Damages from June 13 hailstorm in Dallas may be $2 billion

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 4:31 PM GMT on June 17, 2012

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Insured damage from a massive 3-hour hailstorm that pummeled Dallas, Texas on Wednesday, June 13, may reach $2 billion, said the Southwestern Insurance Information Service (SIIS) on Friday. If true, this would be the fourth billion-dollar U.S. weather disaster of 2012. A cluster of three severe thunderstorms dropped hail the size of baseballs over a heavily populated area, damaging thousands of cars, puncturing skylights at a local mall, and shattering the expensive tile roofs of hundreds of homes. It was the second major hailstorm to hit the region this year; an April 3 event cost close to $500 million, and damaged 110 airplanes at the DFW airport. You can see a radar image of the June 13 storm using our wundermap with the "go back in time" feature turned on.


Figure 1. Huge hail splashes into the waters of White Rock Lake in Dallas on June 13, 2012. Image credit: Wunderphotographer CinnamonDreams.

One of the most expensive hailstorms of all-time
The June 13 hailstorm will rank as one of the most expensive of all-time, according to statistics of billion-dollar disasters maintained by NOAA's National Climatic Data Center (NCDC), and a list of damaging hail events maintained at Wikipedia. Wikipedia lists only three hailstorms in U.S. history with damages exceeding $1 billion:

1) The April 10, 2001 St. Louis, Missouri hailstorm. This costliest hailstorm in U.S. history, costing $2+ billion, struck the I-70 corridor of eastern Kansas, across Missouri, into southwestern Illinois.

2) The May 5, 1995 Mayfest Storm in Dallas and Fort Worth, Texas. Severe thunderstorms produced hail the size of softballs, causing $1.1 billion in insured losses, and total damage of $2 billion.

3) The July 11, 1990 hailstorm in Colorado. Softball-sized hail destroyed roofs and cars, causing $625 million in total damage ($1.1 billion in damage adjusted to 2011 dollars.)


Video 1. News coverage of the June 13, 2012 hailstorm in Dallas, Texas, from local TV station News8. The aerial shots of a fog-shrouded golf course covered with ice are quite remarkable.

Six global billion-dollar weather disasters so far in 2012
There have been five global billion-dollar weather disasters as of the end of May, said Aon Benfield in their latest May Catastrophe Recap. Three of these were in the U.S. With the addition of the June 13 Dallas hailstorm, the global total would rise to six and the U.S. total to four. The most expensive weather-related disaster of 2012 has been the March 2 - 3 tornado and severe weather outbreak in the Midwest and Southeast U.S., which killed 41 people and caused $3 billion in damage. The second most expensive was the severe thunderstorms and heavy rains that hit China during late April and early May, bringing flooding, landslides, and damaging hail to the Gansu, Hunan and Jiangxi provinces. Over 143,000 homes were damaged or destroyed, with $2.68 billion in damage. Two other severe weather outbreaks in the U.S. topped the $1 billion mark in damages in 2012: the April 27 - 29 event in the Midwest ($1.5 billion in damage), and an April 2 - 4 severe weather outbreak in Texas that did a tremendous amount of hail damage near Dallas/Ft. Worth ($1 billion.) A fourth severe weather event, April 13 - 15 in the Plains and Midwest, is very close the $1 billion mark ($950 million in damage.) Another weather disasters that might approach the $1 billion mark is the frosts and freezes that decimated Midwest fruit trees after 2012's "summer in March" heat wave. Agricultural damage in Michigan alone has been estimated by the state to be $223.5 million--including $130 million to cherry and apple orchards. The pace and cost of billion-dollar weather disasters in 2012 is well below that of 2011, which had had fourteen billion-dollar weather disasters between January and May (nine in the U.S.) These 2011 disasters cost $73 billion, compared to the $10 billion price tag of 2012's five-billion dollar disasters from January - May.



Super Typhoon Guchol headed towards Tokyo
Super Typhoon Guchol , a powerful Category 4 storm with 150 mph winds, is churning through the Western Pacific towards Japan, and is expected to pass close to Tokyo late Tuesday night local time. As Guchol approaches Japan on Monday and Tuesday morning, ocean temperatures will cool below 26°C and wind shear will increase, which should cause significant weakening of the typhoon. By the time of closest approach to Tokyo, I expect Guchol will most likely be a tropical storm, but could be a Category 1 typhoon.

The Atlantic is quiet
There are no threat areas to discuss in the Atlantic today. Several models are predicting that a tropical disturbance capable of becoming a tropical depression could form in Mexico's Bay of Campeche sometime June 22 - 24.

I'll have a new post late Monday or early Tuesday. Wunderground weather historian Christopher C. Burt has a post on record hailstorms.

Jeff Masters

Bigger in Texas (JWMPER)
Dallas, TX thunderstorm dropped a few big ones today.
Bigger in Texas

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Quoting WxGeekVA:
Brace yourselves

The 2Pm TWO is coming!

(No image to avoid complaing trolls, sorry :( )

Lol, sorry about yesterday.
Member Since: October 22, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2553
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:
MY PREDICTION PREDICTION PREDICTION PREDICTION PREDICTION PREDICTION PREDICTION

95L= 80%

no yellow circle in carib

95E= 50%


NOT FROM NHC!!! NOT FROM NHC!!! NOT FROM NHC!!!

Ok Ok Ok Ok Ok Ok!!!
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32705
Brace yourselves

The 2Pm TWO is coming!

(No image to avoid complaining trolls, sorry :( )
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
MY PREDICTION PREDICTION PREDICTION PREDICTION PREDICTION PREDICTION PREDICTION

95L= 80%

no yellow circle in carib

95E= 50%


NOT FROM NHC!!! NOT FROM NHC!!! NOT FROM NHC!!!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Grothar:
The MJO will be a big player in what develops. 95L could already be influencing the Caribbean feature.

The very deep trough looks like is wants to stay around for a few more days. Notice a very strong circulation betweeen the western tip of Cuba and the Yucatan. I expect to see a number of different lows developing in the Gulf and Caribbean over the next few days.




I have also posted a link of the animation.

Look carefully how each feature is affecting the other.

Link

It looks like another frontal low is trying to go get going north of Puerto Rico.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32705
This time of the year, with all of the shifting variables present and "not quite ripe" conditions across the board (or little pockets of viability in places which can change every few days) is tough to forecast.

It will be a different story, unfortunately, when we start getting model consensus in August on development of some of the African waves in the long term. El Nino and potential September sheer values notwithstanding, we are probably going to see several majors spin up in the August-early September time frame once we get to those cape verde storm "clusters". And I am not liking the current A-B high set-up in the Atlantic with that persistent ridging.

Link



Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1178. Grothar
The MJO will be a big player in what develops. 95L could already be influencing the Caribbean feature.

The very deep trough looks like is wants to stay around for a few more days. Notice a very strong circulation betweeen the western tip of Cuba and the Yucatan. I expect to see a number of different lows developing in the Gulf and Caribbean over the next few days.




I have also posted a link of the animation.

Look carefully how each feature is affecting the other.

Link
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
super typhoon going going

Bye Bye.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 17631
Quoting HurricaneHunterJoe:
Where was it before?
It was in the GOH and now is East of Hon/Nic border.
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Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
super typhoon going going



poof
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1106 Grothar plus 8: I saw it first!!!! [convection map]

Hokay, I didn't and still don't. What are you 9 seeing?
Member Since: August 21, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 4860
Quoting HurricaneDean07:
2 Pm TWO -
95L bumped up to 50%
pre-96L mentioned with 10%
95E bumped up to 50%



2pm TWO

95L: 50%
pre-96L: 0%
95E: 60%
Member Since: May 25, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2043
1172. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 176 Comments: 55625
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

I'd go 60% with 95L, but otherwise, I agree.


Id keep 95e at 40 and i agree with the 60 and 10
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Quoting HurricaneDean07:
2 Pm TWO -
95L bumped up to 50%
pre-96L mentioned with 10%
95E bumped up to 50%


60% Red 95L
0% Yellow Carib disturbance
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

I'd go 60% with 95L, but otherwise, I agree.

Yeah... My 50% is a tad conservative, but times like these, the NHC is conservative. Still thinking 50%.
Member Since: October 3, 2010 Posts: 40 Comments: 4129
1168. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
super typhoon going going

Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 176 Comments: 55625
Quoting HurricaneDean07:
2 Pm TWO -
95L bumped up to 50%
pre-96L mentioned with 10%
95E bumped up to 50%

95L will be up to 60%
pre 96L will be put at 10 or 20
95E will be up to 50
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting HurricaneDean07:
2 Pm TWO -
95L bumped up to 50%
pre-96L mentioned with 10%
95E bumped up to 50%

I'd go 60% with 95L, but otherwise, I agree.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32705
Quoting washingtonian115:
It sounds like your demanding something.Lol.
Yes I am.
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Like always, the NHC will surprise me 70% chance
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
2 Pm TWO -
95L bumped up to 50%
pre-96L mentioned with 10%
95E bumped up to 50%

EDIT: This is a Prediction, don't go nuts people, and rush to the NHC site...
Member Since: October 3, 2010 Posts: 40 Comments: 4129
Quoting allancalderini:
95L better develop into tropical storm Chris and the NHC better put a yellow circle in the caribean
It sounds like your demanding something.Lol.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 17631
1161. Grothar
Quoting StormTracker2K:


Yea, the key for FL was getting that ULL east of FL outta here so that we can open the door again for what could be this time around flooding rains across FL as the 12Z GFS is showing over 10" of rain for both the east coast and west coast of FL with 3" to 6" totals over the interior of the state. Yes, Tampa is highlighted by the GFS with 10" plus over the next 8 days.



Yep, it could get very wet. That blocking high seems to want to stay there over the US. So I don't see much to move the system if it develops. Wonder how much the models will change on their next run?



This is still 138 hours out and it doesn't move much.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1160. VR46L
Quoting BobWallace:


What an ignorant statement.

Climate trends are not measured in terms of days or weeks nor by using isolated parts of the globe.



Hmmm to me the statement saying that I am making an ignorant statement is hardly polite .

And it appears that anyone who doesnt buy into Climate Change in its entirety is not welcome here which is crazy surely there should be debate and not ridicule mocking or bullying. but I guess if people on this issue only wish to hear their own view then that is fine .
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting washingtonian115:
Stop saying that horrid year.
weatherh98 thanks.


anytime bud
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Quoting weatherh98:


There is a wave in the GOH that will move into the BOC while some energy north of honduras will move too the central GOM.They will begin to move north and compete for dominance. the central GOM low will move into the bend in floridaa and move up the east coast and the BOC low will move north towards texas.


Not likely one low will dominate and absorb the other or the GOH low just dissipate over mountainous land in the Yucatan and dry air in the BOC.
Member Since: May 25, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2043
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:


but we might still have a modoki or a neutralish year, i would say we could get up to the upper teens in storms, but not anything like 2005, especially if el nino sets in after hurricane season, and cools the n atlantic to december storms with all the cold air spilling out.
I am still forecasting 16 name storms that was my original prediction.
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Quoting StormTracker2K:


Yea, the key for FL was getting that ULL east of FL outta here so that we can open the door again for what could be this time around flooding rains across FL as the 12Z GFS is showing over 10" of rain for both the east coast and west coast of FL with 3" to 6" totals over the interior of the state. Yes, Tampa is highlighted by the GFS with 10" plus over the next 8 days.

If that GFS verifies any at all you can pretty much erase any evidence of whats left of the existing drought conditions except maybe the western panhandle.  Of course that all hinges on what mischief develops out of the monsoonal trough late this week into next.  


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Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:


El Nino is comming fast and may close the Atlantic to developments after September. Todays CPC update has Nino 3.4 up to +0.3C.

Link


but we might still have a modoki or a neutralish year, i would say we could get up to the upper teens in storms, but not anything like 2005, especially if el nino sets in after hurricane season, and cools the n atlantic to december storms with all the cold air spilling out.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
95L better develop into tropical storm Chris and the NHC better put a yellow circle in the caribean
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Quoting Hurricanes305:


Man here in Florida is going to get blasted by Rain kinda like the Panhandle did last week. Is it me or does this seem familar.... oh yea 2004.
Stop saying that horrid year.
weatherh98 thanks.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 17631
Quoting washingtonian115:
This situation with the gulf and Caribbean is confusing as hell.Like can someone explain because everything is just all over the place.


Refer to post 1088 and 1120. That should clear the air.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting gordydunnot:
Give credit due where credit it is due, Grothar!!!! deserves the JDAA or Junior Development Analyst Award.


More like SDAA
Senior development analyst award
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1150. 7544
ok our carr blob looks like its trying to organize at this g hour stay tuned
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Quoting washingtonian115:
This situation with the gulf and Caribbean is confusing as hell.Like can someone explain because everything is just all over the place.


There is a wave in the GOH that will move into the BOC while some energy north of honduras will move too the central GOM.They will begin to move north and compete for dominance. the central GOM low will move into the bend in floridaa and move up the east coast and the BOC low will move north towards texas.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Give credit due where credit it is due, Grothar!!!! deserves the JDAA or Junior Development Analyst Award.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting StormTracker2K:


Yea, the key for FL was getting that ULL east of FL outta here so that we can open the door again for what could be this time around flooding rains across FL as the 12Z GFS is showing over 10" of rain for both the east coast and west coast of FL with 3" to 6" totals over the interior of the state. Yes, Tampa is highlighted by the GFS with 10" plus over the next 8 days.



Man here in Florida is going to get blasted by Rain kinda like the Panhandle did last week. Is it me or does this seem familar.... oh yea 2004.
Member Since: May 25, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2043
This situation with the gulf and Caribbean is confusing as hell.Like can someone explain because everything is just all over the place.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 17631
Quoting weatherh98:


Just throwing this out there... we are going to get caught


prolly, but i hope 2012 gets up to a 4-1 lead

when the monster transatlantic/transcontinental high builds in, we may not see much for a while, but the wave train might go south of it into N South America.

but then again, that high may just be a figment of the gfs imagination

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Quoting GeorgiaStormz:
we are beating 2005 2-1, but we have to be fast or we will get caught.

starting june 28, there was a 2005 storm every couple of weeks or less.


El Nino is comming fast and may close the Atlantic to developments after September. Todays CPC update has Nino 3.4 up to +0.3C.

Link
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Tropical Storm Talim (45 knots - 50 mph)

18/1501 UTC 19.2N 114.2E T2.5/2.5 TALIM -- West Pacific



Typhoon Guchol (95 knots - 110 mph)

18/1432 UTC 26.3N 129.3E T4.0/5.0 GUCHOL -- West Pacific



Tropical Invest 95E (25 knots - 30 mph)

18/1200 UTC 17.4N 108.1W T1.0/1.0 95E -- East Pacific

Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32705
Quoting stormpetrol:
Link

Click on the Fronts , they have now relocated the Low in GOH.
Where was it before?
Member Since: September 18, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 5243
Quoting ILwthrfan:
I need to move to Alaska, you'd think with the wind today it would help reduce the heat just a bit, but no instead it is feels like walking straight into a blast furnace.  It's a little warm today.  Already 90 at noon here.  Got a whole week of this mid 90's crap.



Ouch!!
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1140. ncstorm
12z

Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 16215
Quoting CybrTeddy:


Yes, I just saw it and I hadn't noticed it, but it could very well do that. Still, the GFS doesn't make much sense to me, IMO.


Yea, the key for FL was getting that ULL east of FL outta here so that we can open the door again for what could be this time around flooding rains across FL as the 12Z GFS is showing over 10" of rain for both the east coast and west coast of FL with 3" to 6" totals over the interior of the state. Yes, Tampa is highlighted by the GFS with 10" plus over the next 8 days.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Hurricane1956:


As you can see both Hurricane Models are hinting a low coming from the west to South Florida,either a tropical depression or storm?.


Yes it support the GFS, CMC, and NOGAPS the reason why it takes it to S. Florida is the split over Florida in the High mentioned by StormTracker2k which was once suppose to be one powerful high that forced development in the BOC and takes it to Texas.
Member Since: May 25, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2043
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:




Thanks for that cody, that wwas cool to see
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I need to move to Alaska, you'd think with the wind today it would help reduce the heat just a bit, but no instead it is feels like walking straight into a blast furnace.  It's a little warm today.  Already 90 at noon here.  Got a whole week of this mid 90's crap.

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Quoting GeorgiaStormz:
we are beating 2005 2-1, but we have to be fast or we will get caught.

starting june 28, there was a 2005 storm every couple of weeks or less.


Just throwing this out there... we are going to get caught
Member Since: Posts: Comments:


Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32705

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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