Damages from June 13 hailstorm in Dallas may be $2 billion

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 4:31 PM GMT on June 17, 2012

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Insured damage from a massive 3-hour hailstorm that pummeled Dallas, Texas on Wednesday, June 13, may reach $2 billion, said the Southwestern Insurance Information Service (SIIS) on Friday. If true, this would be the fourth billion-dollar U.S. weather disaster of 2012. A cluster of three severe thunderstorms dropped hail the size of baseballs over a heavily populated area, damaging thousands of cars, puncturing skylights at a local mall, and shattering the expensive tile roofs of hundreds of homes. It was the second major hailstorm to hit the region this year; an April 3 event cost close to $500 million, and damaged 110 airplanes at the DFW airport. You can see a radar image of the June 13 storm using our wundermap with the "go back in time" feature turned on.


Figure 1. Huge hail splashes into the waters of White Rock Lake in Dallas on June 13, 2012. Image credit: Wunderphotographer CinnamonDreams.

One of the most expensive hailstorms of all-time
The June 13 hailstorm will rank as one of the most expensive of all-time, according to statistics of billion-dollar disasters maintained by NOAA's National Climatic Data Center (NCDC), and a list of damaging hail events maintained at Wikipedia. Wikipedia lists only three hailstorms in U.S. history with damages exceeding $1 billion:

1) The April 10, 2001 St. Louis, Missouri hailstorm. This costliest hailstorm in U.S. history, costing $2+ billion, struck the I-70 corridor of eastern Kansas, across Missouri, into southwestern Illinois.

2) The May 5, 1995 Mayfest Storm in Dallas and Fort Worth, Texas. Severe thunderstorms produced hail the size of softballs, causing $1.1 billion in insured losses, and total damage of $2 billion.

3) The July 11, 1990 hailstorm in Colorado. Softball-sized hail destroyed roofs and cars, causing $625 million in total damage ($1.1 billion in damage adjusted to 2011 dollars.)


Video 1. News coverage of the June 13, 2012 hailstorm in Dallas, Texas, from local TV station News8. The aerial shots of a fog-shrouded golf course covered with ice are quite remarkable.

Six global billion-dollar weather disasters so far in 2012
There have been five global billion-dollar weather disasters as of the end of May, said Aon Benfield in their latest May Catastrophe Recap. Three of these were in the U.S. With the addition of the June 13 Dallas hailstorm, the global total would rise to six and the U.S. total to four. The most expensive weather-related disaster of 2012 has been the March 2 - 3 tornado and severe weather outbreak in the Midwest and Southeast U.S., which killed 41 people and caused $3 billion in damage. The second most expensive was the severe thunderstorms and heavy rains that hit China during late April and early May, bringing flooding, landslides, and damaging hail to the Gansu, Hunan and Jiangxi provinces. Over 143,000 homes were damaged or destroyed, with $2.68 billion in damage. Two other severe weather outbreaks in the U.S. topped the $1 billion mark in damages in 2012: the April 27 - 29 event in the Midwest ($1.5 billion in damage), and an April 2 - 4 severe weather outbreak in Texas that did a tremendous amount of hail damage near Dallas/Ft. Worth ($1 billion.) A fourth severe weather event, April 13 - 15 in the Plains and Midwest, is very close the $1 billion mark ($950 million in damage.) Another weather disasters that might approach the $1 billion mark is the frosts and freezes that decimated Midwest fruit trees after 2012's "summer in March" heat wave. Agricultural damage in Michigan alone has been estimated by the state to be $223.5 million--including $130 million to cherry and apple orchards. The pace and cost of billion-dollar weather disasters in 2012 is well below that of 2011, which had had fourteen billion-dollar weather disasters between January and May (nine in the U.S.) These 2011 disasters cost $73 billion, compared to the $10 billion price tag of 2012's five-billion dollar disasters from January - May.



Super Typhoon Guchol headed towards Tokyo
Super Typhoon Guchol , a powerful Category 4 storm with 150 mph winds, is churning through the Western Pacific towards Japan, and is expected to pass close to Tokyo late Tuesday night local time. As Guchol approaches Japan on Monday and Tuesday morning, ocean temperatures will cool below 26°C and wind shear will increase, which should cause significant weakening of the typhoon. By the time of closest approach to Tokyo, I expect Guchol will most likely be a tropical storm, but could be a Category 1 typhoon.

The Atlantic is quiet
There are no threat areas to discuss in the Atlantic today. Several models are predicting that a tropical disturbance capable of becoming a tropical depression could form in Mexico's Bay of Campeche sometime June 22 - 24.

I'll have a new post late Monday or early Tuesday. Wunderground weather historian Christopher C. Burt has a post on record hailstorms.

Jeff Masters

Bigger in Texas (JWMPER)
Dallas, TX thunderstorm dropped a few big ones today.
Bigger in Texas

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Quoting STXHurricanes2012:
Lol how can something form in a ridge...jed is right the nogaps is a silly model lol


Same way you can appear here with a new handle

Wasn't it Btwtx before?

: )
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Quoting ncstorm:


LOL..thats all you say..LOL..LOL..LOL..LOL


Really?

Jed is absolutely right, something can not form in a ridge; all of the other models show a ridge near Florida that will keep it further west...NOGAPS is out to lunch as usual.
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Quoting Hurricanes101:


no it wasnt


Yes it was..now the blog dosent remember? It was over two pages of people clowning the NOGAPs and then Dr. Masters came the next blog mentioning it!! I should know because I am the only who posts it.
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 14451
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Surprised there has been no mention of the tropical wave yet.



If it maintains it composure or improves its organization within 24hours it most likely will.
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Quoting STXHurricanes2012:
Lol how can something form in a ridge...jed is right the nogaps is a silly model lol


LOL..thats all you say..LOL..LOL..LOL..LOL
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 14451
Lol how can something form in a ridge...jed is right the nogaps is a silly model lol
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Very impressive tropical wave in the central carribean. It has good convergence and divergence. If the shear lets up it might go off into full spin.
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Quoting ncstorm:


Jed, the nogaps was the FIRST model to pick up on the BOC disturbance..I wont go into defending the model again but it outperform even the Euro which its pretty clear the other models are last to jump on it..

(yes, I know the development hasnt happen yet but its looking pretty clear with model agreement that it will)

also some models are trending back to the florida solution


no it wasnt
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Quoting ncstorm:


Jed, the nogaps was the FIRST model to pick up on the BOC disturbance..I wont go into defending the model again but it outperform even the Euro which its pretty clear the other models are last to jump on it..

(yes, I know the development hasnt happen yet but its looking pretty clear with model agreement that it will)

also some models are trending back to the florida solution

Oh really? The NOGAPS was the first one to pick up the system when it goes out 144 hours, and the GFS had it over 300 hours out?
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31459
Quoting ncstorm:


Jed, the nogaps was the FIRST model to pick up on the BOC disturbance..I wont go into defending the model again but it outperform even the Euro which its pretty clear the other models are last to jump on it..

(yes, I know the development hasnt happen yet but its looking pretty clear with model agreement that it will)

?
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Quoting Jedkins01:


It's the NOGAPS, what do you expect, if the NOGAPS is forecasting a Florida path, we all know it won't be going there. Most models support a powerful ridge gaining control over Florida and drought returning as the ridge gains even more control by the end of next week, more subtropical desert weather is returning...


Jed, the nogaps was the FIRST model to pick up on the BOC disturbance..I wont go into defending the model again but it outperform even the Euro which its pretty clear the other models are last to jump on it..

(yes, I know the development hasnt happen yet but its looking pretty clear with model agreement that it will)

also some models are trending back to the florida solution
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 14451
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Why did he combine 95E and the remnants of Carlotta? They're two different disturbances.

I'm not sure...maybe he's a bit tired.
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7844
Kind of surprised there has been no mention of the tropical wave yet.

Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31459
12z CMC

Another SE fantasy storm

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Quoting nigel20:
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 171737
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT SUN JUN 17 2012

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE EXTENDING FROM NEAR THE COAST OF MEXICO
SOUTHWESTWARD INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED
MILES IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. ANY DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM SHOULD BE SLOW TO
OCCUR DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT REMAINS NEARLY
STATIONARY. THIS AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER HAS A LOW CHANCE...
20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...HEAVY RAINFALL AND THE THREAT
FOR FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES WILL CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF
SOUTH-CENTRAL MEXICO FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.


ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN

Why did he combine 95E and the remnants of Carlotta? They're two different disturbances.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31459
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 171737
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT SUN JUN 17 2012

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE EXTENDING FROM NEAR THE COAST OF MEXICO
SOUTHWESTWARD INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED
MILES IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. ANY DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM SHOULD BE SLOW TO
OCCUR DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT REMAINS NEARLY
STATIONARY. THIS AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER HAS A LOW CHANCE...
20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...HEAVY RAINFALL AND THE THREAT
FOR FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES WILL CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF
SOUTH-CENTRAL MEXICO FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.


ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7844
Quoting BahaHurican:
Hey, nige... it's been alternately sullen and sunny here today. I'm not expecting much, if anything in the way of rain; look like u guys have wrapped it all up for now...

Hey Baha..it has been pretty hot and dry over the past week, so i would not mind...
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7844
67. JRRP
Link
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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SUN JUN 17 2012

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE AREA LOCATED ABOUT 75 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF BERMUDA IS PRODUCING AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. ANY DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM AS A TROPICAL OR
SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT MOVES
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14009
Hey, nige... it's been alternately sullen and sunny here today. I'm not expecting much, if anything in the way of rain; look like u guys have wrapped it all up for now...
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Quoting BahaHurican:
These are some of the broadest AOI forecast maps I've seen... practically the entire EPac and WAtl are in the blue...



Uh... I think it's going to rain somewhere in the Caribbean today...


I think so too...this is from our met office (Jamaica)

NEWS RELEASE

June 16, 2012 at 5:00 p.m.

***** INCREASE IN RAINFALL LIKELY ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY *****


An Area of Low Pressure is expected to develop over the southwestern Caribbean early Sunday and should induce a Trough across Jamaica bringing unstable weather conditions over the island and its territorial waters.

Periods of showers and thunderstorms, which could be heavy at times, are forecast to begin affecting the island on Sunday and continue into late Monday.

Fishers and other marine interests are being advised to exercise caution as strong, gusty winds could be experience in the vicinity of showers and thunderstorms, over the next two days.

ram/vtj
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7844
Quoting txjac:


Wow nigel ...thanks for remembering the single mothers as well that do both jobs!

No problem!
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7844
Quoting stormwatcherCI:




These are some of the broadest AOI forecast maps I've seen... practically the entire EPac and WAtl are in the blue...



Uh... I think it's going to rain somewhere in the Caribbean today...

If we get any development in the next 24, it will have to be either the low that's dominating the W ATL east of the US, or the tropical disturbance near JA. Even BoC at this time doesn't seem to have much of a rotation...

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Quoting yqt1001:
Guchol must've been impressive yesterday when CI skyrocketed to minimal category 5....



Too bad I was gone. :(
at one point there yesterday around the eye were 200 mph winds
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Quoting nigel20:
Thanks Dr Masters.

"Happy Father's Day" to all the good fathers and to the single mothers that act as both mother and father!

Good afternoon everyone....it's pretty cloudy here in Jamaica...I'm hoping that I'll get some rain.


Wow nigel ...thanks for remembering the single mothers as well that do both jobs!

Happy fathers day to all
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Wait, it has to be an organized event in order for Severe Thunderstorm Warnings to be sent out?

Never knew that!

Thanks!


My mistake-I mis-read the question. No Weather Watch issued.

Thanks!
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Quoting ncstorm:
Nogaps..back on the solution with crossing florida





It's the NOGAPS, what do you expect, if the NOGAPS is forecasting a Florida path, we all know it won't be going there. Most models support a powerful ridge gaining control over Florida and drought returning as the ridge gains even more control by the end of next week, more subtropical desert weather is returning...
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.......................Good Afternoon and HAPPY FATHERS DAY
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I gotta tell u guys, if there was no ritzy, high on the hog part of Dallas, I'd be rather concerned. Considering it is the "capital" and centre of economic activity, wouldn't that be expected? Frankly, if a part of Dallas has to be bashed by huge hail for half-hour periods, wouldn't it be better for the "rich" area to take the hit, rather than the areas where homes are in foreclosure, etc etc?

The video broadcast mentioned 3 mobile homes rolled by those Tstorms... it's a good thing most of the homes hit by the storms were sturdier structures. One of the homeowners filmed seemed pretty pragmatic - nobody got hurt. Everything else is replaceable.

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Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:


Can you imagine if after all this back and forth by the models and with the MJO around,nothing develops at all and what Dr Masters said of nothing developing until August gets more traction.


have to remember though, we are about in the timeframe where the GFS will now drop the system for a few days
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Nogaps..back on the solution with crossing florida



Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 14451
Hybrid Car wins overall at Le Mans 24 hour race

Le Mans
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Thanks Dr Masters.

"Happy Father's Day" to all the good fathers and to the single mothers that act as both mother and father!

Good afternoon everyone....it's pretty cloudy here in Jamaica...I'm hoping that I'll get some rain.
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7844
Quoting beell:


Follow the good Doc's advice, Taz-and review the radar loops from the link in his post. This was not a widespread/organized event.

Wait, it has to be an organized event in order for Severe Thunderstorm Warnings to be sent out?

Never knew that!

Thanks!
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31459
Quoting GTcooliebai:
It's possible and for development to occur upper level winds will have to be favorable. Because this is monsoonal development it may take longer for something to get going and by the time it does it might run into land. I'll be more concern with what if anything forms in the Eastern Caribbean or just before reaching the Lesser Antillies as those have more time to develop and become something big.


Exactly. Those monsoon gyres cause things to develop very slow and by the time something may try to organize,then unfavorable conditions appear.Let's see what happens with all that mess in the Caribbean.
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14009
Quoting help4u:
Great preaching this morning,love the sermons on rich people best.Last sunday was the same,will we be moving on too population control next week or the ozone hole ,been a while since we have had one on alien invasions!Alaways look forward too what is going too kill us next!!PS.HAVE A HAPPY BASH THE RICH FATHER'S DAY!!
Looks like the bashing the rich part happened on 13 June, per baseball+ sized hail....

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Guchol must've been impressive yesterday when CI skyrocketed to minimal category 5....



Too bad I was gone. :(
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Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
Dude,that makes me dizzy looking at that...lol
Member Since: September 18, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 5106




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Quoting Tazmanian:



boy the NWS sure mess up this one


Follow the good Doc's advice, Taz-and review the radar loops from the link in his post. This was not a widespread/organized event.
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Blog Update!
The Atlantic is opening its doors to development - 6/17/12
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Quoting RitaEvac:
Dallas is a ritzy, elite area of TX, everybody lives high on the hog and above their means, therefore you'll pay the price when the damage comes, in any event. So pay that high dollar bill folks, cough it up.


Do they have any areas in Texas where a Liberal could maintain his or her sanity? Perhaps Austin??
Member Since: September 18, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 5106
Great preaching this morning,love the sermons on rich people best.Last sunday was the same,will we be moving on too population control next week or the ozone hole ,been a while since we have had one on alien invasions!Alaways look forward too what is going too kill us next!!PS.HAVE A HAPPY BASH THE RICH FATHER'S DAY!!
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XX/AOI/XXL
MARK
15.55N/73.75W
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 169 Comments: 53296
A Se Inflow from the GOM is keeping the Bar-b-cu'er's in Limbo here.









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Africa wave, Sahara dust. MODIS today

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Quoting Tazmanian:



boy the NWS sure mess up this one
They seemed to have missed a few different scenarios this month... like the rain in Pcola... was there a flood warning out for that? People seemed quite surprised by it.

To me, it's just proof we still have a long way to go in weather forecasting.
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27: too much upward motion something will evenually pop out of this stuff later in the week!
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Quoting RitaEvac:


Yes, Correct, also these areas are the "upstream" of the oil and gas industry, and that is where the cash flow is HIGH. I know people that go up there that live down here by me, puts Houston to shame. Lots of white folks not mixed like Houston, doesn't even compare, it's like night and day up there.

Is that supposed to be a racial comment? I used to live in DFW.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31459
Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:


Can you imagine if after all this back and forth by the models and with the MJO around,nothing develops at all and what Dr Masters said of nothing developing until August gets more traction.
Thing is, it's entirely possible. The MJO is a boost to developing systems, but it can also mean lots of widespread diffuse activity that never coalesces into an organized tropical system. So this is a genuine wait-and-see situation... lots of dramatic tension... lol
Quoting jascott1967:


LOL...you're just aching for a fight, ain't ya? You have managed to insult a third of Texas in two brief statments.
Prolly more like 2/3s....

[Just thought I'd pour some oil on the smoking embers, there...]
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.