Boats are sunken and thrown up on a dock at the Rock Landing Marina in Panacea, Fla., Tuesday, June 26, 2012. High winds and heavy rains spawned by the approaching Tropical Storm Debby caused the damage. (AP Photo/Dave Martin)
Jesse Deese uses his skim board to shield from blowing sand in Panama City Beach, Fla., Monday, June 25, 2012. Tropical Storm Debby raked the Tampa Bay area with high wind and heavy rain Monday in a drenching that could top 2 feet over the next few days and trigger widespread flooding. (AP Photo/Dave Martin)
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Not your imagination at all.
I've been watching SSE motion for several hours now.
It's admittedly a bit harder to track since it's partially open CoC, but there is no way in hell this is moving N nor even due east.
Far more S motion than east, as evidenced by both Tampa and Tallahassee radars.
Also, even though there's still quite a weakness east of the ridge, the steering map shows that the trough isn't directly affecting the steering of the storm any more.
and
It looks like the RIDGE is rolling to the east, and possibly pushing the storm SE to SSE. Time will tell if it manages to get around the ridge, or if it gets jammed up again or pushed back west.
I think the storm has probably moved a good 0.3 to 0.5 degrees SOUTH since the last advisory.
Flood insurance program vote threatened by beginning-of-life amendment
So you've been keeping up with them, huh? :-)
Actually I haven't had time to look out that way recently but after mid July that area becomes a breeding ground for the long track systems that can become so dangerous. Over a week crossing the Atl gives those Twaves a lot of time to ramp up.
She is also heading into warmer water, and shear can only decrease from here.
Morons. All of 'em.
Good question Goeffri
I assume you mean this one ?. The OSCAT pass is from 1400 this morning but quite impressive and nearly mid way across at a low lat. Not surprised it is being watched. I would have to check the forecast shear etc. but for this early in the season quite potent.
Subject: Texas Party Invitation
Dear Debbie,
Us Texans are fully ready, and will give you a warm welcome to join the Drought Party over here.
We would love it if you came and joined us... And don't be shy! Stick around for a bit and have some fun!
Directions are simple, just head West under the influence of the Ridge and it'll lead you straight to us.
So come on down to Texas! Please.
-Sincerely Texans in Drought.
That was a solid team we had back then: kmanislander, weather456, drakoen, levi, and somebody I'm leaving out [who is it?]. We used to have all the possibilities covered the entire time... I guess that's a sign we need to train up a new generation, is all.
How some people get elected to positions of power is far beyond me...
Hi Keep. I still like the old avitar best!!!
Hi Gronar...Is Debby inland or not? Is she moving south or not? Is she a threat to the Caymans or not?
Look like Debby wants to pay Tampa a Visit.
Nothing to see here... move along!!!!
She is actually firing convection to the west of her center...
1st time ever.
Imagine if she gets far enough for the ridge to build back on top of it, and it just stalls there or heads west... lol
Agree with your thoughts on it. I am cheering for it not to develop,but to bring rain for some of the islands of the NE Caribbean that are going thru a June drought.
I agree with that. Unfortunately the past two days were very busy for me and after Debby stalled near the panhandle I figured there would be lots of time to check back in :-)
Typically though a system near 8 N takes a long time to spin up as the Coriolis effect works best closer to 10 N and higher, particularly early in the season.
This image shows a nice circular vorticity signature.
The high to the east is building in stronger. Just as I have been writing for days. :)
See
Link
I agree Baha :o) It does look like it is time for some "New" Blood
Taco :o)
I understand this could just be a weird wobble, but i just had twc on, along with fox 13, and they made no mention of the drift, at least not during the time i watched it. It will just be interesting to see if it could stall out again, or throw another curveball in the game.
What does this mean? }:/
I see Grothar is in the house :).
Brian Norcross mentioned it on TWC around 9:53 pm. Said it was 'academic' but also eluded that tomorrow morning may prove to be very interesting.
Like I said, I give my fellow bloggers enough hints. I guess it is the teacher in me. It is best to provide the information and then one must draw his own conclusion.
What's remains of the CoC is coming close to Tampa radar now, and there's almost nothing to speak of except light showers and two thunderstorms...
There was supposed to be a TX storm, but it was supposed to get started in the BoC....
I've been more and more convinced that there are pple in the US government who believe you have more rights as a zygote than you do as a home-owning, car-driving, tax-paying adult [with a vote].
I've been a lurker more or less since back then and remember the folks you are mentioning here. Brings back good memories. Do you remember when photos or icons could be added and a directive was given to put a photo of yourself up as your icon? Didn't last long for obvious reasons.
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