Gulf of Mexico disturbance 96L close to tropical storm status

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 1:26 PM GMT on June 23, 2012

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An area of low pressure and heavy thunderstorms in the Central Gulf of Mexico (96L) is close to tropical depression or tropical storm status, and all interests along the Gulf of Mexico coast should pay attention to the progress of this disturbance. The disturbance has brought heavy rains to Western Cuba, South Florida, and Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula over the past two days, but the disturbance's heaviest rains are located well offshore over the Eastern Gulf of Mexico, where heavy thunderstorms are generating winds near tropical storm-force. A buoy 243 miles east of Naples, FL measured sustained winds of 31 mph, gusting to 38 mph, with 10-foot waves, at 8 am EDT Saturday morning. Our wundermap for the surrounding ocean areas shows a large region of the northern and eastern Gulf of Mexico is experiencing winds of 20 - 30 mph. Satellite-based surface wind measurements taken at 7:22 am EDT Saturday from the newly-available Oceansat-2 scatterometer, courtesy of India, showed a broad, elongated surface circulation over the Central Gulf of Mexico that was not well defined. The satellite saw top surface winds of 30 - 40 mph over the Eastern Gulf of Mexico. Visible satellite loops show that the circulation of 96L has become more defined this morning, and the heavy thunderstorm activity is slowly expanding and growing more intense. Upper-level winds out of the west are creating a moderate 10 - 20 knots of wind shear over the region. Water vapor satellite loops show a modest region of dry air over the Central Gulf of Mexico, which is interfering with development and keeping the western side of 96L's circulation free of heavy thunderstorms. Ocean temperatures are about 28.5°C (83°F) in the Central Gulf of Mexico, which is about 1°F above average. A hurricane hunter mission is scheduled to investigate 96L this afternoon to see if a tropical depression or tropical storm has formed.


Figure 1. Saturday morning satellite image of tropical disturbance 96L in the Gulf of Mexico.


Figure 2. Radar-estimated precipitation for South Florida from tropical disturbance 96L.

Forecast for 96L
Wind shear is predicted to remain in the moderate range through Sunday night, which is likely low enough to allow 96L to develop into a tropical depression or tropical storm by Sunday; NHC gave 96L a 90% chance of developing into a tropical depression by Monday morning, in their 8am EDT Tropical Weather Outlook. The future path of 96L is still unclear. The disturbance will drift slowly northwards through Sunday night, which will likely bring heavy rains of 2 - 4 inches to the Gulf Coast from Central Louisiana to Central Florida. A storm surge of 1 - 3 feet is also likely along the Southeast Louisiana coast on Sunday; coastal flood advisories have already been posted there. By Monday, the majority of the reliable models, including the ECMWF, NOGAPS, HWRF, and UKMET, agree that a ridge of high pressure will build in over the Southern U.S., forcing 96L westwards across the Gulf of Mexico and into South Texas by Wednesday. However, the GFS model, which has been our 2nd most reliable track model over the past two years (behind the ECMWF), has consistently been predicting that a trough of low pressure pushing off of the U.S. East Coast will be capable of grabbing the disturbance and accelerating it to the northeast across Florida north of Tampa Bay on Monday. The GFDL model splits the difference between these extremes, taking 96L northwards to a landfall near the Alabama/Florida border on Tuesday. Given that the majority of the models predict a westward track to Texas, that should be viewed as the most probable path for 96L, but this is a low-confidence forecast. None of the models is predicting 96L will become a hurricane, and the SHIPS model is predicting just a 4% chance of rapid intensification for 96L. Given the moderate levels of wind shear and dry air over the Gulf, only slow to modest intensification of 96L is likely over the next few days.

Jeff Masters

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anyone have the google earth recon link?
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Never seen that wording before.
The usual straight-forwardness that Avila's known for.

If Recon finds a well-defined LLC, then we have a cyclone.
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I waiting to see the data from Eastern quadrants of the storm. They will show the highest wind speeds.
Member Since: September 16, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 6499
Quoting windshear1993:
when will ernesto form??

After Debby
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Ok Recon is reporting a 850mb LLC around 26.2N and 87.1W just above the surface.. pressure around 1003mbs

Now note: there is a lower pressure to it's SW and more defined..but the models want to get ahold of the 850MB low and have it become the dominate center over the next 6-12hrs. We will see if this does happen or the vortex just SW of there sustains the lower pressure.
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Quoting MississippiWx:


After Debby forms.
lol
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LIX radar showing the NHC hunter location. Reload for updates



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Quoting LargoFl:
SPECIAL MARINE WARNING
GMZ034-055-075-231845-
/O.NEW.KKEY.MA.W.0191.120623T1743Z-120623T1845Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SPECIAL MARINE WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
143 PM EDT SAT JUN 23 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KEY WEST HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR...
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM HALFMOON SHOAL TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY
TORTUGAS OUT 60 NM...
GULF OF MEXICO INCLUDING DRY TORTUGAS AND REBECCA SHOAL CHANNEL...

* UNTIL 245 PM EDT

* AT 138 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS...PRODUCING STRONG WINDS NEAR 40 KNOTS
ABOUT 12 NAUTICAL MILES SOUTH OF THE DRY TORTUGAS...MOVING NORTH
AT 30 KNOTS.

PREPARE FOR WIND GUSTS NEAR 40 KNOTS AND BLINDING DOWNPOURS. MAKE
SURE ALL ON BOARD ARE WEARING LIFE JACKETS.

LAT...LON 2494 8316 2497 8283 2494 8263 2397 8278
2400 8322
TIME...MOT...LOC 1742Z 186DEG 31KT 2490 8293

$$
..............in MPH what is 40 knots?
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 37837
Nearest buoy with wind data:


Station 42003
NDBC
Location: 26.044N 85.612W
Date: Sat, 23 Jun 2012 16:50:00 UTC
Winds: SE (140°) at 31.1 kt gusting to 38.9 kt
Significant Wave Height: 13.8 ft
Dominant Wave Period: 11 sec
Mean Wave Direction: SSE (163°)
Atmospheric Pressure: 29.65 in and falling
Air Temperature: 78.6 F
Water Temperature: 82.4 F
Member Since: August 29, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 371
VIA NWSCHAT- NHC Room NHC has confirmed T.D 4 with a wind speed of 38 MPH, and a minimum central pressure of 1003 MB. However, before issuing official advisories Hurricane hunters need to explore all quadrants
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Quoting MississippiWx:


After Debby forms.
ernesto might form on friday july 13th
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12z ECMWF shows some pretty decent deepening through 24 hours.

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17:48:30Z 26.083N 87.200W 973.2 mb
(~ 28.74 inHg) 265 meters
(~ 869 feet) 1003.1 mb
(~ 29.62 inHg) - From 121° at 5 knots
(From the ESE at ~ 5.8 mph) 23.0°C*
(~ 73.4°F*) 23.0°C*
(~ 73.4°F*) 5 knots
(~ 5.8 mph) 8 knots
(~ 9.2 mph) 1 mm/hr
(~ 0.04 in/hr) 8.0 knots (~ 9.2 mph)
160.0%
Time Coordinates Aircraft
Static Air Pressure Aircraft
Geopotential Height Extrapolated
Surface Pressure D-value Flight Level Wind (30 sec. Avg.) Air Temp. Dew Point Peak (10 sec. Avg.)
Flight Level Wind SFMR
Peak (10s Avg.) Sfc. Wind SFMR
Rain Rate Estimated Surface Wind (30 sec. Avg.)
Using Estimated Reduction Factor Peak Wind at Flight Level to
Est. Surface Reduction Factor

HDOB Observations

Independent Calculations from Tropical Atlantic

At 17:39:00Z (first observation), the observation was 335 miles (540 km) to the WSW (240°) from Tampa, FL, USA.
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 423 Comments: 127803
SPECIAL MARINE WARNING
GMZ034-055-075-231845-
/O.NEW.KKEY.MA.W.0191.120623T1743Z-120623T1845Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SPECIAL MARINE WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
143 PM EDT SAT JUN 23 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KEY WEST HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR...
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM HALFMOON SHOAL TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY
TORTUGAS OUT 60 NM...
GULF OF MEXICO INCLUDING DRY TORTUGAS AND REBECCA SHOAL CHANNEL...

* UNTIL 245 PM EDT

* AT 138 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS...PRODUCING STRONG WINDS NEAR 40 KNOTS
ABOUT 12 NAUTICAL MILES SOUTH OF THE DRY TORTUGAS...MOVING NORTH
AT 30 KNOTS.

PREPARE FOR WIND GUSTS NEAR 40 KNOTS AND BLINDING DOWNPOURS. MAKE
SURE ALL ON BOARD ARE WEARING LIFE JACKETS.

LAT...LON 2494 8316 2497 8283 2494 8263 2397 8278
2400 8322
TIME...MOT...LOC 1742Z 186DEG 31KT 2490 8293

$$
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 37837
Quoting windshear1993:
when will ernesto form??


After Debby forms.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
TROPICAL STORM WATCHES OR WARNINGS COULD BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION
OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST LATER TODAY...AND INTERESTS IN THIS
AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS LOW. HEAVY
RAINS AND LOCALIZED FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS WESTERN CUBA AND
MUCH OF FLORIDA OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING IN THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO.

Guys get ready!!
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What models runs will be the first to have the HH data input into them? 18z or 00z?
Member Since: August 29, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 371
Quoting gordydunnot:
Looks like storm is moving s or sw for sure. We will need a couple more hrs. to see if it is looping.From visible satellite it is plan to see, very nasty shear to the west of the storm. It's not going to develop if it's headed west.IMO


Based on Tropical Atlantic's observation the overall movement the past 6 hours has been N or 10° at 10.2 knots
(11.7 mph | 18.9 km/h)
Member Since: September 16, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 6499
Quoting Orcasystems:


http://www.tropicalatlantic.com/recon/ge/Atlantic .kmz


Thank You!
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Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
000
ABNT20 KNHC 231755
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SAT JUN 23 2012

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

BUOY OBSERVATIONS...SATELLITE DATA...AND PRELIMINARY RECONNAISSANCE
DATA INDICATE THAT A TROPICAL STORM MAY BE FORMING IN THE CENTRAL
GULF OF MEXICO ABOUT 250 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER. IF THE PLANE IS ABLE TO IDENTIFY A WELL-DEFINED
SURFACE WIND CIRCULATION...THEN ADVISORIES WILL BE INITIATED LATER
THIS AFTERNOON. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...90 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM WATCHES OR WARNINGS COULD BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION
OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST LATER TODAY...AND INTERESTS IN THIS
AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS LOW. HEAVY
RAINS AND LOCALIZED FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS WESTERN CUBA AND
MUCH OF FLORIDA OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING IN THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. PLEASE
SEE MARINE FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

&&
HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER BERG/AVILA

Never seen that wording before.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31860
Just gotta find a closed LLC in the next hour in and a half and we'll see a renumber.
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook


000
ABNT20 KNHC 231755
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SAT JUN 23 2012

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

BUOY OBSERVATIONS...SATELLITE DATA...AND PRELIMINARY RECONNAISSANCE
DATA INDICATE THAT A TROPICAL STORM MAY BE FORMING IN THE CENTRAL
GULF OF MEXICO ABOUT 250 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER. IF THE PLANE IS ABLE TO IDENTIFY A WELL-DEFINED
SURFACE WIND CIRCULATION...THEN ADVISORIES WILL BE INITIATED LATER
THIS AFTERNOON. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...90 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM WATCHES OR WARNINGS COULD BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION
OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST LATER TODAY...AND INTERESTS IN THIS
AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS LOW. HEAVY
RAINS AND LOCALIZED FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS WESTERN CUBA AND
MUCH OF FLORIDA OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING IN THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. PLEASE
SEE MARINE FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
when will ernesto form??
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SAT JUN 23 2012

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

BUOY OBSERVATIONS...SATELLITE DATA...AND PRELIMINARY RECONNAISSANCE
DATA INDICATE THAT A TROPICAL STORM MAY BE FORMING IN THE CENTRAL
GULF OF MEXICO ABOUT 250 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER. IF THE PLANE IS ABLE TO IDENTIFY A WELL-DEFINED
SURFACE WIND CIRCULATION...THEN ADVISORIES WILL BE INITIATED LATER
THIS AFTERNOON.
THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...90 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM WATCHES OR WARNINGS COULD BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION
OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST LATER TODAY...AND INTERESTS IN THIS
AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS LOW. HEAVY
RAINS AND LOCALIZED FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS WESTERN CUBA AND
MUCH OF FLORIDA OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING IN THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. PLEASE
SEE MARINE FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook


000
ABNT20 KNHC 231755
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SAT JUN 23 2012

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

BUOY OBSERVATIONS...SATELLITE DATA...AND PRELIMINARY RECONNAISSANCE
DATA INDICATE THAT A TROPICAL STORM MAY BE FORMING IN THE CENTRAL
GULF OF MEXICO ABOUT 250 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER. IF THE PLANE IS ABLE TO IDENTIFY A WELL-DEFINED
SURFACE WIND CIRCULATION...THEN ADVISORIES WILL BE INITIATED LATER
THIS AFTERNOON. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...90 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
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Quoting washingtonian115:
We probably won't have Debby until tomorrow morning.
If Debby forms the contest with the pacific will be wrong remember aletta,Alberto,Bud,Beryl,Carlotta,Chris,and in here should had been Daniel not Debby .
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Stays at 90%.
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This is going to be an interesting TWO
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
000
ABNT20 KNHC 231755
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SAT JUN 23 2012

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

BUOY OBSERVATIONS...SATELLITE DATA...AND PRELIMINARY RECONNAISSANCE
DATA INDICATE THAT A TROPICAL STORM MAY BE FORMING IN THE CENTRAL
GULF OF MEXICO ABOUT 250 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER. IF THE PLANE IS ABLE TO IDENTIFY A WELL-DEFINED
SURFACE WIND CIRCULATION...THEN ADVISORIES WILL BE INITIATED LATER
THIS AFTERNOON. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...90 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM WATCHES OR WARNINGS COULD BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION
OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST LATER TODAY...AND INTERESTS IN THIS
AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS LOW. HEAVY
RAINS AND LOCALIZED FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS WESTERN CUBA AND
MUCH OF FLORIDA OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING IN THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. PLEASE
SEE MARINE FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

&&
HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER BERG/AVILA
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This this might head towards free port TX...
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864. jpsb
Quoting Skyepony:


It's wobbling around pretty hard as the two low circulations came around each other to become one.
Just a quick post to tell you I appreciate your insight on Topical weather.
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Quoting stormtopz1:
Does anyone know where to find the live hurricane hunter data in google earth? I have installed the "gebweather.kmz" file. Thanks.


http://www.tropicalatlantic.com/recon/ge/Atlantic .kmz
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Quoting Patrap:
Note the convection channel on the South Side Popping into the inflow.



Getting ready to start breathing some deep breaths
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SW winds are extend to 26N and 86.5 W... this could show the LLC is really closer to the formentioned 26.2N and 87W with the vortex SW of there near 25.8N and 87.8W
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Quoting Levi32:


In this case, with the vortex that the recon plane flew through moving SSW now, it is clearly not the mean center of the storm. It may be the pressure minimum and an isolated wind eddy, but it is not the center of mean circulation.


Does that mean no TD status yet?
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Quoting washingtonian115:
We probably won't have Debby until tomorrow morning.


we will see..
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Quoting Patrap:
Note the convection channel on the South Side Popping into the inflow.



Really blossoming nicely. Could become quite a large system once that upper level low moves farther away.
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Quoting WxGeekVA:
I mapped out the low clouds from the recent NASA Hi-res pass, and from what I can tell we have a slightly elongated low with 2 eddies in it that are merging. This should be declared a T.S. after the Hurricane Hunters are done.



BTW do you all like me doing these drawings? I do them because I think it helps everyone understand things a little simpler and easier to understand.
Yes -- for those of us that are trying to learn it helps a lot! Thank you.
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Looks like storm is moving s or sw for sure. We will need a couple more hrs. to see if it is looping.From visible satellite it is plan to see, very nasty shear to the west of the storm. It's not going to develop if it's headed west.IMO
Member Since: August 18, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 3113
I'm not seeing much in the way of pure westerlies yet, they seem to be checking out the swirl that just existed the convection.
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didnt come up sorry
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 37837
12z Euro running

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Quoting RitaEvac:
Regardless of convection around the center, they need to call this a TD with 30-35mph winds. It's landlocked, and need folks to start paying attention


But what if they find 40+ knot winds in the Eastern Quad? Would that be sufficiant?
Member Since: September 16, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 6499
A beautiful, but hot day in South MS. Not too worried about this system for us, but will still keep an eye on it (but then again, I always keep an eye on all systems). Hope this will not be more than an rain event for whoever receives this storm.
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I can see the mean, and the lil embedded swirl.

That will spill out on the western side on the downstroke, they have been since 06z this am.
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 423 Comments: 127803
Quoting CybrTeddy:


It shouldn't, they're in the exposed part of the system.

Shows how lopsided this is though.
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Quoting charlottefl:
Katrina made direct landfalls on 3 states: FL, LA, and MS. But I'm not really sure that matters, it's effects were far more reaching than just it's landfall location. Almost everyone on the Gulf had some impact from the storm. Granted some worse than others.


Ah yes, an even more correct correction to my correction! :)
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Quoting charlottefl:
I'm not sure I've ever seen a system spin off so many low level vorticies in such a short period of time.


Nods in agreement
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Getting ready to FINALLY get a healthy round of showers/storms here in North Fort Myers, FL! 96L is a weird bird...
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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