Tropical Storm Debby makes landfall in Florida

By: Angela Fritz , 9:07 PM GMT on June 26, 2012

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Debby continues to weaken this afternoon, but remains a tropical storm with maximum sustained winds of 40 mph. The storm's center of circulation made landfall this afternoon near Steinhatchee, Florida. Hurricane hunters continue to find surface wind speeds that just meet tropical storm criteria and surface buoys on Wundermap are all clocking in at or below 30 mph. The storm's upper-level circulation is being stretched out into the Atlantic by the same steering forces that will transport it to the other side of Florida, and this combined with dry air has led to a messy-looking tropical cyclone over the past couple of days. Though there was no lack of rain yesterday in the Florida panhandle, Debby has certainly been weakened by the dry air that has wrapped into its center (figure 1). Water vapor imagery from satellite shows Debby's center is almost completely void of moisture, though rain continues to fall on the northeast side of the storm where moisture is still available. A 6 foot wide, 12-15 foot deep sinkhole swallowed a small portion of I-10 in Madison County west of Jacksonville, Florida, this morning, where heavy rain continues, though this hole will likely be filled and the lane reopened by tomorrow morning. Wind shear around 20 knots is also keeping Debby at bay, but the real disrupter is the lack of moisture.


Figure 1. Where's Debby? On the left: visible satellite imagery. On the right: water vapor satellite imagery, where the dry air ranges from black to rusty orange. Debby's center is almost completely void of moisture. These images were captured around 1pm EDT.

Forecast for Debby
The forecast for Debby continues to be similar to previous forecasts. The storm will likely continue to lose strength as it moves over Florida this evening and Wednesday, but could gain some momentum again when it reaches the yet untapped Atlantic water. There's a high chance Debby will be downgraded to tropical depression status this evening. The HPC continues to forecast up to 8 inches of rain for far northeast Florida over the next 5 days, likely because of the slight strengthening forecast to occur on Thursday and beyond. Debby's center will most likely be over Atlantic water Wednesday night.


Figure 2. Advisory map for the U.S. Tuesday afternoon. Heat advisories (pink) blanket the central U.S. This heat is expected to move eastward over the next few days as the ridge of high pressure advances.

The Heat Continues

Record highs continue to fall Tuesday afternoon in the central U.S., where Denver, Colorado had its fifth consecutive day of triple-digit heat after it reached 100°F at 1pm MDT, and could continue to rise this afternoon. This ties the all-time record for consecutive 100°F+ days. Nebraska and Kansas are particularly toasty this afternoon; McCook, Nebraska has reached 113°F so far, and Hill City, Kansas is up to 112°F. Though, to put that in perspective, the state record for Nebraska is 118°F, and the state record for Kansas is 121°F.

The heat moves east tomorrow, and by Thursday, many of the major Midwest cities are forecast to be in the triple-digits, including Chicago, St. Louis, and Indianapolis. By Friday the heat will be beating down on the East Coast. In the meantime out west, the forecast high in Fresno for this weekend is 82°F, which would tie as the coolest final weekend in June on record, according to the Hanford forecast office.

Angela

Tropical Storm Debby (apphotos)
Boats are sunken and thrown up on a dock at the Rock Landing Marina in Panacea, Fla., Tuesday, June 26, 2012. High winds and heavy rains spawned by the approaching Tropical Storm Debby caused the damage. (AP Photo/Dave Martin)
Tropical Storm Debby
Tropical Storm Debby (apphotos)
Jesse Deese uses his skim board to shield from blowing sand in Panama City Beach, Fla., Monday, June 25, 2012. Tropical Storm Debby raked the Tampa Bay area with high wind and heavy rain Monday in a drenching that could top 2 feet over the next few days and trigger widespread flooding. (AP Photo/Dave Martin)
Tropical Storm Debby

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Poor Debby could never catch up to all the energy she threw east the last three days. Now she just follows her blob she created to the NE and out of our hair forever. Gulf stream does nothing to Debby, and now I guess these fires become story #1, as this fire season looks like the worst in U.S history. Dry, dry, dry, from here in Wisconsin where we've had virtually no precipitation in the last 90 days in the southern half of the state, all the way to poor Texas again. Summer is just getting here, this heat is so oppressive, what in the world will a dry hot summer do to the heartland and Midwest? Right now in southern Wisconsin, crops aren't growing, ground is cracking horribly, and farmers are seriously concerned. No relief in sight for any of us. At least the ridge that brought the crazy record highs over the heartland will move east and bring a little cooling.
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Quoting hydrus:
Amazing how a tropical storm can alter the coastline in just a few days. Anna Maria is beautiful. I have fished the area.



Any one know how Sanibel/Captiva fared?
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953. GeorgiaStormz 9:50 AM CDT on June 27, 2012 +0
Quoting Articuno:
I only have 4 people on my ignore list.
Weird huh?

i have two.
both you know who
Action: Quote | Ignore User


------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------------------

I havemlike 26
Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6461
941. ncstorm 9:46 AM CDT on June 27, 2012 +0
Quoting weatherh98:
Im having troubles quoting so i must ask, is anyone else?


Im not


------------------------------------------------- ------ Lucky
Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6461
JMA Model


Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 14600
Quoting HurricaneHunterJoe:


Hey Aussie can you post link,I've lost that somewhere along the way. thank you

Here ya go.
Link
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Quoting Articuno:
I only have 4 people on my ignore list.
Weird huh?


i have two.
both you know who
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july.systems.dennis.and.emily.are.examples.from.200 5
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Quoting GeorgiaStormz:


do you think they will have minor troubles?
the wave seems to be falling apart a bit, it is barely even rotating, and it is way too far south.
The modles dissipate it fully when it runs into a low just off venezuela by the beginning of the south american wave train

btw, glad your mom and you are doing better.
The car accident wasnt to severe, i assume?

No it wasn't severe at all.

I blame the deer.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31532
kinda nippy here in sooo cal for summer, 53 at 750am local,musta been down to 50,going for a high of 86-88 with maybe 30-40% humidity,I hear another trof in Pacific Northwest will knock dem unbearable 80's down a notch :/
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These fires are terrifying. Another picture this time from the Denver post.
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
It's very unusual to get a wave this well defined so early in the season. If this were August or September when conditions would be more favorable, the Caribbean islands would have major troubles.




do you think they will have minor troubles?
the wave seems to be falling apart a bit, it is barely even rotating, and it is way too far south.
The modles dissipate it fully when it runs into a low just off venezuela by the beginning of the south american wave train. A bit after, we get Daniel in the E Pac

btw, glad your mom and you are doing better.
The car accident wasnt to severe, i assume?
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My ignore list is reaching the century mark. But at least a third of that list is occupied by the various handles of two individuals.
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I only have 4 people on my ignore list.
Weird huh?
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Quoting GeorgiaStormz:


he does?
why?
I don't know why.But any way back to that central Atlantic wave!!
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 16437

that wave is followed by a bowl of dry air leaving Africa
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Quoting washingtonian115:
TWX13 has me on ignore.So could some one quote me and say I agree.But One on those could at least become a tropical depression.

Lol, no I don't.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31532
Quoting washingtonian115:
TWX13 has me on ignore.So could some one quote him and say I agree.But One on those could at least become a tropical depression.


he does?
why?
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Quoting weatherh98:
Im having troubles quoting so i must ask, is anyone else?


Im not
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 14600
Quoting Minnemike:
Did a part of Debby decouple and head to Texas? I was seeing some moisture traveling west in WV loop of the last 24hrs... perhaps some of the models were half right ;)


Pulllleeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeezzzzzzzzzzzzeeeeeeeee quit
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936. hurricanehunter27 9:43 AM CDT on June 27, 2012 +0
Not sure if this has been posted or not but take a look at Colorado Springs.


Looks like a volcano erupted.



WOW that looks destructive
Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6461
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:
Lot of homes in trouble, they probably burn faster than trees given that they dont have to be dried out:


I assume the gas lines are shut off, but what would happen if, when the fires were getting near, the water hoses from the houses were turned on in some manner, such as turning the sprinkler on?
Would that help at all?


Potentially, but that could also drop water pressure in the area, which would hurt firefighting efforts.

Once a wildfire gets into a subdivision, it is really a gamble whether your house will make it. There tends to be a lack of natural barriers within a subdivision, and while access is good, there is also plenty of fuel and potential hazards.
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TWX13 has me on ignore.So could some one quote me and say I agree.But One on those could at least become a tropical depression.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 16437
Not sure if this has been posted or not but take a look at Colorado Springs.


Looks like a volcano erupted.
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935. wxmod
Size comparison. All images are on the same scale; about 800 miles across:
This is of the Wyoming and Colorado wildfires. You can barely see them.

and this is the fires in north east Asia.

and these fires are in Siberia,Russia.

MODIS satellite photos today.
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Quoting AussieStorm:
Follow this loop and you'll see where the center of Debby is.


Hey Aussie can you post link,I've lost that somewhere along the way. thank you
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933. ryang
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
It's very unusual to get a wave this well defined so early in the season. If this were August or September when conditions would be more favorable, the Caribbean islands would have major troubles.




remember the wave for eventual Bertha back in 2008?
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926. TropicalAnalystwx13 9:37 AM CDT on June 27, 2012 +0
It's very unusual to get a wave this well defined so early in the season. If this were August or September when conditions would be more favorable, the Caribbean islands would have major troubles.



Action: Quote | Ignore User
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 64 Comments: 17782


yes major problems for them but its june
Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6461
Im having troubles quoting so i must ask, is anyone else?
Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6461
we got a new low on the east coast

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Quoting iceman100:




When you factor in the humidity, the "feels like" temp would be 100 or greater. That's not "wonderfully cool" anywhere in the world.

I actually meant "wonderful cooldown". It was 105 in Houston yesterday, with a heat index easily crossing 110. To have a high of 93 and a heat index of 100 would be a welcome relief, even though it is still painfully hot.

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Is it possible that Debby could scrape Bermuda?
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It's very unusual to get a wave this well defined so early in the season. If this were August or September when conditions would be more favorable, the Caribbean islands would have major troubles.


Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31532
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:
Lot of homes in trouble, they probably burn faster than trees given that they dont have to be dried out:....
I assume the gas lines are shut off, but what would happen if, when the fires were getting near, the water hoses from the houses were turned on in some manner, such as turning the sprinkler on?
Would that help at all?

Action:
Quote
| Ignore User


Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2049





I actually wondered the same thing about houses and fires. I understood that the fires burn fairly quickly and the area is subject to extremely intense heat but therefore for a shorter period of time.

I kept wondering what if there was a sort of very thin multilayered cover that could be pulled over a house, sort of like those emergency blankets hikers use, only have it attached to a hose run from the top of the house so that it served as sort of a very thin pancake shaped water ballon that covered the house. Obviously the hose can't carry enough water to dampen the fire - but if it was turned on a few hours before the fire came, maybe it would be able to outlast a quick fire.

probably a stupid idea... this seems to have been a week of them, but can't really think it why it wouldn't work.
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Quoting GeorgiaStormz:


what 1723 hurricane?
I cant seem to find it.
Uhh 1780 :).More alert now thanks to tea.
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Quoting washingtonian115:
So not looking forward to this heat and humidity...gonna be a real pain.Yuck.Where's my peeps?.

right here
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Quoting westFLtropics:
Tropical Storm Debby has washed away most of the beach on Anna Maria Island and Longboat Key. The beach is simply gone in parts. The dunes on Anna Maria took a serious blow. This is also the same all up and down the west coast of Florida. Hope the storms stay away or else we will have a serious problem on our hands. No dunes to protect the barrier islands in parts.
Amazing how a tropical storm can alter the coastline in just a few days. Anna Maria is beautiful. I have fished the area.
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Post # 907, how can you say that. Many years there's nothing till july or later. Hurrican Andrew ring a bell? --August 1992. Get real.
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Quoting ryang:
Interesting Twave in the CATL, however, i think the atmosphere is a bit too dry.
It seems to be creating it's own moisture field.
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919. ryang
Interesting Twave in the CATL, however, i think the atmosphere is a bit too dry.
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Quoting GeorgiaStormz:
Lot of homes in trouble, they probably burn faster than trees given that they dont have to be dried out:



The smoke plume

I assume the gas lines are shut off, but what would happen if, when the fires were getting near, the water hoses from the houses were turned on in some manner, such as turning the sprinkler on?
Would that help at all?

sprinklers may help, but even if it was bare ground around the house, it's the burning embers that can be blown under doors or into the roof that start most house fires in homes that have bush around or near them. here in Australia, we cut the grass around our homes very short, put sprinklers on, wet the roof put wet towels around the bottom of the external doors, but it's just a lottery if your house is burnt to the ground or is untouched.
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Quoting islander101010:
winds that can peel the skin off


what 1723 hurricane?
I cant seem to find it.
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Quoting GeorgiaStormz:


to me, the superstorms are CVs, the supersuper storms start closer to home, not in the gulf, but in the caribbean or w of florida.
Like Ivan was a CV- as superstorm
But Katrina was a semi homestarted storm and was a superstorm
The CV storms cycle out of their strongest phases before land, especially in the caribbean sea, while the closer to home storms peak in the gulf or around there


You mean this?.. :)



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Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:
Not looking too bad.



Good Mourning everyone, Debby is starting to speed up as it leaves Florida its looking really disorganized and may not make it to tropical storm status again. Elsewhere a tropical wave in the Central Atlantic is has a 10% percent chance of development conditions right now is somewhat favorable. It has some decent vorticity and dry air in that region is being mixed out by the wave's moisture field. It will be interesting to see how this wave evolves later on this week however none of the models develop it at the moment. Just keep an eye on it as this season has been really unpredictable.
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Quoting GeorgiaStormz:
Lot of homes in trouble, they probably burn faster than trees given that they dont have to be dried out:



The smoke plume

I assume the gas lines are shut off, but what would happen if, when the fires were getting near, the water hoses from the houses were turned on in some manner, such as turning the sprinkler on?
Would that help at all?
Reminds me of that scene from 2012 where Las vegas was burning on fire.
Quoting ncstorm:
I see it has a low associated with it.Will it spin to the lower levels?...
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 16437
Lot of homes in trouble, they probably burn faster than trees given that they dont have to be dried out:



The smoke plume

I assume the gas lines are shut off, but what would happen if, when the fires were getting near, the water hoses from the houses were turned on in some manner, such as turning the sprinkler on?
Would that help at all?

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Quoting iceman100:

When you factor in the humidity, the "feels like" temp would be 100 or greater. That's not "wonderfully cool" anywhere in the world.

The National Weather Service in Houston/Galveston has issued a heat advisory... which is in effect from noon today to 8 PM CDT this evening.

* Event... heat indices at or above 108.

It's all relative.
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Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 14600
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heat index of 97 degrees @ 9 a.m. mississippi coast
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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