Damages from June 13 hailstorm in Dallas may be $2 billion

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 4:31 PM GMT on June 17, 2012

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Insured damage from a massive 3-hour hailstorm that pummeled Dallas, Texas on Wednesday, June 13, may reach $2 billion, said the Southwestern Insurance Information Service (SIIS) on Friday. If true, this would be the fourth billion-dollar U.S. weather disaster of 2012. A cluster of three severe thunderstorms dropped hail the size of baseballs over a heavily populated area, damaging thousands of cars, puncturing skylights at a local mall, and shattering the expensive tile roofs of hundreds of homes. It was the second major hailstorm to hit the region this year; an April 3 event cost close to $500 million, and damaged 110 airplanes at the DFW airport. You can see a radar image of the June 13 storm using our wundermap with the "go back in time" feature turned on.


Figure 1. Huge hail splashes into the waters of White Rock Lake in Dallas on June 13, 2012. Image credit: Wunderphotographer CinnamonDreams.

One of the most expensive hailstorms of all-time
The June 13 hailstorm will rank as one of the most expensive of all-time, according to statistics of billion-dollar disasters maintained by NOAA's National Climatic Data Center (NCDC), and a list of damaging hail events maintained at Wikipedia. Wikipedia lists only three hailstorms in U.S. history with damages exceeding $1 billion:

1) The April 10, 2001 St. Louis, Missouri hailstorm. This costliest hailstorm in U.S. history, costing $2+ billion, struck the I-70 corridor of eastern Kansas, across Missouri, into southwestern Illinois.

2) The May 5, 1995 Mayfest Storm in Dallas and Fort Worth, Texas. Severe thunderstorms produced hail the size of softballs, causing $1.1 billion in insured losses, and total damage of $2 billion.

3) The July 11, 1990 hailstorm in Colorado. Softball-sized hail destroyed roofs and cars, causing $625 million in total damage ($1.1 billion in damage adjusted to 2011 dollars.)


Video 1. News coverage of the June 13, 2012 hailstorm in Dallas, Texas, from local TV station News8. The aerial shots of a fog-shrouded golf course covered with ice are quite remarkable.

Six global billion-dollar weather disasters so far in 2012
There have been five global billion-dollar weather disasters as of the end of May, said Aon Benfield in their latest May Catastrophe Recap. Three of these were in the U.S. With the addition of the June 13 Dallas hailstorm, the global total would rise to six and the U.S. total to four. The most expensive weather-related disaster of 2012 has been the March 2 - 3 tornado and severe weather outbreak in the Midwest and Southeast U.S., which killed 41 people and caused $3 billion in damage. The second most expensive was the severe thunderstorms and heavy rains that hit China during late April and early May, bringing flooding, landslides, and damaging hail to the Gansu, Hunan and Jiangxi provinces. Over 143,000 homes were damaged or destroyed, with $2.68 billion in damage. Two other severe weather outbreaks in the U.S. topped the $1 billion mark in damages in 2012: the April 27 - 29 event in the Midwest ($1.5 billion in damage), and an April 2 - 4 severe weather outbreak in Texas that did a tremendous amount of hail damage near Dallas/Ft. Worth ($1 billion.) A fourth severe weather event, April 13 - 15 in the Plains and Midwest, is very close the $1 billion mark ($950 million in damage.) Another weather disasters that might approach the $1 billion mark is the frosts and freezes that decimated Midwest fruit trees after 2012's "summer in March" heat wave. Agricultural damage in Michigan alone has been estimated by the state to be $223.5 million--including $130 million to cherry and apple orchards. The pace and cost of billion-dollar weather disasters in 2012 is well below that of 2011, which had had fourteen billion-dollar weather disasters between January and May (nine in the U.S.) These 2011 disasters cost $73 billion, compared to the $10 billion price tag of 2012's five-billion dollar disasters from January - May.



Super Typhoon Guchol headed towards Tokyo
Super Typhoon Guchol , a powerful Category 4 storm with 150 mph winds, is churning through the Western Pacific towards Japan, and is expected to pass close to Tokyo late Tuesday night local time. As Guchol approaches Japan on Monday and Tuesday morning, ocean temperatures will cool below 26°C and wind shear will increase, which should cause significant weakening of the typhoon. By the time of closest approach to Tokyo, I expect Guchol will most likely be a tropical storm, but could be a Category 1 typhoon.

The Atlantic is quiet
There are no threat areas to discuss in the Atlantic today. Several models are predicting that a tropical disturbance capable of becoming a tropical depression could form in Mexico's Bay of Campeche sometime June 22 - 24.

I'll have a new post late Monday or early Tuesday. Wunderground weather historian Christopher C. Burt has a post on record hailstorms.

Jeff Masters

Bigger in Texas (JWMPER)
Dallas, TX thunderstorm dropped a few big ones today.
Bigger in Texas

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Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32033
Quoting StormTracker2K:


Hey buddy did you see post 1088? A weakness now forecast to build between a high over TX and one near Bermuda basically leaving the door open across FL and the SE US now that the ULL is not forecast to happen off the east coast of FL.


Yes, I just saw it and I hadn't noticed it, but it could very well do that. Still, the GFS doesn't make much sense to me, IMO.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Hurricane1956:
HERE ARE THE 2 LINKS FOR THESE MODELS:
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/hwrftc2.cgi?time=2 012061806-invest95l&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&a mp;hour= Animation

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfdltc2.cgi?time=2 012061806-invest95l&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&a mp;hour= Animation



As you can see both Hurricane Models are hinting a low coming from the west to South Florida,either a tropical depression or storm?.
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Quoting StormTracker2K:


Hey buddy did you see post 1088? A weakness now forecast to build between a high over TX and one near Bermuda basically leaving the door open across FL and the SE US now that the ULL is not forecast to happen off the east coast of FL.


Hey tell wunderkid.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
we are beating 2005 2-1, but we have to be fast or we will get caught.

starting june 28, there was a 2005 storm every couple of weeks or less.
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Quoting ncstorm:
colors are better








lets see, GFS has Florida, LA, Al, NC and texas in this run..did I miss anyone?


Lol. :)
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Quoting Hurricanes305:


Really please post a link to this. Thanks.
HERE ARE THE 2 LINKS FOR THESE MODELS:
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/hwrftc2.cgi?time=2 012061806-invest95l&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour= Animation

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfdltc2.cgi?time=2 012061806-invest95l&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour= Animation

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
North America ECMWF-00 Ensemble 6-10 Day 500 MB Height Anomalies




Link
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1087 weathermanwannabe: ...Can't say this season has been boring or a bust so far... :)

What a boring bust of a season. Why if we were living on Jupiter...
Well, I'd be dead for starters. But in an exciting and interesting way.
Member Since: August 21, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 4860
Quoting CybrTeddy:


Lee was vice versa, it actually transitioned to a sub-tropical cyclone after being and developing tropically.


Hey buddy did you see post 1088? A weakness now forecast to build between a high over TX and one near Bermuda basically leaving the door open across FL and the SE US now that the ULL is not forecast to happen off the east coast of FL.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting LargoFl:
nice here on the gulf coast today


yea starting to get hot
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Quoting StormTracker2K:


Thanks. I just reposted. This was from the NWS in Melbourne yesterday morning.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
338 AM EDT SUN JUN 17 2012

WED-SAT...LATEST GFS AND ECMWF ARE NOT AS QUICK TO INCREASE DEEP
MOISTURE NORTHWARD OVER THE AREA AS PREVIOUS RUNS HAD FROM MID TO
LATE WEEK. THIS IS DUE TO BOTH LONG RANGE SOLUTIONS NOW SHOWING A
CUT OFF UPPER LEVEL LOW JUST EAST OF FLORIDA THAT MAINTAINS A
NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT...SUPPRESSING DEEPER MOISTURE TO THE SOUTH
. DUE
TO MODEL RUN DIFFERENCES AND TO MAINTAIN SOME CONSISTENCY...RAN A
BLEND OF PREVIOUS FORECAST WITH LATEST MEX GUIDANCE. THIS SHOWS
SLIGHTLY LOWER RAIN CHANCES THAN PREVIOUS FORECAST FROM WED AND
BEYOND...BUT STILL KEEPS A GRADUAL INCREASE IN POPS FROM SOUTH TO
NORTH INTO LATE WEEK/EARLY WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES SHOULD ALSO SHOW A
SLOW INCREASE INTO THE LATTER HALF OF THE WORK WEEK...BECOMING NEAR
TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL.



Man we need to have this thing to get designated 96L now. Hopefully it is at 2pm but it will be only at 0% knowing the NHC. Do you think we have it at 2pm?
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Quoting LargoFl:
nice here on the gulf coast today


Saturday was wonderful down on Galveston, then the sun came out and I burst into flame.
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Quoting stormpetrol:


Shear is continuing to drop to favorable levels over the AOI in the W Caribbean.



850mb Vort remaining reasonably strong.



More low convergence than previously.



wide spread strong convection. Imo this AOI has "good potential" for development.
Man o man I don't know which way to go on this FLA/BOC brawl,ya'll make so much sense on both sides!!!!!
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Quoting Hurricanes305:


Excellent explanation on why the models are shifting east. Also, I never bought into that so called monstrous High developing.


Thanks. I just reposted. This was from the NWS in Melbourne yesterday morning.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
338 AM EDT SUN JUN 17 2012

WED-SAT...LATEST GFS AND ECMWF ARE NOT AS QUICK TO INCREASE DEEP
MOISTURE NORTHWARD OVER THE AREA AS PREVIOUS RUNS HAD FROM MID TO
LATE WEEK. THIS IS DUE TO BOTH LONG RANGE SOLUTIONS NOW SHOWING A
CUT OFF UPPER LEVEL LOW JUST EAST OF FLORIDA THAT MAINTAINS A
NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT...SUPPRESSING DEEPER MOISTURE TO THE SOUTH
. DUE
TO MODEL RUN DIFFERENCES AND TO MAINTAIN SOME CONSISTENCY...RAN A
BLEND OF PREVIOUS FORECAST WITH LATEST MEX GUIDANCE. THIS SHOWS
SLIGHTLY LOWER RAIN CHANCES THAN PREVIOUS FORECAST FROM WED AND
BEYOND...BUT STILL KEEPS A GRADUAL INCREASE IN POPS FROM SOUTH TO
NORTH INTO LATE WEEK/EARLY WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES SHOULD ALSO SHOW A
SLOW INCREASE INTO THE LATTER HALF OF THE WORK WEEK...BECOMING NEAR
TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL.

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1119. LargoFl
nice here on the gulf coast today
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 38483
1118. ncstorm
As much as I anticipate tropical storms/hurricanes, NC surely dosent need anything knocking out power as we supposed to be HOT for a while..I cant go without my AC..not yet anyway..
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Well, last year Lee started subtropical and transitioned into a tropical cyclone, if that counts. Sean was subtropical at the beginning.


Lee was vice versa, it actually transitioned to a sub-tropical cyclone after being and developing tropically.
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Quoting Grothar:
I saw it first!!!!



Pro blob watcher
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Quoting washingtonian115:
WxGeekVA no.


Ah. Well pretty much it was just a thank you, and I totally understand and I'll try not to react like that in the future.
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Quoting Grothar:
I saw it first!!!!


You saw that. I saw 95L first I think.
*High 5*
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Quoting VR46L:
This last couple of weeks must be absolutely devastating for ardent Climate Change believers. Temperatures down and very little drought around.


What an ignorant statement.

Climate trends are not measured in terms of days or weeks nor by using isolated parts of the globe.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Nope the reason is that a ridge is forecast to build over TX per the GFS and this creates a weakness across the Eastern Gulf & SE US Coast. The biggest reason for the change in the models now is no ULL east of FL which the GFS was forecast yesterday.

This is the 18Z GFS from yesterday. Notice the ULL east of FL and now it's gone on todays run so as a result the weakness builds over FL and the Gulf and the rains arrive Wednesday instead on next week.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1111. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
Quoting weathermanwannabe:
"Chris" will designated later today but remember his subtropical status next year when we talk about the record number of early season storms for 2012. The "names" are being used up early in the season so far, but the tropical Atlantic is still batting 2-0 as a result of the transition to tropical by Alberto (pre-season) and Beryl.....Impressive nonetheless over the course of the first 3 official weeks of the season and it will be much easier to attain higher numbers by the end of the season as a result......... Can't say this season has been boring or a bust so far....... :)




165 daye remain of the 2012 atlantic hurricane season
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 171 Comments: 53835
Quoting StormTracker2K:


Perfect depiction of this change just by looking at that precip map.


Yep. I can has FL ULL back plz?
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Quoting StormTracker2K:


Nope the reason is that a ridge is forecast to build over TX per the GFS and this creates a weakness across the Eastern Gulf & SE US Coast. The biggest reason for the change in the models now is no ULL east of FL which the GFS was forecast yesterday.

This is the 18Z GFS from yesterday. Notice the ULL east of FL and now it's gone on todays run so as a result the weakness builds over FL and the Gulf and the rains arrive Wednesday now instead on next week.



Excellent explanation on why the models are shifting east. Also, I never bought into that so called monstrous High developing.
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1108. LargoFl
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 38483
Link
My blog 4 today
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1106. Grothar
I saw it first!!!!

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If I read correctly, one has us (Louisiana) in a drought and one has us getting 'hit'. And good morning or afternoon as the case may be.
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Quoting nofailsafe:


384HR ptot.

Ok, this isn't funny. Seriously? A bullseye of dryness right over Texas and Louisiana.


Perfect depiction of this change just by looking at that precip map.
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WxGeekVA no.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 16971
Quoting Ameister12:
Wow! It would be awesome if 95L became a sub/tropical cyclone today. That would be an awesome birthday present. =D

Happy Birthday!
Last year, Arlene formed on my B-day.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting K8eCane:



I aint buyin that. The models had something going into texas this week and they dropped it


Refer to post 1088 and you will see why the change is occuring in the models now. No Upper Level Low east of FL!
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Quoting ncstorm:
colors are better








lets see, GFS has Florida, LA, Al, NC and texas in this run..did I miss anyone?


LOL. What a complete mess
Member Since: Posts: Comments:


384HR ptot.

Ok, this isn't funny. Seriously? A bullseye of dryness right over Texas and Louisiana.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Hopefully my post# 1088 is simplified for everyone to understand why the drastic change by the GFS, NAM, and CMC models over the last 24 hours in regards to this potential trouble in the caribbean.
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Quoting washingtonian115:
Shouldn't the NHC be coming out with an update in a few minutes?

In an hour.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32033
Shouldn't the NHC be coming out with an update in a few minutes?
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 16971
Quoting washingtonian115:
WxGeekVa did you get the message yesterday?


Yeah, did you get one back? I was on my phone most of the time because I was out and I wasn't sure if you got it.
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Quoting HurricaneDean07:

Originated.

It's happened several years before. If 95L forms we would already have 2 this year.
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1093. ncstorm
colors are better








lets see, GFS has Florida, LA, Al, NC and texas in this run..did I miss anyone?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
.
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Quoting Ameister12:
Wow! It would be awesome if 95L became a sub/tropical cyclone today. That would be an awesome birthday present. =D


Happy Birthday, I think that wish might come true.
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1090. K8eCane
Quoting StormTracker2K:
Up the Carolina coast this goes come later this weekend.




I aint buyin that. The models had something going into texas this week and they dropped it
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Quoting HurricaneDean07:

Originated.

Well, last year Lee started tropical and transitioned into a subtropical cyclone, if that counts. Sean was subtropical at the beginning.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32033
Quoting CybrTeddy:


But the ridge is far to strong for that to happen, the other models have been showing that it will slide towards the Yucatan instead.


Nope the reason is that a ridge is forecast to build over TX per the GFS and this creates a weakness across the Eastern Gulf & SE US Coast. The biggest reason for the change in the models now is no ULL east of FL which the GFS was forecast yesterday.

This is the 18Z GFS from yesterday. Notice the ULL east of FL and now it's gone on todays run so as a result the weakness builds over FL and the Gulf and the rains arrive Wednesday now instead on next week.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
"Chris" will designated later today but remember his subtropical status next year when we talk about the record number of early season storms for 2012. The "names" are being used up early in the season so far, but the tropical Atlantic is still batting 2-0 as a result of the transition to tropical by Alberto (pre-season) and Beryl.....Impressive nonetheless over the course of the first 3 official weeks of the season and it will be much easier to attain higher numbers by the end of the season as a result......... Can't say this season has been boring or a bust so far....... :)
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Just originated subtropical or actually stayed subtropical throughout its entire lifespan?

Originated.
Member Since: October 3, 2010 Posts: 40 Comments: 4129
Quoting Joe21:
Since im hearing about a east cosst low off of florida and west gulf could a tropical system form off of florida then make ts strength or cat 1 strength then ride up the east coast like hurricane david
7.9.or could it do a wilma track into florida?


Welcome to the blog and more than likly no.
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Today is your birthday?

Yep!
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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