Tropical Storm Debby makes landfall in Florida

By: Angela Fritz , 9:07 PM GMT on June 26, 2012

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Debby continues to weaken this afternoon, but remains a tropical storm with maximum sustained winds of 40 mph. The storm's center of circulation made landfall this afternoon near Steinhatchee, Florida. Hurricane hunters continue to find surface wind speeds that just meet tropical storm criteria and surface buoys on Wundermap are all clocking in at or below 30 mph. The storm's upper-level circulation is being stretched out into the Atlantic by the same steering forces that will transport it to the other side of Florida, and this combined with dry air has led to a messy-looking tropical cyclone over the past couple of days. Though there was no lack of rain yesterday in the Florida panhandle, Debby has certainly been weakened by the dry air that has wrapped into its center (figure 1). Water vapor imagery from satellite shows Debby's center is almost completely void of moisture, though rain continues to fall on the northeast side of the storm where moisture is still available. A 6 foot wide, 12-15 foot deep sinkhole swallowed a small portion of I-10 in Madison County west of Jacksonville, Florida, this morning, where heavy rain continues, though this hole will likely be filled and the lane reopened by tomorrow morning. Wind shear around 20 knots is also keeping Debby at bay, but the real disrupter is the lack of moisture.


Figure 1. Where's Debby? On the left: visible satellite imagery. On the right: water vapor satellite imagery, where the dry air ranges from black to rusty orange. Debby's center is almost completely void of moisture. These images were captured around 1pm EDT.

Forecast for Debby
The forecast for Debby continues to be similar to previous forecasts. The storm will likely continue to lose strength as it moves over Florida this evening and Wednesday, but could gain some momentum again when it reaches the yet untapped Atlantic water. There's a high chance Debby will be downgraded to tropical depression status this evening. The HPC continues to forecast up to 8 inches of rain for far northeast Florida over the next 5 days, likely because of the slight strengthening forecast to occur on Thursday and beyond. Debby's center will most likely be over Atlantic water Wednesday night.


Figure 2. Advisory map for the U.S. Tuesday afternoon. Heat advisories (pink) blanket the central U.S. This heat is expected to move eastward over the next few days as the ridge of high pressure advances.

The Heat Continues

Record highs continue to fall Tuesday afternoon in the central U.S., where Denver, Colorado had its fifth consecutive day of triple-digit heat after it reached 100°F at 1pm MDT, and could continue to rise this afternoon. This ties the all-time record for consecutive 100°F+ days. Nebraska and Kansas are particularly toasty this afternoon; McCook, Nebraska has reached 113°F so far, and Hill City, Kansas is up to 112°F. Though, to put that in perspective, the state record for Nebraska is 118°F, and the state record for Kansas is 121°F.

The heat moves east tomorrow, and by Thursday, many of the major Midwest cities are forecast to be in the triple-digits, including Chicago, St. Louis, and Indianapolis. By Friday the heat will be beating down on the East Coast. In the meantime out west, the forecast high in Fresno for this weekend is 82°F, which would tie as the coolest final weekend in June on record, according to the Hanford forecast office.

Angela

Tropical Storm Debby (apphotos)
Boats are sunken and thrown up on a dock at the Rock Landing Marina in Panacea, Fla., Tuesday, June 26, 2012. High winds and heavy rains spawned by the approaching Tropical Storm Debby caused the damage. (AP Photo/Dave Martin)
Tropical Storm Debby
Tropical Storm Debby (apphotos)
Jesse Deese uses his skim board to shield from blowing sand in Panama City Beach, Fla., Monday, June 25, 2012. Tropical Storm Debby raked the Tampa Bay area with high wind and heavy rain Monday in a drenching that could top 2 feet over the next few days and trigger widespread flooding. (AP Photo/Dave Martin)
Tropical Storm Debby

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Debby was (is?) a pain for Pinellas, specially for some of my co-workers that had to detour around the Bay Area due to the Sunshine Skyway closure. HOWEVER, I'll take even a hurricane over that horrible fire in Colorado,truly terrifying.
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Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
I don't get it...

Flood insurance program vote threatened by beginning-of-life amendment


Morons. All of 'em.
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Quoting RTSplayer:


Not your imagination at all.

I've been watching SSE motion for several hours now.

It's admittedly a bit harder to track since it's partially open CoC, but there is no way in hell this is moving N nor even due east.

Far more S motion than east, as evidenced by both Tampa and Tallahassee radars.

Also, even though there's still quite a weakness east of the ridge, the steering map shows that the trough isn't directly affecting the steering of the storm any more.



and



It looks like the RIDGE is rolling to the east, and possibly pushing the storm SE to SSE. Time will tell if it manages to get around the ridge, or if it gets jammed up again or pushed back west.

I think the storm has probably moved a good 0.3 to 0.5 degrees SOUTH since the last advisory.


She is also heading into warmer water, and shear can only decrease from here.
Member Since: March 22, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 723
Quoting kmanislander:


Actually I haven't had time to look out that way recently but after mid July that area becomes a breeding ground for the long track systems that can become so dangerous. Over a week crossing the Atl gives those Twaves a lot of time to ramp up.
I think it's a little interesting system to track.Especially for late June/early July.GFS has picked up on this for two days now.NHC has it at a 10% chance.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 16406
Quoting washingtonian115:
Hey.Better keep an eye on the east Atlantic the next few days.Seems the cape verde season wants to get going early.


Actually I haven't had time to look out that way recently but after mid July that area becomes a breeding ground for the long track systems that can become so dangerous. Over a week crossing the Atl gives those Twaves a lot of time to ramp up.
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Quoting weatherh98:


Debby is following 1 direction on there tour...

So you've been keeping up with them, huh? :-)
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Hi Kman. What do you make of the wave in Eastern Atlantic that for being June,it looks decent? And NHC is watching it closely with that 10%.
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14002
Quoting cloudy0day:
Is it my imagination or did the center of
Debby just roll part way down the west coast of FL.? She's a sneaky one!


Not your imagination at all.

I've been watching SSE motion for several hours now.

It's admittedly a bit harder to track since it's partially open CoC, but there is no way in hell this is moving N nor even due east.

Far more S motion than east, as evidenced by both Tampa and Tallahassee radars.

Also, even though there's still quite a weakness east of the ridge, the steering map shows that the trough isn't directly affecting the steering of the storm any more.



and



It looks like the RIDGE is rolling to the east, and possibly pushing the storm SE to SSE. Time will tell if it manages to get around the ridge, or if it gets jammed up again or pushed back west.

I think the storm has probably moved a good 0.3 to 0.5 degrees SOUTH since the last advisory.
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Quoting kmanislander:


You rang :-)
Hey.Better keep an eye on the east Atlantic the next few days.Seems the cape verde season wants to get going early.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 16406
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Why? Doesn't it still have to do Dallas?


Debby is following 1 direction on there tour...
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Why? Doesn't it still have to do Dallas?


In the movies maybe LOL
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Quoting Tazmanian:
hey is any one geting this with the new chrome 20 or firefox 13?


This webpage is not available
The webpage at http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comme nt.html?entrynum=2136 might be temporarily down or it may have moved permanently to a new web address.
Error 330 (net::ERR_CONTENT_DECODING_FAILED): Unknown erro




any one geting this above?
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Quoting washingtonian115:
I'm glad my peeps(people) are on tonight.Nothing like bloggers who you can associate with,with comfort.Now where's K-man?.
He just popped in
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coc collaspe
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Quoting kmanislander:


Debby was never a Texas storm.

Why? Doesn't it still have to do Dallas?
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Quoting washingtonian115:
I'm glad my peeps(people) are on tonight.Nothing like bloggers who you can associate with,with comfort.Now where's K-man?.


You rang :-)
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Quoting Surferdude:
Forget about modeling, ugly Debby is obviously driving down I75 to catch I4 toward I95;

sshheeeshhh
..More like..'she's found another and poof! she was gone...."
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I'm glad my peeps(people) are on tonight.Nothing like bloggers who you can associate with,with comfort.Now where's K-man?.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 16406
Wind is ENE in Cedar Key and S in Homosassa this hr. COC is definitely headed SE.
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
The center of Debby made landfall this afternoon, but has sense backed offshore. What if, after all it has put us through already, it decided to head to Texas? Lol.
Then did an Allison and moved back east, then pulled an Ivan, looped back, hit FL from the east, and then hit TX again? Things to think about. LOL!
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Forget about modeling, ugly Debby is obviously driving down I75 to catch I4 toward I95;

sshheeeshhh
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hey is any one geting this with the new chrome 20 or firefox 13?


This webpage is not available
The webpage at http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comme nt.html?entrynum=2136 might be temporarily down or it may have moved permanently to a new web address.
Error 330 (net::ERR_CONTENT_DECODING_FAILED): Unknown erro
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
The center of Debby made landfall this afternoon, but has sense backed offshore. What if, after all it has put us through already, it decided to head to Texas? Lol.


Debby was never a Texas storm.
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Quoting nofailsafe:


Houston here. If she makes a turn to the southwest I'm going to begin thinking that 1 + 1 doesn't equal 2.


Then the NHC would only be half wrong. Lmao
Member Since: March 22, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 723
Quoting nofailsafe:


Houston here. If she makes a turn to the southwest I'm going to begin thinking that 1 + 1 doesn't equal 2.


I'll be thinking.... I ate how much crow for what?
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Quoting TampaBayStormChaser:
Where are the Texas people?? If this turns SW then y'all better watch this...under a ridge...

Disclaimer: I am NOT saying this will go to Texas...this is just a forecast "guess"


Houston here. If she makes a turn to the southwest I'm going to begin thinking that 1 + 1 doesn't equal 2.
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LOL..TWC brian norcross trying to find Debby's coc..lol..NOw you see her..now you don't...that is a cold front ya'll see pushing down from north to south..in that line of thunderstorms...
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I've never seen a Storm as wild as Debby..

Just when you'd think it would be over..

Although Fay was stronger and effected a wider region and caused more damage.

This one will definitely go down as one of the hardest to predict.

Debby has a mind of her own.. I think she wants to visit Disney world..
Member Since: March 22, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 723
Quoting ncstorm:
so is Debby now ex debby?

No just TD Debby.
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Quoting Tazmanian:



POOF
LOL. What's good for the goose is ..... Ugh nevermind.
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Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
Why do bloggers have so much trouble spelling "Debby"? :)
It's one of those names that has so many ways to spell it.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 16406


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Yeah... Debby is trying to pull another one. Winds across my area (CFL) were starting to become W to NW at times (signaling she was coming ashore), but then a little after sunset... they started switching back to the SW and now they ranging between S to SSE. So she's definitely offshore still and moving S to SSE from the looks of it.
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Quoting skook:



Maybe... all the models were right.....


The GFS has been pretty close on this one for a while now. Of course, you can't judge a model based upon one storm.
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Quoting hulazigzag:
Not weather related.


..... Link

Rules of the road
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Debby is moving southward now lol
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so is Debby now ex debby?

Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 14439
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Why do bloggers have so much trouble spelling "Debby"? :)
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Interesting... 2005 Preseason Forecast
CSU
December 3, 2004

11

6

3

CSU
April 1, 2005

13

7

3

NOAA
May 16, 2005

12–15

7–9

3–5


2012 Preseason Forecast
TSR
December 7, 2011[4]

14

7

3

WSI
December 21, 2011[5]

12

7

3

CSU
April 4, 2012[6]

10

4

2

TSR
April 12, 2012

13

6

3


Connection? Maybe. Maybe Not
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Quoting cloudy0day:
Is it my imagination or did the center of
Debby just roll part way down the west coast of FL.? She's a sneaky one!


She now appears to be moving due South into warmer water.

Member Since: March 22, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 723
I've given up on thinking about what Debby might do.
In the meantime, don't we have a member directly affected by this Waldo frre and new large evacuation order in that area?
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Quoting Tazmanian:




ask Obama for 20
Not weather related.
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Quoting Tazmanian:




ask Obama for 20


He stole some from my mom I'm sure he could give y'all some

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i Like people that ridicule others ,because they are easily controlled!
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
The center of Debby made landfall this afternoon, but has sense backed offshore. What if, after all it has out us through already, it decided to head to Texas? Lol.
.Good..she can send us a postcard and rain out all your 4th of july bbq's...now she's trying to rain out the races in daytona..usually they are practicing about now..pepsi 400 and a few small ones before that...
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Is it my imagination or did the center of
Debby just roll part way down the west coast of FL.? She's a sneaky one!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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