Two Atlantic disturbances to watch; Guchol hits Japan; extreme heat in Colorado

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:55 PM GMT on June 19, 2012

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An area of low pressure and heavy thunderstorms has developed over Western and Central Caribbean, and this disturbance will need to be watched for development as it moves northwest at 5 - 10 mph and enters the Gulf of Mexico late this week. The disturbance is poorly organized, and its modest area of heavy thunderstorms is bringing rains to Jamaica, the Cayman Islands, South Florida, the Southern Bahamas, and Cuba today. Wind shear is a moderate to high 20 - 30 knots over the region, and the shear is predicted to remain in the moderate to high range for the next three days along the disturbance's path. Water vapor satellite loops show a region of dry air over the Southern Gulf of Mexico and Yucatan Peninsula; strong upper-level winds out of the southwest are bringing some of this dry air into the vicinity of the disturbance, which is interfering with development. NHC is giving the disturbance a 10% chance of developing into a tropical depression by Thursday morning. None of the computer models is showing development of the disturbance into a tropical depression, but I wouldn't be surprised to see the system grow in size and potential for development over the next few days. There are currently no hurricane hunter missions scheduled to investigate.


Figure 1. Morning satellite image of the tropical disturbance near Cuba.

North Atlantic Invest 95L headed out to sea
A well-organized low pressure system with a closed surface circulation but little heavy thunderstorm activity (Invest 95L) is over the open Atlantic between Bermuda and Canada. This storm doesn't have enough heavy thunderstorms to deserve a name, but has a 50% chance of doing so before hitting colder waters on Wednesday, according to NHC. 95L is headed northeast out to sea, and will not trouble any land areas.


Figure 2. Tropical Storm Guchol as seen from NASA's Aqua satellite on June 19, 2012, as the storm approached Japan. Image credit: NASA.

Tropical Storm Guchol hits Japan
Tropical Storm Guchol made landfall in Japan's southern Wakayama prefecture near 9 UTC Tuesday morning. The Japan Times reports that the storm has injured five people, and 83,000 people have been evacuated. Guchol is the first June tropical cyclone to hit Japan since 2004. Tokyo recorded sustained winds of 56 mph, gusting to 76 mph, at 10:47pm local time (9:47 am EDT.) A wind gust of 74 mph was recorded at Shizuhama at 8:21 pm local time. The main threat from Guchol is heavy rain. The storm is expected to dump rains in excess of 400 mm (15.7") in the Tokai region, and 250 mm (9.8") inches near Tokyo. Japan is also watching Tropical Storm Talim, which is expected to pass along the length of the country Thursday and Friday. Talim's rains could cause considerable trouble, as they will fall on soils already saturated by the passage of Tropical Storm Guchol.

Intense heat in Colorado
One of the warmest days in Eastern Colorado history was observed Monday. According to wunderground's weather historian Christopher C. Burt, Denver had a daily record high of 100°F, but Wray, near the Kansas-Nebraska border, reached 109°. This was just short of its all-time record (for any month) of 110°F set in July 1934, and just 5° shy of the all-time state of Colorado record of 114°F set at Las Animas and Sedgwick on July 25, 1952. Lamar in Southeast Colorado hit 108°F yesterday, just 3° short of its all-time record of 111°F set in July 1934. Sterling, the in the far Northeast part of the state, hit 108°F, which may be its all-time heat record. The intense heat yesterday was accompanied by some very dry air. The humidity in Broomfield, CO fell to 4% for more than six hours on Monday. The hot, dry weather made firefighting efforts difficult for the massive wildfire burning 15 miles west of Fort Collins, CO. This fire is the third largest and most destructive fire in Colorado history. Firefighters have achieved 50% containment of the blaze.

Jeff Masters

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1573. stillwaiting
2:50 PM GMT on June 22, 2012
anyone else notice the vortex headed into the BOC???,IMO that'll be what develops as it heads SW!!,whata trixy!
Member Since: October 5, 2007 Posts: 20 Comments: 4970
1572. aspectre
3:00 PM GMT on June 20, 2012
Derived from (NHC) ATCF data for TropicalStormChris for 20June12pmGMT:
Its vector* had changed from ESEast at 19.4mph(31.2km/h) to East at 21.9mph(35.2km/h)
MaxSusWinds had increased from 40knots(46mph)74km/h to 45knots(52mph)83km/h
And minimum pressure had decreased from 1005millibars to 1000millibars

For those who like to visually track TS.Chris's path...
ISP is LongIsland,NewYork : BDA is Bermuda :: YYT is SaintJohns,Newfoundland

The SWesternmost dot on the kinked line is where Invest95L was initiated, as a closedLOw.
The NEasternmost dot on the kinked line is where Invest95L became TropicalStormChris
The Easternmost dot on the connected line-segments is TS.Chris's most recent position.

Copy&paste isp, bda, yyt, 28.8n68.8w- 29.2n67.1w- 30.4n65.3w- 31.7n64.0w- 33.4n63.5w- 35.3n62.5w- 36.8n61.9w- 38.0n61.3w- 38.5n60.5w- 39.1n59.6w- 39.4n58.5w- 39.5n58.0w, 39.5n58.0w-38.9n56.7w, 38.9n56.7w-38.3n54.7w, 38.3n54.7w-38.1n52.3w into the GreatCircleMapper for more information
The previous mapping for comparison.
Member Since: August 21, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 4860
1571. MahFL
2:38 PM GMT on June 20, 2012
Quoting hydrus:
I dont mind saying that I am becoming more concerned about whats happening south of Cuba.


Thats just a trough blob. No defined low has formed yet, as far as I can see. If it does it's forcast to go NNW first.
Member Since: June 9, 2004 Posts: 0 Comments: 3183
1570. beachman42
2:07 PM GMT on June 20, 2012
To Grother

How do I pull up the radar you show in your message number 1492 ?

I would like to pull it up on my computer.

Thanks. Beacman 42
Member Since: June 3, 2005 Posts: 1 Comments: 14
1569. beachman42
2:02 PM GMT on June 20, 2012
Quoting Grothar:
Member Since: June 3, 2005 Posts: 1 Comments: 14
1567. rmbjoe1954
1:46 PM GMT on June 20, 2012
Quoting washingtonian115:
That's the one the models are trying to develop into our first potential cape verde system this year.


It will be a challenge considering all the SAL over the Atlantic.
Member Since: June 16, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 1177
1566. Hurricanes305
1:43 PM GMT on June 20, 2012
Quoting canehater1:
Maybe I am a novice , but given the forecasted shear
I don't see how anything major
can develop in the S. Gulf...perhaps just a big ol weak Low... That being said I will still be watching
closely as I have 13 others and a vessel to take care of...


Look at the Northern gulf and the Florida panhandle on the latest shear map

Shear Tendency

The shear in the gulf is from an ULL which is moving north as we speak thus nothing to enhance wind shear.
That upper ridge will meet will the system in the next 24 to 36 hours. Then strongly establish itself on top of the system then shear will drop under 10 knots this will allow air to pile up and convection to grow along with bath water type sea surface temps. There wont be a lot of things to stop it from developing than time over water.



Member Since: May 25, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2043
1565. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
1:34 PM GMT on June 20, 2012
good morning all

just doing a cup of coffee here
having a look around
wunder if gro got his umbrella out
today
gonna be a little wet out
while watering the grass
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 168 Comments: 53285
1564. RitaEvac
1:34 PM GMT on June 20, 2012




Member Since: July 14, 2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 9628
1563. GeorgiaStormz
1:33 PM GMT on June 20, 2012








I do not believe the low off the e coast in the second image is tropical or subtropical, but you never know it could be another chris
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9718
1562. WunderAlertBot (Admin)
1:33 PM GMT on June 20, 2012
JeffMasters has created a new entry.
1561. AtHomeInTX
1:33 PM GMT on June 20, 2012
Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 671
1560. Tropicsweatherpr
1:31 PM GMT on June 20, 2012
Here is where the first fix by Recon will be on Friday at 2 PM EDT.

Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 13929
1559. islander101010
1:30 PM GMT on June 20, 2012
Quoting NSB207:
Whatever forms in the gulf, a rain event in central and north Florida will be beneficial.
Perhaps too early in the season for any significant TS or hurricane event
ponds.are.full.already.e.cen.fl.
Member Since: September 11, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 4266
1558. GeoffreyWPB
1:29 PM GMT on June 20, 2012
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0845 AM EDT WED JUN 20 2012
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 21/1100Z TO 22/1100Z JUN 2012
TCPOD NUMBER.....12-033

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: A LOW LEVEL INVEST
AT 22/1800Z NEAR 24.0N 89.0W
Member Since: September 10, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 10928
1557. SFLWeatherman
1:28 PM GMT on June 20, 2012
Over an inch in WPB!!:)
Member Since: May 23, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 4379
1556. RitaEvac
1:27 PM GMT on June 20, 2012
Just remember, a blogger said the ridge over the plains that is coming will be able to reach far enough east to capture anything at 89W and sent it westbound. Let the games begin....
Member Since: July 14, 2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 9628
1555. NSB207
1:27 PM GMT on June 20, 2012
Whatever forms in the gulf, a rain event in central and north Florida will be beneficial.
Perhaps too early in the season for any significant TS or hurricane event
Member Since: August 17, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 30
1554. mobileshadow
1:27 PM GMT on June 20, 2012
.... Impact weathers thoughts

Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 183
1553. washingtonian115
1:26 PM GMT on June 20, 2012
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:


nice wave, comes off at at 1005mb
That's the one the models are trying to develop into our first potential cape verde system this year.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 16327
1552. jeffs713
1:26 PM GMT on June 20, 2012
Quoting ILwthrfan:
Wow this appears to be tightening up.  Check out the RGB flash loop of pre-96L . Shear is still obviously still destroying any thunderstorms that are trying to form near its center.  

It is lacking well-defined low-level circulation. It looks pretty good at middle levels, though. If it can bring all that low-level energy together, it would be cooking with gas... but as it is right now, its got a way to go.
Member Since: August 3, 2008 Posts: 16 Comments: 5869
1551. Hurricanes305
1:25 PM GMT on June 20, 2012
Hey Mobileshadow, shear is around 20-30 knots over the blob and decreasing. In the next 24 hours it should fall to 10-20 knots and by the time it reaches the gulf it will be under a big anticyclone where shear will be < 10 knots.

Member Since: May 25, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2043
1550. mobileshadow
1:25 PM GMT on June 20, 2012
Quoting ILwthrfan:
When is shear forecasted to slacken up?


The good thing is that the shear is not forecasted to weaken that's why I would be shocked if we get more than a strong TS out of this with the main threat being from LA/MS border to the FL panhandle
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 183
1549. ILwthrfan
1:25 PM GMT on June 20, 2012

Quoting canehater1:
Maybe I am a novice , but given the forecasted shear
I don't see how anything major
can develop in the S. Gulf...perhaps just a big ol weak Low... That being said I will still be watching
closely as I have 13 others and a vessel to take care of...
That shear is very well defined all the way back into the mountains of Mexico and has shown no signs of let up in the past week.  We can still get a system despite the shear, but she won't bark too loud if she does develop.  Just my 2 cents; however, the flooding could be catastrophic depending on how it exits north.
Member Since: February 2, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1434
1548. jeffs713
1:23 PM GMT on June 20, 2012
Quoting Hurricanes305:


Whats your view point?

The models have not done the best job of initializing the system, since its genesis point ranges from the BOC across the entire western Caribbean. That adds a lot of uncertainty to the model output.

Right now, the GFS is an outlier, and nothing close to the consensus. It should be paid attention to in the event of a change, but as a general rule, outliers are not to be followed as gospel. In statistical terms, following an outlier like the GFS is similar to assuming at a height of 6'8" is normal because you know one guy who is 6'8".
Member Since: August 3, 2008 Posts: 16 Comments: 5869
1547. GeorgiaStormz
1:23 PM GMT on June 20, 2012
Quoting canehater1:
Link

Pressure forecast for next few days for GOMEX



that comes from the BOC yucatan too, must be GFS based.
The blob i think will come from cuba over the loop current into the central GOM, and i dont really see it splitting after having organized over the warm waters.

Either it goes to LA, or the whole thing turns across FL.
The models seem to be taking the BOC blob as the dominant one and taking that into the NW gulf.
But then they still show a weak borderline TS hitting mexico.



Maybe a possible solution is that the two blobs end up nearly merged, one goes east to fl, and one goes west, but i dont imagine we will see two west gulf systems in such a short timespan.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9718
1546. weatherbro
1:22 PM GMT on June 20, 2012
If the Euro's right, many in the Northeast/Mid-Atlantic will get a huge cooldown next week!!!
Member Since: May 26, 2007 Posts: 47 Comments: 1257
1545. ILwthrfan
1:22 PM GMT on June 20, 2012
When is shear forecasted to slacken up?
Member Since: February 2, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1434
1544. canehater1
1:21 PM GMT on June 20, 2012
Maybe I am a novice , but given the forecasted shear
I don't see how anything major
can develop in the S. Gulf...perhaps just a big ol weak Low... That being said I will still be watching
closely as I have 13 others and a vessel to take care of...
Member Since: September 8, 2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 1001
1543. ILwthrfan
1:19 PM GMT on June 20, 2012
Wow this appears to be tightening up.  Check out the RGB flash loop of pre-96L . Shear is still obviously still destroying any thunderstorms that are trying to form near its center.  
Member Since: February 2, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1434
1542. 7544
1:19 PM GMT on June 20, 2012
Quoting Hurricanes305:


Yup at the 2pm update. Finally we have some spaghetti models on this.


lets see 30% on the next two imo

if it does become a invest models will show a nnw move into the gulf and most will turn it ne or nne at wat lat dont know yet stay tuned things are getting very interesting today june 20 2012
Member Since: May 6, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 6676
1541. GeorgiaStormz
1:18 PM GMT on June 20, 2012


nice wave, comes off at at 1005mb
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9718
1540. AtHomeInTX
1:17 PM GMT on June 20, 2012
Quoting canehater1:
Link

Pressure forecast for next few days for GOMEX


Wow. Interesting thanks. :)
Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 671
1539. mobileshadow
1:17 PM GMT on June 20, 2012
Quoting ILwthrfan:

I know, have we ever had an invest off a 20% blob?


We have had Invest when there has been no yellow circled area and they are not dependent on one another
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 183
1538. Hurricanes305
1:17 PM GMT on June 20, 2012
Quoting jeffs713:

Dude. I understand where you are coming from, but you are relying upon ONE model's output, and refuse to even consider any other viewpoint. While it is good you are standing up in what you believe in, you are being so vehement about your opinion that you are actually reducing your credibility. Also, when you add in that you would be directly impacted by this one solution (and not as impacted by the others), you are showing signs of bias.

I'm not saying you should back off what you're saying, but bashing everyone else who holds a different opinion is counterproductive, and akin to cutting off your hand to "prove a point".


Whats your view point?
Member Since: May 25, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2043
1537. 1900hurricane
1:16 PM GMT on June 20, 2012
Somebody's going to get rained on.

Member Since: August 2, 2006 Posts: 46 Comments: 11660
1536. ILwthrfan
1:14 PM GMT on June 20, 2012

Quoting washingtonian115:
Oh? that's a surprise.They said we wouldn't see no flights for at least two days when they made that statement yesterday.Seems the blob is determined to get a name eventually.
I know, have we ever had an invest off a 20% blob?
Member Since: February 2, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1434
1535. jeffs713
1:14 PM GMT on June 20, 2012
Quoting StormTracker2K:


If they are going by Levi's forecast then they are wrong as he insist this is going to TX or LA which makes no sense. So let Crownweather still form levi as they would basically look stupid at this point.


Dude. I understand where you are coming from, but you are relying upon ONE model's output, and refuse to even consider any other viewpoint. While it is good you are standing up in what you believe in, you are being so vehement about your opinion that you are actually reducing your credibility. Also, when you add in that you would be directly impacted by this one solution (and not as impacted by the others), you are showing signs of bias.

I'm not saying you should back off what you're saying, but bashing everyone else who holds a different opinion is counterproductive, and akin to cutting off your hand to "prove a point".
Member Since: August 3, 2008 Posts: 16 Comments: 5869
1534. canehater1
1:13 PM GMT on June 20, 2012
Link

Pressure forecast for next few days for GOMEX
Member Since: September 8, 2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 1001
1533. GeorgiaStormz
1:13 PM GMT on June 20, 2012
according to the gfs, sub 1000mb lows just split in half when they want to..

the gfs also brings the system from the yucatan,boc area, more than from the cuba area.

i discount that model run.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9718
1532. Hurricanes305
1:12 PM GMT on June 20, 2012
Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:
Invest 96L comming soon.

WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0845 AM EDT WED JUN 20 2012
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 21/1100Z TO 22/1100Z JUN 2012
TCPOD NUMBER.....12-033

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: A LOW LEVEL INVEST
AT 22/1800Z NEAR 24.0N 89.0W

II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK.....NEGATIVE.
JWP


Yup at the 2pm update. Finally we have some spaghetti models on this.
Member Since: May 25, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2043
1531. washingtonian115
1:11 PM GMT on June 20, 2012
Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:
Invest 96L comming soon.

WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0845 AM EDT WED JUN 20 2012
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 21/1100Z TO 22/1100Z JUN 2012
TCPOD NUMBER.....12-033

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: A LOW LEVEL INVEST
AT 22/1800Z NEAR 24.0N 89.0W

II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK.....NEGATIVE.
JWP
Oh? that's a surprise.They said we wouldn't see no flights for at least two days when they made that statement yesterday.Seems the blob is determined to get a name eventually.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 16327
1530. mobileshadow
1:11 PM GMT on June 20, 2012
Quoting washingtonian115:
He's probably referring to the models such as the GFS Euro CMC NOGAPS.


Not the blond and redheaded models ? I have fun looking at those :)
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 183
1529. DaytonaBeachWatcher
1:10 PM GMT on June 20, 2012
Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:
Invest 96L comming soon.

WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0845 AM EDT WED JUN 20 2012
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 21/1100Z TO 22/1100Z JUN 2012
TCPOD NUMBER.....12-033

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: A LOW LEVEL INVEST
AT 22/1800Z NEAR 24.0N 89.0W

II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK.....NEGATIVE.
JWP


Considering those Coordinates, they think it is going to move quite a bit NW.
Member Since: June 29, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 1136
1528. Tropicsweatherpr
1:07 PM GMT on June 20, 2012
Invest 96L comming soon.

WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0845 AM EDT WED JUN 20 2012
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 21/1100Z TO 22/1100Z JUN 2012
TCPOD NUMBER.....12-033

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: A LOW LEVEL INVEST
AT 22/1800Z NEAR 24.0N 89.0W

II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK.....NEGATIVE.
JWP
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 13929
1527. 1900hurricane
1:07 PM GMT on June 20, 2012
Quoting lilElla:
Good Morning All - and for our Northern friends/family, stay safe! We are hoping that this rain, in moderation, makes it's way to S. Wisconsin later today. It is dusty dry and the corn, only 12" tall, is already spiking.

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
700 AM CDT WED JUN 20 2012

MNC031-075-137-202130-
/O.CON.KDLH.FF.W.0008.000000T0000Z-120620T2130Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000 Z.OO/
LAKE MN-COOK MN-ST. LOUIS MN-
700 AM CDT WED JUN 20 2012

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN ST.
LOUIS...COOK AND SOUTHERN LAKE COUNTIES UNTIL 430 PM CDT WEDNESDAY...

...A FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY FOR DULUTH AND THE NORTH SHORE...

AT 653 AM CDT...THE RAIN HAD LET UP FOR A TIME ACROSS THE DULUTH
AREA AND ALONG THE NORTH SHORE...BUT ANOTHER AREA OF HEAVY RAIN WILL
MOVE INTO THE AREA AGAIN THIS MORNING. WEATHER OBSERVERS REPORTED
NEARLY 8 INCHES OF RAIN IN THE DENFELD AREA OF WESTERN DULUTH.

THE DULUTH POLICE DEPARTMENT ADVISES NO TRAVEL IN THE CITY. RAINFALL
OF NEARLY 8 INCHES IN SPOTS WAS NOTED FROM THE DULUTH AREA AND ALONG
HIGHWAY 61 OF THE NORTH SHORE. VARIOUS MEDIA OUTLETS AND LAW
ENFORCEMENT ARE REPORTING EXTENSIVE DAMAGE IN THE CITY OF
DULUTH...WITH SOME COLLAPSED ROADS AND NUMEROUS ROAD CLOSURES
THROUGHOUT THE CITY. THE FLOOD APPEARS TO BE REMINISCENT OF THE
FLOOD OF 1972 AND ONE THAT SHOULD NOT BE TAKEN LIGHTLY. THE DULUTH
NEWS TRIBUNE ONLINE LIVE BLOG HAD REPORTS OF PEOPLE BEING
RESCUED...VEHICLES FALLING INTO SINKHOLES ON COLLAPSED ROADS AND
RIVERS AND STREAMS OVERTAKING ROADWAYS.

Wow, I hadn't realized how much rain they had gotten.



Member Since: August 2, 2006 Posts: 46 Comments: 11660
1526. washingtonian115
1:06 PM GMT on June 20, 2012
Quoting mobileshadow:

What models are you looking for? There are hundreds of models that are run 24-7 everyday
He's probably referring to the models such as the GFS Euro CMC NOGAPS.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 16327
1525. mobileshadow
1:05 PM GMT on June 20, 2012
Quoting shawn26:
When are the next model runs due out?

What models are you looking for? There are hundreds of models that are run 24-7 everyday
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 183
1524. Hurricanes305
1:05 PM GMT on June 20, 2012
Quoting 1900hurricane:
Big slug of moisture associated with that disturbance can easily be seen from the Key West radar:



Yea, it could give Dade and Broward a good 3-5 inches when it moves through. Where I am its already some big street puddles.
Member Since: May 25, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2043
1523. kmanislander
1:04 PM GMT on June 20, 2012
Back later
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 15687

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.