. Being from MS, I can attest to what a major hurricane can do to a coast line. Our entire coast line (no joke) looked exactly like this after Katrina. Thank God these type of storms are very uncommon. I guess if you went by frequency of extreme weather, West Coast states and Plains states would win. Gulf Coast states/Atlantic states could possibly experience the most widespread devastation from a weather event due to hurricanes.



aint gotta tell me, im bout 30 miles from the landfall point
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The heat is on, to say the least. GREarth says temperatures across Kansas are near 115 °F!

It's all spreading east...



Should be near 100 °F from the weekend on. You know what that means? I'm staying my butt indoors or in the pool.
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Quoting OrchidGrower:
Re: #1234, what would a Modiki El Nino mean for winter in the U.S? (Great comment & graphic, BTW, MississippiWX!)


First things first. I spelled it wrong. It's Modoki El Nino, so I wanted to correct that first. :-)

To answer your question, Modoki El Nino events normally signal a much cooler winter for the United States. Also, Modoki events can take El Nino's most harmful effects on hurricanes away from the tropical breeding grounds of the Atlantic. In other words, shear would not be as high as you would think during an El Nino year. If it were to verify, we might not have as much of an effect from El Nino as we previously believed.
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Edited post as Nea posted the 18z Best Track.
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

LOL. Shouldn't that be more like 99%?
not exactly remember the cold pdo is still there which is preventing rapid development of an el nino so im thinking in september they will declare an el nino which is why this season will be slightly above normal
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ATCF says Debby is a tropical storm again with the increase in winds, though pressure has risen as well:

AL, 04, 2012062718, , BEST, 0, 295N, 794W, 35, 1003, TS, 34, NEQ, 0, 90, 0, 0,
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Quoting weatherh98:


who needs winter when youcn have an extended summer and aspring that starts january 21?


Some individuals, such as myself, enjoy cold weather (and rain for that matter), though I know I am in the minority. That said, I would not want to live somewhere where it is cold year-round.

Today seems like a transition day in Orlando, weather-wise. No rain, and mostly cloudy. We received a grand total of 3.8" from Debby over the past 5 days. Looks like mid-90s are on the way for us this weekend.
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Quoting weatherbro:
WMO just upped El Nino's chances to 60%!

LOL. Shouldn't that be more like 99%?
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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