Tropical Storm Debby makes landfall in Florida

By: Angela Fritz , 9:07 PM GMT on June 26, 2012

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Debby continues to weaken this afternoon, but remains a tropical storm with maximum sustained winds of 40 mph. The storm's center of circulation made landfall this afternoon near Steinhatchee, Florida. Hurricane hunters continue to find surface wind speeds that just meet tropical storm criteria and surface buoys on Wundermap are all clocking in at or below 30 mph. The storm's upper-level circulation is being stretched out into the Atlantic by the same steering forces that will transport it to the other side of Florida, and this combined with dry air has led to a messy-looking tropical cyclone over the past couple of days. Though there was no lack of rain yesterday in the Florida panhandle, Debby has certainly been weakened by the dry air that has wrapped into its center (figure 1). Water vapor imagery from satellite shows Debby's center is almost completely void of moisture, though rain continues to fall on the northeast side of the storm where moisture is still available. A 6 foot wide, 12-15 foot deep sinkhole swallowed a small portion of I-10 in Madison County west of Jacksonville, Florida, this morning, where heavy rain continues, though this hole will likely be filled and the lane reopened by tomorrow morning. Wind shear around 20 knots is also keeping Debby at bay, but the real disrupter is the lack of moisture.


Figure 1. Where's Debby? On the left: visible satellite imagery. On the right: water vapor satellite imagery, where the dry air ranges from black to rusty orange. Debby's center is almost completely void of moisture. These images were captured around 1pm EDT.

Forecast for Debby
The forecast for Debby continues to be similar to previous forecasts. The storm will likely continue to lose strength as it moves over Florida this evening and Wednesday, but could gain some momentum again when it reaches the yet untapped Atlantic water. There's a high chance Debby will be downgraded to tropical depression status this evening. The HPC continues to forecast up to 8 inches of rain for far northeast Florida over the next 5 days, likely because of the slight strengthening forecast to occur on Thursday and beyond. Debby's center will most likely be over Atlantic water Wednesday night.


Figure 2. Advisory map for the U.S. Tuesday afternoon. Heat advisories (pink) blanket the central U.S. This heat is expected to move eastward over the next few days as the ridge of high pressure advances.

The Heat Continues

Record highs continue to fall Tuesday afternoon in the central U.S., where Denver, Colorado had its fifth consecutive day of triple-digit heat after it reached 100°F at 1pm MDT, and could continue to rise this afternoon. This ties the all-time record for consecutive 100°F+ days. Nebraska and Kansas are particularly toasty this afternoon; McCook, Nebraska has reached 113°F so far, and Hill City, Kansas is up to 112°F. Though, to put that in perspective, the state record for Nebraska is 118°F, and the state record for Kansas is 121°F.

The heat moves east tomorrow, and by Thursday, many of the major Midwest cities are forecast to be in the triple-digits, including Chicago, St. Louis, and Indianapolis. By Friday the heat will be beating down on the East Coast. In the meantime out west, the forecast high in Fresno for this weekend is 82°F, which would tie as the coolest final weekend in June on record, according to the Hanford forecast office.

Angela

Tropical Storm Debby (apphotos)
Boats are sunken and thrown up on a dock at the Rock Landing Marina in Panacea, Fla., Tuesday, June 26, 2012. High winds and heavy rains spawned by the approaching Tropical Storm Debby caused the damage. (AP Photo/Dave Martin)
Tropical Storm Debby
Tropical Storm Debby (apphotos)
Jesse Deese uses his skim board to shield from blowing sand in Panama City Beach, Fla., Monday, June 25, 2012. Tropical Storm Debby raked the Tampa Bay area with high wind and heavy rain Monday in a drenching that could top 2 feet over the next few days and trigger widespread flooding. (AP Photo/Dave Martin)
Tropical Storm Debby

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Quoting HurricaneDean07:

We had the Same feeling about Emily too. Just this time she's more annoying. Emily Literally was invincable when it came to surviving as a Tropical Cyclone. She managed to recover and form east of Florida then head out to sea, which lead to the formation of Gert. God Emily was a pest... Im done talking about her.
Let's not forget about the ghost of Karen :).
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 17161
AL, 04, 2012062700, , BEST, 0, 294N, 831W, 30, 998, TD
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Quoting BrickellBreeze:


South of Cross city.



If she moves South far enough, what the chances she gets left behind by the trough, and gets trapped under the ridge?


Not to pick at you, but if she moved south enough to miss the trough, she would miss it...

A better question would be how far south does Debby need to move to miss the trough?

I don't know that answer...
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Quoting washingtonian115:
She just needs to die already...

We had the Same feeling about Emily too. Just this time she's more annoying. Emily Literally was invincable when it came to surviving as a Tropical Cyclone. She managed to recover and form east of Florida then head out to sea, which lead to the formation of Gert. God Emily was a pest... Im done talking about her.
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Quoting BahaHurican:
lol... definitely a head-scratcher.... and looks like not quite over, either. Looking to see what happens w/ Debbie over the open ATL...


and in the beginning i saw lift

here is a full hemispheric shot up to 902 edt

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Quoting dewfree:
ok will ask again .where id Debby come ashore ?


South of Cross city.

Quoting TampaFLUSA:

Maybe SSE but what do I know. A couple of sites in Citrus County winds out of the south.


If she moves South far enough, what the chances she gets left behind by the trough, and gets trapped under the ridge?
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WOW!! I didn't even realize it was tagged by the NHC.
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Quoting dewfree:
ok will ask again .where id Debby come ashore ?


read the blog...steinhatchee, fl
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Interested to see how the AEW emerging over the African coast fares during the next 24-36 hours over water.

As for the AOC highlighted by the NHC, environmental conditions aren't necessarily conducive, and any development will be slow.
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This is a old pass, but looks like the wave around 8n/35w might be the next AOI.

Looks like for a minimal TS , Debby sure did a number on Florida, to all our friends and the general population in FL. stay safe.
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Quoting BahaHurican:
lol... definitely a head-scratcher.... and looks like not quite over, either. Looking to see what happens w/ Debbie over the open ATL...
She just needs to die already...
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 17161
ok will ask again .where id Debby come ashore ?
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397. Jax82
the way it looks on radar, it just seems like debbie is toast, where is the circulation? It just now looks like a front is pushing south, plus she came on shore much earlier than expected. Just a weird storm all around.
Member Since: September 2, 2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 1261
396. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Additional Information
=====================

Doksuri will move northwest at same speed for next 72 hours

Final Initial Dvorak number will be 3.0 after 24 hours
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Quoting PackManWx:
what does SAL stand for
sahara air layer indicates periods or eipsoides of dust moving from the sahara desert in north africa over the open tropical atlantic which traverses across the basin
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394. JLPR2
Quoting WxLogic:


LOL... good thing you look at it in a semi positive way. :P


Have to, that's my reality every year from May to August. XD
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Quoting washingtonian115:
Africa sure isn't letting it's waves go to waste..Maybe these first two waves will help clear the SAL for the third one?.Is possible.

Baha I'm doing really good.Hopefully we don't have any more head banger storms like Debbie that makes people wanna smash their computer.
lol... definitely a head-scratcher.... and looks like not quite over, either. Looking to see what happens w/ Debbie over the open ATL...
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Quoting PackManWx:
what does SAL stand for


The SAL is an elevated layer of hot, dry, dust-laden African air that often covers a large area of the tropical Atlantic during the hurricane season. The SAL has been investigated for several decades...

http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2004/s2206.ht m

NOAA RESEARCHER SAYS SAHARAN AIR LAYER CONNECTED TO ATLANTIC HURRICANE SUPPRESSION AND INTENSITY CHANGE


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Quoting GeoffreyWPB:



CLP5=DOOM
Member Since: October 22, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2467
What I want to know at this point ,where did Debby actuall come ashore ?Looks like it was just south of Deadmans cove
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Quoting Stormchaser2007:
The CATL wave has major SAL issues up ahead, but I think it can make it to 97L if the GFS is correct.



Never know, could be like that one system in 2010 (92L) in June that attempted to become a cyclone before being eaten alive by SAL.
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Quoting BrickellBreeze:


I think she is drifiting SE fast.

Maybe SSE but what do I know. A couple of sites in Citrus County winds out of the south.
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387. G8GT
Does anyone else see the COC of Debby moving toward the S or SSE?

Link
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386. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #15
TROPICAL STORM DOKSURI (T1206)
9:00 AM JST June 27 2012
==========================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In Sea East Of The Philippines

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Doksuri (1000 hPa) is located at 15.2N 127.7E has 10 minute sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 50 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 12 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
===============
240 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
===========================

24 HRS: 17.7N 123.9E - 45 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) - Sea East of the Philippines
45 HRS: 20.2N 119.9E - 50 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) - South China Sea
69 HRS: 22.4N 116.3E - 50 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) - South China Sea
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well thats it for me folks..been a real busy day for us huh, hopefully tomorrow will be better for florida, let the clean up begin..gee..have a good night everyone, stay safe out there
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Quoting JLPR2:


And all of that SAL will give me prime weather for painting and cleaning the backyard tomorrow. XD


LOL... good thing you look at it in a semi positive way. :P
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Quoting BahaHurican:
Nah... just seems like it 'cause all the FLoridians are out trying to get their stuff back together...

lol

How u doin, DC115? I had another long day, so it's good to be blogging for a little while...
acually we will all be mowing our lawn every three days now lol
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Local news reporting sink holes opening in marion and sumter counties..watch out folks we may end up like atlantis and just go back into the sea ...those are scary ..the ground just opens up and swallows you with no warning..we have so many anthills on our property I was worried our house may just sink into one of those..
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Quoting MrMixon:
Just took this from the back yard. Fire is roughly six miles away. We haven't been ordered to evac yet, but we're packing just in case...



More info here at the Boulder Daily Camera
I will take Hurricanes over fire any day! We pray it stays away from you!
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...................almost to Ocala now
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Quoting TheWeatherMan504:


Dry air generally isn't an issue when wind shear isn't a problem.


It will be once the wave begins to interact with the TUTT developing in the Caribbean.
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Quoting LargoFl:
.....................almost looks like it wants to sink down to Daytona and Orlando


I think she is drifiting SE fast.
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Africa sure isn't letting it's waves go to waste..
Quoting HurricaneDean07:

And the one after that xD
That's another one the models are hinting at being potent.
Maybe these first two waves will help clear the SAL for the third one?.Is possible.

Baha I'm doing really good.Hopefully we don't have any more head banger storms like Debbie that makes people wanna smash their computer.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 17161
Quoting washingtonian115:
And the blog is dead...
Nah... just seems like it 'cause all the FLoridians are out trying to get their stuff back together...

lol

How u doin, DC115? I had another long day, so it's good to be blogging for a little while...
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Quoting PackManWx:
what does SAL stand for

Saharan Air Layer.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32354
Quoting Stormchaser2007:
The CATL wave has major SAL issues up ahead, but I think it can make it to 97L if the GFS is correct.



Dry air generally isn't an issue when wind shear isn't a problem.
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Quoting HurricaneDean07:
I don't know everyone...
You say the AOI wave won't develop because of dry air... Here's my reason it might.


it wont develop.
and i wont eat crow cause i wont have to
only so much moisture it can take with it.
the wave behind it might be good with all the moisture the first one strings out
nite all
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9733
what does SAL stand for
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
That wave behind our AOI is definitely one to watch as well.

And the one after that xD
That's another one the models are hinting at being potent.
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368. Jax82
Quoting washingtonian115:
And the blog is dead...


yeah not too many users live in NE FL obviously, thats the only area being really affected right now!
Member Since: September 2, 2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 1261
TWX13 did you get the e-mail.And yes I agree.The wave sure does look mighty.But it could fall apart once it hits the water.
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Quoting LargoFl:
.....................almost looks like it wants to sink down to Daytona and Orlando
Im with you. wonder how far south those storms will get.
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WOW!!!
1. A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 840 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE
VERDE ISLANDS IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
ANY DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT MOVES
WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
Member Since: May 23, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 4724
Quoting Jedkins01:


I hoped to see 3 to 5 inches of rain, I wanted it bad because of being in drought for so long, I ended up with 9.79 on Sunday and nearly an additional 3 overnight into Monday morning, another inch since then on top of that, that leaves the event of Debby with around 14 inches of rain, and 21 inches for June. My gosh, I think I got a wee bit more then I bargained for!
LOL i think we all did geez
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Debby is like family visiting your home in Florida. A few days of nice rain is good, we count on it, a nice little visit. But then the family member goes all wacko, and you can't get them to leave. You're afraid to say something direct for fear they'll stay all summer!

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That wave behind our AOI is definitely one to watch as well.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32354
Quoting MAweatherboy1:
At the risk of eating crow: There is absolutely no way this wave will develop... Still, it shows it's almost that time of year :)

Your'e still going to end up eating crow whichever way you predict it to develop/not develop.
You got a 50/50 shot of eating crow either way...
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Quoting LargoFl:
stay safe up there, i rermember here..4 inches turned into 14 inches in one day, then we still got MORE gee


I hoped to see 3 to 5 inches of rain, I wanted it bad because of being in drought for so long, I ended up with 9.79 on Sunday and nearly an additional 3 overnight into Monday morning, another inch since then on top of that, that leaves the event of Debby with around 14 inches of rain, and 21 inches for June. My gosh, I think I got a wee bit more then I bargained for!
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Quoting floridaT:
that line of rain in north fl looks like a winter cold front
..sure does huh
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.