Tropical Storm Debby makes landfall in Florida

By: Angela Fritz , 9:07 PM GMT on June 26, 2012

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Debby continues to weaken this afternoon, but remains a tropical storm with maximum sustained winds of 40 mph. The storm's center of circulation made landfall this afternoon near Steinhatchee, Florida. Hurricane hunters continue to find surface wind speeds that just meet tropical storm criteria and surface buoys on Wundermap are all clocking in at or below 30 mph. The storm's upper-level circulation is being stretched out into the Atlantic by the same steering forces that will transport it to the other side of Florida, and this combined with dry air has led to a messy-looking tropical cyclone over the past couple of days. Though there was no lack of rain yesterday in the Florida panhandle, Debby has certainly been weakened by the dry air that has wrapped into its center (figure 1). Water vapor imagery from satellite shows Debby's center is almost completely void of moisture, though rain continues to fall on the northeast side of the storm where moisture is still available. A 6 foot wide, 12-15 foot deep sinkhole swallowed a small portion of I-10 in Madison County west of Jacksonville, Florida, this morning, where heavy rain continues, though this hole will likely be filled and the lane reopened by tomorrow morning. Wind shear around 20 knots is also keeping Debby at bay, but the real disrupter is the lack of moisture.


Figure 1. Where's Debby? On the left: visible satellite imagery. On the right: water vapor satellite imagery, where the dry air ranges from black to rusty orange. Debby's center is almost completely void of moisture. These images were captured around 1pm EDT.

Forecast for Debby
The forecast for Debby continues to be similar to previous forecasts. The storm will likely continue to lose strength as it moves over Florida this evening and Wednesday, but could gain some momentum again when it reaches the yet untapped Atlantic water. There's a high chance Debby will be downgraded to tropical depression status this evening. The HPC continues to forecast up to 8 inches of rain for far northeast Florida over the next 5 days, likely because of the slight strengthening forecast to occur on Thursday and beyond. Debby's center will most likely be over Atlantic water Wednesday night.


Figure 2. Advisory map for the U.S. Tuesday afternoon. Heat advisories (pink) blanket the central U.S. This heat is expected to move eastward over the next few days as the ridge of high pressure advances.

The Heat Continues

Record highs continue to fall Tuesday afternoon in the central U.S., where Denver, Colorado had its fifth consecutive day of triple-digit heat after it reached 100°F at 1pm MDT, and could continue to rise this afternoon. This ties the all-time record for consecutive 100°F+ days. Nebraska and Kansas are particularly toasty this afternoon; McCook, Nebraska has reached 113°F so far, and Hill City, Kansas is up to 112°F. Though, to put that in perspective, the state record for Nebraska is 118°F, and the state record for Kansas is 121°F.

The heat moves east tomorrow, and by Thursday, many of the major Midwest cities are forecast to be in the triple-digits, including Chicago, St. Louis, and Indianapolis. By Friday the heat will be beating down on the East Coast. In the meantime out west, the forecast high in Fresno for this weekend is 82°F, which would tie as the coolest final weekend in June on record, according to the Hanford forecast office.

Angela

Tropical Storm Debby (apphotos)
Boats are sunken and thrown up on a dock at the Rock Landing Marina in Panacea, Fla., Tuesday, June 26, 2012. High winds and heavy rains spawned by the approaching Tropical Storm Debby caused the damage. (AP Photo/Dave Martin)
Tropical Storm Debby
Tropical Storm Debby (apphotos)
Jesse Deese uses his skim board to shield from blowing sand in Panama City Beach, Fla., Monday, June 25, 2012. Tropical Storm Debby raked the Tampa Bay area with high wind and heavy rain Monday in a drenching that could top 2 feet over the next few days and trigger widespread flooding. (AP Photo/Dave Martin)
Tropical Storm Debby

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Winds are picking up in the upper keys, should of been calming down. So checked radar, Debby. SSE really! Is that right?
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Debbie is over our house in central Citrus County, Fl. right now. 10:30 EDT. Now at 14.50 inches since the start. Pressure at 29.58 and rising. Clearly moving south.
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Quoting kmanislander:


I assume you mean this one ?. The OSCAT pass is from 1400 this morning but quite impressive and nearly mid way across at a low lat. Not surprised it is being watched. I would have to check the forecast shear etc. but for this early in the season quite potent.

Biggest developmental impediment right now seems to be SAL...

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91P looks good other late season storm?

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Quoting charlottefl:
Well if you look at the radar real close. I think interaction with land has caused the storm to tighten up a bit cause in the last 15 frames or so the broad LLC has shrunk quite a bit...


Appears Due South with a slight east component.

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What the heck!?! Debby is determined to do it her way as long as it doesn't mean she has to go west :) Gro you will have people sitting at your feet with the next storm, good forecasting job, keep your tools sharp we will need you again!
Member Since: July 18, 2005 Posts: 9 Comments: 4147




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Quoting washingtonian115:
I'm predicting at least a T.D out of this area.I'll eat crow if it doesn't pass.

I see Grothar is in the house :).


A robust call :-).

Low odds on that though IMO
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Grothar I expect a blog from you...
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 17816
Yesterdays blob and today's blob are converging, which is a ton of energy Debby's put off the last two days, and there's the day's before energy just beyond that. If Debby can catch it, then she becomes a potential hurricane, if not then energy drifts NE and Debby dies. I think, that because everything is so interconnected, that we will see Debby and this disturbance east remain one and become a hurricane at some point.
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Quoting BahaHurican:
I just want him to get to updating his own blog on a regular basis. Those blogs were golden.

That was a solid team we had back then: kmanislander, weather456, drakoen, levi, and somebody I'm leaving out [who is it?]. We used to have all the possibilities covered the entire time... I guess that's a sign we need to train up a new generation, is all.
I've been a lurker more or less since back then and remember the folks you are mentioning here.  Brings back good memories.  Do you remember when photos or icons could be added and a directive was given to put a photo of yourself up as your icon?  Didn't last long for obvious reasons.
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26/2332 UTC 8.4S 153.0E T1.0/1.0 91P -- Southwest Pacific
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Quoting charlottefl:
Well if you look at the radar real close. I think interaction with land has caused the storm to tighten up a bit cause in the last 15 frames or so the broad LLC has shrunk quite a bit...





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Quoting Chicklit:
p.s. Is Debby headed for a Daytona exit? And how long will it take her to make it across the peninsula?
Thx in adavance.
Hey, Chick... 's what I was thinking earlier, if it keeps drifting SE instead of heading NE.

Quoting kmanislander:


Debby was never a Texas storm.
There was supposed to be a TX storm, but it was supposed to get started in the BoC....

Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
I don't get it...

Flood insurance program vote threatened by beginning-of-life amendment
I've been more and more convinced that there are pple in the US government who believe you have more rights as a zygote than you do as a home-owning, car-driving, tax-paying adult [with a vote].
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Local weather guy in Orlando just said the storm will relocate to the east coast tomorrow?
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Wow this thing is in bad shape.

What's remains of the CoC is coming close to Tampa radar now, and there's almost nothing to speak of except light showers and two thunderstorms...
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Quoting BrickellBreeze:


What does this mean? }:/


Like I said, I give my fellow bloggers enough hints. I guess it is the teacher in me. It is best to provide the information and then one must draw his own conclusion.
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 27208
Quoting skook:



I understand this could just be a weird wobble, but i just had twc on, along with fox 13, and they made no mention of the drift, at least not during the time i mentioned it. It will just be interesting to see if it could stall out again, or throw another curveball in the game.


Brian Norcross mentioned it on TWC around 9:53 pm. Said it was 'academic' but also eluded that tomorrow morning may prove to be very interesting.
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Quoting kmanislander:


I agree with that. Unfortunately the past two days were very busy for me and after Debby stalled near the panhandle I figured there would be lots of time to check back in :-)

Typically though a system near 8 N takes a long time to spin up as the Coriolis effect works best closer to 10 N and higher, particularly early in the season.

This image shows a nice circular vorticity signature.

I'm predicting at least a T.D out of this area.I'll eat crow if it doesn't pass.

I see Grothar is in the house :).
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 17816
Well if you look at the radar real close. I think interaction with land has caused the storm to tighten up a bit cause in the last 15 frames or so the broad LLC has shrunk quite a bit...
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Went to take the dog out & couldn't. Pouring rain sideways coming from the west. Was just outside 5 minutes before and it was pretty. Aaaaaagh.
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Quoting HurricaneDean07:

Subject: Texas Party Invitation
Dear Debbie,
Us Texans are fully ready, and will give you a warm welcome to join the Drought Party over here.
We would love it if you came and joined us... And don't be shy! Stick around for a bit and have some fun!
Directions are simple, just head West under the influence of the Ridge and it'll lead you straight to us.
So come on down to Texas! Please.
-Sincerely Texans in Drought.
You left out the part where you were suppose to mention good steak :)
Quoting BahaHurican:
I just want him to get to updating his own blog on a regular basis. Those blogs were golden.

That was a solid team we had back then: kmanislander, weather456, drakoen, levi, and somebody I'm leaving out [who is it?]. We used to have all the possibilities covered the entire time... I guess that's a sign we need to train up a new generation, is all.
All goos things must come to an end.And people have to go their separate ways.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 17816
Quoting Grothar:


The high to the east is building in stronger. Just as I have been writing for days. :)

See

Link


What does this mean? }:/
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586. skook
Quoting HurricaneDean07:

Look like Debby wants to pay Tampa a Visit.



I understand this could just be a weird wobble, but i just had twc on, along with fox 13, and they made no mention of the drift, at least not during the time i watched it. It will just be interesting to see if it could stall out again, or throw another curveball in the game.
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Debbie might just come into Tampa after all, lol.
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Quoting Mamasteph:
LOL..TWC brian norcross trying to find Debby's coc..lol..NOw you see her..now you don't...that is a cold front ya'll see pushing down from north to south..in that line of thunderstorms...
He thought it was a very broad center, but centered just a little NNW of Tampa now. And insinuated that we'd wake up tomorrow to see a different Debby, heading west of west to WWSW if I'm reading him right.
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Quoting BahaHurican:
I just want him to get to updating his own blog on a regular basis. Those blogs were golden.

That was a solid team we had back then: kmanislander, weather456, drakoen, levi, and somebody I'm leaving out [who is it?]. We used to have all the possibilities covered the entire time... I guess that's a sign we need to train up a new generation, is all.


I agree Baha :o) It does look like it is time for some "New" Blood

Taco :o)
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Quoting GeoffreyWPB:


Hi Gronar...Is Debby inland or not? Is she moving south or not? Is she a threat to the Caymans or not?


The high to the east is building in stronger. Just as I have been writing for days. :)

See

Link
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 27208
Quoting cyclonekid:
Currently, I see the center of circulation of Debby back offshore, very near Homosassa Springs, FL.

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I think Debby is cuasing me to suffer from tropical depression. I think the cure is a week with no rain and several trips to the beach with no rip currents!
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Quoting washingtonian115:
I think it's a little interesting system to track.Especially for late June/early July.GFS has picked up on this for two days now.NHC has it at a 10% chance.


I agree with that. Unfortunately the past two days were very busy for me and after Debby stalled near the panhandle I figured there would be lots of time to check back in :-)

Typically though a system near 8 N takes a long time to spin up as the Coriolis effect works best closer to 10 N and higher, particularly early in the season.

This image shows a nice circular vorticity signature.

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Quoting kmanislander:


I assume you mean this one ?. The OSCAT pass is from 1400 this morning but quite impressive and nearly mid way across at a low lat. Not surprised it is being watched. I would have to check the forecast shear etc. but for this early in the season quite potent.



Agree with your thoughts on it. I am cheering for it not to develop,but to bring rain for some of the islands of the NE Caribbean that are going thru a June drought.
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14900
Quoting charlottefl:
Center is rapidly ( well a lot more rapidly than 2mph) approaching the Tampa Metro area. Such a strange storm/setup this week.


Imagine if she gets far enough for the ridge to build back on top of it, and it just stalls there or heads west... lol
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Currently, I see the center of circulation of Debby back offshore, very near Homosassa Springs, FL.
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Center is rapidly ( well a lot more rapidly than 2mph) approaching the Tampa Metro area. Such a strange storm/setup this week.
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How sad..Nora Ephron passed away today.
Member Since: September 10, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 11547
My friend and I were planning to go up to Daytona tomorrow to see Tropical Depression Debby since were just south of Vero Beach but I think our road trip plans have changed. Any advice on where we should go to see the storm? We're obviously weather geeks lol
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Quoting skook:


She is actually firing convection to the west of her center...

1st time ever.
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Quoting HurricaneDean07:

Look like Debby wants to pay Tampa a Visit.


Nothing to see here... move along!!!!
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Quoting skook:

Look like Debby wants to pay Tampa a Visit.
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Quoting Grothar:


Good question Goeffri


Hi Gronar...Is Debby inland or not? Is she moving south or not? Is she a threat to the Caymans or not?
Member Since: September 10, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 11547
568. skook
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RTSplayer- Glad to know I'm not that weatther challenged and you see it also. Any idea where she's headed next? This is like watching squirrel trying to decide how to cross the road in front of an oncoming car!
Hi Keep. I still like the old avitar best!!!
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Well hagn all..it's time this old lady relaxes and waits for that line of storms being pushed down here from the cold front..don't think I'll be seeing Debby tomorrow..I think she drifted down towards Tampa and the "shields" deflected her and disintegrated her...lol...heard tell those "shields "were pretty powerful..lol...
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Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
I don't get it...

Flood insurance program vote threatened by beginning-of-life amendment
Just another idiot yet again playing politics and pandering to his ignorant base without so much as a care or a thought about what damage he may be doing.

How some people get elected to positions of power is far beyond me...
Member Since: November 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13802
Quoting Grothar:


Good question Goeffri
Quoting BrickellBreeze:


What if it goes around Florida? :)

So does this make Grothar right or wrong? He predicted the correct landfall location, but she went back offshore.
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Quoting washingtonian115:
He may show up this year.But expect it to be very limited.You have to catch him or else you'll won't be able to talk to him again.GFS had been consistent with it in it's runs for the last two weeks.I'm not sure why it has decided to hardly develop it when it had it stronger in those past runs(probably due to the dry air).
I just want him to get to updating his own blog on a regular basis. Those blogs were golden.

That was a solid team we had back then: kmanislander, weather456, drakoen, levi, and somebody I'm leaving out [who is it?]. We used to have all the possibilities covered the entire time... I guess that's a sign we need to train up a new generation, is all.
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Quoting washingtonian115:
NO!.Debbie better not go to Texas.Stay the heck away from the u.S mainland Debbie!!

Subject: Texas Party Invitation
Dear Debbie,
Us Texans are fully ready, and will give you a warm welcome to join the Drought Party over here.
We would love it if you came and joined us... And don't be shy! Stick around for a bit and have some fun!
Directions are simple, just head West under the influence of the Ridge and it'll lead you straight to us.
So come on down to Texas! Please.
-Sincerely Texans in Drought.
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Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:
Hi Kman. What do you make of the wave in Eastern Atlantic that for being June,it looks decent? And NHC is watching it closely with that 10%.


I assume you mean this one ?. The OSCAT pass is from 1400 this morning but quite impressive and nearly mid way across at a low lat. Not surprised it is being watched. I would have to check the forecast shear etc. but for this early in the season quite potent.

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Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
Why do bloggers have so much trouble spelling "Debby"? :)


Good question Goeffri
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 27208
Debby was (is?) a pain for Pinellas, specially for some of my co-workers that had to detour around the Bay Area due to the Sunshine Skyway closure. HOWEVER, I'll take even a hurricane over that horrible fire in Colorado,truly terrifying.
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