Tropical Storm Debby makes landfall in Florida

By: Angela Fritz , 9:07 PM GMT on June 26, 2012

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Debby continues to weaken this afternoon, but remains a tropical storm with maximum sustained winds of 40 mph. The storm's center of circulation made landfall this afternoon near Steinhatchee, Florida. Hurricane hunters continue to find surface wind speeds that just meet tropical storm criteria and surface buoys on Wundermap are all clocking in at or below 30 mph. The storm's upper-level circulation is being stretched out into the Atlantic by the same steering forces that will transport it to the other side of Florida, and this combined with dry air has led to a messy-looking tropical cyclone over the past couple of days. Though there was no lack of rain yesterday in the Florida panhandle, Debby has certainly been weakened by the dry air that has wrapped into its center (figure 1). Water vapor imagery from satellite shows Debby's center is almost completely void of moisture, though rain continues to fall on the northeast side of the storm where moisture is still available. A 6 foot wide, 12-15 foot deep sinkhole swallowed a small portion of I-10 in Madison County west of Jacksonville, Florida, this morning, where heavy rain continues, though this hole will likely be filled and the lane reopened by tomorrow morning. Wind shear around 20 knots is also keeping Debby at bay, but the real disrupter is the lack of moisture.


Figure 1. Where's Debby? On the left: visible satellite imagery. On the right: water vapor satellite imagery, where the dry air ranges from black to rusty orange. Debby's center is almost completely void of moisture. These images were captured around 1pm EDT.

Forecast for Debby
The forecast for Debby continues to be similar to previous forecasts. The storm will likely continue to lose strength as it moves over Florida this evening and Wednesday, but could gain some momentum again when it reaches the yet untapped Atlantic water. There's a high chance Debby will be downgraded to tropical depression status this evening. The HPC continues to forecast up to 8 inches of rain for far northeast Florida over the next 5 days, likely because of the slight strengthening forecast to occur on Thursday and beyond. Debby's center will most likely be over Atlantic water Wednesday night.


Figure 2. Advisory map for the U.S. Tuesday afternoon. Heat advisories (pink) blanket the central U.S. This heat is expected to move eastward over the next few days as the ridge of high pressure advances.

The Heat Continues

Record highs continue to fall Tuesday afternoon in the central U.S., where Denver, Colorado had its fifth consecutive day of triple-digit heat after it reached 100°F at 1pm MDT, and could continue to rise this afternoon. This ties the all-time record for consecutive 100°F+ days. Nebraska and Kansas are particularly toasty this afternoon; McCook, Nebraska has reached 113°F so far, and Hill City, Kansas is up to 112°F. Though, to put that in perspective, the state record for Nebraska is 118°F, and the state record for Kansas is 121°F.

The heat moves east tomorrow, and by Thursday, many of the major Midwest cities are forecast to be in the triple-digits, including Chicago, St. Louis, and Indianapolis. By Friday the heat will be beating down on the East Coast. In the meantime out west, the forecast high in Fresno for this weekend is 82°F, which would tie as the coolest final weekend in June on record, according to the Hanford forecast office.

Angela

Tropical Storm Debby (apphotos)
Boats are sunken and thrown up on a dock at the Rock Landing Marina in Panacea, Fla., Tuesday, June 26, 2012. High winds and heavy rains spawned by the approaching Tropical Storm Debby caused the damage. (AP Photo/Dave Martin)
Tropical Storm Debby
Tropical Storm Debby (apphotos)
Jesse Deese uses his skim board to shield from blowing sand in Panama City Beach, Fla., Monday, June 25, 2012. Tropical Storm Debby raked the Tampa Bay area with high wind and heavy rain Monday in a drenching that could top 2 feet over the next few days and trigger widespread flooding. (AP Photo/Dave Martin)
Tropical Storm Debby

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misty.here.e.cen.fl
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Quoting Neapolitan:
I can't embed this video of the Colorado Springs fire, but it's definitely worth a look.
Heartbreaking.
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I can't embed this video of the Colorado Springs fire, but it's definitely worth a look.
Member Since: November 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13556
I am amazed I have
1 power
2 internet
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Thanks LC.
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Quoting icmoore:


Flooding?


Yes, Our house is ontop of a small hill. That is the reason we byilt our housr here. My house is high and dry, MANY people in my small neibher hood in the wood are not so blessed. Benn 20 years since I saw rain like that.
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Quoting gordydunnot:
I can't post but Melbourne radar in motion at NHC has interesting feature just se of Orlando.
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I can't post but Melbourne radar in motion at NHC has interesting feature just se of Orlando.
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Quoting baulas:


Sea turtles are taking a bit hit from this storm. Nesting was up this year, in record numbers. But now most of those nests have been lost on many nesting beaches on the west coast.

Natures way of controlling the environment I guess.
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Quoting Neapolitan:
Officials are still unsure how many homes burnt in the Colorado Springs area yesterday; "it may be dozens, it may be hundreds". Full assessments later today. And this didn't help:

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO
505 PM MDT TUE JUN 26 2012

...NEW ALL TIME RECORD HIGH SET IN COLORADO SPRINGS COLORADO...

THE TEMPERATURE IN COLORADO SPRINGS REACHED 101 DEGREES AT 309 PM
MDT...TO SET A NEW ALL TIME RECORD HIGH FOR COLORADO SPRINGS. THE
PREVIOUS ALL TIME HIGH WAS 100 DEGREES...REACHED ON SIX OTHER
OCCASIONS...JUNE 23RD 1954 AND 2012...JUNE 24TH 1954 AND 2012...JULY
13TH 1954...AND JULY 24TH 2003.

THE 101 DEGREE READING ALSO SETS A NEW DAILY RECORD HIGH OF 98
DEGREES FOR JUNE 26TH SET IN 1994.

THIS IS THE FIFTH CONSECUTIVE DAY OF RECORD TEMPERATURES IN COLORADO
SPRINGS.

Hoping for better news today...


Manitou Springs had some relief a couple days ago but then the winds changed, and Colorado Springs was affected.

If I'm reading the analysis correctly, La Nina predicts higher that average temperature for Colorado in late spring and early summer. If I have this wrong, please advise otherwise. Hopefully with the predicted transition to El Nino, there will be some relief for Colorado in the months to come.

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Sad slide show out of Colorado Springs:

Member Since: November 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13556
Quoting westFLtropics:
Tropical Storm Debby has washed away most of the beach on Anna Maria Island and Longboat Key. The beach is simply gone in parts. The dunes on Anna Maria took a serious blow. This is also the same all up and down the west coast of Florida. Hope the storms stay away or else we will have a serious problem on our hands. No dunes to protect the barrier islands in parts.


Sea turtles are taking a bit hit from this storm. Nesting was up this year, in record numbers. But now most of those nests have been lost on many nesting beaches on the west coast.

Depending on how this storm travels off the coast we may have erosion issues on the east coast as well. That will potentially damage the nesting there.

Edited to add: Just saw Mark's comment #841. Sorry about the repost.
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Quoting Autistic2:
Wow what a night here in St. Aug.


Flooding?
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I hope nothing else develops until August or so. I'd rather have a quiet July.

Plus, the large ridge over the eastern US and atlantic looks like it would block anything in the next 2-3 weeks anyway
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Anybody want to discuss the wave out in the Atlantic.

Nea really sad story going on out there.People have lost everything.And their seems to be no release for those people.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 17093
Officials are still unsure how many homes burnt in the Colorado Springs area last evening; "it may be dozens, it may be hundreds". Full assessments later today. And this didn't help:

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO
505 PM MDT TUE JUN 26 2012

...NEW ALL TIME RECORD HIGH SET IN COLORADO SPRINGS COLORADO...

THE TEMPERATURE IN COLORADO SPRINGS REACHED 101 DEGREES AT 309 PM
MDT...TO SET A NEW ALL TIME RECORD HIGH FOR COLORADO SPRINGS. THE
PREVIOUS ALL TIME HIGH WAS 100 DEGREES...REACHED ON SIX OTHER
OCCASIONS...JUNE 23RD 1954 AND 2012...JUNE 24TH 1954 AND 2012...JULY
13TH 1954...AND JULY 24TH 2003.

THE 101 DEGREE READING ALSO SETS A NEW DAILY RECORD HIGH OF 98
DEGREES FOR JUNE 26TH SET IN 1994.

THIS IS THE FIFTH CONSECUTIVE DAY OF RECORD TEMPERATURES IN COLORADO
SPRINGS.

Hoping for better news today...
Member Since: November 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13556


I think this is about 12 hrs. old.
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Good morning everyone and what is with the yellow circle?! When I went outside I was amazed at how quiet and still it was without all the wind oh, and I already got bit by a mosquito this morning so watch out they are out there. Too early in the morning to get gushy or mushy :) but I have thought a lot about it as the storm died down and I know I said it yesterday but thank you all for being here, going through it with me, and keeping the fresh info flowing 24 hours a day that was all invaluable to me.
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Quoting LargoFl:
oh yes some of the beaches i hear are..GONE..gee, if we get a strong storm coming IN from the gulf,there is going to be awesome damage,nothing to slow down the storm surge


ALso been some major damage to turtle nests along the coast. And after record nests were recorded.
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Quoting Autistic2:
I am so glad we bought a house on the top of a small hill. The end of the street is undertwater.
One factor of cyclones that is often overlooked is rainwater flooding. The wind and stormsurge is so much more dramatic but, correct me if I'm wrong, most casualties are caused by rainwater flooding and land/mud slides that are the result thereof.
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I am so glad we bought a house on the top of a small hill. The end of the street is undertwater.
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Quoting westFLtropics:
Tropical Storm Debby has washed away most of the beach on Anna Maria Island and Longboat Key. The beach is simply gone in parts. The dunes on Anna Maria took a serious blow. This is also the same all up and down the west coast of Florida. Hope the storms stay away or else we will have a serious problem on our hands. No dunes to protect the barrier islands in parts.
That's sad to hear. The beaches in that area are some of the most beautiful in Florida.
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Wow what a night here in St. Aug.
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If we get Ernesto out of this area(which doesn't seem likely right now)that would almost be half of what we were suppose to get this year.If 2009 can produce 11 named storms after Ana formed in August then their is no reason why we can't get that much for the rest of the season.No matter how strong the El nino is.I think it'll still be weak BTW.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 17093
Looking at the long range model GFS and there is a huge ridge of high pressure over the atlantic..

if storms were to come this far west, wouldn't that high pressure push them to the south away from the conus?
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2012 North Atlantic season is well ahead of normal with 4/1/0. By late August is the time that the 4th named system forms on average.

Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14332
In WPB SW 20mph
gusting to 31 mph
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I remember when Felix was a naked swirl out in the Atlantic....and pre-Katrina.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 17093
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Where's ncstorm?.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 17093
..................looks like back to near normal around Tampa bay,skyway bridge is open again, now the cleanup starts
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Rain
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Quoting MahFL:
I got 11 inches of rain from Debby, in Orange Park, over 3 days.
I think its safe to assume our drought for the time being..is over
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Quoting lostinohio:
Does the heat,fires,and dry conditions out west signify an Abnormaly hot and dry summer for the U.S.? I am afraid the stage is set for apocalyptic type temperatures and Wildfires over much of the nation.Am I the only person thinking this way?
Apocalyptic, hardly, but you raise a valid point, it is hot, dry and windy. In addition we have to look at changes in forestry management and combustible housing's proximity to forest areas. These are not they same forest areas they were 50 years ago. I've stated some of this in prior comments and IMHO we need to examine and study housing area location, construction practices, and subsidized insurance, subsidized housing, as well as forestry management practices. Obviously something is wrong with the current picture.

Is there going to be a bailout for these poor folks who lost property? Here we go again. Not that I mind helping those in need. Do it all the time. However, when taxpayers subsidize construction via subsidized insurance and guaranteed loans in ill fated locations then again taxpayers pay to bailout after the "unexpected" happens, it just seems kind of silly.
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Quoting westFLtropics:
Tropical Storm Debby has washed away most of the beach on Anna Maria Island and Longboat Key. The beach is simply gone in parts. The dunes on Anna Maria took a serious blow. This is also the same all up and down the west coast of Florida. Hope the storms stay away or else we will have a serious problem on our hands. No dunes to protect the barrier islands in parts.
oh yes some of the beaches i hear are..GONE..gee, if we get a strong storm coming IN from the gulf,there is going to be awesome damage,nothing to slow down the storm surge
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Quoting lostinohio:
Does the heat,fires,and dry conditions out west signify an Abnormaly hot and dry summer for the U.S.? I am afraid the stage is set for apocalyptic type temperatures and Wildfires over much of the nation.Am I the only person thinking this way?
WE WILL HAVE TO WAIT AND SEE BUT FOR NOW IT SURE IS BAD OUT THERE WITH THE HEAT AND FIRES
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The wave appears to be making it's own moisture shield.The GFS has showed yesterday night that it has a tropical storm in the caribbean.That's the strongest it's had it for the past few runs.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 17093
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 26515
So not looking forward to this heat and humidity...gonna be a real pain.Yuck.Where's my peeps?.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 17093
Does the heat,fires,and dry conditions out west signify an Abnormaly hot and dry summer for the U.S.? I am afraid the stage is set for apocalyptic type temperatures and Wildfires over much of the nation.Am I the only person thinking this way?
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Quoting emguy:
I think it's safe to say we are seeing Debby receiving the death blows now. She is certainly there...but becoming increasingly entrained into a sharp trough. This is likely it for her, but appreciation awarded for the NHC playing the correct choice in keeping the door open on petential reorg in the open Atlantic.

Earlier, I mentioned a piece may be getting left behind in the extreme eastern gulf. With new satellite images, it is impossible to agreee on the notion that anything is getting left behind. Indeed, we are seeing everything getting stretched out into a long trough. It's the almost certain end to Debby and I'd expect no surprises coming up on her tail end trough in the Gulf. She's finally done, may she rest in piece...she's done far more than enough to good people.
gulf.stream.ahead.quick.recovery
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Yes Debbie!!.Be gone!
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 17093
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT WED JUN 27 2012

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
DEPRESSION DEBBY...LOCATED OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC ABOUT 25 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF ST. AUGUSTINE FLORIDA.

A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED NEARLY MIDWAY BETWEEN THE WEST COAST OF
AFRICA AND THE WINDWARD ISLANDS CONTINUES TO PRODUCE DISORGANIZED
SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS. DEVELOPMENT OF THIS WAVE..IF
ANY...WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.
THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14332
new.yellow.out.there
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Member Since: September 10, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 11278
Quoting emguy:
I think it's safe to say we are seeing Debby receiving the death blows now. She is certainly there...but becoming increasingly entrained into a sharp trough. This is likely it for her, but appreciation awarded for the NHC playing the correct choice in keeping the door open on petential reorg in the open Atlantic.

Earlier, I mentioned a piece may be getting left behind in the extreme eastern gulf. With new satellite images, it is impossible to agreee on the notion that anything is getting left behind. Indeed, we are seeing everything getting stretched out into a long trough. It's the almost certain end to Debby and I'd expect no surprises coming up on her tail end trough in the Gulf. She's finally done, may she rest in piece...she's done far more than enough to good people.
Debbie doesn't look all that terrible in the first visible imagery frames; doesn't look all that good either.
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Tropical Storm Debby has washed away most of the beach on Anna Maria Island and Longboat Key. The beach is simply gone in parts. The dunes on Anna Maria took a serious blow. This is also the same all up and down the west coast of Florida. Hope the storms stay away or else we will have a serious problem on our hands. No dunes to protect the barrier islands in parts.
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810. MahFL
I got 11 inches of rain from Debby, in Orange Park, over 3 days.
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Follow this loop and you'll see where the center of Debby is.
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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