Tropical Storm Debby makes landfall in Florida

By: Angela Fritz , 9:07 PM GMT on June 26, 2012

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Debby continues to weaken this afternoon, but remains a tropical storm with maximum sustained winds of 40 mph. The storm's center of circulation made landfall this afternoon near Steinhatchee, Florida. Hurricane hunters continue to find surface wind speeds that just meet tropical storm criteria and surface buoys on Wundermap are all clocking in at or below 30 mph. The storm's upper-level circulation is being stretched out into the Atlantic by the same steering forces that will transport it to the other side of Florida, and this combined with dry air has led to a messy-looking tropical cyclone over the past couple of days. Though there was no lack of rain yesterday in the Florida panhandle, Debby has certainly been weakened by the dry air that has wrapped into its center (figure 1). Water vapor imagery from satellite shows Debby's center is almost completely void of moisture, though rain continues to fall on the northeast side of the storm where moisture is still available. A 6 foot wide, 12-15 foot deep sinkhole swallowed a small portion of I-10 in Madison County west of Jacksonville, Florida, this morning, where heavy rain continues, though this hole will likely be filled and the lane reopened by tomorrow morning. Wind shear around 20 knots is also keeping Debby at bay, but the real disrupter is the lack of moisture.


Figure 1. Where's Debby? On the left: visible satellite imagery. On the right: water vapor satellite imagery, where the dry air ranges from black to rusty orange. Debby's center is almost completely void of moisture. These images were captured around 1pm EDT.

Forecast for Debby
The forecast for Debby continues to be similar to previous forecasts. The storm will likely continue to lose strength as it moves over Florida this evening and Wednesday, but could gain some momentum again when it reaches the yet untapped Atlantic water. There's a high chance Debby will be downgraded to tropical depression status this evening. The HPC continues to forecast up to 8 inches of rain for far northeast Florida over the next 5 days, likely because of the slight strengthening forecast to occur on Thursday and beyond. Debby's center will most likely be over Atlantic water Wednesday night.


Figure 2. Advisory map for the U.S. Tuesday afternoon. Heat advisories (pink) blanket the central U.S. This heat is expected to move eastward over the next few days as the ridge of high pressure advances.

The Heat Continues

Record highs continue to fall Tuesday afternoon in the central U.S., where Denver, Colorado had its fifth consecutive day of triple-digit heat after it reached 100°F at 1pm MDT, and could continue to rise this afternoon. This ties the all-time record for consecutive 100°F+ days. Nebraska and Kansas are particularly toasty this afternoon; McCook, Nebraska has reached 113°F so far, and Hill City, Kansas is up to 112°F. Though, to put that in perspective, the state record for Nebraska is 118°F, and the state record for Kansas is 121°F.

The heat moves east tomorrow, and by Thursday, many of the major Midwest cities are forecast to be in the triple-digits, including Chicago, St. Louis, and Indianapolis. By Friday the heat will be beating down on the East Coast. In the meantime out west, the forecast high in Fresno for this weekend is 82°F, which would tie as the coolest final weekend in June on record, according to the Hanford forecast office.

Angela

Tropical Storm Debby (apphotos)
Boats are sunken and thrown up on a dock at the Rock Landing Marina in Panacea, Fla., Tuesday, June 26, 2012. High winds and heavy rains spawned by the approaching Tropical Storm Debby caused the damage. (AP Photo/Dave Martin)
Tropical Storm Debby
Tropical Storm Debby (apphotos)
Jesse Deese uses his skim board to shield from blowing sand in Panama City Beach, Fla., Monday, June 25, 2012. Tropical Storm Debby raked the Tampa Bay area with high wind and heavy rain Monday in a drenching that could top 2 feet over the next few days and trigger widespread flooding. (AP Photo/Dave Martin)
Tropical Storm Debby

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Quoting ncstorm:
the 18z GFS has come back west with Debbie after it exits florida..lets see if it keeps trending that way

Disclaimer-Just an observation, by no means is this an official forecast


We must be looking at different GFS runs then.
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Fighting those fires in 100 plus heat for sixteen hour stretches, no thank you. Intense weather all around.
Member Since: April 18, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2437
I just want to say that I know a lot of people have been talking about people bashing the NHC, mets, other bloggers, etc about the "blown forecast of Debby" but what I will personally remember about Debby is what a great comfort it was for me while being alone with 3 dogs and only having moved here in Dec. oh, and did I mention that while I have been a "flippin' Floridian :) my whole life (56 years) I have always lived more inland while longing for the beach. I was sitting here on a barrier island across the street from the Gulf but I had people here on this blog feeding me current info and visuals and many people going through the same or similar or have been there before. I also enjoyed the humor during the stressful hours even the trolls did not diminish the experience for me and I know that is saying a lot :) Nothing is perfect not man or his machines :) but I want to say thank you to everyone here for being here with me and what a cool weather experience it was! I know I am repeating this from the end of the last blog but I can so there :) Oh, and thank you for the update!
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weather chat anyone?
Link
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9760
Quoting Methurricanes:
Reverse Fay?


not that much west..

12z had it where it didnt affect any land masses


18z has it affecting New foundland
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Well you guys are all underwater we are literally on fire! Had a dry thunderstorm move through Boulder Colorado earlier today which inevitably sparked a Wildfire. My roommate and I smelled the smoke and saw ash falling from the sky and both knew right away with the conditions we have had. Was 6 acres when i walked down the road an hour ago and Is now 300. Pre evacuation just ordered a few blocks from me. This includes the NOAA offices and National Center of Atmospheric Research. News says they are evacuating NCAR now. Photo I snapped down the road.

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Quoting Methurricanes:
Reverse Fay?
Further south, or directly back across?
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Quoting ncstorm:
the 18z GFS has come back west with Debbie after it exits florida..lets see if it keeps trending that way

Disclaimer-Just an observation, by no means is this an official forecast


debby misses the us completely and ends in newfoundland:
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9760
Quoting ncstorm:
the 18z GFS has come back west with Debbie after it exits florida..lets see if it keeps trending that way

Disclaimer-Just an observation, by no means is this an official forecast
Debbie could be around for a real long time.
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Quoting ncstorm:
the 18z GFS has come back west with Debbie after it exits florida..lets see if it keeps trending that way

Disclaimer-Just an observation, by no means is this an official forecast


Link or Pic?
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Quoting ncstorm:
the 18z GFS has come back west with Debbie after it exits florida..lets see if it keeps trending that way

Disclaimer-Just an observation, by no means is this an official forecast
Reverse Fay?
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Nation news is saying this is the longest the Skyway bridge has ever been closed too.
Member Since: April 18, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2437
the 18z GFS has come back west with Debbie after it exits florida..lets see if it keeps trending that way

Disclaimer-Just an observation, by no means is this an official forecast
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I-10 completely closed because of a giant sink hole, wow.
Member Since: April 18, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2437
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:


no, but i wouldnt put it past them


Surprised they didn't show us the Country of Georgia, instead of the state...
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Quoting Methurricanes:
Did anyone see TWC graphic place Tampa in Central Georgia?


no, but i wouldnt put it past them
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9760
No.. Not completely naked...

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Quoting presslord:
Angela is in da house!!!!!!!! Now it's a party!!!!!


Yes... Let's make it a Hurricane part shall we? (as long as the Hurricane part is a drink and not an actual storm)
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Quoting Tribucanes:
Jacksonville getting the train coming through. Six/seven inches isn't out of the question. Probably four/five inches is realistic. How much have you received in Jacksonville so far?


Jacksonville and the surrounding area have apparently received 8 to 15 inches.
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This is a pretty good aerial shot of Bayshore Blvd in Tampa today: Yes, there's a road there somewhere. 4 lanes..

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Did anyone see TWC graphic place Tampa in Central Georgia?
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Quoting charlottefl:
Ok guys thought you would get a kick out of this: (Bayshore Blvd in Downtown Tampa), but what's that??

Chris Bosh?
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next week in birmingham might no be much more humid:
THE MOISTURE LEVELS INCREASE EACH DAY THROUGH NEXT WEEK...BUT
THE THREAT FOR HOT CONDITIONS WILL OUTWEIGH THE CHANCE OF RAIN.


They are expecting low 100s and are following the GFS and the new ECMWF especially supports this idea.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9760
Strong winds flips a plane this afternoon in WPB!!

Strong Winds Cause 2 Lake Worth House Fires

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Jacksonville getting the train coming through. Six/seven inches isn't out of the question. Probably four/five inches is realistic. How much have you received in Jacksonville so far?
Member Since: April 18, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2437
Let me get this out there before I get in trouble yes, it's photo shopped. A little tropical humor.. And just to keep this on topic:

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Quoting lostinohio:
Forecast here in Calhoun,Ga is 108F saturday from wunderground. What in the heck is that about?


I believe its called wunderground notthebestforecast
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9760
Quoting charlottefl:
Ok guys thought you would get a kick out of this: (Bayshore Blvd in Downtown Tampa), but what's that??



That's obviously just dirt on the lens. Yeah.
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Quoting charlottefl:
Ok guys thought you would get a kick out of this: (Bayshore Blvd in Downtown Tampa), but what's that??


Dinosaur?
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Quoting charlottefl:
Ok guys thought you would get a kick out of this: (Bayshore Blvd in Downtown Tampa), but what's that??



it is photoshop!!!!!!
lol. wonder if there is such a thing as leftover lake monsters.

And i am laughing at all of you in the extreme heat.
GA never gets that hot.
Even when the temps are supposed to be in the low 100s next week in AL and TN, GA will be in the mid to upper 90s at best :)
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9760
Does anyone know the rainfall rate (per hour in.) currently hitting Jacksonville and surrounding areas? Looks pretty intense.
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Strong winds flips a plane this afternoon in WPB!!
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Other than the BAMS forecast track for Debby, this is one of the odder things I’ve run across lately: in an interview on weather as an economic indicator from Marketplace Morning Report.
Except:
Juli Niemann: “Well Jeremy, it's gorgeous here. It's dry, no humidity, not a cloud in the sky. I think there's a song in this. But crops are getting cooked in the field. The big problem right now is there's no rain. And the pain ahead is that the corn silking and the flower setting is shaping up to be probably the worst in years.
One climatologist we heard from has said the planetary alignment is now what it was in the 1930s and that distorts the gravitational pull on the weather patterns, setting us up for huge global drought.


Fortunately there is some serious push back to that statement in the comments. It will be interesting to see if Marketplace corrects this erroneous and unattributed statement in the next program.
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Now that the blob and Debby are very close to each other are we starting to see the beginning of west side consolidation? Looks like today's blob is pulling energy back from yesterday's blob. All this energy in the Atlantic off the Carolina's coast should block this current blob from moving east anytime soon. Center should move into range and start utilizing this energy fully and I wouldn't be surprised to see Debby back up to 55/60mph by tomorrow.
Member Since: April 18, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2437
Quoting SunnyDaysFla:

I think you will be fine---enjoy!


Thanks, Sunny!

I think I saw your namesake for about 5 minutes today. Then the clouds came back:(

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Quoting lostinohio:
Forecast here in Calhoun,Ga is 108F saturday from wunderground. What in the heck is that about?
Join Texas and the rest of nation that is Burning Up, Hottest day ever here today for June and almost for any day.
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Ok guys thought you would get a kick out of this: (Bayshore Blvd in Downtown Tampa), but what's that??

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Quoting lostinohio:
Forecast here in Calhoun,Ga is 108F saturday from wunderground. What in the heck is that about?


AGW.
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Quoting Neapolitan:
Hill City, KS--mentioned by Angela in the post--is now up to 114 degrees:

Hot
I like their heat index though a cool 106, heat indexes today in Texas were in the 115 to 120 range. Dew points here are still pretty high and severe storms are building, currently cloudy and 108.
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Quoting RTSplayer:


That's messed up.

It's so dry and hot there that the heat index is actually lower than the temperature...
I noticed that. The dewpoint is below freezing. Lovely...
Member Since: November 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13805
Quoting NHCaddict:
Hey, Tampa people--My daughter wants to go to a concert over there Thursday night. We'll be driving over from Orlando. Do you think there will be any issues getting to the Forum?

TIA

I think you will be fine---enjoy!
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Quoting Neapolitan:
Hill City, KS--mentioned by Angela in the post--is now up to 114 degrees:

Hot


That's messed up.

It's so dry and hot there that the heat index is actually lower than the temperature...
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Forecast here in Calhoun,Ga is 108F saturday from wunderground. What in the heck is that about?
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Hill City, KS--mentioned by Angela in the post--is now up to 114 degrees:

Hot
Member Since: November 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13805
Philippines Atmospheric Geophysical Astronomical Services and Administration
Tropical Cyclone Bulletin #3
TROPICAL STORM DINDO (DOKSURI)
5:00 AM PhST June 27 2012
==============================================

Tropical Storm "DINDO" has maintained its strength as it moves towards Extreme Northern Luzon

At 4:00 AM PhST, Tropical Storm Dindo (Doksuri) located at 15.1°N 129.0°E or 480 km east northeast of Virac, Catanduanes has 10 minute sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 9 knots.

Signal Warnings
==================

Signal Warning #1

Luzon Region
-------------
1. Cagayan
2. Isabela

Additional Information
========================

Residents living in low lying and mountainous areas, under public storm warning signal #1, are alerted against possible flash floods and landslides.

Estimated rainfall amount is from 15-25 mm per hour (heavy to intense) within the 400 km diameter of the tropical storm.

Tropical Storm "Dindo" is expected to enhance the southwest monsoon that will bring rains over southern Luzon, Visayas and Mindanao especially the western section.

Fishing boats and other small seacrafts are advised not to venture out into the Eastern Seaboards of Central and Southern Luzon and Visayas due to the combined effect of Tropical Storm "DINDO" and the southwest monsoon.

The public and the disaster coordinating councils concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin to be issued at 11 AM today.
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Quoting ChaseyChasinStorms:


I LOVE Hammond. Such a cute, clean little town.......


Stuck at 99 here in Baton Rouge for the last 4 hours. I think it's a few degrees over 100, tho.
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109 in Austin Tx. today , hottest day ever in June dating back to 1800's. 111 at my house and that was in the shade, my temp usually runs a degree or 2 warmer than Austins.
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Quoting PackManWx:
If I want to monitor the long range models for july 6-11, what are the best links to use?

Which models go out that far?


The newly canonized saint of models GFS goes out to about 300 hrs:)

But this link supplys them all
Link

But a less complicated site would be this one below but does not show as long
Link
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Quoting RTSplayer:


It's okay. At least we don't have a lot of crime.

Lot's a small restaurants in driving range too.


Well thanks for the chat. Gotta run.......have a great one all....... late. :)
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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