Tropical Storm Debby has formed in the Gulf of Mexico

By: angelafritz , 9:18 PM GMT on June 23, 2012

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Tropical Storm Debby has been named by the National Hurricane Center this afternoon after hurricane hunters investigated Invest 96L and found a solid closed circulation, with maximum winds of 50mph and gusts up to 65mph. All interests along the Gulf of Mexico coast should pay attention to the progress of Debby. Debby is drifting north at 5mph. The storm has brought heavy rains to Western Cuba, South Florida, and Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula over the past two days, but the disturbance's heaviest rains are located well offshore over the Eastern Gulf of Mexico, where heavy thunderstorms are generating winds near tropical storm-force. A buoy 243 miles west of Naples, FL measured sustained winds of 31 mph, gusting to 38 mph, with 10-foot waves, at 8 am EDT Saturday morning. Our Wundermap for the surrounding ocean areas shows a large region of the northern and eastern Gulf of Mexico is experiencing winds of 20 - 30 mph.

Visible satellite loops show an unorganized tropical cyclone with an obvious surface circulation, though the thunderstorm activity is well displaced to the east. The heavy thunderstorm activity is slowly expanding and growing more intense. Upper-level winds out of the west continue to create moderate 10 - 20 knots of wind shear over the region, though that is expected to increase over the next few days. Water vapor satellite loops show a region of dry air over the central Gulf of Mexico, which will continue to interfere with Debby's development and make it hard for the west side of the circulation to maintain heavy thunderstorms. Ocean temperatures are about 28.5°C (83°F) in the Central Gulf of Mexico, which is about 1°F above average.


Figure 1. Saturday afternoon satellite image of Tropical Storm Debby in the Gulf of Mexico.


Figure 2. Saturday afternoon forecast track for Tropical Storm Debby.

Forecast for Debby
The National Hurricane Center is forecasting Debby to remain a tropical cyclone over the next 5 days as it drifts north and then west toward Texas. The Hurricane Center is forecasting a very slow progression of the storm, with a potential landfall not occurring until Friday. However, most of the models that predict the turn to the west suggest landfall will happen before or around Wednesday. The models are still generally split on the forecast for Debby; by Monday, the majority of the reliable models, including the ECMWF, NOGAPS, HWRF, and UKMET, agree that a ridge of high pressure will build in over the Southern U.S., forcing Debby west across the Gulf of Mexico and into South Texas by Wednesday. However, the GFS model, which has been our 2nd most reliable track model over the past two years (behind the ECMWF), has consistently been predicting that a trough of low pressure pushing off of the U.S. East Coast will be capable of grabbing the disturbance and accelerating it to the northeast across Florida north of Tampa Bay on Monday. The GFDL model splits the difference between these extremes and takes Debby north to a landfall near the Alabama/Florida border on Tuesday. The predicted track west to Texas is still the most likely outcome, though it remains a low-confidence forecast. In terms of intensity, none of the models is predicting Debby will become a hurricane, nor is the Hurricane Center. Though sea surface temperature is warm (and around 1°F above average), the actual heat content of the Gulf is relatively low. Wind shear is predicted to remain moderately strong through Sunday, but will increase to 30+ knots by Tuesday.

Debby's place in history (by Jeff Masters)
Remarkably, Debby's formation on June 23 comes a full two months ahead of the usual formation date of the season's fourth storm in the Atlantic, August 23. Debby's formation beats by twelve days the previous record for formation of the fourth named storm of the year in the Atlantic, set in 2005, when Hurricane Dennis was named on July 5. An early start to the Atlantic hurricane season has been increasingly common in recent years. In 2008, I blogged about the research of Dr. Jim Kossin of the University of Wisconsin, who published a 2008 paper in Geophysical Research Letters, titled "Is the North Atlantic hurricane season getting longer?" He concluded that yes, there is a "apparent tendency toward more common early- and late-season storms that correlates with warming Sea Surface Temperature but the uncertainty in these relationships is high". Three out of four of this year's early quartet of storms--Alberto, Beryl, and Debby--formed in ocean areas that were more than 1°F above average, which is an unusually high amount of warmth. We should expect to see more early-season Atlantic tropical storms as a consequence of global warming, since cool ocean temperatures are a key impediment to formation of such storms. However, this assumes that factors such as wind shear and atmospheric stability won't grow more hostile for tropical cyclone formation during the early part of hurricane season, and this is uncertain. If we do end up seeing a substantial increase in early-season tropical storms as a consequence of global warming, this is not necessarily a bad thing. Early-season tropical storms are often more boon than bane, bringing much-needed drought-busting rains, like Tropical Storm Beryl did for North Florida last month. With drought frequency and intensity predicted to increase for much of the Gulf Coastal states in coming decades, an increase in rainfall from early-season tropical storms may do more good than the damages inflicted by the high winds and flooding these storms may bring. There is typically a lot of wind shear around in May, June, and July, making it difficult for early season storms to reach major hurricane status. According to Wunderground's list of major early-season hurricanes, since record keeping began in 1851, there has been only one major hurricane in May, two in June, and nine in July. Three of these occurred in the past ten years, so there has not as yet been a large increase in early-season major hurricanes due to global warming.

References
Kossin, J., 2008, "Is the North Atlantic hurricane season getting longer?", Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 35, L23705, doi:10.1029/2008GL036012, 2008.

Angela and Jeff

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2786. mfcmom
9:12 PM GMT on June 24, 2012
Our local forecaster WJHG now has the track coming up just west of us in Panama City.
Member Since: September 1, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 53
2785. nola70119
5:34 PM GMT on June 24, 2012
Quoting nola70119:
Until the big high over Texas/La breaks down ain't nothing coming near here......



Supposedly a low is headed this way for tuesday....a deep one, also.
Member Since: June 16, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 1559
2784. FSUCOOPman
4:44 PM GMT on June 24, 2012
Quoting mahep1911:
Hello all I live in Tallahassee florida and looks like we are in for a bumpy ride here any idea what we can expect


rain, rain, and more rain...

maybe some heavy gusts in some bands, but I doubt we'll ever see sustained TS winds, unless the thing tracks directly over the top of us. (which a few models are still showing, so not out of the question).

JMHO
Member Since: August 29, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 365
2783. FSUCOOPman
4:40 PM GMT on June 24, 2012
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Other than a VERY slight move towards the north and maybe east, Debby's center position remains unchanged from where it was last night.


center, yes, but rain bands and TS force gusts and weather, no.

It was dry as a bone through 2 am in Tallahassee last night. We've had steady rain all day and there's heavier bands coming our way.

I know it's not subtropical, at all, but the way the bad weather is displaced from the CoC, it feels that way.

too much focus on the center, IMO.
Member Since: August 29, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 365
2782. nola70119
3:30 PM GMT on June 24, 2012
Until the big high over Texas/La breaks down ain't nothing coming near here......and my guess is whatever Debbie is heads east, although its less of a track than a monsoonal system that is evolving in that direction.

Member Since: June 16, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 1559
2781. nola70119
3:23 PM GMT on June 24, 2012
BTW, There is no real "Debbie"....its a big weather system that is minimally cyclonic and there is a lot of action to the East because to the west is DRY air.
Member Since: June 16, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 1559
2780. nola70119
3:21 PM GMT on June 24, 2012
I see Debbie is sucking in dry air big time on the west side........surprised it hasn't been poof already for Deb.
Member Since: June 16, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 1559
2779. Clearwater1
3:12 PM GMT on June 24, 2012
Quoting nolajet:
@Schistkicker, I seem to recall storms in the past moving south of us like that, I just can't recall any names off the top of my head. I can tell you it was in the last 30 years, but that's it. :P

I can see coastal flooding being a problem as it already can be, but this seems like an excellent test of our new pumping stations if we do get inundated with rain, and a great reminder to be prepared and clean storm drains. A lady was screaming at me earlier for being close to her Miata parked along side a completely clogged storm drain. I was about to clean it, but I'll respect her desire for no one to get near her car.

Wherever this goes, I just hope people stay safe. Also that people listen to official forecasts and prepare, not just read a few lines on a blog and think they have official answers.
Agnes, in 72 had a track this same time of year, somewhat similar to Debby. She headed into the panhandle and continued north.
Member Since: August 26, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 1547
2778. Jedkins01
1:57 PM GMT on June 24, 2012
There are some really violent cells headed for the west coast of Florida, I expect wind gusts 45 to 55 mph and excessive rainfall, there is also some decent lightning in there too.
Member Since: August 21, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 6837
2777. aspectre
1:52 PM GMT on June 24, 2012
Derived from (NHC) ATCF data for TropicalStormDebby for 24June12pmGMT:
Its vector had changed from North at 5.8mph(9.3km/h) to NWest at 12.3mph(19.8km/h)
MaxSusWinds had increased from 45knots(52mph)83km/h to 50knots(80mph)93km/h
MinimumPressure had decreased from 998millibars to994millibars

For those who like to visually track TS.Debby's path...
KHRT is MaryEsther,Florida :: ECP is PanamaCity,Florida :: 2J0is Wakulla,Florida

The SSWesternmost dot on the line-segments is where Invest96L became TropicalStormDebby
The SWesternmost dot on the longest line-segment is TS.Debby's most recent position

The longest line-segment is the straightline projection through TS/Debby's 2 most recent positions to the coastline
The ECP-dumbell is the endpoint of 24June12amGMT's straightline projection connected to its nearest airport
The KHRT-dumbell is the endpoint of 24June6amGMT's straightline projection connected to its nearest airport
On 24June12pmGMT, TS.Debby was heading toward passage over StMarksNationalWildlifeRefuge in ~15&1/2.hours from now

Copy&paste lch, mob, apf, ecp-30.202n85.854w, khrt-30.393n86.589w, 2jo, 26.0n87.6w-26.5n87.4w, 26.5n87.4w-27.0n87.3w, 27.0n87.3w-27.8n86.5w, 27.0n87.3w-30.084n84.115w into the GreatCircleMapper for more information

See the previous mapping for comparison.
Member Since: August 21, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 4860
2776. KennyNebraska
1:49 PM GMT on June 24, 2012
Cyclone Oz is on Pensacola Beach flying a TS warning flag. crazymother.tv
Member Since: July 7, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 474
2775. HondosGirl
1:49 PM GMT on June 24, 2012
Quoting PcolaSurf182:



Not here in Pensacola...yet. I'm sure it will be here by this afternoon though!


50 Miles N of PC BCH, 12 Miles S of the FL/AL Border Windy and mostly overcast but no rain yet today.
Member Since: August 20, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 111
2774. dearmas
1:37 PM GMT on June 24, 2012
Quoting LargoFl:
..............hope that gfs run is wrong, thats way too close for comfort


Water pushing up into the mouth of Tampa Bay with this. your right not good!!!
Member Since: August 23, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 120
2773. barbamz
1:34 PM GMT on June 24, 2012
Quoting WunderAlertBot:
JeffMasters has created a new entry.
Member Since: October 25, 2008 Posts: 43 Comments: 5017
2772. dearmas
1:33 PM GMT on June 24, 2012
Getting tons of rain and light/mod winds here in Wesley Chapel FL

Are they sure Debbie is not coming to Florida??!!
Member Since: August 23, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 120
2771. charlottefl
1:32 PM GMT on June 24, 2012
...SRN FL NWWD ALONG THE NCNTRL GULF COAST...
CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY EXISTS IN THE TRACK AND INTENSITY TRENDS
FOR T.S. DEBBY...EVEN IN THE SHORT-TERM. WIND FIELDS SUPPORTIVE OF
ISOLATED TC TORNADOES ARE CURRENTLY OBSERVED ON TBW VWP AND EXPECT
THAT THIS KINEMATIC ENVIRONMENT WILL LIKELY EXPAND NORTH AND WEST
WITH TIME. CURRENT RADAR DEPICTS WIDESPREAD TROPICAL RAINFALL
COVERAGE TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CYCLONE CENTER WITH SOMEWHAT
MORE DISCRETE CELLS WITH LIGHTNING EMBEDDED WITHIN DISORGANIZED
FEEDER BAND TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. PERSISTENT WEAK ROTATION
HAS BEEN NOTED WITH THE DISCRETE UPDRAFTS TRACKING ABOUT 25NM OFF
THE FL WEST COAST WITH AN ADDITIONAL CLUSTER OF CELLS EXHIBITING
WEAK ROTATION ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST.

GIVEN DEGREE OF UNCERTAINTY WITH THE TRACK AND WIDESPREAD CLOUD
COVER/RAIN LIKELY INHIBITING INLAND DESTABILIZATION...WILL MAINTAIN
ONLY LOW TORNADO PROBABILITIES ACROSS WRN AND SRN FL WITH THIS
OUTLOOK. WILL ALSO EXTEND THOSE LOW PROBABILITIES WWD ALONG THE
NCNTRL GULF COAST TO ACCOUNT FOR AN INCREASING CHANCE FOR STRONG
SHEAR TO SPREAD INTO THESE AREAS BY EARLY MONDAY.
Member Since: December 18, 2006 Posts: 7 Comments: 2685
2770. BahaHurican
1:32 PM GMT on June 24, 2012
Quoting hurricanehunter27:
You can't say they blew it until landfall. Starting to get annoyed how some people are so sure it will be one or another.
Definitely agree with this. Pple are screeching "IT'S HEADED NE!!!!!!!!" without mentioning.... at less than 3 miles an hour.... and telling TX to take back the tuna... when the TX landfall wasn't forecast to happen until, when... this time NEXT WEEK.....

I think we'd to a lot better to "hold our heads" as pple say locally, and invest our activities in a bit more observation.

IMO, both landfall scenarios still have a fair amount of merit, but while the ridge and the trough battle it out, it's pretty much a wait and see situation. Forecast certainty with Debby is pretty low.
Member Since: October 25, 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 20686
2769. blsealevel
1:31 PM GMT on June 24, 2012
Local Mets are saying possible she hangs around my neck of the woods for a day or two
come Tuesday and Wednesday they sound fairly confident of that so we will see i guess
Best for me if she hangs tight to the coast as she moves west if that happens dont want her to be 100 miles or so offshore of course that don't bold well for the folks N of me good luck everyone.

blsealevel
Member Since: August 23, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1918
2768. Grothar
1:31 PM GMT on June 24, 2012
Quoting weathermanwannabe:


Our long time poster, Ike, is from Defuniak but he stopped posting this year...........


I know, it was in tribute to him. I didn't realize anyone would remember that. (Do I have to end this with IMO?) How you doing wannabe?
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 63 Comments: 23700
2767. charlottefl
1:31 PM GMT on June 24, 2012
Even though we're probably not gonna get a lot of daytime heating because of the cloud cover. What we do get, I'm expecting to increase instability quite a bit here.
Member Since: December 18, 2006 Posts: 7 Comments: 2685
2766. floridaT
1:30 PM GMT on June 24, 2012
Quoting sporteguy03:

Your right, they did they same thing with Irene, I can see them slowly adjusting it North and East maybe closer to the TX/LA border. If the NHC was to just move the cone directly over FL panhandle that would hurt their credibility.
remember its weather no one can predict exactly and if the NHC has windshield wiper tracts people would not head the warnings. because of the uncertainty of this they had a very wide cone. good judgement on NHC imo
Member Since: September 2, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 951
2765. KeyWestwx
1:30 PM GMT on June 24, 2012
here's current conditions in Key West. the onlyu big rain we've received form the storm was Friday night about 7pm
Conditions
Pressure29.94 in Visibility10.0 miles CloudsMostly Cloudy 1700 ft
Mostly Cloudy 2300 ft
Overcast 2800 ft

Moisture
Humidity91%Rainfall0.00 in
Heat Index89 °F Dew Point78 °F
Wind
Speed / Dir16 mph stronger gusts

Panama City is getting more action than us. here's a good webcam to watch the waves roll in

http://oaseasresorts.com/web-cam-panama-city-beac h.html
Member Since: September 20, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 270
2764. barbamz
1:30 PM GMT on June 24, 2012
Quoting WunderAlertBot:
JeffMasters has created a new entry.
Member Since: October 25, 2008 Posts: 43 Comments: 5017
2763. reedzone
1:30 PM GMT on June 24, 2012
Here comes the anticyclone... Much favorable conditions then yesterday.

Member Since: July 1, 2008 Posts: 13 Comments: 7334
2762. mfcmom
1:29 PM GMT on June 24, 2012
Well had one pup deliver last night and the other is in labor. Just sayin' a little levity this morning.
Member Since: September 1, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 53
2761. charlottefl
1:29 PM GMT on June 24, 2012
When it's raining, cause we're getting breaks, I'm getting like .50" in like 20 minutes. Very heavy tropical downpours, and not even close to the center. Flooding is gonna be a real issue for a lot of people..
Member Since: December 18, 2006 Posts: 7 Comments: 2685
2760. centex
1:28 PM GMT on June 24, 2012
I think people are overeacting, the models are still not in agreement and if one model switches back we are back to square one. It's not going anywhere so they have time to flip few more times.
Member Since: August 10, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 3217
2759. sporteguy03
1:27 PM GMT on June 24, 2012
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
The NHC isn't going to move the track forecast several hundred miles east based on one model suite. Doing that would, quite frankly, be unprofessional.

Your right, they did they same thing with Irene, I can see them slowly adjusting it North and East maybe closer to the TX/LA border. If the NHC was to just move the cone directly over FL panhandle that would hurt their credibility.
Member Since: July 7, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 5120
2758. icmoore
1:26 PM GMT on June 24, 2012
Quoting GTcooliebai:
Bay News 9 model still has Debby out in the middle of the GOM by Wed. doing a loop.



Animation


Whoa I sure hope that doen't pan out.
Member Since: July 18, 2005 Posts: 9 Comments: 4140
2757. hurricanehunter27
1:26 PM GMT on June 24, 2012
Quoting MAweatherboy1:

That's why the second half of my comment is there... I meant that they move it in small increments to make it look that way... Personally I still see a LA/TX track.
I saw you second part its does not add to the fact that your initial wording is quite rude to the NHC. I am sure you would never say that to one of the forecasters in person.
Member Since: July 22, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 3813
2756. nolajet
1:26 PM GMT on June 24, 2012
@Schistkicker, I seem to recall storms in the past moving south of us like that, I just can't recall any names off the top of my head. I can tell you it was in the last 30 years, but that's it. :P

I can see coastal flooding being a problem as it already can be, but this seems like an excellent test of our new pumping stations if we do get inundated with rain, and a great reminder to be prepared and clean storm drains. A lady was screaming at me earlier for being close to her Miata parked along side a completely clogged storm drain. I was about to clean it, but I'll respect her desire for no one to get near her car.

Wherever this goes, I just hope people stay safe. Also that people listen to official forecasts and prepare, not just read a few lines on a blog and think they have official answers.
Member Since: August 3, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 52
2755. GTcooliebai
1:25 PM GMT on June 24, 2012
The BAMS models also has it dancing around in the GOM. And AVNO (GFS) continues to be the most consistent model and insist it will make landfall along the West Coast of FL. around the Big Bend area.

Member Since: August 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 5628
2754. Goldenblack
1:25 PM GMT on June 24, 2012
Thanks, that was exactly what I was looking to verify. Heading right towards you atm Drak.

Quoting Drakoen:


One northeast of the 994mb vortex message at 11:19z.
Member Since: June 28, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 706
2753. BrickellBreeze
1:25 PM GMT on June 24, 2012
Quoting Sfloridacat5:
TWC quote "it now looks like Debby will not be making it all the way to Texas."


Jim Cantore now stating that it might come "this" way.
Member Since: March 22, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 723
2752. Goldenblack
1:24 PM GMT on June 24, 2012
Quite right. Either way, I am sure they will make some shift back to the right at the 11EDT update, but make only slow modifications as the track verifies over the next 12 hours or longer..

Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
The NHC isn't going to move the track forecast several hundred miles east based on one model suite. Doing that would, quite frankly, be unprofessional.
Member Since: June 28, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 706
2751. Hurricanes305
1:24 PM GMT on June 24, 2012
Quoting weathermanwannabe:
On long range radar, the leading edge of the rotation is slowly headed towards the West due South of Mobile. I cannot tell if that is actual motion of the COC or just expanding band coverage on the western flank.


No, the center is not moving NW at all in fact it isnt moving much at all. It looks like it the center is much further NE but it just E/ESE of Tampa. The tstorms are wrap up a it strengthen. All though it 60 mph it really looks disorganized. However it needs to be more organized if it wants to get up to Hurricane strength which is likely to happen as its barely moving and an anticyclone is aligning itself over the COC.
Member Since: May 25, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2043
2750. WunderAlertBot (Admin)
1:24 PM GMT on June 24, 2012
JeffMasters has created a new entry.
2749. weathermanwannabe
1:24 PM GMT on June 24, 2012
Quoting Drakoen:


I've found that the sewage/drainage system here in Tallahassee is terrible. It is easy for just afternoon thunderstorms to leave some places flooded.


You were not here when Allison came through a few years ago. A few entire neighborhoods had to be evacuated "by boat"......Police lined up johnboats to go in a get people out. In the middle of a newer city subdivision............ :)
Member Since: August 8, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 8269
2748. MAweatherboy1
1:24 PM GMT on June 24, 2012
Quoting hurricanehunter27:
You can't say they blew it until landfall. Starting to get annoyed how some people are so sure it will be one or another.

That's why the second half of my comment is there... I meant that they always move it in small increments to make it look that way... Personally I still see a LA/TX track.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 79 Comments: 7290
2747. Drakoen
1:24 PM GMT on June 24, 2012
Quoting Goldenblack:
Drak,

I see a vortex message at 994mb north and just a tad east of previous. Is this the next message you are referring to below?



One northeast of the 994mb vortex message at 11:19z.
Member Since: October 28, 2006 Posts: 57 Comments: 29714
2746. WxGeekVA
1:24 PM GMT on June 24, 2012
Member Since: September 3, 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3466
2745. Sfloridacat5
1:23 PM GMT on June 24, 2012
TWC quote "it now looks like Debby will not be making it all the way to Texas."
Member Since: September 16, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 4734
2744. ncstorm
1:23 PM GMT on June 24, 2012
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 13436
2743. floridaT
1:23 PM GMT on June 24, 2012
surprised to wake up here in naples and its still raining. sheese just on the edge need to get some yard work done. my 2 cents north edge of cone new orleans.
Member Since: September 2, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 951
2742. TropicalAnalystwx13
1:22 PM GMT on June 24, 2012
The NHC isn't going to move the track forecast several hundred miles east based on one model suite. Doing that would, quite frankly, be unprofessional.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 108 Comments: 30243
2741. CaneHunter031472
1:22 PM GMT on June 24, 2012
Quoting SFLWeatherman:
WOW!!!!!!!!!


Lol funny how there is a warning From Florida to Louisiana but they manage to skip Mississippi.
Member Since: August 1, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 162
2740. Goldenblack
1:22 PM GMT on June 24, 2012
Drak,

I see a vortex message at 994mb north and just a tad east of previous. Is this the next message you are referring to below? (On Google Earth of course!)

Quoting Drakoen:
Looks like the next vortex message will be northeast of the previous.
Member Since: June 28, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 706
2739. hurricanehunter27
1:22 PM GMT on June 24, 2012
Quoting MAweatherboy1:
br>Makes it look like they blew it less than they did, lol.
Also keeps open the possibility of a shift back west.
You can't say they blew it until landfall. Starting to get annoyed how some people are so sure it will be one or another.
Member Since: July 22, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 3813
2738. BahaHurican
1:21 PM GMT on June 24, 2012
Quoting aquak9:


a bumpy ride
Hey, aquak.... nice 2 see u in the blog.... How did ur garden fare with Beryl?
Member Since: October 25, 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 20686
2737. LargoFl
1:21 PM GMT on June 24, 2012
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 33281
2736. Drakoen
1:21 PM GMT on June 24, 2012
Quoting weathermanwannabe:


I am near Bradfordville......Just rain all day and some power outages. But, beware of falling trees and branches and park your cars and boats accordingly.


I've found that the sewage/drainage system here in Tallahassee is terrible. It is easy for just afternoon thunderstorms to leave some places flooded.
Member Since: October 28, 2006 Posts: 57 Comments: 29714

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About JeffMasters

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.