Damages from June 13 hailstorm in Dallas may be $2 billion

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 4:31 PM GMT on June 17, 2012

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Insured damage from a massive 3-hour hailstorm that pummeled Dallas, Texas on Wednesday, June 13, may reach $2 billion, said the Southwestern Insurance Information Service (SIIS) on Friday. If true, this would be the fourth billion-dollar U.S. weather disaster of 2012. A cluster of three severe thunderstorms dropped hail the size of baseballs over a heavily populated area, damaging thousands of cars, puncturing skylights at a local mall, and shattering the expensive tile roofs of hundreds of homes. It was the second major hailstorm to hit the region this year; an April 3 event cost close to $500 million, and damaged 110 airplanes at the DFW airport. You can see a radar image of the June 13 storm using our wundermap with the "go back in time" feature turned on.


Figure 1. Huge hail splashes into the waters of White Rock Lake in Dallas on June 13, 2012. Image credit: Wunderphotographer CinnamonDreams.

One of the most expensive hailstorms of all-time
The June 13 hailstorm will rank as one of the most expensive of all-time, according to statistics of billion-dollar disasters maintained by NOAA's National Climatic Data Center (NCDC), and a list of damaging hail events maintained at Wikipedia. Wikipedia lists only three hailstorms in U.S. history with damages exceeding $1 billion:

1) The April 10, 2001 St. Louis, Missouri hailstorm. This costliest hailstorm in U.S. history, costing $2+ billion, struck the I-70 corridor of eastern Kansas, across Missouri, into southwestern Illinois.

2) The May 5, 1995 Mayfest Storm in Dallas and Fort Worth, Texas. Severe thunderstorms produced hail the size of softballs, causing $1.1 billion in insured losses, and total damage of $2 billion.

3) The July 11, 1990 hailstorm in Colorado. Softball-sized hail destroyed roofs and cars, causing $625 million in total damage ($1.1 billion in damage adjusted to 2011 dollars.)


Video 1. News coverage of the June 13, 2012 hailstorm in Dallas, Texas, from local TV station News8. The aerial shots of a fog-shrouded golf course covered with ice are quite remarkable.

Six global billion-dollar weather disasters so far in 2012
There have been five global billion-dollar weather disasters as of the end of May, said Aon Benfield in their latest May Catastrophe Recap. Three of these were in the U.S. With the addition of the June 13 Dallas hailstorm, the global total would rise to six and the U.S. total to four. The most expensive weather-related disaster of 2012 has been the March 2 - 3 tornado and severe weather outbreak in the Midwest and Southeast U.S., which killed 41 people and caused $3 billion in damage. The second most expensive was the severe thunderstorms and heavy rains that hit China during late April and early May, bringing flooding, landslides, and damaging hail to the Gansu, Hunan and Jiangxi provinces. Over 143,000 homes were damaged or destroyed, with $2.68 billion in damage. Two other severe weather outbreaks in the U.S. topped the $1 billion mark in damages in 2012: the April 27 - 29 event in the Midwest ($1.5 billion in damage), and an April 2 - 4 severe weather outbreak in Texas that did a tremendous amount of hail damage near Dallas/Ft. Worth ($1 billion.) A fourth severe weather event, April 13 - 15 in the Plains and Midwest, is very close the $1 billion mark ($950 million in damage.) Another weather disasters that might approach the $1 billion mark is the frosts and freezes that decimated Midwest fruit trees after 2012's "summer in March" heat wave. Agricultural damage in Michigan alone has been estimated by the state to be $223.5 million--including $130 million to cherry and apple orchards. The pace and cost of billion-dollar weather disasters in 2012 is well below that of 2011, which had had fourteen billion-dollar weather disasters between January and May (nine in the U.S.) These 2011 disasters cost $73 billion, compared to the $10 billion price tag of 2012's five-billion dollar disasters from January - May.



Super Typhoon Guchol headed towards Tokyo
Super Typhoon Guchol , a powerful Category 4 storm with 150 mph winds, is churning through the Western Pacific towards Japan, and is expected to pass close to Tokyo late Tuesday night local time. As Guchol approaches Japan on Monday and Tuesday morning, ocean temperatures will cool below 26°C and wind shear will increase, which should cause significant weakening of the typhoon. By the time of closest approach to Tokyo, I expect Guchol will most likely be a tropical storm, but could be a Category 1 typhoon.

The Atlantic is quiet
There are no threat areas to discuss in the Atlantic today. Several models are predicting that a tropical disturbance capable of becoming a tropical depression could form in Mexico's Bay of Campeche sometime June 22 - 24.

I'll have a new post late Monday or early Tuesday. Wunderground weather historian Christopher C. Burt has a post on record hailstorms.

Jeff Masters

Bigger in Texas (JWMPER)
Dallas, TX thunderstorm dropped a few big ones today.
Bigger in Texas

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Quoting ncstorm:
168 hours..two lows



The one near FL is much stronger though.

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Quoting DavidHOUTX:


How in the world does that happen....


All the models are now showing a weakness over FL as the ULL east of FL on previous models is gone. So basically this is implying a very wet pattern for FL and it's not out of the question that we could see some all-time records for rainfall go by the wayside for June. The record in Orlando is 18" and they are near 6" now with many others around here in the 8" to 10" range.

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Quoting Tazmanian:
AL, 95, 2012061818, , BEST, 0, 380N, 613W, 40, 1005, LO

thanks taz
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Quoting ncstorm:


theres an another area of strong vorticity that has been there with the initalization of the low..it finally formed into a low


I would think one would win and the other would dissipate. Anything is possible though...
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AL, 95, 2012061818, , BEST, 0, 380N, 613W, 40, 1005, LO
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5089 Comments: 114048
1278. ncstorm
Quoting DavidHOUTX:


How in the world does that happen....


theres an another area of strong vorticity that has been there with the initalization of the low..it finally formed into a low
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 13438
Quoting Hurricanes305:


Yes it support the GFS, CMC, and NOGAPS the reason why it takes it to S. Florida is the split over Florida in the High mentioned by StormTracker2k which was once suppose to be one powerful high that forced development in the BOC and takes it to Texas.


It still does
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#1260. Based on the Marine Discussion, they are still favoring a BOC solution. I don't know, there are a lot of dynamics going on right now.
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Quoting RitaEvac:
It's been reported that all models this morning had a glitch from bad input overnight, all models are considered outliers and therefore thrown out till tonight's runs. Everything is still a go, and full steam ahead for a gulf bound storm for TX/MX end of week.


by who?
sounds like the rumor that said the spc was going to go above high risk this past april, and i dont believe it.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9451
Quoting ncstorm:
168 hours..two lows



How in the world does that happen....
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Quoting BobWallace:


What an ignorant statement.

Climate trends are not measured in terms of days or weeks nor by using isolated parts of the globe.



When are you gonna learn to play nice? It serves no purpose to use that tone to defend your argument. Sounds like a personal attack to me which is a violation of the rules of the road here on WU
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
SHIPS wind shear forecast for 95L.


SHEAR (KT) 31 29 30 17 7 13 14 19 25 27 11 28 22


Lowers below 20 knots in 18 hours, below 10 knots in 24.
It could intensify to 60 or 65 mph with that type of shear.
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1271. ncstorm
168 hours..two lows

Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 13438
1270. LargoFl
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 33281
this is the most frustrating storm i have ever seen!!! Anywhere from south TX to FL could be hit
Member Since: September 2, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1140
Quoting DavidHOUTX:


Euro is taking it into the central Gulf. I do not really like to rely to much on the models until a storm actually exist though. One run it is in Mexico, the next it is crossing Florida. Today's runs have a storm hitting everywhere in the Gulf lol!


Like I said, full steam ahead
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1266. ncstorm
low still sitting there..

144 hours
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 13438
Quoting WxGeekVA:


waning slightly
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lol
Quoting DavidHOUTX:


Euro is taking it into the central Gulf. I do not really like to rely to much on the models until a storm actually exist though. One run it is in Mexico, the next it is crossing Florida. Today's runs have a storm hitting everywhere in the Gulf lol!
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1263. LargoFl
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 33281
Quoting DavidHOUTX:


Oh yes it will, if it even decides too. If it does, it would be interesting to see if this becomes a storm earlier than thought.


Euro is taking it into the central Gulf. I do not really like to rely to much on the models until a storm actually exist though. One run it is in Mexico, the next it is crossing Florida. Today's runs have a storm hitting everywhere in the Gulf lol!
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This afternoon's marine discussion by NHC.

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
230 PM EDT MON JUN 18 2012

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA
AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

GULF OF MEXICO...
HIGH PRES CENTER 1020 MB HAS RIDGE EXTEND TO SW GULF WITH LIGHT
TO MODERATE SE WINDS OVER ENTIRE GULF...EXCEPT A FRESH E BREEZE
OVER STRAITS OF FLORIDA. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS
LINGER OVER NW GULF WATERS FROM PREVIOUS TROUGH PASSAGE. DRIER
MID AND UPPER LEVEL AIR MOVING INTO AREA INHIBIT CONVECTION
ELSEWHERE. PRES GRADIENT TIGHTEN OVER EASTERN AND CENTRAL GULF
TUE BETWEEN HIGH PRES OVER AND TROUGH MOVING INTO SE GULF ACROSS
YUCATAN PENINSULA. MODEL GUIDANCE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH
SCENARIO WITH GFS GIVING MOST AGGRESSIVE SOLUTION WITH STRONG E
BREEZE OVER ALONG STRAITS OF FLORIDA THROUGH THU. ECMWF AND
UKMET INDICATE WINDS INCREASING TO MODERATE BREEZE. FORECAST
FAVORS ECMWF/UKMET SOLUTIONS THROUGH THU. ALL MODELS SOLUTIONS
POINT TO A WEAK LOW PRES CENTER OR TROUGH EMERGING OFF W YUCATAN
INTO SW GULF LATE THU OR FRI. OFFICIAL FORECAST BLENDS GFS AND
ECMWF WITH MODERATE TO FRESH CYCLONIC FLOW IN BROAD SWATH AROUND
LOW PRES. EXPECT PERSISTENT CONVECTION ACROSS SRN GULF THU AND
FRI AS LOW PRES MOVES INTO AREA.

CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC W OF 55W...
BROAD LOW PRES 1008 MB AT 16N84W OFF NE COAST OF HONDURAS
REMAINS THE MOST CRITICAL FEATURE AS UNCERTAINTY OF POSITION MAY
THROW A WRENCH INTO MODEL SOLUTIONS. THERE MAY BE MORE THAN ONE
CENTER IN BROAD CYCLONIC CIRCULATION WHICH MAY THEN TRACK
ERRATICALLY FROM EXPECTED. ONE CERTAIN FACT IS ENORMOUS AMOUNT
OF MOISTURE COMBINED WITH MODERATE TO STRONG DIVERGENT FLOW
ALOFT WHICH ENHANCES LARGE AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION...WHICH STILL
REMAINS MOSTLY OVER WRN CARIBBEAN WATERS. MODEL GUIDANCE TRACKS
FAVORS STRENGTHENING LOW PRES TO MOVE ACROSS BELIZE AND YUCATAN
PENINSULA INTO BAY OF CAMPECHE BY LATE THU OR FRI. HOWEVER
...STATIONARY UPPER LEVEL CYCLONE OVER S CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO
BRINGS WLY WIND SHEAR OVER LOW PRES CENTER KEEPING CONVECTION ON
ITS E SIDE WITH JAMAICA AND SMALLER ISLANDS GETTING THE BLUNT OF
RAINFALL. EXPECT CONTINUED HEAVY CONVECTION OVER WRN CARIBBEAN
INTO THU AS LOW PRES AND ITS ACCOMPANYING SURFACE TROUGH DRIFT
W.
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 13278
Quoting StormTracker2K:
Folks the GFS, Nam, and CMC must be seeing something as they are all similar considering this event is starting for FL in less than 48 hours.



Perhaps they are on massive quanities of narcotics!!
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Quoting DavidHOUTX:


Oh yes it will, if it even decides too. If it does, it would be interesting to see if this becomes a storm earlier than thought.


Once it does it should move into the Eastern gulf and cross over Florida. Predicted by the models
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Quoting ncstorm:
12z Euro

72


96


Is that a little bit more stronger than in past runs?
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 13278
Quoting ncstorm:
12z Euro

72


96


That is much further east with this low that it's previous 0Z Run.

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SHIPS wind shear forecast for 95L.


SHEAR (KT) 31 29 30 17 7 13 14 19 25 27 11 28 22


Lowers below 20 knots in 18 hours, below 10 knots in 24.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 108 Comments: 30243
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

That guy cracked me up at first. It got old though, so he's on my ignore list now.


He shows a few cirrus clouds or contrails and calls it "proof of weather modification" I just added him to mine so I don't have to hear it anymore either.
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95L is very nearly tropical storm CHRIS.Latest ASCAT is showing that the system has almost closed off a low centre,and looks more tropical than subtropical. i expect with the increased organisation that the system should be named by 5 pm today
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Quoting Hurricanes305:


It could take awhile for this to tighten up and close off.


Oh yes it will, if it even decides too. If it does, it would be interesting to see if this becomes a storm earlier than thought.
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1250. ncstorm
12z Euro

72


96
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 13438
Quoting WxGeekVA:


There was absolutely no weather modification associated with Guchol. It has weakened due to increased wind shear and dry air. This was forecasted correctly a long time ago and was never unexpected. Please, can you take your conspiracies elsewhere?

That guy cracked me up at first. It got old though, so he's on my ignore list now.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 108 Comments: 30243
Quoting DavidHOUTX:
Looks like an elongated and broad area of circulation is trying to get going around that 1008mb surface low.



It could take awhile for this to tighten up and close off.
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1247. ncstorm
Singing.."Nobody knows"..

EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
121 PM EDT MON JUN 18 2012

VALID 12Z THU JUN 21 2012 - 12Z MON JUN 25 2012


PRELIMINARY UPDATE...

USED MOSTLY THE 00Z/18 ECMWF WITH A MODEST INCORPORATION OF THE
00Z/18 ECENS MEAN TO UPDATE THE PRELIMINARY FRONTS AND PRESSURES
FOR DAYS 3 AND 4...THEN FLIPPED THE WEIGHTING BY THE END OF THE
PERIOD TO ADDRESS THE UNCERTAINTIES IN SYNOPTIC DETAIL INHERENT TO
THAT TIME RANGE. THE ECMWF IS SOLIDLY CORRELATED WITH THE ECENS
MEAN...ADDING CONFIDENCE TO ITS SOLUTION. THE 00Z/18 GEFS MEAN
CLUSTERS WELL WITH THE EUROPEAN CENTRE GUIDANCE...ADDING
ADDITIONAL SUPPORT. THE GEM GLOBAL IS ALONE IN SPINNING UP A
TROPICAL CYCLONE EAST OF FLORIDA. WILL AWAIT THE REGULARLY
SCHEDULED 1700Z COORDINATION WITH THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TO
REFINE THE POSSIBLE SYSTEM INDICATED OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF
MEXICO.


FINAL...

AS A WHOLE...THE 12Z/18 MODEL CYCLE OFFERED NO COMPELLING REASONS
TO DEVIATE MUCH FROM THE PRELIMINARY UPDATE FOR THE FINAL
ISSUANCE. REFINED THE SUBTROPICS ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO AS PER
COORDINATION WITH THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER...OPTING TO EXTEND
A TROUGH NORTHEASTWARD TO FLORIDA AND THE SOUTHEAST COAST FROM A
BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE DRIFTING OUT OF THE BAY OF CAMPECHE.



CISCO

Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 13438
95L

Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 13278
Quoting wxmod:
Okinawa affects the hurricane! Game over. Guchol is whimpering. Another triumph for wx mod!


There was absolutely no weather modification associated with Guchol. It has weakened due to increased wind shear and dry air. This was forecasted correctly a long time ago and was never unexpected. Please, can you take your conspiracies elsewhere?
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1160 VR46L: And it appears that anyone who doesn't buy into Climate Change in its entirety is not welcome here which is crazy surely there should be debate and not ridicule mocking or bullying. but I guess if people on this issue only wish to hear their own view then that is fine.

Admittedly your posting had far less information about what&where was getting cooler, but it ain't like there's much left to debate when "You should be devastated. The beer in my refrigerator is cold, proving that GlobalWarming isn't happening"...
...though you could explain why I should become emotionally distraught after being told, "Bad news I'm afraid. You're limbs aren't gangrenous. We won't hafta amputate."
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It's been reported that all models this morning had a glitch from bad input overnight, all models are considered outliers and therefore thrown out till tonight's runs. Everything is still a go, and full steam ahead for a gulf bound storm for TX/MX end of week.
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1242. wxmod
Okinawa affects the hurricane! Game over. Guchol is whimpering. Another triumph for wx mod!
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Quoting DavidHOUTX:
Looks like an elongated and broad area of circulation is trying to get going around that 1008mb surface low.



Looks like Yucatan bound
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

92L only fired convection because there was instability between the upper level and lower levels of the atmosphere, cold-air aloft. Without that, it wouldn't have been able to fire convection due to SSTs between 19-21C.

95L, on the other hand, has SSTs definitely supportive of a subtropical cyclone. In fact, one could argue they are warm enough to allow for a tropical transition.

True...
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Looks like an elongated and broad area of circulation is trying to get going around that 1008mb surface low.

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Weather98 I was just trying to give the man a break as it was a presystem, hence junior. I should have know that comment wouldn't get past this group. Sorry Grothar I tried.
Member Since: August 18, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 3109
Quoting HurricaneDean07:

Yep, It could end up like 92L... One of those DMAX-DMIN swayers that can't fire convection enough to get named.

92L only fired convection because there was instability between the upper level and lower levels of the atmosphere, cold-air aloft. Without that, it wouldn't have been able to fire convection due to SSTs between 19-21C.

95L, on the other hand, has SSTs definitely supportive of a subtropical cyclone. In fact, one could argue they are warm enough to allow for a tropical transition.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 108 Comments: 30243
Quoting weatherh98:


All IF it can keep firing clouds

Yep, It could end up like 92L... One of those DMAX-DMIN swayers that can't fire convection enough to get named.
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Quoting allancalderini:
Cindy of 2011 form north or south of the current location of 95L? that I can remember.

East-Southeast.
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About JeffMasters

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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