Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Damages from June 13 hailstorm in Dallas may be $2 billion

Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 4:31 PM GMT on June 17, 2012

+35

Insured damage from a massive 3-hour hailstorm that pummeled Dallas, Texas on Wednesday, June 13, may reach $2 billion, said the Southwestern Insurance Information Service (SIIS) on Friday. If true, this would be the fourth billion-dollar U.S. weather disaster of 2012. A cluster of three severe thunderstorms dropped hail the size of baseballs over a heavily populated area, damaging thousands of cars, puncturing skylights at a local mall, and shattering the expensive tile roofs of hundreds of homes. It was the second major hailstorm to hit the region this year; an April 3 event cost close to $500 million, and damaged 110 airplanes at the DFW airport. You can see a radar image of the June 13 storm using our wundermap with the "go back in time" feature turned on.

Figure 1. Huge hail splashes into the waters of White Rock Lake in Dallas on June 13, 2012. Image credit: Wunderphotographer CinnamonDreams.

One of the most expensive hailstorms of all-time
The June 13 hailstorm will rank as one of the most expensive of all-time, according to statistics of billion-dollar disasters maintained by NOAA's National Climatic Data Center (NCDC), and a list of damaging hail events maintained at Wikipedia. Wikipedia lists only three hailstorms in U.S. history with damages exceeding $1 billion:

1) The April 10, 2001 St. Louis, Missouri hailstorm. This costliest hailstorm in U.S. history, costing $2+ billion, struck the I-70 corridor of eastern Kansas, across Missouri, into southwestern Illinois.

2) The May 5, 1995 Mayfest Storm in Dallas and Fort Worth, Texas. Severe thunderstorms produced hail the size of softballs, causing $1.1 billion in insured losses, and total damage of $2 billion.

3) The July 11, 1990 hailstorm in Colorado. Softball-sized hail destroyed roofs and cars, causing $625 million in total damage ($1.1 billion in damage adjusted to 2011 dollars.)

Video 1. News coverage of the June 13, 2012 hailstorm in Dallas, Texas, from local TV station News8. The aerial shots of a fog-shrouded golf course covered with ice are quite remarkable.

Six global billion-dollar weather disasters so far in 2012
There have been five global billion-dollar weather disasters as of the end of May, said Aon Benfield in their latest May Catastrophe Recap. Three of these were in the U.S. With the addition of the June 13 Dallas hailstorm, the global total would rise to six and the U.S. total to four. The most expensive weather-related disaster of 2012 has been the March 2 - 3 tornado and severe weather outbreak in the Midwest and Southeast U.S., which killed 41 people and caused $3 billion in damage. The second most expensive was the severe thunderstorms and heavy rains that hit China during late April and early May, bringing flooding, landslides, and damaging hail to the Gansu, Hunan and Jiangxi provinces. Over 143,000 homes were damaged or destroyed, with $2.68 billion in damage. Two other severe weather outbreaks in the U.S. topped the $1 billion mark in damages in 2012: the April 27 - 29 event in the Midwest ($1.5 billion in damage), and an April 2 - 4 severe weather outbreak in Texas that did a tremendous amount of hail damage near Dallas/Ft. Worth ($1 billion.) A fourth severe weather event, April 13 - 15 in the Plains and Midwest, is very close the $1 billion mark ($950 million in damage.) Another weather disasters that might approach the $1 billion mark is the frosts and freezes that decimated Midwest fruit trees after 2012's "summer in March" heat wave. Agricultural damage in Michigan alone has been estimated by the state to be $223.5 million--including $130 million to cherry and apple orchards. The pace and cost of billion-dollar weather disasters in 2012 is well below that of 2011, which had had fourteen billion-dollar weather disasters between January and May (nine in the U.S.) These 2011 disasters cost $73 billion, compared to the $10 billion price tag of 2012's five-billion dollar disasters from January - May.

Super Typhoon Guchol headed towards Tokyo
Super Typhoon Guchol , a powerful Category 4 storm with 150 mph winds, is churning through the Western Pacific towards Japan, and is expected to pass close to Tokyo late Tuesday night local time. As Guchol approaches Japan on Monday and Tuesday morning, ocean temperatures will cool below 26°C and wind shear will increase, which should cause significant weakening of the typhoon. By the time of closest approach to Tokyo, I expect Guchol will most likely be a tropical storm, but could be a Category 1 typhoon.

The Atlantic is quiet
There are no threat areas to discuss in the Atlantic today. Several models are predicting that a tropical disturbance capable of becoming a tropical depression could form in Mexico's Bay of Campeche sometime June 22 - 24.

I'll have a new post late Monday or early Tuesday. Wunderground weather historian Christopher C. Burt has a post on record hailstorms.

Jeff Masters

Bigger in Texas (JWMPER)

Dallas, TX thunderstorm dropped a few big ones today.

Categories: Extreme Weather Severe Weather

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651. AtHomeInTX 5:05 AM GMT on June 18, 2012
End frame Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 3879

652. BahaHurican 5:14 AM GMT on June 18, 2012
Whoa... fun times in the ATL... I'm heading to bed now, but will definitely check in about 5 a.m. to see what the latest gen is... Will be interesting to see if 95L can make it without the pipeline to the piping hot jet fuel pool that is the Caribbean... Member Since: October 25, 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 17645

653. nigel20 5:17 AM GMT on June 18, 2012
Quoting BahaHurican: Whoa... fun times in the ATL... I'm heading to bed now, but will definitely check in about 5 a.m. to see what the latest gen is... Will be interesting to see if 95L can make it without the pipeline to the piping hot jet fuel pool that is the Caribbean... Have a good night Baha! Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 2 Comments: 4535

654. BahaHurican 5:18 AM GMT on June 18, 2012
Quoting nigel20: Have a good night Baha! Geez... looks like I'm the only one headed to bed... [grumps off to sleep] Member Since: October 25, 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 17645

655. nigel20 5:22 AM GMT on June 18, 2012
Quoting BahaHurican: Geez... looks like I'm the only one headed to bed... [grumps off to sleep] I'll be off to bed pretty soon... Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 2 Comments: 4535

656. allancalderini 5:26 AM GMT on June 18, 2012
Do anyone think 95L chances would be up in the next two? Member Since: October 15, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2024

657. wunderkidcayman 5:34 AM GMT on June 18, 2012
Quoting allancalderini: Do anyone think 95L chances would be up in the next two? umm 95L is in the TWO its PRE-96L I think has a chance of being on it but I think more so at the 7am TWO Member Since: June 13, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 5417

658. allancalderini 5:37 AM GMT on June 18, 2012
Quoting wunderkidcayman: umm 95L is in the TWO its PRE-96L I think has a chance of being on it but I think more so at the 7am TWO No I mean if it going to be up of the 10% that is now maybe 96L will be tomorrow.Btw hello wunderkid. Member Since: October 15, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2024

659. wunderkidcayman 5:43 AM GMT on June 18, 2012
I say 95L may jump to 20% but I don't think they will but PRE-95L I think yello circle with 10% Member Since: June 13, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 5417

660. allancalderini 5:44 AM GMT on June 18, 2012
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1100 PM PDT SUN JUN 17 2012 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 270 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS. IN ADDITION...A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE EXTENDS SOUTHEASTWARD FROM THE LOW ACROSS THE EASTERN PACIFIC TO NEAR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS LARGE DISTURBANCE IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY EASTWARD. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...HEAVY RAINFALL AND THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES WILL CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN AND SOUTH-CENTRAL MEXICO FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. Member Since: October 15, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2024

661. nigel20 5:44 AM GMT on June 18, 2012
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 180543 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1100 PM PDT SUN JUN 17 2012 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 270 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS. IN ADDITION...A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE EXTENDS SOUTHEASTWARD FROM THE LOW ACROSS THE EASTERN PACIFIC TO NEAR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS LARGE DISTURBANCE IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY EASTWARD. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...HEAVY RAINFALL AND THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES WILL CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN AND SOUTH-CENTRAL MEXICO FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER STEWART Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 2 Comments: 4535

662. allancalderini 5:45 AM GMT on June 18, 2012
Quoting nigel20: 000 ABPZ20 KNHC 180543 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1100 PM PDT SUN JUN 17 2012 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 270 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS. IN ADDITION...A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE EXTENDS SOUTHEASTWARD FROM THE LOW ACROSS THE EASTERN PACIFIC TO NEAR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS LARGE DISTURBANCE IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY EASTWARD. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...HEAVY RAINFALL AND THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES WILL CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN AND SOUTH-CENTRAL MEXICO FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER STEWART Again Nigel lol. Member Since: October 15, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2024

663. nigel20 5:46 AM GMT on June 18, 2012
Quoting allancalderini: Again Nigel lol. Yeah...lol. Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 2 Comments: 4535

664. allancalderini 5:47 AM GMT on June 18, 2012
Quoting nigel20: Yeah...lol. How are you? Member Since: October 15, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2024

665. wunderkidcayman 5:48 AM GMT on June 18, 2012
what the hell EPac again Member Since: June 13, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 5417

666. allancalderini 5:49 AM GMT on June 18, 2012
Quoting wunderkidcayman: I say 95L may jump to 20% but I don't think they will but PRE-95L I think yello circle with 10% I don`t think they would put a yellow circle in the carribean but i don`t know,Maybe it will . Member Since: October 15, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2024

667. nigel20 5:49 AM GMT on June 18, 2012
Quoting allancalderini: How are you? I'm good...thanks for asking. Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 2 Comments: 4535

668. wunderkidcayman 5:50 AM GMT on June 18, 2012
Quoting allancalderini: I don`t think they would put a yellow circle in the carribean but i don`t know,Maybe it will . well if they don't do it now they will do it sometime today Member Since: June 13, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 5417

669. allancalderini 5:52 AM GMT on June 18, 2012
Quoting nigel20: I'm good...thanks for asking. Do you think 95L would get named? Member Since: October 15, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2024

670. NCHurricane2009 5:53 AM GMT on June 18, 2012
Special update on my blog...on Invest 95-L and possible activity emerging out of the eastern Caribbean....boy the Atlantic is a bit interesting tonight! Member Since: September 15, 2009 Posts: 277 Comments: 3357

671. allancalderini 5:55 AM GMT on June 18, 2012
Quoting NCHurricane2009: Special update on my blog...on Invest 95-L and possible activity emerging out of the eastern Caribbean....boy the Atlantic is a bit interesting tonight! I really like your updates continue with the good work they are very informative. Member Since: October 15, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2024

672. HurricaneDean07 5:55 AM GMT on June 18, 2012
95L has a 40% chance of development overall IMO It could become a sub-tropical storm before becoming extra-tropical parallel to Maine and Nova Scotia. Pre-96L Could become a storm too, but the uncertainty is overwhelming at this point. 50% chance of Development 95E could become Daniel, I give it a 40% chance overall to develop. Member Since: October 3, 2010 Posts: 39 Comments: 4037

673. AtHomeInTX 5:56 AM GMT on June 18, 2012
Yikes! Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 3879

674. HurricaneDean07 5:57 AM GMT on June 18, 2012
Upped. 000 ABNT20 KNHC 180556 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT MON JUN 18 2012 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... A WELL-DEFINED NON-TROPICAL SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 200 MILES NORTHEAST OF BERMUDA IS PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS NEAR AND TO THE WEST OF THE CENTER AS IT INTERACTS WITH A MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL LOW. THIS DEVELOPING GALE-AREA COULD GRADUALLY ACQUIRE SUBTROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS AS IT MOVES NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM...PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. && HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CAN BE FOUND UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER STEWART Member Since: October 3, 2010 Posts: 39 Comments: 4037

675. allancalderini 5:57 AM GMT on June 18, 2012
WELL-DEFINED NON-TROPICAL SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 200 MILES NORTHEAST OF BERMUDA IS PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS NEAR AND TO THE WEST OF THE CENTER AS IT INTERACTS WITH A MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL LOW. THIS DEVELOPING GALE-AREA COULD GRADUALLY ACQUIRE SUBTROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS AS IT MOVES NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM...PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER. Member Since: October 15, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2024

676. wunderkidcayman 5:57 AM GMT on June 18, 2012
Quoting HurricaneDean07: 95L has a 40% chance of development overall IMO It could become a sub-tropical storm before becoming extra-tropical parallel to Maine and Nova Scotia. Pre-96L Could become a storm too, but the uncertainty is overwhelming at this point. 50% chance of Development 95E could become Daniel, I give it a 40% chance overall to develop. seems ok Member Since: June 13, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 5417

677. HurricaneDean07 5:57 AM GMT on June 18, 2012
Quoting AtHomeInTX: Yikes! So much for our chances for a tropical storm... But Yikes! Thats a nasty Hurricane on the SE coastline. Member Since: October 3, 2010 Posts: 39 Comments: 4037

678. allancalderini 5:58 AM GMT on June 18, 2012
Quoting allancalderini: WELL-DEFINED NON-TROPICAL SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 200 MILES NORTHEAST OF BERMUDA IS PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS NEAR AND TO THE WEST OF THE CENTER AS IT INTERACTS WITH A MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL LOW. THIS DEVELOPING GALE-AREA COULD GRADUALLY ACQUIRE SUBTROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS AS IT MOVES NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM...PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER. I thoght they will put at 30% but oh well I hope it gets name. Member Since: October 15, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2024

679. cheaterwon 5:58 AM GMT on June 18, 2012
Man it sure looks Like japan is in for a bad time. Good luck to them. Link Last Friday I called for development to get going Monday in the BOC. I am going to stick with Monday but move the location to the western Caribbean. Member Since: August 5, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 199

680. nigel20 5:59 AM GMT on June 18, 2012
Quoting allancalderini: Do you think 95L would get named? That's quite possible, but maybe as a Sub Tropical Storm (STS)... Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 2 Comments: 4535

681. wunderkidcayman 5:59 AM GMT on June 18, 2012
right 20% on 95L nothing yet on PRE-96L however should change as today continue Member Since: June 13, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 5417

682. AtHomeInTX 5:59 AM GMT on June 18, 2012
Quoting HurricaneDean07: So much for our chances for a tropical storm... But Yikes! Thats a nasty Hurricane on the SE coastline. No kidding! Seems to start in the gulf go across Fl. and bomb out. Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 3879

683. HurricaneDean07 6:01 AM GMT on June 18, 2012
Just to Highlight some stuff... Quoting HurricaneDean07: Upped. 000 ABNT20 KNHC 180556 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT MON JUN 18 2012 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... A WELL-DEFINED NON-TROPICAL SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 200 MILES NORTHEAST OF BERMUDA IS PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS NEAR AND TO THE WEST OF THE CENTER AS IT INTERACTS WITH A MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL LOW. THIS DEVELOPING GALE-AREA COULD GRADUALLY ACQUIRE SUBTROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS AS IT MOVES NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM...PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. && HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CAN BE FOUND UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER STEWART Could see this go code orange later in the morning, if it were to aquire those sub-tropical characteristics, and if that occurs, could see a red circle. Member Since: October 3, 2010 Posts: 39 Comments: 4037

684. Phoenix30 6:01 AM GMT on June 18, 2012
Hey all, good evening. I heard that by Wednesday an unorganized mass of storms is expected to enter the BOC. Then head Northwest towards Tex/Mex border... I dont know how to do the runs and all that, but how is the Euro and GFS handling it as of right now? I for one am very happy to see the return of air-mass thunderstorms here in Houston, unlike the front generated storms we only seemed to get the last couple years. Its a very welcome change to see that blue H persistently centered over Houston choking off the vertical development to move along somewhere else. Member Since: September 1, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 20

685. wunderkidcayman 6:02 AM GMT on June 18, 2012
Quoting cheaterwon: Man it sure looks Like japan is in for a bad time. Good luck to them. Link Last Friday I called for development to get going Monday in the BOC. I am going to stick with Monday but move the location to the western Caribbean. lol I said we were going to get development in the W caribbean this week before Carlletta developed in EPac and way I am out till about 6ish Member Since: June 13, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 5417

686. HurricaneHunterJoe 6:03 AM GMT on June 18, 2012
Quoting stormwatcherCI: Low in the SW Caribbean now @ 1007 mb. Wheres that forecast to go? Member Since: September 18, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 2690

687. NCHurricane2009 6:04 AM GMT on June 18, 2012
Are y'all considering the east Caribbean activity pre-96L? Not much of an upping in the NHC TWO...95-L has only been raised from 10% to 20%...but we'll see what goes on later today. Quoting allancalderini: I really like your updates continue with the good work they are very informative. Thanks for the compliment....I hope all understand or can learn from the posts....that's what I like doing best... Member Since: September 15, 2009 Posts: 277 Comments: 3357

688. HurricaneHunterJoe 6:05 AM GMT on June 18, 2012
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13: Invest 95L doesn't look too impressive but it has a closed low, 35 mph winds, and a minimum barometric pressure of 1003 millibars. It's going to stay fishing Member Since: September 18, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 2690

689. wunderkidcayman 6:06 AM GMT on June 18, 2012
Quoting HurricaneHunterJoe: Wheres that forecast to go? follow the NAM model that will give ya an idea (extreme NW carib Yucatan cuba just for now its not going anywhere for a good 6-8hours anyway just good night Member Since: June 13, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 5417

690. nigel20 6:07 AM GMT on June 18, 2012
Quoting NCHurricane2009: Are y'all considering the east Caribbean activity pre-96L? Not much of an upping in the NHC TWO...95-L has only been raised from 10% to 20%...but we'll see what goes on later today. Thanks for the compliment....I hope all understand or can learn from the posts....that's what I like doing best... Thanks for the update, NC...I'm off to bed...good night everyone! Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 2 Comments: 4535

691. HurricaneDean07 6:07 AM GMT on June 18, 2012
Timeline: Next 7 Days. June 19- 95L possible to develop... 96L tagged... June 20- 95L peak day... 96L possible to develop... June 21- 95L weakening... 96L possible to develop... June 22- 95L dissipates... 96L possible to develop... June 23-25 96L's primetime for development Member Since: October 3, 2010 Posts: 39 Comments: 4037

692. HurricaneDean07 6:09 AM GMT on June 18, 2012
Quoting nigel20: Thanks for the update, NC...I'm off to bed...good night everyone! As the blog goes dim. Goodnight everyone Member Since: October 3, 2010 Posts: 39 Comments: 4037

693. wunderkidcayman 6:10 AM GMT on June 18, 2012
Quoting NCHurricane2009: Are y'all considering the east Caribbean activity pre-96L? Not much of an upping in the NHC TWO...95-L has only been raised from 10% to 20%...but we'll see what goes on later today. Thanks for the compliment....I hope all understand or can learn from the posts....that's what I like doing best... nope not really that area just SW of PR is all caused bu upper divergence but that SW of Jamaica in the SW caribbean has a higher chance of becoming PRE-96L Member Since: June 13, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 5417

695. HurricaneHunterJoe 6:23 AM GMT on June 18, 2012
Member Since: September 18, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 2690

696. HurricaneHunterJoe 6:24 AM GMT on June 18, 2012
Quoting BahaHurican: Geez... looks like I'm the only one headed to bed... [grumps off to sleep] LOL....I just took a Ambien pill,so sleep will come soon Member Since: September 18, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 2690

697. HurricaneHunterJoe 6:30 AM GMT on June 18, 2012
NAM AND GFS are onto that one Member Since: September 18, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 2690

698. HurricaneHunterJoe 6:35 AM GMT on June 18, 2012
Quoting HurricaneHunterJoe: NAM,CMC, GFS Quoting HurricaneHunterJoe: CMC,GFS,AND NAM onto that se atlantic coast storm?? Member Since: September 18, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 2690

699. NCHurricane2009 6:39 AM GMT on June 18, 2012
Quoting wunderkidcayman: nope not really that area just SW of PR is all caused bu upper divergence but that SW of Jamaica in the SW caribbean has a higher chance of becoming PRE-96L I'd be careful disregarding the E Caribbean activity...which could surprise us as much as Invest 95-L did. The upper winds have become more and more anticyclonic each hour...and I can start to see a cyclonic spin moving NE across E Hispaniola... Member Since: September 15, 2009 Posts: 277 Comments: 3357

700. HurricaneHunterJoe 6:43 AM GMT on June 18, 2012
Goodnight all,keep up the good work. I think things will be more definitive tomorrow!! Member Since: September 18, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 2690

701. Stormchaser121 6:51 AM GMT on June 18, 2012
Quoting AtHomeInTX: GFS flashes this one frame. But basically looking like the EURO with a large area of low pressure over the western GOM. So now its coming back this way again... Member Since: September 2, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 565

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