Damages from June 13 hailstorm in Dallas may be $2 billion

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 4:31 PM GMT on June 17, 2012

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Insured damage from a massive 3-hour hailstorm that pummeled Dallas, Texas on Wednesday, June 13, may reach $2 billion, said the Southwestern Insurance Information Service (SIIS) on Friday. If true, this would be the fourth billion-dollar U.S. weather disaster of 2012. A cluster of three severe thunderstorms dropped hail the size of baseballs over a heavily populated area, damaging thousands of cars, puncturing skylights at a local mall, and shattering the expensive tile roofs of hundreds of homes. It was the second major hailstorm to hit the region this year; an April 3 event cost close to $500 million, and damaged 110 airplanes at the DFW airport. You can see a radar image of the June 13 storm using our wundermap with the "go back in time" feature turned on.


Figure 1. Huge hail splashes into the waters of White Rock Lake in Dallas on June 13, 2012. Image credit: Wunderphotographer CinnamonDreams.

One of the most expensive hailstorms of all-time
The June 13 hailstorm will rank as one of the most expensive of all-time, according to statistics of billion-dollar disasters maintained by NOAA's National Climatic Data Center (NCDC), and a list of damaging hail events maintained at Wikipedia. Wikipedia lists only three hailstorms in U.S. history with damages exceeding $1 billion:

1) The April 10, 2001 St. Louis, Missouri hailstorm. This costliest hailstorm in U.S. history, costing $2+ billion, struck the I-70 corridor of eastern Kansas, across Missouri, into southwestern Illinois.

2) The May 5, 1995 Mayfest Storm in Dallas and Fort Worth, Texas. Severe thunderstorms produced hail the size of softballs, causing $1.1 billion in insured losses, and total damage of $2 billion.

3) The July 11, 1990 hailstorm in Colorado. Softball-sized hail destroyed roofs and cars, causing $625 million in total damage ($1.1 billion in damage adjusted to 2011 dollars.)


Video 1. News coverage of the June 13, 2012 hailstorm in Dallas, Texas, from local TV station News8. The aerial shots of a fog-shrouded golf course covered with ice are quite remarkable.

Six global billion-dollar weather disasters so far in 2012
There have been five global billion-dollar weather disasters as of the end of May, said Aon Benfield in their latest May Catastrophe Recap. Three of these were in the U.S. With the addition of the June 13 Dallas hailstorm, the global total would rise to six and the U.S. total to four. The most expensive weather-related disaster of 2012 has been the March 2 - 3 tornado and severe weather outbreak in the Midwest and Southeast U.S., which killed 41 people and caused $3 billion in damage. The second most expensive was the severe thunderstorms and heavy rains that hit China during late April and early May, bringing flooding, landslides, and damaging hail to the Gansu, Hunan and Jiangxi provinces. Over 143,000 homes were damaged or destroyed, with $2.68 billion in damage. Two other severe weather outbreaks in the U.S. topped the $1 billion mark in damages in 2012: the April 27 - 29 event in the Midwest ($1.5 billion in damage), and an April 2 - 4 severe weather outbreak in Texas that did a tremendous amount of hail damage near Dallas/Ft. Worth ($1 billion.) A fourth severe weather event, April 13 - 15 in the Plains and Midwest, is very close the $1 billion mark ($950 million in damage.) Another weather disasters that might approach the $1 billion mark is the frosts and freezes that decimated Midwest fruit trees after 2012's "summer in March" heat wave. Agricultural damage in Michigan alone has been estimated by the state to be $223.5 million--including $130 million to cherry and apple orchards. The pace and cost of billion-dollar weather disasters in 2012 is well below that of 2011, which had had fourteen billion-dollar weather disasters between January and May (nine in the U.S.) These 2011 disasters cost $73 billion, compared to the $10 billion price tag of 2012's five-billion dollar disasters from January - May.



Super Typhoon Guchol headed towards Tokyo
Super Typhoon Guchol , a powerful Category 4 storm with 150 mph winds, is churning through the Western Pacific towards Japan, and is expected to pass close to Tokyo late Tuesday night local time. As Guchol approaches Japan on Monday and Tuesday morning, ocean temperatures will cool below 26°C and wind shear will increase, which should cause significant weakening of the typhoon. By the time of closest approach to Tokyo, I expect Guchol will most likely be a tropical storm, but could be a Category 1 typhoon.

The Atlantic is quiet
There are no threat areas to discuss in the Atlantic today. Several models are predicting that a tropical disturbance capable of becoming a tropical depression could form in Mexico's Bay of Campeche sometime June 22 - 24.

I'll have a new post late Monday or early Tuesday. Wunderground weather historian Christopher C. Burt has a post on record hailstorms.

Jeff Masters

Bigger in Texas (JWMPER)
Dallas, TX thunderstorm dropped a few big ones today.
Bigger in Texas

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2 more.
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Quoting stormpetrol:


Photo I just took, South Sound, Grand Cayman. Hope it shows.


great pic!
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1319. Looks like a fire burning in the gulf and carribbean!
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bbl
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Quoting ProgressivePulse:
Moisture surge coming up a lil faster than expected, may be bumping up the POPS on Tuesday now.


000
FXUS62 KMFL 181831
AFDMFL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
231 PM EDT MON JUN 18 2012

.AVIATION...
ALTHOUGH VFR CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE BULK OF THE 24
HR PERIOD...INCREASING MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH
WILL SLOWLY BEGIN TO SPREAD NORTH OVER THE AREA TOWARD THE END OF
THE FORECAST PERIOD TUESDAY...ESPECIALLY OVER THE KEYS AND THE
SOUTHERN EXTENT OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. HOWEVER...THE MAIN
QUESTION OF HOW QUICKLY THIS MOISTURE AXIS RETURNS NORTH BY THE
END OF THIS TAF CYCLE. AT THIS TIME...STILL NOT ENOUGH CONFIDENCE
TO INTRODUCE SHRA/VCSH IN THIS PACKAGE...HOWEVER...CONFIDENCE DOES
BEGIN TO INCREASE JUST BEYOND THIS PACKAGE THROUGH THE LATE
AFTERNOON HOURS AND INTO TUESDAY EVENING. 85/AG



Yea by Wednesday this moisture axis will be moving up across C FL.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1329. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #19
TROPICAL STORM TALIM (1205)
3:00 AM JST June 18 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In South China Sea

At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Talim (992 hPa) located at 19.0N 113.4E has 10 minute sustained winds of 40 knots with gusts of 60 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving east slowly.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
===============
250 NM from the center in southern quadrant
140 NM from the center in northern quadrant

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 21.5N 116.0E - 45 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) - South China Sea
48 HRS: 25.5N 120.4E - 45 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) - Taiwan Strait
72 HRS: 31.1N 128.5E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) - west of Kyushu (western Japan)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:


some one say rocket fuel


rocket fuel
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Here is the latest wind shear

Shear around the low pressure in the sw carib is falling

Here's the latest vorticity map (850mb)

Vorticity align right on top of the low pressure center.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting RitaEvac:
It's been reported that all models this morning had a glitch from bad input overnight, all models are considered outliers and therefore thrown out till tonight's runs. Everything is still a go, and full steam ahead for a gulf bound storm for TX/MX end of week.
LOL,You got a positve attitude!!!!!!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Moisture surge coming up a lil faster than expected, may be bumping up the POPS on Tuesday now.


000
FXUS62 KMFL 181831
AFDMFL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
231 PM EDT MON JUN 18 2012

.AVIATION...
ALTHOUGH VFR CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE BULK OF THE 24
HR PERIOD...INCREASING MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH
WILL SLOWLY BEGIN TO SPREAD NORTH OVER THE AREA TOWARD THE END OF
THE FORECAST PERIOD TUESDAY...ESPECIALLY OVER THE KEYS AND THE
SOUTHERN EXTENT OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. HOWEVER...THE MAIN
QUESTION OF HOW QUICKLY THIS MOISTURE AXIS RETURNS NORTH BY THE
END OF THIS TAF CYCLE. AT THIS TIME...STILL NOT ENOUGH CONFIDENCE
TO INTRODUCE SHRA/VCSH IN THIS PACKAGE...HOWEVER...CONFIDENCE DOES
BEGIN TO INCREASE JUST BEYOND THIS PACKAGE THROUGH THE LATE
AFTERNOON HOURS AND INTO TUESDAY EVENING. 85/AG

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting DavidHOUTX:
Looks like an elongated and broad area of circulation is trying to get going around that 1008mb surface low.



C'Mon Baby!!!!!!!!!!!!! Spinnnnnnnn
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Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:


some one say rocket fuel


Not impressive off Florida, except for south FL
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Photo I just took, South Sound, Grand Cayman. Hope it shows.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Guchol down to 100 mph.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31462
1319. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)


some one say rocket fuel
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1318. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #63
TYPHOON GUCHOL (T1204)
3:00 AM JST June 19 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Category Three Typhoon In Sea South Of Japan

At 18:00 PM UTC, Typhoon Guchol (960 hPa) located at 27.3N 130.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 75 knots with gusts of 105 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north northeast at 22 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T4.5

Storm Force Winds
================
100 NM from the center in southeastern quadrant
60 NM from the center in northwestern quadrant

Gale Force Winds
================
240 NM from the center in southeastern quadrant
180 NM from the center in northwestern quadrant

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 37.2N 137.8E - 50 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) - Niigata Prefecture
48 HRS: 41.3N 142.8E - Extratropical Cyclone northern Japan
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1317. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
POSS T.C.F.A.
95L/INV/XX
MARK
37.75N/61.25W
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Aint nuttin out there, aint gonna be anything out there...until actuality shows it's out there
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Here's the score right now:

Actuality: 10
Models: 0
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Looks fine to me. I mean, it's not as strong as it was earlier in the southwest quadrant, but colder cloud tops wrap farther around the circulation as opposed to earlier.


we may have some refiring in the northwest
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Nogaps is right with the CMC, GFS, and NAM models.

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Quoting weatherh98:
convection is waning i think

Looks fine to me. I mean, it's not as strong as it was earlier in the southwest quadrant, but colder cloud tops wrap farther around the circulation as opposed to earlier.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31462
Quoting WxGeekVA:


If it isn't persistent, then it won't be classified.

So far so good.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31462
Quoting ncstorm:


its weird and the GFS pretty much had the same run..


Monsoonal systems are hard to pin down. We may see nothing but heavy rains across the SE US or we could have a hurricane per the GGEM model.


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convection is waning i think
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Quoting trunkmonkey:
Hello boyz and gurlz,

This Saturday I'm going to Naples Fla. to move some furniture for a friend.

Here is my dilemma, I'm driving down from Indiana, with a large scale SUV and a 20ft, box trailer, I'm not very good at predicting storms thru models, so with that said what is the opinions of you good weather-casters, wish-casters!
for this coming weekend and next week, is any of the models still predicting bad weather for Southern Fla?
I've ridden out several canes before, and hate it!
My friend is handi-capped and may need help!
I can handle the wind but the surge is what I'm afraid of.
Going to be near I-75 from where it turns east-west, north south!

I have several friends in here who will post if they see me in here!


Be prepared for a Cat 5 landfall at any time!

But seriously, you should always be ready for that in Florida and anywhere along the gulf coast.

In actuality, maybe you could see a few gusty showers, but I don't see anything that bad in Florida around that timeframe. Maybe a weak TS but you shouldn't worry too much about that.
Member Since: September 3, 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3468
1307. ncstorm
the last frame..

Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 14451
Quoting DavidHOUTX:
Looks like an elongated and broad area of circulation is trying to get going around that 1008mb surface low.



Land interaction may play a role in the development of this disturbance.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting HurricaneHunterJoe:


I'd say alot of bathwater


I went down to Galveston this weekend, the water there was absolutely bath water. Nice and warm but bad news for everyone if something decided to spin up.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting tropicfreak:


Honestly... I think overall organization and convection should be sufficient for this to be declared TS or STS Chris. I just can't see how this wouldn't be classified


If it isn't persistent, then it won't be classified.
Member Since: September 3, 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3468
1303. nigel20
Good afternoon everyone!
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7849
Hello boyz and gurlz,

This Saturday I'm going to Naples Fla. to move some furniture for a friend.

Here is my dilemma, I'm driving down from Indiana, with a large scale SUV and a 20ft, box trailer, I'm not very good at predicting storms thru models, so with that said what is the opinions of you good weather-casters, wish-casters!
for this coming weekend and next week, is any of the models still predicting bad weather for Southern Fla?
I've ridden out several canes before, and hate it!
My friend is handi-capped and may need help!
I can handle the wind but the surge is what I'm afraid of.
Going to be near I-75 from where it turns east-west, north south!

I have several friends in here who will post if they see me in here!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1301. ncstorm
Quoting DavidHOUTX:


LOL that is crazy and has 0.001% chance of happening. If that were to happen that would be a miracle.


its weird and the GFS pretty much had the same run..
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 14451
Quoting wunderkidcayman:
ASCAT has the circulation around 15.5N 81.0W with PRE-96L


According to the NHC marine discussion, the 1008 low expected to move west across.Belize and the Yucatan into the BOC.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:
95L



Honestly... I think overall organization and convection should be sufficient for this to be declared TS or STS Chris. I just can't see how this wouldn't be classified
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wow!!
Quoting WxGeekVA:
"Mushroom Cloud" over Beijing? Actually, just a thunderstorm.







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"Mushroom Cloud" over Beijing? Actually, just a thunderstorm.







Member Since: September 3, 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3468
Quoting weatherbro:


As per HPC disco, 12Z Euro has not shifted!


What?? It parks this monsoon trough right over C FL in 3 days. Expect a big change on the HPC maps later this evening.
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edit
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Quoting ncstorm:
CHAOS



LOL that is crazy and has 0.001% chance of happening. If that were to happen that would be a miracle.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
ASCAT has the circulation around 15.5N 81.0W with PRE-96L
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Hurricanes305:


Dude look at the latest Euro it much farther east. Really nice support in the models as they are shifting east.


As per HPC disco, 12Z Euro has not shifted!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Just made a new blog!

Invest 95E organizing; Invest 95L likely to become Chris
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31462
Quoting ncstorm:
CHAOS



MA'AT
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Quoting ncstorm:
CHAOS



4 different lows... wow! Quite a mess down there!
Member Since: September 3, 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3468
1288. ncstorm
CHAOS

Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 14451
Quoting StormTracker2K:


All the models are now showing a weakness over FL as the ULL east of FL on previous models is gone. So basically this is implying a very wet pattern for FL and it's not out of the question that we could see some all-time records for rainfall go by the wayside for June. The record in Orlando is 18" and they are near 6" now with many others around here in the 8" to 10" range.



Yes that would be quite a disaster for Florida especially since we are a few months away from the peak of Hurricane season. I don't really trust the models right now. They are all over the place.
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Quoting weatherbro:


It still does


Dude look at the latest Euro it much farther east. Really nice support in the models as they are shifting east.
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Quoting weatherbro:


It still does


Ok and who says this? Better pack an umbrella come Wednesday as that is when the rain will arrive.

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Quoting ncstorm:
168 hours..two lows



The one near FL is much stronger though.

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.